Can Bitcoin Realistically Reach $200,000?

[@scharif]

Funny how at 9:26 he put in 5 million instead of 500k and proceeded to sound like all the other numbers made perfect sense, despite being a full order of magnitude off. Then casually changed it and says "even better!"

[@BitcoinMagazinePro]

😬

[@Greg-lg3mc]

As always, thank you!

[@BitcoinMagazinePro]

My pleasure!

[@marcospicolo1]

interesting. thanks for sharing.

[@BitcoinMagazinePro]

Thanks for watching!

[@nirvatoshi]

🙌

[@BitcoinMagazinePro]

😁

[@OnChainMind]

Thanks Matt, some great insights as always 👍🏼🙏🏼

[@BitcoinMagazinePro]

You’re welcome!

[@MYYTVI]

1. These calculations work for price targets within the next 5 months because after that STH become LTH by doing nothing just by being 5M+1D. 2. There is also velocity - the same coins can change hands multiple times and drive the price up without decreasing the LTH supply. 3. Another way of calculating the multiplier is by using the Realized price, in which case it would be around 2.5. But it is the average long-term value. In the short term, it can fluctuate depending on the supply and demand. Check the exchange reserves - they are super low!

[@BitcoinMagazinePro]

Interesting using the realised price, will look into that for the next iteration!

[@MYYTVI]

Love your analysis, Matt! Many people would appreciate it if you could switch to a dark theme for your charts. White is very hard on the eyes, on hardware, and power consumption, and generates extra heat.

[@aiseh7788]

Ffs... are u for real ?!?!?!?

[@MYYTVI]

@@aiseh7788 Yes, dark theme is a real thing. You should give it a try, I'm sure you'll love it, too. Have a great day!

[@BitcoinMagazinePro]

In dark mode I had lots of complaints of the screen being too dark to see details, I’ll maybe go for a dark grey… 😂

[@MYYTVI]

@ Sorry, did not know that. Yes, I've noticed people who use TW charts in DM, have their lines made bolder, probably for the same reason.

[@Microsoft728]

Bro can u use dark background? I get blind like this.

[@BitcoinMagazinePro]

I only change because lots of people didn’t like the old dark backgrounds! Will see if there’s a better solution

[@nuggzay8556]

one thing that i think is still possible is a super cycle towards 600-700k BTC. if we continue to run up to 200-250k before global liquidity starts to explode, then i think we can see a super cycle like in 2017 towards 600-700k. which would still be in line with S2F. although that is more of a best case scenario and I am still very happy with 180-240k btc

[@David-s6e4q]

600-700k ??? At this point 200-220k is going to be a moonshot. To 6-700k we would have to be around 400k right now at least.

[@nuggzay8556]

@@David-s6e4q the market is maturing as evidenced by Blackrock, fidelity and other big firms launching BTC ETFs. if Global M2 YoY% reaches 8% by december 2025, and BTC reaches 180-240k I would still be holding a large porton of my bag because there is still a chance the cycle hasn't topped out. it is very possible the M2 YoY% in 2025 and 2026 might be 8% and 14% respectively, and 0% for 2027 which would correct and ease the rapid expansion in liquidity. in this scenario, with an extra 20 trillion in the economy, it is very possible we see BTC go through another super cycle. which is what happened from 2016-2018, the m2 grew 20% in those 2 years in a much more sustained fashion than 2020-2022.

[@BitcoinMagazinePro]

Anything above $250k - $300k would really need a major catalyst like a confirmed BSR and other huge inflows from big companies or nations. Possible but currently still optimistic!

[@firmbutton6485]

The key thing for me is how much capital in Flo will be needed to achieve prices of 150 200 250 K per bitcoin? Is it realistic to expect that kind of in Flow from traditional markets and New money?

[@BitcoinMagazinePro]

Bitcoin market cap is still a fraction of Gold/equity markets, with the right catalysts we could easily see a small % from traditional markets rotate into bitcoin and that alone would be trillions of dollars.

[@nuggzay8556]

🐐🐐🐐🐐🐐🐐🐐🐐🐐🐐🐐🐐🐐🐐🐐

[@BitcoinMagazinePro]

😎🤝😎

[@Yoartetu]

Is it inflation adjusted? Cause if so yeah 200 k is realistic.

[@BitcoinMagazinePro]

Would be interesting to do a ‘purchasing power’ forecast, to account for inflation

[@GadDag-v1y]

no

[@BitcoinMagazinePro]

Constructive insight!

[@zpza8666]

Y aura t il un jour une traduction vocal en francais ? Mais que font donc les IA ? Elles dorment ?

[@BitcoinMagazinePro]

Voice translation I’m not sure, but YT should provide subtitles in other languages