Bonds To Buy Next: What’s Left To Invest In When Fed Cuts Rates?

[@DiamondNestEgg]

💎Use fall2024 to save 10% off on our popular bond course bundle through midnight ET on 9/15/24: www.diamondnestegg.com/home#_paa2isucf 💎Bond Beginners (our foundational-level bond course): www.diamondnestegg.com/bond-beginners 💎Bond Masters (our intermediate-level bond course): www.diamondnestegg.com/bond-masters 💎And join our super-supersaver membership for regular market updates & monthly live member Q&As kzbin.info/door/nexoc6tvesvcCEzZhmI-Agjoin >>>>>>>>>> WATCH NEXT >> Our Bond Courses vs KZbin Membership | Which Is Right For You: kzbin.info/www/bejne/fmbLZXivnZWboNE >> Bond Beginners Course Sneak Peak | I-Bonds vs TIPS: kzbin.info/www/bejne/q4mzq5WgmpaaaKc >> Bond Masters Course Sneak Peak | How To Build A Bond Ladder: kzbin.info/www/bejne/pmqTenejjdNkb9U >>>>>>>>>> SOURCES & REFERENCED VIDEOS FOR TODAY'S VIDEO (AS APPLICABLE): Retirement Strategy With Agency Bonds: kzbin.info/www/bejne/jYe1ppmYrZWGfaM Other Agency Bonds Videos: kzbin.info/aero/PLsv_4H5rP97G839te4TerQ0E7jcejhnAi&si=iWiYQySxolpnFf0J Accrued Interest: kzbin.info/www/bejne/hpWpnKebhZWrnqs Fidelity's Website: www.fidelity.com/ >>>>>>>>>> Here is the overview for Bond Beginners: 1. Bond Basics What A Bond Is & How A Bond Works Why Invest In Bonds New Issue vs Secondary Market Bonds Interest Rates & Bond Prices Current Yield & Yield To Maturity Always Remember This! Buying At Par, Above Par & Below Par Different Types Of Bonds Wrap-Up 2. The Risks Of Bond Investing Seven Key Bond Risks Credit Risk Interest Rate Risk Reinvestment Risk/Call Risk Inflation Risk Liquidity Risk Currency Risk & Country Risk Bond Risk Mitigation Strategies Wrap-Up 3. US Treasuries Overview What Are US Treasuries Why Invest In Treasuries Where Can You Buy Treasuries How Are Treasuries Taxed Wrap-Up 4. Treasury Bills What Are Treasury Bills (T-Bills) When Do T-Bill Auctions Happen Where Should You Buy At Auction Auto-Roll When Buying At Auction Where To Find Recent Auction Results High Rate vs Investment Rate Reopening Auctions Cash Management Bills (CMBs) Buying & Selling On Secondary Market Wrap-Up 5. Treasury Notes & Bonds What Are Treasury Notes & Bonds When Do Auctions Happen Buying Treasury Notes & Bonds Auction High Yield vs Interest Rate Floating Rate Notes (FRNs) Treasury Zeros (STRIPS) Wrap-Up 6. TIPS (Inflation-Protected) What Are TIPS When Do TIPS Auctions Happen Nominal vs Real Yields Negative Yields How Do You Adjust TIPS For Inflation Taxes On Phantom Income Secondary Market Liquidity Wrap-Up 7. I-Bonds (Inflation-Protected) What Are I-Bonds How Does I-Bond Interest Work I-Bonds vs TIPS The Annual I-Bond Limit Wrap-Up 8. Agency Bonds The Universe Of Bonds What Are Agency Bonds How Are Agency Bonds Taxed Treasuries vs Agencies Who Might Want To Consider Agencies Yield-To-Call & Yield-To-Worst Where Can You Buy Agency Bonds Wrap-Up 9. Municipal Bonds Our Bond Universe Gets More Complex What Are Municipal Bonds How Safe Are Munis How Are Munis Taxed The De Minimis Rule Social Security & Medicare Premiums Treasuries, Agencies & Munis Who Might Want To Consider Munis Wrap-Up 10. Corporate Bonds Our Bond Universe Is Complete What Are Corporate Bonds How Safe Are Corporates Corporate Bond Hierarchies Five Key Features Of Corporate Bonds How Are Corporates Taxed Treasuries vs Corporates, Etc. Who Might Want To Buy Corporates Wrap-Up >>>>>>>>>> Here is the overview for Bond Masters: 1. Stocks vs Bonds Historical Performance Are Bonds Really Less Volatile Why Invest In Bonds Accumulation vs Decumulation Allocation of Stocks vs Bonds Wrap-Up 2. Which Bonds Might Be Right For You Treasuries & Other Types of Bonds Nominal vs Real Yields Inflation vs Non-Inflation-Protected Taxable vs Tax-Advantaged Accounts Wrap-Up 3. Bond Ladders & Other Bond Strategies Normal vs Inverted Yield Curve What Is A Bond Ladder 5 Important Bond Laddering Questions Laddering When Rates Are Rising Laddering When Rates Are Falling Laddering When Rates Are Uncertain What Is A Bullet What Is A Barbell Wrap-Up 4. Holding to Maturity vs Selling Early Why Hold to Maturity When To Sell Early Before Maturity Tax Implications Of Selling Early Wrap-Up 5. Individual Bonds, Bond Funds, Etc. Why Buy Individual Bonds Why Buy Bond Funds Bond Fund Considerations Key Bond Fund Concepts CDs vs Treasuries Other High-Yield Investments Wrap-Up 6. Our B.E.S.T. Model Portfolios By Age Our B.E.S.T Model Portfolios By Age Model Portfolios In The Industry B.E.S.T Model Portfolio Difference How Much Do You Need To Retire? How I Use The Rules of 100, 110, & 120 B.E.S.T Model Portfolios (20s) B.E.S.T Model Portfolios (30s & 40s) B.E.S.T Model Portfolios (50s & 60s) B.E.S.T Model Portfolios (70s+) Wrap-Up 7. The Decumulation Phase What Is The Decumulation Phase? Bear Markets & Recessions What Can You Do In Bad/Bear Markets Decumulation Tax Considerations The 4% Rule The Bucket Strategy The Flooring Approach Jen’s Bucket Strategy With A Twist Wrap-Up >>>>>>>>>> Thanks for visiting our personal finance channel! We hope this content will help fast-track your financial journey! Everyone's financial journey is different. Please note that: 1) there are questions/ comments which I will not be able to answer without fully understanding your financial, personal & other circumstances 2) we will not ask you to call us or send us money in the comments on this channel or any of our other social media accounts, so if you see comment(s) along those lines, it is most likely spam - PLEASE DO NOT ENGAGE WITH SPAMMERS OR GIVE OUT YOUR PERSONAL INFORMATION FOR YOUR OWN SAFETY

[@Thisishard2333]

Sticking with my T-bills. consolidating everything into four week T-bills.5.053 This week still pretty good.

[@noydbwia]

the 4&8w both are down .01 each and the longer the t-bill is, the more significant the decrease is. Your money is safer that way though, so there's that...

[@sondersrn8061]

I live in CA sticking with T bills 💸

[@HODIUSDUDE]

Same. I've been in 4-week T-Bills since April. Once the they drop into the low 4% range, I will probably be looking at muni's and corporates. Expecting the stock market to bottom by Spring 2026.

[@tommydesimone269]

I dumped most of my money into 20 and 30 year treasury bonds at 4.75% earlier this year and never looked back. This channel helped me through the process of buying them, thanks again!

[@user-gp8yq]

Nice.

[@pauljoseph2400]

I started buying the 20 and 30 yr bonds in Nov 2023 through May 2024. My effective interest rate 4.6%, and 4.74% (state taxable equivalent). Now I just have to seek the highest return for reinvesting my annual interest.

[@JamesBlazen]

You can sell those bonds, cash in the capital gains and re-invest at 5%.

[@pauljoseph2400]

@@JamesBlazen I'm retired, with a defined benefit (inflation adjusted) pension, plus a couple of additional annuities. I don't need the interest right now, so I'll be rolling it over until sometime in the future.

[@davidtvedte1337]

I also bought 20 year bonds last spring at 4.5%. Currently already have a built in capital gain of nearly 6%. Even though short term rates are still currently higher, I am am correct and the Fed drops rates 2% over the upcoming years my bonds will look even better then. At that time I can continue with the 4.5% rate of return which will be better than the marker OR I can take significant capital gains.

[@beaverish]

T-bills are still attractive even at 4%. What I do is take the remaining proceeds after buying T-bills and invest that into index funds. So instead of getting 4-5% annual return, I get like 6-7%.

[@dogegamer3288]

I made most my wealth in TLT, TMF and BND at this exact juncture back in 2018-2020. The ETFs for bond indexes did extremely well during rate cuts.

[@eliseleblanc740]

Have you thought of doing a video on preferred stocks? Yes more risk than bonds but higher dividends than common stock. I hold some PFF (iShares Preferred ETF) and get a nice monthly dividend. Not for everyone but worth considering.

[@morrismonet3554]

I like PFXF Preferred stocks minus the financials. Over 7% dividend, too.

[@g.t.richardson6311]

True .. nice monthly income Also some preferred stocks in my Schwab account, All of them purchased in the $20-$21 range when markets were way down over the years So some of them, I still show a loss, But they keep paying me 5% dividends, And they will keep paying because none of the companies that I have them with are gonna cut their regular dividend on their common stock TFC, COF, PSA

[@paulseidel5819]

Personally, i am comfortable with agency and corporate debt. However, i am now getting some first hand experience with having bonds called, so I will look into the non callable bonds and CDs on secondary market for that portion of portfolio.

[@johnrac3302]

Thanks for the Sunday eve wrap & ideas Jen! Rates aren’t terrible (yet) in my universe. Btw - nice red crock ;)

[@clays7741]

The GSE’s are in the 5’s. Jenny Mae , and Fannie Mae mortgage backed securities were trading every day last week between 5.1% - 5.8%

[@pkj6426]

Great video, as always. What are your thoughts on bond funds? Such as BND, & BNDX? Considering this funds, have been purchasing bonds w diff durations over last few years, wouldn’t they be a pond to fish in?

[@TheLucasFamily4]

When do you plan to cover i-bond fixed rate projections for October? Do you expect they will be lower?

[@johnpawlowski2141]

GREAT Q

[@lilblackduc7312]

Thank you for citing examples for the "Risk Adverse"! Good show...🇺🇸 👍☕

[@morrismonet3554]

I doubled my allocation to my Preferred Stock ETF las Friday.

[@samkeino6810]

Which ETFs?

[@morrismonet3554]

@@samkeino6810 PFXF

[@g.t.richardson6311]

Throws off nice income monthly

[@DavidLitman-ph9lu]

For those with higher risk tolerance, BSJR is paying a 30 day yield of 6.77%. This bond ETF has high yield corporate bonds that all mature in 2027. There is some safety in numbers, in terms of default risk, and principal is returned at end of 2027, similar to a single bond.

[@FunTimePlaying]

I was thrilled when 6 month t-bills hit 4.7%+ in Nov 2022. Now, almost 2 years later they're back and I've been capturing yield for income generation before they drop even further. Last week's 4.7% 6 month t-bill isn't as good as 5.3%, but looks a whole lot better than if rates drop to 3.X%. But, what to do with the money when the t-bills mature? Not knowing where t-bill rates will be in 6 months I'm starting to slowly get into some (hopefully stable) dividend paying stocks. Not looking forward to the volatility, but after 35 years of investing all I have to say is "here we go again".

[@Vacationtime247]

'Nicky Leaks' (Nick Timiraos at the Wall Street Journal) wrote a piece saying how the Fed was considering a 75 BP cut to begin. As of Friday 9/13 the Fed Futures had a 50% odds of both a 25 and 50 BP cut. The Fed is in their black out window and used their favorite outlet to relay the information before their FOMC meeting this coming Wednesday.

[@davidv.2050]

Waiting to see how TLT would react to the first rate cut today 9/18. It actually fell 1.7%. I think most people thought it was “off to the races” with TLT but have been disappointed at just 1.3% YTD.

[@salookie8000]

Vanguard BND index fund last 10 -12%

[@davidwarner6657]

T-bills are still attractive even at 4%

[@StevenV-xh1bc]

Please recommend international bonds, to protect from dollar devaluation, thanks.

[@JosephDickson]

It's relative, I use T-Bills for my emergency fund and short term cash equivalent. Seems I'll continue to get a better yield than CDs from my credit union.

[@elkcircle7245]

We've had a portion of our assets in treasuries during the higher yield period, but plan to move more funds across into a batch of PIMCO-managed high yield funds that have been much more beneficial over the last 2 years; PDI, PCN, PTY. They are moderately higher risk than treasuries of course, but the counter to that is PIMCO's highly professional management.

[@melissajackson2537]

Does Vanguard have equivalent funds?

[@Xfactor926]

I am considering more I-Bonds based on the premise the fixed rate was determined by where the 5 year T-Note was several months ago. If you buy before Nov 1st you get 1.3% plus variable inflation rate which at worst should be Fed target inflation rate of 2.5% - thus 3.8% total which is greater than the 10 yr plus more liquid and more tax efficient plus upside protection against high inflation is better than the risk of low inflation as floor is 1.3% (ok zero % if we have 1.3% of deflation. Hope you can cover this option in a future video or maybe if you update your projected fixed ibond rate for bonds issued November 1st. To be fair I already have a bunch of 20 year bonds at above 4.5% that are in the money so ibonds feel like a nice between option as a mid duration play.

[@agsmith001]

Thanks for the great content ! Q:how do you feel about CLO's?

[@colinstalley8386]

Would you do a video on buying t bills on secondary market on E*Trade? I don’t understand buy at price vs yield.

[@AuddreyKelleigh]

Very professional, great video.

[@hudooguru2]

Great, timely content as always. Thank you.

[@JamesBlazen]

90 day and less t-bills and wait for credit spreads to blow out.

[@ScottScott-b4h]

Picked up a block of 8 wk T-bills at 4.9% this morning. I'm ok with ST Treasuries until they fall below 3.5. But I don't need coupon payments. My equity side is crushing it with FXAIX right now. If the market takes another big plunge like last month I'll pick up some more of that index fund.

[@Caldwell-c1n]

I presently reside in a rural area of Kansas and officially retired at the end of October. I say retired because I left my job without having another one and I had no intention of returning to work a full-time job. I do have a small amount of side income from investments, but that is all I need to live on. My savings is smaller than most retirees', but I am not touching that money and I am watching it grow.

[@Sar-u6d]

Those of you who are newer are paying your dues, gaining experience, and trying to lock up some profit, but I encourage you to put some away for the long term. If you can use a Roth IRA, put some away tax-free to save for your retirement and benefit from you know growth in the overall market and compound interest as it um as it starts to gain. I worked hard in 2019 2020 21 22 and put some money into the market long term sitting in a pretty nice spot.

[@HarrisKmorreti]

I started off slowly and built up my initial investment at $6. I made a small profit at the top of the candle, which now dips and I added back. This was my first trade, and I made $1,000 on it. After that, I increased the size of my position, becoming more aggressive and capping it at about 10,000 shares. Looking back, this was a nice move from 650 up to 750 all the way up to $8, and we peaked at $8.30 before pulling back.

[@MyOpinionNow2024]

@@HarrisKmorreti congrats

[@Velacreations]

CLO debt ETFs look pretty good, especially the AAA and AA tranches

[@MrDboydeluxe]

Been riding CLO's for over 18 months now (JAAA, PAAA, CLOA) take your pick, same with floating rate etfs, those I will be trimming soon.

[@Velacreations]

@@MrDboydeluxe ICLO is another one

[@toddc3135]

I've been buying up bonds for the past few months to lock in the rate its paying now. Why shop later?

[@Buffett305]

as yields go down, prices should go up. Are you considering buying bonds for the price appreciation?

[@pdouglas3866]

Yields go down because prices DO go up. Like a teeter totter.

[@Someone-lc6dc]

I've got a question... I have an ETF with 20+ US bonds. The thing is that I was buying it at various times and at different prices. How can I figure out what my yield is? And... how can I find out how much potential this ETF has given the fact that some rate cuts are already baked in?

[@zhenzhen2577]

I do the same thing

[@KevinDennehy-i1n]

Where does investing in Mortgage Back Securities fit into overall bond plan.?Inquiring minds want to know. Thanks

[@ebrahimhabib477]

Very professional video

[@pk4459]

Until we dip under 4% still a good investment all things considered. Given the political environment in the US Tbills are the safest refuge until we understand exactly what is going to happen in Jan 25. If everything goes smoothly with transfer of power expect a relief rally in equities.

[@chrisp3913]

Do agencies usually get called? I have had 3 CD’s called in the last month?

[@thereelphil]

I'm going to start putting my extra savings into Lottery scratch offs.

[@g.t.richardson6311]

Smart T Rowe price has a nice lottery balanced fund that puts 25% in mega millions, 25% in daily numbers, 25% in 10/20$ scratch offs, 25% in the 1/2/5 scratch offs

[@acilirp]

Irrelevant comment.

[@Robert-z8z1z]

@@acilirp Humor is as always relevant. The world needs more humor.

[@g.t.richardson6311]

@@acilirp you ever heard of a joke?

[@acilirp]

@@g.t.richardson6311 but it isn't a funny comment.

[@SaadonAksah]

Agency bond. Ok got it 👍

[@chuckawalla]

Buying longer dated high grade Muni’s

[@Userllmaa]

There are a lot to learn about bond investment. Too old to invest in bond?

[@cryptog3509]

We still bullish on tlt and tmf?

[@fabiang46]

Awesome video. Great question/ perfect answer

[@kellylee514]

I should know this but the 20 year coupon is 4.125. Is that the rate I will get tomorrow if I buy?

[@DiamondNestEgg]

That is the coupon/interest rate. The price/high yield is still to be determined. I think you are in Bond Beginners? If yes, you can refer to Module 5, Video D for more details.

[@kellylee514]

@@DiamondNestEgg thank you. I just haven’t had time to open up the course & go through it all. Hoping someone can tell me what interest rate a 20 year bond with a 4.125 coupon , unit price 101.15982 equates to please? Thank you 😊

[@DiamondNestEgg]

@@kellylee514 the 4.125% coupon is the interest rate. The auction high yield (which incorporates the price you paid) is 4.039%.

[@kellylee514]

@@DiamondNestEgg thank you. It just came over on my email confirmation. 😉

[@bryansmith307]

Baby bonds are still yielding 7%+

[@bruceanderson8179]

What to invest in from a fixed income perspective pretty much depends upon your life stage. and of course, risk tolerance. If you're a younger saver and willing to stay on top of maturing short-term savings vehicles stick with T Bills in the foreseeable near term. If you're older, building a maturity ladder to complement equity investments I'd look at BBB and better rated non-callable corporates having 3-10 year maturities. One might also consider a high yield bond ETF, but I would not put more than 5% of my fixed income allocation in such an investment due to the risk. I've tried the agency route and what I've bought the last 12 months all but one has been called and I suspect it's just a matter of time for that to happen. The call risk is very high. I've also had some corporates and munis being called of late. Fixed income yields are going to be disappointing in the months to come and any callable bond or CD one might have may very well be called.

[@chrisp3913]

Bond ETFs in a decreasing interest rate world or corporates. Pros and Cons?

[@edmalin9485]

Still getting 5% plus 8 week t-bills

[@Rollochrome]

I think Jennifer is single handedly keeping Izod afloat

[@elileichter5395]

Now that is very funny (in a very cute way)

[@pauljoseph2400]

@@elileichter5395 Looking sharp in the red Izod polo.

[@hkraytai]

High quality products are sound investment.

[@tomsoltess6636]

TLT

[@Mr.Switchy]

FDLXX & SGOV

[@gregh7457]

just got my 5.3% 1 year cd called in.Its a small one only $1k but i sure hope that not going to happen too much as rates go down because i unfortunately have all callable cd's

[@morrismonet3554]

They will all be called.

[@gregh7457]

@@morrismonet3554 is that from personal experience or a hunch?

[@g.t.richardson6311]

@@morrismonet3554 I have many locked in at 5%+ that are not callable Of course next year I won’t be getting that

[@ThrowBackZone]

Does anyone else feel like the bond market is turning into a game of musical chairs? With all these rate cuts, it's anyone's guess where the next high-yield opportunity will pop up! 🎶💰

[@shabpnd481]

lets see how fast the fed takes this to under 1% yet again

[@MyOpinionNow2024]

lol, this is going to be an interesting ride.

[@ClaudiaKuzounetsova]

TLT all day

[@PhelipCaouette]

Nice, I agree with you.

[@ClaudiaKuzounetsova]

👍👍

[@ClaudiaKuzounetsova]

@@PhelipCaouette 👍👍 okay

[@TrobridgeFendlason]

wow!!

[@jeffknecht2733]

Are you hesitant to buy CDs or other products from Marcus? I made minimum funding, $500, with a 2 and 3 year CD. I plan on fully funding in 3 days. I know to take comments on the Internet skeptically , but I've read many comments on getting your money from them upon maturities

[@DiamondNestEgg]

Hi! I have added this onto Jennifer's live member Q&A for today. Best - Eva

[@steve-on3234]

TLT