Is Canada in for a recession in 2025?

[@MayanksVlogs]

It’s been in a recession for 2 years. We are heading into a depression now.

[@montrose699]

???? Recessin is when inflation is in the negative. We have not been in a recession

[@hybridstryker233]

😂😂😂 I thought so already

[@montrose699]

@@hybridstryker233 inflation is at 2.1 percent

[@gottabekdamak]

Real (inflation adjusted) GDP is negative and Real Per Capita GDP is and has been negative for a while. So yes, we've been in a recession

[@clydedufffyaway]

Since 2008. Use an accurate inflation number and subtract growth due to government spending and mass immigration.

[@webrbio3153]

Canada is in a depression yes.

[@levelzanimations]

capitalism always leads to crisis every 4 to 7 years

[@patrik4656]

💯

[@levelzanimations]

capitalism always leads to crisis every 4 to 7 years

[@montrose699]

Maybe find out what a depression is and check out main numbers. We do have a GDP issue but other than that inflation is under control and unemployment is good

[@JohnP-x3r]

@@montrose699 rubbish.

[@ElectronicWasteland-p2x]

With the current cuts to immigration, recession is 100% inevitable. 6 straight quarters of negative per-capita GDP and there's some economists that still think we can avoid recession? Come on now.....

[@BDee3126]

That's why they're quietly jacking up immigration again. You wouldn't know unless you're looking at the stats.😂😂

[@Hyperpandas]

Since when is per capita gdp the measure of a recession? I mean, I can see why someone might want to use that figure, but it's pretty arbitrary and not the traditional definition.

[@zomgoose]

​@@Hyperpandasthe "Traditional Definition" of a recession is arbitrary.

[@Hyperpandas]

@@zomgoose True, but it better measures economic output and growth, which is what recessions are principly about. Per capita gdp is better for other things like relative household wealth and wellbeing.

[@ElectronicWasteland-p2x]

@@Hyperpandas I thought it was self-evident. It's because without growing the population, per-capita GDP contraction = aggregate GDP contraction, and two quarters of GDP contraction is a technical recession. The Liberals stated goal is to shrink the population next year. Thus, if nothing else changes a recession is pretty much inevitable.

[@kamenidriss]

Don't need a strategist to see that we are deeply F'ed in 2025

[@brandonb7925]

Who's the we exactly? Most of this has very little impact on most people's lives

[@bernardkermanadventures5961]

Has a yield curve inversion like we have had ever not resulted in a recession? The reversion of the 10y3m would suggest a recession by summer.

[@Hyperpandas]

Yes, several times.

[@qjsharing2408]

It has successfully predicted 11 of the last four recessions

[@sharinglungs3226]

If it wasn’t for the massive immigration we would be in a recession lasting many years. Canada is stuck and can’t seem to kick start it’s productivity growth. Eventually a fed gov will come in and start austerity measures and then we’re truly fucted.

[@Hyperpandas]

The thing is, productivity can't really be "kickstarted" by any particular policy. The current low productivity is a function of 20-30 year trends, and it will take a long time of consistent effort and smart policy to get things back on track. You're right though, somebody will come along calling for austerity and will make everything worse.

[@joe97nsx]

@@Hyperpandas Austerity is necessary. The longer you wait the worse it'll get. The government can't keep paying $1 billion in interest payments per week and expect Canadian productivity to improve. Unfortunately, we've had a clown who thinks budgets will balance themselves running the country for the last 9 years.

[@Hyperpandas]

@joe97nsx Recognizing austeriry has never worked isn't an endorsement for excessive borrowing for anything and everything. Aisterity is also a sure way to erode productivity further. Also, have you ever looked up the full context of the "budget will balance itself" thing? Its basically the same thing the Conservatives ran on in the last election.... no spending cuts in favor of growing the economy.

[@phb1955]

But trudeau's solving all the perceived social injustice.... lies lies lies that is what our government is expert in.

[@webrbio3153]

Yes. But that's also the only way to get unstuck and back towards prosperity. They had 10 years to do it willingly, now there's time left.

[@localbraddah07]

Canadian here but I invest in the US (ie. S&P 500) over the Canada market and it's not even close. Sure, you have your Constellation Software, Shopify, Dollarama and maybe a few more but man, it's like picking a diamond sized grain in the dessert sands LOL

[@jamess9808]

Not everyone eats dessert

[@qjsharing2408]

You don't need to be a hot major stock to show excellent returns. Remember, because so many people think like you, not enough people are looking for the good deals in canada. And that's an advantage for people who do look for the good deals

[@hybridstryker233]

I thought Canada was already in recession😂😂😂

[@BCPinoy-cf6og]

Propaganda of Big corp! So not to increase employee pay!

[@abcdedfg8340]

They are scared. People are starting to talk about organizing and ending trickle-down economics. 40 years of enriching the 1 percent while crushing the middle class is coming to an end. Time to end the scam. The europeans never fell for it and kept their productive middle class and work life balance. We can have that back too. Just my opinion

[@jasperalberts7647]

According to MSM a cratering GDP-per-capita isn’t worrisome so long as we “print labour” (floodgate immigration policy) to buffer GDP decline.

[@shinthegeek]

Who are you kidding? We are already in a recession, have been for more than 2 years!

[@kentaylorsympatico]

Already in one

[@jeffreynicol8287]

Been in a recession for a while now, ask any average Canadian.

[@montrose699]

Okay for all the comments that we are in a depression or recession - the definition is a negative GDP for a number of months, high unemployment and or negative inflation which we are non of.

[@keithiverson6687]

The indicators are everywhere that we’re headed to a recession, the Sahm Rule has been triggered earlier this year (.5% unemployment gain in a quarter, hell, we had .3% in a month 1.7% total this year) which is another major indicator to go with massive rate cuts and yield curve uninversion. The unemployment doesn’t have to be that high, it’s the rate of job loss and length of time of unemployment that matters. The only things keeping us out of a technical recession now is mass immigration and government spending/ public job creation. Once those stop, the economy will tank hard. The government has already put a pause on immigration due to public backlash and with the latest economic update, govt spending will most likely be cut as well. Add in an election and a trade war with a country 10x more populous and dodging a recession by summer is looking slim because there is no way we can pivot on spending while our hands are tied. It takes about 3 months for a new minister to be briefed on the main points and risks before any executive policy decisions can be made with good accuracy, 6 months if it’s a new government. We’re going to be rudderless for about 9 months financially this year at a time when financial timing is everything.

[@adrianvisentin534]

We've been in recession for nearly 2 years. When you have a high immigration rate then you use GDP oer capita. Negative for several quarters

[@droid4161]

We are already in one, started long before.

[@gregpastic6910]

I'd better call my invenstment advisor and tell her about all the expert opinions in the comments section. I'm sure she'll want to know.

[@phb1955]

She took the the 2 week course on financial advising. Which means she knows how to fill out the forms needed to steal your money. " Financial advisors" are a joke. They know less than zero.

[@gregpastic6910]

@@phb1955 Have you not heard of sarcasm?

[@qjsharing2408]

As long as we don't get the banks bailed out, I think Canada might need a good recession to reset our debt levels

[@hoganrozins-mn5vp]

Bullish on the Banks.

[@esparda07]

It. Already. Is.

[@buddhatbay9041]

Having met Mr Petursson and having the utmost respect for him, I do disagree with switching US to Cdn. As has been reported, Trump is pro business. US stock market did well under him in the first term. Given his pro business and less regulation stance for US companies and potential tariffs against Canada, I think US equities still the place to be.

[@MM-xg2td]

**Is Canada in for a recession in 2025?** We have been in a recession since late 2024.

[@CP-vm1sb]

Good commentary but like many others have said, we are in a recession now. If it wasn’t for all of Trudeaus hiring of more govt pork, the employment market would be much worse.

[@dev4statingx90]

We're in one.

[@BobbyLawblaw69]

The Canadian economy has been in recession for 1.5 years. The overvalued markets are lagging behind and will follow this year. TSX down to 15000.

[@MR007-r3f]

Unfortunately, Trudiot or Poiliviot are the same guy wearing two different hats. They will make sure to print some more money each year and keep the Ponzi going. I wish I was wrong!!

[@goreilly2005]

AI' s gonna reqire more copper. Ay Caramba. Do you think were stupid? The auto industry is about to crash worldwide, with all the spinoffs of that. A 68B investment in a guaranteed failure of a battery plant. Incompetence.

[@getrichshortvideos]

Shouldn’l oil and gas sector in Canada loses a lot when Trump’s administration “drill baby drill” in 2025?!? How come he said this will be a good year for that sector in Canada?!?!!?

[@myusername570]

In short, the USA imports most of our oil and refines it because the refineries they mostly have are geared for heavy oil such as ours, not the sweet stuff like there's or the Saudis. So if the Americans keep demanding more energy we sell it to them in the form of alberta crude. If trump follows through with a 25% tariff, that means every barrel they import now costs 25% more for them to import from us. It's supposed to make competition more expensive but they simply don't have the domestic production of the resource. Hopefully that clears it up a little bit.

[@TheValentine12345]

🧔👳 More of them will come to Canada

[@david37376]

Canada has 1,000 tent cities. How do you think the economy is going?

[@montrose699]

@macbr9 I work in the financial sector and spent an hour just before Christmas talking with a Chief Economist. After the rate drops from BoC we are at 2.1 inflation. They are predicting slower cuts in 2025 and if inflation starts to go back up over 2 they will raise rates,.it's pretty simple😊

[@kenniharder1680]

🇨🇦🇨🇦🇨🇦🇨🇦 they say Canada is not in a recession, but 99% of the people are broke but 90% people I know cannot pay for their stuff anymore thousands of dollars of bills my friends are sleeping in their cars and on the streets in Canada Manitoba the economy is doing great They say my opinion it is BS.🙏🙏🙏🙏

[@freestylefranc2653]

yes!

[@relaxgood5214]

With all the uncertainty with what is going on in the USA, there is no way to predict anything.

[@JSRTales]

whenever immigrn rises canada goes down to depression 1930s

[@prashantparekh4492]

For the short run analysis, stock indices are poor indicators. Such high sounding words and jargons are even more misleading. Simple factor, how much $ one can save every month and is their personal debt and liabilities including credit card debt are going up or down in the long run.

[@jakeis4-z8m]

Somebody tell these guys we are in a recession please

[@Medal-EED]

Ohhhh Canada you are in a recession!!!! Let's unit let's sing the national anthem and let's kick Trudeau out of office.

[@NaufalKnoechel]

Amazing video, A friend of mine referred me to a financial adviser sometime ago and we got talking about investment and money. I started investing with $120k and in the first 2 months , my portfolio was reading $274,800. Crazy right!, I decided to reinvest my profit and gets more interesting. For over a year we have been working together making consistent profit just bought my second home 2 weeks ago and care for my family.

[@AlilatTiamiyu]

I’ve been forced to find additional sources of income as I got retrenched. I barely have time to continue trading and watch my investments since I had my second daughter. Do you think I should take a break for a while from the market and focus on other things or return whenever I have free time or is it a continuous process? Thanks.

[@NaufalKnoechel]

@@AlilatTiamiyu Quitting may not be the best approach if you ask me. This is where an AI comes into the picture. I barely have time to trade myself as my job swallows up most of my time. *MARGARET MOLLI ALVEY* ...

[@AlilatTiamiyu]

@@NaufalKnoechel Oh please I’d love that. Thanks!

[@NaufalKnoechel]

@@AlilatTiamiyu *MARGARET MOLLI ALVEY*

[@NaufalKnoechel]

Lookup with her name on the webpage.

[@nasrani9936]

We need much lower interest rates. We need higher real estate prices. We need Realtor friendly policies.

[@BDee3126]

Just looking at the Canadian economy and it's future, its time for Canada to democratically join the US, and become the 51st State unless it wants to go into third world poverty.

[@zmumtaz]

Couldn't agree more. It's a shyteshow

[@brodieobrien-pickering2202]

Not to mention avoid UK levels of authoritarianism.

[@gordyt99]

Regardless of how attractive that scenario is, it'll be fought tooth and nail by Quebec.

[@BDee3126]

@@gordyt99 Quebec has nothing to offer to anyone. Literally just a bunch of welfare recipients to keep it nice.

[@abcdedfg8340]

Then go to the US. We see how they treat their middle class, their poor, medically uninsured, and homeless. Nobody is forcing you to stay. But don't drag the rest of with you please.

[@thefamilyadventure5330]

2026

[@satendravishwakarma4490]

Frankly, experiencing Canadian recession and depression last 25 years and will get worse in years ahead, if US-CA economic union is not materialized.

[@rabbiddog]

This is a joke right ? Wtf doesn't know we are already in a recession 😂😂😂

[@shelterskelter]

Another 1.3 million Punjabis saar. This will help saar. Doing the needful and delving into the labour shortage saar.

[@Yumyumbumbum69]

No thank you

[@zmumtaz]

🤞