I get tired of the governments pretending things are goo because of low unemployment. You can have 3 jobs and never afford a house.
@CloudTribe5 жыл бұрын
I literally work 2 jobs 7 days of week right now. Only way I'd crack 50k a year is if I kept this up for the whole year.
@CloudTribe5 жыл бұрын
@@geneclark3600 I have a BA in business, which is useless if you've never managed a business cause no one will let you be in charge without experience. I'm starting my own business and have considered going to school for something else but at 25 I don't really feel like doing another 2-4 years of school without guarantees.
@saintm705 жыл бұрын
@@geneclark3600 You sound like a smart guy. Good for you.
@beautanner84095 жыл бұрын
@@geneclark3600 Your suggestion might work in some markets, but not all. I live in Vancouver, where you could be an engineer or a lawyer, and not be able to afford a house. If somehow you are a buyer here, you'll likely be a foreign millionaire (usually from China) who's trying to smuggle their money into our property for whatever reason. Hardworking locals (even professionals) cannot compete with that.
@theconversation91035 жыл бұрын
@@geneclark3600 Great advice - can all 7.7 billion of us live in prosperity and own a house if we all make 'smarter choices'. Is that how it works?
@marmiteman21965 жыл бұрын
Haven’t even got over the last recession.
@littlsuprstr5 жыл бұрын
that's the point. the wealthy entrenched their positions and purchased cheap assets in the last recession. average people continue to lose ground.
@saintm705 жыл бұрын
@@littlsuprstr I agree.
@ramblr785 жыл бұрын
Yes
@TrotskysBeard19175 жыл бұрын
Negative interest rates and more quantitative easing are only going to transfer wealth upwards even faster. As long as they can carry on calling it growth the government won’t give a shit about the rest of us. Unless the pitchforks come out then any level of public spending seems magically possible.
@MrMustangMan5 жыл бұрын
same.......
@jillianhorsley59855 жыл бұрын
Rubbish, we are headed for a Depression.
@SportsParlaysNCrypto5 жыл бұрын
Why no one is talking about its a depression coming at the end of next year. Not a recession
@firefox59265 жыл бұрын
.. hey at least if its trump he will be able to market it as "great" and "big" and a "fantastic" depression... also it was the great depression in the usa in the empire we called it the slump :P
@westerjester50665 жыл бұрын
Good lets get tough.
@tankatim135 жыл бұрын
We are already in a depression since 2008. We are growing too slowly to get back the loss of the GFC so the gap is growing. The nations that didn’t have a recession in 2008 e.g. Australia will have a bigger recession this time unless they burrow my money or print. To get out of a recession reserve banks cut interest rates but what happens if the interest rate is already at 1%. Banks and private money needs to be invested in physical businesses and R&D. But banks still taking there money too investments like before GFC
@lukepatto43665 жыл бұрын
Stagnation for sure
@zioslayerbear85925 жыл бұрын
Recession ??? This time it will be depression !
@SportsParlaysNCrypto5 жыл бұрын
Thank you. Its a depression. Not a recession
@m.morininvestor99205 жыл бұрын
@@SportsParlaysNCrypto yes I agree a global depression.
@clintonmacdougall6795 жыл бұрын
I agree also
@stevepowsinger7335 жыл бұрын
They do seem to only worry about a recession when the danger is more catastrophic. The pilots are worried about smoke in the cabin rather the engine on fire.
@eagleartillery13615 жыл бұрын
Normalcy bias will kill us.
@genekite66315 жыл бұрын
If the federal budget cut our outrages military expenditure just 25 percent and spent half of that on infrastructure we would be otay spanky.
@earthman67005 жыл бұрын
The US administration should take their warships out of the Gulf of Persia before it becomes a Gulf of Tonkin. Go police the Amazon please. As for Iran please see on KZbin Jon Snow Time to rethink Iran
@bobbyt94315 жыл бұрын
You don't want another federally funded interstate bridge to collapse? Where's the fun in that, more bombs equals more peace.
@dondressel48025 жыл бұрын
Earth Man the assholes running the US want another war to keep the economy running and keep our psychotic leaders in power and rich
@aidsandfire5 жыл бұрын
They reboot this series every 10-20 years... not excited for the remake
@m.morininvestor99205 жыл бұрын
Every 8 years in average.
@Telfund381541725 жыл бұрын
When people are starting to get a better life...the economist or whoever it is will want to blow it all away so people lose their homes and they all can start to zero...All the banks will do is look and take it all back...then resell it all again....the cycle continues...the 70' the 80's the 90's then 2008 last recession then it took a longer time this time but it will happen again.....When you lose your job you can't pay the mortgage...that is how the system works....sad but lots of people were victimized that way....there is no such thing as security anymore....
@bobbyt94315 жыл бұрын
@@Telfund38154172 That's just the short cycle on top of the bigger cycle they have created, just look at 'A History of World Debt'. We're approaching another global depression and it looks like several European nations are already there. The sad thing is this has all been created by "the progressives" and their agenda is to completely destroy the capitalist system - this might just be the disaster that reverts the world back to full oligarchical and autocratic rule now that the masses have been brainwashed in the state ran education camps.
@paulsmith19815 жыл бұрын
The debt crisis of 2008 was never addressed, it was just papered over with money printing and even more borrowing. Global debt to GDP stands at 350%. The zombie Italian banking system is like a primed nuclear bomb waiting to go off under the euro.
@jameswhiteley68435 жыл бұрын
You mean the Jewish system?
@DimensionsofChange5 жыл бұрын
It’s been over 10 years since the 08 recession. We’re overdue.
@nunyadambusiness35305 жыл бұрын
So is Australia, they went 20 years without a recession.
@John_Smith1005 жыл бұрын
@@nunyadambusiness3530 30 year housing boom which is rolling over. Good. Fu*k this insane housing speculation.
@kebabtank5 жыл бұрын
'Are we heading for a recession? If you're undecided this scary music might help you make your choice.
@clackerlover5 жыл бұрын
Hahahahaha
@DannyTillotson5 жыл бұрын
Lol you're not wrong! 🤣🤣
@SeaJay_Oceans4 жыл бұрын
cheesy music.
@robk93305 жыл бұрын
The last recession was caused by too much debt. Well, the debt is a hell of a lot more today than it was 11 years ago and this guy wants to add even more debt to that with more stimulus!
@tmd16984 жыл бұрын
Well, here we are. 💁🏻♂️
@Karyabs5 жыл бұрын
Humanity wants infinity growth on a finite planet. Or are we being lied to?
@SeaJay_Oceans4 жыл бұрын
MARS : Free Real Estate.
@josecarlos115 жыл бұрын
Some people: 'we aren't in a recession' Recession: 'hold my beer, I'm about to end their entire careers'
@ChaoticMartian4 жыл бұрын
2020 be like: -January, almost WW3 -February, Fires that destroyed the worlds largest global forests -March, Global plague -April, total economic collapse -may, idk what can fucking go wrong next?
@j21745 жыл бұрын
0:35 Someone from the graphics department needs to be fired.
@DannyTillotson5 жыл бұрын
Lol right! Half of Canada made red as well as the US 🤣
@SeaJay_Oceans4 жыл бұрын
They play Bethesda's FALLOUT -- and assume USA will annex Canada, and then purchase Greenland.
@googleuser98505 жыл бұрын
0:38 WHAT THE FUCK IS THAT MAP OF THE US?????!!
@01argy4 жыл бұрын
In the next months, we are going to face the worst slowdown since the crisis in 2008. The Coronavirus came unexpectedly, changing all the life rhythms around the world, that includes economy and politics. We're observing how the international potences are being affected and have difficult times for their population. On the other hand, countries have to support each other regard all this situation, to face all this coming economic crisis.
@lobonegro15674 жыл бұрын
This could work out... very nice... very nice☺
@scardes14 жыл бұрын
It's going to be worse than you think. I am an expert on the 2008 recession that we never recovered from and with covid now means this depression is going to be bad. We need to store food and move to the countryside if possible. I am currently moving to the countryside.
@Anskurshaikh5 жыл бұрын
1920s : The Great Depression followed by World Wars 2020s : ???
@creativepower2135 жыл бұрын
Why do we need stimulus if the economy is strong. These economists are smoking some strong stuff. Asset prices have moved way over intrinsic value and have to correct. That is healthy.
@amjidali5885 жыл бұрын
The governments are printing money ... the US stock market has been in a bull run for 10 years, it’s all bollox
@willyhill75095 жыл бұрын
If people keep talking about it, yes, having said that though it won't be global, mainly "Western" , China and India will be affected but they won't go into recession.
@dixonpinfold25825 жыл бұрын
Quite all that needs to be said. Thank you.
@Stoic-ds4so4 жыл бұрын
2020: Coronavirus . . .
@PMMagro5 жыл бұрын
Good times are not permanent but bad times also past...
@ClarksonsinUSA5 жыл бұрын
Not if the population keeps falling!!
@mrhegetsit48905 жыл бұрын
0:35 Half of Canada considered part of the United States..?
@clockwork3655 жыл бұрын
Clearly
@knowledgeiskey13195 жыл бұрын
😂
@remlatzargonix13295 жыл бұрын
Patrick Fraser.......what?
@conceptualme5 жыл бұрын
@@remlatzargonix1329 did you bother watching the timestamp before asking...? The graphic in the video talks about the U.S. while highlighting half of Canada along with it.
@dixonpinfold25825 жыл бұрын
@Russell g Are you?
@TNTsundar5 жыл бұрын
Am I the only one who thinks that humanity is at it’s pinnacle and there’s no room for economic improvement?
@stoneyard1005 жыл бұрын
They'll extend and pretend as long as possible, at the expense of the majority. What we need is to take back control from the kelptocrats, revolt and install a gov for the people for the people. Our current political system has failed us
@UniDeathRaven5 жыл бұрын
too many humans on one planet.
@HeavyK.5 жыл бұрын
The ridiculous impossible fact here is this. The world economy has never been better. World Poverty has never been lower. There have never been more people that can read. There have never been more people that are free.
@sjr78225 жыл бұрын
Market corrects about every 7 years, we are overdue the global economy was in a slow down before Trump's tariffs
@consciouscrypto30905 жыл бұрын
Yes, just brought it forward and caused more people to be more vulnerable when it hits.
@cyberblock76195 жыл бұрын
This bubbles been building since 1913 and escalated in 1971
@SeaJay_Oceans4 жыл бұрын
Planet-wide extinction events correct every 20 or 30 thousand years... :-( China Virus has entered (ended?) the global economy.
@jeffbezos56325 жыл бұрын
Nobody can afford a house anymore, sounds like recession.
@westerjester50665 жыл бұрын
Houses cant afford to be houses anymore. They downgrading to GMO's? One room in a house becomes a house. All share the kitchen and bathroom. Strangers living together, familes with convicts.
@ThePixey10005 жыл бұрын
People in the poorer classes in the UK have been watching this recession creeping towards us for the last two maybe three years why are the Elite and BBC always the last to realize or know this. Oh yeah they are too wrapped up in corruption they think it wont touch them. Lets hope it hits them as hard as the people they have been squeezing dry for years.
@ThePixey10005 жыл бұрын
@Ford Prefect I do not pay it. Reason being I was brought up that a crime is a crime and the BBC aided paedophiles for decades and never once handed them over to the police. Criminals the whole corporation they knew what was happening and aloud it to carry on they are just as bad as the offenders them selves. Criminal no better than the Mafia in the 50's crooks. You may say that I am breaking the law but my defence is close the BBC down let the government sieze all its assets and I am more than willing to pay the next HONEST media corporation for their legitimate services but I am not paying the BBC they are just SEX offenders.
@MrMustangMan5 жыл бұрын
5:38..... how is India and Kashmir Trump's fault.?????
@gordokdestroyerofworlds34805 жыл бұрын
It's not.. they're just juicing it with their communist agenda 'orange man bad' because this has NOTHING to do with the black guy that was in there for 8 years lmao
@SeaJay_Oceans4 жыл бұрын
ORANGE MAN BAD is a brain virus that infects leftists, and leads to a terminal case of Socialist-Communist-Globalism. The only known cure is FREEDOM & LIBERTY !
@susanduplan87025 жыл бұрын
Hello. How come half of Canada is considered the USA. Who put that map together???? Makes you wonder what else is wrong with this report.
@thedogsdiddies84215 жыл бұрын
The BBC don't like facts to get in the way of serious reporting!!! Nice to see the BBC TV Licence fee being put to good use in providing quality content for the world to enjoy!!
@dixonpinfold25825 жыл бұрын
More than half of Canada. This report had numerous serious defects and has been useful mainly for the fun of ripping it apart. Cheers.
@zourdiesel85795 жыл бұрын
I got Tamales 4 sale Oregon 👌
@pandora84785 жыл бұрын
Brexit will help us avoid this (sarcastic comment btw).
@earthman67005 жыл бұрын
It helps drive it.
@abcun175 жыл бұрын
Things seemed to be humming along before the 1929 stock market crash and Great Recession as well...and we all now how that turned out...
@johnd43485 жыл бұрын
So were is a person suppose to put their money for retirement. Seems like everyplace is a risk or pays nothing.
@Helen_5905 жыл бұрын
I have adopted a minimalist life style. I'd rather limit myself now before the storm,rather than be forced to let go of things. People get rid of your debt, if you need to discharge it do it , if you need to go into bankruptcy, close your eyes a bite the bullet.
@martinmowbray64485 жыл бұрын
Try to repay all your debts while you can.
@justrandom87665 жыл бұрын
Best plan and i'm doing that. None of my money will stay in the bank.
@rinnin5 жыл бұрын
Gets 11 seconds to talk about the most critical challenge of humanity: the existential threat of the climate crisis - then gets cut off. We're f**ked!
@spacered9495 жыл бұрын
@BBC Newsnight How is Economic/Trade policy uncertainty (1:42) measured?
@tomhilditch23285 жыл бұрын
No mention of quantitive easing?
@parrmik5 жыл бұрын
The graphics look like an atari video game , circa 1988. The female expert looks like a character from that game !
@USARMYvietnamVET19695 жыл бұрын
As a conservative American Citizen I'm well prepared for what ever comes, it's happened before and will happen again... always hope for the best but prepare for the worst.
@motorradleder5 жыл бұрын
Hope for the best but prepare for the worst means stop spending and save as much money as possible for a rainy day. Do you have a year's take home pay in the bank ready for the next layoff? Have you also saved cash for a major repair, like a new roof? Do you also have savings to buy your next used car when your car dies? Will you ever be able to retire? The answer to those questions from most Americans is no. It is time to adjust the rate at which we consume everything. We don't need most things on which we waste our money. Conserve - turn the heat down to 50. Live in tiny houses. Don't work so damn hard. Enjoy the experiences of life, not the material posessions. You can be happy with nothing !
@USARMYvietnamVET19695 жыл бұрын
motorradleder - A detailed and accurate reply, my parents instilled those values in me when I was growing up.
@AgentSmith9115 жыл бұрын
I'm 33 years old, I work a full time job, but I most likely have to sell my car soon and take the bus even though I dislike it. Why? Because I live at home with my parents and have a dream to get my own home one day. But the fact is that even though my parents are also working full time, both in their late 60s, all three of us struggle to live a "Western" and modern lifestyle. We don't waste our money, but there's no way a man can provide for his family alone like back in the 1950s. Now everyone have to work their ass off and soon we might even have to go back to child labor lol... The super rich billionaires are doing fine however. They have made money on the stock market rise while regular people are losing money if they want to save money in the bank. Blaming Brexit and China isn't gonna cut it. This is a permanent and unavoidable slide towards a depression making the 1930s look like heaven.
@alana16705 жыл бұрын
Ben Chu @ 0.40: " and this week the 2 year market borrowing rate for both the US and the UK fell below the respective 10 year rates for the first time since the financial crisis a decade ago." Er.... no. The exact opposite happened. The 2 year rate went higher than the 10 year rate thus inverting the yield curve. I hate being 'informed' by someone who has no idea what they are talking about. This was a scripted piece so not mere misspeaking. From an economics editor!! No wonder levels of financial literacy are so low when those explaining economics get it wrong.
@penguin01015 жыл бұрын
Alan A totally, confused me for a sec when he blabbered it
@ome695 жыл бұрын
Hands up if your local area still has not recovered from the last recession? Or if news reports of the economy recovering and families having more surplus funds were a stark difference from the reality you could see and feel too. Londoners need not reply!
@andynewzealand5 жыл бұрын
Yes. No doubt.
@dangiscongrataway23655 жыл бұрын
He is right, world wide inequality is too high, this has tremendous negative impact on aggregated demand which hurts economic growth. Obviously by definition this is a slowdown and on a brink of recession
@hereb4theend4 жыл бұрын
How convenient for the kowid 18+1 to come along at the right time.
@wolfpac5505 жыл бұрын
America still haven’t completely recovered from the last recession and taxes are going up and wages not reflecting that. We are in huge trouble if the people can’t make enough money to buy products what you think will happen when it all comes down.
@markman634 жыл бұрын
Almost a year later and we are still doing fine
@ferral19725 жыл бұрын
Americans just don't seem to care about the rising debt levels. Interest on borrowings already over 100% of GDP and they just want everyone to borrow more. Kick that can down the road for another 5 to 10 years and the impact will be greater for us still trying to build wealth in such an environment.
@steppib.45985 жыл бұрын
Global -war, -recession, -crisis, -warming, -terrorism, etc!!! Maybe we need less global and more local!!!! 😑 If we can't solve the local problems, how could anyone think we could handle the global problems!?! 🙅🙅
@mscorrell4 жыл бұрын
AUD has dropped 8% in last 24 hours against USD.
@gregmiller43875 жыл бұрын
Yes we are always heading for a recession it's like asking are we dying the answer is always yes.It's looks like there will be a recession soon and if it coincidences with a Brexit recession there is a good chance of it forcing us into a depression.People don't like it when you use the "D" word so you won't hear that much but it is an unmentioned worry for people who watch the economy.
@twat2405 жыл бұрын
Especially with the China trade war. And since we and the US will be literally unable to recover from a recession at all. We're heading for a depression unless there's a miracle.
@frenchmanntube5 жыл бұрын
Of course, who would have guessed the BBC would blame it on Trump.
@scamwitness65945 жыл бұрын
I just need to clear up one thing:- when interest rates on Government Bonds go low - does that mean it is the measurement of how much of its debt it was able to pay off? Iam sorry if I sound very stupid but I am not versed in this area - thanks guys and hope someone takes a moment to explain this.
@uvatham5 жыл бұрын
What is growth , building concrete forest & damaging the Nature.
@gabrielw77735 жыл бұрын
When Joseph Stiglitz says "Well Germany's poised to go into recession and that will weaken all of Europe and that the United States is not likely to go into a recession" This comment kind of reminds me of 2007 when they said that the subprime market is only a small part of the economy and that it wouldn't affect our economy that much. Subprime only came close to starting the next Great Depression and would have. How can you say that if all of Europe is going to be affected it's not going to cause our economy to go into recession? It will cause our economy to go into recession too if all of Europe is going to be affected by Germany because everything is Global.
@Bloodslunt5 жыл бұрын
Not sure what the floating globe added to the video, apart from forcing the guy to stare into empty space and make awkward hand gestures.....
@rasputinswalloper4755 жыл бұрын
He was throwing shade at flat-earthers.
@tracymcginty.28605 жыл бұрын
No deal Brexit will cause mayhem for a while
@richardmadden87425 жыл бұрын
Good!
@stevepowsinger7335 жыл бұрын
Sorry, I have read some of Stieglitz and he doesn’t impress me, Nobel prize or whatever. Yea, negative interest rates encourage business investment - but why would anyone lend at negative rates? It will be a bank crisis.
@bilgyno15 жыл бұрын
Economy is in need of a major stimulus... How about the much needed major investment in the transition to a carbon free economy?
@robk93305 жыл бұрын
Nobel peace prize winner my ass. Promoting more stimulus (more money printing) will only make consumer goods prices go up considerably and eventually cause hyperinflation like Venezuela. The USA and Europe could become like Venezuela. It is totally possible.
@Pathofplenty5 жыл бұрын
They need to get social crediting in and to move us onto a slightly different monetary system. A recession is basically the banks cashing up.
@yggdrasil90395 жыл бұрын
Let's not mention the 125 Trillion in US debt.
@Kerem.K615 жыл бұрын
Is this real??
@Andrew-34455 жыл бұрын
@@Kerem.K61 Unfunded liabilities of $125 trillion is right.
@Kerem.K615 жыл бұрын
@@Andrew-3445 ok thx
@geneclark36005 жыл бұрын
Idfk about the rest of you, but America is doing just fine.
@geneclark36005 жыл бұрын
@HardWarUK LOL, a little dip in the stock market and everyone freaks out. BTW, are you in the UK? Because if you are....fix your own backyard first maybe?
@AST4EVER5 жыл бұрын
No.... We are heading for a WESTERN MARKET CRASH. 4:43 First so called economist to be saying this shit 😂😂 5:08 is he on American payroll..??
@justadam19173 жыл бұрын
It is still going to happen but it still hasn't happened yet
@GunCatPowMeow5 жыл бұрын
of course.. the bbc blames trump.. errr.. how abou to get someone who knows how to talk about fundamentals?
@John_Smith1005 жыл бұрын
ORANGE MAN BAD
@ktcool46605 жыл бұрын
@@John_Smith100 ORANGE FAN MAD
@John_Smith1005 жыл бұрын
@@ktcool4660 🤣 good one
@johnathanpearson32035 жыл бұрын
No. We are heading for WTO no deal greatness. The word is WINNING 🇬🇧
@matthewbrooker5 жыл бұрын
Don't underestimate the power of a nation state to depreciate it's way out of hard times! Not something Italy can do anymore thanks to the German hegemony that is the €€€!
@Beliefish5 жыл бұрын
the only thing that materes is, that people voted for Trump and that people voted for brexit. in we have a recession people will not have the right to blame bankers, politicions or kapitalism, they will have to blame themself. this recession will be democraticly voted for
@Beliefish5 жыл бұрын
@James McD everything was quite fine till the start of the trade war. brexit is just a cherry on top. both voted for... recession would eventually start, but it helps if you trigger it. like Lehman brothers...
@John_Smith1005 жыл бұрын
@@BeliefishWRONG. Recessions are cyclical (amongst other factors) due to credit being made available, then withdrawn. Whatever is left of the United Kingdom will come out of Brexit stronger once EU shackles are removed. EU is a failed project but do carry on remoaning.
@Beliefish5 жыл бұрын
@@John_Smith100 im not remoaning. im from slovenia...
@SiVlog19895 жыл бұрын
Part of the problem is that although employment figures suggest a record number in work. What is less frequently mentioned by politicians is the fact that by no means are those in employment satisfied with the job they have. Many of them feeling underemployed, the so called living wage is not a true statement. Nobody can even hope to live on the living wages that are around at the moment
@kimwarburton84905 жыл бұрын
0-hr contracts also
@SiVlog19895 жыл бұрын
@@kimwarburton8490 exactly
@stefanushadi41245 жыл бұрын
Economic slowdown/turndown is very dangerous !
@chrislambert16175 жыл бұрын
In Science lessons I was told that matter begins at -273.15 that is 0 degrees Kelvin, not 0 degree Celsius perhaps they will begin Bank lending interest rates at -274.15 or 0 degrees Kelvin
@martinmowbray64485 жыл бұрын
Every one is talking about “global” recession. Not in Thailand were I’m currently living. The economy is booming.
@Nexgeninfi5 жыл бұрын
If the country's economic deals/trades shifts toward China.
@imayjustsay5 жыл бұрын
I don't care about the Recession, Brexit will sort our our problems
@truth.speaker5 жыл бұрын
Simple solution to win: Grab a part time job on the side and stuff that info into a separate bank account and start looking at which companies you would like to own a part of. Then just wait for a big recession. When the stock price crashes and people are selling off for pennies, buy as much as you can. Thank me when prices return to where they are today If you're not the investor type, how would you feel if you had saved up a little? If there's not any recession soon, you'd be happy to be wrong. You'd have thousands in the bank. It's good to be wrong and have thousands saved up. Buy yourself a house. That's your deposit
@swapnaneelnandy56174 жыл бұрын
YES!
@Derpaherpa1235 жыл бұрын
Infrastructure investments seems to be the option here
@dianaascencio17175 жыл бұрын
"The calm before the storm" - Trump
@laser314155 жыл бұрын
Borrow at negative interest rates? Where can I get That deal?
@ЯрославКовальчук-и9ь5 жыл бұрын
Yes, they didn't explain it properly: those were 10 years rates - 2 year (inverted interest curve )
@John_Smith1005 жыл бұрын
Denmark. YOUR HOME IS AT RISK IF YOU DO NOT FIND ANOTHER FOOL TO PAY MORE FOR IT THAN YOU.
@pedrolopes35425 жыл бұрын
the answer is: YES. (and I haven't even watch the video yet) China's cooling off economy + US tariffs + brexit + Germany's new normal of low growth caused by demographics+ South America's cyclical recession + Australia real estate bubble bursting + Italy's debt bomb and subsequent recession ... all of this combined will lead to a global recession for sure, even if it is not as serious as the last crisis 2007-2012
@-eurosplitsofficalclanchan60575 жыл бұрын
China are building homes with no residents, Germany is building cars with no passengers and this is stockpiling around the world.
@xx38685 жыл бұрын
4 important places have high debt both govt and personal which is more critical. Aust, US, China, Europe and int rates are mostly zero indicating no more spending. In aust, we had a massive housing boom where we bidded against endless chinese bids and left Australians broke with houses that will soon devalue and then default back to the banks as happened after in the US and mathematically after any decent boom. The IMF has warned aust its in serious trouble and rates are going down almost monthly here. The govt has taken action to have cash withdrawal limits to try and hold cash in the banks if we go neg, thus a bail in may be needed to save the banks as our their housing debt exposure is way higher than the US in 2008, and they got hammered. What about here? Besides a 12 year since the last start of last crash, so its due anyway- overdue really plus all the terrible numbers now and US bond yield curve inversion then means just months till crash. and we are there pretty well now. Also efficiency and AI is taking away full time jobs and that will accelerate soonish as trucks drivers and even some labour jobs simply dissapear. The smart jobs that were predicted around 1980+ are finally arriving as computers took off then buy AI wasnt invented and was difficult to get right with low powered computing. NOW thats all changed and tomorrow is going to be a diff labour market with some haveing jobs and the rest not as we are slowly seeing everywhere. Now enough work and insane house prices and flat economies. all contradictions, but there it is and result? Correction in a big way, maybe 3 times as bad as the 2008 GFC. Thats the data talking and you can wish for it not to happen, but it WILL if it has to. Just as surely as a massive rock will hit the earth again as it did 65 million years ago and gave rise to mammals and apes then humans and here we are until the next hits then the next species takes over. Enjoy the good times while you we have them nothing lasts forever....
@ML61035 жыл бұрын
The wording just makes me shake my head. Donald trump is specifically mentioned. China is not held accountable as much, and let’s not forget it takes two to tango.
@rolsson16935 жыл бұрын
Taking advice from a former Clinton gov adviser and Democratic supporter - Joseph Stiglitz. Who spend a couple decades getting us into this mess. Way to go BBC.
@minlancai49744 жыл бұрын
what does the interviewee mean about the fundamental weakness of US
@nnthegiver21405 жыл бұрын
What is Brexit?
@earthman67005 жыл бұрын
It's a badly considered ill-thought out Tory Party pet project to placate the hard-line anti-EU Party members. Biased and targeted media coverage and campaigns resulted in a marginal win to the Leave EU side (52%) three years ago, in an Advisory Referendum. Leaving the EU is seen by those that favour it as either a Patriotic ideal based on old England or a benefit for Politicians released from regulatory control by EU standards and Laws. That the UK helped create. Leaving the EU has benefits for the highly wealthy as the EU is fighting Tax evasion and avoidance. A recession will enable billionaires to buy up Stocks, property, businesses at devalued prices. Other merits of brexit? Hard to find despite three years looking. Downside of brexit? War? Sanctions? (GFA), Project fear such as devalued £, lack of preparation and a lack of adequate taxpayers money being funded into infrastructure, process change, legal, etc. Government reports of such forseen problems dismissed by those driving it. Interest rates will rise, inflation will rise, property will devalue, people will have negative equity mortgages. The NHS will probably be changed to Insurance funded. No insurance then no healthcare. No EU Human rights to protect citizens from the Home Secretary. No prove of any of the claims made for its future benefits. Etc, etc. Brexit is a three legged lame at birth donkey wrapped in high explosives! You can't be sure which will go bang first and what that will break. Being mangy it still looks a little cute in photos but you wouldn't want to bring it home. Beware the Law of unintended consequences.
@nthperson5 жыл бұрын
Developed country economies are driven by property market cycles that last an average of 18-21 years. Homer Hoyt showed this decades ago examining property market cycles in the City of Chicago. Other economists have confirmed Hoyt's findings as having general application. The last property market crash occurred in 2008. Thus, in the U.S. we are at mid-cycle. However, thanks to the action of the Federal Reserve to re-ignite property prices by pushing mortgage interest rates to historic lows, the cycle may reach its zenith well before the 18th year arrives. One gauge is to examine residential property appraisals across the nation. In those markets where the median land-to-total value ratio exceeds 35 percent, those markets are at risk because of the lag of increases in household income and household savings. When mortgage loan investors see significant increases in the number of borrowers who are contributing less than 5 percent cash as a down payment and when liberalizing of creditworthiness criteria is required to maintain transaction volumes, these are clear indication that markets are over-stressed and a correction is on the horizon.
I think if countries can be moved into recessions that easily, they need to conceive new systems that have much stronger foundations that address direct methodology to how it could withstand an economy entrenched between others in adjacent nations and dealing with a pandemic. I understand pandemics are rare but this Covid situation makes us all look like we have no acumen on how to deal with that and at the same time manage economies from tanking outright as the pandemic is playing out.
@chrismitchell32835 жыл бұрын
'Collapse' would be a more fitting word...Especially for the US.
@Frenchylikeshikes5 жыл бұрын
So I'm French...how messed up are we over there ???
@kendraabeene11735 жыл бұрын
Homelessness exploded in the US. Shit jobs for shit wages, high rents. People are more callous and it's everyone for themselves. Hoping the middle age and younger gen votes this time around.
@AaronKLok5 жыл бұрын
Technically that option will be a restart of the actual currency or find other ways to measure commodities and agro products/food/seeds.
@tetraforce37435 жыл бұрын
Teachers need to stop giving students detections and stop punishing children
@Flosseveryday5 жыл бұрын
I know this is a serious topic, but raising his arms, over and over again, when the Globe was front and center? 😂
@cyrilo-ol5xb5 жыл бұрын
A serious UK recession, as a result of brexit, is number one;)
@logic73745 жыл бұрын
Brexit isn't causing a recession. If anything, the shock would be temporary and there would be massive influx of FDI in the U.K!
@wodenravens5 жыл бұрын
Brexit hasn't happened. But if and when it does, it is likely to worsen any problems the UK is facing. A temporary recession is still a recession. And every recession is temporary.
@anils66104 жыл бұрын
Sell everything
@srinivasanranganathan71595 жыл бұрын
It is yes, yes and yes!
@haifamayang37194 жыл бұрын
here after corona attack us.
@dixonpinfold25825 жыл бұрын
This guy is a clown. At 1:35 he shows a chart of "uncertainty". The vertical scale shows units (of "uncertainty", peaking at 6. Six? Six what??) which have a zero level and then a negative level. How can you have less than zero uncertainty? Bozo, I say.