Everything wrong with statistics (and how to fix it)

  Рет қаралды 40,040

Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 33
@rammsteinmaiky1929
@rammsteinmaiky1929 6 жыл бұрын
Excellent talk, what she says at minute 29:35 is key for us, the non-statisticians who use statistics very often. Transformed data: "Reasonable normal in the neighborhood of the mean".
@Misuci
@Misuci 3 жыл бұрын
Kristin Lennox, PhD Data Science Consultant, Managing Scientist at Exponent San Francisco Bay Area 500+ connections > Great presentation ! What a great sense of HUMOUR !
@VaShthestampede2
@VaShthestampede2 9 жыл бұрын
Great talk. Thanks for sharing!
@Sharpodiplomat
@Sharpodiplomat 2 жыл бұрын
"Randomization is pretty much the only thing we have to protect us from unknown unknowns."
@auto_ego
@auto_ego 5 жыл бұрын
51:00 "starps working"? Is that shorthand for a brief stop followed immediately by a start?
@noneya8100
@noneya8100 4 жыл бұрын
Starps indicate the beginning of the End. The Start of the Stoppage.
@lm58142
@lm58142 3 жыл бұрын
27:28 "We know they're very tiny cause we've been using the same drop-hammer for years."
@igordeocosta
@igordeocosta 2 жыл бұрын
Amazing talk! I've learned a lot from it! Thank you!
@EvaSlash
@EvaSlash 9 жыл бұрын
6:00 Why did she say statistics is banned in social psychology?
@EvaSlash
@EvaSlash 9 жыл бұрын
+OpiatedBliss So by that do you mean they are not true statisticians and must abide by the scientific community? I always wondered how much mathematical/statistical training psychologists have in actually understanding the "under the hood" theoretical nature of the methods and techniques they use.
@demr04
@demr04 2 жыл бұрын
Because the abuse of p-values
@namehidden8854
@namehidden8854 3 жыл бұрын
I'd argue the problem lies both in training and in the methods themselves.
@demr04
@demr04 2 жыл бұрын
The problem is always in the assumption. Now with metalog distribution, you don't need to asume anything, but it become difficult to "analize statistically" just a buch of coeffcient from a multilinear regression.
@zaibatsu8582
@zaibatsu8582 2 жыл бұрын
43:21 - Let me introduce you to 2016 and 2020...
@ct8veylm3kzj68
@ct8veylm3kzj68 3 ай бұрын
Thanks. Great.
@pieterverhoeven1642
@pieterverhoeven1642 2 жыл бұрын
“Somethings that happens *a lot* to statistics consultants…” I was dissappointed there was no interjection from the audience.
@alpa1410
@alpa1410 5 жыл бұрын
Thank you so much, your lectures are very interesting
@RichardAlsenz
@RichardAlsenz 3 жыл бұрын
A wonderful observation. If you would like to improve the model let me know, I can show you how Mother Nature does it. And, it is has nothing to do with the same plagued physics used today.
@valuesim
@valuesim 2 жыл бұрын
Great!
@zoozolplexOne
@zoozolplexOne 2 жыл бұрын
interesting !!!
@rkpetry
@rkpetry 9 жыл бұрын
1. Why is the unicorn labeled with a lowercase sigma [σ]? Is sigma [σ] a 'myth'? 2. I asked a friend working toward her actuarials the following: "Suppose in a place there's a 30% chance of rain, and an east wind is blowing so there's a 50% chance of rain, Which is it, 30%, or 50%, (depends on what we agree we know)..." 3. Now, while that may seem 'tricky', let's try a real-world example that LLNL scientists know: In order for a special relative to get up to 10% the speed of light he accelerates one gee for 35 days... but... all during that time the far ends of his simultaneity train are running late so he calculates and sees and they-are creeping closer or further away: the difference being very-nearly proportional to the velocity, there's no such thing as an inertial equivalence principle, and, the zeroeth-plus-second order effect because creeping exponentially adjusts the lateness to the distance, is as big as Einstein's gamma... So, What, is it, that, we agree, we know... now...
@jonasmaugust
@jonasmaugust 9 жыл бұрын
+Raymond K Petry The sigma is famous to non-statisticians as a statistical symbol, so by putting it on a unicorn, it reinforces the point she's making (at around 9:50) that statisticians are rare, like unicorns.
@noneya8100
@noneya8100 4 жыл бұрын
You are beautiful, intelligent, well-spoken, and both interesting and entertaining. If you are straight, I want to marry you. ♥
@nighthawkviper6791
@nighthawkviper6791 5 жыл бұрын
This is fun, I like cave-dwelling troglodytes; I hear they keep the keenest of numbers.
@ahvigier
@ahvigier 4 жыл бұрын
Completely hollow talk
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