Combine Mass Data and Solvers to Form Exploitative Poker Voltron

[@WillianMates]

I used your material to crush nl25 on stars for 12/100 over just 100k hands, dont know why the channel doesnt have more attention...

[@sexbansal]

And why is the like to dislike ratio 10:1 ? He seems one of the most precise speaker.

[@jimsthalsjordan2640]

12bb is crazy at nl25 stars

[@WillianMates]

@@jimsthalsjordan2640 I got 15bb/100 this month playing a mix of nl25, nl50 and nl100, but I do play regular tables and table select really hard. To be honest I used to play poker full time in 2013-2016. It is very doable man. I shold mention that I do play a hyper simple stile and from that I adpat to how fish or nit my opponet is.

[@ZvetojasZvetojas]

@@WillianMates I think 10bb+/100 will be still possible for next 5-10 years in poker

[@lozgod]

This is probably your best video IMO. It’s relatable to 50nl which I play. Some of your earlier stuff was pretty advanced. Way more advanced than the player pool in my games are thinking.

[@AlvinTeachesPoker]

Haha I give WAY too much away but that's okay, no one listens to me :)

[@EricSmyth4Christ]

Watched at 2.0x speed, it's good information, I like it I really like the part here 14:38 It's also good to note that in some live games if you have a strong tight image, betting 2x on a given board will naturally yield folds more than %67 of the time, and, if used sparingly, like once per week, is a great play to put into your game. A %100 bluff rate where you know your opponent will fold 2/3 to 9/10+ of the time, means a double pot unbalanced range is great, just have an airball only range with no blockers at all, or better yet, a gut shot straight draw to the 2nd nuts. I also love the anon dynamic of exploiting the field's vpip/frequencies, not just from the opponent's ranges in general, but the opponent's general view of anonymous players (%130 pot is "strong" for example).

[@KimiiiRaikkonen]

Awesome content. and I do agree. This reflects my games aswell, I don't feel it makes sense playing almost any 4bet bluffs because people are not 3bet bluffing. when they 3b, they got the goods. cause if not they call. It's so hard to play JJ,QQ,AQs. vs a guy that does not bluff. because I know I can't fold this unless I really know my opponent never 3b or 4b bluff.. But again, when I involve myself with mentioned hands in these 3b or 4b spots it's just so common they got that overpair. and if not it's super transparent AK. No wheel aces or any suited connectors or anything. And it does happen very rarely. Awesome to see content created with the Tight 3bet node lock put in. As it reflects my game, and I'd love to learn the Solvers way of approaching my games :D Thank you Alvin! I really appreciate you, your channel and your content!. Keep up the good work!

[@Mr__Delivery]

Hey Alvin! Love your channel and always learn a lot from your videos. I just started using HM3, and while there's a lot of great tools to be mined for strategic insights, it's not always clear to me how to go about doing that. Would you be able to do a HM3 tutorial video in the future? Things like how to interpret a results graph, how to find and plug leaks through tracking software, things of that nature. Thanks a bunch!

[@AlvinTeachesPoker]

Sure! That's a good idea

[@TacoBully]

Nice video sir , can I do similar stuff w pio edge ? Like locking up player pool strategy for rfi and 4b, and ran my 3b strategy against that .

[@Richard-pv1vc]

Whoa bringing the fire Alvin!! I need to push outside my comfort zone and widen those 3 bet ranges. There is a counter exploit to this and Ive done it myself where I've seen people with very high 3bet stats where I've 4bet with a very wide range and they almost always fold as they assume I have aces or kings. Not many people will pick up on this counter exploit though in the near future. Great video, keep up the high quality content 🔥

[@AlvinTeachesPoker]

Haha totally! That's why I love anonymous games, I can just blast off and in review people surely think I'm the fish 🐠

[@srki22]

1. As Alvin mentioned these are anonymous games so you don't know that the btn 3bets a lot. 2. If it is not an anonymous game then there is a better approach than just 4betting wide as a bluff. It is to be slightly more tight in the CO. For example you can choose to fold all mixed hands and you will get EV. The btn will get less when they have a hand in their 3b range and also your 4bet percentage is automatically higher if you open less which is not that good for the hyper agro btn. I usually open less when there are several aggressive opponents behind, not just the btn.

[@SimplePoker]

Very nice video! :)

[@kemirgentv2kemirgentv287]

What is a realistic winrate expectation for gg poker? for regular $0.25 cash table and zoom tables? Since your nick appears there, I guess it must be impossible to make such high win-rates. am I right?

[@reznor1718]

Has your data shown that a high percentage of 3 barrels, raises on the river, or big bets on the river by villain are the nuts or near nutted hands betting for value?

[@kurtdewhurst4883]

Great vid, Is Simple GTO still a worthwhile Investment? I just started using the free GTO WIZARD preflop and wondering what's the best preflop GTO Solver for NL50-NL500 Ignition?

[@nathangeudens6653]

What a quality video! Showing us the way to improve our game by ourselves :D Thanks!

[@chetperrigo3531]

What program do you use to convert hand history into hm3? I tried to import the hand history directly from bovada but it only show hero data and not all the opponents.

[@rando9574]

what programs do u use to analyse mass data ?

[@voynich_script]

THIS VID IS A PURE GOLD :0 I THANK YOU VERY MUCH.

[@decentralizedlife1021]

How did you get the entire opponent data base stats as a whole.

[@GTOUranus]

Wicked videos as always, what would be your number one tip to get out of 2nl, feel so random some times, any good resources or can your stuff be applied to the more basic stuff?

[@AlvinTeachesPoker]

I think this is as basic as it gets and it definitely applies. Attack when they're weak and look like they want to give up, stay the fudge out of their way when they show strength, possibly to an absurd degree.

[@barkneker1047]

Hi again Alvin. I just wonder how preflop solver react to player call more vs 3bet?(in this senario %50 call - %15 4bet). Solver go for value heavy range? Can we exploit them with 3bet big with value heavy range?

[@daven655]

Hey Alvin loving your videos. I was watching a recent video from Peter Clarke and he mentioned we don't want to be doing much if any flatting to 3bet OOP. I was wondering have you came across this is any of your preflop studies, I have been playing a 4bet or fold strategy OOP in my high rake games and am wondering what you feel about this. Thanks champ.

[@AlvinTeachesPoker]

Yeah, I think that can be attractive and it's fine against larger 3bet sizings, but if you open x2.3 and get 3bet to 7bb I think having that having an oop flatting range is pretty necessary.

[@srki22]

Alvin, this is a very good example on how to exploit population tendencies. I have one question though. When you calculated optimal preflop range for btn 3bet, did you take into account that there are SB and BB behind you, or solver just assumes that it is heads up against CO?

[@AlvinTeachesPoker]

It was solved 4way, so it assumes sb and bb behind.

[@PółelFzBrygadyVrihedd]

Isn't possible to use HRC for those preflop exploitive calculations?

[@AlvinTeachesPoker]

hormone replacement therapy?

[@PółelFzBrygadyVrihedd]

@@AlvinTeachesPoker hmm.. maybe :D. But I am not sure. I thought about holdem resources calc this time.

[@barkneker1047]

Nice Video. I see you use %75 RFI BTN and %100 RFI SB. When you determine your call vs PF3B range you still defend %40-%50 of the time or fold exploitable beacuse of pool imbalance? (I can see your fold to 3B on BTN 55.1 is it fold to 3bet after raise?)

[@AlvinTeachesPoker]

No, those are artifacts of playing with fast fold / hh coding. I don't steal anywhere near that amount.

[@Sawstinker]

Hi Alvin, I've been trying to do this with my opponents but I can't seem to figure it out. I'm assuming you're using the external converter and not the one built into HM3? Kinda pissed now because it seems Bodog (canadian Ignition) clears out the folder that they are downloaded to periodically so I am unable to analyze 140k hands of opponent tendencies

[@blufferrathalaigh1413]

Greta vid as always, just one question Alvin, How did you select all opponents while choosing a profile. I too have HM3, but did not realise this feature existed.

[@AlvinTeachesPoker]

After I convert hands, my zone opponents are named after their position, so I just made an alias that included all their stats.

[@voynich_script]

@@AlvinTeachesPoker What type of converter are you using? Can I change opponents name by using below converter? www.acepokersolutions.com/ignition-poker-converter/ Or you are using other stuff/private built converter?

[@jackmac15]

Ive had issues with the hand grabber not saving alot of pots, are you using the default HM3 hand grabber app?

[@AlvinTeachesPoker]

No, just converting hands days after.

[@jackmac15]

@@AlvinTeachesPoker Thanks i didnt even realise u can see everyones cards when u download the hands. Also are you taking on any new students? ive been looking for a CFP or a coach.

[@jackmac15]

@@AlvinTeachesPoker I applied for the CFP on your website, i wanted to send you some additional stuff to boosts my chances of getting in. I have an excel sheet i want to show you and some questions if im on the right track.

[@EricSmyth4Christ]

Have you thought about beating up sports betting? It's been easy for me, lots of leaks in the lines, and there is no rake, since all losing lines are "no bets" for sharps

[@AlvinTeachesPoker]

I have toyed with daily fantasy, but I think I have way too many interests right now to try to devote to that. Really, this little side quest has been incredibly slow (I think i started like 4 months ago lol) because I have to make time to play regular poker.

[@EricSmyth4Christ]

@@AlvinTeachesPoker Nice!

[@xxChacaronXX]

Where do you get your sports betting information? Thanks!

[@EricSmyth4Christ]

@@xxChacaronXX My friend Chris and I share picks with each other. I give free picks sometimes to a guy named moose on snapchat too whom I barely know. He begged me for a few months after reading one of my comments. We (me and Chris) talk them through. It's %90 rationality and only %10 analytics. The house usually does fine on their initial number crunching (for a lot of things) Because the house uses hedging and analytics as a crutch, my friend and I exploit the site using rationality, since a lot of the lines are broken or can be out-thought I can give an example of a "broken line", there are like 10 of these though, and this is one of the weakest ones with the thinnest of edges (if there is even an edge at all) Score is 90 to 90 Knicks vs Suns 4th Quarter Suns over/under is 30.5 (-110) Total score over/under is 120.5 (-110) Knicks 4th quarter over/under is 26.5 (-110) Knicks Total game over/under is 116.5 (-110) Here we see that since all scores are -110 that the "Over 116.5 total" and "Over 120.5 total" lines and the "under" 4th quarter lines are the only viable bets The over for the game line is better because we can use a 114 to 114 overtime to get some extra minutes to reach that goal, where as a 4th quarter line of "under" is better to deny the possibility of an overtime loss The site doesn't factor in overtime at all is the point Odds of overtime should be around 1/12 or better, so it almost clears the rake completely on its own This is one of many examples I have where rationality changes an otherwise pretty logical/analytical line. The house makes money because people are stupid and bet with their hearts, and the house will hedge out their small losses from the few smart ones that also bet against their lines. The site also bans people who win too much. I had a guy in Vegas tell me he had 22 accounts banned on Bovada betting WNBA 2nd half unders and MLB Strikeouts unders. He was buying people's accounts... If you lose you get magical rakeback rewards, but if you win, you are not welcome there anymore. I got one account flat bet/max bet a few years ago, but the max bet went up 10x for everyone 5 months ago. Bovada must be running super hot.

[@drewdickinson6374]

@@EricSmyth4Christ What's your Snapchat? Haha. Any reason to beat Bovada, the better.

[@AT-jq2ve]

Why are you so certain that your redline has gone a bit down because of your bad play instead of just being variance? I mean it's possible that in that small sample size there just haven't been as many good opportunities for barrelling as before etc.?

[@AlvinTeachesPoker]

it's because I was focusing on playing a different style, and frankly, the moment I turn the gas back on you can see my non-SD improve in HOPEFULLY causal ways with no loss to SD

[@gui999]

Great video, I always tough that GTO and solvers should be used to exploit a pool at some extend. For example I've run some sims that showed me that calling a 3bet OOP (CO vs BU) at NL25 was just unprofitable because of the rake (the EV of most hands but 99 where loosing EV vs the cost of the call preflop) and that's vs a "GTO" ~12% BU 3bet range, which almost no one has at micros (most are more around 5-6% or less). So you should be playing a 4bet/fold strat, with overfolding as an exploit. I don't know how you've got 8 thumbs down.. I guess those are the one getting exploited!

[@AlvinTeachesPoker]

At higher levels, I think that's all people do, plug in and see where solvers press harder than they would. How else you going to reallllly put on the pain?

[@HitboxGravy]

Do you do your preflop sims on your home computer? I see you're using simple preflop! How much ram do you have?

[@AlvinTeachesPoker]

Yeah I do, 16gb but going to upgrade to 16 thread 32 gb soon!

[@AlvinTeachesPoker]

Also are you a hit box / fighting game user?

[@HitboxGravy]

@@AlvinTeachesPoker I am! I was the one behind them branching in to Smash Bros, I worked on the Smashbox.

[@AlvinTeachesPoker]

Oh fun. I used to play competitively in the mvc2 cvs2 smash melee Era of fighting games!

[@HitboxGravy]

@@AlvinTeachesPoker Hey man, I'm not far behind you! I played melee competitively but I never got into traditional fighters just because they weren't available to me as a child. I've got sets on youtube of me whooping ass though!

[@TheWildNegus]

So amazing content for free thank you

[@Gos1234567]

Are your students playing zoom as i find this very nitty and its hard to win decent sized pots,easy to take down pots with bluffs(those will be small pots) but your just not making enough from bluffs and value hands i feel.

[@AlvinTeachesPoker]

So you judge a games quality by the size of the pots, and not how much money you can win overall? =(

[@Gos1234567]

@@AlvinTeachesPoker bigger pots usually means worst players

[@AlvinTeachesPoker]

if you're complaining games are too nitty, then your approach is probably what needs improvement.

[@johnhunter6808]

Please tell me when you get out of 25NL zone pool thank you lol

[@AlvinTeachesPoker]

I play nosebleeds lol