Maximum likelihood estimation of GARCH parameters (FRM T2-26)

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Bionic Turtle

Bionic Turtle

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 29
@bionicturtle
@bionicturtle 6 жыл бұрын
I forgot to explicitly say in the video: the v(i) shown in the MLE equation is identical to the GARCH variance; i.e., v(i) = σ^2(i). The u^2(i) should be familiar as the daily return-squared (which, as mentioned, I suggest thinking of as simply a one-day variance). Also, Analytics Vidhya just happen to post a good on MLE (albeit this is not GARCH specific): trtl.bz/2Lctz19 ... if you find a great MLE tutorial article, please do share!
@ramatallynadeem8750
@ramatallynadeem8750 4 жыл бұрын
How to forecast volatility then?
@DayOfMourningHasCome
@DayOfMourningHasCome 6 жыл бұрын
Thank you so much, Sir. Your channel is a blessing.
@bigMtotheL123
@bigMtotheL123 3 жыл бұрын
Awesome video found it very helpful
@avinashmishra6783
@avinashmishra6783 4 жыл бұрын
Please mention all constraints to be used in solver clearly.
@investwithvincent6329
@investwithvincent6329 2 жыл бұрын
That’s too easy of a question…using excel simply set the objective to “Max” subject to 3 constraints… 1) the yellow cells should be able to change 2) the weights equal 1 3) the weights should all be positive values
@avinashmishra6783
@avinashmishra6783 2 жыл бұрын
@@investwithvincent6329 Might be for you. But was difficult for me back then.
@fars1d3s
@fars1d3s 2 жыл бұрын
Curious how you calculate the variance in cell E9 = D8*D8 Why don't you use E9 = VAR.P(D8, D9) ??
@Nelca24
@Nelca24 3 жыл бұрын
Hi Sir how u determine de Raw values for the Omega, Beta and Alpha? Is there a calibration or its just a theoric number?
@vishnupp951
@vishnupp951 4 жыл бұрын
Sir,How you got the Omega,Beta and Alpha values please reply me
@panos7256
@panos7256 2 жыл бұрын
Variance or Variance estimate?
@investwithvincent6329
@investwithvincent6329 2 жыл бұрын
I see that this example deals with just one asset, the s&p 500 index. What if I am observing a portfolio of 3 or more risky assets, how do I go about setting up the MLE model?
@zibaouilaila8003
@zibaouilaila8003 5 жыл бұрын
hello guys please how do we calculate alfa and beta
@Phl3xable
@Phl3xable 6 жыл бұрын
I used to solver on my data set. Is it normal to get an omega of exactly 0? Would that matter in estimating volatility?
@opheliaampaire5197
@opheliaampaire5197 4 жыл бұрын
How did you get the likelihood?
@mfiras4033
@mfiras4033 5 жыл бұрын
thank you very much !
@bionicturtle
@bionicturtle 5 жыл бұрын
Thank you for watching!
@gonzalosyd8640
@gonzalosyd8640 6 жыл бұрын
Hi my friends. I have a one questions: whats is the meaning of alpha and beta adding 1 ?? (this is not the case with this video)
@samrathore9396
@samrathore9396 6 жыл бұрын
Superb
@mcdonalds1499
@mcdonalds1499 6 жыл бұрын
Oh my. You ve saved my life. Thank you!!
@DamiensRegicide
@DamiensRegicide 4 жыл бұрын
Are you able to share the solver password? Thank you.
@lenskie9559
@lenskie9559 3 ай бұрын
Bro just casually carries my bachelor thesis
@007ritvij
@007ritvij 6 жыл бұрын
Sir please share the link for excel file.
@bionicturtle
@bionicturtle 6 жыл бұрын
Link to XLS begins the description (see above), here also trtl.bz/2NlLn7d
@yallowrosa
@yallowrosa 3 жыл бұрын
GARCHs explain the volatility with ... the volatility
@washingtonmhlanga3689
@washingtonmhlanga3689 2 жыл бұрын
Alpha +Beta should be less than one, in your example it was greater than one
@davidharper7592
@davidharper7592 2 жыл бұрын
it helps to listen to the video (yellow are rescaled "user friendly" values): beta 0.910121 + alpha 0.083390 < 1.0
@ZahidRahimov
@ZahidRahimov 9 ай бұрын
I think it should be added as a constraint when use solver
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