Bestie-Nation, this content has been tremendous! Thank you for all you do, appreciate you. Cheers!
@doctordilanka2 жыл бұрын
Amen! 🔥
@checkthapain2 жыл бұрын
Great presentation and looking forward to the book when its finished! As someone who dabbles in all the things mentioned here (recreationally) I love the analysis of the mind of people who do this type of stuff for a living.
@eea11192 жыл бұрын
All-In is probably the best thing to come out of the last 24 months
@BamaNick2 жыл бұрын
Anyone who is hating in the comments obviously has never played poker professionally.. he gets this topic 100% correct here! He’s not talking about your average Joe who loses his life savings on roulette. He’s talking about professional players who are contrarian to the average Joe. Meaning it’s rare that people actually think like this, but when they do they are often successful.
@andrewliffey2 жыл бұрын
BEST ONE SO FAR. More math, gambling and crypto please. Thanks guys, we love you.
@sirus3122 жыл бұрын
exactly. We are all just gamblers.
@imperator_odin2 жыл бұрын
No please 🙏
@triton626742 жыл бұрын
Yes math pls 🙏🙏🙏
@jimpayne95452 жыл бұрын
I'm loving these extra episodes!
@georgeb86372 жыл бұрын
3:07 - Think probabilistically 8:44 - Take shots 10:36 - information available at time of decision
@RichardBrubaker2 жыл бұрын
F*king fascinating, and ties in well with Tim Urban's insights about discourse as well
@prat-man2 жыл бұрын
We are waiting for parma lucky
@lprevail332 жыл бұрын
Successful people realize they must constantly re-assess and re-align themselves. This is not once in a blue moon but a constant re-evaluation of one’s performance. That was amazing. So when we fall, it’s all good. Assess, re-align and move forward, again.
@niels81952 жыл бұрын
The way to win and keep winning
@zxsw852 жыл бұрын
It's cute they let him win to bait him into speaking at the conference lol
@therword61042 жыл бұрын
exactly what i was thinking. quite the fragility on display.
@Sojourner882 жыл бұрын
He gets a free platform to promote his book, everybody wins
@allenhall79162 жыл бұрын
Besties need to follow Chamath’s shoe game.
@heychaz2 жыл бұрын
Yeah, individuality is lame.
@russellmm2 жыл бұрын
Two releases in one day? Think of the withdrawls we are going to go through when this goes back to once a week!
@tonykleib72342 жыл бұрын
You guys are awesome never stop doing this even when you guys are 90 lol the besties live on forever
@nelsonwang27532 жыл бұрын
Favourite talk so far, such a fascinating topic
@jeffreylutz12082 жыл бұрын
This was phenomenal thank you
@cbeebe0072 жыл бұрын
Bayesian psychology is a field. You can actually give people surveys and help them calibrate subjective degrees of belief (definition of subjective Bayesian probabilities).
@SRQRay Жыл бұрын
Interesting seeing Sacks and Friedberg sitting next to each other - like Nitro and Glycerin. Probably not. :) Silver compared Trumps winning chances to an NFL kicker making a 45 yard field goal. I will never forget that.
@SRQRay Жыл бұрын
Its really not fair that we ordinary folks have access to this kind of wisdom.
@DoomShop2242 жыл бұрын
Nate silver would marry HRC if he could
@johnpulawski352 жыл бұрын
so would I
@ametsai5362 жыл бұрын
Quality. Much better than Stanford whatever… 😀
@rchuhk1002 жыл бұрын
Thanks you guys for posting everything 🙏🙏🙏! Love the vids
@CrushlivePoker2 жыл бұрын
Betting on politics is one of the most profitable gambles you can ever make. I used Silver’s models to put down hundreds of thousands of dollars on the last election. Ironically, the best bets I made were vs the idiots that thought Trump would be reelected…this was after the election was already over between mid November up until inauguration day in January.
@ehlava2 жыл бұрын
outstanding.
@missyleger2 жыл бұрын
Very interesting! Thanks for posting this!
@colinknutson4482 жыл бұрын
Another drop, I love it!
@TheJagjr44502 жыл бұрын
I read a book called "THE POKER MBA" great book and many parallels in POKER and BUSINESS.
@ninjalena91692 жыл бұрын
Nate silver predicted Trump had less than a 5% chance of winning the GOP nominee back in 2016….. disappointing Friedberg Giving Nate props for his Trump predictions…. Nate made some of the most inaccurate election predictions of any “media” outlet
@SamAdams732 жыл бұрын
Not a pollster, a manipulator and propegandist
@alexs15402 жыл бұрын
This was largely interesting after all
@awdrifter33942 жыл бұрын
I want to see Nate analyze Saki (the mahjong anime).
@nicoledpaolino90772 жыл бұрын
Great show!
@jimbaker51102 жыл бұрын
No offense but his research presentation part of this discovered nothing new or profound at all about gamblers or poker players.
@jimbaker51102 жыл бұрын
@@deesnyder3878 why would I cry? You sound butt hurt.
@Dpaq132 жыл бұрын
I think it’s meant for investors
@joshjuarez77772 жыл бұрын
A lot of these presenters have an arrogance about their intellect that seems pervasive in the tech/vc space. They often present common sense well understood topics in a disassociative way speaking with inflections and pauses as if saying "good gamblers calculate odds" is somehow profound and enlightening. There is something so pretentiously disgusting about the arrogance that it makes it almost impossible to listen to these presenters dribble off some half beaten solutions to complex problems. For every ounce of interesting thought you get a pound of useless shit.
@CHMichael2 жыл бұрын
Reminds me of ted talk. Really enjoy it when people don't scream at each other.
@blueobject2 жыл бұрын
Another fucking amazing show. How can I work with you guys?
@X11bl2 жыл бұрын
Great episode. Would Friedberg index confirm that?
@cbtownson38202 жыл бұрын
The libs here at all in conference
@asegal46772 жыл бұрын
This was thematically a bit loose.
@user-oq8uc3vk4h2 жыл бұрын
I just realized I’m a tail curve(d?) gambler
@dy2cakc12 жыл бұрын
What is the name of Nate's new book?
@dy2cakc12 жыл бұрын
FIRING ON ALL CYLINDERS or LITHIUM IONS PACKS 🤣🤣🤣
@Pledditor2 жыл бұрын
Nate bronze gets every election so wrong.
@PokerGuy2 жыл бұрын
This video is about you
@awdrifter33942 жыл бұрын
He's Nate Lead by now.
@BTFD06182 жыл бұрын
thanks.. if u ever want to talk to a retail investor.. holla
@nickc38562 жыл бұрын
Nate Silver is a dork lmao
@markdin29882 жыл бұрын
What do you mean
@peterbrown65472 жыл бұрын
This guy has never been a real gambler...he is statiscian
@triton626742 жыл бұрын
You have to be a statistician to be a gambler
@CitySwag692 жыл бұрын
we are not worthy!!!
@jamesshields90792 жыл бұрын
This is the equivalent of people who can't cook only use "hi" on the stove.
@alexs15402 жыл бұрын
Gambling? C'mon. If you bring out lottery ticket payers I'm gonna stop watching lol
@johnwittich4602 жыл бұрын
Worst one ever. Boring lecture at best. Woof.
@anchiit2 жыл бұрын
1st
@allin2 жыл бұрын
first!
@bryan8052 жыл бұрын
I already knew Nate Silver is a biased lefty, but had no idea he talked like a valley girl. This episode was painful to listen to.
@austin87272 жыл бұрын
Long $CLOV
@lukefreeborn49232 жыл бұрын
An advisor once told I and my colleagues at work that the only way never to go broke trading was to buy with a good company,he thus said that Jobs will only pay your bills, business will you make you rich but crypt0 investment and trading makes and keep you wealthy, Mrs. Anita of blessed memory then asked him how known good companies? This question is still lingering in my mind
@oliver8972 жыл бұрын
I agree with your advisor..cryptos are likely to make people rich in the long-run
@rubenpollack75452 жыл бұрын
After my experience of slow emotional torture in 2017 when my portfolio fell by 45% in two weeks after investing funds meant for my daughter's bridal shower, I later devised a strategy,I don't hold minor companies anymore.
@iamasolarfarmer70572 жыл бұрын
@@rubenpollack7545 I was similar with that, when my portfolio was down with my tuition fee then a friend had to refer me to a professional who helps me now
@fayehervig89142 жыл бұрын
@@iamasolarfarmer7057 May I ask who's the pro you work with now? My aunt once recommended a Spanish trader but his charges and terms are quite rude
@iamasolarfarmer70572 жыл бұрын
@@fayehervig8914 I prefer working with Mr.Charles schwab, though I'm not referring. charles is not quite popular and he owns a good investment company.
@vallmak2 жыл бұрын
His presentation was so bad. Learned absolutely nothing new.
@haroldarturo79682 жыл бұрын
It's a good analyst, things are changing and we have to be smart how we follow what happens next. The market is going to change and we might experience a bullish moment soon but to get to the all time high we will have to wait. now is the time to in alt coin growing on the market. I get signals from a reliable source and these youtubers tell you things to ease your mind. I work with Howard and I have never been so happy learning from someone like I have learnt from him. It's simply amazing.
@davidrochester8712 жыл бұрын
great words everything you said is true.
@Leeway44342 жыл бұрын
"Now is the time to in alt coin growing on the market" there will be many more losers than winners, so make sure to do your homework
@LeranWang2 жыл бұрын
These fake bot niggas are getting better and better.