What would YOU do on the river with T♦ 9♦? Your Stack (UTG): $438,000 Their Stack (BB): $322,000 Pot: $104,000 Board: Q♣ 8♣ 7♥ 3♦ J♥ A) Bet $34,000 B) Bet $52,000 C) Bet $104,000 D) Bet $322,000 (all-in)
@robert23752 жыл бұрын
when u say Alan Keating's master class... you are saying it's him teaching... your video title is lying and that's not great for viewers... I wish u would be honest.. u lost a subscriber
@nat2r2 жыл бұрын
D, because if I get called it makes up for all the times I didn't, and I don't think betting the size of the pot makes us more money in the long run
@nat2r2 жыл бұрын
@@robert2375 that's not what he is saying.
@robert23752 жыл бұрын
@@nat2r well, nate, that's what the English language is saying...
@YTSparty2 жыл бұрын
Alan got lucky. I'd be thinking bet 1/2 pot to get a call if he has Qs or even 8s and maybe induce a raise if he has 2 pair. All-in could potentially scare off 1 pair. Then again all-in smells like a busted draw as well. I would have to know my opponent and how they would react. If Alan has the reputation of big bluffs, Alan should go all in.
@gametheoryimpossible2 жыл бұрын
I have to stop watching Hustler because I try these plays out at .01/.02 and they don’t work the same 😂
@nomilknosugar49002 жыл бұрын
We should use three sizings on this river: a small size (33%) an ordinary size (80%) and a whopping size (all in). Our hand should mostly bet all-in and occasionally small (to balance and protect our bet small range). Exploitatively, hero can easily find enough bluffs and we have a loose image AND our opponent has loads of clear bluff catchers, so we should jam. Against a weaker opponent (who doesn't understand polarisation) a 60-80% pot bet should be used.
@SacramentoKingpin2 жыл бұрын
Keating’s image is priceless, would love for others at the table to view me the same way they view him… they never give him credit!
@guillermoalvarez94002 жыл бұрын
You have to advertise yourself as a donkey, and it can get very expensive. He looked like one against KZbin amateur players a while back, you would’ve though he was the biggest whale out there
@SacramentoKingpin2 жыл бұрын
@@guillermoalvarez9400 ya i saw that game. He was jus jokin around i feel.
@connortidwell41472 жыл бұрын
4d chess - punt off 7 figures on stream because you know youll make it back based on your new image.
@andersonfuller2 жыл бұрын
@@jonathansykes4986 I was gonna say - he pays a ton of money, probably loses it (on stream at least) to maintain that image, so it’s a net negative play
@andersonfuller2 жыл бұрын
@@jonathansykes4986 I keep hearing how rich he is from hedge funds but have never seen proof
@jamesgriffin67972 жыл бұрын
Jr is class, the way he took it.
@jarirepo11722 жыл бұрын
My thoughts exactly! Took it so smoothly that it was remarkable.
@intrepidus33782 жыл бұрын
Assuming I am playing this game, and properly bankrolled for it, I'd call against Keating and probably not take as long as J.R. took. You just have to pay him off here. He'd be doing the exact same thing with pretty much his entire range including value hands like over pairs. I really love playing in games with players like Keating. They open up the game for everyone. Even hands they're not playing, you know that the other players are wider just because he's there.
@NicholasStein2 жыл бұрын
I was watching this amazing game live. I loved that JRB slept through the hand. You did not say that Keating was also down over $1 million on the night. He has wrecked several times during the game and has a vpip over 50%. He has to go all in. I would too in his place. He is the only player at the table that could get called.
@BradKraft20112 жыл бұрын
It was the correct move. Ripping isn’t always it, but some hands it’s how you get substantially more value from a situation you’re not always going to be in, and rarely are
@eliezerzagorin81272 жыл бұрын
What are you. talking about? He lost less than 100k
@NicholasStein2 жыл бұрын
@@eliezerzagorin8127 Take a look at the Cumulative winnings at 6:52. kzbin.info/www/bejne/Z3eli6uDrMZobpY At that time Keating was down 713k. He had borrowed $600k from JRB. It was an all-time comeback.
@stephentaylor66172 жыл бұрын
D All in. With Alan’s image, you are likely to get a call with any made hand. Alan would play this hand the same way with 6 2 off suit.
@SerErryk2 жыл бұрын
I don't think I've ever made a 3x pot jam in my life (except when the nuts is on the board, and I'm hoping the opponent doesn't notice and folds).
@micarobles32482 жыл бұрын
Tks for the lesson,excited,getting your book today.
@G0DofRock2 жыл бұрын
Good riverbet. I think he's saying he was cbetting JJ then rivered trips, but it's clearly the nut straight. Two pair can't beat sets or better so should be an easy fold.
@kineahora87362 жыл бұрын
Pot is 104k, the idea is to take this line with all your bluffs, so you want to polarize turn and river betting. I think the river bet can be very large like 2x pot. The thing is when you are bluffing you want to apply max pressure, and are you really ever going to want to put in say 210k and leave 100k behind? Not really. It’s just a jam. JAM. P.s. I had a spot almost exactly like this: I raised J8s on the button and my LHO in the SB called with a limper and it came Q85. I checked back the flop. Turn 3. Villain led small I called. River J, giving me JRs exact hand Jacks & 8s. Board is Q85 3 J. No flushes. Now my villain led $900 into the $160 pot! 5.3x! I tanked and folded. I knew he had bluffs but it was over 5x pot and I felt he had a ton of T9 in his range (like all 16), QJ, sets particularly 55… So I folded and he actually showed me…… KK!!!
@yoyert65262 жыл бұрын
Villain applied maximum pressure on you 😁😁
@kineahora87362 жыл бұрын
@@yoyert6526 yup-which is generally a bad move with KK-most of the time inferior hands will fold and you will be called by Top two+ He was very lucky.
@yoyert65262 жыл бұрын
@@kineahora8736 we both know poker is a game where bad plays can and will get rewarded ;)
@kineahora87362 жыл бұрын
@@yoyert6526 fo’ sho’. He actually tanked before his bet and while he was deciding on his action, I was already expecting he was going to bluff and was trying to figure out what size bet I would call and what size bet I would RAISE, and then I heard him say “Nine”. And I was like 9-what? And then I saw 9 black chips! Yikes! He was shocked when I told him I had folded a better hand… he said he was trying to get max value from AQ🤦🏻♂️
@alextodd54872 жыл бұрын
what wristwatch is keating wearing? its very nice.
@PokerCoaching2 жыл бұрын
I don't know, but I bet it is very nice!
@losyart2 жыл бұрын
I would have bet pot but i dont have image of Keating . He played it great on river getting max value
@Jackson-kv4gh2 жыл бұрын
Can we talk about JRB sitting like that the entire hand 😂
@raider1k2 жыл бұрын
It was like 13 hours into the game
@EasyMoney7472 жыл бұрын
wino
@riveradam2 жыл бұрын
Very serious video, very solid analysis, very professional presentation... 12:40 "and he scoopaloops the money". This is what having children can do to a person. Big ups, Mr. Little. Thank you ;)
@FefeLeVrai2 жыл бұрын
Big river bet. Anything from pot to all-in.
@kesetokaiba2 жыл бұрын
Casino Royale vibes anyone? It is the peak lapels coat that makes me think this, but I will say it does look sharp ;)
@johnnytwotimes78542 жыл бұрын
150k with my image, all in with Alan's image lol
@well.thy.one.2 жыл бұрын
Such a great hand
@yoyert65262 жыл бұрын
Idk if I’d go all in like Alan did, but I would for sure go at leastttttt pot. Most likely over, considering 100k pot
@aryanchugh2902 жыл бұрын
All in on the river
@jppagetoo2 жыл бұрын
I would think a value bet that could be called by a marginal made hand would be the size I would take. I also think an large overbet has merit to make it look like a missed draw bluff, but you risk folding out a lot of JR range. I personally would bet 35k or so to give pot odds to about anything to call.
@jppagetoo2 жыл бұрын
I don't have Alans table image. Alan has the image needed and JR got there with a strong hand himself. Would JR have called this with just a pair of Jacks? That's the hand I wanted to get value from. This was a perfect storm for JR, lost the max.
@kristianstenerson26082 жыл бұрын
If I am displaying aggro vibes like Alan, then I am maybe putting in a 2x pot bet lol. If i havent been able to make anything work and my table image is kind of low then I might just do 80% or 120%
@bobybull2 жыл бұрын
Has the Dealer-guy moved from Bike to Hustler recently?
@PriKave2 жыл бұрын
very nice hand , i just wonder what would happend if he miss, probbably going to push it anyway and got fold but in this case are you not concerned that Q probbably not gonna fold?:D
@theNfl_Esq2 жыл бұрын
That was a sweet J on the river, depending on your pov lol
@brendanmoriarty77562 жыл бұрын
Jean-Robert Bellande looked like he knew the pain was coming from preflop.
@stuartbromley35132 жыл бұрын
So he quickly drank a bottle of red wine?
@pontus31422 жыл бұрын
I'd bet C) - $104k. Well, really, I'd bet ~$125k, but that's not an option. I want to say all-in, but I never ever bluff like that on the river, so I don't have the option - any minimally observant player will see my bet sizing as a clear tell and fold. Moral - I should be willing to make bigger bluffs on the river, to allow me to extract more value when I do have it.
@denniss4202 жыл бұрын
JRB just sleeping as 300k+ is getting shipped past him lol
@The_Afghan2 жыл бұрын
I think allin is the best option. His image would pay hem off.
@Alexandertygreat Жыл бұрын
Alan is one of the players on the planet who could bet any amount and get called. But 150% would be standard? So 200% could be reasonable as well. The jam seems crazy. But this is what happens when the maniac runs well
@dl62622 жыл бұрын
3x pot is a very big bet homie
@soldaat0012 жыл бұрын
Solide pot 😃
@Solwa542 жыл бұрын
I'd bet 125%-150% Pot there.
@sarahdeshay13942 жыл бұрын
If the river is a blank does Allan shove and get a fold? Wonder how the hand would have played out with a blank, obviously he hit the best out he could have.
@jamesgriffin67972 жыл бұрын
110k
@randyperez29892 жыл бұрын
$200,000
@jefferyford12422 жыл бұрын
I would bet 1/4 pot to look weak big bet would scare off customer. Wouldn't get full value.
@matth51582 жыл бұрын
Lets go Alan! lol
@lunchbox65762 жыл бұрын
I play micro stakes, we use 30 percent pot on the river to induce a call .
@JPduprat2 жыл бұрын
@@dylanhom58 Can you explain How the math on this Works? Why 9x, not 3.3X?
@Alexandertygreat Жыл бұрын
The only mistake JR made in this hand, was playing it at all, especially oop.
@troyhbk2 жыл бұрын
Im not huge with blockers in no limit but doesn't JR have one of the worst cards in his hand that block a shitload of Alan's bluff's? I can't think of a worse card to have in your hand on this board quite frankly. Can someone smarter and better at cards explain if Im correct here? Or this just a situation where Alan can have any 2 and 2 pair is too strong to fold? As someone whos lost 100k in last 6 months on 6 card plo on some silly union, blockers are huge there, not so sure how important they are in holdem but if they are isn't holding the jack of clubs really bad for JR here?
@chevy117862 жыл бұрын
You a correct. Removes a lot of his good flush draws and some offsuit straight combos which means he is weighted more heavily to value. JR should not be calling OOP with that hand I don’t care how wide Keating opens in position. Keating plays for stacks and against those kinds of players you need to play hands that flop really well and can improve on later streets. I know Keating can show up with nothing a lot but if the river blanks and keating jams it’s a fold all day considering you hold J of clubs.
@dilsadmeraler2 жыл бұрын
I would bet pot size
@johnnyblaze80302 жыл бұрын
All In
@gregdati16822 жыл бұрын
50,000
@fmcdomer2 жыл бұрын
betting the pot on turn makes you think he hit the flop and turn, so he shouldn't have the nuts on the river
@bradhoward2 жыл бұрын
75k
@JacobGluck2 жыл бұрын
while its true that keating will raise, and c-bet with garbage, I noticed that he only bets turn when he has something (at least a strong draw). And he mostly (or always) gives up on the river if he misses. The fact that keating moved all in so quickly here without hesitation is a tell of a very strong hand. It's not a bluff. If I were JR would I call? Probably, but that's why I'm not a pro poker player. I think a player the caliber of Garret would have folded there.
@adelaherling92622 жыл бұрын
Third pot
@loose4bet2 жыл бұрын
Keeting has successfully built this image of reckless, sloppy millionaire. Now he's capitalizing on that.
@keithkelso98722 жыл бұрын
He still lost money
@jpscott71742 жыл бұрын
All of it
@vincentsperrazza59262 жыл бұрын
80k
@jasonreyce82152 жыл бұрын
112,000
@TheBlueDude712 жыл бұрын
I think I would bet (B) $52,000.00.
@deviongants37242 жыл бұрын
155K
@cedhabs20 Жыл бұрын
104 K, pot bet size, want to get call and the other seems to have a marginal made hand
@wolverinex42432 жыл бұрын
Not this complicated. JR was dead from the beginning. The river should deter JR.
@pokerstiff2 жыл бұрын
I'd Bet 200K to ALL IN
@bbbulldog612 жыл бұрын
How much money 🤑💰 should someone have in the bank 🏦🏧 to play this level?
@johhnydeep49612 жыл бұрын
Minimum of 10 Million
@bbbulldog612 жыл бұрын
@@johhnydeep4961 Sounds right 👍
@Ballen815872 жыл бұрын
Just lost more than the value of my 5 bedroom house
@eazy.peezy18342 жыл бұрын
Over bet 200+
@markgothard71582 жыл бұрын
65000
@chickenchauffeur37912 жыл бұрын
how is this masterclass, when he does this no matter what hand it is and no matter what he has...they're called rich FISH
@sethley23352 жыл бұрын
140k
@twistacatz2 жыл бұрын
I would bet half pot, 52k.
@designdeepdotcom2 жыл бұрын
150k
@jasonreyce82152 жыл бұрын
He snap calls 112,000
@mmarasta93232 жыл бұрын
80 k ..
@chrisrodriguez83232 жыл бұрын
1 1/2 overbet
@easstttt2 жыл бұрын
150k or all in
@turtledave77 Жыл бұрын
How about just never make huge river overbets with bluffs or good hands?
@BradKraft20112 жыл бұрын
JR is easily the best player there. He’s almost always good here. Alan also runs horrible and plays the most hands without connecting. The day Alan sun runs he will break the whole table.