Are You ACTUALLY Thinking at This Level? - Poker Hands Dissected 04

[@a-yo126]

This was a very well done video! I appreciate it. I liked the part where he said that am I doing the same analysis at the table real time vs afterwards. I can honestly say I am not. And my losing is pretty telling that I need more thought to my game. Thanks again for this!

[@Drghuck]

Cool breakdown and analysis. My wife and I have started hosting a small table monthly over the last year. I am dealing typically with a range of experience at the table including my inlaws/neighborhoods.. who have been dealing for 30+ years. I am trying to get my reins on identifying hands and making sure I recognize the winning hands even before they are turned up after the river. Any help there or resources would be great. In this specific video of yours I only see 3 hands off the top of my head that could have beat the subject full house: pocket 4s, 7s or Ks. Is that supported? Thanks for any advice 🙏

[@hughwheaton2705]

what is the idea of checking vs check/ raising the turn? Like, if you choose to do one over the other, you're likely committing to that one line and neglecting the other right? Benefits for check-raising include being able to fold out a wide range's equity on the turn, being able to capitalize on draws' equities on the turn while ensuring you don't miss the river bet with your sets when a sticky villain has a hand like AK, and in general allow you to play 55, 89s, and any weak heart draws with confidence instead of having to suss out bluff catchers. The benefits for calling I can see include being a more passive line so that it is easier to represent your calling range in the blinds (I'm not too sure what my calling range would actually look like for instance, as I'd mainly be looking to 3-Bet or fold depending on the rake), you get to bait these types of hands as well as bluffs and you're life is easy when the draws miss (you fold the draws, call the sets), and you defend your draw hands to be able to hit on the river and snap off some big pots with the implied odds. The problem I see with the more passive approach though is that there is a lot more that could go wrong, you give your opponent the extra card with the range and positional advantages, you give them the chance to check down, you don't get the possibility of them jamming on the turn, and ultimately you have to decide what to call on the river, which by my understanding is a little harder than figuring what to jam with and on what rivers...

[@Spydagotpiff]

I dont mind the check on the turn i mix my game up from my image to others..so if i have been tight i would check since this opponent is agressive and sticky...But since this man is sticky and agressive im gonna fire that turn most of the time.. Because of the possible flush and straight draw..

[@machine_salecalgary1949]

You shouldn't call 5x raise with small pocket pair out of position. What if you miss? Then you call and miss 9-10 times like that? You would be losing about $225, which is 40-50 BBs. Any idiot can win nice pot when hitting a set. No need to analyse that. If hes good he wood be making money by playing the game not wasting his time by teaching. Just saying and wasting my time just like that guy.

[@chazsmith20]

@02:50 Why aren't you 3 betting his button open? If he's aggressive against one limper a button open is a super wide range. There are only 5.8% of hands that are pocket pairs which means, at worst, if he 4 bets you, you can just jam and assume to be flipping but mostly he folds. If he calls you just play post flop.

[@timelkin838]

I thought I'd bet turn but check is the right move. You block 2 hearts and hit boat if he flushes the river so you don't need to protect against the flush and if we look week it's more likely we can play for stacks if he donk bluffs river if he misses flush. If that heart it's the turn are we playing for stacks on the turn? Maybe he has the A of hearts and the K. He calls with pairs often here.

[@StreetSoulLover]

LOL@Villain shoving river when we have all the 4h in our range, this is not a good river for villain. What does he think we are calling turn with. I would never check the river as it checks behind SOOOO often

[@janmichaelenriquez4769]

I would check call flop, since aggressor will possibly on a high probability bets on Flop, since he’s aggressive. Turn, prolly check as well, he’ll probably bomb turn to prevent straight and f draws or even mid pairs to continue, he putting you in a suited connector with a hit, Ax heart f draw; we can get the full value on turn i think, Jam on turn raise.

[@jared_grey]

The lead seems really bad for our overall range strategy. What does Hero's lead range consist of here? We should be checking all hands here OOP to initial raiser. More value in protecting our check-back range with X/C or X/R on this flop texture with middle set.

[@seangarner2687]

His range is actually pretty wide. He has a lot of pair+draws, two pair, OESD, naked flush draws, combo draws, etc. This is a very fine play against an aggressive opponent who might read this bet as weak. At 2-5, I almost never see anyone donking with this strong a hand.

[@TooRiRi]

I recently found your channel and your videos are great quality, I'm learning a lot. Thanks for the help and keep up the hard work!

[@SchoolofCards]

Matthew Marsh thanks man!

[@bacchys]

I loved the video. I would have liked to see you talk some about comparing range versus range, such as why hero's range is capped at perhaps AK, QQ, if even that high, while villain's runs all the way to AA.

[@paulvallett4955]

8g

[@abduallah5755]

Damn some tough decisions here...... especially that river call

[@XRayoki]

I like the analysis, however one thing that "could've" been looked at and I think played better is the check call on the turn. Considering 4s6h7h, the opponent will have many semi bluffs there in his range on the turn. There are 3 cards to make a single card straight, and if any of those peel off you will be playing a guessing game with an aggressive opponent. However, by check-raising you now will also be representing those flush draws and straight draws yourself. So if your opponent has top pair, he will have to get it in with top pair and a good kicker. If he doesn't and actually has the draw himself, you fold off his equity to draw for his gutshot, and some opponents fold flush draws and open end straight draws as well. If he does get it in with those draws, you are a huge favorite regardless. While you may fold out some weaker opponents by check-raising, most logical thinking player would call AK to a reraise in this spot.

[@McGavel1]

I note those sticky players who are agro when shown weakness as N2 - Inducible - cuz you can induce their bluff. I sometimes like limping vs their blinds when I have a good stack and a good hand. Gonna watch the rest now and thanks in advance for more tips. In the last 3 days I've had 9xRow profitable cash sessions and cashed in a freeroll where only top 10 pay of 690 players cuz games and learning are fun - wooot!

[@ryanstevenson1364]

Seems like I don't get the results I should with the check trap

[@justinthomas4201]

Any email I can send hands to for these videos? I have a couple from my game today that would go well in these videos I believe.

[@ILOVEDANCEHALL]

What's up my dude !!! I remember meeting you at The Sony camp out !! Glad I found the channel !!!

[@nevermind2004]

Thank you for what you do.

[@benmaymony]

i cant agree with those acts! the student has to re- raise on the turn for value, for those explanations: if that was a pure bluff by the villain so be it. that sticky guy whoud call with a flush or straight draw/ a weak or strong k. if it is a bluff that villian wouldnt bet or call on the river but if it is a king you might get some value on the river. no player should shove like the villain does. that passive play of the student has no profit.

[@breytex]

totally agree

[@wdiddy1]

Agree shove on turn to force fold or horrible call with A 5 of hearts which is the best draw possible. Less likely to get a call but safer, what do you do otherwise if a heart hits river and he shoves? 70 /30 on whether to call or not.

[@socialadscompany8510]

The K is in buttons range by that raise preflop, turn call and check river is like the worse option in my opinion. The only argument is that you give the agro guy a chance to bluf but in a more skilled game nobody every gonna rip it in on a 4 river because that's the worse card to barrel. After check/call turn, lead river for value hoping he has AA/AK or like i agree with benmaymony; just re-raise turn to get it in asap. As played he got max value but you should not be result oriented.

[@leafsharp]

Yeaaa me too was thinking about that... the pot is fairly large so i would like it to win it right away by check raising and maybe value betting the river if no hearths comes

[@tonypov5230]

Prob should of reraised all in after he bet on turn like what would u do if a heart came? He's aggressive he could easlily have 2 hearts or a openender...

[@Magallaneric]

I check to raiser there on the flop

[@Magallaneric]

I dont call the raise pre-flop with action behind and a small pair

[@int0the3p1t32]

Dude. This is sick information. I’ve been playing magic the gathering for like a year and for whatever reason finally discovered poker this past weekend. Any tips for a beginner? I love deep analysis and theories and anything that overcomplicates life hahaha.

[@int0the3p1t32]

(I’m noticing the way this dude talks is similar to top tier magic players)

[@infosneakr]

Save your money and do something else lol

[@rasmusharaldsson]

you continued with poker? lol

[@fundiver198]

It is always a bit awkward to play out of position without preflop initiative, and there are pros and cons to both donk betting, check-calling and check-raising the flop, when you hit. This time donking worked perfect for Hero, but I am not sure, he did it for the right reason. Hero say, he wanted to induce a bluff raise, but in my opinion donk betting is more likely to discourage the aggressive BTN player from bluffing than incourage it. So I think, the flop logic is a bit flawed, and Hero was lucky, his opponent made a somewhat lose call with AK high and hit hard on the turn. From that point it probably did not matter, what line Hero had taken. Its really hard to imagine his opponent folding top pair top kicker, when he called the flop with AK high and is "sticky". So continuing with the lead in the hand after taking it on the flop would also have gotten the money in.

[@pauloteixeira4188]

My first time here and I just wanted to say how incredible it is for people to act differently even if given the same information. I mean I would never donk flop cause if im flat called and the turn card is just a bad card like a 5 of hearts you will either check and give away your strength to the agressive player, or bet and if he is a good player he will raise because the board just got complicated and will test your strength there (because that is what agressive players usually do). By donking you are telling you hit something usually and you are not showing him weekness IMO. On the turn I would play it differently as well, dispite not being against how you played in this case and agreeing on the check, but i would try to take advantage of the stickiness of the oponent and check raise for some value, because oponents who stick, when they dont hit you wont get value on river, however this is not true in the turn. River is fine either way for me, either go for value or check to get value, in this case prolly didnt matter cause he wasnt letting go AK but most cases I personally would go for value with such a big hand like a full house and go for a check call in Top pair Top kicker or Top pair Good kicker kind of situations

[@noahmcdaniel4920]

Why would you expect either of them to hit that flop, nonetheless a raise from the dealer who 5x’d the BB? It doesn’t seem like there would be very many hands in his range that could hit that flop?

[@kyleclancy4040]

Hero should of check shoved the turn, it gets max value from hearts and prevents four card straights from forming. He was lucky the villian went for super thin value, he probably thought youd had a 7

[@paulpena6091]

Very unlikely villain is calling that shove. Being too defensive. If you worry too much about bad beats you’ll be - ev. Also the board pairs a 3rd of the time which turns your set into a boat and crushes flushes

[@lizard9]

I agreed all through out the play but I don’t agree just calling after aggressive player make a bet. There no worry of possible flush or straight, student could loose to pocket K or 7 in hand.

[@fadiazzam1576]

First flat call on the turn is bad there is soo many cards can block the action and you won't get paid, as far as ak I would check behind on the river.

[@BazIrvine]

You had me at "considerization".

[@ViciousOneWon]

Most of the time, the pocket 6s will lose the $25 call, because he will not flop a set often enough to make up for the times he does not flop a set! He will flop the set 1 of 8 hands, so winning $50 and losing $175 after the 8 hands, assuming no more bets, for a net loss of $125. So the one time he flops the set, he has to make sure the pot adds another $125 in order to break even. There are a lot of other factors to consider, but IMO, he should always fold pre-flop because the pre-flop bet is too high to make up for the times he will not hit the set!

[@clarencetroy520]

I totally agree! Call $20 to win $37? That's less than 2:1 pot odds. Lay it down my man.....just lay it down. Wait for a better spot, one where you are not out of position would be a good start.

[@garygwin1741]

Classic exploitive play here. It's all about knowing your opponent. It's Non-Standard, with great reading skills, and I LOVE IT!

[@Hero59469]

Why wouldn't he just check the flop? 4 reasons: 1. He is aggresive. 2. The board is pretty low so the agg player probably expects them to fold. 3. There is a big chance the pre-flod aggresser c-bets. 4. If you make the agg player bet, hd becomes more pot commited.

[@neiled_It]

Jesse Diks 💯💯💯 well said, sir.

[@jimbox7307]

thx a Lot. with this i had Won the big215 on Stars! !!!!

[@chazsmith20]

Every part of this hand was played superbly (except perhaps the preflop flat) by hero. The author of this video makes it seem it was "an easy hand to play". That's only because of the pristine runout. Would you say that if it had runout to 4 to a flush or 4 to a straight and villain jammed? Would you THEN be critical that he didn't raise on the flop or incorrectly checked the turn? It's easy in hindsight to say "oh this hand was easy to play". But how many of us trapping with sets have gotten burned? Truth is the donk on the flop was perfect against an aggressive opponent who will call you with nearly ALL of his range (not JUST AK). The check on the turn was equally brilliant and though it wouldn't have made much difference in this hand - WOULD have made a huge difference if he had a weaker hand that would likely lead out. And finally the river. A lot of people would try to make a small bet to hope and induce and also secretly nervous villain might just check back. But he stuck to his read and got max value. Again, wouldn't have made much difference in THIS hand but in a larger grouping of hands was perfect. Well played sir!

[@connman8d617]

If I had flopped the set of 6's the river would have been the 5 of hearts. This game loves to torment me in these spots by bringing unrelenting scare cards and runner runners. In this scenario, before the villains hole cards were revealed, I figured he had AK with at least 1 heart. How much harder would it be for the hero to call that jam if the river was indeed the 5 of hearts? At that point, 33, 77, 88, AKh, KQh, QJh, J10h, 89h all manhandle you. Ultimately, that's not a lot of combos so I think I might have to call with middle set. Then my opponent would flip AKh and I would be really sad.

[@tavishmcdonell6615]

Most of this analysis is irrelevant to playing flopped sets on wet boards at low stakes. You could check to the raiser on the flop or lead out, both could work. Then just bet-raise your hand for value. Against a villain this bad, you will be collecting his stack soon anyway, no need to trap him.

[@connman8d617]

Would you really say the villain is awful at poker? He raised with AKo: certainly the default play. He C-bet the flop: a very standard play with AK in position (he should be wary of how wet this flop is but I don't think the C-bet is a donk move here). The King then hits his range and has likely given him the lead against much of the caller's range which contains lots of combos of 56, 68, 78, 88, 89, 99 and maybe even 1010 so he bets it and I don't think it's necessarily a bad bet as there are worse hands that are going to call (straight and flush draws - especially those that have also paired the board). The only real donk move he made was shoving the river. I see a lot of missed draws on that river who are going to fold and the only ones who are going to call are made straights, full houses and maybe trip fours. In my book, one mistake does not a donk make.

[@chrisharrison1296]

I like betting the river on this hand over checking. A player that is really aggressive will likely raise you anyway, and you don't risk leaving value on the table.

[@hikkespett]

By betting you're most likely folding out all of villains bluffs, checking here seems to me like the absolute best option.

[@chrisharrison1296]

Calling a pre flop raise and then check calling doesn't necessarily rep a hand that someone would want to toss a stone cold bluff out on. Unless that person is truly very aggressive, if so, they will at least call a one third pot bet. In this case it obviously worked to check the river, but it would hurt to get no value on the nuts.

[@swingdocta]

hikkespett after betting 125 on the turn villian has air not often enough to make a check profitable

[@PaulChurch1000]

The villain's river shove seems like a huge mistake. What worse hands could make the call - the villain has the Kh, which blocks KhXh. How often is this getting called by a weaker K? The board texture doesn't lend itself to other missed draws with decent showdown value. Ah7h or 78 or 56 or whatever middle pair is in terrible shape facing an overbet from the preflop aggressor. AK has way too much equity to shove - it would be better to value bet small with the intention of calling off, at least the villain would get value from more hands while losing the same to better.

[@Leo-zp9ip]

I agree. The shove on the end makes no sense. What hand is paying you there? You only get called by hands that beat you.

[@jdvicvega0]

Paul Church. Agreed. If i was villain I would of been on high alert when my turn bet got called.

[@joemanna491]

@Scumlol...Lack of discipline does not necessarily mean lack of knowledge.

[@jayd1261]

I disagree, shoving riv with ako seems good to imo theoretically speaking. Assuming both players are playing decently balanced this is a good riv shove imo. He has some weaker kings that can bet smaller for value as well as some pp's like 88-qq. Given his flop flat call and big turn bet I don't see any sets or 4x in his range so AK is at the top of his range here making it the best value hand in your shoving range, which he should have imo. This polarizes his range and I could def see some calls here by 6x or 7x especially ones like a7 for example which unblock all his missed draws. I can see how someone may be against shoving but I don't see a good player saying something like "it seems like a HUGE mistake", meaning imo youre probably a donkey.

[@wdiddy1]

Jay D it's a huge mistake, that player and you are probably gamblers. One pair all in? Way too spewy! Opponent bet flop and called big turn bet, a 4 is quite possible and won't fold to river shove, 0 fold equity unless other player had a flush draw, in which case he ain't calling all in anyways. You are praying he has a 6,7 or worse K and will call all in, lol.

[@gaguero123]

Hello professor, long time no see

[@pokerandtravel6946]

Blake hi. Why don't you analyze some more complicated hands. I think that most of your audience would appreciate it. Peace 🙂

[@atifqureshi7657]

Didn't like his line on the flop, I mean you calling from bb into 2 opponents and you smashed the flop why lead???? What story are you selling ?? What are you trying to rep?? Check call the flop checkraise the the turn or even check jam and rep a combo sort of draw.

[@dannyboy9848]

I know a lot of people who do this. After leaving the table they will give a brief reasoning of a couple of take downs. By 24 hrs later they have elaborate explanations with deep analysis, yet I think they are reviewing in 3rd person at this point and give themselves way too much credit for processing that much info in a couple of minutes during actual live play.

[@ChinGuan31]

Basically hero over here do the right move with enough good reason, Villain overvalue TPTK hand in such situation. basically when hero can call villain river bet villain are going to lose 90% of the time

[@b0rme]

I would check call the flop, lead turn and shove river

[@Manning_Family]

I much prefer checking the flop and then betting the river, rather than the opposite.

[@inkognito9466]

Matthew Manning why?

[@keithmartin7120]

more coaching Eddy!

[@Magallaneric]

Check the turn

[@tonypov5230]

But at end of the day you have 666 not hard to play lol I lost with 2 sets at Casino my last session... flop set on a great A7j 2 hearts flop turn heart I bet he shove I fold shows me flush gotta love it! set over set 2nd one and I felt it too lol

[@seangarner2687]

My god, that river shove is such spew.

[@wangtangkiki]

No. It's getting thin value.. plus if I'm not getting value from flop two pairs, then I'm making a ton of money from bluff shoving my missed flush draws which can easily play the same line as this.. you can't always fold two pair on this river as Hero cause competent players will be bluff shoving a lot of rivers.

[@walta10]

On the turn he needs to raise too many draws and a lot of cards that can change the dynamic of the board. Also the river 90% of the time goes check check. Bet your own hand my moto for the most part.

[@benfox463]

Pre is fine (30x), I like the small bet otf for the reasons he states. Turn check I like but and this is a big BUT......... We absolutely must re-pop it here, we are getting called by any K and all his draws and possibly even worse hands, this guy is now emotionally invested in this pot and is gonna find it very hard to fold any piece imo...... Coupled with that there are sooooooo many action killing cards that can come otr! 3,5,8 any heart, thats 18 cards that may prevent more money going in otr, Nearly half the deck!!!! Also he will fold a fair few holdings when the board pairs, flatting the turn is awful IMO

[@lookaguru]

Flop set, turn an offsuit value-target cars against a LAG fish, river a boat. I mean could life get any easier?? A monkey could’ve played that hand “well”. Show us a tough spot, show us a bluffing oppptunity, show us a play that maximizes our return against a range, a play that creates a range for us, something about stealing or denying equity. And btw I would raise turn. So many scare cards on the river that can kill your action.

[@infosneakr]

If I was villain I would have folded on flop. No reason to call a donk lead into me the aggressor preflop

[@MyAcresOfDiamonds]

that flop would be perfect for a loose player

[@jburch5752]

Blake Eastman: Why don't you play poker anymore?

[@chessbrilliance8783]

I don't like this turn check/call line especially again a agressive and sticky player. Maybe half/third pot would have fired him to raise bigger. And the check river i would definitely not do fearing a check back. You miss a ton of value against the weakest part of his range like all the middle pairs , and bad kings which like to check behind on the river.

[@georgotheturtle]

I figured the opponent has king 7. Cause he would have top pair on board great kicker. Than the king rolls off so hes thinking hes more than good. Its a decent example lol

[@MO-oc6uj]

Sticky = no fold equity

[@dennisnsharleneparker9797]

To give a general opinion of your video, I like your teaching but I would like to see you gather you thoughts before you speak. I get so mixed up in trying to help you center your thoughts that I miss the point of what you are saying. Hope this helps.

[@paulroos8658]

I was thinking the same thing, no matter what im involved in if giving the chance to go overit and prepare, i would be clean and precise,

[@mjuhazie]

I think the had was played poorly by both players... First, if you say that your opponent is aggressive when you show weakness why would you Donk bet on the flop and take away his opportunity to C-bet? Then on the turn you decide to check to him, he bets 125 and you just call out of position. Anyone with half a brain would know that you are not just calling the $125 with nothing and when you did call the $125 he should have had some alarms going off in his head. Also when you don't check raise the turn that means you plan on checking to him on the river and thus risking getting very little value out of a flopped set. The correct line should have been check call flop, check raise turn, shove river. The only thing worse was the all in on the river by the button...why turn AK into a bluff? Only get called by better hands...

[@saggiteightyfour8367]

I knew first player didn't have a beatable hand. The bottom player might have had three 7s, luckily they folded. They might also be bluffing. This seems too straightforward.

[@ciucurasbogdan2772]

I think the villain will actually win vs 90% of the people who commented here. I don't think neither the players played it bad. Just a cooler for the villain as he made the image of being aggressive i think that's top of his range and a fine thin value 130bb deep.

[@walta10]

Ciucuras Bogdan that’s not a cooler if the villain was a semi decent player. He never gets stacks there and the hero would never get paid against most 2/5 player because it goes check check on the river 75% of the time

[@LazyLAG]

assuming we are talking about online poker and i have 10 sec with that no math read only assumption`s, so any acured read only preconceived thoughts our strong ideas, i prefer raising 66 hoping facing the agro btn that call me with qq+ and move all in our reraise with intention off moving all in qjs+ kjo+ A9s+ ATo and lo pairs, 66 is vs this payers the last lo pair you can really move 3 4 5 bet preflop, if he call me that bord happens prefer let this guy leading the cz already put this guy on qq, this comment is before seeing all action, but if set 66 lose this for st our flush you see clearly my point. calling in that spot bb our sb vs passive and btn raise too fold any flop that don't give you a set, our get sticky cause bord give you bluf opportunities our draws in time you really lose money in that 2 spots, then you ill read bad your stats and mingle with other spots that is correct too only call, too convince your self that you are making right decision. But if you insulate spots and action facing same action with lo pair you ill see you are losing a lot not take advantage.

[@brunoulmkalns7187]

Whatever happened to this project?

[@niemand262]

So, every step of the way he asks the same two useless question, "but were you thinking this explicitly live?" and "are you sure of your assumptions?" These are interesting questions, but there is no need to ask them over and over and over. To learn about poker, or any complex topic (particularly a topic with unknown variables), one must fix certain assumptions in place and work around them. Repeatingly revisiting assumptions is not a good method for learning. Set them, learn within them.

[@Danthrax81]

"buhh-in" "serr-in"

[@rolandtomassi3486]

Wear hand cuffs the next day, the weatherman waves his arms around less than you do

[@91Chacarron]

This hand was played horribly... Talk about getting minimum value with a hand that's at the top of your range. You shouldn't 58s in your range so sets are the best hand you'll have. He turns his damn value hand into a bluff catcher on the turn? vs a STICKY AGG player? Dah fuk?? many better bluff catchers on the turn.... he's agg so x/raise this flop and bet shove. if you do check the flop (which is better since theres the passive dude you can get dead money from) you need to raise flop and continue betting turn and river. He probably thinks you betting turn on King is you repping King card too How does Blake only have only 18k subs? that's crazy... should be like 10x that

[@liyexiang666]

i disagree with this guy on every 3st,,,,