Bad Craps Bets

  Рет қаралды 79,940

Brian Stevenson

Brian Stevenson

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 72
@technoshock11
@technoshock11 14 жыл бұрын
BTW, "5 for 1" means that if you bet one unit and win, you win 5 units INCLUDING the unit you bet, i.e, your net win is 4 units, or 4 to 1, that's why "seven" is a bad bet. If it paid 5 TO 1 (that would be 6 FOR 1) the casino would have no advantage at all.
@Bestdj0125
@Bestdj0125 18 жыл бұрын
Thanks, you're right about the field. I only play the field on a hot roll and when I have the 5, 6 and 8 covered with place bets. I watch for a couple of non field numbers rolled and then place the field.
@technoshock11
@technoshock11 14 жыл бұрын
Actually, I think the field bet is a pretty decent bet (and by far the best one-roll bet) if either the 2 or the 12 pays triple, the house advantage would be 2.78% which is not too bad. However if both numbers only pay double then I would not recommend it. Of course it's always better to just bet on (don't) pass/come + odds.
@brakevsblake
@brakevsblake 16 жыл бұрын
and FYI to this person, you dont need to have clairvoyence to predict sevens. all you have to do is wait is wait 7-8 rolls in a row that did not have 7, and yours odds of hitting it anytime after have already increased. same goes for the other numbers.
@sharkl11
@sharkl11 15 жыл бұрын
Same with cards. I've seen "Banker" hit over twenty times straight in Baccarat. Anyways, thanks for the very helpful videos. I'll try my luck in craps next week in Vegas.
@HornDogMagg
@HornDogMagg 15 жыл бұрын
Excellent video and information.
@fullbloodlion
@fullbloodlion 13 жыл бұрын
@Bestdj0125 I play craps quite often and will happily agree that there is no such thing as a "hot" table. The dice know nothing, and the people throwing them have no, I repeat, no control over them. Every roll has the exact same chance of sevening out as the roll before it, and the roll after it. Just because someone doesn't seven out for a while doesn't mean that the dice or the table is hot, it just means that the person is getting lucky.
@Bestdj0125
@Bestdj0125 17 жыл бұрын
You are absolutely right, my wife wouldn't let me get a real craps table! LOL
@tdubblz
@tdubblz 11 жыл бұрын
about the field bet advice... the casino ALWAYS has more dice roll combos in their favor no matter how you bet... seven outnumbers all other numbers. Field is the next best to playing pass for a point or number because if you bet a number, you have only so many rolls that will pay, which is why the payout is greater than 1:1. so while placing on a number like 5 or 9, which may never come up before crapping out, you can still hit the field before crapping out. you lose less that way.
@fullbloodlion
@fullbloodlion 13 жыл бұрын
Someone that would say a table is "hot" is exactly the kind of person I would expect to put money on a Hardway bet. No one should ever play money anywhere in the middle, I don't care how "hot" or "cold" the table may seem. They are sucker bets and you will lose your money. How do you minimize house odds at Craps? Simple: Minimum pass line bet, maximum odds bet, place on the 5, 6, 8, and 9, buy on the 4 and 10, and that is it. Playing only Don't Pass/Don't Come reduces the house edge even more.
@keeneypr
@keeneypr 16 жыл бұрын
Odds don't have any juice for the house. Place bets all have very little vig -- especially the 6 and 8. He's pointing out the WORST odds.
@Arkalius80
@Arkalius80 16 жыл бұрын
Yes, it is unlikely that you will flip heads 10 times in a row. In fact, the odds are 1023:1 on such a sequence would happen. However, the odds against any specific 10-flip sequence is 1023:1. That means that the odds of getting 10 heads in a row, and the odds of getting 9 heads and then a tails are exactly equal. That means after flipping heads 9 times, you are still 50/50 on flipping heads again. Once the outcome of an event is known, it no longer factors into the probaility for future events
@dumnuts1
@dumnuts1 14 жыл бұрын
The best craps table I ever played was at the SlotsaFun (Slotsofun?) dive on the Strip. All I remember is 89 cents Heinekens and 89 cents hotdogs, unles you were playing -- then they were FREE !!! I played craps for three hours straight. Hot dogs and beer -- it doesn't get any better than that !!! BTW, I won some money, but money can't buy HOTDAWGS AND BEER !!!!!!
@Bestdj0125
@Bestdj0125 16 жыл бұрын
Here's a test. Go to a practice session on an online casino and roll the dice a lot. Calculate how much that $1 bet costs you over a hundred rolls. Majority of times you will be in the hole.
@3214sanjay
@3214sanjay 13 жыл бұрын
i just got back from vegas like 5 hours ago n went n played craps for the first time in almost 6-7 casinos n won about 2000 dollors without understanding how to play whtsoever n came to check this video out to learn jus to find tht i was betting the worse bets....all i was betting was on the fields...so tht concludes i was lucky n luck is the thing u need most....
@bradleypk
@bradleypk 17 жыл бұрын
Who told you that? I smell a casino manager. lol
@Arkalius80
@Arkalius80 16 жыл бұрын
Put another way, assuming a 12 pays 3:1, then the average pay odds for the field bet is 1.1875:1. Player advantage is average win * win probability - lose probability, so 1.1875 * 16/36 - 20/36 = -2.78% which is similar to the house edge in single-0 roulette, which is not too bad.
@orbits2
@orbits2 17 жыл бұрын
2 to 1 advantage on the PL come out you dont need a hedge bet here
@breiningac
@breiningac 13 жыл бұрын
I dont even know any casinos with the Big 6 & 8 anymore
@tamasurvivor
@tamasurvivor 14 жыл бұрын
@forza599 The term "hot table" refers to a table where the shooter throws dice for an long period of time making money for all players. Its all luck but if you bet smart and have a shooter not hitting 7 and making points you can win back the original bets made and press bets with the house money which makes you more money... but when the shooter 7's out and the new shooter 7's quick and the same happens in 3 or 4 back to back games, the term "cold table" is used and its best to walk or cash out
@jimklemens5018
@jimklemens5018 2 жыл бұрын
On a cold table, it is best to bet on Don't Pass, Don't Come, and direct Lays.
@blackjack55551234
@blackjack55551234 16 жыл бұрын
that table has better payouts than the ones do up here in canada. the big red or 7 pays only 4 to 1 when the chance of 7 hitting are 1 in 6 and the hard ways, 9 to 1 for hard 6 and 8 and 7 to 1 for hard 10 and 4 and there is no big 6 or 8.
@Arkalius80
@Arkalius80 16 жыл бұрын
On the Field, the fact that 2 numbers pay 2 to 1 makes it as if all numbers paid 1:1 but the odds were 20:18 (instead of the 20:16) the video poster said), which is 10:9. That's not too bad. Some casinos pay 3:1 on the 12, making the field bet equivalent to 20:19, which is even better. It's not the best bet on the table but it isn't all that bad either.
@sabriath
@sabriath 16 жыл бұрын
Swagman8: Watch the table prior to playing this technique, if the roller is pushing 7s, this is a crappy system. Otherwise, the stroke technique can work, but I would suggest starting at minimum (If you lose, you'll have to increase by a multiple of 6, which leaves not much room before you max the table out). This isn't the best betting, but it isn't the worst either.
@AtlasTheShiba
@AtlasTheShiba 12 жыл бұрын
I was on a table with a big shot. I was placing minimum pass line bets. He threw down a $100 yo. It was my turn to roll and guess what comes up? Snake eyes! I won a man $3000. lol he was pretty stoked
@jimklemens5018
@jimklemens5018 2 жыл бұрын
If the higher roller made a $100 bet on Yo, your snake eyes roll wouldn't have won him anything.
@ThebirdmanTrainer
@ThebirdmanTrainer 12 жыл бұрын
place all your chips on the don't with odds, if you win walk away you'll look like a badass!
@JPumpkinKing
@JPumpkinKing 12 жыл бұрын
That makes NO sense!
@bwrice
@bwrice 15 жыл бұрын
Your table is paying "actual odds" for hard ways, and any craps/bid red bets. Real casinos don't pay those odds.
@jimklemens5018
@jimklemens5018 2 жыл бұрын
His craps layout is correct. For example, the Any 7 bet pays "5 for 1". That is the same as "4 to 1".
@DonCorleone87
@DonCorleone87 13 жыл бұрын
@chokeonapole there are hot tables and more often than not, if you've ever been to a legit casino, hard ways are hit
@matt4787
@matt4787 14 жыл бұрын
No a 7 comes up 1 in 6 times because there are 36 possibilities the dice can have and 6 different possibilities for 7. 6/36=1/6 or 16.666%. Possible 7s are 1-6,6-1,2-5,5-2,3-4, and 4-3.
@Arkalius80
@Arkalius80 16 жыл бұрын
Wow man, it's funny how so many people fall for the gambler's fallacy. The odds of hitting a 7 are 5:1 on EVERY roll. It doesn't matter if it hasn't come a 7 for 500 rolls. That's like saying a fair coin will start to want to come heads after you flip tails 20 times. Dice have no memory. They do not know what they did for the last 100 rolls, and always have the same probability on each roll.
@jimklemens5018
@jimklemens5018 2 жыл бұрын
The probability of rolling a 7 is 1:6.
@Arkalius80
@Arkalius80 2 жыл бұрын
@@jimklemens5018 You're using the wrong notation here. The odds of rolling a 7 are 1/6, (1 in 6) but the odds against rolling it are 5:1 (5 to 1). This means you will roll a 7 once for every 5 times you don't (on average. Similarly, for your other comment, the odds of rolling a 2 are 1/36, but the odds against rolling it are 35:1 (35 rolls of something other than 2, and 1 roll of a 2, on average). The colon separator is showing # of occurrences of event A vs # occurrences of event B. The slash separator is showing # of occurrences of desired event vs total # of attempts. They're different notations.
@jimklemens5018
@jimklemens5018 2 жыл бұрын
@@Arkalius80 The probability of not rolling a 7 is 5:6.
@Arkalius80
@Arkalius80 2 жыл бұрын
@@jimklemens5018 It's 5/6, but the odds against rolling a 7 are 5:1. Converting from a:b notation to x/y notation is usually a/(a+b). You need to learn how to use the colon notation correctly.
@RenjiLambrusco
@RenjiLambrusco 15 жыл бұрын
No skil in CRAPS, ROULETTE, or SLOTS. Just chance and lady luck. She is very good to me when playing Roulette at the Stratosphere though.
@deesyphrr
@deesyphrr 16 жыл бұрын
Big Six and Big Eight are sucker bets. But I like craps and poker.
@Arkalius80
@Arkalius80 16 жыл бұрын
The longer you wait the higher the chance? No sir. After 30 rolls of not hitting snake eyes... guess what? It's still 35:1 that snake eyes comes up on the next roll. A certain combo not coming up after a long time does NOT make it more likely that it will come up next time. Think about it. If you flip a coin 10 times and it comes up heads every time, what's the chance it will come up heads on the next flip? It's still 50:50. The coin doesn't decide it wants to flip to tails after all that.
@jimklemens5018
@jimklemens5018 2 жыл бұрын
The probability of rolling a 2 is 1 out of 36 rolls.
@fullbloodlion
@fullbloodlion 13 жыл бұрын
@Bestdj0125 You have seen just as many "cold" and "neutral" tables as you have "hot" ones, you just don't remember it because it wasn't exciting or fun for you.
@lgreengo525
@lgreengo525 13 жыл бұрын
@forza599 "Isn't every bet on the table in favor of the casino?" Nootttt quite my friend...backing up Pass Line and Come bets with odds, over time (say after 30 games or so), results in breaking even. In other words, on those particular bets, the casino wins 0% of the time. There you have it; 2 cases where the casino DOES NOT win....or lose....and for shits and giggles, the casino only wins ~1.5% of the time on all pass line and come bets, if you know what you're doing.
@r151515
@r151515 13 жыл бұрын
@breiningac I just got back from vegas one day ago.. alllll of them use big 6 & 8 there.
@dontswin
@dontswin 15 жыл бұрын
Actually 7 should be showing 18.75% of the rolls which comes out to 18 times in 96 rolls...obviously there are times when ALOT of rolls can go by and you won't see them at all. The thing is there will be other times where they can and do come up in bunches even if dice have no memory.However, over time thats what you'll see with random rolls no matter what anyone tells you!!
@jimklemens5018
@jimklemens5018 2 жыл бұрын
The probability of rolling a 7 is 1:6, which is 16.67%.
@dontswin
@dontswin 2 жыл бұрын
@@jimklemens5018 MIT did an in depth study about dice. Actually. 16.67% is not entirely correct. I'll try to explain it: a die has 6 sides with 4 edges, correct? How many possible outcomes can you get on any one throw of 2 dice? I know what you're gonna think, but the real answer is 6 times 4 SQUARED because a die has six sides with 4 edges per side. Therefore one throw can come in ONE of 576 possibilities. Of that number 108(18x6) WILL BE 7's; 78 will be 6's, 78 will be 8's, 60 will be 5's, 60 will be 9's, 48 will be 4's, 48 will be 10's, 30 will be 3's, 30 will be 11's and 18 will be 2's and 18 will be 12's. Add them all up you get 576! Neat huh, one die is not independent of the other die, meaning what happens on the sides of the dice are also relevant to what you see on the top. No one seems to get this. That said when you are on the don't side and 5 or 9 is the point you have "nearly" a TWO TO ONE shot of winning it: 1.7666666666...to ONE. (not 1.5 as you might think)
@jimklemens5018
@jimklemens5018 2 жыл бұрын
@@dontswin You are funny. I pretty sure that a die has 12 edges.
@dontswin
@dontswin 2 жыл бұрын
@@jimklemens5018 4 edges per surface is what I meant. Sue me airite? Or simply put 4 edges per number...yeesh. think how you like, it's your dough.
@Sk8Bby689
@Sk8Bby689 16 жыл бұрын
interesting stuff
@bfyre1
@bfyre1 8 жыл бұрын
actually nothing is a good bet if you think about it
@Arkalius80
@Arkalius80 16 жыл бұрын
You don't understand house advantage. If you bet a on 1,1 and 6,6, your chances of hitting one of those is 17:1. You get paid 30:1 when you hit one but you bet on both, so one loses when the other wins which means you're winnning 30:2 or 15:1, which is less than 17:1. That means for every 17 bucks you bet, you win 15 on average, or about 88 cents on the dollar. You lose in the long run.
@jimklemens5018
@jimklemens5018 2 жыл бұрын
Ummm... the probability of rolling a 2 or 12 is 1 out of 36.
@vgasman1
@vgasman1 9 жыл бұрын
The Field is not as bad a bet as most think, as long as the 2 or 12 pays Triple. Yes, there are 20 ways to lose, but on the 16 winners you have 19 pays. With perfect distribution over 36 rolls you'll get 1 each 2 and 12, 2 each 3 and 11, 3 each 4 and 10, 4 each 5 and 6, 5 each 6 and 8 and 6 7s. Say you bet $10 in the Field for the next 36 rolls, you'll lose 20 of those rolls for $200 and win 16 of them for $190 (assuming perfect distribution of numbers) losing $10 over 36 rolls.
@SebastJO2007
@SebastJO2007 13 жыл бұрын
I gamble a lot! and Tables do get hot. If you don't wanna lose, you don't need to be at the casino. several things can minimize your losses, but I don't care what anybody says you can not get an advantage on the house, if you could, they wouldn't be in business anymore. Go have fun and win occasionally but plam to lose, always. Field Bets are bad? when the 2 and 12 pay 2-1 house has advantage 3-1 on both makes the field a 0% advantage. Get hot table burn their ass on the pass line and hardways
@jimklemens5018
@jimklemens5018 2 жыл бұрын
A casino will never pay triple on the 2 and 12.
@jimklemens5018
@jimklemens5018 2 жыл бұрын
The Any 7 bet does not pay 5 to 1.
@Krovack
@Krovack 15 жыл бұрын
It's funny reading some of these comments. Some of you are talking about statistics and other are talking probability. Statistically if a 7 hasn't come out in 500 rolls it's bound to come out soon. But probability-wise it could still not come out in another 500 rolls because every roll you only have 1:6 chance.
@matt4787
@matt4787 14 жыл бұрын
Yes they actually all do. It is just different wording. 7:1 ratio= 8 for 1. You are paid 8 and 1 is taken. It is just a fancier way to make you think the odds are better thank they are.
@WMASSGOLF
@WMASSGOLF 10 жыл бұрын
8 for 1 = 7 to 1 payouts.
@Bestdj0125
@Bestdj0125 16 жыл бұрын
Obviously someone who has not played the game. If you ever get a chance to actually go to a casino and watch a craps game you will be amazed at the "brains" the dice do have sometimes.
@svguerin3
@svguerin3 18 жыл бұрын
lol... yeah right
@Bestdj0125
@Bestdj0125 16 жыл бұрын
And you know . . . . less than shit???
@brakevsblake
@brakevsblake 16 жыл бұрын
and anyone who doesnt believe in the "law of probability", your putting yourself at a huge disadvantage, and thats why you almost always, lose your whole stack, and i know you lose your whole stack, because i used to play like the way yous all used too
@tittelfitz87
@tittelfitz87 16 жыл бұрын
then what are the good beats so what your telling me is that dont play craps
@caifanez
@caifanez 13 жыл бұрын
i dont care what they say dude, you are cool!
@Bestdj0125
@Bestdj0125 16 жыл бұрын
Sorry, but this person has never played Craps. I have personally seen many "hot tables". Any player would agree. Sure, they are few and far between, but they do exist.
@cfwilliams295
@cfwilliams295 14 жыл бұрын
THEY ARE ALL BAD BETS YOU MUG
@brakevsblake
@brakevsblake 16 жыл бұрын
this guy has no idea what he is talking about. The only numbers i bet on are the 30:1 pay-outs on 1,1 and 6,6. Its all about the way you bet. i worked out that i can get 70 chances( with bets on both numbers) to make a profit. Now on two dice there is a possible 36outcomes. So 2/36 (numbers 1,1 & 6,6) is 1/18, which equals 5.56% chance to hit. nOW ADD ON THE 70 CHANCES I HAVE TO LAND ON THEM. and hay what is thge outcome? more money to win than you can lose.
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