Big Short - Credit Default Swaps

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James Aaron Brown

James Aaron Brown

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 1 000
@gustavofring3661
@gustavofring3661 2 жыл бұрын
let’s see paul allen’s default swap
@Chorkaloopa
@Chorkaloopa 2 жыл бұрын
That’s Silian Rail.... 💳
@burns83
@burns83 2 жыл бұрын
@@Chorkaloopa You're sick for knowing that and how to spell it
@dcairol
@dcairol 2 жыл бұрын
Stolen comment
@jimtownsend3910
@jimtownsend3910 2 жыл бұрын
@@Chorkaloopa watermark?
@jimtownsend3910
@jimtownsend3910 2 жыл бұрын
@@Chorkaloopa Garamond Classico SC to be precise
@jman7287
@jman7287 2 жыл бұрын
I read somewhere that the reason he took the cups, Is because he wanted a souvenir from the banks since he didn’t think that would exist no more after the collapse.
@leobaucells
@leobaucells 2 жыл бұрын
🤣🤣👌👌
@NERDCoGaming
@NERDCoGaming 2 жыл бұрын
They really would make great trophies lmao
@deerlord2363
@deerlord2363 2 жыл бұрын
That's what I figured when I watched this movie, like the cups were some kind of trophy for him. 😆
@bogusfubu
@bogusfubu 2 жыл бұрын
I thought it was symbolism like he’s literally “mugging” them lol
@xaiano794
@xaiano794 2 жыл бұрын
To be fair he was right with a few. Leheman brothers...
@garrison6863
@garrison6863 2 жыл бұрын
Christian Bale was excellent in this one. He really nailed the character's eccentricities.
@bbb8182
@bbb8182 2 жыл бұрын
I have an adult Asperger's kid and I'd say he overdid it in this scene although the rest of the movie it was seriously spot on!
@Idalg87
@Idalg87 2 жыл бұрын
@@bbb8182 yes thats right, everyone on the spectrum is exactly the same as your kid!🙈
@lamdrewpleasse4667
@lamdrewpleasse4667 2 жыл бұрын
Burry is not like he is portrayed in the film lol watch his commencement speech from 2012
@mastod0n1
@mastod0n1 2 жыл бұрын
@@lamdrewpleasse4667 yeah 99% of the time Hollywood amps up the eccentricities of real people to make "characters."
@christophercolumbus8944
@christophercolumbus8944 2 жыл бұрын
as he does with every other character he plays in maybe except for batman ... he takes himself too seriously
@tradermeras3
@tradermeras3 2 жыл бұрын
"Everyone is wrong" That line alone defines the movie
@brianbyrne3003
@brianbyrne3003 10 ай бұрын
Agree. Powerful sentence
@RainbowManification
@RainbowManification 10 ай бұрын
They weren’t wrong. They knew what they were doing and were greedy.
@brianegendorf2023
@brianegendorf2023 10 ай бұрын
And America. Our businesses are stealing us blind, and the moment anyone tries do something about..."Big Government", "These regulations are overly complicated", "They have a chilling effect on..whatever".. As long as government is afraid to take on big business... America is Wrong.
@trifeccta
@trifeccta 9 ай бұрын
@@RainbowManificationonly the top folks knew their fancy equation was going bust soon, rest thought it’ll keep going.
@callme_anonymous
@callme_anonymous 7 ай бұрын
Everyone is wrong. Time will reveal everything.
@roseymalino9855
@roseymalino9855 2 жыл бұрын
They laughed at his concerns about their failure to pay. Turns out it was a genuine concern, not so much that they couldn't pay, but more that they wouldn't pay. Which as it turns out they snarkilly avoided as long as they could.
@billyhalliday9811
@billyhalliday9811 2 жыл бұрын
Yeah was he not going to take them to court and they eventually did because they didn’t want the public embarrassment and also he losing more money in court
@burns83
@burns83 2 жыл бұрын
Another victim of the actors she loves. There was genius anywhere. So many people wrote about the pending doom. Grading agencies were paid to lie about popular stock that everyone was put under. Stock that wasn't even worth a C were graded AAA for no reason
@warntheidiotmasses7114
@warntheidiotmasses7114 2 жыл бұрын
I think they were a market maker in those products and manipulated the price of those products until they could offload their losing side of the bet. I would imagine that's the way they would play it.
@rotyler2177
@rotyler2177 2 жыл бұрын
They're not correlated. THEY ARE CORRELATED!!
@juliofranciscogomezstoppel1860
@juliofranciscogomezstoppel1860 2 жыл бұрын
both actually. He knew that the market was collapsing. If all debt triggerd at once, he was afraid he was going to be last on the list of payment because, basicly, he was profiting from their losses.
@jaakkohaakana7765
@jaakkohaakana7765 2 жыл бұрын
The end credits of the film should have showed a shot of Dr. Berry's shelf with all the mugs lined up.
@boundaryzero
@boundaryzero 2 жыл бұрын
did he really have these on a shelf?
@jaakkohaakana7765
@jaakkohaakana7765 2 жыл бұрын
@@boundaryzero I doubt it. But this was not a documentary film.
@jimmyneutron4329
@jimmyneutron4329 2 жыл бұрын
Damn, that would have been great
@xekind
@xekind 2 жыл бұрын
@@boundaryzero His son did
@arods
@arods 11 ай бұрын
Exactly my thought!
@RopewayReport
@RopewayReport 2 жыл бұрын
Love how he says "when the bonds fail" and not "if the bonds fail"
@TSAVVVV
@TSAVVVV 7 ай бұрын
It was all a mathematical certainty.
@watcherdog8598
@watcherdog8598 7 ай бұрын
@@TSAVVVV yese it was and it will happen again in 1 to two month check the defaul rates or gold and silver prices if you do not believe me it is not a matter of its a matter of when the us dollar goes bust so i would advice everyone to byt silver and gold with atleast 5 x leeverage i would advise 10x the us treausry is conjtrolling the price right know but they will not hold in les that 3 months its all lining up boys come get your money with me
@houseofdny
@houseofdny 9 ай бұрын
The chef's kiss is how breathlessly the Goldman rep replies "Yes, YES" when Burry asks for a damn coffee mug, worried the slightest hesitation will kill the sale.
@nihaalsandim9986
@nihaalsandim9986 5 күн бұрын
Could be , but its more in line with "You just made us shit ton of money , you can have the damn worthless cups"
@kgm4556
@kgm4556 2 жыл бұрын
The funny thing is we all think he “owned” the bankers. Truth is, they got their bonus, probably moved on to bigger and better.
@fergus247
@fergus247 2 жыл бұрын
Bonus aka bailout :]
@SangreFriasBack
@SangreFriasBack 2 жыл бұрын
@@fergus247 Courtesy of the taxpayers
@kgm4556
@kgm4556 2 жыл бұрын
@@SangreFriasBack Which the banks where forced to take and paid back in full, with interest.
@husaynml7593
@husaynml7593 2 жыл бұрын
@@kgm4556 I wish I could fuck up and let the government pay for my mistakes. Then move to the next cushy job and pay it all back easily.
@DatzMagic_82
@DatzMagic_82 2 жыл бұрын
There's just something so satisfying about seeing someone swindle banks out of millions
@TamperedProduction
@TamperedProduction 2 жыл бұрын
So that’s how Batman got his money
@MrMLHoganjr
@MrMLHoganjr 2 жыл бұрын
“I want to buy credit default swaps… Do you like Phil Collins?”
@alexanderwashofsky855
@alexanderwashofsky855 2 жыл бұрын
Bateman*. Patrick Bateman.
@JohnBarron-n
@JohnBarron-n 2 жыл бұрын
What the hell does this mean?
@JohnBarron-n
@JohnBarron-n 2 жыл бұрын
@@onboardbasil you mean Michael Keaton
@JohnBarron-n
@JohnBarron-n 2 жыл бұрын
@@onboardbasil that's right, but michael Keaton only played in 2 Batmans, not a trilogy. Val Kilmer played in the third one. I think you're talking about Christian slater but he was never in batman.
@timreuscher20
@timreuscher20 2 жыл бұрын
I don't take anyone seriously here, there's no business card flex battle.
@johnprescott7389
@johnprescott7389 2 жыл бұрын
Lol i saw that a week back
@ericwilliams398
@ericwilliams398 2 жыл бұрын
Try getting a reservation at Dorcia now you stupid bastard
@AlanIanke
@AlanIanke 9 ай бұрын
Me too ​@@johnprescott7389
@damepolk5214
@damepolk5214 Ай бұрын
No celebratory dinner at Dorsia’s😂
@eengineer1able
@eengineer1able 11 ай бұрын
Sadly, not a single person in this scene was hurt by the crash, including the bankers. They all got their bonuses and then got bailed out. I wish I could feel some thrill from seeing some justice, but there's none here.
@NicoNico-re1rq
@NicoNico-re1rq 10 ай бұрын
Well thats why they accepted his deal...rich ppl dont gamble on odds that can make them lose everything.
@davideyres955
@davideyres955 9 ай бұрын
@@NicoNico-re1rqnot strictly speaking true. Lloyds names are liable for everything they own, however so many are so well connected they know that the government will step in before they are bankrupted.
@wilfbreezy333
@wilfbreezy333 9 ай бұрын
@@NicoNico-re1rqwell, reference Dumb Money. They definitely don’t. But a poor lower middle class guy like - Paul Dani’s character did and won
@helloitsmehb
@helloitsmehb 8 ай бұрын
Unless you did something stupid , no Americans were hurt either in the long run
@lIlIlIll-kg2cm
@lIlIlIll-kg2cm 7 ай бұрын
@@NicoNico-re1rq it's like playing poker and black jack, but there's no loss.
@g.w.7893
@g.w.7893 7 ай бұрын
"Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to pause and reflect." - Mark Twain
@simunator
@simunator 2 ай бұрын
think for yourself, don't be sheep
@sarnxero2628
@sarnxero2628 Ай бұрын
Received opinions are never your own
@joeterra.t
@joeterra.t Ай бұрын
"There was once a black guy named n****r Jim" - Mark Twain
@moodswingy1973
@moodswingy1973 26 күн бұрын
Think about that if your politics align with all of Hollywood.
@MrLucky9931
@MrLucky9931 9 ай бұрын
“I like these cups, can I take one, for my son” Idk why but when the music stops and Bale delivers that line, I always crack ip
@adennis200
@adennis200 8 ай бұрын
The music probably stops because it emphasises the situation. It makes it stand out, seem more "unexpected" or unnatural, more funny. Music has often the function of emphasising the mood of the situation.
@johnszczerba9979
@johnszczerba9979 7 ай бұрын
​@adennis200 other's pointed out it's like Dexter and his blood slides
@soup100
@soup100 2 жыл бұрын
Turns out that he was correct to be worried about payment. If AIG doesn't get bailed out, Goldman Sachs goes under
@krismurray0723
@krismurray0723 2 жыл бұрын
And don't forget that Paulsen was running the treasury at that time, and he is a Goldman Guy. Guess who they decided NOT to bail out?? Goldman's biggest rival, Lehman Brothers. So weird....huh?? 🤣
@youtubecensoringcomments7427
@youtubecensoringcomments7427 Ай бұрын
That is false. Goldman sachs was the only bank to earn money in 2008. But all the other banks had problems to pay yes
@funktionwebweb6735
@funktionwebweb6735 2 жыл бұрын
I just realized that he was taking the coffee mugs the same way serial killers often take an item from their victims, like a trophy. He was basically murdering these firms, and wanted his little momento.
@exorcists
@exorcists 2 жыл бұрын
Maybe it's a little Patrick Bateman easteregg
@mattp.272
@mattp.272 2 жыл бұрын
Technically they committed accidental suicide, and he just placed bets that the suicide would actually happen.
@funktionwebweb6735
@funktionwebweb6735 2 жыл бұрын
@@mattp.272 This is a good point. If this were reddit I would give you some gold.
@briantse5525
@briantse5525 2 жыл бұрын
The reason he takes them is because it's symbolic, he is "mugging" them.
@RideAcrossTheRiver
@RideAcrossTheRiver 2 ай бұрын
@@briantse5525 Wrong symbol.
@seanrezvani130
@seanrezvani130 2 жыл бұрын
Dr Burry is a legend. Can not believe he saw the water issue ten years ago in his interview. Last one was year ago about worst inflation and months ago about another housing bubble and the crash of both markets
@jonpaul6948
@jonpaul6948 2 жыл бұрын
He also shorted Tesla. The man is not infallible.
@seanrezvani130
@seanrezvani130 2 жыл бұрын
@@jonpaul6948 he is a human but his true predictions were much more than his false ones. He knows the US economy functioning much more than politicians who run the Fed Reserve
@MrZillas
@MrZillas 2 жыл бұрын
@@jonpaul6948 This is just a question of time. There is nothing that Tesla can do which other car-manufacturers can't do. On top, their cars are mostly ugly inside and outside and terrible built together. It's still an experiment. I'd rather buy a Hyundai Ioniq 5 to be honest. Btw, he would have won on a Tesla-short, because the price for Tesla dropped from 1.000 bucks to 600.
@jonpaul6948
@jonpaul6948 2 жыл бұрын
@@MrZillas If it were a question of time he would have held his short. He closed it in 2021. Even if Tesla fails now he was still wrong on his bet and lost money.
@hanshuber1875
@hanshuber1875 11 ай бұрын
​@@jonpaul6948its one Thing, to know that a company will fail. Another Thing to predict the right time when it will fail.
@CopiousDoinksLLC
@CopiousDoinksLLC 9 ай бұрын
"This is Wall Street, Mr Burry. If you offer us free money, we're going to take it." I love that line because you can tell from the way she says it that she thinks this is a virtue.
@robloxvids2233
@robloxvids2233 9 ай бұрын
Well it is. She has stakeholders that expect to see returns. Getting free money is a good way to make your stakeholders happy. It is a virtue. It's her job to make money.
@a.t3415
@a.t3415 9 ай бұрын
I wouldn't say she thinks this is a virtue, but she has no illusions that they'll stop people from making (what they believe to be) poor financial decisions
@vibovitold
@vibovitold 8 ай бұрын
​@@a.t3415and he's not some confused granny that hobbled into their office barely remembering her own name, he's running a hedge fund. They've got every right to treat him like a pro and a player - which he is.
@TheNewcastlePilot
@TheNewcastlePilot 2 ай бұрын
@@robloxvids2233 Very true. It's also that kind of thinking that allowed for the mortgage market to collapse. "Sure, just sign here and you get the mortgage" (regardless of if you can actually afford it).
@andyorwig
@andyorwig 6 ай бұрын
If you are wondering what he's saying to himself, is that he's realizing that they aren't reading the summaries, and are so blindly confident they gladly threw a $100 million at it without thinking.
@LucasTowers__
@LucasTowers__ 2 жыл бұрын
0:50 "When the bonds fail" when he could easily say "if the bonds fail". Man was so sure about his move that he was talking about it as a fact.
@roseymalino9855
@roseymalino9855 2 жыл бұрын
Talking!!!!!! Talking, you say! He literally put his money where his mouth is; over $1B. Yes, that sure.
@davidweihe6052
@davidweihe6052 7 ай бұрын
If he wasn’t sure that the bonds would fail (soon enough that he could survive the wait), he would be damn stupid to make that bet. As it was, he had to liquidate a number of positions to pay the premiums.
@Wired4Life2
@Wired4Life2 3 ай бұрын
@@davidweihe6052 Are the imposed premiums their extreme minority of brain cells telling them, “Um, this Burry guy might be right, so why not make him suffer a bit on his way to possibly being right”?
@Burncsb
@Burncsb 2 жыл бұрын
When someone comes to you with something that seems incredibly crazy, and you don't have the presence of mind to have some humility and even consider they may be onto something... you at least need to be prepared to face the consequences of your own arrogance.
@warntheidiotmasses7114
@warntheidiotmasses7114 2 жыл бұрын
You have to wonder if the conversation really went down that way. More likely you'd say something we'd like to hedge against another investment say going long housing stocks and you'd simply ask for the MDS as a hedge rather than say OH! I think the housing market is gonna collapse. Why would they then take the other side of the bet if you let them in on your research?
@Burncsb
@Burncsb 2 жыл бұрын
@@warntheidiotmasses7114 the probability that it went this way is very low... I think. He was pretty straight forward with them, I imagine that it was much more technical in the real moment.
@louieg7676
@louieg7676 2 жыл бұрын
I think the arrogance came from the knowledge that they control the system, manipulate the market, bribe the rating agencies and they could always cheat their way to victory. The likelihood of Dr. Burry being right before he runs out of money for paying the premium is very small.
@warntheidiotmasses7114
@warntheidiotmasses7114 2 жыл бұрын
@@Burncsb The guy does his research, clearly he comes across intelligently, he says I want to bet against the housing market. The suits come back with ok? And however how many hundreds of millions he wanted to short? Can't be. I think my scenario was more probable. Or at least, that's what I would've said. I want the MDS or CDS's as a hedge against going long housing stocks. Hedges often expire worthless. I buy a stock, I want to buy puts as a hedge, oh? they're none? I call up Morgan stanley and I say hey I want to buy Puts. And that's the way I would imagine it works. Not, I think this stock is gonna collapse, can you sell me puts?
@MaltMetalMick
@MaltMetalMick 2 жыл бұрын
I wonder if attitudes have changed nowadays because of this very exact thing.
@nomoreheroes1718
@nomoreheroes1718 9 ай бұрын
The two sitting across from him thought the music started for them. 😂
@thomaspayea8740
@thomaspayea8740 2 жыл бұрын
This man just finessed like 5 coffee cups, genius
@robertcox8994
@robertcox8994 8 ай бұрын
He was hoping they fail and make great collectors items
@NewWesternFront
@NewWesternFront 6 ай бұрын
@@robertcox8994 no actually that was the point of setting up the deals- to run the banks into the ground by taking one cup at a time
@RideAcrossTheRiver
@RideAcrossTheRiver 2 ай бұрын
@@NewWesternFront Not the point of the mugs, though.
@leeroyjenkins0
@leeroyjenkins0 Ай бұрын
​@@RideAcrossTheRiverobviously, if cups had points you'd hurt yourself every time you drink from them 🤦
@RideAcrossTheRiver
@RideAcrossTheRiver Ай бұрын
@@leeroyjenkins0 You almost got the point.
@OmegaTou
@OmegaTou 2 жыл бұрын
Michael Burry was right about what was happening back then, and he is right about what is going on right now, and yet still the mainstream disregards what he is saying. It's sad, and this crash is going to probably be worse than the 1930's.
@wulfhart2653
@wulfhart2653 2 жыл бұрын
What is he saying about what is going on today ?
@OmegaTou
@OmegaTou 2 жыл бұрын
@@wulfhart2653 I'd google him if you want details, but the short answer is that the market is in a huge bubble across a bunch of different sectors, and it's going to crash in an epic fashion.
@izenga606
@izenga606 2 жыл бұрын
It already is worse. Todays median pay relative to home cost is significantly less than the Great Depression.
@edelmanmuriellandry9810
@edelmanmuriellandry9810 2 жыл бұрын
@@OmegaTou ow it's gonna be bad, but my feeling is how longer it's going to take to fail, how harder it's going to fail, the complete financial system has to be taken down to "build it back better"
@jakecrawford1438
@jakecrawford1438 2 жыл бұрын
There is an everything bubble; but it will be a massive correction. It will clean out risky investments such as Crypto and high yield bonds. Business will always produce cash, and if you have the mettle to stand by good businesses you will be ok.
@jcolinmizia9161
@jcolinmizia9161 2 жыл бұрын
I can’t believe that everyone just assumed that he had lost his mind, rather than taking a step back and asking what he saw that motivated this bet.
@Achilles5937
@Achilles5937 2 жыл бұрын
That's Wall Street narcissism for you. The cocky GS people especially the woman laughing in the meeting weren't laughing at the end. Got what they deserved.
@sawyernorthrop4078
@sawyernorthrop4078 2 жыл бұрын
"This is Wall Street, Dr. Burry, if you offer us free money we are going to take it."
@panagiotisatmatzidis9972
@panagiotisatmatzidis9972 2 жыл бұрын
There's no reason to step back and think when you know tax-payers money will bail out if you "fail". It's a win-win situation.
@salmansengul
@salmansengul 2 жыл бұрын
@@panagiotisatmatzidis9972 you're right. Unfortunately most of the time it's the money of the "small man".
@mikeg2491
@mikeg2491 11 ай бұрын
⁠​⁠@@panagiotisatmatzidis9972No one ever talks about the second part of the massive fraud, how Obama’s admin used the banks’ settlement money to funnel to progressive groups like ACORN versus the American people.
@allimwearingiswalesbonner
@allimwearingiswalesbonner 2 жыл бұрын
I can’t believe Bryce prefers Van Patten’s portfolio to mine.
@digitalradiohacker
@digitalradiohacker 6 ай бұрын
Just look at the prospectus - The binding. The tastefull thickness of itohmyGod, it even has a CDS Squared!
@zamz7978
@zamz7978 2 жыл бұрын
Keep forgetting that's christian bale .. the guy is triple A rated actor.
@kewltony
@kewltony 2 жыл бұрын
the rating agencies are corrupt
@rishabhchoudhary6678
@rishabhchoudhary6678 6 ай бұрын
Short selling triple B- rated bonds
@MrGenedancingmachine
@MrGenedancingmachine 27 күн бұрын
Maybe time for some glasses
@LAK_770
@LAK_770 11 ай бұрын
Taking the mugs is one of those little touches that makes a huge difference. Reminds me of Vito Corleone unscrewing the light bulb in Godfather II
@boxtoboxpod
@boxtoboxpod 9 ай бұрын
dont think you understand the significance. he had to collect them to then prove he'd been to their offices as you can only get them in their buildings.
@tacomaamocat4309
@tacomaamocat4309 8 ай бұрын
I don’t think you understood the significance, Dr. Burry wanted the coffee mugs in the same way he got his hair cut at Super Cuts, he was simply being his goofy, out of touch self, and there isn’t a damn thing wrong with that by the way.
@bradleye660
@bradleye660 8 ай бұрын
^ You are also wrong. He took those mugs as a trophy because he knew those banks would collapse after he shorted the housing market.
@sebastianmayer7715
@sebastianmayer7715 2 ай бұрын
Everyone is wrong. He wanted the mugs because he didn't have any money left to buy new ones.
@JimTheCurator
@JimTheCurator Ай бұрын
Everyone here is super wrong, he took all of those coffee mugs so he could drink six cups of coffee back to back without having to pour a new cup every time he finished one off, the post-credits scene makes this very clear.
@Ericwvb2
@Ericwvb2 2 жыл бұрын
I still remember reading an article about how trillions in mortgages were going to convert from low monthly payments to high monthly payments in 2006 or 2007 and I thought OMG it's going to crash everything. Then 2007 happened and nothing crashed and I thought oh well I guess I'm wrong about that ...
@aaronsalentine7876
@aaronsalentine7876 2 жыл бұрын
Yea, you were right just a year off lol 2008.
@roseymalino9855
@roseymalino9855 2 жыл бұрын
The mortgages were problematic but the Gov't threw in a new wrinkle: Mark to Market. Brian Wesbury has an excellent, easy to understand YT video explaining why what should have been just another irksome problem, turned into the crisis it became.
@wulfhart2653
@wulfhart2653 2 жыл бұрын
you should have been trading back then :)
@Ericwvb2
@Ericwvb2 2 жыл бұрын
@@wulfhart2653 Lol! The moment I think I know something about the market and act on it is always a prelude to me losing money in it!
@frostreaver1
@frostreaver1 2 жыл бұрын
@@wulfhart2653 except the average Joe isn't an institutional investor that can even access the markets. A very similar crisis is coming to a head right now, but it would be almost impossible for a retail investor to make good money off it. That's why brownfield capital needed a billion dollars in capital to even trade the credit default swaps later in the movie. Only institutional investors can actually access markets for derivatives and credit default swaps. Good luck trying to short the housing market on Robinhood
@napalmman8292
@napalmman8292 7 ай бұрын
He collect those cups like it’s a trophy from his hunting games
@whodidit99
@whodidit99 3 ай бұрын
Or a clipping of hair from the victims of a serial killer.
@sherparoyale
@sherparoyale 7 ай бұрын
I’ve never seen a Wall St meeting where the decision was arrived at in the same meeting 😂
@rzn2258
@rzn2258 Ай бұрын
You've never even been to a Wall Street Meeting. WTF are you talking about ???
@porscheoscar
@porscheoscar 2 жыл бұрын
I worked at a firm when a friend in the legal department called me to say Lehman Brothers was going to be announcing their bankruptcy. I said reorganization? He said nope 🙅‍♀️ 🙅‍♂️are you sitting down? ...its liquidation. The entire investment bank has collapsed as well as all the investments. I fell out of my chair 💺. The stock market crashed the next day and 50 people at my firm were laid off. Each week one department after another lost 2 or 3 people. By the end of the year everyone I knew either lost their job or lost their house. Things did not get better for nearly four years. That was 14 years ago. Most people I work with now under 35 have never worked at a time where their job was about to be eliminated at a time when no one was hiring.
@ES3590
@ES3590 2 жыл бұрын
You know what blows my mind is that some guy comes in doing this and they didn’t even think to do homework on it. Like he’s crazy enough to even have the idea, but then do a 100m in swaps. And they don’t ask QUESTIONS?
@oceantume
@oceantume 2 жыл бұрын
Well this is a movie. In real life I imagine banks did their homework on it and still thought this has an almost null chance of happening.
@roseymalino9855
@roseymalino9855 2 жыл бұрын
How to do homework on something that has never happened? That was the amazing insight Dr. Burry exhibited. To see and believe that something which never happened could happen and be so sure of his intellect to bet the house on it.
@elscruffomcscruffy8371
@elscruffomcscruffy8371 11 ай бұрын
​@@oceantumethey most likely saw easy money and based on a flawless history... as usual, Banks are greedy and backed by the government
@liljackypaper
@liljackypaper 11 ай бұрын
Comes down to another line said by different people in the movie.. "People don't like to think about bad things happening, so they underestimate their likelihood." 💯
@floralwallpaperenthusiast6631
@floralwallpaperenthusiast6631 10 ай бұрын
People always paid their mortgages. It’s that simple because the alternative was homelessness. The issue was that was based on the people who up until 2002ish had been able to afford the loans they had been given. What changed was people who couldn’t afford them were being given them. Very different risk profile. This is the issue with treating precedent as a trump card for everything.
@reallymakesyouthink
@reallymakesyouthink 10 ай бұрын
The take home message is if you buy a few million in swaps you can take home some free cups.
@Melpheos1er
@Melpheos1er 7 ай бұрын
The smugness of those idiots who had zero idea about what was going to happen is unbearable
@howard5992
@howard5992 2 ай бұрын
The script writers wanted to make you feel that way. ( I get what you are saying but I'm reminding you that it's a movie )
@Melpheos1er
@Melpheos1er 2 ай бұрын
@@howard5992 no problem. It probably happened IRL
@jimlarkin7859
@jimlarkin7859 7 күн бұрын
In a fair world Goldman would implode
@CartyCreative
@CartyCreative 15 күн бұрын
The cast and directing/editing style of this movie made such a complex and traditionally "boring" subject so digestible and fun to watch.
@williamzame3708
@williamzame3708 2 жыл бұрын
Christian Bale is a terrific actor. Just look at his performances here and as Bruce Wayne/Batman and in The Boxer.
@grimweeper1322
@grimweeper1322 2 жыл бұрын
The Boxer was a Daniel Day-Lewis movie. Christian Bale's movie was called The Fighter, you imbecile
@fender8372
@fender8372 11 ай бұрын
The fighter*
@tylerwedell3750
@tylerwedell3750 11 ай бұрын
Dont forget The Machinist
@Themightyquinn1703
@Themightyquinn1703 11 ай бұрын
I was listening to this on really high volume for some reason and when they are whispering they are actually talking about the structure of the deal, nice detail
@gfilms7375
@gfilms7375 2 жыл бұрын
3:24 the little guys is more concerned about the client than the boss, epitome of wall street.
@mrkanangra
@mrkanangra 10 ай бұрын
One of the best movies made. Sad but accurate about the absolute corruption within the US Financial sector
@edwarddullea6049
@edwarddullea6049 9 ай бұрын
This and Margin Call .
@dcairol
@dcairol 2 жыл бұрын
Lionel Messi is so good at business.
@prateeknair24
@prateeknair24 2 жыл бұрын
Underated comment
@BlacklightSummerOfficial
@BlacklightSummerOfficial 2 жыл бұрын
It’s not messi it’s bale
@nefariousnilbog
@nefariousnilbog Жыл бұрын
Wales, Batman, Golf, Real Madrid@@BlacklightSummerOfficial
@ErminDedicNT
@ErminDedicNT 9 ай бұрын
@@BlacklightSummerOfficial Christian Benteke?
@callme_anonymous
@callme_anonymous 8 ай бұрын
That's what most of the hedge fund managers would do.
@TheGoldenGod.
@TheGoldenGod. 2 жыл бұрын
i shorted luna and people said i was out of my mind.... whos laughing now. Everyone was wrong.
@brianhernandez7162
@brianhernandez7162 2 жыл бұрын
Hows Maureen doing?
@shojoe
@shojoe 2 жыл бұрын
and the results, how you end up making? $$
@canobenitez
@canobenitez 2 жыл бұрын
how do you short crypto
@jasonhenry8067
@jasonhenry8067 2 жыл бұрын
@@canobenitez you can’t short it after it crashes
@canobenitez
@canobenitez 2 жыл бұрын
@@jasonhenry8067 that's not what I asked
@apocratos0174
@apocratos0174 9 ай бұрын
Those bonds wont fail unless millions dont pay their debts..... Loooooool Guess what happened????!!!
@mikeyh0
@mikeyh0 9 ай бұрын
But it had happened before starting in 1929. Hundreds of thousands of families lost their homes.
@onastick2411
@onastick2411 2 ай бұрын
The problem was, millions had no way to pay the mortgage when they took the mortgage out. They never made one payment. Insanity.
@robtommy5719
@robtommy5719 2 жыл бұрын
The amazing story who robbed all these snobby banks of their coffee cups
@genapp3603
@genapp3603 2 жыл бұрын
Bale is great in this you forget it's him. Also in The Prestige he does the character well and you forget.
@shojoe
@shojoe 2 жыл бұрын
the fact that walk out like ganster, when they were laughing, he gets to smile but still sad to at the end.
@Jack_The_Ladd
@Jack_The_Ladd 2 жыл бұрын
Impressive, very nice…let’s see Paul Allen’s credit default swap.
@AfroMan187
@AfroMan187 2 жыл бұрын
My god, the off-white coloring, the sublte texturing of it. It's even made of Triple C Traunches
@sethlabiaux420
@sethlabiaux420 2 жыл бұрын
That's silian rail
@dcairol
@dcairol 2 жыл бұрын
Stolen comment
@foobarFR
@foobarFR 2 жыл бұрын
The worst thing is, demand for CDS against mortgage bonds is actually what gave the big banks the idea for creating synthetic CDOs . That way they sold their side of CDS. So they made money again...
@liljackypaper
@liljackypaper 11 ай бұрын
"They are called synthetic CDOs." "That's fucking crazy!"
@Guido_Sarducci007
@Guido_Sarducci007 8 ай бұрын
Oh ha ha ha! But wait, who is laughing now? He cleaned their clocks bigtime.
@Username2521hh
@Username2521hh 2 ай бұрын
They’re all fine and still rich.
@ed.t800
@ed.t800 Ай бұрын
Daddy government bailed them out, so none of these dickheads lost money sadly
@TheTexican05
@TheTexican05 6 ай бұрын
5 coffee cups and a reservation at Dorcea’s…NICE. 👌 😎 💵
@mattdunn9084
@mattdunn9084 2 жыл бұрын
"They called me a mad man" -Burry probably
@escapethematrix4204
@escapethematrix4204 2 ай бұрын
this is probably the best megastar film that isn’t overrated for the cast and has great story, that isn’t superheros.
@NighT-WolF85
@NighT-WolF85 2 ай бұрын
"In the world of the blind, the one-eyed is the king."
@synergygaming65
@synergygaming65 2 жыл бұрын
If someone comes in the door playing with that much money and apparently off their rocker, perhaps you should in fact listen to what he is saying.
@geiiger
@geiiger 2 жыл бұрын
He wasnt the first to raise serious concerns but almost nobody will put down the money and stand in the way of a gravy train like this, he could have gone broke as well. I watched a program on mainstream tv pointing out a large amount of fraud occurring, nice story good reporting with evidence, it broadcast and then it was forgotten till the bust a few years later
@babayagaslobbedaknobba
@babayagaslobbedaknobba 2 жыл бұрын
Don't forget this same guy start investing in bottled water, before all those companies started buying up the fresh-water aquifers around the country.
@jjohnfnchf7535
@jjohnfnchf7535 11 ай бұрын
remember that it was the federal government who practically created quotas for lending to people who were unlikely to pay their mortgages, and it was the federal government who limited which rating agencies could be used to rate bonds
@Ricgibs
@Ricgibs 7 ай бұрын
Lately i got interested in financial market but have no idea on how to go about it. How does it work please..
@ivar766
@ivar766 7 ай бұрын
seek professionals support not some very cool and semi-knowledgeable guy on KZbin. Personally, I gather information on KZbin but verify with Stacey Macken . If it doesn't align with her report, I avoid getting involved. This way i've been able to save a lot of money while making a lot of money
@benjaminocampo3359
@benjaminocampo3359 7 ай бұрын
I am surprised that this name is being mentioned here, I stumbled upon some of her clients testimonies on CNBC news last week..
@lea5898
@lea5898 7 ай бұрын
What impresses me most about Stacey Macken is how well she explains basic concept of winning before actually letting you use her trade signals. This goes a long way to ensure winning trades.
@KamranKhalil-br6dk
@KamranKhalil-br6dk 7 ай бұрын
Her technical analysis is excellent and hid interpretation/projections of the market is so accurate I sometimes ask myself if she is human haha. Point is, Stacey is the perfect trader to follow for advise and daily signals.
@tryleraaron9244
@tryleraaron9244 7 ай бұрын
Getting advice from financial advisors, like Stacey Macken , can be a smart move to reshape your portfolio. She has the expertise to help you make informed decisions.
@yusuf.alajnabi
@yusuf.alajnabi 2 жыл бұрын
It's amazing how history is about to repeat itself but in a slightly different way.
@uku7883
@uku7883 2 жыл бұрын
Moass
@yusuf.alajnabi
@yusuf.alajnabi 2 жыл бұрын
@@uku7883 what does that mean?
@garthwiebe574
@garthwiebe574 2 жыл бұрын
AMC
@yusuf.alajnabi
@yusuf.alajnabi 2 жыл бұрын
@@garthwiebe574 I don't understand what amc means
@gabe7580
@gabe7580 Жыл бұрын
Yes, soon. Very soon.
@bradleypatin9235
@bradleypatin9235 2 жыл бұрын
Let’s see Paul Allen’s portfolio.
@harley6659
@harley6659 5 күн бұрын
That music choice is so good.
@Halus5000
@Halus5000 2 жыл бұрын
Walking out the door with such a mug look on his face 😤
@lol101lol101lolz
@lol101lol101lolz 2 жыл бұрын
Well what they missed out is the lengthy due diligence and compliance in between the conversations.
@christopherhaynes8101
@christopherhaynes8101 2 жыл бұрын
“When the bitcoin fails I want to be guarantee payment in case of insolvency issues”
@benoitguillou3146
@benoitguillou3146 11 күн бұрын
You probably know it's not backed by ANY institution so no one can come complain when the scam collapses right ? Well in a sense i guess Wall street got wiser with their scams , ultimate plausible deniability , no one's legally responsible on this one ( they must have been planning it since 2008 ) , totally "decentralized "( responsability included ......LuLz)
@dmd406
@dmd406 8 ай бұрын
I did'nt understand about the cups he was collecting, until now. It was his trophies.
@burns83
@burns83 2 жыл бұрын
Its funny how they try to blame the people for not paying their mortgages. As if, by coincidence, millions of people, in the same period, with no precedent, stopped paying for the house they loved and the only house they had. Those millions of unpaid mortgages came after the fact when interest rates had already skyrocketed, on paper. House owners had already been notified of their payment dues for that period and those dues had tripled in less than one period. F**k the grading agencies 100%: Moodys, standard and poors, Fitch; for grading OTC derivatives as AAA. If the grading agencies didn't know what they were grading then why grade them AAA and if they did know then they are corrupt. Anyway, they acted in the most corrupt manner
@roseymalino9855
@roseymalino9855 2 жыл бұрын
You're basically correct. The problem with the rating agencies' thinking was with their thinking. They thought the bonds couldn't fail because they had never failed. There was no historical precedence on which to effectively base their rating but they didn't think it through.
@Sidneyyoungblood75
@Sidneyyoungblood75 11 ай бұрын
The compliment was sufficient Louis....
@Myr3390
@Myr3390 2 жыл бұрын
he collects cups of those he destroys.
@gregj3369
@gregj3369 7 ай бұрын
It's funny how she says "...you want to bet against the housing market and you're worried we won't pay you?..." because that's exactly what could happen. She says it like the bank wouldn't be in deep trouble in a collapse of the housing market. It shows that she not only didn't believe it would happen, but that she also had no idea how it could happen. Warren Buffet bailed out some part of Goldman Sachs at that time, if I remember right.
@willferrell8524
@willferrell8524 21 күн бұрын
...or they all believed that was indeed what was going to happen so let's be sure we sell $200 million in CDS's so that we get our bonuses and when it does happen, it's a virtual certainty that the federal govt will bail us all out, or a $23 trillion economy will grind to a halt.
@jasonfitzpatrick2197
@jasonfitzpatrick2197 10 ай бұрын
If you can't tell who the sucker is at a poker game, it's probably you.
@BenjaminSteber
@BenjaminSteber 10 ай бұрын
He walked away with over five billion dollars in wallstreet bank mugs.
@airosfter131
@airosfter131 2 жыл бұрын
Very nice...let's see Paul Allen's prospectuses
@254lele
@254lele Ай бұрын
he open the prospect at the right page 😂
@JosephDickson
@JosephDickson 2 жыл бұрын
I love how he nicks the mugs at every bank :D
@callme_anonymous
@callme_anonymous 8 ай бұрын
Trophies.
@vivekkaushik9508
@vivekkaushik9508 2 жыл бұрын
I need to rewatch this.
@spking4149
@spking4149 2 жыл бұрын
Perfect time to do it again right now….
@janl1551
@janl1551 9 ай бұрын
You'll see it all a show, keep on laughing as you go. Just remember that the last laugh is on you - Monty Python :)
@hailo1884
@hailo1884 2 жыл бұрын
WHEN the bonds fail
@Zaluskowsky
@Zaluskowsky 2 жыл бұрын
darmok and jalad ... at tanagra
@callme_anonymous
@callme_anonymous 7 ай бұрын
When a person speaks with that level of certainty, it's best to believe them.
@Globaler
@Globaler 6 ай бұрын
Everybody was a winner in that room. The bank execs made a lot of bonus even after their banks failed.
@omarbahrour
@omarbahrour 11 ай бұрын
It’s so wild how everyone was certain he was out of his mind, but all he did was look at all of the available information. He didn’t have some secret formula or info
@ahmdf
@ahmdf 2 ай бұрын
Words can't describe how much I loved this movie.
@ThegoldenDragon
@ThegoldenDragon 2 жыл бұрын
He almost looks like Al Pachino’s Tony Montana
@ozodari6160
@ozodari6160 2 жыл бұрын
Tony Bateman. Patrick Montana, Christian pachino
@billy2ks2147
@billy2ks2147 27 күн бұрын
The sudden interruption by a Ludacris song makes this scene 100X better.
@heetdave4100
@heetdave4100 2 жыл бұрын
He shorted Dorsia's stock.
@souextragoz1249
@souextragoz1249 Ай бұрын
Am I correct that the Pay-As-You-Go structure is solving the 'solvency issues' problem?
@seanwebb605
@seanwebb605 2 жыл бұрын
Love, love love this movie.
@0daypro878
@0daypro878 9 ай бұрын
Burry was 50 steps ahead of them, and these banking bozos thinks he's stupid or crazy. Until they went bankrupt 😂
@alfredoxu7926
@alfredoxu7926 2 жыл бұрын
SO Bateman's real job.
@chrisbilling
@chrisbilling 6 ай бұрын
The way he says 200 million as if he’s about to burst into tears😂😂😂
@Kritacul
@Kritacul 11 ай бұрын
The funny thing is, he would’ve gotten paid waaaaaaaaay more. But what happened was he went to so many banks and essentially warned them. So when the bottom didn’t completely fall out. It was because of him. Because he told them what was going to happened and they prevented it in the long run.
@rockhardrockhounds9970
@rockhardrockhounds9970 11 ай бұрын
They didn’t prevent shit. The taxpayers bailed them out. WT actual F are you even talking about? Lol
@realnapster1522
@realnapster1522 8 ай бұрын
They couldn’t prevent it at all. They were bailed out by US government and some very wealthy banks like Bank of America got bailed out by Warren Buffett richest man ever 😂
@callme_anonymous
@callme_anonymous 7 ай бұрын
​@@rockhardrockhounds9970 What he meant was they could've been more careful with their future dealings even though they didn't believe everything that he said.
@hellobeautiful5225
@hellobeautiful5225 2 ай бұрын
Whenever there’s a scene about making money…..they play a rap song. It’s a weird trope that has developed, and they all do it, in every movie.
@the_expidition427
@the_expidition427 2 жыл бұрын
Mug mementos
@DavidAWA
@DavidAWA 2 жыл бұрын
Like the mugs, when the crisis hit, I walked from 92nd to the financial district to the see the immediate damage of places already closing. I went into one of these banks that was in danger. I thought it would be interesting to track the crisis in the calendar of a dead bank. I found a guy who worked there. I asked him if they made those calendars that banks give away to new clients. He said, "We used to."
@kdmdlo
@kdmdlo 2 жыл бұрын
Not momentos. Trophies. Symbols of his victory over corporate stupidity.
@costak7679
@costak7679 2 жыл бұрын
@Fly Fruit Oh my god... The epiphany has stricken.
@benjaminjantzen1398
@benjaminjantzen1398 Ай бұрын
YES! This guy was a friend of my father. I heard interesting stories growing up. My dad was a POOR Genius.
@benjaminjantzen1398
@benjaminjantzen1398 Ай бұрын
I should say -my dad was a POOR Mathematician Genius
@shadow_wolf2506
@shadow_wolf2506 10 ай бұрын
This is the equivalent of holding a royal flush nd everyone thinking your bluffing so they call your all-in bet.
@tomb7942
@tomb7942 9 ай бұрын
And the laughed and laughed and laughed, until they didn't. Then they laughed at the tax payers for being suckers and bailing them out.
@dactylogram82
@dactylogram82 2 жыл бұрын
Love it. this is such a great scene
@GustavoSilva-ny8jc
@GustavoSilva-ny8jc Ай бұрын
1:04 OOOOOHHHH you get that after they collapse, dude was genius.
@brose2323
@brose2323 2 жыл бұрын
This is set to repeat all over again, only worse. I bought a house in nowhere wisconsin and I'm getting cash offers on my house that isn't even listed.
@Pdmc-vu5gj
@Pdmc-vu5gj 11 ай бұрын
Ehhhh
@denizeren2297
@denizeren2297 6 ай бұрын
"I like these cups can i take one" is essentially "I have to return some videotapes"
@user-oz5xb9ed3w
@user-oz5xb9ed3w 2 жыл бұрын
dang that guy knew exactly what page he was talking about. no wonder i’m in to this.
@erikanderson1402
@erikanderson1402 7 ай бұрын
Everyone with a finance degree is like these clowns.
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