You Are Being Lied To About the US Economy

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*318 {Hammad}[NE] You Are Being Lied To About the US Economy

[@EricAndradeMusic]

The US economy is split into two categories. People with assets and people without assets. This economy is absolute hell if you don't have assets that go up in value. If you have assets that go up in value you are doing literally the best you have ever done in your whole life.

[@fdm2155]

This is exactly my thought. I realize I'm in a fortunate position and that my experience in the current economy is VERY different from someone job hunting OR looking to rent a home OR trying to pay for college OR dealing with serious illness, etc.

[@Mary-tj5qx]

Spot on. Now take that same idea and think about the degree to which people are doing well, based on the size of their invested assets. Understand how top 1% are benefitting from this, then you start to really understand what "doing well" actually means.

[@csick11]

I agree! Sadly you have to invest to do okay or well in this bad economy. Most people don't know how or can afford too! I am living paycheck to paycheck but I invest 500 to 1k a month into investing. I figure if imma be broke. I might as well have assest to help me. I know the rules of thumb is to have emergency fund. Honestly I really don't but I do have assest I can dip into

[@gobot4455]

Yup. Everyone is complaining about the cost of living, and my accounts are up 30%+. That won't change until we get a grip on wealth inequality - which we won't. So the writing is in the wall, folks: either obtain generational wealth or your descendants will be under someone's thumb

[@niciassmith1204]

This is why you have to be frugal and work your ass off. Its not like mid 1990s and prior. I can work 30 hours a week and pay all my bills and maybe have a little savings but I live frugal and work 80+ hours. That's the only way. My parents were horrible with money so there's nothing there really and I don't have a partner with a 2nd income and it's the only chance I have to get dry powder to save and invest to be able to someday get a house and retire with over $1 million. Its the only way for me

[@tomdrummy4984]

We are being lied to all the time 🙂

[@gibblespascack1418]

That is Fox News, or Newsmax, or Facebook, Truth Social.

[@dustinmiller2775]

Are you sure? 😏

[@inCARSONate]

Including this guy with his new post from 4 months ago…

[@HelosWorldRailroadReseller]

Paid off my house in 2024, doing improvements on my house in cash. So my personal economy is going to be good.

[@SkywalkerPMs]

This is the way.

[@dustinmiller2775]

Congratulations 🙂

[@sjsmith4076]

Congratulations

[@dyingfromthelying]

Don't worry. The whole world is based on lies.

[@sc150]

Except for science

[@thehungergames8918]

..... and this is not a lie 😃👊

[@thenecessarygood]

Because of you guys and your corruption 😂😂😂 what USA touches it destroys total incompetance

[@dyingfromthelying]

@thehungergames8918 🤣

[@Jason_NSS]

I’m just going to keep investing and not worry about a damn thing. Cheers ya’ll! 🍻

[@johnsigma7710]

The older you get and closer to retirement the more dangerous it gets and may take a decade or more to recover from a crash this time around.

[@Jason_NSS]

@ great point. Asset allocation is very important. And staying debt free.

[@happilyretiredfrommerrill9357]

BINGO!!! JASON GETS IT.

[@fdm2155]

Yeah, I'm trusting in dollar cost averaging over the next several years.

[@RonAlfonse-t7y]

not if you are retired you won't

[@ASquires-wc8ii]

What are we not lied to about these days? We live in the age of deception.

[@JAYY_JAYY]

When Don tariffs hit I feel for the elderly, disabled, less fortunate. Billionaires do not care about your fixed income

[@2Rugrats9597]

Stop watching CNN!!

[@JAYY_JAYY]

@ I do not watch any tv I also am no on any social media . Maybe you are the one watching tv

[@san209nha9]

Majority of Americans don't know that US lost to China in the tariff war in Trump 1.0. because the US media hid the information, including CNN.

[@Miner-dyne]

Every person on a salary is on a fixed income... cut out that stupid talk. Currently, 'the elderly' hold more wealth than anyone. Over 55 has a net worth over 1 million on average. Their prunes and oatmeal will not go up because of a tariff. Your Tesla and iPhone will. Stay focused, and single if you're smart.

[@kingtrance307]

@@2Rugrats9597 - So you believe billionaires like Musk and Vivek care about the working class? They do not and this has nothing to do with CNN!

[@dand-pb8pg]

What is the lie? Stock market has been great in the last 2 years as you say. The lie to me is that we can get back to the post war golden age of capitalism by.,,tax cuts for the job creators. The data says otherwise.

[@shipdog44]

The last two years was a recovery from 2022.

[@dand-pb8pg]

@ yeah, year 1 and year 2 are historically not very good just as Azul said. I say this all the time…No one has a monopoly on rational thought, and that especially applies to people with PhDs who (in my opinion) always get attracted to the most intellectually inspiring potential root causes to problems.

[@tmm226]

When people use to be able to purchase a new car and home and now can't, the economy is a farce..

[@dand-pb8pg]

@@tmm226 yeah….but since the 1970s…if you search productivity vs wages. So Azul is warning that there is going to be a recession in year 1 of the next administration. I think Azul needs to try a little harder to get at a root cause/s

[@Miner-dyne]

The good ol' days were not so good. Two things we abuse they did not even have - consumer credit and government handouts directly to people. We have hit the Laffer curve, based on revenue data, but that is not the lie. The lie is that government can help. Ask Hoover, anything they do will make it worse.

[@olddogguitars23]

I’m almost 58 and thinking more about retirement than ever. I really appreciate your insights and perspective.

[@glennet9613]

Inflation is measured by comparing the same goods month to month so switching your brand of cereals doesn’t affect the government figures.

[@michaellanier2274]

There are lots of problems with economies around the world, including China, Russia, Argentina, Germany, the UK, Japan, and I’m sure there are others. One huge issue in the US is the amount of the national debt that needs to be thoughtfully, equitably, and carefully addressed over a number of years, not abruptly. Additionally, the concentration of wealth and the disparity in what the majority of US citizens makes compared to the top earners have both drastically changed since the 1970’s. This has resulted in a large percentage of the population being left behind without enough money to live on and is the reason there are so many homeless people in North American cities. One major cause of that is the loss of manufacturing jobs and lack of access to training so people can find new jobs in different sectors of the economy. Certainly these are issues that desperately need to be addressed. That being said… I believe your explanation using statistics about how well the US economy does during the four years following an election can be mostly explained by a new president initiating their own agenda and Congress passing laws to support the agenda and then funding them. The funding part is what causes the economy to begin to improve. You also mentioned revisions of previous economic reports which commonly happens. I don’t think the Fed, the OMB, or other government agencies purposely mislead the public about the health of the economy. The US economy is still by far the strongest economy in the world, but the country needs to implement solutions to the issues addressed above before we dig a hole so deep we can’t get out of it.

[@angusmorrison9433]

Correction: The third year of the current president's term was 2023. I'll guess you meant "the second year" but I'd like you to acknowledge this correction, otherwise all the other numbers included in this video are in question. Thanks.

[@fdm2155]

I also think the folks doing the analysis under estimate the impact of the economy on folks in less fortunate positions.

[@Drone-h2i]

the third term of the obama presidency

[@stevedice5963]

yes i caught that!

[@floydestelle6242]

Well, i don't know how to right the ecomony! I do understand there is a disparity between people, BUT! I'm sorry, but a lot people issues are self inflected in many ways. Drugs, alcohol, not moving where jobs are located, showing up to work, working odd hours, want certain benefits with no skills and starting money that takes time to achieve. The effort just isn't there. Everytime i read or hear one of these podcast, i see that everyone thinks that Boomers just had it so easy! I can tell you, in my case it not so, but i turned it around by hard work and not buying toys!

[@rickmiller1649]

In 1982, the year after i graduated HS, the unemployment rate in NYS was 10%. When I bought my first house, a dump of a 2 family in a small town, the mortgage rate was 16.5%. Industrial goldmines that fed generations were slowly evaporating causing a ripple effect that devastated a lot of areas in the US. Some had it hard, some had it easy. Family ties, money, and a good education can make all the difference.

[@apachewraith]

You're using what's called survivorship bias. Everybody "works hard" and "eats their vegetables", that's the easy part. Outcomes are random.

[@JacqueScherrer]

@@rickmiller1649same! Graduated high school in 1982. Horrible economy! Coming out of a very long recession. High internet rates! Super high. Todays high rates are actually normal in comparison. Most people were staying in college for second degrees and living off student loans and supplemental loans because there were no jobs, or enlisting in the military just for the work! It wasn’t acceptable to hang out in parents basement back then! We had to find our own way! It took me three years to get a “real” job because I had no practical experience and had to compete for entry level jobs against 200 other applicants with experience. Only way to survive was to sign up at temp agencies. Worked as a temp for those 3 years, full time going from one agency to the other, whoever could send me to work. I was incredibly persistent so I was rarely more than a day without some sort of work, as low paying and in stable as it was. No benefits. No medical insurance. No paid time off. It was brutal! Finally landed a direct job with a company after three years of that then things got better but I was living hand to mouth for a while. Did I mention I was also a single mom? It was pretty tough. No. Todays kids don’t have it any harder. Housing cost more, but jobs are there. Benefits are there. Roommate up if you have to. I did! It’s nothing new. We all had to make sacrifices! After I got the direct job, I took advantage of tuition reimbursement to go to school at night and earn a bachelor degree. We had no online schooling back then so I had to go to the university classroom. It made for a late night and tired next day at work. This went on for years, it took me until age 32 to graduate. Tell me how easy that was. Raising a child alone, working in the day and going to class a couple nights a week. It was exhausting but it finally paid off and I wasn’t deep in debt under student loan burdens. Every generation had its struggles, todays younger generations don’t have it worse than every other generation in the history of the world, though by they go on, you would think they do. 😅

[@JoeL-m1g]

@@rickmiller1649unfortunately in WNY that scene is still being played out…

[@shipdog44]

@@apachewraith We have a lot of control of our outcome. The decisions we make will affect the outcome. Outcomes are not so random.

[@brianstuart3499]

It would be interesting to see what the first year statistics are as correlated with whether there was a change in party in the white house. The market tends to like stability and predictability. That's very consistent with a strong 3rd year, and a backing off in the 4th year when an election happens.

[@RampKevorkian]

Hit 240k today Appreciate you for all the knowledge and nuggets you had thrown my way over the last months. Started with 24k in September 2024

[@PaulJackson-x8e]

I would really love to know how much work you did put in to get to this stage

[@RampKevorkian]

I will be forever grateful to you, you changed my whole life and I will continue to preach on your behalf for the whole world to hear that you saved me from huge financial debt with just a small Investment, thank you Jihan Wu you're such a life saver

[@AmirRezaie-d2h]

Jihan Wu Services has really set the standard for others to follow, we love him here in Canada 🇨🇦 as he has been really helpful and changed lots of life's

[@GregFunnell-q9f]

His guidance allowed me to restructure my retirement plan, resulting in an estimated $700,000 more by the time I retire.

[@TriciaDrammeh-o9x]

I'm favoured, 90K every week! I can now give back to the locals in my communities and also support God's work and the church. God bless America,, thank you Mr Jihan Wu😊🎉

[@mspadorchard1]

It would be useful if you could cite your sources of such result you describe in the first minute or so of this talk. It may well be that your stats in relation to the year of a presidential term of office are or are not statistically significant, and I takes large samples to determine that. Therefore, the nature and the discipline of the analysis that was done to come up with those numbers is importatant.

[@laundrygoddess4]

You could look it up...

[@mspadorchard1]

@@laundrygoddess4 Which is why people cite their sources... so others can determine that the claims are based on solid data.

[@laundrygoddess4]

@mspadorchard1 you can also look it up. If you expect him to quote sources while he's walking around and talking, that's not reasonable.

[@mspadorchard1]

@@laundrygoddess4 The time to post a citation would be when the video is being uploaded, or sometime after.

[@bonanzatime]

Also, it's a bit redundant information bordering on superstition. It leaves so much other factors.

[@corralescruiser8957]

I dont know, I was just in our local Toyota dealership getting a part and the sales floor was PACKED! No slow down in there! I was shocked at how busy it was. Was thinking about all of the crazy car loans that were being taken out.

[@danmaloney3187]

the car shopper at Toyota is buying a "car" of some variety and NOT an overpriced American TRUCK and gas guzzler

[@coryvb3056]

I thought people could barely afford the “crazy milk and egg prices!” Buying brand new cars, smh.

[@mhammond4849]

People are afraid of potential tariffs making cars, appliances, etc too expensive.

[@miragexl007]

I'm thinking you just caught them on a busy day. Prices are still extremely nuts on cars. I can buy anything I want but I just can't justify it.. And I can't see most people justifying it either.

[@michaelhernandez2868]

My wife & I just bought a 2025 RAV4 last week. We took advantage of an "end of year" sale that was going on. The dealer wanted to give us 4.9% financing for 60 months. Screw that! We traded in our 10 years old Subaru Forester with 104,000 miles on it & paid the difference off in cash. We bought brand new on the possibility of tariffs & supply chain issues coming. Our grandson had an older Camry that broke down because of a camshaft & the local Toyota dealer told him it would be over 3 weeks for the parts to arrive, at the soonest. It was the 2nd big issue with that used car they had last year. He bought a new Corolla at the same dealership the day before we bought the RAV4. Supply chain? We're taking precautions, just in case. A brand, new refrigerator is next week.

[@recoveredconservative]

The Wall Street Journal did a big story just prior to the election claiming that who ever wins will inherit a healthy economy. Inflation has been at normal levels for a few years now, allowing wages to outpace it, unemployment remains near record lows, the stock market, obviously, has been setting record highs left and right. The general consensus within academic economics circles is that the economy is in great shape. There is really only one incentive for "the gov't" to lie about the economy and that's victory at the polls, no longer an issue. The biggest questions going forward is how far Trump takes his anti-immigrant agenda and his tariff schemes, as immigrants play a huge role in the economy and tariffs would add big price tags to consumer goods.

[@TennesseeJed]

We are krill for the Wall Street whales. Of course we can't be told we are livestock!

[@pdxwino]

You buying a cheaper box of cereal doesn’t affect CPI numbers, sorry.

[@WealthyChronicle]

I had no idea inflation could be ‘massaged’ like that with things like switching cereals! Makes you question how much of the economy is truly being manipulated. 🧐

[@glennet9613]

It can’t, Azul is wrong.

[@JD-ir2sb]

There’s a mess to be straightened out and it may not be pretty…don’t time it. Position for the roller coaster ride and stay long…it’ll work out eventually.

[@MrJoemacher]

This may be true for normal presidents who are and hire competent people. But that isnt going to be the case this time around.

[@hardeez1]

OK Karen

[@hardeez1]

Trump already served one term and the stock market did great. Forget already?

[@jeffleaver59]

Lighten up, Francis.

[@jimc4839]

​@hardeez1 He inherited that from Obama. Biden inherited the downturn from Trump. People don't seem to understand that. Now Trump is inheriting a stronger economy from Biden. Lets see what he does with it. Remember, he only hires the best. 😂

[@jayhpaq]

@@hardeez1Trump inherited the unprecedented Obama economic expansion. Hence the stock market gains. Of course his ridiculous tax cuts did help (but not you and me, unless you are wealthy or are a corporation). This made him look awfully good in the early part of his administration., at least until the pandemic hit and he completely floundered in his administrations response. A little bit of research goes a long way…

[@Rollochrome]

Thanks for fighting thru the distractions Azul. Another great word of wisdom from you!

[@DPTrainor1]

We live in a swarm of lies.

[@sewnsew6770]

Swim in a sea of lies

[@Columbus1152]

In my case I'm already retired and my portfolio is fairly conservative and I leave it alone and go for the ride. So I'm more than beating inflation, I don't make the double digit gains but I also avoid the double digit losses. I expect the money lords to lie to us, just to get us to react at the wrong time, that's why I sit tight.

[@eyeballroomer]

What I don’t understand is stock market all time high, but I have heard of more large retailers closing locations in 2024 than any other year I can remember.

[@gibblespascack1418]

There were two pictures of the economy, the Biden economy was pretty good with a 26% increase based on positive corporate earnings and the other side has presented the Biden economy as the worst economy ever and the worst president ever. The reality is that a 3.5% unemployment rate allows anyone who want a job to have one, and that pay role money is being put back into the economy, so we are not being lied to about the current economy. Having that much money going into the economy can add to inflation, so what is happening is normal. the rate of 3.5% inflation is also correct if you don't add "bird flue" effects into your only measure of the economy. I have a job and can live on 65% of my net income. I can live on 65% of my net income because of the choices that I have made in my purchasing and long term spending habits. But I do know what a want is vs a need. But so many do not know the difference.

[@MegaGuapo97]

@gibblespascack1418 TRAGIC AND PREDICTABLE: The selective use of economic statistics to paint contrasting narratives about our economy - whether a 26% market increase or claims of unprecedented economic failure - represents the kind of Stage One thinking I've critiqued throughout my career. The true measure of economic health isn't found in isolated metrics like the 3.5% unemployment rate, but rather in the real purchasing power of wages and the sustainability of our economic fundamentals. Your ability to live on 65% of your income demonstrates the importance of individual decision-making, but it's dangerous to extrapolate from personal cases to national policy, particularly when monetary expansion is creating artificial prosperity. The distinction between wants and needs is crucial, but government policies that create artificial stimulus often blur this distinction, encouraging consumption patterns that wouldn't exist in a more market-disciplined environment.

[@Atwater20]

The stock market has gone up far more under Democratic presidents than Republican presidents, which is funny because a lot of people think the market does better under Republicans since they are thought of as better for business. Azul is wrong, don't be pulled in by conspiracy theories. The economy is doing very well by almost any measurement. The big thing is that prices have not come down fast enough from the relatively brief period of inflation (9 months) that we recently went through. Other things beyond anyone's control also keeps prices high. The war in Ukraine, attacks on shipping going through the Red Sea and others. Prices of some things have come down, but many things have still not come down.

[@8corymix8]

Invest in the s&p 500 for 40 years no matter who's president

[@markbd9775]

It's up 30% and money has gone down in value 30% in three years.

[@ArmageddonIsHere]

Dems are better at fudging the numbers, maybe?😉

[@Drone-h2i]

if the stock market sells off 60% how will everyone be doing then?

[@pubmeatman]

That would suck but I would still be ok. Now if equities went down 60% AND Social Security gets cut by 30% things would be tight. If both of those things happen AND we have another 21% inflation in 4 years then I would be worried.

[@mmaranta785]

Id be down about 35%

[@Todd-w6u]

Parents lied, family, friends, teachers, employers, government………what’s left

[@Quiltify]

FYI The third year of this presidency was 2023, not 2022.

[@eradicator187]

You were lied to

[@JohnDeering-u8f]

Everyone's results are different based on asset allocation and time frame. I worked skilled trades for 48 years and never lost a day of pay no matter what the economy was or who was in political office. I was in demand due to skills I had.

[@George-m6e1r]

What economy?

[@gordonlawson]

Thanks for the honesty. We don’t hear much of that on the alphabet news. In some schools of thought we are prime for a major correction. The Buffet indicator is 2 std dev high, he’s pulled a lot out of equities and Bitcoin just doesn’t feel right. More like the tulip craze. For those of us middle income folks retiring now…it’s a very troubling time.

[@tatianastarcic]

A failing U.S. economy and elevated global tensions reduce the likelihood of prolonged inflation or higher long-term Treasury yields. I've seen folks amass up to $1m amid crisis, and even pull it off easily in a favourable economy. Unequivocally, the bubble/collapse is getting somebody somewhere rich

[@LUCIASMITH-d1z]

There are many other interesting stocks in many industries that you might follow. You don't have to act on every forecast, so I'll suggest that you work with a financial advisor who can help you choose the best times to purchase and sell the shares or ETFs you want to acquire.

[@richardhudson1243]

I've been in touch with a financial advisor ever since I started my business. Knowing today's culture The challenge is knowing when to purchase or sell when investing in trending stocks, which is pretty simple. On my portfolio, which has grown over $900k in a little over a year, my adviser chooses entry and exit orders.

[@JacobsErick-u8r]

Mind if I ask you recommend this particular professional you use their service? i have quite a lot of marketing problems.

[@richardhudson1243]

My advisor is Melissa Terri Swayne, a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market.

[@winifred-k9e]

thank you for this tip , I must say, Melissa appears to be quite knowledgeable. After coming across her online page, I thoroughly went through her resume, and I must say, it was quite impressive. I reached out to her, and I have booked a session with her.

[@mtmg3648]

Unemployment numbers are CRAP. The working class is HURTING. I am in NYC and we cannot keep up. Now Hochul just implemented a congestion tax and Biden just banned natural gas water heaters which will HURT seniors and the poor. This MUST stop.

[@pauljensen4773]

Are there differences between the first and second terms?

[@inCARSONate]

How TF was this 14 hours ago when it’s that nice in FREEZING cold NYC?

[@lovingmylifeasIage6741]

It sound logical to me. The first year of a presidency is and unknown, especially if it's a different president. So the market will have to wait to see what legislations will be passed. After the stock market gets a feel for how things are going then they can judge the markets better.

[@JacqueScherrer]

Azul, I love that you often take us for a walk when you are talking to us.

[@stevedice5963]

there is ALWAYS too much background noise when he walks!

[@JacqueScherrer]

@@stevedice5963 lol

[@Peterl4290]

The US economy cannot survive without continuous credit and debt creation. The FED will print more money and the average American will go just that much further in debt. Meanwhile, foreigners lust for the greenback. Their economies are in worse condition than the US... if that's even possible. Someone is going to be left holding the bag...

[@larrypaul-cw9nk]

This is precisely why I like having a portfolio coach guide my day-to-day market decisions: with their extensive knowledge of going long and short at the same time, using risk for its asymmetrical upside and laying it off as a hedge against the inevitable downward turns, their skillset makes it nearly impossible for them to underperform. I've been utilizing a portfolio coach for more than two years, and I've made over a million dollars.

[@jerrycampbell-ut9yf]

It's often true that people underestimate the importance of financial advisors until they feel the negative effects of emotional decision-making. I remember a few summers ago, after a tough divorce, when I needed a boost for my struggling business. I researched and found a licensed advisor who diligently helped grow my reserves despite inflation. Consequently, my reserves increased from $275k to around $750k.

[@sabastinenoah]

impressive gains! how can I get your advisor please, if you don’t mind me asking? I could really use a help as of now

[@jerrycampbell-ut9yf]

Her name is Annette Christine Conte can't divulge much. Most likely, the internet should have her basic info, you can research if you like

[@sabastinenoah]

Thank you for this Pointer. It was easy to find your handler, She seems very proficient and flexible. I booked a call session with her.

[@miragexl007]

You make a good point that We kind of mask inflation.. By changing, attitudes, habits, buying buying. Cutting back and or switching to cheaper alternatives...items/activities etc.

[@markroberts8975]

That’s not how inflation works. Inflation looks at the price of the same goods. Azul is wrong about this.

[@scottsinnott2636]

You make a lot of good videos but I don't like this one. You seem to being going down a bad path.

[@frankguetta9529]

What you mean?

[@scottsinnott2636]

@@frankguetta9529 start with the title "You Are Being Lied To About the US Economy". It is cynical and I think it is incorrect. The economic numbers that we get from the government are not lies. They do have to be revised sometimes but they are not lies.

[@Jonas-ue6ep]

Fear sells! Azul, like all other content creators, knows this little secret. It's the nature of the beast, I guess.

[@AnthonyShaw-ty9pi]

Of course, we are being lied too, about many things in this country... 😏

[@bwm3013]

I don’t get it, what exactly is the lie?

[@vivathecat7052]

My local economy i.e. my household is doing great and that's the only one I care about. It's worked well for me starting with the Clinton years and I even got through the Bush years mostly unscathed except I unwisely sold my stocks after the great crash of 08.

[@bd0821]

I hate when I hear that the economy is doing great because people are out spending their money. CC bills are at an all time high and those same people who are out spending on their CC's are paying them off either.

[@adol6088]

The term stock market is too generic the way you use it. Choosing the right stocks and allocations at the right time will navigate any storm, not just float down the river

[@3namechangezalowdevry90day7]

😂You sound like a setup post for a triple name advisor spam thread!

[@philschiavone101]

When has the government ever told us the truth? I think never.

[@stephenpelkowski5406]

Feels politically motivated…. Thus seems like the third or fourth video that felt biased. I’m not sure which way…. Nobody can predict the future. Always lied to. 😊

[@mdooog]

I'm not fooled. I don't need someone telling me there is inflation or there's not inflation. I just look at my receipt when I check out! It's that simple.

[@MoneySavingVideos]

The sky is falling, the sky is falling.

[@Handlethecurvessmoothly]

Azul, only as a boots on the ground observation, I sell IoT devices in the energy field and we are up 18% yoy. This could be due to need of tech upgrades but the profits are there to invest in tech and have been for five years running now. Maybe this is just energy (?) I don’t have a global view accross lots of industry’s. Anyway I appreciate your concern in finding potential traps out there and your concern for the rest of us and our welfare!

[@AzulWells]

Thanks for that insight. 18% … nice! 🚀 IoT and AI are doing great. Once AI agents are feasible (doing the job of knowledge workers), that space will explode as well. HUGE value proposition (but bad for workers obviously). 🙏 Azul

[@stevedice5963]

@@AzulWells Azule 2023 was the 3rd year of the Biden presidency

[@daveschmarder-US1950]

Azul went to NYC for the quiet atmosphere.

[@tomm.3994]

Love your content buddy, spot on. I think you really want to help people.

[@MichaelJohns4075]

Amazing videos. You worked 8-10hrs everyday just to pay bills, meanwhile some people put $2k-$5k into trading forex and make hundreds of thousands. Forex is still the best.

[@Allenbobos]

It's true that you can imagine the benefit that people get from trading forex on a daily basis

[@marthapanky6018]

Finding yourself a good broker is the same as finding a good wife, where you get less stress you get just enough with so much little effort at things

[@Allenbobos]

I work from 9 a.m. to 5 p.m. and I don't have time. Please can you help me with forex trading

[@marthapanky6018]

Currently, an account portfolio manager manages my forex investments, while I invest in real estate with the profits.

[@Oliverlevis]

How good is your account manager and how can I contact him?

[@dianediliberto1876]

Thank you, Azul.

[@scottr5291]

Kinda if a different observation- there are green leaves on the trees in the background? Supposedly in January ( or maybe December) ? Fake trees ?

[@droubal]

The non-farm employment report is unreliable. It does not agree with the household report. Most businesses do not respond to the non-farm survey.

[@Lion_McLionhead]

Bad situation if housing inflation stays above 5% while yields return to 0 & stonks stay below 5% for the next 10 years.

[@UCVibes]

What does this mean ? Either the stocks are up are they are not. Either you sell or buy and make a profit or you lose money on stocks.

[@ajax8079]

Move as if you're being preyed upon, be a contrarian.

[@InverseMyInvestmentAdvice]

Solid advice.

[@johnclifford544]

The problem with this approach is that we're not always being preyed upon. If we ALWAYS act as if that's happening, we can hurt ourselves.

[@philippagliaro6314]

I like a 60/40 split between Stocks and Bonds with a 30 year Retirement plan - Don't go year to year - Its time in the market not timing the market !

[@DrWhoRocks333]

I'd love to see that data broken down into Dem vs GOP presidents.

[@MITCHELLHirsch]

It has been. In the last 50 years or so, Dem administrations have done better than Republican ones. It's a fact look it up.

[@termita358]

It is the Uniparty my friend 😂😂😂

[@markroberts8975]

That’s not hard to find. The economy does better under democratic presidents, no matter how you measure. Inflation, GDP growth, unemployment, stock market, etc. All are better when the president is a democrat.

[@DonaldMark-ne7se]

The U.S. economy can actually get better if only the govt can start making better decisions for the sake of it's citizens, cos' they've really made life more difficult for its residents. Hyperinflation has left the less haves bearing the brunt of the burden. Its already eating into my entire $620k retirement portfolio. Like where else can we invest our money with less risks?

[@JacquelinePerrira]

Just get a financial planner straight up! personally, I would invest in etf and also love investing in individual stocks. yes it’s riskier but I'm comfortable in my financial environment.

[@kevinmarten]

I agree. Exactly why I now work with one. A lot of folks downplay the role of advisors until being burnt by their emotions, no offense. I remember some years back, during the covid-outbreak, I needed a good boost to stay afloat, hence researched for advisors and thankfully came across one with grit. As of today, my cash reserve has yielded from $350k to nearly $1m

[@Jamessmith-12]

How can I reach this adviser of yours? because I'm seeking for a more effective investment approach on my savings

[@kevinmarten]

There are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with ‘’ Carol Vivian Constable” for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive. She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.

[@Jamessmith-12]

She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran a Google search on her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing.

[@knightalumni]

It’s more positive as a presidential term carries on because the market has adjusted to the new policies by then. On a separate note, the only presidential administrations that lie to us about economic measures are Democrats. Democrat administrations regularly revise the job numbers downward in ensuing months.

[@gordonsteen8415]

The big tech companies are downsizing despite the huge investments in AI. The times they are changing.

[@onehitpick9758]

Raisons are the worst invention of all time, and raison bran is worse. I guess it's just a matter of taste, but I get your point. Inflation and shrink-flation are causing more acceptance of generics and store brands.

[@davidcobb464]

You are walking away from Century 21. My favorite clothing store. I never worry about the market up and down. Just keep dollar-cost-averaging.

[@bobzacamano658]

Buy as much bitcoin as you can 🚀🚀🚀🚀

[@joshn2342323]

The stock market isn't the economy.

[@dougdoney1273]

2022 was 2nd year

[@curt5802]

Azul, although I admire most of your content, this one seems to border on encouraging "market timing" if people are already leaning that way... "pattern recognition" and all that... this is my least favorite of the content I've seen from you. You tried to get out of it by saying, "I'm not trying to say 'time the market, BUT..." You alluded to "A Random Walk Down Wallstreet," a classic text that presents overwhelming evidence that market timing is a loser's game, and yet you presented a 'pattern' that twisted it to almost mock the notion.

[@laundrygoddess4]

I don't get that at all from this video. People are worried about the effect of the new president coming in and he's giving stats that may bring insight

[@orangecrush4362]

I do

[@Siskiyous6]

I wish you had looked at years 5 through 8

[@knightalumni]

The S&P is over priced by 50%. It should be 4000 to be fairly valued…mean reversion is coming. Keep your powder dry.

[@Maddog2020RH]

Inflation over the last couple of years has been a killer. In my opinion, some of it was due to Covid but most of it was the result of increased regulations and threats to the energy sector. In other words, it was self-inflicted.

[@香料國境]

This is worldwide. I live in Taiwan. Split down the middle between those who have $$$ and those who are paycheck to paycheck. The young kids have it especially tough.

[@jozzio720]

This stick market is anything but free market capitalizism. The Fed controls it with money supply... Print lots of money and it's to the moon, take that printed money back out of the market (normalization) and market will start to fall as liquidity dries up. 2007 I think fed balance sheet was about 750 billion and got up to I thoght about 10 trillion woth all the printed money.. It has to go. Somewhere so there are only so many assets so things skyrocket. Take that liquidity out (which fed is trying to do without crashing market like 2001) and markets will come back to the mean for that liquidity level. Moral of the story "keep the Fed wind at your back" when it turn s to a headwind beware

[@Todd-w6u]

When (if) the Truth hits us …………we won’t believe it, it’s just too foreign to us !

[@eliinthewolverinestate6729]

The economy is great. Got my money saved to buy another foreclosure or tax sale house this summer. Lots of foreclosures coming this summer. Got more into gold than stocks. Congress is buying Gevo since 12/24. Biden is giving Gevo government money. Currencies loose value. Money is a store of value. I am gonna work on my retirement cottage this summer. So I can retire early. Labor is cheap because of low paid jobs. Many in construction here need the work. The 120k first time home buyers and boomer handicap house sales have slowed. So I should have time to keep my own labor.

[@theresa922]

What state do you live in? Doesn’t sound like my state.

[@mrsc1742]

You are being lied to about the US Economy.....duh, what else is new! 😅🤣😂

[@wildbill4496]

The job market depends on what you're looking for. It has sucked for IT over the last year.

[@gcs7817]

Bottom line …the average trajectory of the stock market is upward

[@SubTerraAlly]

Diversify. We're taught this from the start yet so many people put everything into the stock market. The volatility is coming fast and if you don't want to lose everything then you'd better start thinking about other revenue streams before its too late!

[@PS-jv3ri]

When will the Social Security Administration web site show the new monthly estimate without the WEP reduction

[@Jean-ni6of]

Watching this I reflect on how much money is spent on coffee.

[@Neopitpit]

New York? Now? It is minus 5 Celsius, weird video!!!

[@dougspry3101]

I think it was shot before Christmas. He said they wherw just putting up lights. No way this was done today. Its freezing

[@niciassmith1204]

What never gets mentioned is that low unemployment and the gig economy masks how mad the economy. Its worse by every other matric, record debt and inflation. If the official unemployment rate was what it was in 2008-9 at 10% it would look much much worse.

[@SergioMartinez-i4n]

I'm just starting my investment journey and looking to make strategic moves. My plan is to invest $85,000 into dividend stocks with the goal of earning up to 30% annually in dividend returns. For those experienced in dividend investing, do you have any advice or insights to share? Are my expectations realistic, or should I adjust my strategy? I’d really appreciate any tips!

[@uwerathsack]

I've purchased numerous stocks in individual firms. Because there are so many stocks that will skyrocket in the long run, it is currently safe to buy in on ETF and ride it out. Due to fud, I sold out early, but then retraced my ways and re-invested $350,000 with a financial advisor who manages my account. I received an 82% return last year and will see where it goes this year.

[@JosephZerafa-l3g]

That's quite impressive, you surely made a good bit of money. I myself invested in warren's BRK-A stock quite pricey but totally worth it.

[@JacobGeorge436]

I just started a few months back, I'm going for long term, I'm still trying to wrap my head around it, who's this advisor you work with?

[@uwerathsack]

I don't comfortably throw recommendations around on the internet, but I've been working with Caroline Suzan Olson. God! She's brilliant! I'm sure there are others who are good.

[@CristhianPalomo-r6j]

Can't lie This is mind blowing indeed the name sounds too familiar I've come across individuals talking about her great service I guess this is a sign to try her out.

[@marklynch8781]

The way inflation is measured has changed, and in a way that makes the numbers lower. If inflation was measured the way it was in the 1970's, my guess is we would have been looking at numbers in the 18 to 23 percent range for the last few years.

[@wakan98]

mark, do you have an article I could read to support this statement. ?

[@mbcoco1505]

I’ve heard the same, I think it was from Art Laffler(sp?)

[@marklynch8781]

@@wakan98 Excellent question. To back up my guess (after your question) I read a few articles and visited the Bureau Of Labor Statistics. Perhaps I overstated, yet over time they changed the "basket of goods" used to calulate inflation. They have dropped food, energy and the cost of buying a house from some methods. To me this makes the numbers somewhat useless. Needless to say the truth is hidden. Some numbers say inflation would be a couple percent higher. Add these things in...and perhaps my guess wasn't that bad.

[@LeeGesmer]

We are living in a Russian nesting doll of lies. Lies within lies within lies ad infinitum. But, I think this is inescapable

[@kurtmatthewson1941]

Nice mention of revisions. Over recent months they have Ben eye-poppingly large.

[@turbocfn39]

Being lied to or not, reality is now. Are you in or are you out?

[@jivefive99]

Please dont walk. When you and your background are moving, it's making some of us dizzy.

[@termita358]

Azul.... Are you getting red pilled??? Finally!!!! By the way those average net worth numbers you frequently share are pure bs too. The real numbers are much worse.😂😂😂

[@steampunk888]

Worse, you’re probably paying tax on inflation. Capital gains are still not indexed for inflation. Much, sometimes all, of your stock market “gains,” are nothing but inflation, which is really a devaluation of the currency in which the stock price is denominated.

[@heroflying]

Speaking of lies... 1. My first piece of evidence we're being lied to about the US economy doing well and will continue to? The first year of a presidential term has comparatively poorer odds of going up vs down. Of course, I'm going to contradict this later when I point out the wrong year of the current president's term was a bad year, and I even say don't use this as a data point. - This data point is absolutely meaningless. Did you consider for example that perhaps what might explain this is if there's been a change in the presidency/party in power it's more likely during a period of economic problems? FDR, Reagan, Obama, Biden just off the top of my head all came to power replacing either an incumbent of the other party or replacing the party because the incumbent was term limited out partly because the economy was already bad based on GDP. But that doesn't mean the economy is bad even if people think it is. See Bill Clinton's victory in 1992 partly because there was a perception the economy was crap because of the recession in 1991 when the economy had already recovered by 1992. Regardless, none of this matters as a predictor of what's to come in 2025. 2. The government says inflation for me went down because I switched to a cheaper brand of cereal. - No, that's not how the government calculates inflation. Consumer Price Index doesn't much care what you did. it takes a representative sample of consumer goods weighted by how much they are purchased and compares them across time. MAYBE if you and a BUNCH of other people switched to cheaper brand cereals it might matter, but it is irrelevant what you did individually when government calculates the inflation rate. CPI isn't perfect, but this description is absolute BS. I have a hard time believing an experienced personal financial advisor didn't know this. You owe it to viewers ethically to do better than this instead of trying to tap into common perceptions that everything is some conspiracy. 3. "The third year of the current president's term was 2022." - No, it wasn't. Biden was elected in 2020, and took office in 2021. That was his first year. 2022 was his second year. Still don't know why you're even bringing this up, but at least get your facts straight.

[@rhainc2263]

Inflation just from P&C insurance is ramping up exponentially.

[@MJ-ge6jz]

Yep, is like a kind of 1929 repeat? Depression 2.0, but it will hopefully it will be a short one.