5 BEST Moving Average Strategies (That beat buy and hold)

5 BEST Moving Average Strategies (That beat buy and hold)
Steve Burns and Holly Burns take us through 5 of their best moving average strategies during a 16 year period, covering bull, bear and sideways moving stock markets.
We also add the 2020 pandemic crash period to see how the trading strategies performed.
The strategies include the 20,50,100,200 and 250 day moving averages, and moving average crossovers.
The book provides evidence to the question of can you beat a stock market buy and hold strategy.
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[@FinancialWisdom]

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[@lailaalfaddil7389]

What kind of investment would you advise? And what is the best way to follow it?

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[@harrisonjamie794]

After a terrible 2022, shell-shocked financial backers have a lot to think about and losses to recover from. An expansion report and a wealth of other data did little to alter assumptions that the Central bank would likely keep raising interest rates regardless of whether the economy slows down. This implies that portfolios will experience more losses during the first quarter of 2023. I'm currently at a crossroads deciding whether to exchange my $250k security/stock portfolio; how might the continuous market volatility work to my advantage?

[@MarcusFred-wn3iv]

Concentrate on two main objectives. First and foremost, keep yourself safe by knowing when to sell stocks to reduce losses and maximize gains. Second, prepare yourself to gain from a market turnaround. I advise you to seek the advice of a representative or financial counselor

[@harrisonjamie794]

@@MarcusFred-wn3iv In fact, ever since Coronavirus, I've been in regular communication with financial examiners. Nowadays, buying moving stocks is quite easy; the trick is knowing when to buy and when to sell. The section and leave orders for my portfolio are made by my counsel. accumulated more than $550,000 from a $150,000 savings that was initially stale.

[@MarcusFred-wn3iv]

@@harrisonjamie794 Please provide the information for your investment advisor here. I really need it now.

[@harrisonjamie794]

@@MarcusFred-wn3iv She is KRISTIN GAIL CUNNINGHAM , my consultant. Since then, she has devoted section and leave attention to safeguards that I have been keeping an eye out for. You can locate information about the chief online, on the off chance that you're interested. I made no regrets about substantially adhering to their exchange strategy.

[@MarcusFred-wn3iv]

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[@Raymondjohn2]

Didn't Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett invent the strategy of buying/investing when the market is low and also buying/investing when the market is high? As Warren Buffet said, he has seen this happen many times in his life. Not an investor. My wife and i never earned more than a middle class salary. We plan to get retired at 58 with a stock portfolio worth $4M. We have never sold so much as one share of stock...

[@bob.weaver72]

It really isn’t about how much you save, it’s about how you manage your money. Whether you work to earn income or invest, it still boils down to income vs expenses, so yeah you may look into financial advisors for a strategy that suits your timing....

[@martingiavarini]

i've been doing this same thing myself. Can't get into trouble with the IRS when I have no income and all my money is in stocks. I don't like doing the work though. Lol. So I just invest through an advisor who does the stock picking. My money grows, and I'm tax-free...

[@hermanramos7092]

@@martingiavarini Do you mind sharing info on the adviser who assisted you? been saving for pension since age 18 - company scheme. along the way I hit higher tax, so I added to my company pension with a SIPP (tax benefits) I'm 46 now and would love to grow my finance more aggressively, there are a few cars I still wish to drive, a few mega holidays, etc

[@martingiavarini]

@@hermanramos7092 Have you heard of‘’Catherine Morrison Evans’’ ? She gets featured regularly on CNBC. I myself use tax-deferred accounts to hold my investments. That way I avoid capital gains taxes. There are other options your advisor could brief you about....

[@hermanramos7092]

@@martingiavarini Thank you. I just checked her out now and I've sent an email. I hope she gets back to me soon. I've been thinking of doing this for a long time now, and I've procrastinated enough already.

[@andrel.2768]

It's interesting that after trying so many indicators and reading so many price actions, I ultimately realized that the good old moving average was most useful.

[@messed5859]

Yeah same here, I guess it was the sense of longing, hoping to find something that really gives you the best probability out if everything. And the idea that the more unique or complicated an indicator was, meant that it was better or slightly more effective than anything else.

[@vetiarvind]

i use some others too but i realize that the MA's are all you need. it's like, when you're a noob, you avoid the fight. when you're a beginner, you look for fights. when you're a master fighter, you avoid the fight too.

[@KavishJhaveri12]

Don't you guys think it gives delayed signals 🤔

[@messed5859]

@@KavishJhaveri12 the signals only get bad when there are extremely bad impulse moves but at that point you'd recognize the big moves and well, personally I avoid those moments.

[@YouLoveMrFriendly]

Filters (RSI, Stochastic, etc) only are used to provide comfort to the trader. Good traders do what is uncomfortable.

[@sherryie2]

Insightful video. I just want to know best how people split their pay, how much of it goes into savings, spendings or investments. I'm 27, and earn nothing less $150k per year, but nothing to show for it yet.

[@McElvinn]

When people have money, they spend it. And some people spend more money when they have more of it. If you want to improve your financial management, you should consult with a financial advisor.

[@corrySledd]

@@McElvinn That's right, you can avoid the traps of lifestyle inflation by consulting an expert advisor to help you plan for your short- and long-term goals; it all comes down to proper guidance. Over the past two years and six months, I have seen my income build wealth and now have a fully paid off house and at least $650,000 in stocks. All this is the result of subsequent investments with my savings and the application of expert advice.

[@AUstinnesc]

@@corrySledd Nice, who is the Financial Advisor aiding you if this is not much i'm asking? my retirement plans are going down the drain with my 401k particularly losing everything it gained ever since 2021.

[@AUstinnesc]

@@corrySledd I looked up NICOLE online using her fullname and researched her accreditation. She seem very proficient, I wrote her detailing my Financial market current position, goals and scheduled an appointment. Thanks

[@3702251a]

Speaking from experience. I am you now at 50 yr old. I pushed myself in the right direction but a little late. You still have time. 1) if you do, stop drinking alcohol. PERIOD. Not even glass of wine blah blah.. 2)stop smoking cigarettes/vaping if you do 3) Stop Drinking Coffee 4) stop ALL sugar consumption / Junk food / fast food 5) stop consuming meat! 6) *** EXECUTE 1-5 All at Once *** 1-5 are things I have done in life which has had a very poor Risk/Reward ratio. There is no Longterm Reward for any of those habits (risk) And watch your life change and watch the money you save$ go through the roof. When your mind and your life is clear of distraction/issues you’ll see clearly what you should do to get to the life you want. Keep in Mind that 1-5 are the most marketed habits on tv. Best wish!

[@maverickjones9418]

I use 6, 13, and 30. Enter 50% position at the 6/13 cross and 100% position at the 13/30 cross. Then exit 100% of position when the 6/13 cross again. I also trade 5% of account equity when shorting above 200 dma and buying below. Then use 10% of account equity when shorting below 200 dma and buying above 200 dma.

[@ungket5846]

Thanks you give me inspiration. I will backtest this strategy

[@williamkz]

Hi Gareth. On review, the 200 day MA strategy only works for the pandemic crash because the dip occurred in late February 2020. If it had occurred in the first week of February 2020, the draw down would have been around 30-35% with the proposed strategy (at least by my calculations). My suggestion is that one never takes more than a 10% loss on SPY and gets out quickly at that point. Alternatively get out quick as soon as the price falls below the 200 day MA. It is always possible to buy back cheaply when the price goes back above the 200 day MA. Dealing costs for SPY are relatively low.

[@FinancialWisdom]

Thanks William, yes you are right, an element of timing luck here...

[@gomesdiogo]

You are right indeed, a solution to that might be a simple rule of two days of closings below 200MA before seeling pos or two days of closing above to go long, wonder what would it do to the results

[@obcane3072]

Another option is to use daily but with a 2-4% latch. You wait for it to drop lower than 2-4% of the DMA to get out and the inverse to get in. It minimizes whipsaw. Or waiting on the weekly. I think I've read somewhere that the 125 DMA offers the best Sharpe & Sortino Ratio.

[@VinDub18]

I would probably use the 200DMA strategy with a trailing stop loss of 15-20% as shown in an other video to prevent bigger loss in case of crash. Would that make sense? Im studying for a job where i'll be working 1 month in- 1 month off and I'm looking for a strategy i could use while away for the month. The 200 DMA would be pretty easy to implement.

[@williamkz]

@@VinDub18 That's probably a good strategy. If you're trading an index, like SPX, you can probably afford a 10-15% stop loss (currently 400-600 points) if you're primarily a buy and hold investor. I personally think 20% is too much. (Short term traders tend to use stops below 5% for the SPX.) For buying back, which is always the tricky bit, I think you might be better off using the exponential moving average and buying when the 5 day or 10 day EMA crosses above the 200 day EMA. The 10 day gives slightly better confirmation than the 5 day, but risks buying back at a slightly higher price. This is just my own opinion and not advice. Good luck.

[@LifeCoachCarmen]

Wow - Love how you explain so simply and succinctly with the perfect amount of visuals! Thx for making it easy for everyone!

[@titusrider7948]

Great content ! Love your animations, very whimsical 😊

[@EvanEvansE3]

Perhaps the 200MA and a WEEKLY position action frequency would be better.

[@mitsufisher9979]

Thanks again for another amazing video! I've watch most if not all of your videos. What's most helpful about your videos, in addition to the way you make things easy to understand, is the fact that they let you see and compare different strategies easily. What I find interesting about the different strategies is that they have many elements in common. Thanks again and keep up the good work.

[@FinancialWisdom]

Thanks Mitsu - Really means a lot🙏👍

[@damondeluca]

Thank you for all the amazing videos! A real gold mine of info. Priceless.

[@donniereidjr]

I loved this book. Thanks for breaking it down even more than my understanding.

[@FinancialWisdom]

You're so welcome!

[@izzyrov5814]

I love your videos! Not only educational but entertaining as well!

[@FinancialWisdom]

Happy to hear that!

[@noelmaskii25]

As always a simple and to-the-point explanation, with perfect graphics to go with it! Thank you 🙏

[@FinancialWisdom]

Glad you liked it!

[@jameswalker366]

Absolute gold. Thank you for the summary 👍🏻

[@FinancialWisdom]

Glad you enjoyed it!

[@James-100]

Although my biggest winners have resulted from “buy and hold,” I love the simplicity of moving averages strategies.

[@Semsdoyle]

Great video! Thank you for explaining these strategies, I always wondered about their significance.

[@FinancialWisdom]

Thanks for watching...

[@williamkz]

A really useful piece of backtesting. Thanks.

[@FinancialWisdom]

You're very welcome!

[@hoomanstavanger]

Amazing content, with great presentation and clear explanations. Much appreciated, keep up the great work!

[@FinancialWisdom]

Much appreciated!🙏👍

[@allakhani309]

Great Presentation. Thanks for "clarifying the wisdom".

[@FinancialWisdom]

Glad you enjoyed it!

[@LawStudent0071]

May God bless you with even more abundance and success brother! This is an amazing very well done book summary 👌

[@FinancialWisdom]

Thanks Aymen, same to you... Much appreciated

[@arod3295]

@@FinancialWisdom is the 200 day MA used, in the experiment on historical data, a simple MA or exponential MA?

[@DS-gn5vu]

Thank you very much you gained a new subscriber.

[@FinancialWisdom]

Awesome, thank you!

[@johnbelarmino2642]

Been waiting for ages XD, Love ur content bru

[@FinancialWisdom]

Glad you enjoy it!🙏

[@jamesstephen1516]

Namaste brother, Amazing effort on all videos n presentation. Thank you

[@FinancialWisdom]

You're most welcome👍

[@sonaldubey3850]

I was waiting for your video Good work

[@FinancialWisdom]

Thank you so much 😀

[@ngoctang3142]

Your videos is the best of the best. I appreciate all your videos.

[@FinancialWisdom]

Thanks!

[@MrSchobilo]

Awesome content 👍🏼

[@FinancialWisdom]

Thank you 🙌

[@davidpatterson4024]

Great job!

[@FinancialWisdom]

Thanks!

[@bogdanc2309]

Amazing content

[@HR-nf6cx]

Thanks for this excellent video!

[@FinancialWisdom]

Glad you enjoyed it!🙏

[@pamrosen1506]

Your videos are super interesting, and fun to watch.

[@FinancialWisdom]

I appreciate that!

[@maxnewman6855]

Great channel!

[@FinancialWisdom]

Glad you enjoy it!

[@davidedraghetti1157]

Great work many thanks

[@FinancialWisdom]

Thank you too!

[@wilmaestaura6871]

Great presentation! Thanks

[@FinancialWisdom]

Glad you enjoyed it!👍

[@fantomghost6213]

Great video, thanks

[@FinancialWisdom]

Very welcome

[@Kshatriya006]

Just an amazing video !

[@FinancialWisdom]

Glad you think so!

[@joeygunzilla6878]

Thank you!

[@FinancialWisdom]

You're welcome!

[@YasharFrank]

Thanks!

[@FinancialWisdom]

Welcome!

[@zsolt-stockinvestingvideos4398]

First time I see one of your videos. Great content.

[@FinancialWisdom]

Awesome, thank you!

[@tictoc5443]

Excellent presentation thanks

[@FinancialWisdom]

You are welcome!

[@Flying_Family]

Thanks for the amazing content

[@FinancialWisdom]

My pleasure!

[@zahir2k]

Great analysis, cheers

[@FinancialWisdom]

Much appreciated!

[@nigeljamalbrink]

Love the videos, such clean and to the point information. What's the easiest way to find these trades though? Prior to the Ma's crossing lines? Take you need to put it in a scanner but have no idea what to enter

[@ehtashamamir7041]

excellent. i use 10 and 20 EMA frequently

[@Nika-Dubai]

Thank You

[@FinancialWisdom]

Thank you!

[@pallavagt]

One of the best contents on trading. Thanks a lot for the contents.

[@FinancialWisdom]

Glad you think so!🙏👍

[@umutalper9822]

Thank you very much.....

[@FinancialWisdom]

You are most welcome again Umut🙏

[@yahmef1990]

Very niceeee analysis 👌

[@laocooncapital5238]

my mind is blown that this is actrually effective....the more you learn the less you know

[@njjjjjjjjhhhs]

Amazing description

[@FinancialWisdom]

Glad you think so!

[@errolsaldanha2070]

Loved it

[@FinancialWisdom]

Thank you

[@MichaelHandymanMaker]

Excellent review sir.

[@FinancialWisdom]

Thank you kindly!

[@harshitabundel5051]

Excellent work

[@FinancialWisdom]

Many thanks

[@escal738]

Insightful

[@josher3436]

Quality stuff. Thanks

[@FinancialWisdom]

Much appreciated!

[@AlessandroBottoni]

Yet another excellent video that every investor should watch. Thanks.

[@FinancialWisdom]

Much appreciated!

[@kumarmalhotra8017]

It's really good....in very short you summaries soo much 👍

[@FinancialWisdom]

Thank you so much 😀

[@dcreech500]

You have the best videos. Your reviews seem better than the books you are covering and they are great books. Love it!

[@FinancialWisdom]

Wow, thank you Danny!🙏👍

[@bhartiporwal91]

great video sir

[@FinancialWisdom]

So nice of you

[@azzadmokhri5663]

Congratulation sir...nice video and very informative...keep it up...

[@FinancialWisdom]

So nice of you, i'll try..

[@AUstinnesc]

Given the current economic difficulties that the country is experiencing in 2023, how can we enhance our earnings during this period of adjustment? I cannot let my $680k savings vanish after putting in so much effort to accumulate them.

[@McElvinn]

Well the bigger the risk, the bigger the reward and such impeccable decisions are better guided by professionals

[@sheltonPston]

Yes true, I have been in touch with a financial advisor. With an initial starting reserve of $80k, my advisor chooses the entry and exit commands for my portfolio, which has grown to approximately $550k.

[@AUstinnesc]

I’ve been looking to switch to an advisor for a while now. Any help pointing me to who your advisor is?

[@sheltonPston]

My consultant is Nicole Desiree Simon She has since provide entry and exit points on the securities I focus on. You can look her up online if you care for supervision.

[@AUstinnesc]

I just checked her up online, and I must admit that she has an extremely outstanding experience in investment. Thanks for sharing. I'm going to send her an email right away

[@Amitkumar-gh7wc]

Your content is very helpful and informative. I learned every time more and more by watching your channel, Keep uploading, please

[@FinancialWisdom]

Good to know thanks

[@saenzperspectives]

Great videos.

[@FinancialWisdom]

Glad you like them!

[@crashtheimf]

love videos with statistical metrics

[@FinancialWisdom]

Thanks Tim, yes i do try, it makes them more informative i think...👍

[@automatedcryptoapp4573]

Another great video.

[@FinancialWisdom]

Glad you enjoyed it

[@dependra7]

You are simply awesome! This is the the best financial education channel out there, period

[@FinancialWisdom]

Wow, thank you!

[@TheKiyoshi04]

I wasn't sure which one to use, now this has convinced me.

[@FinancialWisdom]

Good to hear👍

[@tom-eliasknosp5267]

this was actually amazing.

[@FinancialWisdom]

Thanks Tom!

[@freddurst4420]

[regarding the 200D sma] Not sure if initial capital and the exact last day of month matter, but I tested w/ 10K i.c. and every 30 trading days as my time gap; did not even get close to what you are saying. return was %84 w/ max draw down of 9.6%, buy and hold was 164% return. If this tells me anything, either the last day of the calendar month has some significance or shifting the days has a dramatic affect on this strategy. It's hard to believe the former.

[@Ramschat]

I just today backtested it in Python and I also found that it significantly underperforms buy and hold. Over the period 3-1-1928 until 22-12-2023, buy and hold: 267.7 times initial investment, 200-day MA strategy: 188 times initial investment. The gap is too large to be attributed to the randomnes of 'what day of the month you make the decision each month'. A robust strategy wouldn't be dependant on such an arbitrary decision. I also tested it for the NASDAQ, with disappointing results again.

[@J-D248]

@@Ramschat I found the same results.. The drawdown is reduced, but it does not out perform.

[@tom-eliasknosp5267]

I will backtest a strategy, that rotates into utilities, when SP500 is below 200DMA and rotates into 2xlev SP500 if it is above 200DMA. Also working with the monthly closes, but I might try out weekly closes as well. I think to beat the markets, it is better to act and react more slowly, cant beat the algos on speed anyway.

[@FinancialWisdom]

Thanks Tom. Sounds a solid plan

[@spiritualpeace5668]

Keep on making great videos man

[@FinancialWisdom]

Thanks, i'll try...🙏

[@takugi6648]

Great channel great video

[@FinancialWisdom]

Thank you!🙏

[@user-tz6px9lq9f]

Great videos. Probably asked before, but what would happen to the returns if you short SPY at the cash crossover? I would love to see a video on that comparing these strategies. If you want to ignore dividends, i suppose the spx would be just as effective as a proxy. Furthermore, for a buy/short approach it would be best for an investor to avoid negative dividends and just focus on the asset value.

[@raj4achiever]

Nice information

[@FinancialWisdom]

Thanks Raj

[@normchartier]

Thanks for the educational video. I thought that the most interesting part was the illustration of how much of a drawdown the various death cross scenarios would have caused. I would have liked to have seen you illustrate how much of the recovery the various golden cross points would have missed as well.

[@FinancialWisdom]

Fair point, yes there is usually a compromise...

[@curtkusel6278]

Great perspective on the handling of different ma's. However, can you discuss how these or others can be used to swing trade, holding for a few days to weeks?

[@jamescastle-mason8063]

This is such good content I'm in awe..I had massive losses in 2020 this looks beautifully simple to understand.

[@FinancialWisdom]

Thanks 🙏

[@vinaydev22]

Great content. Thanks. I have a questions, which Time Frame we should plot these MAs?

[@janallengo6350]

Amazing video

[@FinancialWisdom]

Thanks for the visit

[@mastikipathshala5015]

Great content Respect from India... 👏👏👏 Your videos are awesome. Really helping me ... Thanks for such a wonderful work.

[@FinancialWisdom]

My pleasure!

[@auliazhraaa9]

thanks for sharing, I'm a beginner who joined the nfc community.

[@bharath8721]

Nice video!.....Thank you!....It effectively works on index only....If we apply it on individual stocks and waiting of one month to confirm 200MA then the drawdown will be more I think!!!

[@FinancialWisdom]

Yes, correct

[@DanielFlores-no9wc]

Thanks

[@FinancialWisdom]

No problem

[@mer6438]

the best video about MVA ever.. God bless you

[@FinancialWisdom]

Thank you!🙏

[@paulsietereales9412]

From philippines here. Amazing channel!

[@FinancialWisdom]

Thanks! 😃

[@CaptBeefCake]

thanks

[@FinancialWisdom]

Welcome

[@notbusy5006]

Man! I can’t thank you enough for this videos, you’re really enlightening us.

[@FinancialWisdom]

Glad to hear it!🙏👍

[@successhighway]

Superb. I have been trading for more than a decade. Read everything under the sun. Your videos are too too good. 👍

[@FinancialWisdom]

Great 👍Thanks Successhighway🙏

[@momergil]

The problem with such strategies of "doing swing/position trade instead of B&H" is taxes. Normally B&H is used for investments when the person will be putting a large amount of money, each month a little bigger, hoping for it to increase over time and pay for a better future. Once you do trading instead, selling what you previously bought, you start to have losses of your total amount which may as well destroy any advantage the strategy was giving you over B&H. So my suggestion is this: if you're gonna try to beat B&H, use some alternative strategy that doesn't involve selling, only buying. And here is the good news: there are strategies like this that beat B&H :)

[@FinancialWisdom]

You need to factor selling into a strategy, holding losing positions can be very detrimental

[@Jerry327565]

Great video, but why were the buy and hold results different for each test? Since it’s the same comparative strategy for each test, I would expect the buy and hold returns to be the same each time.

[@FinancialWisdom]

Because it would be unfair if the had different starting points, i,e buy and hold could only be measured from the first entry point of the Moving Average being measured

[@sudarshanrwankhede]

Your videos make books explained more easy to understand .

[@FinancialWisdom]

great thanks...

[@gabraham1328]

Your content is excellent, keep going! Would rather listen to you than read! Love your videos :)

[@FinancialWisdom]

Thanks, means a lot!🙏

[@joeygarza9550]

Wow, I wasn't sure Holly & Steve were widely known! I found most of their Stolly Media output informative, especially their classic 'Moving Averages 101'

[@FinancialWisdom]

Glad you enjoyed it!

[@Laithspam]

Only problem I have with this analysis is the years used to back test which was an extremely bullish period with easy monetary policy which we will likely not see again for awhile

[@animation4826]

This video is an absolute gift, thank you

[@FinancialWisdom]

Thanks Art🙏

[@parichitsharma3298]

most valuable bro

[@FinancialWisdom]

Thanks Parichit👍

[@zailsinh]

I think the only reason the drawdown of the 200ma was less than other strategies and in range of the 250ma during the pandemic because the fall was very swift and coincidentally must have happened during end of Feb.. Because during a swift fall if we wait for end of month to react... It would be too late

[@FinancialWisdom]

Well spotted Zailsinh, my observation also...👍

[@zailsinh]

Thanks a lot for the video... I take trades in fundamentally strong stocks... Ones with good profitability, RoCE and RoE and then combine it with technicals like moving average cross overs especially 20ema crossing 200ema... And the journey till now has been quite rewarding..could instantly relate to your video... Can back it with practical experience 👍👍👍

[@FinancialWisdom]

@@zailsinh Great stuff... Your method of combining technical and fundamentals is a great philosophy...

[@thelivinglazer]

Has anyone backtested Steve Burns 200MA strategy and gotten the same results? I tested this on a community script in TradingView and then on my own manually using Yahoo price data and the 200MA strategy was roughly the same as buy and hold. It did not come close to 300%… anyone else try this on their own?

[@Fzp450]

I did the DMA 250 backtest from 1994 to 2022 and couldn't replicate the same results he showed in the book. I also got something similar to 300% but the buy and hold was 900%. I think he either cherry picked the trades because there are streaking losses when the price cross above and below quickly or he didn't correctly backtest the strategy.