Ohio State vs Tennessee - Deep Dive Preview & Model - College Football Playoffs Round 1

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College Football Nerds

College Football Nerds

Күн бұрын

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@nickma71
@nickma71 16 сағат бұрын
Josh Heupel should just say Ryan Day’s team is soft. And he will win because they will then ignore his weapons on the outside and try to prove him wrong. Michigan did not shock the world, Ryan Day shocked the world
@BlakeEller-d2d
@BlakeEller-d2d 12 сағат бұрын
When
@legion888
@legion888 9 сағат бұрын
Yo I had this thought earlier this week. Ryan Day is so mentally soft and has a obsession with trying to prove how tough he his
@JulesGardening
@JulesGardening 9 сағат бұрын
I have heard version of this before. While they may have needed to pass more, obviously, they in no way manned up against the run. 172 yards rushing. They blew it. I would think, if anything, they try to stuff the box to NOT let that happen again. But, that would simply play into Heupel's scheme and then leave it to the receivers to catch the ball. And that is a big ask if you ask me. Lots of drops by UT this year. Lots.
@scottrogers1493
@scottrogers1493 9 сағат бұрын
I'm an Ohio State fan, generally patient with Day, and yours is a true comment. You know who nobody calls soft? The winner. Win the game then you're not "soft." You're just better.
@B1G_Brother
@B1G_Brother 9 сағат бұрын
Ignorant statement, Michigan out schemed and outplayed a $20 million roster. Wink put a masterclass on Chip Kelly.
@dandawson1982
@dandawson1982 15 сағат бұрын
As an Ohio native who has lived in Knoxville for the past 20 years. I can confidently tell you that both teams are great and both teams are their own worst enemies! 😂 It’ll come down to who plays a more flawless game, 3rd down conversions and controlling the line.
@johnbochenek5526
@johnbochenek5526 14 сағат бұрын
This game is a difficult one to call. I can see a close game but I can see a blowout by either side. For Ohio State I have confidence in the players but they need the best game from their OC and DC. If they get Chip Kelly's Michigan effort and Jim Knowles Oregon stuff - Tennessee wins. If they get Knowles Indiana and Kelly's anything but Michigan - OSU wins. Ryan Day's job is to make sure his coordinators are on track.
@randyclay6257
@randyclay6257 14 сағат бұрын
Josh you were spot on with Nico but making a mistake if you think a fan base known as “Volnuts” is gonna be reasonable. UT wins though
@TNJRSFFS
@TNJRSFFS 13 сағат бұрын
​@randyclay6257 usually it's Voltard y'all are the nutz but point stands regardless lol we got some damn crazy fans incoming:) GBO going to be a great game
@randyclay6257
@randyclay6257 12 сағат бұрын
@ oh Im a dawg fan but even their fan board is Volnuts
@TNJRSFFS
@TNJRSFFS 12 сағат бұрын
@@randyclay6257 funny haven't heard that much, and I'm full on Voltard hahahaha
@BrianGlaze
@BrianGlaze 16 сағат бұрын
No audio on the intro caught me off guard 😂
@gameovr17
@gameovr17 6 сағат бұрын
21-17 Vols. Nico running the ball is what changes the game
@Ifbbprostevenwain
@Ifbbprostevenwain 6 сағат бұрын
Nico is still growing. He's a redshirt freshman now with 1 full season under his belt.
@CollegeFootballNerds
@CollegeFootballNerds 2 сағат бұрын
That was actually Josh’s take in week 5 but that wasn’t good enough so he was a “hater.”
@garyharper8003
@garyharper8003 10 сағат бұрын
The big difference in the Arkansas game and the Michigan game is one was week 4 and the other was 2 weeks ago
@JulesGardening
@JulesGardening 10 сағат бұрын
And one was on the road and one was home. ;) And the road team that lost scored 14 in a hostile environment and the home that lost scored 10 points, well, at home.
@timalan7406
@timalan7406 8 сағат бұрын
@@JulesGardeningyea, we all know about that big Tennessee Arkansas rivalry.
@RAID3R63
@RAID3R63 2 сағат бұрын
I mean honestly they have our number we needed a miracle in 98 and got it to beat them ​@@timalan7406
@TennVols1084
@TennVols1084 Сағат бұрын
Yup. And Nico’s 2nd true road game as a freshman. He’s performing much better now.
@philipsmith7680
@philipsmith7680 10 сағат бұрын
Asking Josh open ended questions is what brings me back every vid
@StephenSteen
@StephenSteen 16 сағат бұрын
Wild, OSU fan here and I think you being super nice to OSU. I am concerned about OSU's offensive line not being ready and Tenn hitting a few deep. They gotta protect Howard and not set him up for INTs.
@fufulame31
@fufulame31 15 сағат бұрын
Osu fan spelling like a Tennessee fan
@NickRamone0
@NickRamone0 15 сағат бұрын
Wild OSU fan. How does an offensive line set up a QB for picks? Being rushed? That's not an excuse for INT. Not too be hard on Howard I think he's underrated and doing a great job outside the recent mistakes. Biggest problem with our OL right now is horrible run blocking. Henderson and Judkins should be dominating rn.
@ETHER3AL2205
@ETHER3AL2205 14 сағат бұрын
@@NickRamone0I think what he is saying is, Howard under constant pressure is not a good recipe for success, and could cause him to make stupid mistakes. I’ve been saying this since before the season started that he will be the reason y’all don’t win the natty. So far when the competition elevates he makes really bad mistakes.
@StephenSteen
@StephenSteen 14 сағат бұрын
@@ETHER3AL2205 yeah, this isnt rocket science. That's one. But also didnt specify after the "and" because they do a few things to setup Howard for INTs like easy to read (by the defense) quick throws he doesnt have as much time to diagnose as you like. Not sure why the internet is so hell bent of arguing about everything for such a generic and easy to comprehend post I made. This place is really incredible.
@coop1osrs
@coop1osrs 13 сағат бұрын
@@NickRamone0 you have a toddlers view of football if you think poor offensive line play doesn’t lead to interceptions 😂😂😂😂 haven’t heard something this dumb in a minute.
@plessinger3
@plessinger3 10 сағат бұрын
You guys are a real rarity in sports analysis and a breath of fresh air in your unbiased analysis of these games. I honestly can't think of anyone else that does it better. I know you get a lot of blowback from Buckeye fans but you guys have been purely analytical and just outstanding all year long. Bravo fellas. Keep up the good work. Go Bucks!
@charlieevans4805
@charlieevans4805 2 сағат бұрын
We will see how outstanding they really are😂 your teams done after this game
@bryantjames6038
@bryantjames6038 13 сағат бұрын
The problem is Ryan Day is in his own head when it comes to Michigan. He needs to find that 2019 version of himself again. Thats whats killing him, playoff Ryan Day is a different animal
@adammassey6741
@adammassey6741 9 сағат бұрын
Playoff Ryan Day hasn’t won any national titles
@Kwinten-q1w
@Kwinten-q1w 9 сағат бұрын
@@adammassey6741 Yes but the teams he lost to in the playoffs went on to win it all. The play calling under Ryan Day in the playoffs is a different animal. Just hasn't gotten it done, yet. Lets not forget, Kirby Smart struggled for years before becoming one of the best coaches in all of college football.
@B1G_Brother
@B1G_Brother 9 сағат бұрын
Jeff Hafley and Urban’s development carrier Ryan Day in 2019, he is a total fraud I hope he gets a lifetime contract
@okrajoe
@okrajoe 16 сағат бұрын
Gimme Tennessee in a squeaker.
@jonathanross149
@jonathanross149 12 сағат бұрын
Right now, the weather will not favor a passing game. Cold and windy. I would defiantly pick the under in this race to 20.
@jonathanross149
@jonathanross149 12 сағат бұрын
Nico was a very Freshmen QB mid-season. I have seen him improve as the season goes.
@DeshCanter
@DeshCanter 12 сағат бұрын
If Michigan ran on Ohio State, Tennessee will run on Ohio State. I’m betting Jim Knowles loads the box and goes full pressure on Nico to start the game, trusting his secondary to prevent big plays. If Tennessee can get off a few draw plays, RPO’s, counters, screens for big gains, Ohio State may have to adjust. But that’s just it. They rarely ever adjust their game plan. Over 4 quarters the Tennessee run game picks up and mid to late 3rd quarter Tennessee pulls away. On the other side of the ball, I see Tennessee running Michigan’s playbook, pressure with 4 and play mixed zones defensively to prevent big plays. When the zone collapses, force FG’s. It may come down to which team is more patient. I don’t know if Heupel can pull that off. History shows that Ryan Day is terrible at it. My guess is the Ohio State O-line fails and Day gets outcoached (again) in a big game, and Tennessee wins by 10.
@victorbryant6814
@victorbryant6814 10 сағат бұрын
Michigan didn’t run it well on Ohio State. If you run it 40 times you might get 150 yards like a service academy
@DeshCanter
@DeshCanter 10 сағат бұрын
@ Meanwhile, back here in reality where people are data driven, we won the game on the ground and everyone who saw the game knows it: 42 carries, 172 yards. 4.1 yds/carry No other team has rushed for more against Ohio State all season. Not Oregon. Not Penn State. Not Nebraska. More importantly, we held the ball when we needed to and kept your whiny overrated offense with your not so tough, concussed quarterback on the bench, and you couldn’t do a da_n thing about it. It was so hilarious watching Judkins stomping around, taunting and trash talking all day like a high school punk, only to finish with an underwhelming 46 yards. All we heard preseason was “Elite! Heisman!” ……..Or not 😏. And then you see a man, Kalel Mullings, pound for his 4-5 yards and calmly stand and hand the ball to the ref. And then, on 3rd and 6, he embarrassed your defense to set up the game-winning FG, and again, you couldn’t do a da_n thing about it, even with 12 guys on the field. Want to continue the annual tradition and give us a confident prediction that you’ll beat us next year? Let’s hear it! After all, you’re only 16 points away from hangin’ that hundred on us that your coach threatened way back 4 games ago.
@BruceMcclure-w4z
@BruceMcclure-w4z 5 сағат бұрын
​@@victorbryant6814That's just 10 yrds more than our RBs avg!
@victorbryant6814
@victorbryant6814 5 сағат бұрын
@@DeshCanter Mullins had one good run that was opened up by an egregious hold.
@DeshCanter
@DeshCanter 4 сағат бұрын
@ Mullings had 116 yards, which is more than your whole team combined. And if we’re going to nullify “egregious” penalties, we can just take your only TD off the board after the offensive PI. But reality check, there’s holding on every play in college football. WR’s don’t throw defenders to the ground on every play, though.
@chadthornsberry1342
@chadthornsberry1342 4 сағат бұрын
OSU is an enigma. But one thing we do know is that OSU doesn’t give up a whole lot of points. Tenn will have opportunities but if OSU doesn’t turn the ball over, OSU wins.
@tehhammer
@tehhammer 11 сағат бұрын
Penn State getting rewarded with one of the best draws is ridiculous. Ohio State had a tougher schedule, won the head to head, and Penn State got rewarded for having the same amount of losses. Hopefully, conference champs aren't guaranteed top 4 seeds in the future.
@brettk9316
@brettk9316 10 сағат бұрын
Ya I got PSU vs Oregon in Natty ez with Oregon winning it again.
@Pappavol
@Pappavol 8 сағат бұрын
Tennessee Ohio state for the toughest draw out of the 12 for sure.
@caseyschoenleber1760
@caseyschoenleber1760 4 сағат бұрын
Cry about it. Both teams have to WIN regardless so shut up and take care of Michigan next season???
@johnwatsoniv384
@johnwatsoniv384 3 сағат бұрын
The thing that makes it hard for Tennessee to win is the fact that they are not geared to use a high TOP against osu. Michigan won by keeping it close, ugly, and holding the ball as long as possible. If Tennessee is able to dominate TOP and use the clock to their advantage, I think they can win on their run game alone. If they can't, they will be dependent on the boom or bust throws like you guys said. This will probably be the only good game of the entire first round save maybe Indiana at Notre Dame the night before.
@jeffreykennedy6996
@jeffreykennedy6996 13 сағат бұрын
Nico has played a lot better starting second half Alabama. Receivers have let him down some since then so the passing game is far from a given, but Nico has been playing much better. Ohio State will present a test he has yet to pass however.
@tjsokkerplayer
@tjsokkerplayer 11 сағат бұрын
The Nico slander is a bit over the top. He's a RS Freshman that played two night conference games on the road back to back. It led to some struggles that carried on for the first half of the season. But he is playing at a much better level now. He looks more comfortable in the pocket, he is converting more on 3rd downs and throwing more TDs. He doesn't have jaw dropping stats, but it's less to do with his capability and more to do with the consistency of the run game.
@plessinger3
@plessinger3 10 сағат бұрын
Well, let's see how he does in a playoff road night game. Big stage for a young QB.
@tjsokkerplayer
@tjsokkerplayer 10 сағат бұрын
@plessinger3 True, but he essentially already played in an away playoff game when he played UGA. Georgia was fighting for their postseason lives and to avoid their 3rd loss. Nico looked poised for the majority of the game and was efficient converting on 3rd downs. It was bad penalties, conservative playcalling, and poor defensive play that caused Tennessee to lose that game. Nico himself had a fair effort and was far from the problem that game. But yes, it's always tough to play in those enviornments and Nico has already had to play 3 night conference games as a RS freshman. So some leeway should be given imo.
@danielhurley8572
@danielhurley8572 12 сағат бұрын
I like the analysis. One thing that NOBODY is talking about is Nebraska could and should have beat OSU in the Shoe. Everyone is talking about Michigan but that one gets forgotten
@gregjacksun
@gregjacksun 11 сағат бұрын
Like The Michigan game - I think that one was more OSU playing crap ball than Nebraska doing well. Neb lost 5 of their last 6.
@timalan7406
@timalan7406 10 сағат бұрын
@@gregjacksunI don’t forget that game. The offense forgot what they were good at, just like Michigan.
@gregjacksun
@gregjacksun 10 сағат бұрын
@@timalan7406 Maybe the team has heavy ADHD and needs to be reminded every play.
@noelmccurry7932
@noelmccurry7932 9 сағат бұрын
I’ve been waiting on this video from you guys. Thanks for your analysis!
@nickma71
@nickma71 16 сағат бұрын
If Michigan and Tennessee were close, Michigan would not be a five loss team. edit. I was in the car and ranting with Apple speech recognition. Michigan and Tennessee both have a really good defensive line. That is where the similarities end. And the best pass rusher Ohio State faced is Abdul Carter. The best tackle they faced is Mason Graham., with Grant a close second.
@kentontudor
@kentontudor 12 сағат бұрын
You know what can negate super athletic teams in the passing game? 20 degree weather
@JayJay-ku8gp
@JayJay-ku8gp 15 сағат бұрын
Im amazed we're picked to win, but you can't count out Day getting too conservative, LJ not rotating the DL, and Howard turning the ball over.
@GritsandGraceSF
@GritsandGraceSF 14 сағат бұрын
I would agree about Nico. I think he is going to be great, but I didn't think it would be this year. I said the same thing in the spring game.
@VolFan1977
@VolFan1977 15 сағат бұрын
Not enough comments on the state of OSU oline situation. I also question team morale following that MI loss. Both teams should have gotten home games against lesser foes. As is typical for UT, we are playing a semifinal game as a play in. Like drawing Purdue in basketball last year.
@JulesGardening
@JulesGardening 10 сағат бұрын
B I N G O
@lossless4129
@lossless4129 3 сағат бұрын
Yup
@andreww.376
@andreww.376 14 сағат бұрын
As an OSU fan, I don't feel good about OSU winning any games in the playoffs. But what I do think is that OSUs offense is drastically better than anything you saw against UM. The problem seemed to entirely be horrible play calling, along with a few mistakes by Howard. UM's defense didnt beat OSU offense, OSU offense was hindered by terrible play calling all game. Still have very little hope OSU makes it deep in the playoffs, but i will continue to lay that blame on the coaches and playcalling as opposed to the athletes on the field.
@mitchboothe5152
@mitchboothe5152 6 сағат бұрын
You can’t say, “OSU is significantly better than what you saw against Michigan” but then say Ohio State won’t go far because they are bad? Ohio State had a bad day.
@mitchboothe5152
@mitchboothe5152 6 сағат бұрын
If they are capable of handily beating Michigan, they are capable of beating Tennessee by a touchdown or more margin.
@andreww.376
@andreww.376 6 сағат бұрын
@mitchboothe5152 Well since I literally never said they were bad, I'm not sure where you're getting your ideas from. I said the blame lies with the coaches for horrible play calling. That will lose them the playoffs too
@mitchboothe5152
@mitchboothe5152 6 сағат бұрын
@ so they are good? But they will lose? I’m so confused by your take. lol. If you’re good you win. If you’re bad, you lose. That’s facts. Coaching is part of the team.
@andreww.376
@andreww.376 6 сағат бұрын
@mitchboothe5152 So based on your own argument, they are bad because they've lost twice. Right? Did you literally just come here to argue?
@Blown4v
@Blown4v 16 сағат бұрын
I am amazed that you both agree and pick OSU. I am an OSU fan but feel like TN is a better version of UM and a horrible matchup for Day's coaching style
@CollegeFootballNerds
@CollegeFootballNerds 16 сағат бұрын
I don't think Ohio State loses to any version of UM that isn't wearing UM uniforms.
@JJE2709
@JJE2709 14 сағат бұрын
I am going to agree about TN being a better version of SCum but if they didn't learn a few items about what to do different, I'd be pretty surprised. Buckeyes by 2 TD's!!! GO BUCKS!
@ricks7990
@ricks7990 12 сағат бұрын
Offensively, Tennessee is more like Oregon. Michigan uses their tight ends in the run game more than does Tennessee. Nico spreads the ball around and has good targets in McCoy, Thornton, Brazzell and White, and their tight ends, plus Nico can run. Both Michigan and Tennessee can run the ball, but Tennessee has legit weapons in their pass game at every position, whereas Michigan does not.
@HeywoodJablowme222
@HeywoodJablowme222 12 сағат бұрын
@@CollegeFootballNerdsAgreed. The problem against UM wasn’t UM. The problem was Day being buried inside his own head and calling an abysmal game. Targeting Jeremiah Smith ZERO times in the second half against a Will Johnson-less UM had nothing to do with UM.
@Labhran
@Labhran 7 сағат бұрын
I think everyone knows they’re a bad matchup if they call plays like they did against Michigan. The idea is that they’re almost certainly not going to.
@matthewmiller8758
@matthewmiller8758 15 сағат бұрын
See you made a preview and prediction video and I watched all the way through 👍🏻😂
@davidwalker9035
@davidwalker9035 14 сағат бұрын
You guys are great!
@mikecarrier4228
@mikecarrier4228 9 сағат бұрын
Ryan Day has got to stop this tough stuff and let the QB spin the rock to open up the run. 31 - 13 Buckeyes. #GoBucks #MichiganStillSucks
@TheTroubledPack
@TheTroubledPack 9 сағат бұрын
It depends if ryan day and chip kelly want to win, or want to run the ball on first and second down for 2 yards a carry
@quovadis5036
@quovadis5036 3 сағат бұрын
(burying my face in my hands) WHAT ARE THEY DOING!!! Another freaking run for 1 yard???? (woulda worked with the original O-Line, which we don't have)
@TheLEMRR
@TheLEMRR 41 минут бұрын
You hear that (Ryan Day)? That's pride, f'n with 'ya. Haven't been that annoyed by an OSU game plan since the '15 MSU game.
@earnthis1
@earnthis1 8 сағат бұрын
I'm subbed just for the long nerdy answers and stat analysis! Go Ducks!
@peacenation9338
@peacenation9338 15 сағат бұрын
I think we go back to super aggressive Ryan Day in this game. Him and Chip Kelly pull out all the stops. He might not lose the job if they go bust but he is gunning for the respect of the Buckeye faithful.
@NMannillo
@NMannillo 15 сағат бұрын
The problem with OSU is how they’re constructed. A great defense pairs well with a great run game, because eventually a run game will wear out even a Def like the Buckeyes. Ineffective runs still serve a purpose if the opponent can’t punish you with points. If OSU can’t grab a decent lead early I wouldn’t be surprised if Tenn is completely stagnant for 3 quarters and then starts hitting bigger and bigger runs. Also a CLE area guy, you need a little extra arm for the weather. Howard was great with intermediate 15-20yd passes early in the year, but they seem to have become shorter and less consistent as the Midwest weather has kicked in, and I’m not sure he can handle ~20 degree temps and maybe ~15mph winds.
@timalan7406
@timalan7406 10 сағат бұрын
A run game is worthless if you get down 2 scores
@happynotredamefan3736
@happynotredamefan3736 16 сағат бұрын
“I don’t think Michigan has a good offense so yes” Shoots fired at Michigan 😂
@thechicagostaleys
@thechicagostaleys 13 сағат бұрын
That’s actually a universally accepted fact. They only scored a TD on Ohio State because they handed Michigan the ball on the 2 yards line.
@colebearden5842
@colebearden5842 12 сағат бұрын
@@thechicagostaleys well, sort of. Michigan did drive the length of the field on OSU twice. The first time they went for it in a 4th and goal situation with the worst case scenario being poor field position for their opponent, which turned out to work perfectly with the Will Howard pick. The second time, they managed to get in field goal position for the game winning kick. OSU defense played pretty lights out most of the game, as did U-M defense. Main difference was coach moore being that extra bit more aggressive compared to coach day.
@coop1osrs
@coop1osrs 12 сағат бұрын
@@colebearden5842 you’re one of those people that just argue to argue….. nothing you said disproves Michigan having a universally accepted bad offense
@Jon.A.Scholt
@Jon.A.Scholt 11 сағат бұрын
@coop1osrs No, he was adding context to "the fact" that Michigan's only TD drive was 2 yards. There is ZERO nuance allowed apparently. The fact is they drove the entire length of the field multiple times against OSU. It's intellectually dishonest to say otherwise. It's not arguing just to argue.
@colebearden5842
@colebearden5842 10 сағат бұрын
@@Jon.A.Scholt exactly lol. Im not even arguing the point that michigans offense was bad- they were. But to just lie and pretend Ohio state held Michigan to 2 yards is a misrepresentation
@JulesGardening
@JulesGardening 9 сағат бұрын
Good details. One thing, the missing OL players is a big factor. Also, it is implied that if OSU loses it will be their own fault. I have noticed that about OSU supporters. It is possible they can simply lose a game because they were outplayed or outcoached, like what just happened against Michigan.
@benmeaige4306
@benmeaige4306 14 сағат бұрын
Michigan really should have only scored 3 points. Give them credit, they hit a 56 yd fg and took a TO to the 2. But I don’t think Michigan’s offense deserves any credit, and therefore don’t think that pointing out Tennessee has a better offense means anything. I think it will completely come down to Tennessee’s defense vs OSU’s passing game. If they can guard them long enough for the pass rush to get home, they will win via offensive opportunities. If not, I think OSU will win comfortably. My prediction is Tennessee will slow down the OSU offense enough to squeak out a 21-17 win. Another sad day for me as a Buckeyes fan.
@Chris-ld5vk
@Chris-ld5vk 16 сағат бұрын
On crappy airplane internet and I’m still early 😤😅
@BrianGlaze
@BrianGlaze 16 сағат бұрын
People are going to be surprised by Tennessee defensively in this game. It will just show that they arent watching the games.
@finger-board
@finger-board 5 сағат бұрын
I love this Tennessee seeding. We don’t have to play an OG SEC team until the championship game!!!
@lukekrell5665
@lukekrell5665 13 сағат бұрын
27 - 10 Would be Ohio State's A Game vs Tennessee's C Game. 23 - 17 Ohio State with a B+ effort from both. But Tennessee absolutely could win this and win big as Ohio State can really fall apart if things don't go well.
@timalan7406
@timalan7406 10 сағат бұрын
You just described every college football game ever played. If there’s a blowout win it’s more likely Ohio State. If Ohio State plays their A game, they’ll score 45 points. Fortunately for Tennessee fans, they probably won’t. It’s going to be difficult to do anything well in 19 degree temperature.
@stephenlight647
@stephenlight647 15 сағат бұрын
It makes no sense to have Ohio State lose. They have the most talented roster and they are DEEP--as was proven when their O-line was shredded by injuries and they STILL played well. This is why the Michigan game was such a weird result and introduces a problem….did Day and Co. just overthink the whole thing? NOW< we are confronted with a question about what the state of mind is on the Ohio State side of the field. I don’t know how to estimate where they are at, so I am not touching this game on a bet.
@jamay2004
@jamay2004 13 сағат бұрын
Any intentions on doing any of the other round 1 games?
@CollegeFootballNerds
@CollegeFootballNerds 13 сағат бұрын
Already recorded all 4 of them
@randyclay6257
@randyclay6257 13 сағат бұрын
UT wins as their offense is quirky, almost like playing a wishbone team with the spread and pace. Aside from Downs, OSU hasn’t seen before. Will struggle to stop the run when spread to the WRs. I think the UT DL overruns the OSU OL and gets strip sacks. UT 19 OSU 10.
@47ampk
@47ampk 11 сағат бұрын
I don’t think you guys are giving enough credit to Tennessee running game. Penn state couldn’t run the ball on Ohio state but Tennessee is spread out a lot more. The receivers are almost out of bounds which gives Sampson a lot more room and puts a significant amount of pressure on the front 7 to win even when outnumbered. I like Tennessee to win and run the ball a lot better than people think
@JulesGardening
@JulesGardening 10 сағат бұрын
Agreed. Michagan ran for 172. Surely UT can do that too. Plus OSU ran for only 77 against Michigan. I think the BIG thing in this match is that OSU is down 3 key lineman.
@davidcole2337
@davidcole2337 16 сағат бұрын
Honestly the Weather is going to be a big factor on this game.. 24 - 17 Ohio State
@JayJay-ku8gp
@JayJay-ku8gp 16 сағат бұрын
Knoxville TN gets cold and snow too
@NickRamone0
@NickRamone0 15 сағат бұрын
​@@JayJay-ku8gpColumbus resident. It's already been in the teens. Could be anywhere from 10-20 degrees if we are lucky.
@HKmoney-Offical
@HKmoney-Offical 15 сағат бұрын
It snowed in Knoxville last week this weather story line is ridiculous.
@uva514
@uva514 14 сағат бұрын
The weather's a factor in all winter games, but not sure it's going to affect either team more than the other. It's tougher to throw in the cold, as well as kick. If OSU thinks this is a big advantage, they're wrong. Playing a home game is probably more important, but that's what we'll discover Saturday night.
@TNJRSFFS
@TNJRSFFS 13 сағат бұрын
This! No advantage with the weather both rosters are nationally recruited and have talent from everywhere. It's going to suck for EVERYONE... if the UT defense plays well then there's a shot. The d line is stupid deep and please their to our corners. Only issues on that side is youth at the nickel and safeties
@Kasu-AL
@Kasu-AL 5 сағат бұрын
I think home field advantage will play a significant role in this game
@Nick-fz2oo
@Nick-fz2oo 16 сағат бұрын
a 100th ranked offense would be considered much better than Michigan. Michigan arguably had the worst offense in the country this year lol. I’m going with Tennessee easily.
@BriBryBriBry
@BriBryBriBry 15 сағат бұрын
Ya no
@JulesGardening
@JulesGardening 10 сағат бұрын
yup
@prisonersdilemma939
@prisonersdilemma939 9 сағат бұрын
14:00 great question. I was wondering the same thing. Ohio St went from a +270 favorite to a +560 favorite because of the Michigan loss. Michigan has a very underrated defense, mainly because they couldn’t do anything on offense. “Ohio State is who we thought they were” will be the mantra after Ohio State wins by 17-21 on Saturday.
@johnjohnson1997
@johnjohnson1997 10 сағат бұрын
Can’t stand em but I think TN gets this done.
@BlakeEller-d2d
@BlakeEller-d2d 12 сағат бұрын
Ohio state is a good football team but i dont think anyone thinks that they are special this year
@prisonersdilemma939
@prisonersdilemma939 9 сағат бұрын
90% of the previews I’ve watched on YT think this will be a very close game but Vegas has the Buckeyes a 7.5 favorite. That .5 is huge. Vegas is begging you to take the points. Every time I see a line out of whack, I jump the other way. Ohio State wins by 17. Howard throws for 250.
@thelifeofdustinandallison
@thelifeofdustinandallison 16 сағат бұрын
Ohio State - 24 Tennessee - 23 Go Dawgs! Sic Em!
@tonykasper3449
@tonykasper3449 14 сағат бұрын
What did your model say about Michigan vs OSU
@JulesGardening
@JulesGardening 10 сағат бұрын
Good question.
@brianstinson7757
@brianstinson7757 10 сағат бұрын
credit given - Nico still developing for sure
@ryansdrew
@ryansdrew 15 сағат бұрын
Did you factor injuries?
@FiestaBuckeye
@FiestaBuckeye 13 сағат бұрын
The weather will be a factor that needs to be factored into the equation. Right now, Sat night is supposed to be 20 degrees with a "real feel" of 13 and winds gusting 20+. That's not ideal for Ohio State.
@lossless4129
@lossless4129 3 сағат бұрын
This is changing by the hour….
@FiestaBuckeye
@FiestaBuckeye 3 сағат бұрын
@@lossless4129 We're a week out, so that's not surprising, but Sat night is still calling for 22 with a chance of snow. Winds of 12-23 mph. We'll see, but if this is a grind 'em out game, I like Tennessee's odds with OSU's OL issues. Howard is going to need to be on point.
@MrCow-ir4gw
@MrCow-ir4gw 10 сағат бұрын
Michigan fan here. I was a lot more confident in OSU before Air Noland entered the portal an hour ago. On paper OSU should win but when you get that big a transfer the week before the playoffs something is wrong. I still think OSU wins 17-13, but man I somehow feel less confident in them than your model’s consistency score.
@Matt-oy7pz
@Matt-oy7pz Сағат бұрын
Tennessee defensive line is able to disrupt Ohio State offensive line/quarterback, to help carry the Vols to a win AT Ohio State’s house.. Tennessee freshman quarterback Iamaleava settles down, and passes with more accuracy in postseason… Dylan Sampson does, what Dylan Sampson does… Georgia’s hostile crowd proves to have helped the young Tennessee squad face hostile Ohio State folks… Tennessee wins the ballgame… 24 - 17
@timalan7406
@timalan7406 10 сағат бұрын
The Michigan game is such a great distraction for Ohio State. Keep your focus on that Tennessee.
@Kevinyaheard
@Kevinyaheard 10 сағат бұрын
Both teams had a rival game that could have messed up their entire season. Tennessee played at Vanderbilt and Ohio State played at home. Diego Pavia is absolutely unreal and Tennessee held him to his worst game of the year. Michigan wishes they had a Diego Pavia. Ohio State would have lost by 20 points then. The most complete and the best game that the Tennessee has played was our last one. The worst game Ohio State played was the last one and that is their offensive line that is starting for the game against Tennessee. What am I missing here?
@happynotredamefan3736
@happynotredamefan3736 16 сағат бұрын
Do you think day is fired if he loses?
@CollegeFootballNerds
@CollegeFootballNerds 16 сағат бұрын
Doubtful.
@happynotredamefan3736
@happynotredamefan3736 16 сағат бұрын
@@CollegeFootballNerds I wonder if ND was worried OSU would take freemen so we extended him b4 osu had a chance to take freeman
@kych2008
@kych2008 15 сағат бұрын
Nope they already say he’s coming back
@kych2008
@kych2008 15 сағат бұрын
The AD
@FiestaBuckeye
@FiestaBuckeye 13 сағат бұрын
His buyout is $37,276,042. It's not happening.
@Kevinyaheard
@Kevinyaheard 10 сағат бұрын
I didn't hear one of you guys mention Seth McLaughlin's name one time. Is suiting up this game? Unless he's walking through that door, pun intended, you guys are screwed.
@HomerSimpson51256
@HomerSimpson51256 9 сағат бұрын
If it's Ohio State vs Tennessee, why are they playing in a stadium Michigan owns? 🤔
@TraumaNaked
@TraumaNaked 9 сағат бұрын
😂
@timalan7406
@timalan7406 8 сағат бұрын
Big talk coming from a team who are 6-18 this century.
@HomerSimpson51256
@HomerSimpson51256 8 сағат бұрын
@@timalan7406 I'm not a Michigan fan. I'm just wondering why this game is being played in their stadium..🤷
@Andy-AJC72
@Andy-AJC72 7 сағат бұрын
I’m an Ohio State fan and I hate you- but that was some damn good chirping 😂 😂 😂
@MooseMeus
@MooseMeus 4 сағат бұрын
nico will have to live up to his potential for us to win. nico will have to hit at least 2 deep td's to win this game. for him to hit 2 deep td's he'll have to run the ball. it all boils down to nico.
@siirall
@siirall 8 сағат бұрын
Daniel reminds me of this actor who played a Scientist on Stargate TV Series, can’t remember the name of the character
@HeywoodJablowme222
@HeywoodJablowme222 12 сағат бұрын
Hot take: Tennessee is arguably the most overrated team in the country. Their offense simply does nothing against quality opposition - particularly games where they don’t have a massive edge in the trenches and can’t have Sampson win the game single-handedly. They had 3 quality performances all year: winning by 10 on the road at 6-6 OU, winning by 13 on the road against 6-6 Vandy, and beating Bama at home. 99% of their “resume” is beating Alabama, who committed FIFTEEN FUCKING PENALTIES against them and looked like gutter ass on the road - as they did all year.
@EulogyfortheAngels
@EulogyfortheAngels 12 сағат бұрын
Use that lens on everyone: once you really dig into every team, you could break a lot of them down to 1 or 2 good/decent wins and the rest is just meh. Even with your point taken Tennessee has more quality wins than Indiana, Notre Dame, SMU, Clemson, and Boise State.
@Kevinyaheard
@Kevinyaheard 10 сағат бұрын
Ohio State keeps getting everyone talking like they are the same team from the beginning of the year. They are not. Tennessee has gotten much better and Ohio State has gotten much worse.
@JulesGardening
@JulesGardening 10 сағат бұрын
Right. They have the 4th ranked defense and the 8th ranked offense and they are arguably the most overrated team in the country. Hot Take: The SEC is MUCH deeper than the Big 10 this year, by far. That being a fact, perhaps it is OSU that is the most overrated team?
@HeywoodJablowme222
@HeywoodJablowme222 6 сағат бұрын
@@JulesGardening By opponent adjusted metrics Tennessee’s offense is 40th or so. Stats that aren’t pace or opponent adjusted are for simpletons.
@gregguess5248
@gregguess5248 5 сағат бұрын
Let me make it easy for you as a UM fan . If you run zone defense with a good DL, you will win . If you try to man up OSU , it will be hit or miss
@GTNover
@GTNover Сағат бұрын
As a Michigan fan it was obvious Day threw the playbook out the window vs Michigan and just tried to run the ball too much. Had they gone fast tempo and passed the ball they would have put up at least 24 points even with the 2 missed field goals vs a very good Michigan defense
@D3zii1
@D3zii1 7 сағат бұрын
People saying Tennessee had an easy schedule, needs to look at Ohio State again. Oregon was the only team they played, and we’ll see that once ND stomps Indiana
@mikelindellspillow2609
@mikelindellspillow2609 3 сағат бұрын
Bucks 30-0
@prisonersdilemma939
@prisonersdilemma939 8 сағат бұрын
A pretty good comparison for this game is the Ohio State - Iowa game. Iowa has a very good defense and good rushing attack and Ohio State dismantled a good Hawkeye team at the horseshoe.
@CollegeFootballNerds
@CollegeFootballNerds 8 сағат бұрын
Tennessee is much better than Iowa on both sides of the ball.
@VolFan931
@VolFan931 7 сағат бұрын
@@CollegeFootballNerds. Tennessee beat Iowa 35-0
@keithmarlin3845
@keithmarlin3845 5 сағат бұрын
They didn’t play Iowa
@CollegeFootballNerds
@CollegeFootballNerds 2 сағат бұрын
In last year’s bowl. But that wasn’t with Nico starting and Tennessee arguably got better while Iowa got worse (at least on defense). It’s not a terrible point.
@prisonersdilemma939
@prisonersdilemma939 Сағат бұрын
@@CollegeFootballNerds8 of the top 18 top team defenses reside in the Big 10. EIGHT! The defenses Ohio State has faced in aggregate is considerably better than what TN saw. And Ohio State was a couple plays from running the table. Nebraska, Iowa, Penn St, and Indiana are very good wins for Ohio St. Oregon and to a degree, Michigan, are not bad losses. Michigan has a top ranked defense. On the other hand, besides Penn St and OR, Ohio State hasn’t faced stellar offenses. But TN is not exactly a stellar offense when you look at the lack of comparable defenses in the SEC.
@SangriaSamurai
@SangriaSamurai 10 сағат бұрын
FYI weather forecast is low 20s by game time
@waldy1386
@waldy1386 Сағат бұрын
20 - 13 OSU was my gut pick as well! O H!
@kylecollins3755
@kylecollins3755 3 сағат бұрын
If Ryan Day hits the transfer portal then my Buckeyes have a great chance of winning. If Day is coaching, then it’s not looking great for OSU.
@rolandoramon5623
@rolandoramon5623 57 минут бұрын
Taking Tennessee and the points here.
@aguynamedguy309
@aguynamedguy309 8 сағат бұрын
Tennessees defense has given up 20 1 time.... I'd be surprised to it happen again.
@Kevinyaheard
@Kevinyaheard 10 сағат бұрын
Tennessee starting center Cooper Mays was out for the Arkansas game how come nobody ever says anything about this?
@jwVOLS
@jwVOLS 12 сағат бұрын
GO BIG ORANGE 🍊
@jonathanross149
@jonathanross149 12 сағат бұрын
Only Tennessee knows how good Tennessee Defense is.
@larrywilson4599
@larrywilson4599 14 сағат бұрын
OH ST has been prone to pick 6 plays from opposing Ds. Could make it problematic for them. OH ST 23 TN 20
@Eposu123
@Eposu123 15 сағат бұрын
I think that consistency stat although can be telling got way too skewed off of the ❌ichigan game. I don’t think you can put all that much weight into it because how deviated that one stat was. Sample size way to small for this
@nicholaskling2425
@nicholaskling2425 15 сағат бұрын
I think Tennessee takes this. OSU hasn’t seen a defensive line like this all year. I think the Vols can tee off on Howard and make him uncomfortable
@Kevinyaheard
@Kevinyaheard 10 сағат бұрын
Why do you not think that a young quarterback who has played his best ball at the end of the season, would not continue to improve against Ohio State?
@greggbryson3957
@greggbryson3957 11 сағат бұрын
OS and Day will have a Michigan hangover. 😂😂😂
@Stone2799
@Stone2799 14 сағат бұрын
I would love to hear either of their reasonings as to why an Ohio State can lose to a Michigan and they say Ohio State will bounce back and play well. While a Miami can lose to a 9-3 Syracuse and they both say Miami is a bad team and doesn’t deserve to be in the playoff.
@CollegeFootballNerds
@CollegeFootballNerds 13 сағат бұрын
Miami lost to 2 unranked teams, beat 0 ranked teams, and had to come from behind down 35-10 to Cal, down double digits in 2nd half to Duke, needing a miracle reversal to beat Va Tech, and a one-score win over Louisville. Ohio State has had 2 bad games all year: Nebraska (win) and Michigan (loss). They've beaten another playoff team, and came within one on the road vs the #1 overall. They've played horribly in 42% of their games and have played a schedule so weak that they only faced one currently (barely) ranked team all year.
@Stone2799
@Stone2799 13 сағат бұрын
@ I see what you’re trying to say but I don’t agree with the “ranked wins” aspect. I believe Duke, Cuse, and Louisville are all good enough to be ranked. If you put them 23, 24, and 25, Miami’s schedule suddenly looks much better in your argument. I also still disagree with this idea y’all have that Miami needed a “miracle” reversal to beat VT. The correct call came down and Miami won. If it was OSU in that same position but the call was right from the start, I doubt you would criticize them the same way.
@danielbremner4142
@danielbremner4142 8 сағат бұрын
Sometimes Josh rants so long that when Daniel speaks I get startled.
@chrislane3228
@chrislane3228 16 сағат бұрын
My Buckeyes are awful. They don't play to win. They play to not lose.
@chrislane3228
@chrislane3228 16 сағат бұрын
But.... Ohio State 24, Tennessee 13.
@lossless4129
@lossless4129 Сағат бұрын
Hope Tennessee hasn’t googled Denzel Burke…..lol
@markpierson5695
@markpierson5695 11 сағат бұрын
Cherry picked stats when you say TN is a 21 point offense at the 23 minute mark. They scored 71,59, 69, and 56 in their easier games this year. Give them a crease and they can burn you quick.
@SangriaSamurai
@SangriaSamurai 11 сағат бұрын
I love my Buckeyes.. but the Under and Tenn plus the points are reallyu sound
@notmyrealname5162
@notmyrealname5162 9 сағат бұрын
21 to 20 go vols!!!! Tenn will be able to run
@davidbonhard5586
@davidbonhard5586 8 сағат бұрын
The Michigan offense is so bad. If they just had an average offense we would have won by 20 against OSU. OSU is the most susceptible team in the country to an elite dline. If Tennessee has good d tackles. They will easily win. Nebraska had a great d tackle as well.
@DennisHutchins-m9y
@DennisHutchins-m9y 15 сағат бұрын
If you play the game on Piper y'all be favored over everybody but it's not paid played on paper
@ethanpinafitness
@ethanpinafitness 7 сағат бұрын
I just don’t trust Ohio states offense to confidently pick this game. I’m first to 17 wins 😂
@brettk9316
@brettk9316 10 сағат бұрын
Wow these SEC guys not picking SEC? Figured they rig these numbers in favor for the down year SEC conf schools.
@tylerphelps9275
@tylerphelps9275 11 сағат бұрын
This guy shits on Nico every Tennessee game. Tennessee lead the SEC in WR drop yds and qb pressures allowed. Similar situation with Jackson Arnold. Nico is actually stellar on off platform plays. They roll him out more often than Milton or Hooker ever did. Tennessee wins if the dline gets home or if OSU isn’t prepared for the unique UT scheme. SEC teams have prepared for them for years now.
@stephtraveler7378
@stephtraveler7378 14 сағат бұрын
Goes like this: OSU will disable to sideline Ipads and helmet mics (Vandy actually did this against UT). Then OSU will only partially fill the sideline heaters. They will run out of propane about gametime... OSU will limit ticket sales to a mere 4500 UT fans. (already done) and pack the stadium with 100,000 OSU fans. The ref crew will be known SEC haters... Then, Oregon will beat the crap out of OSU the following week on their home turf.
@lindseymayo2822
@lindseymayo2822 13 сағат бұрын
Tennessee has bought 19,000 tickets as of Saturday.
@TruBonehead
@TruBonehead 12 сағат бұрын
@@lindseymayo2822 that’s it??!!
@prisonersdilemma939
@prisonersdilemma939 8 сағат бұрын
An Ohio St - Oregon matchup would happen in the Rose Bowl, not exactly home turf.
@prisonersdilemma939
@prisonersdilemma939 9 сағат бұрын
Why don’t any YT channels break down game film? No one does it. It’s always just stats. Does it have to do with copyright? What I saw watching two of Tennessee’s games is a below average secondary and linebacker group. I don’t see how their pass defense is rated so high.
@CollegeFootballNerds
@CollegeFootballNerds 9 сағат бұрын
At least for our channel the issue is indeed that we don’t have access to a licensed copy to break down.
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