Could Chinese military really invade Taiwan if US was neutral? Part 1/2

This is the first video in a two part series, pitting People's Republic of China versus much smaller Republic of China. It analyzes the numbers and capabilities on both sides, as well the strategic implications stemming from the geography of the area. Air and naval war are discussed, with the invasion of the island of Taiwan left for the second video.
Part 2 is available here: • Could Chinese military...
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[@Binkov]

Join us in War Thunder for free using this link and get a premium tank or aircraft and three days of premium time as a bonus: v2.xyz/WarThunderWithBinkov

[@pyeitme508]

Nice, well I am a Hong Kong citizen, still I wish no wars for China and Taiwan.

[@ayushkumar-bg1xf]

Do India ,China ,Russia vs USA UK and France .

[@lahavmorris9919]

Please make a episode with the british empire vs the Russian back at the 1800s

[@Prince-wn8et]

Make video on Afghanistan vs Pakistan

[@wtuanmu]

HAHAHA, what do you mean a year? Chinese retired general said that can occupy Taiwan in 100 hours!

[@kemsprite520]

Video banned in China*

[@antoniogramsci8217]

Rubbish

[@mingQWERTY]

*cough* *cough* VPN

[@Mr-br4pj]

*KZbin BANNED IN IRAN* *VPN*

[@trollmastermike52845]

@@antoniogramsci8217 china has a hardon for banning shit they dont like

[@Admiral_Jezza]

I mean it shows China being able to easily remove the Taiwanese navy and airforce so if the whole site wasn't already banned, then there's a good chance this video wouldn't be banned either. Unlike Battlefield 4 for example where China itself gets destroyed by civil unrest.

[@radiumdude]

The only real war seems in the comment section here 😂

[@lightupskechers488]

Capitán Salazar more people died in the comment section war than in ww2

[@liftingweights]

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[@columc]

Anand Powerlifting screw you

[@giovanni848]

AwesomeColum screw China

[@liftingweights]

Communist Party China's Video Proof 😂😂😂Communist Party of China eradicates China Virus in China, and Western Imperialist Tourists take it back ! kzbin.info/www/bejne/oYvKq6x4mpidjKM

[@scottmason2094]

Never underestimate a man fighting for his home

[@cocotaveras8975]

Agreed, just look at the tenacious Soviets or resilient Vietnamese as historical examples.

[@jimboonie9885]

@@cocotaveras8975 Yes

[@amireyvazi9251]

Indeed. Same thing can be said for all nations

[@Gautam_p]

Yes

[@dendrobatus814]

except he couldnt afford one

[@NeMayful]

This should be updated again now, since it might really happen just soon

[@ee-pd6oq]

especially now as well

[@tomkarlen3776]

Why not circle and blockage the island?theyll give up eventually

[@Go-ah-oold]

No, it will not. To costly.

[@mrPowexistent]

@Tom Karen shitty logistics

[@amewz5701]

now

[@craigkdillon]

By "neutral", I presume you mean "non-belligerent". The US would still trade with Taiwan and sell it weapons and munitions. Also, the US would supply Taiwan satellite intelligence, as we did to UK in the Falklands conflict, where we were also "neutral". The word "neutral" is ambiguous. The US can be "neutral", yet give significant aid & support, which I presume we would do.

[@hgfgadhgfgad7196]

Actually, even america cannot win a war with china if it happens so close to mainland china (

[@simpleandawesomeanime3220]

@@hgfgadhgfgad7196 As much as I hate to admit that is true but that wouldn't come without a cost and if China does attack the US then they can do article 5 in NATO stopping all trade with China severally crippling China's economy which also cripples the worlds economy and not only that but Japan and SK might even join putting major pressure on China's military. So basically both sides are screwed militarily and economically.

[@TM-fz9ec]

Same as russia, right??

[@dylian_]

the simulation explains no use of trade or aid to taiwan, even if it would. "Neutral" meaning no interference.

[@craigkdillon]

@@dylian_ Is trade interference? Is selling arms interference? Is giving satellite intelligence interference?? Like we gave UK satellite info in the Falklands War, but we didn't "interfere".

[@LoudRevised]

I like how Binkov at the end of each video he says Binkov talks about hypothetical war but true peace is needed to keep us together. It reminds us war has a cost

[@RedRider1600]

No war has a cost too.

[@carlwei7559]

I prefer dirty words on the Internet rather than blood in the war.

[@nHautamaki]

As the old chestnut goes, 'Those who want peace are always prepared for war.'

[@arrowup8711]

@@carlwei7559 yeah

[@user-hl4hl9li6o]

dumb people are everywhere, anyway

[@brucetucker4847]

We'll see what happens in part 2, but I think you're vastly underestimating the difficulty of mounting an amphibious invasion over open water against serious opposition. The US and Britain (along with other Allies) did this in WW2 but it wasn't enough to gain bare superiority, it required absolute air and naval supremacy to make it possible - and even then operations like D-Day were so touch-and-go that on June 6 Eisenhower carried in his pocket a prepared statement to give to the press in case the invasion failed and the Allied troops were slaughtered. Taiwan wouldn't have to win the air and naval war, all it would have to do is have enough forces survive to make the crossing suicidal for slow, vulnerable transports. Just one or two surviving subs could easily sink a dozen transports carrying tens of thousands of men or vital equipment. And the fighting on the beaches would be hideous for the PRC. Read up on the horrible cost extracted by very outnumbered garrisons on Tarawa, Peleliu, and Iwo Jima against invasions supported by hundreds of ships and thousands of planes without a single enemy ship or plane in sight. Of course China won't run out of soldiers or tanks, but they might run out of ships to deliver them and keep them supplied for a grueling ground campaign against a highly skilled and motivated enemy fighting to defend his own country. And unlike the Allies in 1944-45, the PRC has no experience conducting amphibious invasions like this.

[@nwj03a]

Taiwan loses every time, they just do, but China would get fucked up. The USA and nato are not letting that happen and China can’t stop us. We’d destroy China in no time flat. You don’t fuck with democratic countries. The USA has never been ok with that and we never will be. We will come, it will hurt, and we will kill you. Nobody will have fun. I hate war, it’s gross, but we win every time. Taiwan is an ally. If Taiwan wanted to lose, they still win

[@sabin97]

i think you might be grossly underestimating the military of germany in ww2. it was THE world's superpower. it took basically the whole world united to stop them. taiwan is just a rebel province of china. it's like usa fighting against new york city. china has a modern military. including submarine hunting helicopters, advanced aircraft, carriers, missiles, etc.... and it has everything in huge quantities. twaiwan's air defenses would be taken out first, then special forces would be dropped from helicopters to take care of coastal defenses while submarine hunters do their thing, and then a massive invasion, with constant air support through air supremacy.

[@advisorynotice]

@@sabin97 Germany had Romania, Hungary, Bulgaria, Japan, Italy, and Vichy France but couldn't defeat Britain alone, nor could it defeat the Soviet Union, this is way before D-Day.

[@sabin97]

@@advisorynotice you might wanna brush up on history. italy was 100% useless in ww2. japan was not allied with germany. they had a non-aggression pact. romania hungary and bulgaria didnt help against england. also england was NEVER alone usa was ALWAYS backing them. germany alone was graping(without the first g, but google gets triggered if you spell it correctly) england. the drunken piece of sht churchill had to bend over and let usa take them from behind and destroy their future in order for usa to choose to intervene militarily.....because otherwise germany(on their own) would have conquered england. and yes. operation red beard was doomed to failure. the soviets have the most reliable ally one could ever hope for: the brutal russian winter.

[@advisorynotice]

@@sabin97 you're false on many occasions. Italy, Romania and Hungary all provided important resources for Germany. Romania and Hungary would send men to fight in Barbarossa. The U.K was supported financially by the U.S, similar to how Germant was financially supported by Romania and Hungary and Japan as well and the USSR, the U.S.S.R fueled the German War effort. America didn't intervene militarily in Europe until late 1942. You're also forgetting that Sweden fueled Germany's war effort by the Iron ore industry which was very important, so much so a race towards Norway was developed. Italy was useless but that wasn't my point, resources and intel Italy provided were crucial. French high command being in shambles caused disaster and Pétain surrendered to not turn France into another Poland, if resistance continued Germany would take months to fully control France. May I tell you during the Battle of Stonne One French tank destroyed 200 German tanks alone. Anyways, you also state that the winter was U.S.S.R's greatest ally but that's also wrong, the winter did have some effect but generally speaking the Red Army did most of the work, German intelligence was very wrong about the size of the USSR military thinking they only had 170 divisions, but in reality they managed to raise 850 divisions during the invasion, the Ukranian massacre led to massive civilian resistance, and industries were thrown into Kazakhstan far behind what Germany could ever achieve, it is also general knowledge that Germany sucked at logistics and that would show a lot during their invasion of USSR, by the end of 1941, most German units weren't even capable of offensive operations, this is before the winter set it fully, the Siberian divisions won't be deployed until mid 1942, Yugoslavian resistance already was fucking up the German army and Soviet tanks were superior while the Kriegsmarine got dwarfed by the British Navy, the greatest German ship, the Bismarck, sailed for one day before getting spotted and wrecked. The battle of Crete showed great german incompetence and incapacitated their paratrooping capabilites. The north African compaign exhausted their resources further while they couldn't take one single town, Tobruk. May I also add that rhe U.S lend lease would be accepted far after the RAF was sure in defeating the Luffewaffe and alr had produced enough aircraft to counter the Blitz. So yeah you should do some revision.

[@paulpowell4871]

Always fun to listen to. Well investigated and thought out

[@MemestiffGaming]

All these armchair generals in the comments

[@EvansdiAl]

The puppet general is the king of all armchair generals.

[@user-uu4pk5zp4j]

Keyboard warriors? Yes

[@user-uu4pk5zp4j]

Freedom of speech, fuck yes

[@movimentopopularnacionalis3007]

The fake communist china, has no chance with the real China "Glória ao CHEGA e ao grande líder André Ventura"

[@user-uu4pk5zp4j]

@@movimentopopularnacionalis3007 There are basically no Chinese on youtube

[@thomasjust2663]

China can attack Taiwan and win, without question, the issue is the price it will pay in its economy, standing in the world and casualties

[@peiranzhang4283]

Casualities? Why? You think there will be a real ground assault? Surround the island with ships, napalm their farms, soon they will start exchanging their island for some rice.

[@moorebleakney4369]

@@peiranzhang4283 hahahaha 😂😂😂😂😂

[@mikeetyson9000]

@@peiranzhang4283 nah in real life the us would not directly fight the chineese, but they would just sail a carrier battlegroup straight through whatever bloackade the chineese would set up and open up supplies to taiwan.

[@peiranzhang4283]

@@mikeetyson9000 I am saying that the Chinese military won't attempt a ground assault very early on, Chinese air forces and navy will just open up on any and all supply caches, and farms would be targeted a lot. Eventually the defenders on Taiwan will starve and surrender. And yeah, I think that is what US will do, try to break the blockade and send in food and supplies. And direct confrontation would be too costly.

[@mikeetyson9000]

@@peiranzhang4283 well the defenders wouldnt starve, they would lose homes and fields, the us would make sure they would stay in the fight, and if china were to attack the US during a humanitarian effort, the us would invoke article 5 crushing the chineese economy and forcing a chineese surrender.

[@davidsevern2669]

Would you ever think about doing an updated version of this? With a more modernized Chinese military and new Taiwanese defense systems bought from the US.

[@peterl.104]

This is scary. I hope it never happens in real life.

[@EricToTheScionti]

Just wait

[@looinrims]

If it does the US wouldn’t be happy and considering it’s constant naval presence the Chinese would do a preemptive strike on their assets anyway considering how fast the US would side with Taiwan World war 3? Maybe, maybe not, not entirely clear if other nations outside the local zone would be involved or involve themselves...the largest/most spectacular naval war in human history? Most certainly, a much greater naval war than that of the pacific theater in world war 2, the current holder of that very fun distinction

[@be4unvme]

@@looinrims ww3 for taiwan is not worth it for the US, especially how the US is lacking interest in helping or to do anything unless it's compensated. My guess would be the Taiwanese will beg Japan for help and thus Japan will ask us to sit down and talk. Unfortunately I really don't think the US is interested in helping u less we get a piece of the pie but we will only keep the peace not engage in any fighting what so ever.

[@jb894]

It will.

[@kinoirvoidjustice]

@@be4unvme it's like one of the center of Asia, and it has coasts in every side, plus, taiwan is important to the world economy as some of their stuff beat that of America, if china took It, iPhones wouldn't be advanced as now

[@abdallatifalafandi2522]

PRC: U me ROC: No U me

[@Trooper-tr6zi]

Thank God someone here knows

[@CallsignYukiMizuki]

Broke: PRC Woke: ROC

[@etipsbellum771]

@@user-xy1co3mv2b 爆氣仔 笑死

[@jugululu646]

@@etipsbellum771 走到哪都可以看到這種低O兒欸

[@chandick1620]

@@jugululu646 畢竟是女支生的 水準就是不同凡響

[@Andrew-fe7zi]

Realistically China has an 8 hour window to finish the invasion. Most Taiwanese war games last 8 hours cause that's the time for the air Force to arrive from the US.

[@MillenniumEarl014]

Yep. Taiwan needs to stall china as long as they can because the allies will surely wreck China.

[@ddaazahh8064]

No, realistically, China can't invade Taiwan, because even if they do manage to invade Taiwan that quickly, the other nations would send an ultimatum to either voluntarily or involuntarily withdraw.

[@azharkamarudin6611]

America is waiting for china to gave them reason to invade lol.

[@joshual.7082]

@@MillenniumEarl014, not if Russia joins in.

[@aceking1221]

The US has been prepping this senario as if they're daring China to do it.

[@user-dt5nb5sh9v]

A serious question is can Chinese army fight? I doubt it according to my understanding.

[@theCornerOfChina]

在拥有先进美制武器的台军面前不堪一击

[@chengchaojin8419]

@@theCornerOfChina 台湾南波湾，毕竟笔尖岛才是实质世界第二，美国爸爸不来也是吊打大陆

[@liriani]

against their own citizens? YES

[@user-em5su8jk8c]

@@chengchaojin8419 不是诈骗岛吗

[@user-em5su8jk8c]

划江而治，划海峡而治，下一步是不是要划美国而治了?

[@jonc6157]

Great vids as usual.

[@lahavmorris9919]

Put the british empire vs the Russian empire in 1800s

[@yashvardhanthakur1968]

India was the sultans strength or britishrrt

[@taoliu3949]

Look up Crimean war

[@TheKeithvidz]

Creative.

[@lahavmorris9919]

@@taoliu3949 yes but .A. with no allies and .B. the hole empire (both sides did not fight outside of Europe).

[@taoliu3949]

@@lahavmorris9919 There's no point to. Binkov has tons of simulation that takes place outside both states' core territories. There's no point on simulating Britain invading Russia if it's obvious it won't work and vice versa. That said, the war was not contained to just Europe, it was also fought in the Caucasus and the Pacific. The main battles were primarily in Crimea because that's where the major powers were closest to.

[@km5405]

the question is more how much of a fight Taiwan could put up ... i.e. how much damage can they cause before they are forced to surrender.

[@t.k.326]

Kevin Miedema China would steamroll Taiwan tbh. Unless other countries join forces.

[@0wninguplz]

lol taiwan is a sitting duck Chinas defense systems wont allow taiwan to do any damage. all china does is one nuke and they must surrender

[@danesovic7585]

@@0wninguplz That's why we should arm Taiwan with nuclear weapons too. Nobody dares to touch North Korea.

[@ghostfacegrillah7891]

Applechips they would, if the US let a democratic (albeit unofficial) ally like that go down our promises to protect our allies would be null and void, basically everyone in the region would lose faith in us and be forced to capitulate to Chinese desires

[@ghostfacegrillah7891]

Danesovic They will eventually, given a game of probabilities if you look on into the next several decades if they don’t collapse inward on their own they’ll likely lash out to acquire food, especially if China loses interest in them at some point.

[@MisteriosGloriosos922]

amazing video!

[@martinford1670]

I'm sure the plan is to last long enough till Japan and US come to its aid, but a lot would depend on it having nuclear missiles to not be attacked in the first place.

[@looinrims]

China seems more than willing to pick a fight with the US, the nukes aren’t really going to stop it from wanting Taiwan, if they think they can get it away with it Crimea style

[@wdwuccnxcnh7022]

South Korea has also shown interest in protecting Taiwan

[@user-kr9zn7jh3q]

@@wdwuccnxcnh7022 South Korea is not qualified......

[@wdwuccnxcnh7022]

@@user-kr9zn7jh3q South Korea actually has mandatory conscription for all men, they spend 2.4 percent of their gdp on defence. They’re certainly not as powerful as Japan but they’d have a rather large impact.

[@SeoWoojin55]

@@user-kr9zn7jh3q South Korea is highly qualified. Stop embarrassing your self over here by being a troll. Your name says it all why you say things like that. South Korea has the 6th most powerful military, it has the 3rd largess military, has a more advanced tank fleet, more advanced air force, a more advanced missile defense system, and has even more advanced amphibious landing capabilities and cruise missile technology than the Chinese. China would fight a three front war if South Korea, Japan, and the US support Taiwan. Korean soldiers are also way more competent and highly trained than Chinese soldiers.

[@stormeeds8119]

Respect for announcing paid promotion - interesting video concepts + transparency = subbed in under 30 seconds.

[@TheNecropolis20]

its the year 2021 now - we are still living in the pre China-Taiwan war days

[@jackzhi3172]

It's mainland China v.s. Taiwan. Plus this will be considered as a civil war, since 'officially' the war between PRC and ROC hasn't stopped since 1940s.

[@otoro65041]

Rongxiang Zhi Officially, you meant by “PRC’s” official definition. You should type these key words in Google search instead of Baidu: ”Chinese Civil War”, and see where it goes(at least in the rest of the world considers it ended in 1949)

[@nanyidong7233]

@@otoro65041 Yeah, dude. That's how people end wars, by "considering".

[@otoro65041]

@@nanyidong7233 I use the word consider because the rest of the word put 1949 as the end of war in their history book, whereas there's one specific country in the world still considers it civil war. So yeah if China considers it a civil war, then why not, the rest of human species considers it ended.

[@nanyidong7233]

@@otoro65041 Well, if you really want to stop a war by "considering", at least involve the two parties in the conflict into the "consideration". And you know what? When two parties in a war "consider" peace, the sign something called a PEACE TREATY.

[@llloydsun8670]

@@otoro65041 yes, "considering" is a good word, just like u consider Taiwan is a country, even though most the countries don't think so. So keep on considering, Taiwan is just living on considering!

[@bowlampar]

It depend on how enthusiastic and committed Taiwan alliances reacted to China military provocation and diplomatic isolation.

[@kevingutierrez9273]

Or sacrifice Taiwan to avoid WW3.

[@bowlampar]

@@kevingutierrez9273 Sacrifice Taiwan to abandon freedom, democracy and human rights.🥱🥱

[@cousinjuno]

Very interesting indeed and well thought out. I pretty much agree with the analysis with the wildcard being loyalty of the Chinese troops which I don’t know a whole lot about. How would they feel killing fellow Chinese or do they look at the people of Taiwan with disdain?Of course they may simply follow orders To stay alive themselves?

[@halfmetalalchemist5633]

It's not chinese killing chinese rather communists killing chinese

[@Zretgul_timerunner]

Hope binkov takes the nature in mind considering the shipping lanes are the most violitile in the word

[@Bueryule]

Do the US vs California

[@jutea9858]

Maybe Hawaii？

[@fatdictator5314]

Texas is better, and I don't think fed will win.

[@tristiandavis6852]

Vincent Law Texas would kick Cali’s butt lol we have all the military bases

[@mrichar9]

TOMAHAWK LACM vs The Dildo Division and Bong Brigade.

[@bcthegamer3039]

How about US vs Alaska

[@edmonddantes6821]

Dear Komissar Binkov! We need an update on this.)) The topic is getting hotter and hotter

[@MrTheGuitarNerd]

I don't want to be too critical, but I don't like how these are always "But if x or y stayed neutral". I'd like to see what you think would/could happen if the PRC went into Taiwan if it had to deal with the U.S. too and all that. And other potential allies were involved. I guess I'm basically just asking for you to do a piece on full on ww3 at that point, though.

[@samuelren3405]

China's plan for invading Taiwan is to take control within 48hours, like a blitz. If China was successful in doing that, it would give US and allies not enough time to react. By the time US troops would reach Taiwan, china would already have annexed it. This is all based on the assumption that China can take control within 48 hours tho.

[@xasha1989]

@@samuelren3405 hahaha, very funny though!

[@NathanDrake0410]

@@samuelren3405 It would take at least 3 weeks for the Congress to declare war so the US Navy can be authorized. US President can authorize the Marine Corps immediately, but we all know that's suicidal

[@samuelren3405]

@@NathanDrake0410 which means, if China can take over Taiwan in a few weeks, the US can't do shit about it?

[@NathanDrake0410]

@@samuelren3405 kzbin.info/www/bejne/p5DKo2aaqaeUn8U Don't listen to me, listen to Lee Kuan Yew. Yes, US can do some "shit". But what's the point, how many thousand of US soldiers do you plan to die for an island which is not US's core interest

[@connor971]

Do can mexico invade all of central america in a year

[@lahavmorris9919]

They wont win since brazil alone could beet mexico.

[@walesdoesntsuck6635]

@@lahavmorris9919 good thing Brazil isn't in central america

[@hussainpainter52]

@@lahavmorris9919 Central America not South America

[@hussainpainter52]

Probably, if Uncle Sam doesn't have a problem with that

[@lahavmorris9919]

Oh. I didn't read it correctly.

[@eye4991]

The Taiwanese straights are a very difficult expanse of water with a narrow invasion window for the Chicoms. A miscalculation in weather would spell disaster for the CCP/PLA.

[@seamusfinnegan1164]

Something to keep in mind is use of open roadways as a air liftoff and landing point

[@benjaminv6039]

Feel like we need an update on this video - seeing as they have entered a new stage and China has declared its intention of reunification.

[@hmoobmeeka]

China doesn't have any amphibious landing experience. They tried and failed 3 times to capture kinmen island which is smaller and closer to the mainland

[@somebruh546]

Maybe. But they are extreamly good at ballistic missile.

[@ws-jw1tv]

071 075

[@mingmingliu8976]

air vs air，navy vs navy，troops vs troops？

[@johnh8615]

We going to know real soon. This is hot on the horizon. Pick a side everyone. I’m on the side of free choices.

[@AeromatterWorkshop]

Until now this was "tinfoil hat" territory, seems eerily possible today

[@dreysantillan]

Glory! Victory! And freedom to the Taiwanese people! Soon China will be West Taiwan!

[@armorvestrus4119]

China will fall hard over this Virus they sent out into the world. Their loses will be extreme and still not gain a victory.

[@F0XX7]

US better support free China.

[@axelscharf2415]

I do not underestimate the taiwanese . Invading an island is as tough as it gets . At the end the outcome will depend on what the Americans will do. Is the us willing to lose some carriers and thousands of us sailor for Taiwan ?

[@caesarinchina]

Not counting in PLA Rocket force is just not serious. Everything else makes no sense.

[@liftingweights]

PLA rocket force had 70 years 😂😂😂😂 🇹🇼🇹🇼🇹🇼🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇯🇵🇯🇵🇯🇵🇯🇵🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺WHO & China Virus Fallout ! Japan's Taiwan support does not give a FART for China & its propaganda👍👍👍 kzbin.info/www/bejne/eJm2ZXilh9p2bJY&app=desktop

[@wuqinghui8199]

Anand Powerlifting Grammar? Also your emojis make you look like a bot

[@appa609]

Anand Powerlifting Well. It makes you look 12.

[@looinrims]

Well this comment is as thin as an anorexic model

[@AmadoDom]

do russia vs all the ex-soviet coutnries combined at the same time

[@lahavmorris9919]

now that would be interesting.

[@european-one]

It would be interesting since Russia would have to cut off it's oil suppies to most of Europe. The pipes go through Eastern Europe and they wouldn't want to give free oil to the enemy combatants. The war would need to be over relatively quickly to avoid their economy being crippled.

[@boltmix7294]

@@european-one Not really, the Russian economy would be cripeled, but all of Eastern European economys would be completly destroyed

[@european-one]

@@boltmix7294 I treated that as a given. I don't expect Eastern Europe to fare well at all alone. My point was simply the Russia couldn't sustain this for long, it would become a phyric victory if they allowed it to become drawn out. Even worse if the pipeline is destroyed and now no country wants to take a new one

[@mariobustamante4409]

This is a great idea!

[@domnikoli]

m60s being lightly armored is absolutely incorrect, they have some of the thickest CONVENTIONAL armor of any tank. The problem is that it doesn't have the more effective REACTIVE armor types of post 90s era tanks. also I dont know why they ever stopped negotiations for abrams, or if it did fail why they didn't default to leopard acquirement instead.

[@artistjoh]

Taiwan is fortunate that both the US and Australia are very likely to come to assist. Japan may get involved as well. There is an understanding, perhaps a fear, that if China does stupidly invade Taiwan we would be at war with China, and that Taiwan would find it has friends.

[@andrewxue103]

As far as on paper army size and capability comparison this is pretty good. But I’d suggest that it also take into consideration mainland’s policy on Taiwan, and also PLA’s tactic choices. The result will perhaps be different. Mainland may want it to end as quickly as possible. And the Taiwan will want it to be dragged into months length effort.

[@Zekushiiido]

*XI JINPING WANTS TO KNOW YOUR LOCATION*

[@tonythetrulypuffy2258]

No he does not.

[@cheese-milk5203]

Tony theTrulyPuffy r/whooosh

[@KuZiMeiChuan]

@@cheese-milk5203 But is it, though?

[@KiwiOverlord]

100 acre woods

[@iankentaro5800]

You know nothing.

[@MagikarpMan]

I love the way the thumbnail isn't "could tiwan win" it's "could tiwan survive"

[@looinrims]

Yeah, they’re outnumbered, out of position, outmatched technologically, outmatched economically, they have no advantage It’s only survival and only within a year because it’s so easy for China, they just blockade Taiwan into surrender, but that would spark all out war

[@vladimirlenin843]

Yeah It's hard to ever win against someone 60 times the size of you

[@globalpropertyinvestment]

Just destroy the 3 Gorges Dam - that's all they need to do...would knock China down and out.

[@vladimirlenin843]

@@globalpropertyinvestment not that easy 3 gorges dam is more than 1000 km away from Taiwan and they don't have nuke. It takes a lot explosive to blow up concrete at that size

[@koya4728]

日本人はみんな台湾は独立国家だと思っています！！！🇹🇼🇯🇵

[@user-fq8wx5fc2i]

お前頭大丈夫？

[@rerumnorvaumcupidus9875]

this means a state of war between the people's republic of China and the state of Japan，seriously。By the way，we wont attack our own land（sorry that i dont understand Japanese）

[@user-dt4oh7si5i]

@koya 琉球，北海道。早已是独立的国家。

[@user-qd3ln2iq4v]

​@@user-dt4oh7si5i 1938年意大利夺得世界杯 ，1939年澳大利亚大火 ，1940年东京奥运会取消， 1941年日本偷袭珍珠港。 2018年法国夺得世界杯 ， 2019年澳大利亚大火， 2020年东京奥运会取消， 2021年日本偷袭东京。哈哈哈他吗了个逼的

[@user-qd3ln2iq4v]

1938 Italy won the World Cup 1939 Australia fires 1940 Tokyo Olympics cancelled 1941 Japan's attack on Pearl Harbor 2018 France won the World Cup 2019 Australia fires 2020 Tokyo Olympics cancelled 2021 Japan's attack on Tokyo HHH,SHIT

[@huangjs]

Great POV. Small pronounce error: penghu is peng-hu.

[@MrLee-qz3gy]

You forgot Taiwan secret weapon. Bubbleistic missle and long range stinky tofu.

[@Pooperz100]

no, it’s B O B A T E A

[@yangpaskel8050]

NO IT'S A BUBBLE TEA NUKE BRO

[@mufasha]

bubbletea and stinky tofu are from China....so 。。。。

[@qweewqqweewq31313131]

@@mufasha stinky tofu is from China, but bubble tea is from Taiwan. It was invented in Taichung(or Tainan) in 1980s

[@mufasha]

@@qweewqqweewq31313131 u r right!

[@charleslathrop9743]

The conditions of sea straits between China and Taiwan would heavily favor Taiwan because the seas are rough and covered with fog most of the year.

[@SIStefanov]

At 5:30 what are the numbers 6093 and 1 - 3091 refering to? If its the count of nucl. submarine, that number appears way too high for me.

[@clay8965]

What's scary is China has the population to level Taiwan and relocate enough people to rebuild and repopulate within a few years. That would be economic suicide so its unlikely.

[@antonioalfaro5749]

Sad to know, how soon people forgot about the Vietnam war.... I guarantee you it will be bloody, as China, will not blink an eye Killing innocent civilians, in fact, they're doing it to their own population now. The western Media is no longer reporting their Human Rights Abuses since, their reporter's puppeteer's are being highly paid by their Chinese owners.

[@RedManEditz]

How does one convince an army to do something as outrageous as this without loss of morale?

[@olivertaylor8788]

TECNOGLY has no morals..

[@hansonwise9735]

Even in the Department of Defence of ROC(Tiwan), this war is counted by days.

[@setback4908]

Taiwan, not tiwan

[@tonymark8154]

5 hrs, maybe

[@yangjing9401]

一年，这帮傻逼湾湾怎么这么敢想呢，00年李敖问台湾防卫部门负责人，他就说最多两周了

[@ericy726]

其实我反而很好奇这个视频作者为什么会有这样奇特的想法。中国共产党的有趣之处就在于，敢于搞中共和中共对着干瞧不起中共的人最后大多下场都不太好看，但依然有无数人义无反顾的继续搞中共，看不起共产党，瞧不起中国。这难道不滑稽？@@yangjing9401

[@yangjing9401]

@@ericy726 不需要好奇，要恰饭的嘛，他当然知道挡不住，但观众爱看啊

[@eduardoflores7315]

Vinkovs great video

[@AZ-lm7rs]

Chinese civil war?

[@ilikedota5]

pt3. but it would be civil war turn proxy war

[@Coolsomeone234]

2.0

[@_bubulance_]

Would either Tibetian independence or Xinjing independence

[@pringle239]

@@ilikedota5 You say Pt.3 but it is more like Pt. 10000

[@newcreationinchrist1423]

Sharpe Zhao China is trying to take over Taiwan by political means, undermining their government and getting Taiwan to vote to unify with mainland China. That would increase China's military substantially as Taiwan has a pretty decent-sized navy and airforce. They probably won't even have to fire a bullet to take it over and Taiwan has some US technology. Interesting.

[@herbiehusker1889]

The US would step in and this would escalate very quickly.

[@TheMilpitasguy]

F-22s from Kadena AFB in Okinawa would make short work of China's bombers and fighter escorts.

[@morecopemorerope4372]

Nathan Grier its funny seeing all the comments saying that china could take on the US alone. Makes for a good laugh.

[@somedesertdude1308]

@@mikhail2709 Like us to a bunch of farmers

[@somedesertdude1308]

@@morecopemorerope4372 and also how us could take on China alone

[@zeusrhea3819]

@@mikhail2709 Trump is killing there economy, but we are strong! this trade war we are wining!

[@rickfox4068]

The main issue is that China does not have an amphibious fleet. The relatively few ships it has that can land tanks would be priority targets. Then there is the seldom discussed Taiwanese nuclear deterrent. In the late 80's / early 90's it was believed that Taiwan purchased several small nukes to help defend itself. If true, this could be why China has never settled the Taiwan issue.

[@definitelysimple8991]

Are you still dreaming ?

[@donchen4906]

Weak up, This is 2021. No idea how advanced KZbin is, being able to allow blinds to use. So humane This app is.

[@laurencehugo5910]

I love this guys clips, I just don't get the muppett! However, that muppet knows his stuff, must have had a long military career.

[@thomasjorge4734]

In the Great Muppet Wars.

[@ilbossilegendzero2932]

You did not take it into account the short period of time in which the Chinese can invade Taiwan. The invasion will happen in April or October. They can move large fleets in that area only in these two four-week windows due to the restrictions imposed by the strait's weather. I count you'll take in account this little but important detail in the second part. Keep this great material! Regards

[@Victor-hy9ux]

That's true. More than that, I heard some Taiwan troops stop training if it is hotter than 32°C, summer is good for invading.

[@natahn9568]

you sure summer is good? XD You seem to forget about the typhoons

[@Skyried]

@@Victor-hy9ux lol, my induction day alone was 38C. Please T tell me where these troops that don't train in hot weather are stationed. I'm asking for research purposes...

[@vendettav4151]

Summer? It's good day to die in the ocean. That is why he said the invasion will happen in Apr or Oct.

[@EzraMerr]

You picked Typhoon season? The hardest fucking time of the year for china to invade? Goddamn you're an imbicile, join the navy and attempt to take up the position of warfare specialist, atleast you can study something.

[@mini_frank]

why use ballistic missile when we have thousands of expiring rocket propelled artillery rounds

[@johnson7156]

cause it require long range rocket to reach that far, taiwan and china are close, but not that close. few rocket has the capability to shpot more than 200km

[@jakebeaker4243]

@@johnson7156Almost every chinese short range missile has a range of at least 300km. Their mid-range missile go 1250km+. Long range missiles would be a bit overpowerd with a range of around 15,000km

[@johnson7156]

@@jakebeaker4243 bullshit lmao.... do some research or simply just google. u are talking like a moron here

[@jakebeaker4243]

@@johnson7156You should do some research before throwing insults, that's embarassing. The information provided above is backed up by the CSIS Missile Defence Project. missilethreat.csis.org/country/china/ Btw long range 'rockets' (LOL) do not exist in any military. Don't try to hide your incapacity for rational thinking by being an asshole. You should rather stay quite in order to not attract the attention of people with a functioning brain.

[@johnson7156]

@@chinesepowerl9525 so what?

[@refrweerf]

Taiwan used to have a better armory then the Chinese at the time ( size wise ) it just now a bit weakened

[@walker68175]

The fact Taiwan would be utilizing World War II era tanks in the form of the M24 Chaffee makes this scenario all the more interesting. The tanks of old competing with the modern era.

[@jo31b]

Made in China vs. Made in Taiwan... Sooooo it comes down to who breaks first... As the saying goes..

[@applegrynabutar7354]

They can't, Remember Kinmen? The Taiwanese Nationalist fought back against Chinese 3 times already and still won That's just a small island, I shall also add

[@outdoorjeff7097]

It’s different now. Nuke

[@qingyunsu9094]

actually that is the war between Chinese nationalist with Chinese communist

[@looinrims]

Jefferson Noguerra “nuke” isn’t an argument, you can’t conquer a radioactive wasteland, well you can but it’s completely useless

[@jason8923]

It's different now. Kinmen was back when the PLA was far less well equipped and a peasant conscript army with a small navy and air force. Now China is far better equipped but still taking Kinmen or any Taiwanese island would likely result in heavy casualties

[@kimiboyy]

You searched for this... it wasnt in your recommendations

[@Fuzzypet_Playscape]

It was lol

[@chineseconcubineparty254]

It was 😂

[@muhammadrayhanfirdaus1309]

Sadly, yes. Apparently, if PRC's military dare to invade the island of Taiwan, well we're here in the SEA will definitely fucked.

[@linerich2342]

Dont know if this is too much to ask but van you make one with other nations support of other nations to Taiwan. Thanks !

[@Schmidty1]

Wow I didn't know Taiwan had islands so close to the mainland. Thx Binkov!

[@mxn1948]

Some are literally a couple miles from the mainland. They use to have practically ritualized artillery duels decades ago where one side fires on the other on alternate days of the week. In fact many of the civilians on those nearby islands now entirely depend on. The mainland to make a living. That said, all outer islands would fall in a week, they are far too small and unsupported against a coordinated attack. The other factor is the moral of the roc military. It's not very popular with it's citizens owning to it's dark past as a dictatorial suppression force, many conscripts would rather run or surrender than fight what they see as a no hope war.

[@user-en3xy1gs5y]

Schmidty They are not part of Taiwan. The islands that are close to the mainland are part of the Fujian province of the ROC.

[@Schmidty1]

@@user-en3xy1gs5y when I refer to Taiwan it is as a nation. ROC is the proper thing to say. Whatever technicalities.

[@cookiejars6141]

Do Pewdiepie vs T-Series as a Christmas special

[@isopod365]

What the..

[@turkepic3637]

I imagine him saying indian assets are older but more numerous

[@amedicabg]

Proger13 10 “some maybe racist” Nah fam, we’re literally Hitler Forth Reich, lets go bois *fortnite dab*

[@jdoe3006]

nah we're not kids

[@milat4351]

@@MMenyan 16 here lmao

[@oli36999]

"In the end, there will be no one left" excerpt from All quiet on the western front.

[@gcard2112]

Would love an update for this scenario, perhaps with updates and more realistic goals for China

[@ashleyzheng2244]

You forgot yun feng missiles and hsiung feng 2e missiles have a range of 1500km

[@hamsterbacke5962]

Turkey vs israel Or spain ja marroko Or austria vs czech Or poland vs ukraine would be interesting

[@kainezillah]

Ukraine before the civil war or during?

[@hamsterbacke5962]

@@kainezillah Before I Think turkey win against israel, while it is much larger. Marginal Victory. Spain vs marokko i would Way spain would probably win. Austria vs czech I would consider both equell so its a draw. And ukraine vs poland (ukraine before probably a draw, and Now I would say poland could eventuell take some ukraine land). What so you guys Think?

[@ravenmoore8432]

Hamster Backe Turkey could not beat Israel the amount of training Israel has compared to turkey and amount of casualties Turkey is taking fighting against the PKK proves it even more also the amount of close ambushes the PKK posts on a daily basis also proves the cannot commit too a secure perimeter which is never good remember Israel fights like its gunna be her last war cause it will be if she looses as for a Turkey typical big army little training like Saudi Arabia fighting in Yemen just horrible

[@suluayran121]

@@ravenmoore8432 PKK is hiding in caves that is why they are doing damage. Israel can only win against incompetent tribal Arabs. They still havent met any real state. On the other hand Turkey is currently hijacked by Jewish people and pro-Israel politicians. So there won't be a war.

[@Manish_3333]

@@hamsterbacke5962 Turkey fears Israel , they will never attack Israel , in fact no middle eastern country can even think of attacking Israel now, they know they will be vaporized easily .. and Israel actually wants them to attack so that they can capture their lands.

[@TGBurgerGaming]

Not long now till we can start measuring this guys accuracy in the region's conflict zones.

[@bryxedwardaromin9916]

Would there be a ASEAN vs China Episode?

[@oqtayhaciyev1851]

iran vs turkey

[@guzelataroach4450]

Ok but, remeber to remove, Tanks,jets,corvettes,friggatees, submarines, Missile launchers, since those Are White european inventions

[@ZhaoZhouYun]

Why though? Iran has barely an army -- they can protect their homeland for a time and that would be it. Iran has no up-to-date Airforce fleet or Naval fleet. And a bunch of inaccurate ballistic missile strikes wont win a war against Turkey. They're battle-hardened, especially post 2010s.

[@stevenundisclosed6091]

Iran absolutely has an army. Over 500,000 strong. Not to mention proxy forces throughout the Middle East. And while their air forces are outdated, they are building some of the best anti-air defenses in the region. Naval strength is irrelevant due to geography.

[@ferasashmar8129]

@@stevenundisclosed6091 Iran really has no army Iran is a media made spooky balloon to keep arabian gulf countries afraid and always pay to the US to protect them We met them in syria and they can't even organise an attack without causing friendly fire casualties. Screaming and shouting over the radio The decision making chain is very VERY long and every officer is afraid to take the blame so they just go higher in chain of command till you reach a really high rank general for a matter that already ended They are just out of date if they went against turkey

[@stevenundisclosed6091]

And you get the award for dumbest comment of the day. Congratulations.

[@turkey1528]

Can the United States invade Hawaii?

[@ganardian6224]

hilarious XD

[@Drakeblood97]

That's precisely how we got Hawaii

[@rickbourne1376]

Given current events, probably time to do an updated version of this. I think infiltrators and Chinese sympathizes with play a role of espionage and sabotage.

[@Ushio01]

This video is only 2 years old and China has added 15 Type 052D's and 1 Type 055 with 7 more fitting out to be commissioned next year or early 2022. It's time for the US to start donating some old Tico's and Burke's to Taiwan!

[@jacoblazo5781]

Why do these simulation always leave out allies for simplicity when in reality that's almost impossible to happen.

[@gloablxyz6841]

Because the United States is uncertain about whether or not the United States is involved, the United States in history does not dare to provoke a powerful country, and China’s missiles can be launched into the United States.

[@SeqouiaDreamer]

gloabl xyz “the US in history does not dare to provoke a powerful country”. Uhhhh Cuban missile crisis?? Putting missiles in Turkey during the Cold War?

[@cacretcc2215]

you sure this video posted in 2018?

[@tomlu6820]

What about MLRS, and other long-range artillery?

[@Inbal_Feuchtwanger]

I find it interesting there was a poll done in 2003 which asked Taiwanese citizens if they would rather become a US state or join mainland China, and 55% preferred US while only 36% chose China.

[@brucetucker4847]

Why would any free person outside of the academy have any desire to become a communist slave?

[@user-lm1hu2hz1r]

Taiwan need more help hand , no matter in diplomatic or military. All democratic countries should stand together to against the violate from tyranny. China will never be satisfied with grabbing more land, no matter how ridiculous their reason to invade are. If Taiwan done, who will be the next one? Protect democracy, protect human right, protect yourselves.

[@oldshoes4290]

Its not an invasion, its a continution of the Chinese Civil War, China is just going to finish it, Taiwan would do the same it if it were in China's shoes. Let me be very clear, China has absolutely ZERO intentions of attacking other countries, thats like saying that after the demise of the Confederate States, which country will be next? Utter. Trash. Talk. China wouldnt even benefit from it. If the US wants to interfere in the Chinese Civil War, so be it, let the US poke its nose into other people's business like it always does, let it be "justified" for "protecting" human rights and taking down "evil communism". China wont go down without a fight and will drag the US down along with it if it has to. Hopefully it never has to come to that.

[@watchandthink763]

我不同意，中国一直都在尽力保持自己的和平国家形象。而且收复台湾属于内战

[@user-fr6wg1oi2p]

只是個路人 極大的可能是障眼法，大陸的經濟下行，為轉移視線的行為，鼓動民族主義情緒，攘外以安內，如果經濟大崩潰可能會真出手，但現階段經濟不可能大崩潰，就算大陸想崩潰國外也不會允許，這會導致世界經濟的大衰退。(可能性依據是大陸早已有強大的軍事力量卻一直光說不練的事實)，另一種可能是大陸領導人的個人或團體想法，但這個就無法揣測了。

[@user-vu2ug1mo8j]

@@user-fr6wg1oi2p 台湾问题既是隐患也是机会，96年在美国的干预下没有开战，现在中国经济增长变慢，想要突破现在的限制就必须从外面输血，当然，我们从来都是通过贸易来获取利益的，因为我们不是欧洲那些残忍的殖民者，而连接外部的两条通道，一条是一带一路，从新疆修铁路途径中东，再到欧洲，还有一条就是东面的太平洋，想要对南美进行远洋贸易就必须突破第一岛链，而台湾恰恰是最好的突破点。

[@klee7478]

We should all be looking for a peaceful way to reunify... the West has made us hate each other for nearly a century. I guess this is the lasting impact of a devastating civil war; one side always forgets their roots.

[@cripplingdepression4859]

Dang theres a war down in the comments

[@AlexLee-dc2vb]

Hey, Binkov, are you going to make a video about Taiwan's new submarine?

[@ruifenghuang1029]

Got leaked to PLA already

[@BB-wt4mt]

please updated new ver. of this

[@smokinhabanas]

Well with the new arms deal Good RUCK PRC the F-16 vipers will maintain air dominance as the ROC Air Force has maintain from the 1950s till 1980s. Missile barrages there are counter measures and Taiwan would get some early warning from her “silent friends” lol. Sooo it ain’t that easy brotha!!

[@hex1c]

Protecting your country is better for your morale than invading. Im not saying Taiwan would win, but keep this in mind.

[@NekoLilium2012]

Invade? no. Reclamation, yes.

[@jitian2761]

Taiwan army is always on morale...I mean they are always high. Do you know they do drugs in their airbase?

[@billchen6622]

its just overthrowing your governement bruh, much as KMT did in 1911 (which is a great part of chinese history, dont take me wrong). PLA soldiers are trained to have great morale and strong will. brain-washed, if u will, but they are determined, and taiwan soldiers are not.

[@ericsmith8059]

Landing troops is one thing resupplying them getting off wounded is another.

[@bagchaser3859]

China would level that whole island

[@nico74321]

there are US battalions stationed at south Korea , Japan, Singapore and Guam. if the invasion occurred reinforcements will arrive within the next 3 hours. trust me the Chinese is not that stupid.

[@ykf1136]

The US doesn’t recognize Taiwan a country, so what is the cause for the US to interfere Chinese Civil War?

[@jtchen4699]

Hoàng Nguyên The US is going to lose if the war happened within the West pacific region.

[@dumbbear9874]

I don't see possibility that Congress and Trump will help Taiwan... Not worth at all

[@thebigone6112]

Hoàng Nguyên ,Vietnam war was a good memory

[@jtchen4699]

Hoàng Nguyên Vietnam and China? That is interesting. Vietnam has took too many islands that belongs to China already.

[@56mikefagan]

Taiwan really needs the new submarine program, new fighter aircraft, new early warning radar systems and more missile defense.

[@shen_zhuoran]

I wonder under the heavy bombardment from the Chinese Mainland, would the Taiwanese side have any meaningful air presence a few days into the conflict? We just saw that even Hamas is capable of launching overwhelming amounts of rockets in a short time. If most Taiwanese airports and radar stations aren't functioning, what would require PLA to spend several months preparing for a landing?

[@killuminati2911]

I think we're gonna see sooner than later

[@CaptainM792]

Next, do UK vs China.

[@vikarna]

Seems like the imformation is out of time now.

[@Kai-tg7us]

one year...man, you are genius...

[@Nephalem2002]

We need to add Taiwan to NATO, while recognizing it as a country.

[@m3c4nyku43]

What does the "NA" in "NATO" stand for?

[@fishsquishguy1833]

@@m3c4nyku43 North Atlantic, and your point being? Italy, Greece and Turkey don’t have the Atlantic Ocean licking their beaches but they’re still members, if that’s the point you’re making?

[@glassman1130]

*China vs China ? wtf*

[@Bigweave74]

Taiwan could hold it's own. China's military is not battle hardened and thus far, lacks a joint command. Yes a missile barrage would be bad, but you need boots on the ground to hold territory and that is where China falls short. They have limited means of deployment and poorly equipped troops. Any beach landing or airborne drop would result in a massacre of Chinese soldiers as their lack of battle experience would quickly take a toll on morale.

[@oldshoes4290]

China doesnt need to waste its troops like that. It could surround Taiwan in a short amount of time, cut it off from all supplies and allied support and starve it to death whilst crippling Taiwan little by little with coordinated attacks. And im pretty sure most militaries in the world aren't "battle-hardened" like they used to be back in the day.

[@Bigweave74]

@@oldshoes4290 China's lack of a joint command and focus on propaganda over field training would virtually guarantee a disorganized blockade. The rely on looking scary rather than being an effective force.

[@oldshoes4290]

What propaganda are you talking about. It's true that the Chinese military is not yet ready for an offensive attack onto any country with a developed military because its mainly for defensive purposes, but in a case like Taiwan...I'm pretty sure no matter how inexperienced China is, it would take Taiwan pretty easily.

[@oldshoes4290]

Son Of Nam Then why the fuck is America getting so stirred up over a faulty military? I guess all those videos on Chinese joint military exercises with other nations are simply propaganda videos used to fool people like you. Hell, lets all just say China is completely defenceless and isn't capable of defending its own country. Problem solved, no need to go to war.

[@Bigweave74]

@@oldshoes4290 It's American MEDIA, they're scared of everything and that gets them ratings. For example: several major media outlets ran stories saying that America was finished when the Chengdu J-20 was revealed to the public. Turns out that it's not a very stealthy or effective aircraft. They constantly fret about China's manpower without looking into the fact that Chinese recruts are in such poor physical shape that training standards have been dropped in order to fill recruitment goals. They got freaked out when China bought a scrapped Ukranian aircraft carrier that has seen more drydock time than training time. No one is scared of China.

[@Adam-mj5hl]

A China vs. Taiwan war simulation that excludes US involvement and limits fighting to a one year timeframe is as useful/realistic as a leprechaun farting gold coins.

[@johnaltman6671]

A Leprechaun farting gold coins would be super useful, it’s like a goose laying golden eggs but more disgusting

[@gangplayandy153]

谢谢你 战忽局同志

[@oscarl2334]

没事，在Binkov的频道里中国就从来没有赢过

[@quayuh]

The

[@user-em5bt2ps5f]

@@oscarl2334 那个中俄大战赢了