Betting Odds | Pre Rehearsals vs. Pre Show | TOP 5 by Year | Eurovision 2011 - 2021

[@guzmancas7]

So curious that the 2015 Top 5 Pre Show was the real one actually.

[@dimitrispvoice133]

haha ye, sometimes the odds get it right. pre-rehearsals though..Finland 5th? lol

[@youraverageavgeek2918]

@@dimitrispvoice133 finland probably payed to get high up in the odds. since the odds is basically money and betting money, it makes sense

[@paulmarkwilkinson8778]

I've noticed that

[@MrMike855]

@@youraverageavgeek2918 Maybe, but it was also because of the backstory of the members of PKN having Down's Syndrome, and just how many people knew of them because of that.

[@dimitrispvoice133]

@@youraverageavgeek2918 Nahh, I think is because they have down syndrome and they were still absolutely killing it! The bookmakers maybe thought that the world will sympathize and vote them high...but the song is just not good. Indeed though, there are countries that buy their odds placement as we have seen with Malta this year.

[@GergoMarosvari]

It still shocks me that Finland was fifth!?! before the rehearsals... (2015)

[@elmo4979]

I think they thought that people would like a disabled band more.

[@laurafeldmann]

totally same

[@darasullen8289]

sympathy votes, but it is really 🤪

[@thelfc_guy3794]

YEAH IT WAS -62637367377637838737873778903987389737893896368393678/10

[@elmo4979]

@@darasullen8289 i think the song was fine, but the world wasn’t ready

[@cupcakewithouttheicing]

2018 was kinda wild. Also, the way Gjon's Tears second rehearsal knocked him out of the top 5... That was a ridiculous choice of clip to showcase imo

[@suspiciousmoon4474]

2015 was spot on!

[@thanos2101]

Wow 2011 was a really unpredictable year 😱

[@orangebear280]

Being objective, it was one of the worst years ever.

[@dimitrispvoice133]

@@orangebear280 Indeed, Slovenia's was the only song that I could see as a winner and it got ridiculously underrated by the public

[@harithoma-a-8157]

@@dimitrispvoice133 Slovenia defo should have won

[@lawrenceelliott1097]

The final seemed almost like a drawn out weak semi-final, with no 'stand out' song to put it frankly! I mean would Azerbaijan have even made top 5 in 2012?

[@thanos2101]

@@orangebear280 Actually the only song from 2011 that I like a lot is Georgia. I think this would be in my top 10 in any ESC year. Apart from that yeah 2011 is one of the worst years really together with 2017 for me.

[@okanccaliskan]

in 2011 predicts better than results

[@JustKeepYourSmile]

I am still mad 2020 contest cancelled. Imagine VICTORIA, The Roop, Gjon and Dadi in top 4. Strongest top 4 ever.

[@Илья-р5к6з]

And Little Big 5-th

[@Georgie-M]

at least we still got 2 of those in the top 4 eventually!

[@obek4959]

And who's Destiny, a neighbour?

[@gainal9080]

Italy would've won.

[@giovanniscg8540]

​@@obek4959nah, just a fatt singer with a flop career

[@bazingora.4014]

DAMN! Pre-Show 2015 literally on-point! Well done, betters!

[@somethung8188]

Then they messed up after rehearsals... Also in both they underestimated Austria so I guess Austria really did rise like a phoenix..

[@krin846]

Eurovision 2018 was the most shocking. We saw many favourites staying in the semis, while 4 out of the top 5 were not even in the top 10 before the rehearsals. Also Cyprus was out of top 20 before the rehearsals and became the most favourite entry of the year. Great video❤️

[@mickystam521]

Please PLEASE do biggest rises/drops after rehearsals, like how much they raised or dropped after rehearsals compared to before rehearsals

[@cheffren7011]

Probably Greece 2018/2019. Belgium 2018.

[@PlatinSam]

Unfortunately I don't have all datas for a video like this :( If someone of you has some screenshots of betting odds before rehearsals in 2011-2014 it would fantastic to send them to me.

[@mickystam521]

@@PlatinSam Where did you find the odds for 2011-2014

[@PlatinSam]

Different Eurovision fan websites like eurovoix.com etc. Especially for this video escxtra.com/2021/03/29/eurovision-odds-14-years-history/ but there are just top 10 / 15 of the odds before rehearsals...

[@itsbigbunny892]

@@PlatinSam I thought there was a website where you could go back in time on websites. Sadly I forgot how it's called (and I don't even know if it still exist/works) - but maybe that will make it easier to look up such data?

[@sharkfinn4]

Europe: You were top 5 in the betting odds? Sweden: What? Like it's hard?

[@bucketslash11]

sweden: sends generic pop betting odds: top 5

[@bluekirbyrocks]

​@@bucketslash11 hey it's a good generic pop song!

[@itsmeghash7975]

2011 was such a weird year

[@philipplandgrafe8989]

2013 calling the top 5 in a different order.

[@grasschannel5272]

Same with 2019 pre-rehearsals

[@manifestoh]

It made me happy to see 'Should have know better' on the lists. Such a shame of jury and televotes that its not even top 10

[@goncalosousa3233]

Can someone please explain to me how on earth Finland 2015 was top 5 on the betting odds

[@Wailmur]

Thats weird

[@Copyrightbreaker22]

Sympathie votes

[@jordygarcia3119]

2015 pre-show was spot on!!

[@itsmerachedelarosa7397]

Idea: Smallest/Biggest differences in results in Semi Final and Grand Final 2011-2021

[@lillolollo1217]

Italy 2017 = Malta 2021. First Pre Rehearsals, third Pre Show, and they both ended up failing to be in the top 5

[@thales7099]

2011 was a fever dream.

[@benthewheel30]

2015 was an impressive odds prediction

[@youraverageavgeek2918]

tbh in 2018 bulgaria (bones equinox) they did deserve 2nd place or maybe first place

[@Bracia2498]

My prediction for Grand Final Pre Show 2020: 1. Poland (Result: 1st) 2. United Kingdom (Result: 2nd) 3. Slovenia (Result: 16th) 4. Croatia (Result: 4th) 5. Lithuania (Result: 3rd)

[@onyxtopaz7998]

Australia 2018 still breaks my heart

[@sjshnsgshabsv1034]

So sad for Bulgaria! Good luck next year

[@harithoma-a-8157]

Thank you! Even though its nice that we are always high with odds 🥰

[@ggoddf5889]

honestly they could have won 2020. lithuania russia and bulgaria were the contenders for the crown

[@mittertag1864]

@@ggoddf5889 And Iceland aswell, Gjon probably too. 2020 could have been a really exciting final

[@niccolobonati3943]

agreed, but Bulgaria will get their deserved win eventually

[@munchermuncher7663]

@@ggoddf5889 for me it was Australia,Azerbaijan,Armenia

[@domckey7922]

I'm so sorry for 2020, it would be sooo good

[@aster9051]

damn they really thought malta was going to be in the top 5 this year

[@bazingora.4014]

These videos are seriously brightening up my days! Keep on making them - I will be here! Thanks for your efforts - lots of love!

[@lexezlao]

also I love how all of the rehearsal winners did well and made the top 10 and then there's sognu

[@szandorthe13th]

They got it right in 2015 holy moly And in 2019 they got the top 5 just in the wrong order

[@screemingslay5415]

Wow, 2015 was the year the betting odds are right.

[@megablub06j]

Just a quick analysis regarding the betting odds: If you’re top 1 in the pre-rehearsal betting odds I think it almost guarantees you a top 10 placement in the grand final. Only 2011 didn’t make it. 2012, 2013, 2015, 2018 & 2019 tho were the betting odds’ favorite to win in pre-rehearsals and actually won. Meanwhile if you’re at least top 5 in the pre-rehearsal betting odds, it does not assure you a good placement but it only happened once (Finland 2015) that a song failed to qualify. Ergo, based on trend: if you’re top 1 in the pre-rehearsal betting odds, there’s 90% chance of a top 10 placement, 70% chance of top 5 and 50% chance of winning. Meanwhile if you’re in the top 5 of the betting odds, chances are you’re 98% going to qualify, 78% chance of getting a top 10 placement, 60% chance of top 5 and 16% chance of winning. There is no absolute guarantee tho that you’ll place well. Top 10 placement in the pre-rehearsal betting odds isn’t an assurance really that the entry will qualify. There have been numerous cases already of that. So had 2020 Eurovision taken place, Victoria could’ve reached at least top 10 (high chance of top 5 and even winning) and The Roop, Gjon’s Tears, Dadi and Little Big would definitely qualify and likely to be at least Top 10 in the final. This is just a short observation of how betting odds may reflect actual results. Take with a grain of salt since there’s no 100% assurance but only based on historical trends.

[@vladd896]

Also - if you're out of top 5 pre-rehearsal and 3rd pre-show, there's a good chance you will actually win (see 2011, 2014 and 2016)

[@commentor3485]

I think Malta 2021 flopped for 2 reasons. 1. Bad running order. 2. Too close to Toy (staging was similar, pace was similar, there were other things with that song that were also close to toy).

[@TheMagicAround]

Malta has bought the bookmakers position. There is an investigation in Malta. It should have never been that high in rankings.

[@mongolidp]

Also feminism propaganda

[@JoppingBen10Fan]

@@TheMagicAround it definitely would've been top 10 in odds even if they didn't do that tbf

[@orangebear280]

Please, the biggest rises in the final comparing with the semifinal (Such as Israel 2005 or Russia 2019)

[@jacqueline.9799]

I'm still sad 2020 Esc didn't happen

[@palvispanda6410]

I really hoped that Undo would win back in 2014. But in the end, it didn't😞

[@megablub06j]

Same. Undo was my favorite to win in 2014 but I think Rise Like a Phoenix grew on me better. Undo was a more immediate song to like but looking at the 2 performances now, I think Austria’s staging was just incredible and looks expensive and grand that year compared to Sweden’s which is in the more simpler side.

[@veluxmitochondriaph1373]

Sound of silence was robbed

[@giorgostsembo873]

Yes and Russia too in 2016 i think either Russia or Australia should have won the esc2016

[@naewsqrg]

Rehearsals say a lot of things about who is in contention to win and who is not. 2015 says a lot: odds totally spoiled the top 5 after the rehearsals... 😅😅😅

[@noahalexanderkreutzer4686]

Yo 2015 is cracked

[@noahalexanderkreutzer4686]

In the final

[@geminislorenzo]

One question: how the hell was Finland 5th with the odds!?

[@laurennoil9786]

They were 1st for a really long time. People were thinking their narrative would be enough to make them Lordi 2.0. That notion turned out to be WAY off.

[@otter_iguess]

probably thought they were gonna be favored by televotes

[@eurovisionegor256]

Margaret Berger🥰🥰So sorry she didnt win

[@tunnjessica]

Loved her too! Listened to her song sooo many times

[@_someone_7247]

2015 wtff thats awesome

[@__-qw8jn]

Bulgaria so Fucking Underrated!!😡

[@ivomsmsms6339]

2016 odds tho>>>>

[@kookieskub9397]

2016,2017,2018 GERÇEK şampiyonlar kapmış 1 numarayı 😌

[@oyunaskieurovision]

Can you make a video about all odds winners¿

[@SigmaRho2922]

The 2020 contest was not held because the city government of Rotterdam declared an emergency related to COVID-19 on March 12 and announced quietly that they would have to convert the Rotterdam Ahoy to a field hospital for COVID-19 patients that would be used for a minimum of three months. The Rotterdam city government would not be able to take down the field hospital in time for the contest n its scheduled date.

[@Wailmur]

Well no shit

[@Skithuvid2355]

Sweden just keeps on downgrading every year

[@krissymilanova302]

I can't agree more, it's so sad. After Sanna Nielsen I think things drastically changed. It's like they don't want to put much effort anymore. Not about the artist- about the songs!

[@om0206]

@@krissymilanova302 I mean we have a competion/national qualifier. Assuming they won't rig the televotes, I don't think there is much to do.

[@ggoddf5889]

sweden always sends horrible songs. generic trashy pop. only euphoria was good and by good i mean brilliant. but i cant understand how they manage to make top 10 with such bad songs. thank god this year they got what they deserved (not really cause they deserved to not qualify but still)

[@butterenthusiast]

It’s a shame because before 2015 Sweden was mostly in my top 10, but their 2021 entry in my opinion should have barely qualified.

[@Skithuvid2355]

@@ggoddf5889 You don’t need to sound rude to my homecountry

[@Garfieldfreakje]

2015 is crazy entire top 5 correct but i laughed with Finland being pre rehearsal number 5

[@alexandroseconomou-garcia1450]

Is there a way to see the old betting odds from previous years?

[@zenpeamusic8893]

Wow pre show in 2012 and 2013 were really close!

[@jacqueline.9799]

I love Blue so much

[@spingol5850]

2012 Italy is so good

[@spingol5850]

@Red Diamond true

[@uclhighlights9287]

Better then Euphoria

[@storym6704]

Could you do one with odds before the first songs were released?

[@lonelyhetaliafangirl4936]

I’m so sad that ESC 2029 didn’t happen :( My country would have won 😭😭😭

[@lahavzaken6638]

2029?

[@lonelyhetaliafangirl4936]

@@lahavzaken6638 *2020

[@Wailmur]

Are you icelandic, swiss, bulgarian, lithuanian, russian or italian

[@lonelyhetaliafangirl4936]

@@Wailmur Bulgarian

[@danielwalker1741]

The pre grand final 2015

[@gainal9080]

Sweden literally top 5 almost every single year lmao

[@leroh2462]

australia 2018 and bukgaria deserved more

[@PingyGG]

2015 the top 5 where in the order they got

[@falathrim4322]

hmmm... ireland 4th in 2018 wtf

[@spiridoulakavadia2577]

I think they did a pretty good job with the stage

[@MsJonitha]

A lot of betting agencies are British/Irish so there’s a bias

[@spiridoulakavadia2577]

@@MsJonitha Maybe, but Ireland 2018 deserved better

[@takumifujiwara4149]

Woooooooooww

[@tomasdesmet6670]

Is it just me or does Malta 2016 deserve atleast the top 10

[@drunkfood3275]

9:59 I REALLY CAN NOT SEE THIS GUY ANYMORE could someone please Remove this?

[@otromambo6431]

2011 so random

[@esc_bg]

do you want to be a jury in my contest?

[@sabineworner5202]

Germany 12 Points ❤🎉❤🎉❤

[@danielfraiz74]

I feel like 2016 is a forgotten and weak year. No one ever talks about it out of being Australias first year. No memorable songs, nothing. I don't even like the winning song but I guess it won because there was nothing better

[@soviet_catnamedzkiel]

2015 was their first year

[@tomasdesmet6670]

I don't like the way Destiny said the Je Me Casse

[@Bruno-in7wj]

the way that the top5 2021 before the grand final is better than the official

[@eurovisiopedia]

I don't really understand

[@taraskalyandruk5605]

Vote Malta 06

[@wystxrr]

Finland 2015 5th I-

[@josephnewsome2935]

Juries ruined 2018 by showing bias to Swedens crap song

[@ggoddf5889]

2020 imo russia would win for sure

[@Stevenbfg]

The televote yes. Doubt the juries would go for it though.

[@JoppingBen10Fan]

@@Stevenbfg true with Bulgaria and Switzerland being more jury songs