This Bizarre Chart Predicted Every Recession

[@Onthe545]

It’s interesting that in most instances in that yield curve chart, the recession hit not when the curve remained inverted, but after it un-inverted and started going back up.

[@larsnystrom6698]

I find it hard to belive the reasons they give for the cause of the inversions and their recession predicability. I would look for how the FED's antics causes the reversion. And when they see that a recession is comming, they stop what they are doing, and the inversion is reversed. So, my hypothesis it that it's really the FED that causes this signal to work!

[@manus100]

Correct. It’s the “uninversion” that gets you, and in short order.

[@ItsEverythingElse]

To me a "perfect track record" also means no false positives.

[@raymicciche8869]

The yield curve has a near perfect correlation with the unemployment rate. The Fed is going to drop the bomb in March that the unemployment rate has gone parabolic. Imagine if the 8 million men who have permanently dropped out of the workforce were counted?

[@kgill5]

Recession has been delayed due to exorbitant deficit spending by Government which has kept the stock market at record levels.

[@georgedreher2322]

And... illegal immigration + hiring more government workers. It's all been a smoke-screen to boost the economy before the latest election. Time to pay the piper coming soon.

[@stevew5212]

no the public is spending and buying or I know I have been but with even tarriff higher prices coming I wont be spending or buying.,

[@radomirsretenovic8492]

Recession comes when people stop spending. And that happens overnight.

[@Ekam-Sat]

What shocks me about Americans that they never wanna talk about issues. Property taxes are a killer in the long run and insurance rates are doubling or tripling. But talk about this at a dinner party and everyone will go quiet. It’s like they cannot be real.

[@ronschultz1977]

It's possible that because it's in their mortgage payment, they really don't know much about it

[@zgdafzgdaf4264]

You must be the life of the dinner party. Btw it’s all taxes combined with the fact the Fed is in control and screwing everyone including those outside the US.

[@kannermw]

At a dinner party most people probably want to discuss things that are more appealing. The other key point is what you are referencing are all a result of inflation which is a function of our debt. You want to fix these problem then it is the federal spending and debt that must be reduced.

[@GuitarWithBrett]

Brainwashed by partisan media plus magical thinking 🪄

[@happygardener28]

As you pointed out the situation is a dinner *party*. Most folks at the middle to lower end of society don't want to discuss business at a party. It is how the upper end work, but they are taught differently at home (and sometimes at school) and are looking at growth not short term comfort.

[@francois-alexandrebuteau4082]

Yield curve inversion has predicted 50 of the last 5 recessions.

[@DerrenTube]

Was wrong only in '66 (never came) and late on 86 (took 4 years) but wasnt under 0

[@davebrewer7170]

Almost perfect if you talk about 10 year versus 3 months. Wait for curves to uninvert

[@FreedomTalkMedia]

No. No it hasn't. Did you even look at the chat?

[@FredrickMoss5374]

Not every recesión is 2008 or 1929. Some recessions are very mild. So take with a grain of salt everything

[@FreedomTalkMedia]

Well, we have the biggest asset bubble in human history triggered by the largest money printing event in Fed history. There is that.

[@chrisforker7487]

I could always tell when things were starting to go down. I went to work early, 4-4:30 and when there was an influx of repo truck drivers out at that time, the economy was starting to slow down.

[@greggis3691]

Predicting that a recession will happen at some unknown point in the future must be correct, right?

[@chicarbiomed]

Shhh. Don’t share the secret.

[@FreedomTalkMedia]

In the months that follow. Not a totally unknown point. Also, he missed part of the prediction. The recession comes within 18 months of the yield curve reverting back to normal.

[@CrashBr0]

Historicaly we don't have a recession until 3 to 9 months AFTER the yield curve begins to Bull Steepen. So we are still in that time period.

[@cultleader3572]

Did it bull steepen and when ?

[@JuanMartinez-kn2qs]

Azul , you are great with information. But, you have 3 videos about the recession doomsday…

[@johnristheanswer]

Bad news sells.

[@michaelevans7260]

Actually Azul. If you look at the chart you put up at 7:30 mark, showing the yield curve uninverting, you’ll notice that it cashes after it uninverts. Usually 3 to 6 months after that. It is possible to be able to read the markets, but it is a long process. At least a 3 to 4 year learning curve just to be profitable. (Sound familiar to learn other professions.) For some very strange reason, most folk think that they are the outlier and can learn it in a couple of years and wonder why they can’t trade successfully. About 90%. Enjoy your videos. Happy new years.

[@tanyabischoff]

I've just begun learning about value investing, and I've found that many good stocks are undervalued despite their intrinsic value. If you had $200,000 to create a strong investment portfolio, which stocks would you choose for better returns?

[@garnold-l5p]

I think a good investment portfolio should have three basic things: ETFs for diversification, dividend stocks for cash flow, and leading tech stocks. With your budget, it's a good idea to talk to a fiduciary financial advisor for expert advice.

[@Mlanderos-t9e]

I agree with you. As an early investor in NVDA, AVGO, ANSS, and LRCX, my financial advisor's advice was incredibly helpful. Over the past 7 years, she has helped me find stocks that did 10x multiple times. With her help, I've grown my portfolio to over a million dollars.

[@StephenRobello]

I'm glad I found this conversation. I have cash to invest but am worried about picking the wrong stocks. Can you refer me to your financial advisor?

[@StephenRobello]

Thanks for sharing. I curiously searched for her full name and her website popped up immediately. I looked through her credentials and did my due diligence before contacting her.

[@RS00010]

Bots

[@onionpeeler2023]

Great content, love how you explain things...

[@TheMurrblake]

Corrections happen…recessions happen. End of story.

[@sw6118]

“Corrections” read current Wall Street schemes are unsustainable.

[@lars7411]

Recessions don’t happen because we borrow our way out of it and dump more on our grandchildren, just like the past 50 years. It’s why house prices are so high.

[@raymicciche8869]

Home prices are high because of a decade of artificially low interest rates, but mostly because the money supply was increased 40% between 2020-22. Home prices increased 37% during the same period. However, the collapse is inevitable and near. The sign is FARTCOIN has a 1 billion market cap.

[@Idratherliveinavan]

Time in the market is correct. I held tight through the 87 crash/savings & loan crisis, the 99/2000 internet bubble, the 08 housing crash/financial crisis, and lastly the covid crash. Market always comes back. Be patient. Have enough cash on the side and ride it out. Maybe even buy some more equities during bad times. I'm nobody special. If I can do it everyone can.

[@johnd4348]

I agree. make a plan and stay the course. Dont listen to experts. They seldom are experts at anything

[@Kevin.Naughton]

I really want to do well in the stock market in 2025. I have about $120,000 in a 401(k) that I was kind of ignoring before, and now I want to make sure it's invested the right way. So looking for any sort of good guidance as to what I can do with the money I have that I'm clearly not contributing to.

[@Skimama1]

Follow the S&P 500 by investing in ETFs like VOO, SPY, and SCHD. Dollar-cost averaging into these ETFs will likely outperform most investors in this bull run. Remember to always work with a knowledgeable person in the financial market when starting out to avoid getting burnt.

[@FloodedOrchids]

Index Funds & ETFs: 40-50%, Emerging Markets (e.g., VWO): 10-15%, Dividend Stocks: 10-20%, Growth Stocks/Small-Caps: 10-20%, REITs: 5-10%

[@AcadiaBin]

@@Skimama1 There are tons of benefits to having a financial advisor, but here’s one example: My advisor based a small part of my portfolio on Nancy Pelosi’s portfolio, which is completely legal. That portion has gone up 71% in just six months-take that info as you will.

[@superwomanAnn]

I find your situation fascinating. Would you be willing to suggest a trusted advisr you've worked with?

[@AcadiaBin]

Lauren Christine Campbell is the advisr I use and im just putting this out here because you asked. You can Just search the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.

[@diyforfun2074]

Thanks Azul. Good info to keep in mind.

[@StudioRV8]

It’s not so bizarre. It’s been one of the most quoted indicators for the past 30 years.

[@ItsEverythingElse]

The markets are almost always overvalued.

[@privateuploads-geo2625]

i think it's actually more accurate timing wise when it uninverts...

[@patoises]

So the chart shows recession is coming between 1 to 5 years from when the red line dip below zero - very insightful duh!

[@xmarksthespot8216]

😂 Who was the person, who had never been wrong on presidental elections. He was wrong by a LANDSLIDE!! We are in a new era. We finally have a president who knows how to handle money and is surrounded by thinkers who can figure out how to fix problems But first and foremost we, as a national majority, have invited God back to reign over America . And, as God states in the Bible "Is there thing too hard for me?" America is returning to hope and faith. Praise God!

[@CO-PE-123]

I fully expect Trump to mess up the markets when he gets in office, but he is not there yet. I wonder if others think the same thing, that after January 20 his policies could negatively affect the markets, especially if he sticks with imposing tariffs. I don't get the impression that he has any understanding of economics.

[@danielrichards957]

I thought you will reveal some deep insider knowledge in this video. It turns out it boils down to just another "it's not timing the market, it's the time in the market" video

[@jpmiller99]

Financial planners aren't the right place to go for deep inside or knowledge in the market. They'll sell you annuities

[@TheCsmith321]

Invest...stay in...dollar cost average...repeat - trends are trends and will happen. The only SURE way to fail is trying to TIME the market

[@FreedomTalkMedia]

I can't believe there is a discussion of the yield curve with no mention of the fed printing money and using it to buy short term debt. When the Fed reverses this policy and allows the short term debt to mature without replacing it, the yield curve inverts. This time, the Fed did that for nearly 3 years. They haven't stopped doing it but the market doesn't like a yield curve inversion, so eventually it reverted. Look at the Fed balance sheet.

[@jamesgerboc]

How does an appropriate asset allocation buffer losses in a recession when often bonds are down at the same time as bonds? Many of us are tied to a brokerage firm and mutual funds. We have no idea the quality of the bonds within the fund.

[@dr.michaellittle5611]

Very good analysis by you on the yield curve. I now understand its utility better. Thank you.

[@mktwatcher]

Most recessions after yield curve inversions happened 18 months or more after the first inversions and some happen up to 2 years after the inversions.

[@tepesavvas4283]

hanks for the update, happy new year, where can I find this index?? please let me know I couldn't find it I've searched again I couldn't find the index, thank you.

[@raymicciche8869]

Retirees have north of 60% equity allocations. When the market tanks there isn’t going to be any buyers. Stairs up, elevator down. The ERP (equity risk premium) is at record low.

[@DK-pr9ny]

Been that way for years. Still no recession..

[@larsnystrom6698]

With the gross manipulations of economic data, we aren't allowed to know if the real economy is in a recession or not.

[@FreedomTalkMedia]

The recession comes after it uninverts, which just happened

[@jefferywinchester5830]

NO, its after the yield curve UNinverts that a recession is triggered within a matter of months and it's best to use the 3month to 10yr chart as it more reflects rates in real time. You shouldn't time the market but you can buy insurance, which is either hold a larger cash position or own some defensive stocks like Pepsi, Coke or one of the defense contractors like NOC and flip them if we have a legit crash.

[@jasonwilliambrooks43]

Depends on your finances . 1000$ in XAI47K is 4000 XAI47K if it goes to 50% of ath in 2024 thats a 600% gain. If it goes equal to ath . Its a 1200% gain.

[@williamwei2846]

Azul's strength is retirement planning, for which he's excellent. His weakness is forecasting stock market, which he should leave to others. Just get the asset allocation right and you'll be fine.

[@janesmith506]

Azul, the volume on this video was very low. It's usually higher. I turned it all the way up and still could hardly hear you.

[@tellymassaras3254]

The graph is really old. There was a mild recession during Covid. Now the yield curve is positive again.

[@founde4435]

recession in the US, depression elsewhere (specially in Europe). But the world capital will still go to the US and dollars (in the stock market).

[@gobfranklin6759]

With huge government over spending, huge increases in gov payrolls, and soon to be restated employment # in the negative, it could be were in an under reported recession during fhat negative yield curve. Imo

[@robgerety]

I find that my tolerance for risk is changing since I retired two years ago. I'm 73. I have a pension, so that is good. But, the though of losing ANY substantial part of my smallish retirement accounts is starting to freak me out. I am not worried so much about getting lower yields than I hoped for. I very worried about losing nearly all of it. Nearly all my funds are in IRA accounts. I can trade in and out of investments held in my IRAs with zero tax consequence. I developed my allocations when I was younger before I retired and I was allocated heavily in the S$P 500. I did well. But, now, I am thinking this upward trend in equities is very unlikely to continue. So, all things considered. I am getting out of equities for the time being. I can always jump back in, and I probably will. Likely at a different allocation. I got out of equities when they were high. When they get high I will jump back in with the push of a button. Yes, I guess it is timing the market. But, I am at a point in my life and circumstances when I can be very conservative and know I have what I need. The risk of missing gains no longer seems terribly important to me.

[@JAYY_JAYY]

You are part of the problem Boomers working until 71 Boomers will work for less due to less expenses . Therefore taking jobs from the typical middle age families

[@Jaye2U]

Like they say, if you’ve already won, why play the game? Keep it conservative. I have two years of bills in cash earning interest, but even if interest goes back down to nothing, safety is the key! It’s more like insurance than investment.

[@ProctorsGamble]

Stop worrying You’ll be fine Start spending while you still can!

[@stockjonebills]

At least you are the lucky few that have a pension. Most do not. That pension makes it a lot easier to deal with.

[@Ekam-Sat]

Very good decision! You should taper off risk after 50.

[@noahthedrummer12345]

The yield curve has been flat and just slightly elevated for the long term for years now. I would look at unemployment rates and job participation rates as a better indicator today.

[@jimjackson4256]

This is old hat a man named howard ruff talked about inverted yield curves in 1980 and how they predicted recessions.Why no mention of this?

[@jww5880]

Who said we're not in a recession? If we use the old indicators then it would show we've been in a recession for years.

[@sunilchand6058]

De-dollarization and rising U.S. debt, exacerbated by other nations bypassing the dollar in trade, threaten the dollar’s global dominance. This reduces America’s ability to print money, export inflation, and maintain low interest rates. Key risks include inflation, higher borrowing costs, and destabilized global markets. While the dollar’s reserve status remains strong for now, rapid shifts could lead to economic instability and potentially a depression if not managed carefully. US already in uncharted territory with 31% of global wealth

[@stockjonebills]

This is my biggest concern. De-dollarization and rising U.S. debt. A majority of our public officials don't seem to care. Those who do want to address it get chastised. A majority of the public are clueless about it. There is this attitude that the US is too big and strong to fail. No not true. Its math and we are fiscally failing.

[@kannermw]

The debt is the real issue. They are literally destroying our future in DC because people keep saying I want, I want not what can we do to reduce government?

[@stevenharris6626]

Azul, you are fantastic!! You are a great teacher, and I listen carefully to your videos. I'm retiring now, and I have been decreasing my risk by moving some / percentage into cash from stocks. I can always place it back into stocks, but I need to sleep!! Thanks for the great advice!!

[@AzulWells]

Thanks for the kind words Steven. Peace of mind is important. That said, the warm and cozy feeling of a low risk portfolio can also be costly over 20-30-40 years. Getting that balance "right" is important. If you have not yet, think about chatting with a few fee-only, fiduciary 100% of the time, financial advisers. They can give you a second opinion to consider. You can find fee-only advisers at www.NAPFA.org. Not an affiliate ... just a fan! Happy New Year Steven. Here's to a great 2025 for you and your family. 🎉 Azul

[@fishtailparkas]

Not a recession, but a depression even greater than the 1930s.

[@appleztooranges]

I’m throwing 7k into my Roth IRA January 2. Should I hold off?

[@johnsonshieh50]

For this market now, I put my Roth in vanguard money market and earn 4.5%. If the market really crash, I will take the money out to buy low

[@appleztooranges]

@ smart but what happens if I go over the 7k in money market. You can only have 7k in Roth IRA

[@jeffleaver59]

Put it into a money markey etf and wait if you're worried. Then dollar cost average it over several months into funds you feel comfortable buying.

[@appleztooranges]

@ what happens if it goes over 7k in money market t

[@jeffleaver59]

@@appleztooranges if its already invested in the roth as money market it doesn't matter. If you invest in money market prior to putting it into the roth, you can only invest up to the contribution limit. The rest can be invested in a standard brokerage account.

[@martinlord8837]

I have a feeling the GDP and spending numbers are skewed due to under measured inflation. If GDP is 2% but inflation is 4%, we're actually in a decline.

[@johnristheanswer]

It took 18 months between 2016 and 2018. Not " several months ".

[@Peterl4290]

Recessions are an unavoidable part of the economic cycle; all you can do is prepare for them and plan accordingly. I graduated into a slump (2009). My first job after graduating from college was as an aerial acrobat on cruise ships. Today, I own three rental properties, invest in stocks and businesses, run my own company, and have increased my net worth by $800k in the last four years.

[@larrypaul-cw9nk]

Hence I will suggest you get yourself a professional that can provide you with entry and exit points on the securities you focus on.

[@Jamaal67i]

You have a very valid point, I started investing on my own and for a long time, the market was really ripping me off. I decided to hire a CFA, even though I was skeptical at first, and I beat the market by more than 9%. I thought it was a fluke until it happened two years in a row, and so I’ve been sticking to investing via an analyst.

[@sabastinenoah]

Who is this person guiding you and how can i reach he/she?

[@Jamaal67i]

Her name is Annette Christine Conte can't divulge much. Most likely, the internet should have her basic info, you can research if you like

[@sabastinenoah]

Thanks a lot for this suggestion. I needed this myself, I looked her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.

[@kristing8357]

Just keep a year’s worth of cash. You’ll be fine. Most recessions last under a year.

[@johnd4348]

Even eating at Mcdonnolds is expensive now days.

[@beegum1]

Private equity is quite different these days.

[@drumsnbass]

You said the safest asset in the world is a U.S. Treasury bond. I disagree. THE safest asset is gold you hold in your own custody.

[@l8on17]

Best Thing to do, don’t listen to a random guy on KZbin, hold, if it goes down buy the dip KZbinrs want and need likes and views, be careful and make your own decision on your finances

[@gary3944]

Hold??? For how long??? If you've been holding, "waiting for the market to go down" so you can finally buy the dip, you've missed 2 of the best years back to back ever. Peter Lynch once said more money has been lost by investors anticipating the correction, then the money actually lost in a correction. Hard to time it my friend..

[@l8on17]

@ no I’m holding onto my bag that is invested with some cash on the side to reinvest if it goes down, selling is trying to time or predict the market which is extremely risky. I’ve only just started in stocks I was doing crypto but it’s way more risks in Crypto with Rug pulls etc, I’m 100% keeping hold of my investments, it’s the sensible thing to do, selling is the risky part if you’re hoping to get in at a lower price

[@selma5885]

Retirees don't have alot of time left to be "in" the market......

[@EDd8f]

Hmmm, I hope his predictions aren’t going the way of the famous ‘professor’ who ‘guaranteed’ Trump would not win on this occasion according to his ‘special’ keys to predicting the next president! Got that totally wrong!!!!!😑

[@jrm2383]

I do. Don’t want a recession

[@zyxwfish]

That dude read his own keys wrong because of his brainwashed bias from CNN. His keys predicted Trumps win this time.

[@ShakeyJake117]

The guy only had a 90% win system. The 10% came around 😂😂

[@AnthonyMaxwell-pb1sd]

1st. Thing I thought of.

[@MrNatsuka]

No recession if USA keeps printing trillions of dollars out of thin air. That's how selfish USA is and anyone who supports this is shameless.

[@railduke68]

Good advice at the end of the video regardless of what happens.

[@jd218]

Almost everytime the FED raises rates it triggers a recession.I believe everytime the money supply contracts as it has been it triggers a recession.Seldom has the FED managed a soft landing.On the plus side a positive outlook by buisness and consumers can lesson the blow. Bottom line odds of a recession are high

[@tullymars420]

Demand for bonds causes yields to fall not rise.

[@SubTerraAlly]

There have been eight recessions in my lifetime. Haven't even noticed. Who cares.

[@Mark4Jesus]

Great video!

[@sammyreyes63]

Interesting video. But audio is very LOW. Hard to hear. I have the video set to 100% and my laptop as well.

[@Growing-Our-Retirement]

The world will probably end tomorrow ! A great title to use!

[@AzulWells]

Thanks. Campbell Harvey is a smart guy. I had a chance to talk to him about the 2/10 chart. He attributes its predictive attributes to the power of the crowd. I disagree. If the crowd was so smart, we would not have stock market bubbles. I think it is bc banks cut back on loans when the 2/10 inverts. Either way, it has been a useful tool. Thanks for being a long term viewer and for sharing your insightful comments frequently. Happy New Year 🎉 Azul

[@splunge2222]

I have successfully predicted 12 out of the last 5 recessions

[@LawrenceWilson_444]

Bought 50k XAI47K COIN..from 4 cents to $1 soon..30 x.. Binance just bought 10 Billion XAI47K coin..🚀🚀🚀🚀

[@mtenniswood]

Wow, audio is really low...need to up your levels!

[@markymark9197]

Warren Buffet said it best, “ when investors are cryin,I’m buyin, when the investors are buyin I’m cryin”

[@shoppersdream]

I am not seeing 60% from Oct 2022? I see around 30%.

[@PWalsh-e5p]

The absence of evidence is not evidence of absence. Strap in!

[@ProctorsGamble]

It’s been this way for several years on CDs

[@737smartin]

3:35 This chart correctly predicting past recessions and showing us freshly entering the same conditions again is horrifically outdated. It ends in 2020! The Duke Today interview you referenced is also very old... from 2019. Why are you dredging up old data and presenting it as news?

[@kburkes4245]

The recession hits on the upswing, not at the lowest point. So we may yet see a recession.

[@HedgeFundCIO]

3m 10 yr has highest efficacy…. The inversion forecasts recession the steepening tells you you’re about to go in it.

[@shyamsundar-tl4cr]

Amazing. This video talks of the yield curve and has 35000 views. Incredible. It is like a physics video talking about the existence of gravity and getting a million views!

[@AzulWells]

That made me laugh. Breaking news ... Apple falls down to the ground from the apple tree. 🤣 I am not sure, but I am guessing 90% of USA has never heard of the "inverted yield curve". Just like I have never heard of things that are common place in other people's occupation. Thanks for watching and for taking time to comment (and for making me chuckle). 🙏 Azul

[@luisbento7145]

More BS after BS!

[@stevew5212]

This will be a self induced recession. Im not going to pay extra for a new car or laptop or cell phone. If I dont buy and spend then a recession happens. Prices are already high not with a self induced higher tax on products I simply wont buy.

[@lorcashine]

Interesting. I'd like to see the chart going up to Dec. 2024.

[@J316-y4c]

Recession coming……….its coming…………it’s coming………..ok………so where are we at now………….andddddd……..where we been?

[@darrylk808]

A 60% drop won't hurt me. I went mostly cash/bonds 2 years ago. What really hurts me is the 60% gain in those 2 years!🤬😂 Oh, well.🤷‍♂️ I wonder if there is a corelation between how long the inversion is to the start of a recession or the depth of the recession?

[@JMZM7907]

Hey, banks don’t borrow money. That is not how the system works. The banks don’t like lending money out for less than they can BUY treasuries at. That’s why housing is based off the 10. Why would banks lend you money if they can make more money buying treasuries? The FF is the rate that banks use for overnight lending to each other.

[@cr-iv1el]

We are already in one.

[@lars7411]

We will borrow our way out of it just like we have always done in recent decades, that is why house prices are so high

[@JordanRandyRamos]

It looks XAI47K is in right position.

[@lizamorning5356]

Going with gold; don’t trust bonds!

[@zyxwfish]

Warren Buffett does. He has 120 billion in short term bonds right now. If they fail he’ll wipe out more than half his wealth.

[@jimmattson8008]

I'm not going to be caught up in the downdraft of the stock markets. If you didn't make it in this huge upswing, why would you gamble on a few pennies more? I'm 80% in treasuries. Nice guaranteed income averaging 4.2%. You can do better than me today! 👍

[@ericl452]

I'm a year or two from retirement. Losing 40% of my stock balance would be disastrous. I don't have "time in the market" anymore.

[@CK-vp6hh]

Me too! I’m wondering what do we do???!!!

[@lorenzom7237]

@@CK-vp6hh go for a bigger proportion of 3-5 years bonds.

[@8356-4]

Same here. Just switched to bonds. I sleep better.

[@Joel-McConnell]

Based on these charts, It looks like we have one to three years, just start slowly moving your money to something safer over that period of time. Bonds, Dividend EFT's, ext....nfa

[@Cormin]

Yeah maybe you shouldn't be in a risky portfolio then. If you're that close to retirement you should have a lot less stocks and more bonds

[@frankh4391]

Berkshire hathaway gives you cash, bonds and stocks, is it not a safe place to park. ? If all keeps going well , it will grow, if there is a crash, he will buy cheap..

[@radomirsretenovic8492]

Tariffs will cause recession.

[@steveguti6452]

Urgent emergency please join me in prayer for all those affected families children south Korean and Kazakhstan plane crash they desperately need your prayers please pray for them God bless you all...

[@gwarlow]

Sorry. I am all prayered out. I’ve been praying for Palestinians for decades - doesn’t seem to be working though. Maybe you’ll have more luck.

[@Tammy-ec6uk]

Praying for the families

[@goodnewsfromgod-bybob5710]

I’m down

[@SWFL-BOK]

❤🙏🙏🙏

[@sw6118]

If it makes you feel better to pray, ok. It would be helpful for Putin to fess up and pay damages to the surviving dependents of the first crash. Responsibility for the second crash is unclear.

[@lickitysplit2413]

Modern Monetary Theory is what happened, no recession yet but it is coming soon!

[@bigmoose143]

2s10 uninversion is not 100% predictive. It has had many false positives

[@mikehenry4743]

Everything is too manipulated now, this is no longer an accurate predicter.

[@WealthyChronicle]

This tool seems almost too perfect to be true! But can it really predict recessions in the future, or are we just in uncharted waters? 🧠💥

[@michaelstevenfriedlander4583]

P.S. there will be no "golden age" for America.

[@andrewrivera4029]

When oblozo was president I pulled my money out thinking there would be calamity but the market shot through the roof. Short answer is the market doesn’t care who’s president.

[@kludgedude]

It already happened

[@keithjohnson4318]

theyve been talking recession due to yield curve since early 2023 at least. no recession yet. Will there be one? You bet, but anyone can predict that

[@gecn9685]

Please get straight to the point. Where is the bizarre chart???????

[@chicarbiomed]

My takeaway. Recessions happen… eventually… O_o

[@HooFlungPoo-vd3rr]

It's always coming!!! Then it's gone!!! Happens all the time!!!

[@chicarbiomed]

@ lol. I just gotta make sure I’m ready to pounce on the next one.