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@jchong4169 ай бұрын
Tchey is criminally undervalued. Best of breed Chinese stock
@MooreMoney9 ай бұрын
My thoughts exactly
@JY881689 ай бұрын
And correction on your part: Joe tsai has emphasized on capital allocation and ROIC during his last earnings call. He mentioned divesting from noncore biz units to improve ROIC. so I’d say that this is a top priority for baba mgmt team now too
@MooreMoney9 ай бұрын
Thank you so much for that, I always learn from you! Keep it coming!
@composedcapital28419 ай бұрын
The BRK earnings per share differ from year to year, because it has to calculate the change in value of the equity portfolio also - this makes earnings very volatile. Prefer to look at cash flow!
@MooreMoney9 ай бұрын
You're right, I wonder what the forecasted FCFPS + excess capital winds up to be.
@fundrisefanfam9 ай бұрын
I can quickly look this up on Qualtrim.
@fxsti9 ай бұрын
I have been holding back on anything in China until there are real signals of a return to growth.
@michaelday88389 ай бұрын
Stock valuations will already be 200-300% higher when you see those signs.
@evo200i9 ай бұрын
@@michaelday8838and even then it will be undervalued, no need to rush IMO
@MooreMoney9 ай бұрын
Stocks do tend to run quickly on signals of a return to growth.
@vicgill19809 ай бұрын
Totally loved this. I think video # 334 on BABA can wait
@MooreMoney9 ай бұрын
Hahaha
@fundrisefanfam9 ай бұрын
Dude, quit that noise. I need his $BABA brainpower.
@fundrisefanfam9 ай бұрын
@@MooreMoney I down voted because there's no ha in your Hahaha
@valueinvesting60599 ай бұрын
Refined my investments in China and see the small cap value more compelling. For instance, Baozun owns Gap China, 51% of Hunter shoe brand, and most recently looking to aquire 51% of Location which is a partner of Douyin. The company bought Gap China when it was in distress and cheap. Now it has positive cash flow with 56% gross margin. As China's economy improves so will their e-commerce service revenue which has contracted but is was a leader in 2019 for market share in this segment which gives them insights through their data as to which premium brands are best to aquire. This company is under appreciated and announced a 20 million share buyback. Momo is now my largest holding followed by Baozun. Reconstructing my portfolio after all the stimulus measures made in China and money inflows according to bank of America recorded 2nd largest ever into Chinese equities.
@MooreMoney9 ай бұрын
Very interesting, I should update my MOMO model.
@valueinvesting60599 ай бұрын
But, I think China Yuchai is better after analyzing more companies because it has a recent tailwind that is more material I believe. It's in an heavy duty autoparts manufacturer. More specifically they focus on a variety of engines from hydrogen, natural gas, hybrid, and diesel if I'm not mistaken. Sales for China's heavy duty trucks has been strong since august of last year with december and january of this year experiencing and incredible surge in sales. December increased 30% and January now 64%. Shah has a 10% stake in this business and has had some phenomenel success with businesses about to experience a turnaround. Heavy duty truck sales has a 5-6 year business cycles and at the end of each cycle the trucks need to be replaced for various industries such as agriculture, construction, mining, oil and gas just to name a few. So, I could be wrong but data suggest we're at the beginning of on up cycle. So this will be my last big change to my portfolio and have decided to go all in with this equity. Nuts you might think? Probably, but their tangible book value shows a large margin of safety with just the cash alone not to mention everything else. Forgot to mention they also do have some property for hospitality if I'm not mistaken but this doesn't account for the bulk of their revenues. So in effect this is a net net that is profitable in the cyclical industry that is experiencing large growth at a dirty cheap valuation. Lastly, the float is small and the company has a history of of dividends and its corporate office is in Singapore so the jurisdiction isn't as volatile as China but lots of their business is conducted in China so they'll be beneficiaries of large stimulus in China but will have more pro business policies at home. On a technical basis the chart looks strong and goes up on very small volume because I believe lots of the stock has now been accumalated. Again, I could be wrong but these facts don't lie. This will be my last adjustment to my portfolio before there earnings which I believe is the 22nd of this month. Was amazed with how Yum China popped after earnings. @@MooreMoney
@ming-weihe79769 ай бұрын
For Chinese stocks, due to geopolitical risk and west media bios, P/E ratio 20 is fairly priced. They will never reach American stock peers' valuation. For example; Alibaba P/E is around 10; AMZN P/E is 83
@MooreMoney9 ай бұрын
Yea I dont think they will
@maxjames000779 ай бұрын
They literally had these valuations a couple years ago. Also, some stocks still have pretty crazy valuations, like PDD. The geopolitical risks aren't that high, it's extremely overrated by the media.
@thomaschamper21209 ай бұрын
Would have loved to hear you speak on BTI. Love that stock. I have it at at least 50% upside. While no immediate positive catalysts, the stock pays a 8% dividend.
@MooreMoney9 ай бұрын
Yea I'd like to cover it as well and compare it against it's competitors
@shortclimberbeta9 ай бұрын
Based on a DCF model, operating margin at 0.395, triple revenue in year 10, Tencent still looks over valued at current price on 1/30/2024
@evo200i9 ай бұрын
Just wondering PYPL not on the list
@MooreMoney9 ай бұрын
I wonder if they have an issue with the enduring competitiveness of the business.
@mikem79769 ай бұрын
Didn't Berkshire slow down the stock buybacks recently? That is usually a decent tell on whether that stock is undervalued.
@MooreMoney9 ай бұрын
That is a good indicator
@DudeEsq8 ай бұрын
BRK.B is not a buy at these levels, although it’s one of the best businesses in the world. Took the BABA ride down with you over the last three years. Decided to sell after concluding the government approach and business climate are more similar to Russia than the U.S. or EU. Competition is also unrelenting and will continue to take market share. Good luck, everyone.
@MooreMoney8 ай бұрын
Good luck to you too!
@Vikram-wd4sz9 ай бұрын
2024 is the year of BABA
@MooreMoney9 ай бұрын
Let's hope!
@EF-rj5gp9 ай бұрын
how about Ping An Insurance?
@MooreMoney9 ай бұрын
Is that a Chinese insurer?
@TheScaryGermanGuy9 ай бұрын
11:28 good point 👍
@MooreMoney9 ай бұрын
Thank you!
@weiyongl9 ай бұрын
thanks for this. loaded up on tencent and alibaba last week. JD is questionable though as a recommendation.
@MooreMoney9 ай бұрын
Most welcome!
@fundrisefanfam9 ай бұрын
Excellent video. I swear to the one true Canadian God that I'll sign up for your program. You're too good not to. All Praise Trudeau, hallowed be his name.
@MooreMoney9 ай бұрын
The only Canadian God that I recognize is the House Hippo! (I really hope you get that one haha 😄). Also thank you for considering the Patreon!
@fundrisefanfam9 ай бұрын
@@MooreMoney bro, I love Canadians, I ain't Canadian. No clue about your hip, hipop, hipop anonymous.
@meysamesfahaniofficialmeys5579 ай бұрын
Thank you
@MooreMoney9 ай бұрын
You're welcome
@WinningFinancially9 ай бұрын
Chinese stock really have a low valuation for such a long time already. AJD is probably my favorite.
@JY881689 ай бұрын
Tencent is less affected by Chinese government than people think bc 20% of their gaming revenue comes from china; not as big as people think
@MooreMoney9 ай бұрын
Oh interesting!
@maxjames000779 ай бұрын
20% of their revenue you mean. and 66% from their gaming revenue.
@JY881689 ай бұрын
@@maxjames00077 20% of their gaming revenue not total revenue. Big difference
@maxjames000779 ай бұрын
@@JY88168 no, 20% of all. Show me numbers
@maxjames000779 ай бұрын
@@JY88168 their entire revenue was 150bn cny in q3. 30bn was from domestic games. Which means 20% from entire revenue
@foodguy34359 ай бұрын
Cool!
@MooreMoney9 ай бұрын
Thank you!
@foodguy34359 ай бұрын
@@MooreMoney No problem, keep up the great content!
@digil8429 ай бұрын
JD's net cash can buy back 80% of their shares basically. I don't see why they are not doing that.
@MooreMoney9 ай бұрын
I wonder what they say about that on their next call.
@maxjames000779 ай бұрын
Probably because without the cash they would go bankrupt. They need to make investments to grow or even keep marketshare.