The Time Bomb Lurking in All Those Empty Office Buildings

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Bloomberg Originals

Bloomberg Originals

Күн бұрын

Low interest rates sent money pouring into real estate, transforming cities around the world. But pandemic lockdowns emptied out business districts and tenants have been slow to return. Now commercial real estate is in trouble, and the consequences may extend across the global economy. Get unlimited access to Bloomberg.com for $1.99/month for the first 3 months: www.bloomberg....
#RealEstate #Economy #Bloomberg
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Пікірлер: 1 500
@business
@business 10 ай бұрын
Get unlimited access to Bloomberg.com for *$1.99/month* for the first 3 months: www.bloomberg.com/subscriptions?in_source=KZbinOriginals Watch more of our News Spotlight documentaries👉kzbin.info/aero/PLqq4LnWs3olXOhUOv4O6r-9OdWTQN83se How This Tiny Country Can Avoid the 'Oil Curse'👉kzbin.info/www/bejne/f4uYoZyteJWGZ8U Singapore, China and a $2 Billion Money Laundering Scandal👉kzbin.info/www/bejne/a6umqZRvoLN7d8U
@trapiconti4001
@trapiconti4001 10 ай бұрын
You showed the Aon center in chicago, not LA
@iamgermane
@iamgermane 9 ай бұрын
AND THEY SUE TRUMP FOR OVERVALUING HIS PROPERTY???
@Rays_Bad_Decisions
@Rays_Bad_Decisions 9 ай бұрын
It would be nice if you talked about how retirement funds are used to back these bad investments while Chinese use fentanyl money to buy new construction
@AMPProf
@AMPProf 9 ай бұрын
OMG I HOPE SO FINALLY A RESET
@chrishoff402
@chrishoff402 9 ай бұрын
This is why I have a theory about that $355 million/$455 million court judgement against Donald Trump in New York. His properties were valued at that amount before Covid and Zoom made the whole downtown financial district obsolete. Now those Trump properties are only worth what the Court says they are, a mere fraction of that $450 million, maybe only 18 million. So lets say the NY court seizes and then sells all the Trump properties for less than $100 million. Trump can take the court judgement to the tax man and claim a massive deduction. He can also appeal the verdict to the supreme court and not only get the judgement overturned, but the supreme court can say he's the victim of lawfare as a form of political harassment and they won't tolerate any further cases being brought against him. So now NY has to make restitution for the amount of $455 million because their judgement has been overturned on property that they sold for less than $100 million, because that's actual market value in 2024. Trump gets to offload worthless property without losing a dime on it's original pre Covid market value and pays less in taxes for it. That's the real Art of The Deal.
@treasurethetime2463
@treasurethetime2463 10 ай бұрын
Please don’t blame the pandemic. The ridiculousness of commercial real estate and the future of a drop in the need for office space was predicted in exponential organizations years ago.
@CypherJj4457
@CypherJj4457 10 ай бұрын
Years ago🗣️ they ALREADY knew this was gonna happen
@wrightmf
@wrightmf 10 ай бұрын
Exactly!
@jimbojimbo6873
@jimbojimbo6873 10 ай бұрын
But it was literally the pandemic that started this
@Jebbis
@Jebbis 10 ай бұрын
@@jimbojimbo6873 no the pandemic was just a black swan event. This has been going on for over a decade.
@williamparrish2436
@williamparrish2436 10 ай бұрын
@@jimbojimbo6873 The pandemic was a once every hundred year occurrence. Almost impossible to predict and it crushed the world's economy. No way to predict that!
@pollutingpenguin2146
@pollutingpenguin2146 10 ай бұрын
The economy was never fixed in 2008 - the companies and state just made a bunch of new dumb decisions as they didn’t want to fix the issues and instead just kicking the can down the road and now it’s all going to come crashing down. And again, it’ll be the regular guy who’ll have to pay the bill, yet the regular guy has not benefited at all since the financial crisis. It’s completely outrageous.
@butwhytharum
@butwhytharum 10 ай бұрын
This issue wasn't part of 08. That crash was the plebs debt. This is the 1%'s debt. And if you're in my situation you don't have any debt and are waiting for the crash to capitalize on the greedy who put the cart before the horse.
@wajutiem08
@wajutiem08 10 ай бұрын
Correct. I have been saying this. But people, especially conservatives, ususlly tell me to just stop drinking that latte, or stop eatin toasted avocado,or living beyond your means, or quit your job and get a better job, or go back to school, etc etc. In otherwords, they say anything to gaslight you to believe that you are the problem rather than the bad economy from 2008.
@JudgeCrater22
@JudgeCrater22 10 ай бұрын
You can trace the wreckage in the current American economy and the commercial real estate collapse to 1982, when deranged SEC chairman John Shad changed the SEC's policy since 1934 on share buybacks. Shad's new rule 10b-18 stated that share buybacks by corporations were no longer presumed to be market manipulation and therefore illegal. Instead, Rule 10b said corporations had a “safe harbor” to buy back their stocks, which would usually cause their share price to go up. This one rule change put "greenmailers" like Carl Icahn and banksters in charge of Wall Street. "Activist" investors could threaten to take control of companies unless the companies went into debt to buy back their shares to raise their price and ensure the greenmailers made a handsome profit. The companies now had to pay off the loans they took out to buyback their shares. Many times in the 1980s, the companies were unable to meet their new debt load from buying back their shares. Then, bankruptcy. Every goniff with an M.B.A. degree got into the act, calling themselves hedge funds or private equity. This debt death spiral continues to the present.
@draneym2003
@draneym2003 10 ай бұрын
But knowing how this ends, when real estate development gets overextended it's perfect free market to bail these guys out. Good luck on getting the same on your mortgage.
@draneym2003
@draneym2003 10 ай бұрын
​@@JudgeCrater22Weird how those deregulation Reaganites are quiet all of a sudden.
@Who-vt9oh
@Who-vt9oh 10 ай бұрын
I was an underwriter in commercial real estate lending in the years right after the great recession, and I remember being told (without actually being told) to try and approve as many loans as possible because we needed the origination income. The institution wasn't making hardly anything from interest income, because of the historically low interest rates, so there was a real pressure to approve as many loans as possible so we could collect the origination fee. The origination fee is a percentage of the loan amount (ours was 1%), so there was also an incentive to approve larger loans. The current situation doesn't surprise me at all. It was inevitable.
@ahmedzakikhan7639
@ahmedzakikhan7639 10 ай бұрын
Interesting. Doesn't it require approval from departments like Risk ?
@dieglhix
@dieglhix 10 ай бұрын
​@@ahmedzakikhan7639the risk department operate on stakeholder risk decisions. The risk department never take decisions, only get consulted and evaluate.
@droldsw31
@droldsw31 10 ай бұрын
You should be locked up in jail.
@davidcox3076
@davidcox3076 10 ай бұрын
Can't make anything off the interest, so make it on the volume of loans with the origination fee instead. Pretty slick, until it all falls apart.
@RUHappyATM
@RUHappyATM 10 ай бұрын
@@droldsw31 And that my dear sir is why I don't have any respect for those involved in the financial industry.
@GigachudBDE
@GigachudBDE 10 ай бұрын
Insane how theres simultaneously a giant commercial real estate crisis going on due to oversupply, while at the same time there's an affordable housing crisis due to undersupply. All without doing anything about changing our archaic zoning laws and no real infrastructure projects for urban areas pertaining to mass transporation. San Fran can't build giant apartment towers because Nimby's don't want their views ruined and New York can't fill up their rent controlled apartments because landlords want market rate rental prices for rent controlled units. This country is a disaster.
@HepCatJack
@HepCatJack 10 ай бұрын
Often the taxes are based on what the city evaluates a property to be worth. So they have to pay taxes as if they were receiving market rate rental while being hampered with the rent control. The only way that landlords can afford rent control is if their taxes are lower and they can afford the maintenance of the property otherwise it's a melting ice cube.
@Westhamsterdam
@Westhamsterdam 10 ай бұрын
Office space is very hard to turn into residential.
@HepCatJack
@HepCatJack 10 ай бұрын
@@Westhamsterdam true, but for those that can do it and end up doing it, it will bring down the available inventory of offices bringing it closer in line with demand.
@Dendarang
@Dendarang 10 ай бұрын
Commercial real estate isn't the same as residential, vast majority of these buildings can't be easily or at all converted into housing because they're giant office blocks built to be places of business and aren't necessarily fit to be inhabited on permanent basis.
@lenaely6146
@lenaely6146 10 ай бұрын
As long as you understand it's a disaster...a man made disaster.
@GeraltBosMang
@GeraltBosMang 10 ай бұрын
They made the risky decision, and now taxpayers are going to have to bail them out again?
@renemartin5729
@renemartin5729 10 ай бұрын
Of course. They're too big to fail.
@HaiLeQuang
@HaiLeQuang 10 ай бұрын
Of course. Printing more money would make us suffer a bit inflation. But if a burst happens, it may lead to chaos
@jeffcampbell2710
@jeffcampbell2710 10 ай бұрын
We wish. What's coming is far worse. Look at BY, LA, Oakland, Chicago, San Francisco, and numerous other cities.
@sweden_is_xxxx
@sweden_is_xxxx 10 ай бұрын
Yep. The taxpayer is the ultimate loser. 😂
@brulsmurf
@brulsmurf 10 ай бұрын
as is tradition
@NasTwice
@NasTwice 10 ай бұрын
When homes and rents across the world rise to unsustainable highs, pricing out generations and people in need, they don't say anything. When the few wealthy landlords of office buildings possibly lose out on their rent money, it's the worst financial crisis since 2008
@churblefurbles
@churblefurbles 10 ай бұрын
They bring in those with lower standards instead.
@texasclawhammer6578
@texasclawhammer6578 9 ай бұрын
Exactly. Well said
@YeahNoTellTheTruth
@YeahNoTellTheTruth 5 ай бұрын
This
@edwinurbina7843
@edwinurbina7843 10 ай бұрын
It’s interesting that the media focuses on the health of the economy more than the health of the citizens that make the economy run
@Constantin_91
@Constantin_91 9 ай бұрын
Bingo
@cx24venezuela
@cx24venezuela 9 ай бұрын
Universal health care? Comunism woke agenda
@Freiheit1232
@Freiheit1232 7 ай бұрын
Someone should Start a citizens media to cover our perspective.. they used to exist in the 20s - 30s
@erickpalacios8904
@erickpalacios8904 7 ай бұрын
True, but not surprising when capitalism is the basis of your entire society.
@raghavendra1988
@raghavendra1988 4 ай бұрын
They're importing citizens in your country to increase personal wealth of theirs 😂
@Distortion0
@Distortion0 10 ай бұрын
Housing advocates have been saying for years that our cities are full of empty buildings only have value on paper and their owners are propping up their value with debt. We've been told we were crazy this whole time.
@jaw0449
@jaw0449 10 ай бұрын
Speculators overspeculated? Oh no, we can't let them fail
@iamgermane
@iamgermane 9 ай бұрын
AND THEY SUE TRUMP FOR OVERVALUING HIS PROPERTY???
@neatodd
@neatodd 10 ай бұрын
Just because you can add background music to a video doesn't mean that you should. Think of the viewer trying to focus on what is being said.
@christianschwalbach7561
@christianschwalbach7561 10 ай бұрын
or you could ignore the noise....
@scrapbrainsinc
@scrapbrainsinc 10 ай бұрын
But how do I know when to be sad? Or When to be happy? Help me!
@WackadoodleMalarkey
@WackadoodleMalarkey 9 ай бұрын
Background music is for making whoopie, not for serious journalism
@jomckeag4482
@jomckeag4482 9 ай бұрын
I came here for the content, stayed for the background music
@kittydaddy2023
@kittydaddy2023 9 ай бұрын
I think the response to what is being said is appropriately cued by the music: "AAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!!!!"
@jameslongstaff2762
@jameslongstaff2762 10 ай бұрын
After the 2008 bail out, I'm partial to letting the banks fail
@davidburnett5049
@davidburnett5049 10 ай бұрын
They wouldnt help us if we needed it. Why should we help them?
@theultimatereductionist7592
@theultimatereductionist7592 9 ай бұрын
Obviously, jameslongstaff!
@JohnClarkW
@JohnClarkW 9 ай бұрын
I am going to ride past the fact that you are late to the party, and instead acknowledge that you showed up at all. The 08 bailout just encouraged other risky investments.
@jimkelly4214
@jimkelly4214 9 ай бұрын
You want to lose your life savings?
@davidburnett5049
@davidburnett5049 9 ай бұрын
@@jimkelly4214 i dont have enebough to worry about
@William0271
@William0271 10 ай бұрын
We need an Amendment banning the government from bailing out failing lenders.
@alinaqirizvi1441
@alinaqirizvi1441 9 ай бұрын
What if the failure would be detrimental to the standard of living of the people of the country
@William0271
@William0271 9 ай бұрын
@irizvi1441 It's the peoples' fault for agreeing to loans they can't pay back. They can start a loan insurance company.
@0rrrev
@0rrrev 9 ай бұрын
@@William0271😂😂😂 it’s crazy you think that, genuiney
@William0271
@William0271 9 ай бұрын
@@0rrrev Do you have no concept of reality? Right not loan insurance exists. That's what the federal government is doing, insuring garbage loans with our stolen tax dollars. Privatizing this would take the burden off of tax payers and put it squarely on the people and businesses being reckless.
@arsenal-slr9552
@arsenal-slr9552 9 ай бұрын
The problem with that is these lenders also buy things like, your mortgage. So if they default on that, your payments go up in smoke.
@nyc8452
@nyc8452 10 ай бұрын
Geez, private equity, banks and commercial real estate companies face huge losses on office buildings and they're insisting that we all 'return to the office'! I wonder why? It has nothing to do with productivity, company culture or clients and everything to do with trying to protect bad investments at artificially low interest rates.
@John-xd9wr
@John-xd9wr 10 ай бұрын
The rent is due for the building regardless if its got workers inside it or not.
@nyc8452
@nyc8452 10 ай бұрын
@@John-xd9wr but companies renewing their leases are downsizing their rental needs because they don't need as many seats. Most commercial leases are 3 - 5 years so it was fine during the pandemic, but 3 years later companies have downsized (and continue to downsize) their office needs when their leases are up for renewal. They also have a lot of options now so not only are they downsizing their lease, but they're getting a better price per seat. Lower occupancy and lower prices means less rent, which means a much higher potential of defaulting on loan payments, which means souring investments for banks, hedge funds and private equity.
@Usernotfound31231
@Usernotfound31231 10 ай бұрын
Funny how the billionaires who expect handouts for their bad investments are the same ones who think everyone with student loans should suffer forever
@nisher15
@nisher15 10 ай бұрын
Funny how you vote for the politicians that help them..
@ricardcluter4765
@ricardcluter4765 9 ай бұрын
Funny how what leftists call capitalism, is actually socialism, and it's FAILING, as expected and as it always does.
@IsaacKripke
@IsaacKripke 9 ай бұрын
Student loan “relief” is a blatant handout for people enriching themselves. Blue collar workers shouldn’t be footing the bill for the education of the white collar class.
@bobcortez9471
@bobcortez9471 9 ай бұрын
Neither should get handout, that's the solution, not give away money to debtors for their degrees in gender studies
@Usernotfound31231
@Usernotfound31231 9 ай бұрын
@@bobcortez9471 I get that you’re triggered but it’s pretty pathetic that you got emotional and made this about your identity politics
@rfwhyte
@rfwhyte 9 ай бұрын
This is the real reason all the CEOs are pushing for their employees to return to the office. The CEOs and their wealthy friends and cronies are the same folks who who own all this commercial real estate. The only thing they care about is propping up the values of their commercial real estate holdings, and all the talk about "Productivity," "Creativity" or whatever other BS they're spouting is just smoke and mirrors to distract from what they really care about, which is protecting the value of their investments. The pandemic proved beyond a shadow of a doubt that workers spending unpaid time sitting in cars or on transit commuting to offices provides exactly ZERO value to the economy, but the wealthy CEOs and bankers who run the world would rather people suffer needlessly than be slightly less rich.
@Julian-tf8nj
@Julian-tf8nj 9 ай бұрын
my thoughts, exactly!
@thebl3mish
@thebl3mish 8 ай бұрын
It all comes down to this "poster family" of the 1980's where "dad" would commute to downtown and "mom" would stay at home to cook, clean the house and pick up the kids. Nowadays in most families both parents work full time and sometimes you would see them stretching their work hours more and more, WFH and flexible hours was a small blessing for the deteriorating white collar middle class families - but hey the moronic managers wanted to "actually see them working and wasting their life away" so yeah back to meaningless work environments.
@grogery1570
@grogery1570 8 ай бұрын
I did wonder why corporations were pushing for a return to office's when in the past they tried every thing they could to reduce expensive rents. Work from home at first glance is a financial gift to corporations.
@BeWater2019
@BeWater2019 8 ай бұрын
@@grogery1570but it diminishes the self-importance of management, so …
@karachaffee3343
@karachaffee3343 10 ай бұрын
What is going on is that bankers think that bankers are the most important people in the world --and tall office buildings to house them are therefore the most important structures to build lots and lots of.
@jimbojimbo6873
@jimbojimbo6873 10 ай бұрын
What are you talking about
@Australiaisupsidedown
@Australiaisupsidedown 9 ай бұрын
I too have autism
@MrTigerStarX
@MrTigerStarX 10 ай бұрын
0% interest rates are turning out to be disastrous in the long run.
@raquetdude
@raquetdude 10 ай бұрын
He said that the governments gave money to people… they didn’t they gave money to the banks… it was never government debt it was always private bank debt
@myday2704
@myday2704 10 ай бұрын
All caused by lockdowns we didn't really need to have!
@MistaTofMaine
@MistaTofMaine 10 ай бұрын
Agreed.
@neodym5809
@neodym5809 10 ай бұрын
Well, one can argue that the alternative would have been worse. But honestly: property owners losing money does not sound too disastrous to me.
@sokolmihajlovic1391
@sokolmihajlovic1391 10 ай бұрын
A surprise? Big daddy of all crisis because of too low interest rates for too long has to popp yet, Japan China is not far behind
@rickkearn7100
@rickkearn7100 10 ай бұрын
Odd how world economies go belly-up when billionaires make mistakes, isn't it?
@jimbojimbo6873
@jimbojimbo6873 10 ай бұрын
Billionares are just the tip of the iceberg, its midde class commoners that work for them helping too We are all in this not just one white woman making decisions in an ivory tower
@hiimjustin8826
@hiimjustin8826 10 ай бұрын
Oh but see, the reason they did this is because they wanted to become more wealthy. So I'm sure now you're just full of empathy
@tallchief22
@tallchief22 10 ай бұрын
Privatize the profits, socialize the losses.
@felipesuarez5041
@felipesuarez5041 10 ай бұрын
The biggest equity holders and one of the biggest investors in the world are pension funds. That means common people that count on this money for their retirement. If these funds fail, people will have nothing to survive on their older years. The alternative to this, is public pension systems, where young people pay for the retirement of old people, which is basically a Ponzi scheme. This does not mean that the managers of these funds should not be held accountable for doing bad decissions with other peoples money.
@snydedon9636
@snydedon9636 9 ай бұрын
And politicians.
@tahbit
@tahbit 10 ай бұрын
"Office Space" is not an industry.
@crude223
@crude223 9 ай бұрын
It is a great movie though😂
@joeg9478
@joeg9478 10 ай бұрын
Just Let The Banks Fail No bailouts.
@QAYWSXEDCCXYDSAEWQ
@QAYWSXEDCCXYDSAEWQ 9 ай бұрын
If the bank where you keep your savings fails, what do you think will happen to your savings? They like the banks will disappear.
@chris36256
@chris36256 9 ай бұрын
not if you put your money in an FDIC insured bank @@QAYWSXEDCCXYDSAEWQ
@whatisrokosbasilisk80
@whatisrokosbasilisk80 9 ай бұрын
​@QAYWSXEDCCXYDSAEWQ Should've bought gold. We really need to normalise this idea that wherever you put your money IS A RISK.
@corgiman101
@corgiman101 9 ай бұрын
@@whatisrokosbasilisk80you think a totally useless pure metal that you ALSO dont have in-hand is going to help you if the world economy collapses? no, its not. What do you think the price of gold is based on? the fiat currency held by the banks
@206remyboyz7
@206remyboyz7 9 ай бұрын
I Agree anybody would be a fool put all of their savings in a Bank anyways ​
@raquetdude
@raquetdude 10 ай бұрын
2:50 they didn’t give money to people they gave money to private banks to cover their debt there’s a major difference
@emptiester
@emptiester 10 ай бұрын
Tell me the difference because i dont know.
@emptiester
@emptiester 10 ай бұрын
@@wbay3848 everyone who works at a private bank is "extremely rich"?
@redpilledwarrior4367
@redpilledwarrior4367 10 ай бұрын
Its funny how so out of touch these guys are to make the notion that "the people" received the money. LOL.
@mvmlego1212
@mvmlego1212 10 ай бұрын
He's not talking about bailouts; he's talking about extremely low interest rates. Granted, the Fed loans to banks, not individuals, but it does strongly affect the interest rates that individuals receive. (e.g. for mortgages)
@DannyDelorean
@DannyDelorean 9 ай бұрын
Oh my. Who would have ever predicted that greed would create consequences?
@trailingupwards
@trailingupwards 9 ай бұрын
Government bail outs for private investors is fascism.
@vitodanelli
@vitodanelli 10 ай бұрын
“Privatize Profits - Socialized Losses”. The Capitalist Business Model (or in layman’s terms: Heads I Win; Tails You Lose).
@LarryDickman1
@LarryDickman1 9 ай бұрын
Real capitalism would let the banks or businesses fail. We have Crony capitalism.
@zealman79
@zealman79 10 ай бұрын
Come on guys, we need to be working at the office 14 days a week to save these commerical guys!!
@speciestraitors9297
@speciestraitors9297 8 ай бұрын
Exactly. The younger generations are so selfish smh
@jamescampbell6728
@jamescampbell6728 10 ай бұрын
Giant skyscraper office buildings have never been a good idea. They aren't space efficient and can't easily be converted to residential living spaces. We are just now realizing this, but at least we ARE realizing it. Many financial institutions will take a hit, but they deserve it for making a bad investment. Now these stupid things won't be built anymore. Hopefully we can effectively convert them to residential spaces like they are trying to do in NY so we can avoid a total collapse
@georgepoitras3502
@georgepoitras3502 9 ай бұрын
But when you do that, the total rent for that building is no longer going to bring $100/Sq Foot as an apartment. In other words the value goes down and richie rich has to add collateral for the loan he took out 5 minutes after this building opened.
@l0os176
@l0os176 10 ай бұрын
Every major societal and technological change has people who lose out because of said change. For this change, it's those who invested heavily in commercial real estate. The world is a better place with fewer companies requiring an unnecessary physical office presence. Those who invested in commercial office real estate will eat the losses, and the world will be just fine.
@ericbailey9549
@ericbailey9549 9 ай бұрын
Sounds like all these people need to learn financial responsibility.
@mchammer1836
@mchammer1836 10 ай бұрын
At the heart of this is office workers are now working from home. Another gift from COVID
@thejonno2709
@thejonno2709 9 ай бұрын
The real reason companies are forcing employees back to the office; they signed reckless and untenably long office contracts with little vision of the fact that they would soon not be necessary. Now the banks are pressuring them back to the offices and trying to preach that offices somehow give productivity to drive more investment.
@TheRightONe-et3gh
@TheRightONe-et3gh 8 ай бұрын
BRAVO! I actually I just talk with someone in that situation. The management need to cover for their stupidity.
@jimidando
@jimidando 10 ай бұрын
Honestly yay. The market regulates itself after all.
@GenesisRip
@GenesisRip 10 ай бұрын
@wotermelon_A self-regulating market is... "anarchy"...?
@prolific1518
@prolific1518 10 ай бұрын
Not at all. Fed govt will step in during Biden's election year to make sure it doesn't fall apart.
@redpilledwarrior4367
@redpilledwarrior4367 10 ай бұрын
@@wbay3848 Ikr! Look at all the homeless who cant afford basic needs and pass away due to exposure while camped outside one of these unoccupied skyscrapers. Or are we only talking about bankers here?
@GenesisRip
@GenesisRip 10 ай бұрын
@wotermelon_ Want to explain that one in a bit more detail?
@desertstar223
@desertstar223 9 ай бұрын
They build fantasy castles while there are people living in tents on the streets. The world is upside down
@LivingWithGout
@LivingWithGout 10 ай бұрын
Even if interest rates come down, the buildings are not bringing in more revenue. Hello?!? The issue is working from home, over leveraging, high vacancy rates, and geographical dynamics. It’s not interest rates alone.
@viniciuslsp16
@viniciuslsp16 10 ай бұрын
basically they put the whole economy at risk (again) in order to protect the few individuals who own all the real estate - isn’t it great to have a government that works in benefit of the people they represent (the 1% of course)
@yux.tn.3641
@yux.tn.3641 10 ай бұрын
with remote working becoming more popular, this won't be sustainable
@jimshoe402
@jimshoe402 7 ай бұрын
My Boss a Builder grew up in Chicago said No Way u need this 35 years ago. We built ESA Hotels too like 20 said these will be Senior Places 20 years from now BUT homeless centers NOW..😝😝😝😝😝
@r.pres.4121
@r.pres.4121 10 ай бұрын
It is the exact same problem with all the empty enclosed shopping malls as with all these office towers. There were too many being built throughout both the USA and the rest of the world. Now that technology and societal changes are rendering all these commercial real estate as unneeded and obsolete, the world’s landscape will end up littered with empty shopping malls and office towers that most likely should have never been developed in the first place.
@seed_drill7135
@seed_drill7135 9 ай бұрын
While the end result is the same, I don’t think it was overbuilding that killed the malls. Many of those that have failed were profitable for decades and have no nearby competitors, it’s online that killed them.
@georgepoitras3502
@georgepoitras3502 9 ай бұрын
Right because they were never opening new malls to support the communities just to borrow money against the inflated value.
@angelainamarie9656
@angelainamarie9656 9 ай бұрын
The people who used to do all that stuff are still here we just don't have any f****** money anymore because wealthy people have vacuumed it all up that's all that's actually happening.
@ChrisLevelsUp
@ChrisLevelsUp 10 ай бұрын
I hope tax payers don’t have to bail them out too
@wallstreetzoomer
@wallstreetzoomer 10 ай бұрын
its USA the empire of corporations and the top 1%, cue your hopes.
@DefianceFinance
@DefianceFinance 10 ай бұрын
you can hope away... in the end you will still have to pay.
@renemartin5729
@renemartin5729 10 ай бұрын
Of course you'll pay. They're too big to fail.
@jeffcampbell2710
@jeffcampbell2710 10 ай бұрын
It's going to be far worse
@apemancommeth8087
@apemancommeth8087 10 ай бұрын
It will!
@ajkulac9895
@ajkulac9895 10 ай бұрын
Just project holographic avatars of remote workers into offices and charge the company for office space. Win - win - win.
@coreyashley4949
@coreyashley4949 10 ай бұрын
The crazy thing, is that people were buying up 'virtual property' for people to roam around in (sometime in the near future). The plan is to have us own nothing and be happy.
@elliotsilverstone8808
@elliotsilverstone8808 10 ай бұрын
Why would people put time bombs in office buildings? It sounds hazardous.
@mikmillerrealtor
@mikmillerrealtor 9 ай бұрын
There’s a simple solution, lack of affordable housing is absorbed by commercial office vacant being converted into mixed used residential.
@SystemaAlpha
@SystemaAlpha 10 ай бұрын
Those developers and owners will be bailed out with the money from the workers, who in turn will be fired and not bailed out
@jeffdunnell6693
@jeffdunnell6693 9 ай бұрын
Cities are dying,,office buildings have work from home,,no overhead rent.
@gmfan09
@gmfan09 10 ай бұрын
Can these office buildings be converted into apartments? Isn’t there a house shortage right now?
@taylor3950
@taylor3950 9 ай бұрын
It’s difficult because the layout and plumbing isn’t set up for individual apartments (unless they were huge) it would take a lot of retrofitting
@WW-sw8ls
@WW-sw8ls 9 ай бұрын
could all be used for implosion Samples… call Bush
@pepperonish
@pepperonish 7 ай бұрын
Some, but it's not cheap. Unless you give pretty big subsidies to the developers, they cannot make it affordable housing. Or if the potential rent isn't high enough, they wouldn't be able to do conversions without taking a loss.
@pamelahomeyer748
@pamelahomeyer748 10 ай бұрын
Start allowing stores in daycare centers to be in those buildings on different levels
@onee
@onee 10 ай бұрын
Wait! I can buy it as a company, live in it. And then declare bankruptcy when people want their money?
@adelitavalle1852
@adelitavalle1852 10 ай бұрын
I been through the 1970s high inflation, up and down of the stock market like Black Friday, tech bubble and the 2008. Each individual will handle a bad economic differently. If you are not prepared for bad time, it hurts.
@wilstewart5743
@wilstewart5743 10 ай бұрын
This is great to see. I want more debt and more insolvency for commercial real estate. I’m a georgist and also a work from home ultra.
@AAGGHH4
@AAGGHH4 10 ай бұрын
You’ll pay for it via taxes to bail out the banks if it happen. I know you probably think you’re been edgy but actually you’ll be badly affected even if you don’t own the asset that collapses
@marcusmoonstein242
@marcusmoonstein242 10 ай бұрын
Absolutely agree. The worst thing that the government can do is to protect financial institutions from their own reckless lending. And Georgism is the best tax system.
@RichardCurrie
@RichardCurrie 9 ай бұрын
Property prices are too high and rents are ridiculous. What economy can survive when rents are eating all the money
@channelnevin
@channelnevin 10 ай бұрын
So the banks took on too much risk? Let them fail.
@TommyTomTompkins
@TommyTomTompkins 10 ай бұрын
They will fail. But next time they will receive a bail-in not a bail out. Basically the money from depositers will be taken
@blackrocks8413
@blackrocks8413 8 ай бұрын
people are turned off to cities and their crime. Our city thought they'd make millions on parking the last 4yrs. Come to the city they said. Total money collected for the city after the vendor met costs ? guess.... $0
@budstep7361
@budstep7361 10 ай бұрын
2:45 thank you for admitting, too many people don't realize that the mistakes of the past have not yet been paid for... They are putting it on the back of the 99%.
@donaldboyer8182
@donaldboyer8182 9 ай бұрын
Someone who worked in a bank many years ago told me that banks are allowed to loan $25.00 of "funny money" for every real $1.00 they hold. This means that if the borrower defaults someone has to take the hit for all the "funny money" and that means you and I.
@richardhartland3637
@richardhartland3637 9 ай бұрын
Real estate is being treated as an asset, which is ridiculous since it doesn't produce anything. It is NOT capital, it continually has wear and requires upkeep, contains continual tax increases. The eventual realization that this is a non productive use of investment has come. the bank and speculators deserve everything they loose. it will force capital to be used for productive means.
@b1crusade384
@b1crusade384 5 ай бұрын
The best part is - It’s not my problem!
@oldcat87
@oldcat87 10 ай бұрын
It’s all about work from home. Meanwhile residential single family home values keep rising
@NotADuncon
@NotADuncon 9 ай бұрын
There is something to be said about how unregulated and overspeculated an industry is that the words "this is the biggest crisis since" are followed by 2008 and not something 50 years ago. If the crisis cycle is 15 years there is a problem.
@BobJones-zw3ui
@BobJones-zw3ui 10 ай бұрын
The banks made a series of very liberal [not conservative ] bad bets. They should not be bailed out nor accommodated. As with any other business, if they make bad bets, they need to fail.
@bdheidbhg2847
@bdheidbhg2847 8 ай бұрын
Taking a step back, the solution isn’t too hard to see. The residential sector has too little; the commercial sector has too much. Ideally the government, private banks and the central bank can come up with a solution to re-allocate those commercial buildings into residential ones. It will cost some $ but at least this time with the bailout we can give people a place to live. So we the tax payers get something out of it this time.
@johnnynephrite6147
@johnnynephrite6147 9 ай бұрын
"Asia and America are doing slightly better"? Better than what? Im working from home now and haven't been happier, so this "crisis" is a boon for me.
@somedude5353
@somedude5353 9 ай бұрын
There’s a residential housing crisis - so time for some expensive conversions
@hiddenname9809
@hiddenname9809 9 ай бұрын
Should we feel sorry?
@williamlloyd3769
@williamlloyd3769 8 ай бұрын
AON Center aka First Interstate building in Los Angeles, CA has a small enough floor plate to convert site to condominiums or mix use with hotel. Overlooks newly rebuilt McArthur Park. Wonder if it would pencil out for a conversation?
@richnubbz4910
@richnubbz4910 10 ай бұрын
two words "SYSTEMIC RISK"
@qroadside
@qroadside 9 ай бұрын
When is the zoning going to change to residential
@Lumencraft-
@Lumencraft- 10 ай бұрын
lowering interest rates is not going to solve the problem of people working from home rather than in an office.
@SkarTisu
@SkarTisu 9 ай бұрын
That’s not a “problem”, that’s a new reality.
@georgevue8175
@georgevue8175 9 ай бұрын
Relax taxpayers will be forced to bail them out again.
@danielcaceres9971
@danielcaceres9971 10 ай бұрын
So if there is no need for more office space, why build it??
@Dheinamar
@Dheinamar 5 ай бұрын
So what you're saying is that the 2008 real estate bubble did not burst, it just got reinflated by low interest rates and then exacerbated by the pandemic
@chrishan9138
@chrishan9138 9 ай бұрын
I've got zero sympathy for organisations that forced people to commute to offices for decades or the real estate owners and developers that profited from that misery.
@joshuapatrick682
@joshuapatrick682 9 ай бұрын
Let the banks fail, stop making tax payers foot the bill
@CarlosHernandez-b1x
@CarlosHernandez-b1x 10 ай бұрын
In monopoly there is no loans on property
@Dxn6alc03Belod7m1o
@Dxn6alc03Belod7m1o Ай бұрын
Informative and interesting. I just feel that the whole "downtown" thing became outdated in the 90s as soon as every worker had a computer. There is no reason that many companies couldn't decentralize their offices into smaller "downtowns" in less-centralized areas. In my metro area, for example, some municipalities are developing "town centre" ideas where a mall or several major stores form the anchor of several office towers and mixed residential (high- and low-rise) buildings. Personally, I hate it because I came up when you could drive to your fav mall and park on a surface lot (safer than underground and allowing you to get some sunlight). But I know that because of infrastructure cost and because most humans have a need to be close to other humans, the towers continue to be built. It is too bad in a way, though, because I feel that if everyone had some space--just a small plot of land and we all grew a lot of our own food, we'd be happier and maybe less intolerant of our neighbours.
@jeffreystanley4991
@jeffreystanley4991 10 ай бұрын
Oh no. Not rich people and banks loosing money. How horrible for them. They might have to fly in the greyhound of the sky instead of private.
@rich-y1c
@rich-y1c 9 ай бұрын
Rich people wouldn’t suffer, the rest of us would suffer
@alphaomega1351
@alphaomega1351 10 ай бұрын
Excessive debt is literally the problem with everything. Why not base an economy on earnings and savings? The debt based system makes no sense. 😳
@brent4073
@brent4073 10 ай бұрын
We need to get back on the gold standard if you want people to stop taking out so much debt and abusing debt..
@hostrow
@hostrow 9 ай бұрын
Modern economies are based on the premise of constant growth. How does one do that? They do it with debt.
@Alsry1
@Alsry1 9 ай бұрын
@@brent4073 the gold standard is impossible to go back to. we have too much money in circulation for any of it to be back by gold.
@ahuras238
@ahuras238 10 ай бұрын
Nothing that taxpayer funded bailouts can't fix! Thanks in advance, plebs.
@pariahnation1284
@pariahnation1284 9 ай бұрын
let em FAIL
@cmleoj
@cmleoj 9 ай бұрын
Maybe the commercial real estate lenders’ over reliance on avocado toast and lattes is coming home to roost. 🤦‍♀️
@Wildboy789789
@Wildboy789789 8 ай бұрын
Want to know why we have a property crisis?... because the more value a property has, the higher tax gov can charge... a dip in houseing would lower tax income
@EveLord-hx1me
@EveLord-hx1me 10 ай бұрын
I had a suggestion to make unused office spaces with flexible mix usable convertible spaces, When there are no office renters it can be easily converted into temporary rental accommodation with movable walls, ready placed plumbing & electrical grid. I even suggested to a office space owner that had been empty for year or more to convert it into pod hostel inspired from Japan's capsule hostels.
@oliverstianhugaas7493
@oliverstianhugaas7493 10 ай бұрын
Oh noo~ Apartments, the horror.
@thunderb00m
@thunderb00m 9 ай бұрын
Let them take the loss. They should not have signed the mortgage if they couldn't pay for it. Such welfare queens, these office owners, demanding for hanouts from government. No body is entitled to low interest rates.
@VoluntaryInvestor
@VoluntaryInvestor 9 ай бұрын
The government blocks the obvious solution. We live in a world with housing shortages and office oversupply. Convert the offices to apartments. Keep 1 floor for co-working spaces. Add in a nice cafe and restaurant and convenience store on ground level, a bar on the roof and a nice gym.
@SeanPannella
@SeanPannella 10 ай бұрын
Can anyone explain to me how we have so much empty office space but so little housing? How does that make sense is there millions of fully remote workers in nyc or something? Or is the rental shortage in NYC just manipulation?
@Mike-bo1oj
@Mike-bo1oj 9 ай бұрын
if interests are lowered i don't see how that solves the bigger problem. There are no tenants. My company is almost completely remote the only in person building we have is warehouse space for the logistics.
@shatkick
@shatkick 9 ай бұрын
Turn them into low income apartments
@ericwright8592
@ericwright8592 10 ай бұрын
There's another massive lever for removing money from the economy other than interest rates. Taxes. Raising corporate income tax would have a massive benefit of removing excess capital from corporations, that are by definition doing well. While also not having to necessarily drop rates to zero, which exacerbates the boom and bust cycle of credit sensitive sectors like real estate. Unfortunately we don't have economists in control of taxes, but rather politicians who use corporate taxes like a football for political games.
@paulskopic5844
@paulskopic5844 8 ай бұрын
Don't worry because the WEF will come to the rescue............you will own nothing and be happy.
@jgmumm
@jgmumm 7 ай бұрын
In our area, there is a large oversupply of office space but owners/landlords have not adjusted lease rates (down) at all. They seem to be authorizing a lot of this problem themselves because they could have lower vacancies if they wanted to.
@JAraujo-yt
@JAraujo-yt 10 ай бұрын
Doesn’t matter, keep interest rates where they are to keep investors prudent
@imager8763
@imager8763 9 ай бұрын
The music is really annoying.
@lipsterman1
@lipsterman1 7 ай бұрын
Why do we need more office space? The pandemic proved that a lot of business can be performed from home. Of course, businesses don't like it because they can't micromanage people when they aren't in the office.
@kevinderr440
@kevinderr440 10 ай бұрын
We have an affordable housing crisis. Instead of preparing to bail out the banks who hold these notes, let’s use federal funds to convert this space to housing.
@ghislainpitre6597
@ghislainpitre6597 10 ай бұрын
Transform them in condos...use them to produce food using LED and hydroponic...Aquaponic?
@rick_thunder
@rick_thunder 9 ай бұрын
Author Harry Dent predicted in 1998 that in the future more and more people were going to work from home because the expanding Internet and infrastructure was going to allow for it. Working from home is cheaper for the company than maintaining expensive office space. In other words, we have known this for 26 years and, yet, construction companies overbuilt on office buildings and creating too much supply. Too much supply means a drop in prices. We all knew this was coming.
@kellymoses8566
@kellymoses8566 9 ай бұрын
I have felt for a long time that most office jobs can be done remotely and being forced to commute was just for 1) control over employees 2) inflating office space values. 100% of programming jobs can be done remotely. 95% of network admin can be done remotely.
@nathandelogu5667
@nathandelogu5667 10 ай бұрын
There’s to much money in specific people’s hands for there to be a reset. They can just buy everything at any price. They public still can’t compete
@Gk2003m
@Gk2003m 7 ай бұрын
One huge issue in commercial real estate is the tax incentive. Owners get to take a write off on non-rented space, so as long as their overall operation is profitable there’s a huge incentive to NOT rent it. And that incentive exists because by charging a rent no one can afford, they are demonstrating that they are “attempting to make profit”. Thus we see commercial real estate empty everywhere.
@DigitalNomadOnFIRE
@DigitalNomadOnFIRE 10 ай бұрын
The main problem is people are used to property prices massively increasing. Assets appreciating at crazy speed ISNT NORMAL. Assets are supposed to go down sometimes.
@flacjacket
@flacjacket 10 ай бұрын
One of the big problems not commented on is that office buildings cannot effectively be converted into housing. The plumbing and electrical layouts are not conducive and the cost of modifying those systems is so great that it in most cases makes more sense to tear down and rebuild.
@chapman1569
@chapman1569 9 ай бұрын
Couldn't they make large rooms and make the toilets, showers and kitchens communal? It would not be ideal but it could at least help make some affordable rents. In Europe it is common in some places to share a bathroom.
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