TOP 50 | Biggest Rises | Betting Odds vs. Results | Eurovision 2011 - 2021 Grand Finals

Top 50 of rises / improvements in betting odds compared to the official results in Eurovision Grand Finals 2011-2021. Odds were taken during the live shows before the voting.
IMPORTANT: The betting odds placings are based on the outright market. If a country is placed 10th it doesn't mean the exact predicted place is 10th but otherwise it's not possible to create a video like this. Odds of Top 10 / 15 could be slightly different but not far away from the outright market.

[@PlatinSam]

The betting odds placings are based on the outright market. If a country is placed 10th it doesn't mean the exact predicted place is 10th but otherwise it's not possible to create a video like this. Odds of Top 10 / 15 could be slightly different but not far away from the outright market. Odds were taken during the live shows before the voting.

[@max-5876]

But the difference between 26 and 13 is zero. Both >1%. So wouldn’t it be better to do a % ranking difference? So the 2% that got third gets the 12% that the third got - 2% is 10 points.

[@alexstefan2740]

A Balkan nation with a song in the native language Bookies: Let's put that last

[@celular-contaprincipaligor9368]

You're right. The nunber of Balkan Countries sending good music, but been putting in the last place it's simply UNBELIVEBLE!

[@mickystam521]

So how many times were you underestimated? Albania and Moldova: Yes

[@x_n_x_gal9161]

Two best countries in ESC by far

[@mrmountainman7128]

Moldova consistantly outperforming expectations

[@Aliren380]

Europe! Ow!

[@peeryoutube]

It’s called overrated

[@timschmieder6312]

And Albania as well i think

[@sylvain_3]

@Alex Erhan It's called Kirkorov and diaspora.

[@peeryoutube]

@Alex Erhan This years song ended way too high. In my opinion it didn’t even deserve to qualify. The only song I liked from Moldova was from 2017 and 2018. Oh yeah and that has nothing to do with the country itself, just saying

[@WethleyPL]

So Lithuania is just waiting for Donny Montell being 11 in odds

[@vladd896]

@Rebecca Woolf not exactly, I think he meant Donny Montel ending exactly 10 places above expectations twice(!), so based on that if they send him 3rd time and he will be 11th on odds he will actually end up 11-10= in the first place winning the contest

[@fesclix4147]

Kind of satisfying to see that the odds have always been a mess and not just these days

[@wwhy6569]

The odds are not a mess. They are correct in the long run.

[@kepapathanas]

The odds had Greece 2011 at 23rd? OMG that's so awkward if you think they actually won the semi, and got 3rd place in the final televoting..

[@MBrix-up2wi]

Man, our guy Cesár really said "F**k your odds and give me my 12 points." What a king.❤️👍🇦🇹

[@giovanniscg8540]

I still can't believe that the UK in 2018 was ranked higher than Italy, Austria and Moldova according to the odds

[@pmfrank2034]

It happened just because of the ,,invasion" during her performance. She was I believe 24th before the show

[@Tarkris]

It happened during the show , following the stage invasion people thought she would get sympathy votes but she didn't

[@tmdgcmct9756]

@@Tarkris i feel like she did. she would’ve been last if she didn’t. but she didn’t get enough to get her past 24th.

[@Tarkris]

@@tmdgcmct9756 Yeah , I could agree to that. But she didn't really get much Televote points.

[@giovanniscg8540]

@@pmfrank2034 but also Spain 2010 got an invasion, but the odds kept stable around 16th if I'm not wrong

[@esccyprus]

Can we all agree that PlatinSam is the best esc youtuberl? Literally he did an amazing work👏

[@PlatinSam]

Wow thanks my friend :)

[@ggoddf5889]

yess

[@Bdbdhsdbshdbhce]

Fr hes great

[@doomchromee8648]

He is great, but i think schlager lucas beats him

[@angelosvlahos]

2:41 the whistle note in Crno i Belo is actually iconic

[@ggoddf5889]

what about songs that were high in odds but didnt even qualify. like belgium and greece 2018

[@HimeFunny]

Finland 2015 was placed 5th and didnt qualify

[@michellesmirnova4471]

I do believe that it’s more accurate to talk about flops than rises, since odds are based on who people predict will win. And I understand why most people didn’t predict that these would win, mostly because a lot of these were “safe” and “basic”, although good. I’m aware you made a video about flops and what you mentioned in the pinned comment, this isn’t against the video or anything, I just wanted to give that piece of mind!

[@PlatinSam]

Indeed, in this ranking it's even more difficult. Albania and Serbia are good examples. In some cases placed 26th to win but in a betting market who's finishing last they won't be the favourite because diaspora votes save them no matter what song it is.

[@Mikowmer]

@@PlatinSam So there isn't a betting market for who will get last?

[@PlatinSam]

Of course there is, but how to show this in one video if there are many other markets Top 5 / 10 / 15 / Last...

[@mikahamari5994]

You are correct, only the winners of each year are relevant in this comparison, because they are winning odds. The biggest riser is the winner whose betting position was the worst. But thanks for the creator of this video, this is also interesting point of view. :)

[@KyrieFortune]

people have asked for this video tho

[@neadod2902]

I never understand why the bookies always put Albania like pretty much last🤷🏻‍♀️. They always send high quality songs and really good singers

[@steveuni90]

So true!!!

[@filipgrmsek]

That's why NEVER trust odds... Except for winner (last 2 editions)... Odds underrate the Balkans so hard every year😵😓

[@nicodex592]

So true, Albania especially ...

[@orangebear280]

Next - biggest rises in the final comparing to the semi-final

[@przemeq9476]

Austria in 2018 being top 3 is something that no one would have guessed

[@bastosbastos5835]

No one ever could have guess the jury would love it that much for no apparent reasons. First by the jury when Israel, Cyprus or Italy were right there 😭

[@kiertavasirkus]

@@bastosbastos5835 Italy was robbed by the jury that year

[@cabemaru1]

In brief, moldova, albania, lithuania, italy

[@escaustargirl]

Donny really said “fuck the odds”

[@milanmigi5427]

Odds really hates Montenegro and Albania... Lol

[@colin4962]

And Moldova 🤷‍♂️🇲🇩

[@TotalbadassX]

And slovenia

[@sillybeing4450]

4:17 Ah Michał Szpak.. he was robbed soo much, still hurts

[@user-mx3xw1hb3q]

He robbed Margaret in the national final so that’s what he deserved

[@MikeKobela]

5:30 SUUS? ALBAMOGUS?????

[@mb-176]

SUUSSY BAKA 😳🤪

[@nexahs1]

Bookies really be putting Kirkorov songs last when he's never finished anywhere except the left side of the board.

[@okmackan2054]

Hey mama being underrated that makes me feels sad

[@taniaishere]

Ah, our lovely Maya Sar with Korake ti znam. I still listen to it. Such a beautiful and strong song. 🇧🇦❤️

[@ronweasley6585]

waiting for moldova 2021

[@crabrave8979]

The fact it was predicted 12th SF and qualified at 7th

[@Ok-rz8ml]

@@crabrave8979 and Israel was predicted 11th in SF and finished 5th lmao

[@eivind6713]

2011 the most entertaining year ever. So many flops and so many surprises.

[@archigal]

Zala and Gasper are one of my favorite entries ever. I'm still listening to their songs, I'm so happy they participated. Joci Papai too

[@gg454lune]

I'm happy "Proud" beat the odds. It was my winner in 2019.

[@GergoMarosvari]

It seems like that Europe "didn't count us" a few times. (Hungary)

[@escamante9785]

Imagine having 20 places difference when the max u could have in 2011 were 24 *Damn* BTW everyone complains Azerbaijan won in 2011,but is not like if they were last in odds, they were 4, which is very solid comparing that the one getting second was 22 in odds lmao

[@animeandgamealex3331]

Actually 25

[@escamante9785]

@@animeandgamealex3331 no 24 bc there were 25 participants, and if you got the maximum possible difference, which would be being 25 in odds and ending up first or the other way around then the difference would be 25-1=24 or 1-(-25)=24 So yeah Italy was 4 away of having the biggest possible difference :D

[@animeandgamealex3331]

@@escamante9785 thanks. Now i understand

[@animeandgamealex3331]

@@qoobfoodisnotgood7457 but there still 10 places difference

[@joelatkin1214]

And they still deserved 1st place rather than 2nd

[@freyaschenberg1225]

albania 2018 is quite possible one of my favourite eurovision acts , but man was i shocked when they actually qualified !

[@dylangmail75]

same, one of my favorite entries of all time

[@orangebear280]

Bookmakers hate Donny Montell...

[@italialainenkissa4116]

I know this opinion is unpopular but... I did like italy 2011. Like, a lot. Sue me but it is what it is.

[@batmatt6844]

I still think that it was one of the only good entries that year.

[@Thunderworks]

They really put Austria 2018 at the 20th place ? They are deaf lol

[@x_n_x_gal9161]

Jonida Maliqi was so painfully underrated it still hurts. That song had all of Albania's spirit in it, and I'm not even Albanian.

[@AlexxxDaFuq]

Albania 4 times in this list, truly the dark horse of this competition😌

[@Tv-qj2xm]

Or the most underrated country in odds

[@davidmaresginer6592]

@@Tv-qj2xm is Moldova. Albania wasn't underestimated in 2015

[@DimDDG]

Moldova 🇲🇩❤️❤️

[@esciveta5507]

love this type of video!

[@viggohelander5131]

Could you please make a video of the biggest surprise qualifiers based on the odds? I think that would be interesting. Great vid btw!!

[@przemeq9476]

Serhat

[@fabianpardo9734]

I don’t know but I love the video quality of esc 2018. By the way good job

[@12irissu14]

My Favorites My Lucky Day (Moldova 2018) - 6 Points This Time (Lithuania 2015) - 7 Points Love Kills (Belgium 2013) - 8 Points Running on Air (Austria 2017) - 8 Points Love Me Back (Turkey 2012) - 8 Points Popular (Sweden 2011) - 8 Points A New Tomorrow (Denmark 2011) - 8 Points Lie To Me (Czechia 2018) - 8 Points Friend of A Friend (Czechia 2019) - 10 Points Mall (Albania 2018) - 10 Points Kuula (Estonia 2012) - 10 Points Higher Ground (Denmark 2018) - 12 Points Suus (Albania 2012) - 12 Points Adio (Montenegro 2015) - 12 Points Nova Deca (Serbia 2018) - 12 Points O Mie (Moldova 2013) - 12 Points

[@otromambo6431]

Don't understimate the power of ballads lol I miss Moldova's crazy performances

[@mtsg3761]

Another crazy performance this year that performed above expectations 😭 I wish my country the UK could just send crazy entries sometime

[@FranscescaStam]

Poland 2016 was my fave ever

[@jojoelio5537]

Albania 2018. I love you Eugent ❤️❤️❤️

[@BiBi-kw3no]

Odds really hates Moldova every single year 🤦 not saying about 2021(cause it wasn't the favorite of MANY people) but seriously??? 2011,2012,2013,(2014-2016 didn't qualified), 2017, 2018, (2019 didn't qualified)??? Like really??? These odds really understimates Moldova just thinking it's a small country so it won't place high

[@fabb4i2]

Some of the things predicted look so unreal now.

[@musicislife2492]

Maybe a bad idea, but what if you make the top matched songs by the odds and in the results? Will there be 15 songs?

[@somethung8188]

Nobody but you? 20th? Have the bookies LOST THEIR MIND?

[@colin4962]

Moldova is always underrated 🤷‍♂️🇲🇩...but why?

[@DimDDG]

Idk but I am proud of my country 🇲🇩❤️

[@colin4962]

@@DimDDG Moldova is such a beautiful country, I really want to visit it after this pandemic again 🇲🇩 Greetings from Germany 🇩🇪🤝🇲🇩

[@DimDDG]

@@colin4962 oh thx so much, it's rare to see people who want to visit Moldova :) I've been to Frankfurt before (I live in Belgium 🇧🇪 but I’m Moldovan 🇲🇩) but I really want to visit Germany in detail, it's a big country and there is still many things to see !! Especially when I go to Moldova in the summers by car, I go through Germany and I see beautiful cities Greetings from your Belgian neighbor and a Moldovan guy 🇧🇪🇲🇩❤️🇩🇪

[@munchermuncher7663]

@@colin4962 i want a win for moldova

[@DimDDG]

@@munchermuncher7663 me too

[@simonri9634]

Can I just say that countdown was so pretty!

[@michellesmirnova4471]

I believe that’s KZbin’s basic countdown for every premiere

[@bazejpiechota4129]

It's basic countdown from KZbin lol

[@ASamuel89]

can you make a video of the biggest changes between countries results in the semi finals and the finals?

[@robotwars666]

serhat 26th in odds serhat after gettin 19th na na na iam also suprised itlay was so low in the odds in 2011

[@lukaszs.4158]

Cleo & Michał 🥰🥰🥰

[@corneliuguritanu3020]

Nice seeng and songs from 2021

[@annokiplik8306]

I dont know if i should be worried or proud about Moldova

[@munchermuncher7663]

Proud

[@AlexandrTheGreatt]

Now the biggest rise was Moldova, who ended up in top 7 despite being in the odds on 25.

[@Hustle127]

Italy 2011 and Russia 2021 truly deserved

[@nacht98]

Austria for me is the true winner of 2018. What a song and what a performer!

[@p.qmorik9207]

Eurovision 2011 was such a mess...

[@isabelsilva1367]

Good songs, great lyrics and great ritms so is a really hard to predict where every song will be placed and you need to cont whit the juris

[@jorgefuenmayor2314]

you can make a ranking with the contestant who placed better than their first attempt, like poli genova or natalia gordienko.

[@nomiforslund4781]

The guy who is in the front looks like Daniel Radcliffe😂 3:21

[@fabb4i2]

So apparently it's a good thing to be placed #26, #24 or #19 in the odds lol.

[@nicodex592]

26th, you can only place better or equal ^^

[@masmusic4669]

Why is Albania the queen of these odds?

[@sandroribeiro7644]

Because before the show odds always puts them last or near last, doesn't matter if the song is good or bad

[@the11382]

It seems there's a weak correlation between jury and televoting disagreeing and the betting odds being off.

[@corneliuguritanu3020]

Moldova the underdogs,the dark horse

[@dominikr8428]

Another proof that 2011 was a hot mess and the winner was just a cherry on top ☠️

[@spingol5850]

Did someone notice that they used the same background on lithuania 2012 as the flag parade in 2021? The same style at least.

[@screemingslay5415]

It took me minutes to realize that those were ranks and not points, and I got confused as to why their results were so low yet it was successful. I am too new for this.

[@nixalk1]

How popular was meant to be 10th while it was the winner of the semi final?

[@mangomochi9847]

What does "odds" mean

[@PK-xr1gb]

The Top 5 is amazing! (except Austria)

[@q.hasnainasad5877]

Borat is from turkey?? 2012

[@achnix3167]

Anxhela was 16th in the televote... just imagine

[@gvidasvalentukonis1652]

Lithuania just .... how much times we will be here more?

[@ohandthefracking]

i really have a question as to why Greece 2011 was THAT low lmfao??

[@Wailmur]

2011 was just fucked

[@plebontheweb]

I remember austria 2014 being 200/1 before the competition to win. Big regret not betting on them then

[@brianlynch8292]

Are you for real fucking hell 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂 Conchita was that SUPPOSEDLY shit. Jaysus Bookmakers obviously don’t know shit. Conchita was out of this mothertucking world ❤❤❤❤❤

[@manuam98]

How the hell was Mall 24 in the odds??

[@tmdgcmct9756]

Kirkorov songs aren’t UNDERRATED by the bookies. They know that they aren’t good but for SOME reason they always end high in the grand final itself. we all know what’s going on.

[@timschellekens7967]

It’s so obvious that Kirkorov is “acquaintances” with juries of several countries.

[@nicodex592]

2011 again, worst placings for betting odds XD

[@raoultlam1549]

Conclusion: the bookmakers cannot predict 26th place and they hate Moldova a lot and Albania as well

[@methylithium]

Donny Montell two times here 😀

[@NuuSkye01]

SEBI😭😭💕💕💕

[@DaveVampireSlayer]

Moldova: Hold my pronostics! Albania: Bookmakers 😘 Italy: I end those men's carrers!

[@melissa9905]

Bookies always underrating Albania hugely

[@wwhy6569]

It does not underrating it, because if you see what happened, Albania didn't win.

[@balanda23]

А где Лазарев??? В 2019 он был у буков 12, а стал 3

[@user-dq6xw9kk4z]

Тут учитывается последний результат букмекеров, а последний результат Лазарева 8 место, можете сами посмотреть.

[@EAvaan2]

Eastern Europe really showing for good here!

[@SpeedCheetah998]

I thought moldovia was 25th

[@Lukas_vd]

Well Austria and the nethetlands in 2014 both not in top 10 and 1st and 2nd

[@ionbalan7425]

Moldova was 12th in 2011

[@user-vl8kw3nr5j]

What a shame to put watch my dance 23rd !

[@kaW3_4]

Pure Lithuania

[@xESCFR3AKx]

Good job Donny lmao

[@DobryiDENb]

Gustaph? ❤

[@KevinChantal]

2023. The video is until 2021

[@PanosLP96]

Where tf is Fuego?

[@nicodex592]

Fuego climbed in the betting odds during rehearsals, so it was predicted 1st or 2nd (I don't remember)

[@ronmedheuos]

the odds at 2013 are sucks omg

[@koguma8823]

jesus what do y'all have against albania

[@sylvain_3]

I can rise too if Kirkorov buys a lot of the juries for me, because Moldova having 8 times 12 points in the semifinal... not even Salvador Sobral, Loreen, Mans...

[@munchermuncher7663]

Voters underrated it and gave it votes thinking it won't be a threat while they didn't give votes to obvious qualfiers. As a result, Moldova rose

[@oconnorbrothers6992]

In 2019, Slovenia got 13th

[@NeighbourVadim27]

5:31 seems kinda sus to me