Are there any sports betting books you recommend or think are trash?
@basiliszag Жыл бұрын
No book will get you directly at winning. But there are books out there worth reading
@anthonyfeola5531 Жыл бұрын
Andrew Mack and his modeling books are good for beginner modelers
@jakubvyskocil3405 Жыл бұрын
I would recommend these: Andrew Mack - Statistical Sports Models in Excel, Statistical Sports Models in Excel Volume 2 Joseph Buchdahl - Monte Carlo or Bust: Simple Simulations for Aspiring Sports Bettors
@stil370 Жыл бұрын
One of your best videos!!
@mojospree1375 Жыл бұрын
The most influential book I ever read on sports betting was “Conquering Risk” by Elihu Feustel. It was published in the 2000’s, so the information is dated. But back then, it was the first sports betting book that discussed math concepts like maximum likelihood and sigmoid equations, which are the foundation of basic machine learning algorithms.
@chickenkeeper3450 Жыл бұрын
You are as always quite right. Sometimes too complicated model will get you too close to the model bookies are using and it’s hard to find an edge this way. I also agree there are close to none soft markets in US, but as European I still believe there are soft markets in Europe, where sports betting is not that popular and in some countries even forbidden. This way many local markets do not have enough volume, because of lack of interest from foreigners. I think that if you try to apply some of your CB models to European basketball, they may be more profitable than you think.
@fraac Жыл бұрын
there are plenty of good podcasts. i find them useful to survey the state of the art and know what your competitors are doing. rufus peabody leaks good info on his process, tom brownlee tells you most of what he's up to, spanky tells you exactly how he sees things. risk of ruin is very insightful. the less useful ones try to be educational, they just rehash basics over and over. also, once you've found guys worth listening to, you can search for podcast episodes of them being interviewed
@stil370 Жыл бұрын
Limiting downside is just as important as maximizing the upside
@kevinwilson3337 Жыл бұрын
Parlays are the only way to win
@jayboek2854 Жыл бұрын
Sports betting is a roller coaster ride. More downs than ups. Long term success is nearly impossible. Just got to get lucky every once in a while and hit a big one every now and then. I win a little each year. Im not a big $ better. I try to win 500 to 1000 a year.
@kevinwilson3337 Жыл бұрын
Thats good if you can even win that lol. Most people lose thousands a year
@angelsfan1514 Жыл бұрын
A great resource is Michael shackleford or the wizard of odds he analyzes the math side you will never beat the books but he’s a smart person I liked gambling 101 &102
@Ether_EV Жыл бұрын
Do you have discord? Any type of communication? I believe you 200%.
@williamleiss4 Жыл бұрын
Not at the moment. I am banned from discord. I need to find a way to get around the censors. KZbin also censors my videos and limits my reach/engagement