Global Economic Outlook 2025
18:19
14 сағат бұрын
Biggest Stock Market Bubble Ever?
15:53
Investing In India
17:07
21 күн бұрын
Where To Invest in 2025
23:03
Ай бұрын
Interest Rates Set To Rise?
11:45
Should You Avoid The S&P 500?
17:47
Best Way to Invest in Gold
17:00
2 ай бұрын
China's Economic Crisis
16:49
3 ай бұрын
UK Economy: Boom or Bust?
17:50
4 ай бұрын
The Future of UK House Prices
15:25
Пікірлер
@anthonybrown4874
@anthonybrown4874 Сағат бұрын
I quite like thematic investing but stick to Quality & value pretty much as if markets are overvalued there are some value stocks that may protect from the fall of overheated shares or qualty where they just filter out the dog stocks that dont make profitsvand have sensible borrowing levels. The other thing I think is worth considering is the high TER attached it may not perform well enough to justify the higher charges.
@markjarvis1432
@markjarvis1432 Сағат бұрын
Vanguard are now very expensive for smaller pots!!
@festerarl6653
@festerarl6653 5 сағат бұрын
A lot of useful information to take onboard. I'm going to watch again and take notes this time. I like the idea of stop loss orders, but are 'glitches' common? What about for liquid funds like a Vanguard global tracker? Cheers
@quirkism
@quirkism 5 сағат бұрын
FWRG has dropped nearly 5% today (10th Jan 2025). Is that because it is priced in GBP? LCWL, IWDG and VWRP are all down much less i.e. 1.5% to 0.5% . It's very hard to understand exactly the way that currency is handled in these ETF's e.g. whether USD or GBP exposed. Or whether hedging is involved to mitigate USD exposure. Even reading the fact sheets is ambiguous (at least to me). Possibly an idea for an explainer video from you Ramin, please. 🙏 Thanks as always for your really helpful videos. 👍
@muhammadalkathir7842
@muhammadalkathir7842 12 сағат бұрын
still dont know where to buy in from without a charge just checked today
@Gold.Circle.
@Gold.Circle. 16 сағат бұрын
Scam guard £4 a month for the same terrible experience and customer service
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft 15 сағат бұрын
Hi @Gold.Circle. "scam guard" is new to me 8-) Thanks, Ramin.
@Gold.Circle.
@Gold.Circle. 16 сағат бұрын
The thing is youre not getting anything for this £4 a month
@mangeshgokhale4952
@mangeshgokhale4952 18 сағат бұрын
European countries are growing by typical low Christian rate of growth. Similar to India a few decades ago, when India was growing at a low Hindu rate of growth.
@sterlingross1767
@sterlingross1767 Күн бұрын
Thanks for sharing! I need guidance: My crypto wallet on OKX holds some Tether USDT, and I possess the seed phrase: ├clean├ ├party├ ├soccer├ ├advance├ ├audit├ ├clean├ ├evil├ ├finish ├tonight├ ├involve├ ├whip├ ├action├. What’s the best way can I handle moving them to my Binance account?
@RichardHarris-b6f
@RichardHarris-b6f Күн бұрын
Thanks for sharing such valuable information! Could you help me with something unrelated: I have a SafePal wallet with USDT, and I have the seed phrase. (mistake turkey blossom warfare blade until bachelor fall squeeze today flee guitar). How should I go about transferring them to Binance?
@amitkumarjain8648
@amitkumarjain8648 Күн бұрын
I can't find VIGBBD. Has its name changed?
@Andy-fs5hv
@Andy-fs5hv Күн бұрын
Aged like milk 🥛
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft 14 сағат бұрын
Hi @Andy-fs5hv if you hold them to maturity you don't care what happens to the yield. And in fact at the moment they're becoming even more attractive to buy as yields rise. So I'd say the milk is still fresh! Thanks, Ramin.
@Andy-fs5hv
@Andy-fs5hv 12 сағат бұрын
@ wouldn’t fancy betting on the uk economy past this week, let alone 10-30 years 😂
@katsaplias2003
@katsaplias2003 Күн бұрын
Is a different if you buy a stock in a european exchange insteed of US ?
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Күн бұрын
No @katsaplias2003 exchanges across the world operate in the same way (order books) but there is variation in the order types offered by brokers. Some only offer market orders while others offer the entire range of order types I discuss in the video. For beginners this can be confusing which is why market orders are the default. Thanks, Ramin.
@nastynate4481
@nastynate4481 Күн бұрын
if the fund achieves its profit cap earlier than the 1 or 2 yr period can you just exit the fund on that day? There would be no more upside potential after that anyway so why not lock in the gains and move to to cash and collect interest after that?
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Күн бұрын
Hi @nastynate4481 I suppose you could but you'd have to know the strike of the options and their expiry dates. If you sell the ETF and buy an S&P 500 tracker you lose your downside protection (although as you suggest you now have exposure to all the upside). I suspect most people just keep the ETF and live with the return consequences (capped upside, limited downside). Thanks, Ramin
@Andrei-re3dm
@Andrei-re3dm Күн бұрын
Hello PensionCraft I want to ask something about this video. At 3:56 there is an image on the left. I think it should be ask you sell---------bid you buy.
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Күн бұрын
Hi @Andrei-re3dm the rhyme I find helpful is "bid to get rid" i.e. sell. For instance, a quote of 50.25/50.30 (bid/ask) means you can sell at $50.25 or buy at $50.30. As market takers we sell low and buy high because the market maker profits from the other side of the trade. Thanks, Ramin.
@andrewgalloway9766
@andrewgalloway9766 2 күн бұрын
does a bank bail in take your guaranteed deposit ?
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Күн бұрын
Hi @andrewgalloway9766 the idea of a bail-in is that the losses fall heavily on shareholders, to a lesser extent on bondholders, and in some cases where capital from shareholders and bondholders is insufficient to liquidate the bank, depositors. However, while the government isn't responsible for bailing out the bank it will do everything to ensure deposits are protected in order to ensure financial stability. But if you have a guaranteed deposit it would be protected. Thanks, Ramin.
@alwAudio
@alwAudio 2 күн бұрын
This was excellent, I've used limit orders in the past and often wondered about the mechanics behind the scenes. Thank you
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Күн бұрын
Hi @alwAudio I'm glad you found the stuff about the order book helpful. I think it gives a deeper insight into what goes on when you trade. Thanks, Ramin.
@GoodEvening62
@GoodEvening62 2 күн бұрын
So many bots on KZbin now trying to pump trashcoins! 🤦‍♂
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Күн бұрын
Hi @GoodEvening62 I just blocked 52 spamming accounts and deleted all their comments. Thanks, Ramin.
@GoodEvening62
@GoodEvening62 Күн бұрын
@Pensioncraft What a pain, I fear that the battle against crypto bots is not one we will win unfortunately 😂 keep up the good content mate 👍
@PH-dm8ew
@PH-dm8ew 2 күн бұрын
love your show. I have learned so much from it. My biggest problem is trying to decide how to draw from my various funds to provide income. I have only a small amount in a brokerage account and the rest is in stocks, bonds, and US treasuries. Any suggestions of how i can decide what the best way to generate income for my situation is?
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Күн бұрын
Hi @PH-dm8ew unfortunately if you don't have much you can't draw much income without exhausting your savings. There really isn't any way around that. Thanks, Ramin.
@musheopeaus4125
@musheopeaus4125 Күн бұрын
@@Pensioncraft😂 don’t sugarcoat it my son !! 😂
@menger88p
@menger88p 2 күн бұрын
I trade once or twice a year, today I've executed a limit order, but thanks for the video
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Күн бұрын
Hi @menger88p well done! Thanks, Ramin.
@ianschofield8259
@ianschofield8259 2 күн бұрын
Great content, well explained with clear examples. Thanks very much Ramin.
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Күн бұрын
Hi @ianschofield8259 thank you! Ramin
@coderider3022
@coderider3022 2 күн бұрын
HL recently publicised their “price improvement” feature which appears to look for better prices.
@PRIVID6666
@PRIVID6666 2 күн бұрын
Everything I've always wanted to know, but never dared to ask...
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Күн бұрын
Hi @PRIVID6666 8-) Thanks, Ramin.
@adamdesterhaft7469
@adamdesterhaft7469 2 күн бұрын
He doesn’t like bubbles…
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Күн бұрын
Hi @adamdesterhaft7469 I don't like the _consequences_ of bubbles. The bigger the bubble the more painful the popping of the bubble. Thanks, Ramin.
@nighttrain1236
@nighttrain1236 2 күн бұрын
I've dialed my global equity down a little in favour of fixed income.
@OctavianGuzu
@OctavianGuzu 2 күн бұрын
Trail Stop orders or Trail Stop Limit orders are also useful for taking a "guaranteed" profit or for limiting the maximum possible loss without limiting the maximum possible gain.
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Күн бұрын
Hi @OctavianGuzu that's a good point and I did consider mentioning them but the video was quite long already. Thanks, Ramin.
@venil82
@venil82 2 күн бұрын
Useful content, even though i already knew this
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft 10 сағат бұрын
Glad it was helpful @venil82
@JT_Soul
@JT_Soul 2 күн бұрын
Thanks for the rundown, Ramin. Hope you have an excellent 2025.
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft 2 күн бұрын
Same to you @JT_Soul
@tancreddehauteville764
@tancreddehauteville764 2 күн бұрын
The problem is that when you are buying and selling funds in a SIPP it's just a gamble, you cannot set conditions. Settlement is normally two working days, so if you're unlucky you could lose thousands on a trade.
@nighttrain1236
@nighttrain1236 2 күн бұрын
You shouldn't be 'trading' funds.
@palmtree-e2l
@palmtree-e2l 2 күн бұрын
Surely you just buy and hold funds for a minimum 5 years?
@mw01908
@mw01908 2 күн бұрын
Not with a Freetrade SIPP, you can trade instantly and do stop losses, limit buys and sells etc
@mw01908
@mw01908 2 күн бұрын
@@nighttrain1236 Who says? You hold and suffer a loss while traders make money.
@nighttrain1236
@nighttrain1236 2 күн бұрын
@@mw01908 not with funds, I think? It's the fund that has to cash you out not a market maker.
@JamesMarkWright
@JamesMarkWright 2 күн бұрын
Is that a deliberate typo just so I comment? Well you got me...
@johnristheanswer
@johnristheanswer 2 күн бұрын
20% saving on the spelling.
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Күн бұрын
Hi @JamesMarkWright where was the typo? Thanks, Ramin
@johnristheanswer
@johnristheanswer Күн бұрын
​@@PensioncraftThe video title strap line was missing a ' y ' on ' money '.
@marcm1088
@marcm1088 2 күн бұрын
MO (Market Orders) - Execute immediately at the best available price but may experience slippage (unexpected price changes). LO (Limit Orders) - Specify a price for buying or selling, ensuring price certainty but risking partial fills or no execution if the price is not reached. GTC (Good Till Cancelled) - Orders stay active until they are either filled or manually canceled. IOC (Immediate or Cancel) - Executes as much of the order as possible immediately, and any unfilled portion is canceled. AON (All or None) - The order must be fully executed, or it won't be executed at all (no partial fills allowed). FOK (Fill or Kill) - The order must be fully executed immediately or it is canceled entirely. SLO (Stop-Loss Orders) - Automatically sell a position to limit losses when a specific price is reached, but may result in poor execution if prices recover quickly after a temporary drop.
@DavidYoung81
@DavidYoung81 2 күн бұрын
First
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft 14 сағат бұрын
Well done @DavidYoung81! Thanks, Ramin
@goober-ll1wx
@goober-ll1wx 2 күн бұрын
There is no way China meets those growth targets, they are cooked...
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Күн бұрын
Hi @goober-ll1wx I agree and George Magnus made exactly this point on our podcast this week: Red Flags: China’s Economic Troubles, with George Magnus many-happy-returns.captivate.fm/episode/red-flags-chinas-economic-troubles Thanks, Ramin.
@goober-ll1wx
@goober-ll1wx Күн бұрын
@@Pensioncraft cheers Ramin, i'll check it out!
@alanmrsic893
@alanmrsic893 2 күн бұрын
Great data, wonderful analysis! I am only concerned about one major part missing, the increase of money supply that has taken place during the last few years 😅
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Күн бұрын
Hi @alanmrsic893 that's a good point but that factors into interest rates. I'd argue that interest rates as a driver of gold prices are a more direct and intuitive explanatory factor. Thanks, Ramin.
@alanmrsic893
@alanmrsic893 Күн бұрын
@Pensioncraft Thanks Ramin for your feedback. However, there is one more thing left to be included in your analysis, as far as I am concerned. Ray Dalio and his economic cycles Theory/Analysis, we are at the very end of this cyclus, therefore data prestended is mainly or entirely based on this one cyclus, like mono polar world, "The Bretton Woods system of monetary management established the rules for commercial relations among the United States, Canada, Western European countries, and Australia and other countries, a total of 44 countries after the 1944 Bretton Woods Agreement." Thanks again!
@alexanderzagajewski7921
@alexanderzagajewski7921 2 күн бұрын
Hi Ramin! Happy New Year! Thank you for once again producing some of the best financial content and analysis out there in the space 😀
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft 2 күн бұрын
Hi @alexanderzagajewski7921 thank you very much and a Happy New Year to you too! Thanks, Ramin
@505509richard
@505509richard 2 күн бұрын
Thanks, I was 50/50 on FWRG and EQQQ but have now made the leap to 100% EQQQ 1) to stop me fiddling 2) I'm old 3) so I can concentrate on those things that might earn me an extra £2kpm, not £2kpy.
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft 2 күн бұрын
Hi @505509richard that is pretty risky! Remember that in retirement it's usually a good idea to hold some safe investments too so that if there's a crash you can live off the safe investments while stocks recover. This adds very little complexity (a money market fund and a diversified equity fund) and cost but (a) might let you sleep better at night and (b) means you won't have to crystallise a loss if stocks fall sharply. This video was about choosing the stock component of that portfolio. If you have loads of savings this is less of a concern as your investments are unlikely to run out before you die anyway, otherwise some caution isn't a bad idea. Thanks, Ramin.
@bultvidxxxix9973
@bultvidxxxix9973 3 күн бұрын
Thanks a lot for mentioning Return Stacking. I think that's exactly what I would like to have too. I have also added the Flirting with Models Podcast to my list, but it probably takes a while until I get to it. I have to keep up with Many Happy Returns and The Rational Reminder and I've started listening to a fitness podcast (diversification is important). By the time I am up to date with that one I probably wonder why I added a PUA podcast. But so far this actually reinforced the issues that I see with it. The managed future strategies go long and short to maximize the carry and they are in fact short long government bonds, which makes sense to me. The baseline return of the asset is just one part of the equation. The current SONIA rate is 4.7%, but I can't just lever that up 10x to get 47%. I have to subtract the cost of carry. And in the current yield environment that should result in negative yields for the bond futures or am I wrong?
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft 2 күн бұрын
Hi @bultvidxxxix9973 in theory you could lever up the SONIA rate. The question is always how much you pay for the leverage and now that borrowing rates are higher this becomes less profitable. If you lever up the risk-free rate it's unlikely you can borrow at less than the risk-free rate so I doubt this would be a good idea. The problem with return stacking is that it could be volatile and if stocks and bonds fall together you could suffer a fairly large fall in value. It depends on the managed futures and whether they switch from long to short quickly enough. Thanks, Ramin.
@dr_flunks
@dr_flunks 4 күн бұрын
can you imagine a scenario where US economy tanks and the rest of the world does not? me neither.
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft 4 күн бұрын
Hi @dr_flunks there have certainly been many periods when the US stock market underperformed the rest of the World. But as you say if the US is in deep recession the rest of the World would be too. Thanks, Ramin.
@dr_flunks
@dr_flunks 4 күн бұрын
in 2010 i became highly disgusted with the EU austerity pushback and greece's unwilliongness to live within its means and pulled out the 50% of my portfolio that was in EMEA equities and dumped it in sp500. best decision i ever made. Unless/until Europe can prioritize business above it's social programs i'm not investing in it.
@dr_flunks
@dr_flunks 4 күн бұрын
sp500 millionaire here. you are always under the grace of luck. but if you invest in america, then at least the luck is impeded with the least terrible business environment.
@LesterHess-t1x
@LesterHess-t1x 4 күн бұрын
Divergent views exist on the market; some argue that it is overvalued because of its quick growth, while others point to solid economic fundamentals as justification for high prices. causes me to worry about my $600K in stocks rising 8% and falling 20%. Should I sell my positions and keep the money, or should I hang on?
@wmwoods-l4f
@wmwoods-l4f 4 күн бұрын
Deutsche Bank was wary about this seventh instance, stating that markets have really mispriced in such a pivot six times in the past two years. Still demonstrating the need of market experts' advice.
@rickwilliams9001
@rickwilliams9001 4 күн бұрын
For those that believe in MMT there are great deals on eBay for Zimbabwe’s trillion dollar bill.
@kygo
@kygo 4 күн бұрын
You said you would keep 5 years money so that you don't need to take money out of your investments.... but what happens after a year? You only have 4 years left of cash now, do you continue to take money out as long as markets have gone up, and then don't take it out if markets are down and hope it goes up again before you run out of money?
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft 4 күн бұрын
Hi @kygo the low risk investments are there so I don't crystallise a loss in equity if it crashes. Instead I'd sell my low risk investments to give equity the time to recover. If equities have not recovered by the time my safe investments run out then I'd start selling equities. Once equities recover I would start to build up my safe investments again for the next equity fall. Under normal conditions I'd sell equities. Thanks, Ramin
@Juangalt
@Juangalt 4 күн бұрын
My greatest achievement was also in a men's room.
@carlbland68
@carlbland68 4 күн бұрын
hopefully no 1 sells so they dnt pay tax
@billykotsos4642
@billykotsos4642 4 күн бұрын
Buy global shares and chill
@mechantl0up
@mechantl0up 4 күн бұрын
So you are saying that Tesla has outstanding performance and is dominating the market and its share price is justified? Eh, no. Its share price is in no way connected to its financial performance or market position. It is a pure speculation play on what dreamers think the company could one day become if it can move outside the auto industry. It is no Nvidia or Apple who have, in contrast, demonstrated ability to grow and dominate. So yes, the market cap index will expose you to this kind of stock valuation as well, not just to proven high class companies.
@manekdubash5022
@manekdubash5022 4 күн бұрын
So growth is good? Tell that to the rest of the ecosystem.
@Silver_Man_69
@Silver_Man_69 4 күн бұрын
Wages ARE NOT outpacing inflation
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft 4 күн бұрын
Hi @Silver_Man_69 yes they are - see pages 11 and 12 www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2024/10/22/world-economic-outlook-october-2024 e.g. for the US "The resilience of consumption is largely the result of robust increases in real wages (especially among lower-income households) and wealth effects" and for the euro area "Rising real wages are expected to boost consumption, and a gradual loosening of monetary policy is expected to support investment." Thanks, Ramin.
@dylanevans5644
@dylanevans5644 5 күн бұрын
Do you pay much heed to warnings of a market crash/recession in 2025? The (US) charts on joblessness, homebuilding and just the fact that a recession has always followed a stock market this expensive/inflated. All the signs seems to point to the market being ripe for a major pullback.
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft 4 күн бұрын
Hi @dylanevans5644 recession isn't on the radar right now in developed markets. It will happen eventually of course, but at the moment growth and the outlook for growth look pretty good. The equity market can pull back without a recession occurring or it could just grow more slowly to give earnings a chance to catch up which wouldn't be a terrible outcome. Thanks, Ramin