Consequences of a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan | The Cipher Brief

[@danwelterweight4137]

China cannot invade itself. What is Taiwan's official name? Taiwan's official name is "Republic of China" . Read the Republic of China 's (Taiwan) own constitution. The Republic of China's (Taiwan) own constitution states that Taiwan is a part of China. Not only does Taiwan's own constitution state that Taiwan is a part of China it also calls for the Reunification with Mainland China. Plus under Taiwan's own constitution secessionism is illegal. Only an ignoramus is going to sit there and argue that the Republic of China is not a part of China. As a matter of fact up until the late 1980s if you called for Independence of Taiwan from China you would be arrested for sedition and treason in Taiwan. Taiwanese passports, birth certificates, Banks, official money, airlines, and all cabinet Ministrers have the word China in their names or the word China written on them. Even Taiwan's military is named after China. Taiwan's military is named Republic of China Armed forces. The government of Taiwan used to represent the whole of China in the UN security council up until 1972. Up until 1991 Taiwan was raising a military to invade Mainland China. As a matter Taiwan used to carry an insurgency into Mainland China from the jungles of Myanmar until the PLA and the Burmese military got together, defeated them and pushed them out of there. The Taiwanese also used to carry air strikes all over Mainland China as Shanghai to try to get a foothold in Mainland China. For decades they swore theat they would reunify Taiwan with Mainland China The up until the 1980s the waters between China and Taiwan used to be no go areas for Chinese sailors because the Taiwanese navy used to board Chinese ships force Chinese Sailors to go to Taiwan and pledge allegiance to the government in Taipei. For decades they claimed to be the legitimate government of the whole of China. There has never been a debate in whether Taiwan is a part of China or not. Both the government of Republic of China and the People's Republic of China claimed to be the legitimate governments of the whole of China and Taiwan. The debate was always on who is the legitimate government of the whole of China. Was it the government in the Republic of China thst only had the support of 23. 4 million Chinese governing from Taipei. Or was the government of the People's Republic of China which has the support of 1.4 Billion Chinese governing from Beijing. Some countries, only 9 now, recognize the Republic of China (Taiwan) as the legitimate government of China. Other countries including the United States and about 189 other countries recognized the People's Republic of China as the legitimate government of the whole of China. This has always been the debate. No one ever recognized Taiwan as an independent country. Not even Taiwan itself. Up until 1991 Taiwan was building up its armed forces to invade Mainland China. For decades before that they used to carry out raids and air strikes on Mainland China with the goal of getting a foothold on Mainland China and then eventually to retake whole Mainland China. They also used to carry out an insurgency into Mainland China from the jungles of Myanmar until the PLA and the Burmese military defeated them and run them out of there. The Republic of China was founded in Mainland China. The founder of the Republic of China in Taiwan greatest dream was the reunification of CHINA. Before he died his last wish was to have his body sent to the Mainland to be burried there near his ancestors. Mainland China does not have to invade Taiwan. The Republic of China and the People's Republic of China are both a part of China and belong to the Chinese people all 1.5 Billion of them and it is the overwhelming will of the Chinese people that they both should reunite. How that reunification will take place. It's up to them. But if anyone tries to break China apart it will be the biggest mistake they will have ever made in their entire history. It's not going to end up well for them or their people in their home country There is only a small minority of people in the Republic of China (Taiwan) who don't want to break away China. They are mainly of Japanese decent. A legacy left from Japanese colonialism. They are about 2.3 million of them If there are people in the Republic of China who don't want to be a part of China, they are free to pack up all their things and leave China. They can go to Japan and become Japanese if they want so they can live under American hegemony as American tributary vassal state like if that is what they want so much Taiwan is undefendable. Taiwan imports almost 60% of its food to feed its people from abroad. 27% of that food comes directly from the Mainland Taiwan imports almost 99% of its energy. Even the Uranium used to power their nuclear reactors comes from abroad. The PLA does not have to invade Taiwan. All they have to do is do a blockade of the Island of Taiwan All the PLA has to do is launch a blockade of Taiwan and in 2 to 3 weeks Taiwan will have a total energy blackout. All it's industries, factories, cities, homes, vehicles will run out of power and grind to a halt. Their economy will be completely destroyed. In 2 to 3 months maximum they will face famine and starvation. They don't have any natural resources or raw materials. If you think the US can break a PLA blockade of Taiwan remember this The US navy wasn't even able to break a Houthi blockade of Israel in the red sea for 11 months. As a result 80% of all the shipping that used to go to Israel's largest port has ceased. The only thing thst has saved Israel is that the Despicable Egyptian authorities have allowed Israel to use their 3 ports in the Mediterranean Sea which is out of reach of the Houthis. The Houthis don't even have a navy or an Air force. All they have used are old anti ship missiles and $10 000 to $20 000 drones. That alone has been able to chase away multi Billion dollar US warships armed with $1.4 million to $4 million missiles out to sea. As a result the US navy and an entire flotilla of its tributary vassal states couldn't break the Houthis blockade of Israel in the red sea for 11 months. Yet people in the United States still think the US navy could break a PLA blockade of Taiwan. China could literally block out the sun over Taiwan's ports, airports and beaches with drones. China can literally land artillery shells and missiles barrages anywhere into Taiwan fired from its coastal regions. The only way the US could defeat China in a war against Taiwan is by invading Mainland China and occupying the Mainland. Good luck with that one Moreover the Chinese have the ability and the weapons to strike deep and hard into the United States against all American centers industrial, economic, population centers and political centers power in as little as 17 to 18 minutes. China industrial capacity is the largest in the world. Chinas industrial capacity is larger than the next 9 countries combined. China manufacturers 200x more shipping tonnage a year than the United States. China manufactures 12x more steel than the United States. China graduates 7x more Stems than the United States. China's population is 4x larger than the United States. If China goes to war it will mobilize its entire industrial capacity into full scale production. They will out manufacture the United States in all sorts of weapons systems big and small into oblivion They will mobilize tens of millions and tens of millions of men into the PLA.. Plus China will have Russia's support in natural resources, raw materials, additional military industrial manufacturing capacity, energy, food. The United States does not have the industrial capacity to go head to head with China in the long term... It does not have the willing population to be mobilized for a a war of thst scale. The United States is $35 Trillion in debt. You people need to stop dreaming of fighting China over Taiwan. Your politicians and experts mouths are writting cheques your country and your people can't cash.

[@stevenconnell4222]

You've written quite an essay there. It's obvious that Taiwan's mere existence bothers you for some reason. Taiwan has to maintain the status quo. Any deviation will trigger a furious CCP reaction. Rather than pointing the US's problems which almost every man and his dog is aware of. Why not discuss China's internal problems since they are not covered by any official Chinese media outlet.

[@vortex2177]

Hello Chinese Intelligence "hacker." Don't get any ideas about feeling insulted and coming into my fucking Construct either, that hasn't worked out well for anyone...other than myself of course. Also please read my other comment lol, we at least agree on one fact.

[@MarkYeung1]

​@@stevenconnell4222That's because he's a propaganda mouthpiece for the CCP.

[@joselitogonzales1063]

West Philippine Sea pls, not south china sea.😊

[@TJMotionPictures]

Not yet. We are still on Netanyahu and Ukraine.

[@catinbootsnow4267]

The whole world has seen through their naked eyes that how the US have been struggling in the military meddling missions in Korea Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan. Overconfidence and overstretching will only bring the country into laughable ignorance and shameful backfire.

[@craigrik2699]

China will come to the aid of Taiwan, helping the people repel raiders. China will blockade Taiwan and ... the Taiwanese people will rise against its government and welcome their brother mainlanders aboard. But this is the worse case scenario, unless the US helps Taiwan have their Ukraine moment, which will result in the same fashion as what is happening to Ukraine now

[@DavidCooper-bn6te]

Bot or troll. Find someplace else to hang out.

[@thiamhuatang1070]

How does a country invade its own province?

[@raymondjackson5499]

Taiwan is a part and province of China China has the sole absolute right to defend protect and exercise its sovereignty over Taiwan The USA has absolute no right to interfere in the internal affairs of China

[@fvalemus5377]

One cannot invade oneself. Can the U.S. invade Hawaii?

[@walentystankiewicz8486]

Why did China have to invade its own territory? Very confusing subject.

[@vietnguyen4312]

Whether Taiwan is legally recognized as a state does not automatically hand sovereignty of the island to the PRC. There are no internationally recognised treaties, policies or UN resolutions that state that Taiwan is part of China. Also, historically, China has had minimal control over the island of Taiwan, I will explain further below. Now some facts about Taiwan: 1: The island now known as Taiwan was inhabited and ruled by the aborigines for approximately 30,000 years. 2: When the Dutch arrived in 1626 most of the population of Formosa were the Yuanzhumin or Gaoshan people (who have no DNA link back to China) 3: The Qing had minimal control of Taiwan in fact the Qing only managed to rule less than 20% of the island while the aborigines ruled and controlled over 80% of the island. The Qing created a border in 1750 with rocks which was called the Tu Niu Red Line. The Japanese were the first country to colonise Formosa and create roads and infrastructure.. 4: Due to the lack of control, the Qing did not declare Formosa a Province of the Qing until 1895 as the Japanese was encroaching on the island. The island was handed to Japan soon after. 5: Over the past 400 years the island has been partially ruled by 5 different governments but it was only the Japanese and ROC who had full control of the entire island. 6: Historically the CCP recognized Formosan independence. In 1936, when the Republic of China (ROC) was China’s government and Taiwan (Formosa) was a Japanese colony, Chairman Mao Zedong offered support to Korea and Formosa if their peoples wished to gain independence from Japan. Mao’s internationalist position suggested that 1) both Korea and Formosa have a right to independence, and 2) this is based on the right to self-determination. Mao did not claim that Taiwan has been an integral part of China. (look up Edgar Snow interview)) 7: The Cairo Declaration 1943 discussed the possibility of handing the island of Taiwan to the ROC. This discussion required a treaty to become official and was never implemented. 8: The PRC constitution was formed in 1949 yet Taiwan was not added to it until 1978. 9: The ROC were granted a caretaker role of Formosa after WW2 but when the ROC escaped to the island it still legally belonged to Japan. 10: When Japan relinquished its sovereignty of Taiwan with The Treaty of San Francisco after the ROC invaded the Japanese island, China was not even invited. The treaty was signed by 49 nations but both the ROC and CCP were NOT present. 11: The One China Policy, Un Resolution 2758 or the Treaty of San Francisco do not declare that Taiwan is a province of China. There are no internationally recognized treaties, policies or UN resolutions that state that Taiwan is part of China. The only legal way that Taiwan can amalgamate with China is if they agree to a treaty ceding their sovereignty. Whether Taiwan is considered a country or not does not automatically grant China with sovereignty of the region.

[@oceanbreeze89]

@@vietnguyen4312very well outlined!!! Taiwan’s status is still undetermined!

[@astral6060]

It is the so-called reunification of the nation. Check US civil war, where the southern states tried to secede from the union, and the norther states "invade" to save the country from the separatists.

[@walentystankiewicz8486]

@@vietnguyen4312 Officially Taiwan is one of China’s provinces this is what the USA and rest of the world claim and respect. This situation will never change , there was time that Manhattan belonged to Dutch and Crimea to Ukraine for a while but now this areas belong to soundly owners .

[@catinbootsnow4267]

​@@vietnguyen4312 Some interesting facts of Taiwan many people don't know ❤️: Its Constitution: "Constitution of the Republic of China". Its flagship air flight company: "China Airlines". Its biggest oil company: "China Petrol". Its biggest steel company: "China Steel". Its postal Service: "China Post". Its biggest telecom provider: "China Telecommunications". Its flagship medicine university: "China Medical University".

[@tonymoy5291]

NATO push eastward and you blame Russia for fighting back?

[@DavidCooper-bn6te]

Troll

[@jacksmith-mu3ee]

​@@DavidCooper-bn6te taiwan is part of China

[@Antiwumao]

Pottinger is one of the last sane republicans. I wish republicans were more like Pottinger, Mike Gallagher and maybe Pompeo

[@Justin-Potato]

So called self-proclaimed China expert.....lol

[@veeshkwi9684]

How much is Ukraine left? What is your delight?

[@catinbootsnow4267]

Consequences of North Vietnam to take South Vietnam? Answer: Not much. After the US withdrawal from the Vietnam War in the 1970's.

[@raymondjackson5499]

I definitely don’t agree with what you’re saying

[@Felipe-n3j]

Warmonger….

[@ArttedTV]

Matt’s smooth.

[@pikachus5m166]

Since Pottinger left China, what was his true role there? Whilst in China, why did he enlist in the military in his mid 30s after his stint as a "journalist"? What role did his virologist wife have? Was his favorite short story Jack Londons "Unparalleled Invasion"? What role did he play in the bioweapon attack on Wuhan?

[@davidmanning1724]

If you think American boys are going to die over Tawain your crazy

[@isaacharry6541]

You talk too much rubbish sir!

[@brianlee6260]

Huh, Matt Pottinger, a charlatan.

[@userxyz783]

Taiwan is the silicon farmland of the world. It would be catastrophic for the world economy and global stability to have the government of Taiwan collapse due to aggression by the Communist part of the People's Republic of China's aggression through it's primary armed militia wing namely the People's liberation army. Make no mistake it would signal the resurgence of world communism especially since communist Chinese state has already spread it's tentacles through much of southeast asia and even in the Indian ocean in places like Sri Lanka where a openly communist person was elected to the highest political office. Where is the US of yesteryears ? Where are the Raegans, the Lyndon Johnsons, even the Nixon, much less the JFK who were strong and decisive in their own way to combat the global threat of totalitarian ideologies like communism that remain strong even today and in a much stronger and larger state than the USSR ever was.

[@dvu0522]

maybe china can have the island but the technology will not fall on their hand.

[@vietnguyen4312]

Whether Taiwan is legally recognized as a state does not automatically hand sovereignty of the island to the PRC. There are no internationally recognised treaties, policies or UN resolutions that state that Taiwan is part of China. Also, historically, China has had minimal control over the island of Taiwan, I will explain further below. Now some facts about Taiwan: 1: The island now known as Taiwan was inhabited and ruled by the aborigines for approximately 30,000 years. 2: When the Dutch arrived in 1626 most of the population of Formosa were the Yuanzhumin or Gaoshan people (who have no DNA link back to China) 3: The Qing had minimal control of Taiwan in fact the Qing only managed to rule less than 20% of the island while the aborigines ruled and controlled over 80% of the island. The Qing created a border in 1750 with rocks which was called the Tu Niu Red Line. The Japanese were the first country to colonise Formosa and create roads and infrastructure.. 4: Due to the lack of control, the Qing did not declare Formosa a Province of the Qing until 1895 as the Japanese was encroaching on the island. The island was handed to Japan soon after. 5: Over the past 400 years the island has been partially ruled by 5 different governments but it was only the Japanese and ROC who had full control of the entire island. 6: Historically the CCP recognized Formosan independence. In 1936, when the Republic of China (ROC) was China’s government and Taiwan (Formosa) was a Japanese colony, Chairman Mao Zedong offered support to Korea and Formosa if their peoples wished to gain independence from Japan. Mao’s internationalist position suggested that 1) both Korea and Formosa have a right to independence, and 2) this is based on the right to self-determination. Mao did not claim that Taiwan has been an integral part of China. (look up Edgar Snow interview)) 7: The Cairo Declaration 1943 discussed the possibility of handing the island of Taiwan to the ROC. This discussion required a treaty to become official and was never implemented. 8: The PRC constitution was formed in 1949 yet Taiwan was not added to it until 1978. 9: The ROC were granted a caretaker role of Formosa after WW2 but when the ROC escaped to the island it still legally belonged to Japan. 10: When Japan relinquished its sovereignty of Taiwan with The Treaty of San Francisco after the ROC invaded the Japanese island, China was not even invited. The treaty was signed by 49 nations but both the ROC and CCP were NOT present. 11: The One China Policy, Un Resolution 2758 or the Treaty of San Francisco do not declare that Taiwan is a province of China. There are no internationally recognized treaties, policies or UN resolutions that state that Taiwan is part of China. The only legal way that Taiwan can amalgamate with China is if they agree to a treaty ceding their sovereignty. Whether Taiwan is considered a country or not does not automatically grant China with sovereignty of the region.

[@DohuuVi]

Regarding a treaty that Taiwan can cede the sovereignty, I think this is what China is aiming for as the last resort. By blockading the island and imposing a no-fly zone, the CCP can persuade the Taiwanese elites to do exactly that.

[@vietnguyen4312]

@@DohuuVi Agree

[@charliegoo1314]

Nicely put. By any standard Taiwan shall be recognized by the international society as one independent country, already de facto, now need the majority of the free world to set up the formal relationship with

[@raymondcyq]

go and Read US-China diplomatic documents! Stupid

[@HAKULAMATATA8]

Potsdam Declaration, PRC constitution, ROC constitution, UN spokesperson, Shanghai Communique and PLA Rocket Force disagree with you.

[@kokchulai2513]

He's got nightmares lol fake

[@robertprawendowski2850]

⭐️

[@fredtan1506]

This guy is a mow run. He doesn't read.

[@MichaelLowry67]

30 minutes of non stop lies and idiocy.