Askja Volcano in Iceland - Will the Next Eruption be as Explosive as the 1875 Disaster

This is the full Askja story to refer to when things heat up even more than they've always done but It's been strange to look at the seismic activity there recently, it's clearly moving around and unpredictable, like the volcano.
I would have liked to have more own footage in this video but Google rescued me this time with some 3D map features. Iv'e been trying to get a private pilot to fly me up to Askja, no luck so far, but this video took way longer time than I expected, so I could have done more inquiries, and will move on with that next week.
My thermal drone fund, has been growing well, I'm almost there, and hoping to make the purchase soon, and thanks again all you who have been helping out, it's a big but important investment for the channel. So if I can make the purchase now in March, the next goal will be to get a friend who has a well equipped jeep to get me up there with the drone. It's by far easier than to find a private pilot to get me up there the cheap way.
So now when this video is ready, that should cover most questions to come so I can concentrate on the shorter updates, I'm going full force into the drone thing, I have the feeling that when I have it by my side, it will open some options for me to bring it to Askja.
Related links:
The book about the visit to Askja in 1876 - Unique insight to the weird eruption back then
baekur.is/bok/...
The volcanoes that are ready in in 2023: • Iceland Volcano Update...
The most dangerous fault in North Iceland: • Iceland's Most Dangero...
My last Askja Update - General Info: • Askja Volcano in Icela...
The landslide in Askja in 2014 (3D) • Berghlaup í Öskju 2014
The emigration to USA and Canada after the 1875 Askja eruption: ENG SUB
• The Emigration from Ic...
If you want to dive deeper:
Great article on the Vulcano Cafe Website: www.volcanocaf...
The Groundwater Dynamics
www.sciencedir...
Live earthquake feed:
en.vedur.is/ea...
Make your own earthquake chart from the website I used to make the chart I used in this video
skjalftalisa.v...
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With Greetings from Iceland
Gylfi

[@ceceliaroberts1475]

You may not be a scientist, but you do a fantastic job explaining the history and what is going on at Askja Volcano.

[@JustIcelandic]

Thanks a ton :)

[@RoxnDox]

You have been educating yourself for the last couple of years, you have a gift for communication and explanation, and you have gotten a lot more people worldwide interested in both Icelandic volcanoes and geology in general. I would certainly call you a Citizen Scientist. 👍👍👍👍👍

[@sigisoltau6073]

​​@@JustIcelandichat's true. Also have you seen the seismograph readings in the Reykjanes Peninsula area? Something is going on there. Unless something changes, we could see an eruption Soon. The pink line has now risen above the other two, and is rising again after a slight drop. And it has been on top for a while now.

[@cyril3935]

WEW. From France with lots of love for your courage, people of Iceland.

[@JustIcelandic]

🤗 thanks a lot with greetings from the north :)

[@lauraalicewatt]

"the ultimate cocktail shaker" -- such a good description. thanks for this update! i'll be staying home in the Westfjords where the rocks are nice and quiet...

[@JustIcelandic]

The oldest rocks in Iceland, good place to stay safe :) and thanks for stopping by :)

[@johnbradshaw7525]

Greetings Gylfi. Another excellent video. The history of the 1875 eruption was really interesting.

[@JustIcelandic]

Many thanks! This is just so remarkable volcano :) had to do the full story :)

[@johnbradshaw7525]

@@JustIcelandic I was unaware of the small eruptions from Askja in the 1920’s.

[@SabeanPagan]

Thank you so much for all the hard work you put into researching and producing these videos for us. Brilliant film again, Gylfi.

[@JustIcelandic]

Many thanks!

[@keef71]

From a child in the 1970s i remember Surtsey because it was featured in a Reader's Digest book 'The Amazing World of Nature' - how an eruption can create a whole new land mass. It always stayed in my mind - ask me now to name two places in Iceland, i would say Rekjavik and Surtsey!

[@JustIcelandic]

Thanks a lot for sharing :) I need actually footage from Surtsey, it's one of a kind place and I would love to fly over it with a drone :) And best regards from Iceland :)

[@patbrain913]

Thank you so much , for explaining so well, what is happening in your country. The history of the volcano, was wonderful.Keep safe, regards from London

[@JustIcelandic]

Thanks a lot and greetings from Iceland :)

[@hreader]

Very many thanks for pointing me at this video. Yet more uncertainty to compound what's going on now on Reykjanes.

[@JustIcelandic]

Thank you for watching :)

[@bilcal]

Thank you for giving the historical context to better understand Askja! All the best! 👍

[@JustIcelandic]

Glad you liked it!

[@williamlloyd3769]

Fantastic that witnesses were interviewed and their impressions were written down! It must of been an epic erruption.

[@JustIcelandic]

The ash plume was an ideal scene for any decent disaster movie, it would need lots of clever CGI to be repeated..

[@mariquestanne1123]

Very good info you gave in this video, I was looking forward for this. Thank you again Gylfi, great job!

[@JustIcelandic]

My pleasure :)

[@GoCoyote]

Another fantastic video, along with the usual dose of incredible Icelandic eye candy. You are not only a gifted photographer and drone videographer, but also a great editor and finder of of information and history. Stay warm and dry, and see you in the next one!

[@JustIcelandic]

Wow, thank you so much :) Just starting :)

[@CreativeWarrior-]

Exciting times!! Thank you for your dedication and pride concerning your beautiful country!

[@JustIcelandic]

Thanks a lot 😊

[@ericfielding2540]

Great overview of the 1875 eruption and beautiful video. You do a great job of researching the history and telling the story in an engaging way with helpful maps and Google Earth animations.

[@christhompson4270]

Thank you for the update, please take care and stay safe 👍🙏❤️

[@JustIcelandic]

Thank you, I will

[@annabee1984]

Hi Gylfi, another excellent update! Thank you! 🙏

[@JustIcelandic]

Thanks for watching!

[@indrajukame]

Wow, Gylfi, it's both exciting and frightening at the same time!!! 😳 I tried to explain the volume of 10 to 100 cubic kilometers to my children. My son said, it wouldn't be so bad. But then I told him- it's like from our town to the capital city, only all directions and up, too. 😅 He was then: "Wait, what? Cubic kilometres?" 😯😯😯

[@JustIcelandic]

😅 yes this is all so strange, and hopeless to say how this will turn out, hopefully not to Big Bang :)

[@maryfreeman3341]

Thank you for your wonderful photo pictures and hard work preparing the presentation.

[@JustIcelandic]

Many thanks!

[@maurasmith-mitsky762]

Wonderful video, man! I learned so much. Thanks.

[@gingerz9]

Fascinating! Thank-you for posting 🙂

[@JustIcelandic]

Glad you enjoyed it!

[@simon_driver]

I’ve been following this story with great interest. It’s a dynamic piece of living history.

[@JustIcelandic]

"dynamic piece of living history" well said 👍🏼

[@moonbeam3186]

What an excellent video with commentary, thank you.

[@sallyward517]

well worth watching this informative film in the light of current events at Askja.

[@JustIcelandic]

😊 thanks a ton

[@RoxnDox]

Great video, Gylfi! That 1875 eruption was the reason my great-grandparents left Iceland for the USA. They had a farm up in the northeastern part of the island, somewhere off the Langanesbyggd River. They ended up in Washington on the US west coast (where we have more volcanoes, but also a beautiful coast!).

[@JustIcelandic]

Thanks for sharing! so you have relatives in Iceland then :) it's no problem to have them found, if you haven't already :) facebook.com/people/Vesturfarami%C3%B0st%C3%B6%C3%B0-VOPNAFJ%C3%96RDUR-East-Iceland-Immigration-Centre/100064365446963/

[@Sfinxinn]

Superbe video, magnifiques images, très intéressant et bien documenté. Grand merci pour votre travail !

[@JustIcelandic]

Thank you and very welcome :)

[@palantir135]

Great footage. Keep ‘em coming.

[@JustIcelandic]

More to come!

[@AhauAno]

"Perfect Uncertainty." You have provided wonderful, detailed information about Askja AND a wonderfully perfect :-) phrase to use about volcanoes, Life.....etc. As always, warm thanks!

[@JustIcelandic]

Many thanks👍🏼 and greetings from the north :)

[@peter8605]

Great, informative, explanation and footage.......masterpiece job like always 👍👌👏

[@JustIcelandic]

Thank you so much 👍

[@andreakurz9108]

Thank you for the great footage and explaination. I love Askja, visited her in September and am so thrilled about what is going on!

[@JustIcelandic]

I just noticed that the road has been closed for the winter and wow I would have liked to to a second round there :)

[@lisingreece]

brilliant, so informative, thank you so much.

[@JustIcelandic]

You're very welcome!

[@craigsterc5579]

I really enjoyed this video. I have always been fascinated with Iceland and all the different volcanic systems. You have great content and keep up the awesome work!

[@JustIcelandic]

Thank you very much 🤗

[@NikkiEvernight]

Thank you for this. I have decided to try and get out to Askja soon, before she erupts and the lake disappears probably for ever. Still planning, but happy to share any (ameteur) images I get with you if I makebit out (and back!).

[@JustIcelandic]

Yes you can contact me via mail if you succeed, however, it's calm up there now, and the lake is frozen over again, very cold in Iceland now, so I think I dont have to hurry up so much...

[@NikkiEvernight]

@@JustIcelandic Thank you! That's good! I spoke to a local guide who will drive me out, but he said the road is closed currently. Anyway, I will still go when I can!

[@tworollos73]

Love your videos - From Ohio, USA , coming in June , this is our fav channel - thanks for sharing 👍🏽👍🏽👍🏽

[@JustIcelandic]

Awesome! Thank you! And welcome to Iceland :)

[@TheRickie41]

Thank you so much for these precious reflections!

[@JustIcelandic]

Glad you like them!

[@yomogami4561]

thanks for the information and update gylfi as always my thoughts are with you, your family, and compatriots in the country

[@JustIcelandic]

Much appreciated, an always welcome :)

[@chrisl7839]

You may not be a scientist, but your analytical abilities are strong. Thank you for all these wonderful videos! Thank you for thinking about the animals.

[@JustIcelandic]

Wow, thank you!

[@garrattfan]

I love your work Gilfy

[@JustIcelandic]

Thank you so much 😀

[@LizWCraftAdd1ct]

The history is very interesting Gylfi. I love your videos.

[@JustIcelandic]

Thank you very much

[@chrisburrows2358]

Cracking Video as always Gylfi, keep up the good work.

[@JustIcelandic]

Many thanks!

[@diannbarbacci1031]

Thank you Gylfi for another informative and exciting video! We are planning another trip to Iceland and the northern highlands are on the list along with the Artic Highway, thanks to you ! I need more time to research highland road expeditions and drive on the road to Askja! Thank you again. Sjáumst!

[@JustIcelandic]

Sounds great! Remember this site im linking to... and many of the wildest roads dont open until June :) vegasja.vegagerdin.is/eng/

[@dennistate5953]

Well said Sir thank you!

[@JustIcelandic]

Always welcome :)

[@DeltadronesBr]

This place is Unreal! I went there in 2019, by Bus Tour from Myvatn. Great trip! We heard a landslide far away and the noise was frightening! I took a bath in Viti white lake! Magical experience!

[@JustIcelandic]

Yes I'm not sure is bathing will we allowed there again :) and thanks for sharing and always welcome to Iceland :)

[@blackcreekorganicfarm296]

Thanks for the update

[@JustIcelandic]

Any time!

[@gretchenchristophel1169]

As Michael Keaton says in "Beetlejuice"....."It's Showtime"!! Hopefully, whatever the show turns out to be there is minimal damage to landscape, livestock, homesteads, and no loss of life. Thanks for another fascinating video about your homeland. As always, travel safely🤗

[@JustIcelandic]

"It's Showtime"🤗 well said :) and as always, thanks a lot :)

[@donaldscheer5206]

So Much Enjoy Your Channel!

[@JustIcelandic]

Thank you so much!

[@Sally4th_]

I can understand the uncertainty over how big an eruption might be. There might be a large body of magma on the move but that doesn't mean it's all going to erupt to the surface. It's very possible for an intrusion to move along a rift at depth without ever coming to the surface.

[@JustIcelandic]

Yes it's all open at both ends, so to speak, impossible to guess what's comes from this

[@Goneawaynow543]

Hopefully it will be a tourist eruption. I am fascinated by the volcanoes on your beautiful country, and I appreciate all the info and the great footage you have put together for us. I wish I could donate but at the moment I do not have the funds, hopefully soon that will change. I hope you can get your new camera soon, it's going to be awesome to see what it can do. As always, stay safe and I hope you can get some good footage when Askja erupts, in whatever form that takes. 🤗

[@JustIcelandic]

Thanks a lot, remember that you presence on my channel is helping :) and the drone find is almost covering this now, I'm hoping to be able to place an ored next week :)

[@Goneawaynow543]

@@JustIcelandic Great :-D Can't wait to see what you do with it.

[@mgmassey174]

Thank you for a very interesting and informative video. Love the old films and historical aspects. Appreciate you as we say in Appalachia. Must be scary having to consider all possible scenarios while living there. Admire your calm. We've a six man tent in our backyard if it gets bad🤔😉🙏 Hoping y'all stay safe.💯❤️

[@JustIcelandic]

Many thanks 😉 I think we will be fine, but might to have to do some serous cleanup however :)

[@WhiteTiger333]

The airline stocks - hahaha! This was fascinating. I was not aware of the possible complexities. Do you know if live cams are being erected around the caldera? Because it's sure starting to sound like a when, not an if.

[@JustIcelandic]

No cams, no reliable power supply either, it's cold up there so even some of the instruments the geologists use are on/off during winter, but i will cover the viewing options in my next Askja update, coming soon i think :)

[@laynelair2233]

Great report! Hope things don't get too exciting! Spring is on the way and it's about tourist season again! Askja doesn't really strike me as tourist friendly. Or village friendly either! Watch the ram! 😂✌️😎👍☕

[@JustIcelandic]

✌ it's wild up there, really wild :) and the nature is not for all :) but awesome for me :)

[@mikewright447]

another good video i do enjoy watching them and the scenery along with the info you give out. i have a question , at time stamp 3:13 if you think of the askja craters as a rough tear drop shape the pointy end seems to be pointing towards a circular feature , what is this ? , is it an even older volcano that has eroded down ?. its more visible in the snow covered pictures and i think in the summer pics the grass or whatever is covering it seems to be lighter in colour.

[@JustIcelandic]

It's in fact 3 nested calderas from different periods, hard to see all the outlines, but some massive events have gone on there trough time, I can only understand a tiny bit of them, and suspect that scientists are struggling too :)

[@ladytech52]

My first impression of the image at 20:18 was of a dragon! Even my husband agreed with me. Beautiful image but startled me. Thank you 😊

[@JustIcelandic]

Welcome 😊

[@yomudd4x443]

Thank you for this very informative video.

[@JustIcelandic]

You are very welcome

[@stollifa]

Wow, Thank you for this video. Did visit Iceland for the first time in summer 2021. Me was often speechless from this incredible nature and landscape. Did watch the erruption at Reykjanes peninsula Geldinaladir, drove to Katla, Hekla and Landmannalaugur. Rounded Iceland on Highway No.1 . Really hope for the people at iceland that no heavy erruption is coming. stay well.

[@JustIcelandic]

Amazing! good choice of places and always welcome to Iceland :)

[@kwiks987]

Very nice video! I was there in July, and it was so special. I really expect that you will go there this summer with your drone. I am so curious to see it from different perspecitve. I know that you are afraid that your car does not make it through the river crossings. We did it with a simple Suzuki Vitara rental, so nothing special.

[@JustIcelandic]

Yes it's easy drive during summer :)

[@andretokayuk8100]

When I can see Iceland, I'll know I'm actually free. Thanks, Gylfi..) You're the best!

[@JustIcelandic]

Always welcome :) and greetings from the north :)

[@normaparfitt2614]

Thanks for outlining the assorted eruption scenarios. I just pray Askja doesn't blow her top and only does a few fizzly fissures.

[@JustIcelandic]

Thank you and welcome :)

[@skogstorpsvagen]

Yes it was so interesting. As just Icelandic told us it seamed that it was all of that in 1875. Both fissures and many of them an a huge explosive eruption

[@tomwery5155]

Thank You

[@JustIcelandic]

You're welcome

[@ferreiraslva.gabriel]

If the magma erupts outside the lake, It could be an effusive eruption, a big one, but effusive. But if magma erupts inside the lake, it can be a very large explosion with this large amount of magma. Fortunate this is a remote area, but It can make trouble to air traffic in North's Atlantic Ocean by the ashfall.

[@JustIcelandic]

Yes it's just so hard to see what's gonna hit us this time, it's just to many possibilities

[@joostvansurksum5533]

Exciting times, Gylfi. Did you manage to arrange a flight over the area? 😜

[@JustIcelandic]

Thanks a lot, there are very few private planes in this town, Akureyri, had to find it out the hard way :) but I'm still working on this, if it's gonna be a problem, I might go to Reykjavík and arrange a flight from there, but it's longer, but ipðm stubborn :) and all the best from Iceland :)

[@Jonny_The_Organism]

I'm not a scientist either, but, Askja....is really a question for ya....so...Askja, is science!

[@JustIcelandic]

Well put

[@ScottGridleyPHD]

At 7:40+ in this video, there's some parallel geographic features - cracks, cliffs, not sure - can you do a video describing the nature of those?

[@JustIcelandic]

Good question, this is the fissure swarm from Askja that rund to the north, you can trace it your self, it's fun with the Google 3D tool...good starting point is here: goo.gl/maps/5tUDUp5Th8V6aHKS8

[@RWBHere]

Thanks, Gylfi. This volcano is one of the most dangerous because of it being a tourist attraction and a large volcano. Look at the size of the outer caldera, in comparison to the lake, in some of those shots. When that magma reaches surface water, such as the lake, there will be a very large and instant explosion. Sadly, that might be the only obvious warning that anyone nearby will receive. But that will be far too late for them.

[@JustIcelandic]

Yes iv'e been hearing about this every now and then, it's kinda Hollywood disaster movie style, somewhat unbelievable but seems to be real risk as many scientists look at this....

[@philhealey4443]

Yes it's about 30 to 45 minutes hike to the lake and the access road skirts a good part of the east side. To get serious distance away would take several hours.....

[@roderickmain9697]

If it carcks the bottom of the lake then I imagine the lake water will drop on to some very hot lave, flash to superheated steam and expand rapidly, This should generate some spectacular phreatic explosions to start with. Im pretty sure anyone on iceland will be know about it seconds after that happens.

[@JustIcelandic]

Yes thats the worst case scenario that seems possible, but few dare to mention it...I'm 100km from Askja and when a jet did a lowpass nearby this morning, Askja came to mind :) Seems like anything's possible

[@forthedisenfranchised4366]

With terrain being so expansive up there, it's very difficult to take in the scale of Askja, but those last few slides of footage really demonstrate the scale. I guess the one good thing is, that we know lots of intense shacking will occur in the build up, and the lake evaporating will be a useful barometer for likely scale and intensity. I wonder how different this location looked before 1875?

[@JustIcelandic]

There is only one little draft available from the old landscape, awful...this is such a remarkable phenomena

[@forthedisenfranchised4366]

@@JustIcelandic Hi Gylfi, I am just watching an interesting video by youtuber called Stefan Burns (posted a few days ago) who is currently looking at electromagnetic frequencies along San Andreas fault with concerns around an upcoming quake. What interests me, is the data signals he references (especially in his previous video). I wondered if Iceland uses similar measurement technics to monitor high stress areas of Iceland. Another interesting point, many international diplomats left Turkey days before their big quake, as though they knew something was coming.

[@Kaue1722]

my biggest fear of Askja is the lake, a Magma + Water interaction can be very explosive, as we see in Taal - Philippines. Being 10 cubic kilometers of lava I fear a Hunga Tonga Hunga Haapi-like explosion in early 2022. Hugs from Brazil, stay safe

[@JustIcelandic]

Yes I keep hearing this, anywhere but here in Iceland :)

[@nicolasnicolas3889]

BOOM! Happy Friday everyone! ❤❤❤

[@JustIcelandic]

Happy Friday :)

[@jimstrickland5842]

Has Askja Lake frozen over again or is it still melting and steaming?

[@JustIcelandic]

Still melting, almost ice free now

[@zweispurmopped]

In short: There may be interesting times ahead. 🤔🥴

[@JustIcelandic]

Exactly....

[@imsbvs]

Hm, just under 1 minute in you show the 2022 eruption but call it the 2122 eruption. Time travel? - Thank you for this very comprehensive and interesting review of possibilities, as well as the excellent photos. Just think, in a near future these photos will be all that remains of the current landscape. I guess the lake was formed by melting snow, so is likely to return with time. I do wonder if there is any life in the lake, eg fish, if so their future is not looking so good. Likewise nearby wild animals, horses for instance which I do know roam wild in places.

[@crivsmum4820]

did he mean 21/22 ?

[@JustIcelandic]

Yes it was my mistake, but the lake is completely dead, nothing thrives there.

[@craignelson-swiftyenzed7578]

Facinating as always. Just Icelandic = authentic Icelandic.

[@JustIcelandic]

🤗always welcome :)

[@bigrooster6893]

I always tell people Iceland doesn’t have volcanoes Iceland is a volcano 😂

[@JustIcelandic]

You are actually right, it's the part og the mid Atlantic ridge that grew up from the seafloor, and still at it...

[@ericfielding2540]

People from the USA are likely aware of the Mount St. Helens eruption in 1980, which had a volume of ash around 1.3 cubic km.

[@michaelripley4528]

Is the temperature from those thermometers dropped by plane, public..?? And if yes Can we follow Them live 😁 Lets hope for a turist eruption… Though i would Love to see the volcano explode on video. But covering that would be pretty dangerous!!🫣 And would effect flight traffic and Iceland population! SO lets hope for a peaceful eruption ❤️💙 Nice video with great content! Fun to Watch those Old times videos!!! As Well!

[@JustIcelandic]

The first thermometers got lost 😁 so they took off again with more, but no live feed, thermal cams have however detected the location of the hot stream, more soon in my next update :)

[@michaelripley4528]

@@JustIcelandic Great man! We get used to your HQ content!!

[@ariadne4720]

for American (and I suppose British and irish) friends, the volume 10 to 100 km3 is 2.4 to 24 cubic miles

[@JustIcelandic]

Thanks for pointing that out :) I forgot to

[@philhealey4443]

Joining the EEC in 1973 meant as school kids we abandoned rods, poles, perches, inches, feet, yards, furlongs, miles, pennyweights, drams, ounces, pounds, hundred weights, imperial tons, pints, gills, quarts, gallons, bushels etc in favour of the SI system, with its elegant if less poetic nomenclature. I don't recall either cubic miles or cubic kilometres being discussed at any stage as they would have been as scary to kids then as they seem now to ageing adults in the context of molten rock !

[@dionhalic]

Age 76 my hearing is starting to deteriorate, so I apologize, but since your channel is my fav on KZbin I will go ahead an ask. At 1:23 to my failing ears the sound registers either as (A) "ten, two-hundred" or (B) "ten to a hundred." As far as (A) goes that wd not be a form of arithmetic notation I'm familiar with UNLESS it means "10 times 200," but if that were the case you wd just say "twenty thousand" cubic K's. As far as (B) goes, I would interpret it as meaning "10 thru 100" but that would be too wide a range of possibility for a scientist to be suggesting without embarrassment because that wd be the equivalent of saying "I have NO idea how many cubic kilometers."

[@JustIcelandic]

It's 10-100 m3... meaning they have no clue :) this isn't telling us much, however, i do offer subtitles on YT, not the auto-subs, since I need to correct Icelandic names and more, so they might help :) and greetings from Iceland to you :)

[@dionhalic]

Thank you for clarifying: There is a heck of a lot of magma down there but we are not sure just how big a “heck-of-lot” it will turn out to be. Also thank you for your greeting from Iceland! The volcano island.

[@boristhebarbarian]

Can you research the older larger caldera on Askja? I can only find that it erupted around the end of the last ice-age. Nothing on eruption size, lava flows or more exact timing. Was it just the one caldera forming eruption or was it a multitude of different eruptions just like 1875?

[@JustIcelandic]

I recommend this one:) they do the technical stuff way better than I can :) www.volcanocafe.org/askja-1875/

[@kathidubach]

While lava and water certainly do not mix well, the fact that Askia is basaltic volcanism could work in your favour. Krakatoa is situated on a compressive plate boundary, where one plate slides under the other, producing andesitic lava, which is of much higher viscosity (less fluid) and leads to highly explosive eruptions (think Krakatoa, Vesuvius, Mt. St. Helens etc.). Iceland sits on a dilational plate boundary, which produces basaltic lava. Basaltic lava is much more fluid, resulting in less explosive and more effusive eruptions. Yes, mixed with large amounts of (ground-)water, this may result in a phreatomagmatic explosion (lava plus steam), but the colcanism itself is much more benign than with andesitic volcanoes. Anyway, Thank you for all your work and wishing you and all of Iceland the best!

[@JustIcelandic]

Thank you very much for this information :) Appreciated, and greetings from Iceland :)

[@williammontgrain6544]

A reference for American viewers, 2.54cm=1in. 50 cm is about 19.7 in uplift in 2 years. That's quite a lot.

[@JustIcelandic]

Thanks for sharing :)

[@bartjes2509]

It's difficult to say what's going to happen. 10 or 100 km3 is a lot of difference so uncertainty is key but something big is definitely coming. I hope for a tourist eruption (I'll be booking flights & 4x4 camper) or else I hope damage is managable...

[@JustIcelandic]

Yes uncertainty is the word, a volcanologist stated in the news, just after this upload in the media that Askja could erupt at any moment. but we might also have to wait, just more uncertainty there :) but they do however believe she's ready now...and we should get ready for ??? And welcome to Iceland, I will be adding the sightseeing spots to my next update about Askja, I have the feeling I have to make it soon...

[@RoxnDox]

Almost any geologist will tell you the uncertainty inherent in the field (**especially** when predicting volcanoes or quakes!). Almost always it’s the reporting and the headline writer that ignores the uncertainty and makes a “prediction” like ‘Giant eruption Imminent, Run Away!!!’…

[@Justin1337Sane]

Mount Merapi (Gunung Merapi) Indonesia just erupted .. something tells me that soon icelands volcanoes will do the same..

[@JustIcelandic]

Yes something is clearly in the making, last week was shaky

[@Justin1337Sane]

has the earthquake in Turkey anything to do with the earthquakes and volcanic eruptions in iceland? seems to me both sides reacted at the same time to something tectonic ?

[@JustIcelandic]

I keep on getting this question but I really cant say..

[@joannmay-anthony1076]

I think how deep the water in the lake will depend on how explosive.

[@JustIcelandic]

Many elements to consider and hard to say how this turns out...

[@ariadne4720]

a good friend of mind was married to an Icelander (descendant) from Gimli, Manitoba

[@JustIcelandic]

Yes we are all over the place now :) lot of karma from Askja in 1875

[@rolloakagaryr1527]

If Ashja goes it will be interesting/ wouldn't mind being there when it does

[@JustIcelandic]

This will be something....totally different :)

[@rolloakagaryr1527]

@@JustIcelandic Oh yeah, Totally different for the whole plant. The polar magnetic shift will kick off many more. Your views?

[@garymeyers3461]

How large of an area is uplifting? Volume of magma intrusion into the magma chamber can be calculated.

[@JustIcelandic]

It's here: www.volcanodiscovery.com/askja/news/187507/Askja-volcano-Central-Iceland-uplift-has-reached-35-cm-since-August-2021-seismic-activity-has-been-s.html

[@stephanieparker1250]

I was wondering about how they would evacuate all the animals. Would the government help with costs and resources? Where would the animals be moved to?

[@GRANMotherH3N]

2122 eruption? Have I aged 100 years since last year? Yikes

[@JustIcelandic]

Me and numbers :)

[@GRANMotherH3N]

@@JustIcelandic 😅 ❤️

[@craignelson-swiftyenzed7578]

​@@JustIcelandic That's why we love you.

[@wildlifeisthewealthofnatur5457]

10-100km³? Worst case scenario makes it a vei 7 which can affect not only Iceland but whole Earth like Tambora 1815 eruption.

[@JustIcelandic]

The 1875 eruption was VEI5 but it wasn't so lava that came up back then

[@leeroberts1192]

If it does erupt, will it have the same level of impact on European aviation as the one a few years ago?

[@JustIcelandic]

Yes, could be better, take less time then the Eyjafjallajökull eruption, but it could also turn worse, it's also up to the winds how this turns out...

[@EddieSchirmer]

that volume of 10 to 100 cubic kilometers sounds extremely low confidence to be honest. so i think you would be right in saying, "they don't really know" lol. still, even one cubic kilometer could have a significant explosive event if it interacts with the lake, and even more volume just increases the chances of wider ranging affects and huge lava flows... to be perfectly honest, if Askja erupts, i hope it can be studied safely, and the impacts to the country are as low as volcanically possible. best case scenario would be to have entirely effusive eruptions even of high volumes, since then the chance of pyroclastic surges would be greatly diminished. i also hope that Some one is getting data to look at the size of the actual magma intrusion building up. i know they can use the quakes to do that, so maybe someday soon we get a 3d Map of the subsurface with the magma highlighted somehow.

[@JustIcelandic]

Thanks a lot for sharing your thoughts about this, it's been a bit hard to get good data about this, like the lidar maps we got so often covering the Reykjanes peninsula, but this is almost daily in the news now so the gotta feed us with something better soon :) what ever it is, this sure is the neighbourhood for something big....

[@EddieSchirmer]

@@JustIcelandic its definitely a big volcano to watch out for. the fact of it being so remote is perhaps to the benefit of iceland. it can do what it wants and it will be a minor interruption to most, except those closest to its fallout. personally, despite the volcanic hazards, im always fascinated to watch and witness major eruptions. if we had been able to see more of the Tonga eruption it would have been awesome, but, alas, that one was even More remote than Icelandic stuff. and besides, i think that one would have been pretty nasty to be even 50 miles away from so... alas, not much footage of the area but a gigantic cloud of gray sky and ash. hopefully, the lava flows of Askja are able to be live streamed, like the 2015 Holohruan and Bardarbunga event. though this time, maybe we would end up with cameras on the glacier looking north eh lol. time will tell, but keep us informed as ye do Sir =)

[@dralord1307]

Gylfi : A bit of a typo at 0:45 "2122 eruption" instead of 2022

[@JustIcelandic]

I know, me and numbers :) I'm better with photos :)

[@dralord1307]

@@JustIcelandic No big deal. I think most ppl didnt notice it. Thanks for another great video.

[@CaSuMog]

Fly me in, take me up to lake Viti, and get in and tell ya wether its now warmer then it was in 2020….

[@JustIcelandic]

I'm not sure if it's a good idea Carsten :)

[@hildichannel9739]

👍

[@JustIcelandic]

Welcome :)

[@nicolasnicolas3889]

Did you say that there was 10-100km3 of magma, I didn't quite catch that? Thanks! ;D Good job your not a scientist, you'll still be able to think properly....

[@JustIcelandic]

You are correct, 10-100 km3 :) plenty of room for error there :)

[@nicolasnicolas3889]

@@JustIcelandic Thanks for that! I wondered what kind of 'error's' were on your mind? That wouldn't be putting odd socks on would it? Or possibly forgetting them completely? 😆

[@RoxnDox]

Uncertainty is inherent in studying volcanoes. Our ability to peer into the rocks deep underground is rather limited, after all. It is possible to generate a reasonably detailed 3-D map of a magma chamber (such as Yellowstone or Mauna Loa/Kilaeau), but it requires a LOT of data. You need a pretty dense network of seismic instruments, plus you need a lot of earthquakes to record. Then you have to run the computer model to process all of those quake records from all the instruments and ultimately generate the 3-D image and estimate the volume of the magma chambers.

[@nicolasnicolas3889]

@@RoxnDox Thanks for that, much appreciated, I suppose Iceland is one giant volcanic ice cream!

[@vignirgunnarhauksson1992]

0:45 the year is wrong it´s not 2122

[@wifinomad8105]

.❤.

[@JustIcelandic]

❤

[@garrattfan]

0:49 “from 2122”, seriously?

[@JustIcelandic]

Me and numbers :)

[@vinnyheaphy1372]

Thanks for this report! I just learned that the Earth has a Biorhythm of 40 years and this August 12th or 13th will have a jolt in her crust that could destroy the entire east coast of the United States causing a 1,000 foot (? about Kilometers) Tsunami that could swamp the land all the way to the Rocky Mountains!! The last event was stopped in August 12th 1983 by a group of Electrical Engineers and Scientists who were involved with the Montauk Naval Station on Long Island New York in the 1943's Philadelphia Experiment! They may have triggered this whole thing, so, watch your land very closely as we get closer to this date: August 12th!!! My Smartphone won't allow your name to be printed on my comment, so it became a DUMB PHONE again!!!

[@JustIcelandic]

Welcome :) Dumb phones are fine :)

[@theotherandrew5540]

Keep your travel bag ready and your boots by the door!

[@JustIcelandic]

That's the plan!