Biggest lesson i learnt in 2023 in the stock market is that nobody knows what is going to happen next, so practice some humility and low a strategy with a long term edge.
@Soniajohn43 ай бұрын
Nobody knows anything; You need to create your own process, manage risk, and stick to the plan, through thick or thin, While also continuously learning from mistakes and improving.
@Frankloredo-z9p3 ай бұрын
Uncertainty... it took me 5 years to stop trying to predict what bout to happen in market based on charts studying, cause you never know. not having a mentor cost me 5 years of pain I learn to go we’re the market is wanting to go and keep it simple with discipline.
@Graemecrompton11 ай бұрын
As always, the only reliable non-financial advice based commentary available online
@djayjp11 ай бұрын
@@stevo728822 Just sound investment advice. He's not a trader. He is retired so there's that.
@wlockhart11 ай бұрын
@@stevo728822 Maybe he doesn't own one, want one or need one?
@Pensioncraft11 ай бұрын
Glad you think so! @Graemecrompton
@chrisf160011 ай бұрын
Only ? Come off it
@fusemunk11 ай бұрын
The original Money Mark Fund in 1980's - Reserve Fund, was basically a bank account that gave limited chequing and a Debit Card (unusual in the USA) . The concept was that it could take a basic customers money and merge it with others, giving leverage to buy short investments at higher rate than an individual could on their own.
@daveharruk11 ай бұрын
Thanks, and kudos for the way you've approached this subject - having watched other rather alarmist videos on certain other channels about this subject, it is good to have some commentary from someone with a cool head. Rather than a clickbait headline you actually answer the question you posed in a calm and considered way.
@Pensioncraft11 ай бұрын
Glad you enjoyed it! @daveharruk
@MrHotrod7911 ай бұрын
“Consumer has simply not stopped spending” = record personal debt / Credit card debt in US…. Can’t go on forever.
@VirtualDarKness11 ай бұрын
Fair point; is there a website that shows a chart with the amount of personal debt over time?
@josepha931311 ай бұрын
Nice segment Ramin. So, in my US Vanguard Federal Reserve MM acct, monthly interest on 100k is about $550 a month. On 100k in my checking acct, monthly div was 90 cents. Yes, that's cents, not dollars. I'm not quite ready to go back into the stock market quite yet. Have been all out for past 16 months. Waiting on a good dip in the general markets. If there is one, will certainly scale in.
@djayjp11 ай бұрын
The dip was October 2022.... US stocks have rallied 28% since then.
@drhafizm28711 ай бұрын
😂
@mmabagain11 ай бұрын
Currently my Vanguard MM is paying me 5.29%. That is over $2K per month and I'm happy with that. I'll be retiring in April of next year so I am not wanting to take much risk. If the MM payout drops below 4%, I will look at alternatives.
@flixmaster2008 ай бұрын
I just love that you're making the same amount as I am, so I immediately knew you had about 1/2M in your MM.
@stokey10898 ай бұрын
Not that it’s of any of my business, but if my calculations are right you should be on $4k+ per month on 1m+, not only $2k+. Either your actually invested around 500k in MM or your platform has a ridiculously high platform fee.
@lplate100011 ай бұрын
Great content as always. Love this channel.
@Pensioncraft11 ай бұрын
Glad you enjoy it! @lplate1000
@MATIvmr11 ай бұрын
I only hold emergency fund in CSH2 MM, I’ll hold it until the rates will be at least 4% and more, and as soon as they’ll go below I’m pulling out
@TomsPersonalFinance11 ай бұрын
I'll probably do something similar. Once the rates drop below 4%, the appeal of them kind of fades.
@nickchandra48905 ай бұрын
Very good explanation but one risk wasn't emphasized. These are equity liabilities for the issuer not debt liabilities. Debt liabilities have equity behind it to pay out in an insolvency but equity liabilities don't. Also there are no deposit guarantees by the government on these products. If you have money on deposit you have deposit protection. If you buy money market products your investment is unprotected. Deposit protection- In UK this is £85000. In US $250000 In Australia A$ 250000.
@festerarl665311 ай бұрын
Glad to see Dimson, Marsh and Staunton get (yet another) mention.... 😁
@flixmaster2008 ай бұрын
I use MM funds because we are actively house hunting and we don't want to pull our money from the market after a sudden crash. If you're nervous about MM, just do an FDIC high yield savings - they are very close to MM now.
@hxjohn11 ай бұрын
Using CSH2 To hold as of This month 2 years of expenses for my planned retirement Which is in around 2-3 years Time Considering a bond ladder but I could continue working so The money market fund is more flexible hopefully it's a reasonably safe option Ps Thanks for The video
@Pensioncraft11 ай бұрын
Thank you @hxjohn I appreciate the support! Ramin
@MagicNash8911 ай бұрын
Would love some sort of reminder type video about the 2008/2009 crisis in the format of how you linked to articles on FT in this video
@jeffocks79311 ай бұрын
Great video as always. I admit to skipping some beats on hearing about ceti changes and the removal of ringfencing in 2022 - I believe some return to over extended lending will return. Is the current consumer boom based on depleting savings or wage rises?
@MrNickml11 ай бұрын
This video demonstrates why PensionCraft is growing a thriving community of people keen to learn and educate themselves on how to make better-informed investment decisions .. and with access to a toolkit of high quality, informative and well-balanced content ... keep up the excellent work Ramin!
@Pensioncraft11 ай бұрын
Thank you @MrNickml
@paul_k_735111 ай бұрын
Has anyone been to the shops recently? No one is buying anything, they are just window shopping. Not sure where this retail optimism comes from!
@kinggeoffrey38017 ай бұрын
Pubs and restaurants are always full where I live. Must be credit spending or the bank of dad.
@jongreenwood302911 ай бұрын
Slightly alarmed that someone over 20 thinks a “normal level” for interest rates is 2-2.5%
@michaeldawson63098 ай бұрын
Normal for me is around 5% coming from the 80's ! 10%
@mohitsaraogi52529 ай бұрын
I want to understand bonds, SOFR yield curve, Money market funds, RRP in depth. How do I proceed?
@Bracebarian11 ай бұрын
How are MM fund taxed in the UK if outside of and ISA or SIPP? Is it CGT or Income Tax?
@JohnFord-c5l11 ай бұрын
Thanks for all the great informative videos Ramin...may sound a little stupid but how long is too long in my vanguard short-term money market fund.. is 6months the sweet spot? Just when do you know the right time to pull out and find an alternative fund. depending on interest rates
@kostaskolotouros434511 ай бұрын
Thank you for another useful video Ramin. Would Money Market Funds make a sensible third fund in a 3 fund portfolio (E.g. 60% equities, 20% bonds & 20% money market funds)?
@user-go7mc4ez1d11 ай бұрын
Why would you hold bonds over MMFs right now?
@festerarl665311 ай бұрын
Ramin has done a video on this, and iirc he replaces his bond funds with either mmfs or single govvies. So arguably - yes.
@MrHotrod7911 ай бұрын
“Very high rates central banks currently setting” = Mean reverted rates…. A Run on money Market funds is exactly what happened to the Standard Life Sterling Fund in 2008/9. SL ended up putting in corporate liquidity to the fund from memory…
@VirtualDarKness11 ай бұрын
17:18 very hard to imagine a scenario that almost happened just earlier this year? or that wasn't it? (SVB)
@Ed-bj5eq11 ай бұрын
Excellent analysis, thanks
@centurione648911 ай бұрын
Thanks.
@Pensioncraft11 ай бұрын
Much appreciated! @Ed-bj5eq
@seanbyrne222011 ай бұрын
Should you use a money market fund? As as a 2 year buffer. In case your main pension fund. Crashes
@david_akerman11 ай бұрын
That's what I'm doing. I'm approaching retirement and have a MM fund as a buffer to draw from in case my stocks fall, or grow more slowly than the MM.
@seanbyrne222011 ай бұрын
@david_akerman It's always reassuring. To hear people. Thinking the same way as you
@simon106611 ай бұрын
I use L&G Cash fund within tax efficient wrappers for my cash holdings approx 5% of portfolio for 3 years expenses. I think this is sensible, but appreciate any feedback?
@MattMcQueen111 ай бұрын
A question about Vanguard's Sterling Short-Term Money Market Fund. Is it true that the price is always £1.00 if you are investing, so £1,000 will always buy 1000 units? If so, do you get the same payout at the end of the month, no matter if you invest on the 1st of the month, or the second last day of the month?
@actuallythedog26311 ай бұрын
Always £1 but your interest is pro-ratered
@MattMcQueen111 ай бұрын
@@actuallythedog263 thanks, that’s what I would expect. Just wanted confirmation.
@pietrovalsecchi168011 ай бұрын
Hi Ramin, Have been watching and enjoying your videos for a long time and am one of your biggest fans. Would appreciate it if you could do a video on TLT etf and TMF etf. Thanks a million.
@oliverjamesspicer11 ай бұрын
Really interesting video 😊
@Pensioncraft11 ай бұрын
Thanks @oliverjamesspicer
@Birdmacher9 ай бұрын
Hmm, seems like some banks may be showing some cracks as commercial real estate suffers.
@michaeldawson63098 ай бұрын
What are your views on loosing FCS protection when ticking the Trading212 earn interest button what is the risk?
@george697711 ай бұрын
Why take the risk of gating in MMF when you could buy individual short dated gilts? Americans can buy short term Treasuries from Treasury Direct.
@alkerbix11 ай бұрын
Such a great channel
@Pensioncraft11 ай бұрын
Thank you @alkerbix
@Abdul_Rahman8611 ай бұрын
I’m interested in loan notes. Especially for property development.
@VirtualDarKness11 ай бұрын
Interesting timing 😅 the video is 6 days old and 4 days ago Trading 212 wrote to say from January you're only going to get interest on cash if you opt in to use qualifying money market funds 🙂
@akshaypotdar184010 ай бұрын
What are the UK tax implications on MMF returns if invested outside of ISA?
@kygo11 ай бұрын
Why on UK platforms can't we invest in foreign money market funds / Emerging Market funds, surely they would carry a much higher interest rate %?
@nellyboy365Ай бұрын
CSH2 has fallen this week (0.26% or so), why does this happen?
@Musica-hj6zh5 ай бұрын
With such low return isn’t a GIC of 4.5% better?
@Ed-oj3yv5 ай бұрын
If I buy CSH2 this tax year, and sell it next tax year, will i use next tax years interest allowance?
@coderider302210 ай бұрын
Is it normal to hold this in a general account (not isa or sipp)?
@justinarnold143111 ай бұрын
Thank you so much for your videos.
@Pensioncraft11 ай бұрын
You are so welcome! @justinarnold1431
@DavidLee-uh3xz11 ай бұрын
Thank you for doing this video @pensioncraft very imformative
@Pensioncraft11 ай бұрын
Thanks @DavidLee-uh3xz
@thomasmcdonald554211 ай бұрын
Im using CSH2 and single short duration governments gilts like TN24 for my short term saving in my SIPP instead of bond ETFs, its just about 10% though of my overall holdings. Thanks Ramin for explaining how to access these instruments and how they work in one of your previous videos. I have not used these as a flight to safety but rather just for short term good levels of effective and stable interest on my cash like buffer.
@Charzhino11 ай бұрын
Can you give me a brief run down on CSH2? How much does it yield and how often?
@Marenqo11 ай бұрын
Every day, trade 212
@Marenqo11 ай бұрын
5.4 percent or so
@thomasmcdonald554211 ай бұрын
@@Charzhino CSH2 is tied to the SONIA rate which is a bit above 5% at the moment. It’s accumulating daily so the amount invested will tick up everyday.
@Charzhino11 ай бұрын
@@thomasmcdonald5542 thanks.
@metrom80094 ай бұрын
I was listening to you through out, the word short term was repeated many times but not defined at all. I kept on waiting to hear the length of short term wàs it one, two, three months or one, two years?
@informer-36511 ай бұрын
Why can’t I see chs2 on trading 212
@Homo-Maverick11 ай бұрын
CSH2 not CHS2 🙃
@informer-36511 ай бұрын
@@Homo-Maverick thanks I'm assuming the spread is costly?
@MagicNash8911 ай бұрын
What does chastising the banks actually mean, a strongly worded letter/call?🤣
@GavinLawrence74711 ай бұрын
Thanks!
@Pensioncraft11 ай бұрын
Thank you @mccready7479 much appreciated! Ramin
@karleells65403 ай бұрын
Retail boom?
@Vikas-pv3ie11 ай бұрын
Is there any way for common man to be able to buy only UK Treasury Bills and avoid MMFs?
@HJM4912511 ай бұрын
UK Gilts or US T Bills? He did a video on Gilts a few months ago. Not sure about US TBs from the UK. They like to make it hard for us so that we don't make the money availble to the elites..
@GavinLawrence74711 ай бұрын
Can anyone recommend a website or tool for me to benchmark my freetrade GIA against the S&P/Nasdaq or other ETFs?
@george697711 ай бұрын
JustETF for UK and Europe; Portfolio visualiser for US.
@robertnicholson14099 ай бұрын
No !
@elephantandcastle83811 ай бұрын
Isn't holding MM funds in a "fun portfolio" an oxymoron? The only reason for holding MM funds is and has always been to avoid market volatility for access to short term cash requirements. Any other reason is just gambling as you'll discover when you notice that the other asset classes have increased in price when you cure your addiction
@oneeleven983211 ай бұрын
If you’ve read the book..The Great Taking & the author is correct then ..NO
@avibm94810 күн бұрын
CSH2 , lyxor overnight GBP to achieve above Sonia rates. I have serious doubts about it's safety. Performance indeed replicates well Sonia with very low volatility but the prospectus suggests that the holdings of this funds are mainly US equities and top 10 percent of holdings don't mention any GBP futures not US equity hedges. It may be a swap in which the money is lended to investment bank in return for equity collateral in this stocks and the bank pays the overnight return. In the event of an equity market crash I wonder if access to the funds can be restricted because the collateral won't be sufficient to cover the withdrawals. So it's may not be as safe as gilts or futures. No guarantee for capital return
@scotdoc11 ай бұрын
We’re not at the peak of the cycle just yet. Another couple of years to go (based on average of 18 years). Crashes are getting bigger.
@ZeroRiskAppetite11 ай бұрын
"...the biggest risk is not what you might think. This video is sponsored by... "
@VirtualDarKness11 ай бұрын
And now the sponsor / T212 is asking people to use MMF if they want to keep earning interest on cash
@XORTION11 ай бұрын
More capital comes more greed. Fiat is slowly collapsing and bank sectors also. I believe I will see a bail in one day in my life time
@djayjp11 ай бұрын
Please use Chapstick or similar. Your lips are very dry and cracked.
@HJM4912511 ай бұрын
Probably from walking Teddy in the cold
@djayjp11 ай бұрын
@@HJM49125 lol no they're literally always like this in every video.