Are Stocks Rolling Over In A Risk-Off Manner?

  Рет қаралды 17,483

CiovaccoCapital

CiovaccoCapital

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 148
@henrymitchell9717
@henrymitchell9717 5 ай бұрын
I am 33 thinking right now to start investing long term but everyone says market will crash after rate cut so I am thinking to wait and put all my money in a money market account yielding 5% a year. At least it is something and I am sure it won't go anywhere. What are your thoughts should I start now or wait for a potential market crash?
@JustMemesNStocks
@JustMemesNStocks 5 ай бұрын
Hi Henry. I think you should at least start the process of dollar cost averaging into low cost ETFs. The right time is always 'now'. Perhaps put the money in the money market to begin. Then each week, take a set amount and sprinkle it in.
@23rd08
@23rd08 5 ай бұрын
It is impossible to time the market, dip could come tomorrow or it could come in 2 years. You would miss out on a lot of gains in the meantime, so why not hold recession resistant stocks? My portfolio is up $513k this year alone... while I was down about 33k last week I wasn't sweating it at all, I've found that having an experienced CFA is invaluable in navigating through the market and implementing the right strategies to keep risk mitigated.
@larrydimon7811
@larrydimon7811 5 ай бұрын
Sector rotation. It sucks if you are overweight tech but it is healthy for the market overall. I suspect the rotation will end soon but hard to know for sure. Anyways congrats on the outstanding performance! @23rd08
@23rd08
@23rd08 5 ай бұрын
Agreed either it ends soon and we are going back up or it takes a while and I am accumulating more. All good either way
@knockoutlightz
@knockoutlightz 5 ай бұрын
I've been trying to get an advisor for guidance but it is harder than you'd think. Anyone who is fee only is hard to find and usually overloaded with work. Would you be comfortable providing a referral?
@tf1639
@tf1639 5 ай бұрын
Always the best macro fundamentals analysis around! Thank you again for the video.
@AnthonioMartinez43
@AnthonioMartinez43 5 ай бұрын
I will be forever grateful to you, you changed my entire life and I will continue to preach on your behalf for the whole world to hear you saved me from huge financial debt with just a small investment, thank you Michelle Stewart.
@NicholasClones
@NicholasClones 5 ай бұрын
Wow. I'm a bit perplexed seeing her been mentioned here also Didn’t know she has been good to so many people too this is wonderful, I'm in my fifth trade with her and it has been super.
@JahrrendArnold
@JahrrendArnold 5 ай бұрын
I was skeptical at first till I decided to try. Its huge returns is awesome. I can't say much
@AnthonioMartinez43
@AnthonioMartinez43 5 ай бұрын
she's mostly on Telegrams, using the user name.
@AnthonioMartinez43
@AnthonioMartinez43 5 ай бұрын
Stewart340 💯 ..that's it
@audit_the_fed
@audit_the_fed 5 ай бұрын
Michelle Stewart went to jail for scamming US veterans.
@FrozenDoberman
@FrozenDoberman 5 ай бұрын
Essential viewing once per week. The historical S&P 500 versus individual sector charts are especially instructive. XLC and XLK historically outperforming the hard to beat S&P 500.
@Sherilynn82
@Sherilynn82 5 ай бұрын
The key is risk analysis. The markets are and has always been unpredictable. Thus the important point is not how much one might make but what one could lose. trading and holding on speculative stocks/Crypto and even great stocks can test ones ability in the arena of our ability to control ones loss aversion bias…buy high sell low…The market is overvalued by almost all measures like the CAPE and Buffett indicator. Speculation is high with things like meme stocks (are they dead yet?), our kitty dude, Ai dreaming and all.... It is all about how much one can lose during times like these. Does that mean don't invest, of course not but one must access the risk and have a way out if the tide goes out.....I've been engaged in active trading and managed to grow a nest egg of around 2.6B'tc to a decent 24B'tc....I'm especially grateful to Linda Wilburn, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape.
@Sherilynn82
@Sherilynn82 5 ай бұрын
Linda Wilburn program is widely available online.
@Mikeygrady
@Mikeygrady 5 ай бұрын
I appreciate the professionalism and dedication of the team behind Linda’s trade signal service.
@2Luisalvarado
@2Luisalvarado 5 ай бұрын
Trading with an expert is the best strategy for beginners and busy investor s who have little or no time to monitor their trades.
@79AdventureBaby
@79AdventureBaby 5 ай бұрын
The key to financial stability is having the right investment suggestions for a diverse portfolio. Many investment failures and losses happen when you invest without proper guidance.
@hollycarter3594
@hollycarter3594 5 ай бұрын
It was quite challenging to understand the different trends on my own until i found out about Wilburn. Trading made easy..
@GaneshD123
@GaneshD123 5 ай бұрын
Thank you for your time and hard work - very much appreciated.
@Coda1850
@Coda1850 5 ай бұрын
You always have thoughtful & data driven analysis. Thank you for another great vid!
@rainerluthershelley5131
@rainerluthershelley5131 5 ай бұрын
Thanks again. Good weekend. 👋
@afonsodeportugal
@afonsodeportugal 5 ай бұрын
Thank you, Mr. Ciovacco. You never disappoint.
@wrbk19
@wrbk19 5 ай бұрын
The GOAT of YT Technical Analysis!
@SamanthaSanchez-sj5el
@SamanthaSanchez-sj5el 5 ай бұрын
My aunt passed and I inherited some of her portfolio and cash savings, I’m 28 with about 400k cash in savings and as usual everybody’s preaching invest, so what stocks are a good long term buy, only major purchase I intend to make is buying a home in 5years from my returns
@Donalddavies-gc9rb
@Donalddavies-gc9rb 5 ай бұрын
Lucky you, I’d buy a lot of tech stocks and Dividend portfolios with that.
@Jones21554
@Jones21554 5 ай бұрын
Don’t come to KZbin looking for KZbin advise, instead contact a fiduciary for proper guidance.
@Infinitymazepa7920
@Infinitymazepa7920 5 ай бұрын
Same, I just use KZbin for research purposes, I run all my major investment through an investment adviser, the market is just too unstable to handle things on your own.
@SamanthaSanchez-sj5el
@SamanthaSanchez-sj5el 5 ай бұрын
How do I reach out to a financial advisor? my portfolio has been struggling since 2022 and I’ve been holding on by the skin of my teeth.
@Infinitymazepa7920
@Infinitymazepa7920 5 ай бұрын
Laura Grace Abels, you'll be in luck at this time of year to have a conversation. lady is hot topic in downtown manhattan and you must not be and accredited investor. Just browse
@investretiretravel
@investretiretravel 5 ай бұрын
Thanks Sir Chris.
@Carol-cb9yu
@Carol-cb9yu 5 ай бұрын
Thanks, always worth my time to watch.
@eugenegarrett1156
@eugenegarrett1156 5 ай бұрын
Thank You, Chris 😊
@brutwinky6492
@brutwinky6492 5 ай бұрын
Great video, thanks.
@jkinder92
@jkinder92 5 ай бұрын
As always, an informative watch that compliments my own process. Thank you for sharing your analysis and for offering this all for free!
@benruggiano6306
@benruggiano6306 5 ай бұрын
Thank You so much for your insight ..
@JeffDavisGURU
@JeffDavisGURU 5 ай бұрын
Great observations contrary to many mainline opinions! Thanks. Ill be on the lookout.
@Harperrr.99
@Harperrr.99 5 ай бұрын
I came across some statements from big investors expressing concerns that the stock market rally could be short-lived. My concern is my $600K stock portfolio is still recovering from a dip of almost 40%, how do I navigate these complex situations?
@wellsHannahh
@wellsHannahh 5 ай бұрын
Diversification and understanding market dynamics are crucial, especially during uncertainty. Monitor both positive and cautionary signals, or consult a professional expert.
@Blitcliffe
@Blitcliffe 5 ай бұрын
A lot of folks downplay the role of advisors until being burned by their own emotions. Early last year after my lengthy divorce I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850k.
@c.o.l.ek500
@c.o.l.ek500 5 ай бұрын
Please can you leave the info of your investment advisor here? I'm in dire need for one
@Blitcliffe
@Blitcliffe 5 ай бұрын
Lauren Marie Ehlers is the licensed coach I use. Just research the name. You'd find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
@c.o.l.ek500
@c.o.l.ek500 5 ай бұрын
Thank you for the recommendation. I'll send her an email, and I hope I'm able to connect with her.
@peters972
@peters972 5 ай бұрын
Thank you both!
@tonymartucci7097
@tonymartucci7097 5 ай бұрын
Thanks Chris
@beau6113
@beau6113 5 ай бұрын
Thank you!
@dianasong4594
@dianasong4594 5 ай бұрын
thank u very much
@TheSwift121
@TheSwift121 5 ай бұрын
Negative responses from the know it all audience is very annoying. If you don’t like the show or believe in his views, stop complaining and go make your own video then maybe you will appreciate not only his wisdom, but also all the effort he puts in to give to us free of charge.
@WiseOwl_1408
@WiseOwl_1408 5 ай бұрын
Cry harder. Dude says both directions at once every video.
@eliasjr1049
@eliasjr1049 5 ай бұрын
I`m not sure if this is directed also to me since i challenged his views in the video 2 weeks ago. But just by making a comment I can show some light on things i dont need a video. Now if feel annoyed its more like a you problem.
@eliasjr1049
@eliasjr1049 5 ай бұрын
Also i dont need to make a video since Ron Walker does them really well already
@afonsodeportugal
@afonsodeportugal 5 ай бұрын
@@WiseOwl_1408 Not true. He talks about probabilities, so one direction is always more likely than the other.
@amoritius
@amoritius 5 ай бұрын
Hi Chris, not sure if you look at these comments. But, I appreciate the work you put in to bring us these videos every week. My only feedback is to make them much shorter (5-10m) by removing redundant graphs
@alex34212l
@alex34212l 5 ай бұрын
Indeed. And also Chris make a sum up at the end
@GaneshD123
@GaneshD123 5 ай бұрын
The longer, in-depth and detailed analysis is also very much appreciated.
@tf1639
@tf1639 5 ай бұрын
Watch it on 1.75x speed. Simple 😂😂
@afonsodeportugal
@afonsodeportugal 5 ай бұрын
"I'm sorry, Sir, my ham sandwich has to much meat in it. Could you please remove most of it?"
@anodyneforever3996
@anodyneforever3996 5 ай бұрын
Not answered, nothing actionable, as usual.
@TONYMOR
@TONYMOR 5 ай бұрын
Good review of current trends, thanks.
@sebastiaanthijn7982
@sebastiaanthijn7982 5 ай бұрын
Every week I buy more of whatever is the lowest percentage of my portfolio and try to keep everything around 10%, but what could be my safest buys with $400k to outperform the market in 2024?
@cherylhills3227
@cherylhills3227 5 ай бұрын
what could be my safest buys with $100k to outperform the market ?
@ClayneBanks
@ClayneBanks 5 ай бұрын
I would avoid the index funds, mutual funds, or specific stocks for the time being. The 5% fixed incomes are the safest bet for now. Save your cash for when the market actually shows sign of recovery
@ZhannaDavidova
@ZhannaDavidova 5 ай бұрын
my retirement portfolio has been underperforming recently, and I'm considering a strategy change with the help of an adviser. Is it possible to get in touch with an adviser ?
@ClayneBanks
@ClayneBanks 5 ай бұрын
@@ZhannaDavidova People often underestimate the role of financial planners until they experience the consequences of their own mistakes.
@ClayneBanks
@ClayneBanks 5 ай бұрын
I’ve been working with Bruce Kevin Begley, I started my first stock in Feb 21, 2022 I noticed the market went down the whole year so now I’m up a lot of money endless we go back to the October lows I will keep putting more stocks super excited for 2024 the payoff will be great.
@theripper791
@theripper791 5 ай бұрын
In the long run there are reasons small caps are small, and large caps are large. Small caps have been overbought the last 2 weeks and the large caps are getting oversold. I think position for another rotation of a different kind.
@AmandaBrookes0908
@AmandaBrookes0908 5 ай бұрын
I lost over $70k when everything started to tank. Not because I was in an exchange that went belly up. I was just stupid to hold and because that's what everyone said. I'm still responsible. It just taught me to be a better investor now that I understand more of what could go wrong. It took me over two years of being in the market, I'm really grateful I found one source to recover my money, at least $10k profits weekly. Thanks Natalie Strayer..
@Rodriguezpaul-9
@Rodriguezpaul-9 5 ай бұрын
The very first time we tried, we invested $2000 and after a week, we received $9500. That really helped us a lot to pay up our bills.
@Nguyenvictory83
@Nguyenvictory83 5 ай бұрын
Natalie Strayer has really set the standard for others to follow, we love her here in Canada 🇨🇦 as she has been really helpful and changed lots of life's
@DaveCulbertson
@DaveCulbertson 5 ай бұрын
I'm new at this, please how can I reach her?
@Scottweeier846
@Scottweeier846 5 ай бұрын
After I raised up to 125k trading with her I bought a new House and a car here in the states also paid for my son's surgery Glory to God shalom.
@AmandaBrookes0908
@AmandaBrookes0908 5 ай бұрын
She's always active on Whats~App...
@bradnic88802
@bradnic88802 5 ай бұрын
Thanks Chris!!
@anityasufi4079
@anityasufi4079 5 ай бұрын
It would be easier to follow the cursor if it is changed to a cross hair cursor. The current cursor style easily gets lost in a cluster of moving averages. Please change it to a cross hair. Thanks,
@mikes.2471
@mikes.2471 5 ай бұрын
The charts can not really forecast what's about to happen in the next 2-3 months b/c they averages are derived from past data points.
@WiseOwl_1408
@WiseOwl_1408 5 ай бұрын
Every chart
@eliasjr1049
@eliasjr1049 5 ай бұрын
@@WiseOwl_1408 There`s better things to look at, like eliot wave or the 125 plus years old upward trend line that spy was touching 2 weeks ago . Thats why i challenged his video 2 weeks ago. Because i saw an 9 count sell on spy and nasdaq. And all these avg will follow afterwards.
@rainerluthershelley5131
@rainerluthershelley5131 5 ай бұрын
Statistical probabilities
@doubleclick21
@doubleclick21 5 ай бұрын
I don't watch these videos for any sort of predictions. I'm watching them to understand wtf happened in the last weeks/months while I was busy at work and dollar cost averaging my accounts with every last spare penny.
@rainerluthershelley5131
@rainerluthershelley5131 5 ай бұрын
@@doubleclick21 Ok
@crispiest99
@crispiest99 5 ай бұрын
What about bitcoin?
@tradingwithwill7214
@tradingwithwill7214 5 ай бұрын
ratio charts ftw
@gringadoor5385
@gringadoor5385 5 ай бұрын
This guy would buy Cisco in 1999. "Looks a lot healthier on the right than the left".
@CoffiBot2dotoh
@CoffiBot2dotoh 5 ай бұрын
So would I. It didn't peak for another year or two.
@deathcubek5117
@deathcubek5117 5 ай бұрын
Dang im early
@quocbao4243
@quocbao4243 5 ай бұрын
Maybe, maybe not?
@seventh7orbit
@seventh7orbit 5 ай бұрын
Thanks Chris. I've started booking profits, but waiting for more weakness before I start shorting.
@quocbao4243
@quocbao4243 5 ай бұрын
You only had 3 relatively muted down days in a row. Of course, the charts are still in tact. Let’s take another snap shot in a couple weeks to have a more constructive analysis.
@Coda1850
@Coda1850 5 ай бұрын
You can only trade the chart in front of you.
@quocbao4243
@quocbao4243 5 ай бұрын
@@Coda1850 We are not talking about trading anything. Just looking at the rosy picture Chris is painting. BTW, does Chris encourage his clients to hold even a small percentage of their portfolio in precious metals for an insurance policy against a financial crisis? I didn’t think so. But, I bet Chris has Gold in his possession. He just can’t make money by telling you to do the same.
@Coda1850
@Coda1850 5 ай бұрын
Sounds like you're predicting a crash. That's a proven losing strategy.
@afonsodeportugal
@afonsodeportugal 5 ай бұрын
@@quocbao4243 Muted? SOXX lost 9.02%, and SMH lost 9.59%! In just three days!!!
@quocbao4243
@quocbao4243 5 ай бұрын
@@Coda1850I’m not predicting anything. Just making a point that the charts aren’t likely to change in a meaningful way with just 3 down days. But, now that you mention it, I did just happen to watch an analyst with a differing view from your king Chris: kzbin.info/www/bejne/aKq0qX1pfsSpmZYsi=lmvU0wuVzSAz_ujy
@touchofgrace3217
@touchofgrace3217 5 ай бұрын
I’m not convinced that looking at past patterns is necessarily going to be useful in this era. The presenter is comparing 2008 to now. In 2008 only 14% of the money in the market was held by passive “investors”. Today, that number has ballooned to nearly 50%. The newer generation is being told to blindly dollar cost average into the machine no matter what with absolutely no knowledge or concern of the condition of the underlying companies or economy. The recent popularity of ETFs is skewing what the real market looks like. Many of the current investors are not anticipating a bear market because they don’t know what leads to one.
@CoffiBot2dotoh
@CoffiBot2dotoh 5 ай бұрын
how do you expect them to learn about what brings about a bear market without looking at past charts?
@boombustinvest
@boombustinvest 5 ай бұрын
This video confirms to me your bias...despite following price trends, When the downturn comes you will say "ok so here we go this is that once a while big correction that I've warned can happen" ... yeh ok, but you will have persuaded many thousands of people to stay in the markets and that there is no other choice! I'm writing this comment only 3 minutes in watching it because I can see what you are doing... you are making the current 6 month comparison with the 6 month comparison before the start of the 2022 and saying "look it looks nothing like it" Firstly it does VERY MUCH look like the end of the 2022 bull run it's just that you have started the six months on this 6 month cycle about 2 months earlier than the 2022 six month period. i.e. take any 6 month period in this delusional AI bubble and then compare it to a six month period ending 6 to 8 weeks into a downturn. It says to me that you are biased towards ignoring risk. Same bias is shown Chris compare's the rotation into bonds in early 2008 compared now... well of course AGG:SPY will look totally different as we haven't had any rate cuts yet.
@markettrader911
@markettrader911 5 ай бұрын
Haven’t and will not watch the video because I know Chris will conclude: no, stocks are not rolling over in a risk-off manner.
@1Whipperin
@1Whipperin 5 ай бұрын
The best bet is to stay long.
@justindipaola2066
@justindipaola2066 5 ай бұрын
The take profits from shm and xlk and start a position in small caps and equal weight was very different.
@eliasjr1049
@eliasjr1049 5 ай бұрын
You know it, he follow all those lines of support that will rise until the market fall 15% and broke them all...
@wyhauyeung
@wyhauyeung 5 ай бұрын
i am new follower. can you educate me is the channel just always bullish ?
@doubleclick21
@doubleclick21 5 ай бұрын
​@@eliasjr1049in one of his past videos he talked about sacrificing the most recent 10% of your gains sometimes in order to avoid much more significant losses ahead. A concept that really stuck with me. Of course if things roll over you are probably down a bit from your/the high. "WeLL tHeN hIs cHaRts ArE uSELeSs!!1." No... sure, you might be down 15 or 20% already, but you still need to be willing to sacrifice those prior gains if necessary (instead of desperately hoping for them all back, or being fooled by a dead cat bounce, etc) to avoid going down another 20-30%+. It helps if you go into the entire exercise not thinking 1) that you have perfect timing 2) that the most recent 5, 10, or 15% worth of gains really belong to you. They are the froth, the icing, the noise... focus on maintaining the base value underneath all that.
@teenoso4069
@teenoso4069 5 ай бұрын
Be careful of the words of a man whose living depends on a rising market and fees
@anirbansahavlogs
@anirbansahavlogs 5 ай бұрын
This I have traded markets long enough to know that MAs are lagging indicator and it does not mean sh$t what the MA does, yes risk to reward is better but it does not in any shape or form predict market movements. US markets are moving up because of the dollar being a reserve and US being able to export inflation outside. Now that trend is reversing esp after the dollar was weaponized. It will take time but US topping big time. No money manager would tell you that as they will not earn if you sit on cash or buy gold. The FED has beed artificially pushng recession out and they have been successful for the last 15 years but this time is different from last few decades. High debt, world moving away from dollar, unsustainable fiscal policy, internal division between idealogies at peak. Just imaging if US becomes the next UK. Decades of sideways movement and consumers unable to afford expensive goods. This passive investing bubble would deflate. Again i am not calling for a crash but you shuld diversify, US stocks are too overpriced. And every week this channel will still put the same video its all right we need your capital and fees.
@ATULSHAH-n6l
@ATULSHAH-n6l 5 ай бұрын
Bullish as always, nothing has changed
@eliasjr1049
@eliasjr1049 5 ай бұрын
It changed, you just dont realized yet. But in 2-3 weeks from now you will....
@ATULSHAH-n6l
@ATULSHAH-n6l 5 ай бұрын
@@eliasjr1049 not if you watch the video, hes just saying healthy pullback and we will be higher
@jimwalker3039
@jimwalker3039 5 ай бұрын
After we go down 20%, this channel will advice caution, till then bull
@Meowmeow.age.6
@Meowmeow.age.6 5 ай бұрын
Hyperinflation. I been fully invested since the backtest of the previous trading box around SPY 360 staples like Pepsi Microsoft Apple META etc. got some gold and Bitcoin. Everything went to the moon. I am buying lots of guns and ammo and rations. I don't know how society will function with everything crashing up. I pray we all make it through these dark days. Prices won't stop doubling. Pretty soon a combo at McDonald's will be $50. And people won't afford to save themselves by buying Microsoft stock. 😭😭😭 I don't know how long I can survive. My portfolio is only 8 mil in dollars but the new currency is going to be bitcoins and stocks will never keep up 😭😭. I am so scared to buy actual bitcoins because I am so forgetful and I will forget my keys 😭😭😭 I tell people to panic buy everyday before it is too late.
@delos2279
@delos2279 5 ай бұрын
Pretty good trolling for an 8 y.o.
@colinwinterman
@colinwinterman 5 ай бұрын
@@delos2279 do you mean me or him
@wwjs5888
@wwjs5888 5 ай бұрын
Best sleeping promoting sound.
@mjbucar
@mjbucar 5 ай бұрын
Thank you Chris!
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