His explanation of why statistics feels arbitrary to mathematicians in the first minute is SO spot on
@fredxu98264 жыл бұрын
it is hard (sometimes impossible )to establish causal relationship purely from a statistical model. Science, especially mathematics and physics, build causal models.
@AT-sd2gh Жыл бұрын
Yes, that was very good. And it was also pretty much the only "useful" thing I got from the whole talk. I think even wise experts need constraints and structure to do and say meaningful things. We all have a tendency to bloviate, apparently even the intelligent ones among us.
@ikennaonyekwelu5459 Жыл бұрын
No wonder, his knowledge of Bayesian stat could be traced to Francis Galton. Advisor tree: Francis Galton advised Karl Pearson, Karl Pearson advised John Wishart, John Wishart advised William Cochran, William Cochrane advised Donald Rubin, Donald Rubin advised Andrew Gelman.
@TheFartoholic Жыл бұрын
What happened at 15:06? Seems like everyone in that room got a sample of his posterior
@swavekbu49593 жыл бұрын
Everything he's talking about are signs of a mature scholar, where he's realizing that the most fundamental issues are not what's "in the box," but what's "outside" of it. He's graduated from statistics to the philosophy of statistics.
@whoopspat116 жыл бұрын
Great video! Thanks for posting!
@chaoxu73606 жыл бұрын
Great video, although I don't understand how come a Foundations of Probability seminar has come to have half of its audience not knowing what sigma/sqrt(n) is.
@asianfrenzy6666 жыл бұрын
Did he fart at 15:06 and then excuse himself?
@alejandrarodriguezsanchez66676 жыл бұрын
i hope not, wow!
@matthewtrevino5255 жыл бұрын
Haha poor guy.
@BabaYaraMUFC5 жыл бұрын
Sounds like it
@donfox10365 жыл бұрын
He doesn’t necessarily show Bayesian method are incoherent but does present a lot of evidence that a talk can be incoherent.