2025 Oscar Predictions - Supporting Actors | October 2024

[@98LucasFG]

I really wanted for Margaret Qualley to move up the race with The Substance’s staying power, she’s just as great in the film in my opinion and Demi is almost cracking the top 5…

[@stephendavis6267]

Best Supporting Actor: • Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain • Clarence Maclin, Sing Sing • Guy Pearce, The Brutalist • Jeremy Strong, The Apprentice • Denzel Washington, Gladiator II • (ALT: Edward Norton, A Complete Unknown) Best Supporting Actress: • Danielle Deadwyler, The Piano Lesson • Selena Gomez, Emilia Pérez • Felicity Jones, The Brutalist • Saoirse Ronan, Blitz • Zoe Saldana, Emilia Pérez • (ALT: Emily Watson, Small Things Like These)

[@IHandOutLs4You]

a real pain was good but no way he’s getting supporting

[@HoboraMax]

I have never heard of Small Things Like These before this, but looking at the release date & buzz about Watson in particular, it's a cool call! Makes me wanna keep my eye out. If you've seen it, would you recommend it? I'm curious now

[@stephendavis6267]

@@HoboraMax She won the Best Supporting Performance at Berlin (one of the major festival trifecta along with Cannes and Venice), she's well overdue, it's an insanely baity villain role, and Cillian Murphy has a lot of heat on him from his Best Actor win that I think some of that afterglow will carry this film. I think Watson's definitely a dark horse for the category.

[@axr7149]

Assuming GLADIATOR 2 does really well at both awards and box office, this could be the year that Denzel Washington finally makes the BAFTA nominees list. It helps that Ridley Scott (who is British) is the director of this film too. Don't forget that Will Smith was similarly ignored by BAFTAs until KING RICHARD, and he swept that season.

[@BROJANGSTER]

nah, baftas aren’t cool enough to do that. worst awards show of the pack (there’s an idea for a members only video!)

[@poett8875]

I can agree. Especially since with how shallow supporting actor is this year.

[@blackguyofthesouth2161]

Difference is Denzel Washington has more nominations. 3 times as many in fact. He should have been nominated for Malcolm X and Fences at least

[@SoulKnightKing]

If Denzel gets a BAFTA nomination. Hes winning the Oscar

[@pb.j.1753]

He literally played Macbeth and could not get in LOL

[@sebbvell3426]

Best supporting actress: Zoe Saldaña - Emilia Pérez Danielle Deadweiler - The Piano Lesson Margaret Qualley - The Substance Aunjenue Ellis - Nickel Boys Felicity Jones - The Brutalist Best supporting actor: Guy Pierce - The Brutalist Clarence Maclin - Sing Sing Mark Eydelshteyn - Anora Stanley Tucci - Conclave Jeremy Strong - The Apprentice

[@SleepFan771]

Best Supporting Actress 1. Felicity Jones (The Brutalist) 2. Saoirse Ronan (Blitz) 3. Zoë Saldaña (Emilia Pérez) 4. Selena Gomez (Emilia Pérez) 5. Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor (Nickel Boys) Best Supporting Actor 1. Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain) 2. Guy Pearce (The Brutalist) 3. Clarence Maclin (Sing Sing) 4. Edward Norton (A Complete Unknown) 5. Denzel Washington (Gladiator II)

[@dacrimsoncurse]

Fellow mexican here, i loved Emilia Perez, i hope the two supporting ladies make the cut, personally i think their performances were fantastic Also watch out for Joan Chen, i feel like she could get a critics choice and sag nomination along the way

[@haroldandmod]

Josh O’Connor for Challengers is at least top 15…

[@rxre7922]

i think sel and zoe are getting in like everywhere, they are going to like every single screening and they are praised so much.

[@Sharpe1502]

I think Arianna Grande is going to be the dark horse because she’s going to be the scene stealer of the movie.

[@girlboss3426]

Selena is losing buzz,she aint getting in

[@dacrimsoncurse]

@@girlboss3426 "losing buzz" her movie hasn't even been released and no critics circle award nomination has been announced cause we're in october try again

[@dacrimsoncurse]

@@Sharpe1502 more like the pink pony, she's getting a saturn award nomination at best

[@rxre7922]

@@girlboss3426 shes actually gaining lol, shes rising everywhere including goldderby

[@Lurkinglibra]

I don’t get the uncertainty around Jeremy Strong. The raves for his performance have been unanimous and it’s the kind of performance the Academy loves. Do you think it’s just the lack of campaigning budget that’s holding him back?

[@purekinema]

That and the mediocre box office

[@pb.j.1753]

He can get Globes and Critics Choice but no Oscar nom. Like Charles Melton.

[@Lurkinglibra]

@@pb.j.1753 You know that for a fact?

[@lmeirjohnson]

@@Lurkinglibra I don’t think he even saw the film lol

[@pb.j.1753]

@@Lurkinglibradid I say I know that for a fact? Are you ok? I literally used „can“ because I think this can happen not because I know. This is a channel about predictions. You must be from the US since you are confused about what a fact is.

[@stevensellin6038]

I really don't think Ellis-Taylor is happening. She doesn't have enough screentime or industry connections (because it's harder for women of color, also why Deadwyler may be snubbed). I've been anticipating Gomez getting snubbed, but if her films wins SAG ensemble, I find it hard to see. Also, GG's have no reason to leave her out of 6 if Emilia Perez will be more embraced by international voting bodies. I also think Culkin is being overestimated, especially for a win. He won't. His type of performance only gets a win for being overdue and he really hasn't had that much outside of Succession. I think the points you made for him actually help Jeremy Strong more, especially after his broadway win. I do think, Clarence Maclin will just end up with the Oscar at the end of the day though

[@SamxJxPx1993]

Funny how just a few months ago everyone was saying Samuel L Jackson was guaranteed an Oscar for 'The Piano Lesson' 😂

[@ZO6Buccaneer]

John Magaro certainly felt like the lead of September 5. He’s in the opening and closing shots, and the film feels very centered on him. Sarsgaard has much less screentime. Regardless, no way either would get a lead acting nom, so I can see them both being campaigned in supporting.

[@pb.j.1753]

Alessandro Nivola in Brutalist is my underdog nominee

[@maxwellpiercy680]

If A Real Pain makes Best Picture I think Culkin could and should win. I think it really comes down to if it makes picture or not. If it doesn’t I don’t think Culkin would be strong enough. What do you think?

[@MTheWho6]

I wholeheartedly agree. I think the hurdle for Culkin is his film making Best Picture, if that happens, I think he’s going to win, perhaps even sweep.

[@elijah0208]

S L Jackson suddenly went from number1 to 15) nice

[@RobertBurns71405]

I for some reason feel extremely confident in Gomez🤷‍♂️I she is at every event and has become a sort of face of the movie for some(at least from what I’ve seen). She could honestly just be an easy 4th slot placement for some that gets her in everywhere ala Emily Blunt . Also, Watch out for Grande as Glinda is by far the best part of act 1 of wicked

[@reles5289]

I get the sense that the Academy is too "snobby" to nominate two popstars, especially in the same category.

[@wl2056]

Why does Saoirse Ronan look like a young Meryl Streep in her picture? 😅

[@pb.j.1753]

Blitz will get zero Acting noms.

[@gab35446]

If you know Wicked, all of Ariana's possible showstopping moments are in movie 2, Thank Goodness and the reprise of I'm not That Girl are the only chance she really has at showing a comedic character going though a real dramatic moment

[@LuisDDT2]

I think for Ariana to enter we need Erivo to enter because it is more of an Elphaba story Than a Glinda story why if we nominated Grande but not Erivo it would be so confusing for everyone

[@bronsonhatch]

I know yall said at the beginning of the year that Challengers was too “young people bisexual” to be nominated, but with Queer- essentially- leaving the race voters might go back to Challengers to vote for. I put Josh O’Connor back in my supporting actor top 5. He left for a good two months, but he’s back. I don’t think his performance is something too far fetched for the academy to nominate either; he plays a slightly comedic, cocky, charismatic little slut. Mark Ruffalo in Poor Things, Thomas Haden Church in Sideways, Clive Owen in Closer, Tom Cruise in Magnolia, Brad Pitt in OUATIH all cross off at least two of those and all were supporting. (Some of them Won or were kinda close to winning too) I don’t think Supporting Actor would be Challengers’ lone nomination either. It could get OG Screenplay, Editing, and Score pretty easily I think. Other films with similar packages are Trial of the Chicago 7, Bridge of Spies, Far From Heaven, and Don’t Look Up. Yes all of the ones I listed were in picture, but please stop writing off challengers. I don’t think it’s **dead**. its still one of the most acclaimed films this year

[@poihpioakarp8845]

My current predictions on app (as of 25.10.24): *Best Supporting Actress:* 22. Karen Gillan (The Life of Chuck) 21. Natasha Lyonne (His Three Daughters) 20. Tilda Swinton (The Room Next Door) 19. Monica Barbaro (A Complete Unknown) 18. Lady Gaga (Joker: Folie à Deux) 17. Rebecca Ferguson (Dune: Part Two) 16. Jennifer Lopez (Unstoppable) 15. Elle Fanning (A Complete Unknown) 14. Lesley Manville (Queer) 13. Margaret Qualley (The Substance) 12. Rachel Sennott (Saturday Night) 11. Joan Chen (Didi) 10. Leonie Benesch (September 5) 9. Maria Bakalova (The Apprentice) 8. Selena Gomez (Emilia Pérez) 7. Toni Collette (Juror No. 2) 6. Isabella Rosellini (Conclave) --------------------------------------------------------- 5. Felicity Jones (The Brutalist) 4. Danielle Deadwyler (The Piano Lesson) 3. Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor (Nickel Boys) 2. Saoirse Ronan (Blitz) 1. Zoe Saldaña (Emilia Pérez) *Best Supporting Actor:* 23. Mark Hamill (The Life of Chuck) 22. Jeremy Pope (The Collaboration) 21. Josh O'Connor (Challengers) 20. Javier Bardem (Dune: Part Two) 19. Harris Dickinson (Blitz) 18. John Lithgow (Conclave) 17. Yuriy Borisov (Anora) 16. J.K. Simmons (Juror No. 2) 15. Austin Butler (Dune: Part Two) 14. Drew Starkey (Queer) 13. Samuel L. Jackson (The Piano Lesson) 12. Brian Tyree Henry (The Fire Inside) 11. Harris Dickinson (Babygirl) 10. John Magaro (September 5) 9. Peter Sarsgaard (September 5) 8. Mark Eydelsteyn (Anora) 7. Denzel Washington (Gladiator II) 6. Stanley Tucci (Conclave) --------------------------------------------------------- 5. Edward Norton (A Complete Unknown) 4. Guy Pearçe (The Brutalist) 3. Jeremy Strong (The Apprentice) 2. Keiran Culkin (A Real Pain) 1. Clarence Maclin (Sing Sing) P.S. look me up on The Awards Expert app @poihpio98 for more wrong predictions and even wronger favourites!

[@tofansultani8472]

I want Chris Hemsworth for Furiosa to happen. He was so great in it. They better not to slept on Furiosa…

[@FrakkinToasterLuvva]

Unfortunately, he is going to get ignored.

[@pb.j.1753]

That massive box office bomb won‘t get shit let‘s be real

[@wattfadad688]

​@@FrakkinToasterLuvva ***fortunately

[@FrakkinToasterLuvva]

@@wattfadad688 well, unfortunate for him, fortunate for 5 other actors

[@Volvagia1927]

@@pb.j.1753 Okay, I've seen this as the main reason people are dismissing Furiosa. And, maybe Fury Road was just in a perfect Goldilocks zone and Furiosa needed to gross pretty much exactly as much as Fury Road did to be in the race. But, maybe, perceived box office failure of a quality movie, period, is what actually GOT Fury Road that Picture nomination...? And everyone's MASSIVELY underestimating Furiosa because of that?

[@singstreetcar5881]

Nobody is giving Saoirse ronan 2 oscar nominations in 1 year. As much as we love her so much, she is not getting 2 nominations in 1 year

[@dariussalepetru6770]

Yes! She is this year's Scarlett Johansson

[@joser1853]

It's happened before and could happen again.

[@Sharpe1502]

Yeah, I don’t think The Outrun is happening. I heard that movie is terrible.

[@satriasyafridhani5497]

like if the outrun rating worser than blitz😊​@@Sharpe1502

[@manantial773]

@@Sharpe1502 Lies, it is a very good movie.

[@gutterbaby8382]

All I wanna say is that Michele Austin is very likely getting a BAFTA nomination

[@pb.j.1753]

Who

[@rayrivera8596]

Felicity Jones for the win!

[@sebbvell3426]

I prefer Margaret Qualley over Saoirse Ronan

[@georgeehret3480]

I’ve been very tempted to put in an Anora boy but idk which between Borisov and Eydelshteyn. A lot of people seem to be backing the former but the latter seems to be getting the bigger push from Neon. I’ll probably wait to see the film for myself to decide but I’ve been seriously thinking about it especially since I think one of them stands a really solid shot at BAFTA.

[@crazydouglasb]

19:21 Compartment n° 6 is amazing

[@larryhader5695]

If there was any Justice, Jeremy strong not only gets nominated, but wins the whole entire thing. Roy Cohn is one of the few new iconic film characters of this year.

[@seankoontz4235]

Natasha Lyonne is absolutely fantastic in His Three Daughters

[@benabramowitz18]

Bold of you to put Bryce Young at #1 in Supporting Actor. This could be the Carolina Panthers' year!

[@antoniodjordjevic9493]

Laura Dern also didn't do anything new in Marriage story and many said that that role is exactly like Renata from Big Little Lies, and she sept the season. She is an industry child that has been around for a while, had a comeback on TV where she started winning awards and she also didn't have a strong competition in her Oscar race. Culklin is in a similar position. Is Denzel really winning third for an action blockbuster? Pearce is not Robert D. J. to win with the same narrative just one year after. Sing sing first needs to find it's buzz, then the winning talk can start, but it's already end of October.

[@SS4Luxray]

Yeah I can see Denzel getting nominated for the “cool” points, but I’ll be genuinely shocked if he actually wins the Oscar. This buzz came outta nowhere lol

[@qwertyuiop22ful]

People over at México and other Latin American countries are REALLY NOT loving Emilia Pérez. I haven't seen it myself, so I can't give my own opinion just yet, but could this hurt its chances?

[@CAIQUEPEREIRADIAS]

hm not really. brazil absolutely loved it though-it played really well at the rio film festival, and everyone was amazed. i’ve also read some great reviews from the mexico screenings, so it’s not like everyone hates it.

[@Aldnoah.]

The film has been very well received in Latin America, especially in Brazil and Colombia. Although it has encountered some vocal detractors in Mexico, the majority of the audience has enjoyed it. In fact, I was surprised to see so many positive reviews on Letterboxd coming from Mexico.

[@dacrimsoncurse]

the old lady next to me at morelia's film festival cried in tears when the movie ended i'm sure some people in mexico didn't like it, but generalizing latin american countries not loving it when only was screened in colombia, brazil and mexico just yesterday?

[@temmietaft2552]

I’m looking forward to seeing Emilia Perez in theaters

[@patriciascolafeleppa5542]

Sing Sing is being shown at the Savannah film festival this weekend, Saturday October 26th. SCAD will be honoring him with a special award. I hope A24 uses this to rerelease the movie country wide. Sing Sing is the best movie of the year and you should be supporting this movie because it is not typical Hollywood and because its not actors that shoulda, woulda, coulda, won an Oscar back in the day.

[@pb.j.1753]

Yes they will use this insignificant festival to rerelease the film nationwide.

[@ryebread9299]

Here we go 🎉

[@lawaraya]

I think Gladiator praise will cool and will be Furiosa unless , unless it makes more money than the first like Way of Water

[@lawaraya]

You can also imagine that when she wins, everyone from James Gunn to Robert Downey Jr to Bradley Cooper will show her support, so she’s gonna win Critics Choice , Golden Globe , SAG, Bafta is possible too because of the timing and overlap

[@singstreetcar5881]

Let me tell u how this award season is gonna play out Anora is gonna lose steam towards the end but mikey madison will win best actress and Sean Baker will win best screenplay Meanwhile the brutalist will win best picture, best director, best actor, best supporting actor and best supporting actress and some tech awards

[@girlboss3426]

Mikey aint winning best actress,too early for her

[@tonyg76]

Zoes' "career narrative" should have nothing to do with it. The best performance this year should win.

[@dusterrant9332]

Every Oscar season, there's always someone saying wins should be based on performance. While I don't disagree, that isn't the world we live in. If we did, Jamie Lee Curtis would not have won Best Supporting Actress for Everything Everywhere All At Once. And this is coming from someone who LOVED that movie.

[@tonyg76]

@@dusterrant9332 You are proving my point. I did not love that movie and she was not even considered the best supporting performance in the movie! Stephanie Hsu was. Kerry Condon should have won and I did not like that movie either. This is why I am giving the Oscars one more shot but may not keep following it. Who wins is frustrating sometimes and also because my tastes and the Oscars' tastes do not always align.

[@keeganthorpe]

The overdue narrative or career narrative happens almost every year. This year it’s Saldana. That’s all.

[@FrakkinToasterLuvva]

@@dusterrant9332 Actually it often is. The Academy gave two Oscars in close succession in the same category to Mahershala Ali, Christoph Waltz and Frances McDormand, gave Olivia Colman an Oscar over the decades overdue Glenn Close. and ignored the narratives of the late Chadwick Bosman and Lily Gladstone in favor of the performances they preferred by Anthony Hopkins and Emma Strone, respectively. People said they would not give Emma the second Oscar when she is so young, and the Academy, it turns out, did not care.

[@manantial773]

@@tonyg76 No one cares about your taste and that is a very ridiculous reason to follow them.

[@elijah0208]

I think gaga may still show up in supporting, they had cases quite recently actually when film was panned but nomination still happened

[@antoniodjordjevic9493]

@@elijah0208 yes if your name was Meryl Streep or Denzel Washington or Glenn Close aka Acting titans.

[@elijah0208]

@@antoniodjordjevic9493 not necessarily. Take a look at best actress lineup 2022

[@antoniodjordjevic9493]

@@elijah0208 if you are the officially first contender of the season available to all voters watching at home on Netflix playing the biggest Hollywood icon.

[@LuisDDT2]

Here's the thing, Lady Gaga is in a hated movie where they inflated her character and it was something minor, and then If Gaga wasn't nominated for a best performance in a slightly more beloved film like House of Gucci, there's no way this time around.

[@-Jimini-]

Selena and Jeremy

[@98LucasFG]

Did you guys hear about Dune’s score not being eligible for the Oscars? Apparently their fyc posters are not including Hans Zimmer 🤔

[@gabrielcastaneda9700]

I could see Elle fanning surprising

[@singstreetcar5881]

If demi moore gets in for the substance for best lead actress, Margaret qualley is coming along for best supporting actress, even Dennis quaid may sneak in also.

[@dahomey2001]

Yea, if the distributor wasn’t mubi Coattail nominations happen only for best picture front runners

[@Awardshq]

Lol Dennis isn't getting nominated, the MAGA kool-aid will kill that

[@kylejohnson4615]

I think we may be reaching here. I also loved the movie but there’s zero world Dennis quaid comes along, BEST day Margaret Qualley is still a stretch

[@RB-.-]

Quaid needed one more scene but he was so great. Best character in the movie he was hilarious. He'd never get nominated though because he's a bit of a free thinker lets just say that.

[@girlboss3426]

​@@Awardshqwhy that matter anyway?kamala is horrible too like,the hipocrisy

[@naimurrahmanporag]

Sing Sing is A24's biggest fumble of the year It could've been extremely strong in both Actor categories Clarence Maclin SHOULD win

[@timgriffin3368]

NickelBoys no no no no no. This great movie is up for best film, director, adapted, cinematography, etc but No actor will get a nomination.

[@dheboraaires8859]

Almost everyone that watched Emilia Perez said Saldaña has the most screen time and is definitely the lead, I wonder if voters will buy this category fraud or not

[@IHandOutLs4You]

how is it fraud? movie was good. perez had more screen time. saldana disappeared the second half of the film

[@CAIQUEPEREIRADIAS]

they definitely will. saldana has the most screentime, but she’s clearly not the lead. karla is.

[@dheboraaires8859]

@@CAIQUEPEREIRADIAS it’s gonna be hard to sell her as supporting when she have more screen time than the actual lead

[@CAIQUEPEREIRADIAS]

@@dheboraaires8859 the difference isn’t even thaaat big. i’d say saldana has like 10-15 minutes more screentime, but in the second act, karla steals every scene.

[@dacrimsoncurse]

that'd apply to kieran culkin too then

[@singstreetcar5881]

I Don't see zoe saldana winning best supporting actress. This is NOT gonna be a robert downing jr situation. Former mcu actor wins an oscar,not happening for zoe saldana

[@girlboss3426]

Right, they will go for isabella or danielle.

[@manantial773]

Saldana is not just a former MCU actor, neither was RDJ, watch more movies.

[@manantial773]

@@girlboss3426 Isabella has 3 scenes.

[@singstreetcar5881]

Why are u guys underestimating felicity jones? This would be her second oscar nomination. If julianna moore wasnt overdue for an oscar, the 2015 best actress race would have been between felicity Jones and Rosamund pike and felicity Jones would have likely won best actress cause the theory of everything was nominated for best picture and was a huge box office hit unlike gone girl that got only 1 nomination

[@nate-it9xq]

they have her at two and say shes winning bafta? hardly underestimated

[@IHandOutLs4You]

tf? she’s at 2….not underestimated at all.

[@LuisDDT2]

I don't think they're ignoring her, the problem is that the public is preoccupied with campaigning for Brody and Pearce. But not so much for Jones, that may affect her

[@ShoeDog-12345]

Prediction: I think Gladiator 2 is winning best picture.

[@elijah0208]

Fine, I'll take it, I'll take even brutalist, even blitz, anything but not anora!!!

[@FrakkinToasterLuvva]

Prediction: not in a million years

[@pb.j.1753]

Isabella Rossellini is sooo getting in. Scene stealer of the year!!!

[@thefilmseeker]

I just saw the film... and she literally has like 3 lines of dialogue lol.

[@pb.j.1753]

@@thefilmseeker I have seen the film and that's not true.

[@thefilmseeker]

@@pb.j.1753 then it sounds like you saw a different film. Even her “big monologue” lasts about 15 seconds before she virtually disappears from the rest of the movie. Hardly an impression for a shoo-in nomination.

[@pb.j.1753]

@@thefilmseeker She left a huge impression on me 💯I thought she was the best thing about the film.

[@manantial773]

@@pb.j.1753 Lies.

[@marcochen9117]

first of all, what is the jury pick from the baftas? I have been seeing it since the pandemic year but still don't understand what it particularly is, but the jury nominations are usually pretty out there and don't have any bearing on the oscars pretty much. And why is it not here this year?

[@dahomey2001]

The bafta voters choose the 12 actors for the longlist, then they vote for the top 3 actors eligible and then the jury (composed of less people) picks the other 3

[@TheOscarExpert]

Jury is gone now

[@marcochen9117]

@@TheOscarExpert who is the jury though? and why did they get rid of it? is it because of how the nominations from the jury were so out there?

[@manantial773]

@@marcochen9117 The jury is 6 people from the Academy. It is gone because the British Academy feels that everyone should be able to vote equally.

[@dahomey2001]

@@marcochen9117 6 white old racist people from british academy

[@kieranczyzniejewski2178]

Ohhh yeah Navi Saldana!!!

[@lmeirjohnson]

Lady Gaga Just confirmed that’s she’s running for Supporting Actress!

[@NikitaSedyh]

I love Godga to death but she’s not happening unfortunately. The film did her very dirty, the backlash Joker 2 is receiving is literally unheard of. She’s the victim of this film, despite her brilliant perfomance she’s not happening.

[@lmeirjohnson]

@@NikitaSedyh it’s very possible that she comes along with a nomination and not the film. Plus, this year seems like a toss up on this list too.

[@singstreetcar5881]

@@lmeirjohnson congratulations on her razzie nomination

[@lmeirjohnson]

@@singstreetcar5881 lol

[@girlboss3426]

You taught you eat that right 😂😂😂

[@seankoontz4235]

Supporting actor is a real toss-up, I could see Kieran winning Globe and Critics Choice and Pearce winning BAFTA (SAG, idk)

[@FrakkinToasterLuvva]

Why Kieran for Critics Choice?

[@seankoontz4235]

@FrakkinToasterLuvva If he gets enough critic support plus I think they’ll nominate the movie. May have jumped the gun a little though, I think Pearce is definitely out front

[@LuisDDT2]

I think Guy Pearce could win in CC because CC goes for what it considers the best performance and not the most popular. And that makes me think that probably Culkin or even Maclin could win the SAG.

[@pavelsimeonov4062]

never clicked faster in my life etc

[@MTheWho6]

I don’t really get the argument that Culkin’s performance in A Real Pain supposedly being similar to Roman Roy is going to hurt his chances of winning. I mean, literally last year, we saw Robert Downey Jr. win for a performance where while his character was different, his delivery was very much reminiscent of Tony Stark. I’m not trying to knock his performance, I love it, and I think it’s great and that he deserved his win. I’m just saying that I don’t think it’ll be as big of an obstacle for Culkin as you seem to think it’ll be.

[@antoniodjordjevic9493]

Laura Dern also didn't do anything new in Marriage story and many said that that role is exactly like Renata from Big Little Lies, and she sept the season. She is an industry child that has been around for a while and didn't have strong competition. Culklin is in a similar position. Is Denzel really winning third for an action blockbuster? Pearce is not Robert D. J. to win with the same narrative just one year after. Sing sing first needs to find it's buzz, then the winning talk can start, but it's already end of October.

[@manantial773]

RDJ was NOTHING like Stark in Oppenheimer, that is a vile lie. Still, Laura Dern exist, she won an Oscar for Renata, so Culkin might win for Ronan.

[@marcochen9117]

@@manantial773 honestly don't know how RDJ is getting some slack after his win, that year everyone was rooting for him and now more and more people are turning on him for winning for some reason. No idea where the stark comparisons are from, if anything its like salieri from armadeus with his portrayal of envy and jealousy. Which is a high bar

[@FrakkinToasterLuvva]

​@@manantial773Laura Dern was known for many roles other than Big Little Lies. Kieran is mostly known for Succession. A better comparison would be Mary Tyler Moore and Bryan Cranston, maybe even Art Carney - and all were nominahed for roles drastically different from their most famous TV role.

[@FrakkinToasterLuvva]

His role was nothing like Tony Stark. What are you even talking about?

[@ssilva872]

Great as usual. You guys should do more collaborations. I also watch For Your Consideration (with Scott, Jeff, and Perri) and Goldderby people but specifically Joyce/Chris and I'd love if any combo of you 7 did a collab video. But the more the merrier.

[@pauliegomez]

not until drew starkey being nominated as supporting actor

[@beabravo6759]

Seriously does anyone know why the Gold Derby app is shite?

[@manantial773]

It is a pretty good and iconic app, you are a moron.

[@patriciascolafeleppa5542]

Clarence Maclin is so amazing in Sing Sing, how can you pick anyone else. Ridiculous

[@BossBrookeArmstrong]

What about Jennifer Lopez?

[@nms7872]

i saw the movie Unstoppable at TIFF. the movie is too generic to get in to the oscars. No chance.

[@BossBrookeArmstrong]

@@nms7872 I get your point but don’t you think the nominees they’ve predicted are pretty generic 😂 there are no real stand outs. No real big names. No real major buzz attached to any of them. Don’t you think JLo would get the awards a lot of attention if she’s nominated?

[@nms7872]

@@BossBrookeArmstrong thats not the goal of the oscars

[@pb.j.1753]

lol

[@BossBrookeArmstrong]

@@nms7872 that’s what they want you to think. But let’s face it there are plenty of people who won Oscars who didn’t deserve to. They had the momentum and they had the star power behind them. Or some won because it was more of a career Oscar than an accolade for that individual performance. It’s not necessarily always about art

[@timgriffin3368]

Well, if he yells a lot, give him a nomination. 😉 😜 😘

[@girlboss3426]

Saldanha aint winning,her nomination will be her WIN,shes not in a robert Downey jr situation where it had the whole"overdue" narrative for her,isabella or felicity are winning.

[@CAIQUEPEREIRADIAS]

@@girlboss3426 saldana is winning bc of her narrative AND her performance.

[@Bbvb579]

nan uh trust me its either saldana or deadwyler

[@RobertBurns71405]

This comment loses a ton of credibility when you try to say Isabella is win competitive imo

[@theturtlesx]

4 time Oscar nominee Saoirse Ronan has the name recognition. Blitz will have the voting block of BAFTA.

[@mjlove07101996]

Austin Butler ?

[@FrakkinToasterLuvva]

No

[@mjlove07101996]

@@FrakkinToasterLuvva 😂😂

[@singstreetcar5881]

Why is sing sing still on ur list?

[@lawaraya]

Saldana is going to sweep, I think Emilia Perez will fall and all the goodwill will go to her plus The Lioness series will solidify her performance

[@seankoontz4235]

My biggest hot take of the season so far is predicting Gascón to miss; Saldana will be nominated though

[@LuisDDT2]

I think the only award Saldana could lose is the BAFTA because they could definitely go with Jones

[@michaelwalsh2659]

I’m really starting to consider Jennifer Lopez for Unstoppable Would not be shocked to see her show up at SAG or Globes

[@farithfalcon4538]

I wacth it and i'm warning you she does not do enough

[@dahomey2001]

If that happens, then aunjanue ellis taylor is out

[@pb.j.1753]

Delulu

[@samuelblack1687]

I am a Gaga truther

[@Riley-joned]

Have you guys seen Nosferatu?

[@FrakkinToasterLuvva]

Pretty sure no one has seen it yet

[@percyweasley9301]

Award season becomes BORING when same person wins every award in USA and Supporting Actress and Actor last year was that. Devine and RDJ won EVERYTHING.. I'm not excited for award season that's why.. It seems like a waste of time.. Best actress/actor was interesting race through.. and Oscar wins in other categories were good.. 🧡🧡

[@maciej.from.the.forrest9786]

you guys are really in a bubble with brutalist. First brody, now jones.

[@mattaragon25]

What about J Lo for Unstoppable???

[@pb.j.1753]

What about that

[@yeahiagree1070]

Blitz is getting ZERO nominations

[@dariussalepetru6770]

No!

[@CAIQUEPEREIRADIAS]

i dont think it will get zero noms, but probably zero ATL noms

[@dariussalepetru6770]

@@CAIQUEPEREIRADIAS ATL?

[@CAIQUEPEREIRADIAS]

@@dariussalepetru6770 above the line (non-technical categories)

[@Ryusevi]

Double Anora supporting nominations let‘s go. Also y‘all at every non-american: „He/she‘s gonna get BAFTA“

[@louieb.726]

i feel like jones has the best performance but saldana has the showiest and netflix payola definitely helping her

[@Lamidemonami7891]

Who is the Supporting Actress choice for critics… Lyonne? Who else would win those awards??

[@joser1853]

Saw The Apprentice this weekend and I actually liked the film. A bit mixed on the third act but... Give Mark Strong a nomination please. He was insane.

[@pb.j.1753]

Mark Strong???

[@FrakkinToasterLuvva]

JEREMY Strong

[@dannyk3059]

I feel like Dune Two is getting roundly slept on in these vids. I know Pt. 1 didn't get any acting nominations but Pt. 2 is universally seen as a marked improvement and even though it came out early it's by far one of the most successful films of the year and not a lot has topped it. I could see the academy showing lots of love to it for these reason, whether that's with an acting nomination for someone like Bardem or not idk, but I have a feeling its going to bounce back big

[@piadox]

Bounce back? That movie is already being predicted to at least 10 nominations. It never left.

[@AnahidNasr]

this is bullshit yoy put Jeremy strong in bottom

[@joecoe4416]

Selena Gomez will be snubbed just like JLo for Hustlers, for the exact same reasons.

[@dahomey2001]

Jlo was snubbed because she would be the lone nominee of her movie, her movie wasn’t strong, played a stripper, the movie distributor was relatively new, and the competition was much stronger Not mentioning Jlo was releasing music, going on a tour and performing at the superbowl during march, basically being a full time musician. Selena is not doing all of that, and her film distributor is not bleecker street

[@joecoe4416]

@@dahomey2001 JLo was getting nominated everywhere for Hustlers but out of nowhere the academy nominated Kathy Bates for Richard Jewell, the only nomination it got. That throws away your entire argument.

[@dahomey2001]

@@joecoe4416 how so? where did i say jlo wasn't nominated for anything? read my comment again

[@joecoe4416]

@@dahomey2001 Your main argument was that JLo wasnt nominated because she would have been the sole nominee of her movie and I just proved my point that Bates got nominated ahead of her as the sole nominee of her movie despite getting nowhere near the overall nominations and acclaim as JLo got.

[@dahomey2001]

@@joecoe4416 I pointed out that example for jlo only kathy bates is freaking Kathy Bates, of course she can make it as a sole nominee for her movie if she has the performance, jlo would never Not mentioning her movie Richard Jewell was named top 10 best films of the year by AFI and The National Board of review , meanwhile supporting actress was the only nominations hustlers got during awards season Not much acclaimed considered Kathy bates made the bafta shortlist and jlo didn't, meaning there was international support for Kathy from many foreign voters

[@GareBare90]

Ooooooooooooooh

[@Jessie75x]

Joan Chen below Ariana Grande and Leonie Benesch bfr. Pls stop trying to make Wicked and September 5 happen.

[@chriscarmichael4306]

Supp actress: Rooting for- Margaret qualley (The Substance) Felicity Jones (The Brutalist) - Saoirse Ronan (Blitz) Isabella Rossellini (Conclave), Aubrey plaza (my old ass) Natasha Lyonne (His Three Daughters Rooting against (HATE these actresses!) : Gomez Aunjanue Deadwyler Grande(in no world will this happen though. Shame on anyone even entertaining this possibility) Support actor: Rooting for - Guy Pearce Culkin Samuel l Jackson Edward Norton Sarsgaard Rooting against Maclin Tucci

[@FrakkinToasterLuvva]

Hating Danielle Deadwyler is a crime against humanity.

[@monkeyangelo717]

I know there’s very little chance, but I’d love to see Hugh Jackman get some love this season

[@FrakkinToasterLuvva]

For which movie?

[@monkeyangelo717]

@@FrakkinToasterLuvvaReal Steel 2

[@mrsrdan]

Selena is getting GG cuz she is famous and they need ratings

[@wattfadad688]

she's getting in for her performance

[@jeremiahjohnson2165]

​@@wattfadad688no she's not she can't act to save her life she only getting gg cuz she's famous

[@MichaelBriggs3]

Not having Austin Butler for Dune 2 is insane. He was amazing.

[@singstreetcar5881]

U guys are underestimating the brutalist. This film is an indie film made with less than 10 million dollars and it looks very lux and expensive. The acaemy loves things like this.

[@ZO6Buccaneer]

How are they underestimating it? The have Guy Pearce at #1 sup actor and Felicity Jones #2 sup actress.

[@IHandOutLs4You]

you literally don’t know what underestimate means.

[@MegaGo68]

I like these guys, but the whole premise of this show is weird. No one really cares about the Oscars anymore; do these guys know that? More importantly, everyone knows that Oscar wins are unrelated to artistic merit. That's why films and directors of historical importance (and recognized as such) are often unmentioned at the Oscars. You can still treat the Oscars as a bit of fun, of course. But these guys seem to really care about "who will win," the horse race, much more than they care about the merits of each movie. That's weird because it doesn't matter who wins; it matters what's good.

[@seankoontz4235]

This is a little unfair, they always talk about whether they think the movie or performance or whatever deserves it on merit

[@samy7174]

First!

[@timgriffin3368]

Guys, September 5. Ever hear of All Quiet on the Western Front?? Same Thing.

[@FrakkinToasterLuvva]

How is it the same thing?

[@singstreetcar5881]

Why do people act like Danielle deadwyler is owed an oscar nomination? Smh nobody owes her anything U will be shocked when she doesn't get in anywhere

[@blackguyofthesouth2161]

You hate black people don't you

[@TheFilmAutopsy]

Weak supporting actress category. I can see Qualley and Gomez break through

[@clearwater4248]

Wicked part one is not getting best picture come on now

[@michaelwalsh2659]

If it’s Barbie / West Side Story than it could get in But it could also be The Color Purple / In the Heights and miss I’m just hoping it’s not Dear Evan Hanson

[@clearwater4248]

@@michaelwalsh2659barbie and west side story were by esteemed directors, and wicked’s a part one.

[@dahomey2001]

@@clearwater4248

[@singstreetcar5881]

Selena gomez is too high on ur list. Why is ariana grande on ur list? Wicked= wonka Children's movie that will make money at the box office

[@RobertBurns71405]

Wicked is a lot of things, for children is not one of them