Anya Fink and Michael Kofman - Russian Strategy for Escalation Management

Kofman and Fink present the findings of two recent Center for Naval Analyses (CNA) studies on the evolution of Russian strategy for escalation management, or intra-war deterrence, across the conflict spectrum from peacetime to nuclear war. The presentation discusses key deterrence concepts and approaches, their phasing and application, the evolution of military thinking on damage types and levels, the role of nuclear and conventional weapons, and also trace key debates across Ministry of Defense research institutions over the past 30 years.
Michael Kofman serves as director of the Russia Studies Program at CNA and as a fellow at the Kennan Institute, Woodrow Wilson International Center in Washington, DC. His research focuses on Russia and the former Soviet Union and specializes in Russian armed forces, military thought, capabilities, and strategy. Previously, Kofman served as a program manager and subject matter expert at National Defense University, advising senior military and government officials on issues in Russia and Eurasia. He is also a senior editor at War on the Rocks, where he regularly authors articles on strategy, the Russian military, Russian decision-making, and related foreign policy issues.
Anya Fink is a research analyst with CNA's Adversary Analytics team, where she is a member of the Russia Studies Program. Her research focuses on Russian strategy and approaches to deterrence, Russian military thought, and nuclear weapons issues. Prior to joining CNA, Fink served as a fellow in national security and nuclear policy in the U.S. Senate and a postdoc at the RAND Corporation. She was also a program officer at the Stanley Foundation and a research associate in Russia and Eurasia at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies.
This presentation was hosted by CGSR. Learn more about CGSR at cgsr.llnl.gov.
LLNL-VIDEO-811624

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