Bitcoin Market Cycles

[@intothecryptoverse]

Into The Cryptoverse Premium SALE: intothecryptoverse.com

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☝️🧐-notice how the *Real Ben* is highlighted and KZbin verified☑️

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[@cueriux]

We the poor kids would love a BTC risk metric video soon.... 🙏🏼

[@EdeeC1]

Please donate to the poor, Ben

[@abdellahmoujahid3947]

No one is getting out of bed for a 75k. Just let that sink in for a moment. Congratulations if you made it here, the future is looking bright for you...

[@Skuddbutt]

79K right now and no one is freaking out.. and i got in at 16K !!!

[@Jaydoggie1]

even 100k adjusted for inflation is barely 75k too

[@JollyRoger183]

​@@Jaydoggie1 Not quite but close. If you take the core inflation of the last 4 years 75k would turn into 91k. And the 100k today would have been 82k four years ago. I am just happy that my portfolio grew ~100% the last 12 month. U.S. inflation rate for 2024 was 3.30% U.S. inflation rate for 2023 was 4.12% U.S. inflation rate for 2022 was 8.00% U.S. inflation rate for 2021 was 4.70% U.S. inflation rate for 2020 was 1.23%

[@1Bob4All]

​@JollyRoger183 So, if the U.S. dollar has lost around 15% of its buying power since bitcoin's 2021 high, then bitcoin needs to reach around US$84k to $85k to reach an all-time-high equivalent to 2021's.

[@JocobsComments]

@@Jaydoggie1good point.

[@SD-nz5wn]

Ben’s ETH/BTC multi year prediction .03->.04 … ETH/BTC bottoms at .035. Nailed it.

[@SD-nz5wn]

@ “Bears sound smart, Bulls make money” Ben Cowen - 2024

[@lordfrieza3982]

Definitely did 💯

[@sznikers]

And my buy order was 0.034 ... F

[@poppanolan]

I wish I understood this better. I feel so dumb trying to follow guys like him. Can explains things to me like I’m a 15 year old

[@mbasdi]

You know Ben is the GOAT when he goes back to 1960-1970 statistics to strengthen his analysis

[@DOOBERtv]

This is the happiest I have seen Ben in a video in the past 3 years. Cheers everyone, to Valhalla.

[@melissadavis3814]

Ben - only Crypto channel I watch or listen to since 2020. Thank you for your insight and knowledge in the Crypto-verse!

[@MANTRONIX]

thx ben. wouldnt still be here without you.

[@JollyRoger183]

ADA moved 33% in one day (+75% in a week). I am still down on that coin and Bitcoin University is quite critical of it, but will Ben make a specific ADA video soon?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@iananderson8216]

Bitcoin university is critical of anything that isn't bitcoin

[@1bird_d]

why tf would you buy that trash

[@iananderson8216]

@1bird_d ah yes it's not part of the shitty youtuber "community" coin ecosystem so why touch it?

[@whoshotya8025]

Hope so man I miss his ada videos

[@tonysnow6842]

Ben, is it fair to say that retail is picking up? 10K views and 1.5K likes in an hour...

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@albertgibson1460]

Damnit ben, you're so logical. Im so used to sensationalism in crypto that sometimes your logical approach is almost unnerving.

[@Daveys010]

Hey Ben, I started following you during the 2021 rally and based on your video's I swapped all my alts into BTC before the bear, which saved me a huge amount of money. During the bear I've watched all your video's and it helped me to get through it and even invest during the 15K-20K range. Your video's are really great, for the most part it's based on data instead of your own opinion which I really appreciate, without your help I probably wouldn't be in as much profit as I'm now. Thank you for all the free content!

[@felipediniz2048]

I think the main analysis that is missing is inflation ajusted price of bitcoin.

[@jackofa11traits29]

There are many who short it. If nobody sells, the shorts will get burn and it will go much higher. Just dont sell. Hold it till mid of next year

[@aquamarine0023]

Agreed

[@morgank.1249]

Long spot / short futures arbitrage trade is a thing. Shorts OI and liquidations can be deceiving

[@johanneskettelhodt]

Ben, you've been fantastic the last few years, and thanks to you, I've saved and made money riding the wave.. and all of that without a single $ spent yet, and without ANY nasty ads in your videos! I value your analyses and I know other people feel the same. Ignore the haters. I will also subscribe to IntoTheCryptoverse as I believe we have some really exciting and intellectually challenging time ahead! Keep it up man!

[@tonequin4562]

“What’s a few thousands amongst friends”

[@Frostmundur]

Ben, could you please give your thoughts on how MSTR $42 Billion Bitcoin Investment Plan plus the ETF´s buying 7 times more then new BTC being mined comes to play. Seems like when the demand for the scarcity of BTC is so high, it changes how things play out vs previous cycles?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@Curiousgeorge78398]

Even though demand is significantly increasing, so is the market cap of Bitcoin. It takes significantly more demand to move it higher. It's like measuring the ripple of a rock thrown into a puddle vs a lake. Keep in mind, that rock is largely held by whales, which continue to drive the market.

[@MichaelV-ve3ke]

WOW! Probably the best crypto content on KZbin!

[@dudududuFthetories]

i would like to see the risk metrics

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@Curiousgeorge78398]

Agree. And as a premium member, I'd like to see how Ben generates his risk metrics using previous data.

[@stephanschulz9610]

Hey Ben, could you make an update on the USDT-Dominance? We are getting close to the trendline where the market has been crashing all the time. What do you think?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@ZKBruhman]

most sensible macro level analyst, owe a lot to your wise words, Ser!

[@pitwayable]

FYI 10-1 year yield curve has just inverted from an un-inverted position.... seems recession is pushed back Ben so no landing right anytime soon.

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@shashwatgangwar8782]

Please do an update on the social risk, thanks Ben!

[@dronesnbf]

B in BTC stands for Ben! Satoshi!

[@syafiqazmanophthal]

the launchpad was too beautiful

[@carlspackler8248]

Very impressive Ben. Your insight on all aspects of the market are very in depth. Don’t let the internet trolls get to you. U cannot call everything exactly. You’re one of the best out there. Thank you. I truly appreciate the effort and insight.

[@dbclmy]

Ben is a genius 😊

[@ColinDeWaay]

Thank you for always giving us your honest opinion and things to consider in all directions. You are the voice of reason few seem to want but need.

[@julski5592]

Ben the difference between 1998 and M2 theory is that then there was an Asian crisis, Russian default and currency crisis in Asia, so probably there must be some trigger for it to play out, only a thought of course.

[@4runna93]

That’s cool and all but ADA is up 30% on the daily, let that sink in

[@markojovanovic6928]

Ada was at 0.6 when btc was at 52k. It fell so much that even a 30% pump doesn't matter unless you only started buying it in the last month or 2

[@redangel745]

It'll grow & fast too

[@iananderson8216]

​@markojovanovic6928 last month or 2? Last 2 years minus the short stint it had in the middle. It was down at like 24 cents in 2023

[@leoarya7234]

ADA ADA ADA ..... ❣ BEN The Hero!

[@jchrisman14]

So we never went down another log line like prior cycles?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@Direitistaconservador]

Ben Thanks for your awesome content! Meanwhile i didnt understand if we should sell BTC and buy ETH right now...

[@NaderYousufi-e6k]

Tell us about the alt coins and alt season

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[@سبحاناللهوبحمده-م7م]

شكرا. من افضل المحللين المميزين

[@rebwarmala6554]

Best channel ever, I appreciate your work to help us

[@theoriginsofsongs]

Could a stock market "crash" retracement come from the fact that the SPX & DJI are both closing in on their 1.902 to 2 fibonacci extensions from the previous high to low? This would naturally be a sell off/take profit point for both indexes, leading to BTC and then ETH to follow suit. Thus bringing ETH "home".

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[@garljoens]

But hasn't the crypto market usually tracked alongside the stock market pretty accurately?

[@urbi9374]

Hi Ben, at the place I live, converting BTC to ETH is a taxable event and if I pay the tax at the conversion, I have to sell a significant portion of my BTC to cover the tax. I wonder whether you have any tricks on this matter.

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@odnilniloc]

Use something like AAVE to loan your BTC,take a loan and buy ETH with that loan. That should minimise tax liability.

[@felixfrancken9444]

The tax will be lower than the gains you make in the ethbtc valuation if eth/btc goes to 0.08 (aka a 2x) therefore, just convert and pay the tax.

[@hienvinhtooan8504]

Please make another btc risk metric video Ben, love you.

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[@Ada-Hed]

Love your stuff, Ben. Super well-informed. I'm curious what exactly you mean when y ou say "when ETH goes home?" Are you saying, you thought it could just crash?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@mikescanlon375]

Ben is nervous excited and this is Amazon

[@luisromero2807]

Ben, I’ve been watching your content since 2021 and you’ve always been one of my favourite channels, but this last year you’ve really set yourself apart from any other crypto/btc platform. Appreciate the honest takes and detailed evidence to back your analysis, keep it going man God bless.

[@MadHumanRarities]

I am sorry Ben, BTC did not break out when unemp came out, btc break out on the election day.

[@lewisholmes9248]

What’s Ben’s target price for BTC in USD this cycle?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@tomjackson5478]

Love and appreciate the honesty with which you continue to share your predictions of the market. You have helped me protect my portfolio and have been watching since 2021. Thank you Ben!!

[@ArborProTriCities]

I've been following you for 3 months since August. Wish I had found this channel sooner.🎉

[@kmluddy]

Thanks for jumping back into the Crypto Mutliverse! ❤

[@G-immortal7]

I was expecting that “dominance”😂

[@Rad631]

YOU ARE GREAT BEN!!!

[@benji9458]

How about Altcoins?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@londonnnn]

Ben has kept me level headed 🫡

[@syman3534]

Great Video as usual - Don't sweat ,one Eth view !! you always had clear caveats - no one should thinks you have a crystal ball !!

[@freedomwatch3991]

Fed made a huge mistake by cutting rates. They should’ve held at 5%

[@monke5004]

How does the cycle play out vs. The usdt dominance support?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@RyanAnton11]

amazing videos. been helping me make sound decisions

[@andriusk4036]

Did you thought about the time to hedge to other alts ? Hedge eth looked like valid point as it reached long expected goals, with other alts, we see them growing, and 0.25 looks like far away right now, is it time to hedge into them too ?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@driveyour5oh284]

Holy moly did we break out .

[@matejsvec4451]

How did you fit your logarithmic regression for the ETH go home POV? It seems as it is not refitted on the most recent data

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@JCV022]

You are very intelligent and saved me big time over the last 2 and half years grateful keep it up maybe start looking into alts soon? ICP Avax etc…?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@Meeechka]

Feel like things started getting good when Ben changed his thumbnails

[@civivivj]

I honestly look forward to your videos everyday. When I wake up in the morning I'm like awww yea another ben video. Nice. Thanks for everything

[@David-kx3xf]

I converted ALTs to BTC shortly after you started discussing the strategy and went into hibernation. Thank you for 3 years of piece of mind. Good to be back with the bulls 🥳

[@ryanshoos333]

House TA needed

[@David-wz3uh]

Would love to see an update to the BTC Risk Metric. Besides ETH, have you created one for any alts? Thanks!

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@Obiwan001]

If the cyclical view happens and btc keeps going to 100k plus by jan 25 without any significant corrections, will that signal the top of this cycle?? Or do we get a correction to continue by mid 25?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@frankstuckey6588]

Thanks Ben! Your thoughts are valued as always!

[@cainevagabond]

God Bless you Ben

Apparently, the Fed's qe has already started. Although they haven’t officially announced it, it’s evident in the rsi wresbal chart. Thx for all your knowledge !

[@lornahulme1059]

I love this stuff live it believe it received it ❤

[@corvanvelzyn6823]

Grateful for your long logical rants

[@kryptoduk1579]

Great coverage

[@davinchristensen6830]

Would love another video on Bitcoin Risk Metric now that we are at ATH

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@jonnhygringo2]

Ben, what I don’t get is: if return of QE is good for the crypto market, then a bad unemployment print would mean good prospects, because the Fed would be pressed to hasten QE, no? With stable unemployment prints, aggressive QE isn’t necessary, which means asset prices don’t inflate that much. What am I overlooking here?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@Brandon_FFN]

If alt btc drops once again, then just buy more alts, as simple as that, instead of waiting for the bottom which could have already happened

[@sonpollo8995]

record inflows, but the price has only gone up a few thousand.

[@LennyinFlorida]

ETH is the way. 👍

[@witalijwarten7886]

How much % of btc swap you in to eth? TY.

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@ThisCanBePronounced]

18:00: other thing about EOY for Bitcoin it's that it's been a local top the last two halving years, the first week of January, so that's a potential time for profit taking if not also a move into altcoin season.

[@camtierney6973]

ben you're a beast brotha

[@willstokes1647]

The mania phase is beginning😮

[@RyanIngram]

And they keep saying retail isn’t here yet

[@GabrielGonzalez-mn9fz]

It’s not

[@goliatheater67373]

We're nowhere near mania lmao

[@masan7452]

Has anybody checked the google trends thing of btc and other crypto

[@freshaquatics3652]

@@GabrielGonzalez-mn9fzno, but they’re starting to. We’re getting the “I’m new to BTC posts on Reddit”. Like OP said, “it’s starting”.

[@BasicShapes]

Cardano finally getting its pump

[@abrahamklafter9083]

This thumbnail reminds me of the screen for U2 at the Sphere in Vegas

[@eight5two]

Some says the Fed will raise interest rates again, will we get the QE we want ?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@Slenderman63323]

No way the fed is gonna raise interest rates. Not with unemployment rate macro trending up. Maybe they will hold rates steady for a meeting or 2 if the market gets really overheated and inflation becomes a concern again.

[@robertowens2022]

No way they raise it

[@OskaBc1]

I don't think they'll just raise it (if they just lowered it) they can't flip that switch like a fidget spinner.

[@sailao1540]

This is some awesome analysis

[@yassineelmalki4223]

All the way to 100000$🎉🎉

[@amanpalsinghkalra6649]

You’ve made me stick to my conviction of cyclical nature of BTC+2 boosters: ETF and possibility of BTC as strategic reserve

[@normanbates6638]

I've been waiting for bullish Cowen since I started watching him in April 2021... It's taking all my will power not to start yoloing my savings into altcoins

[@enp_55]

Any vids on social risk coming?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@stevenvaldezii7936]

240, 000!

[@robertrice7500]

Welcome to the Sunday pump

[@davidsherbert6407]

Ben. You da man!!

[@SahidulIslam-kf1fb]

great one, thanks

[@deereman69696969]

Please make a cardano video, thanks!

[@wingedhorus1462]

Cardano video soon?👀

[@swellsell8737]

Would love a new social risk video

[@icaminc]

How is it possible for the relationship between BTC and altcoins (dominance, etc..) to be the same in this cycle, when so much of BTC is now being held by sources who have no interest in moving to Altcoins like Blackrock, Microstrategy, Fidelity, etc... I thought for altcoin season to happen, investors have to move capital from BTC into altoins.

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@ekskiuzmi1]

You keep mentioning that we are still in QT and that is true when considering USA, but global money supply keeps increasing with China alone printing over 3Trillion USD worth of capital this year alone. Since BTC is a global currency, should we not consider being already in QE?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@anastasiapoplavska1565]

Thank you, Ben!

[@cakindzaa]

In short, no sell or sell and wait another deep? That last leg down?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@aslanaslan9953]

Cardano video?

[@ITC_Admin]

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