CRAZY Christmas Travel Impacts: Warmth, Snow, Rain, and Bomb Cyclone!

[@TheWeatherFarm]

What areas of the country are you most concerned about if you are travelling this holiday season? Also - HAVE YOU VOTED for your favorite flannel in our Community poll? kzbin.infoUgkxpJ16tUfckt5xJOTIWXfXys5UGjeb6dnN?si=QXY0KmLvzqytWzA1 Let us know your thoughts and questions. We are curious what areas of the country (and beyond) that we are reaching with our videos.

[@RichardLincoln-n7p]

Great insights and that snow is looking to goJust east of Nebraska!

[@TheWeatherFarm]

Yeah, but what keeps surprising me is that the clipper continues to keep its strength as it moves across the Northern Plains into the Ohio Valley. Got to love computer models! They have struggled with this storm!

[@Carolscasa]

Thanks, Christopher Hale. I'm located in central Indiana, but I have family in southern Alaska, north of Los Angeles, the southeastern corner of Colorado, and in the middle of New Hampshire. They're spread out from west to east! ❤

[@TheWeatherFarm]

We will try to get some mentions of Alaska in a future video. I was hoping to include it in this video but that bomb cyclone possibility kind of stole my attention.

[@Carolscasa]

Ya have to go with the most urgent weather! 😂

[@TheWeatherFarm]

Fun fact - almost 5% of our viewership comes from Canada! I could talk about the weather of the province of Nunavut for a long time!

[@justincase3828]

I'm in Prosser Washington in south east Washington State. I live about 30 miles from Richland, Kennewick, & Pasco Washington also known as the Tri-Cities of south east Washington.

[@TheWeatherFarm]

Thanks for checking in. Looks like you are outside of the heavy rains that are more along the coasts this week. But 1-2" of rain could be in the forecast! Washington is one state I have not been to yet.

[@ZeefZeefZeef]

Thank you for the explanation of the atmospheric river.

[@TheWeatherFarm]

Glad you liked it. I was scrolling through some maps and remembered that one I had done during hurricane season and I thought it would be helpful to visualize the process. Atmospheric rivers are fascinating weather events, and they can certainly impact travel during the holidays!

[@RichardLincoln-n7p]

I about chuckled when the local weather forecaster commented on the sharp snow gradient with the clipper system. Where have I already heard that? Oh yeah @TheWeatherFarm!

[@TheWeatherFarm]

Appreciate you noticing! 😊 Sharp snow gradients are always fascinating to track with these clipper systems. Glad to see The Weather Farm keeping you ahead of the curve-thanks for tuning in and for the kind shoutout!

[@ZeefZeefZeef]

You show the averaged 500mb maps how reliable is the data for three weeks out? Does averaging improve their reliability?

[@TheWeatherFarm]

Well to be honest - an ensemble model or average over several days helps to smooth out the outliers that may appear one day of a week or in one particular model run. Think of it as if you are shooting archery. If the target is 10m away and you are off just a little you probably are going to be close enough to the target. But that same amount of error at a target 100m away, the precision or accuracy is going to be a lot less. Same thing with weather models. Anything that looks three weeks out should be for directional or trend analysis at best. Thanks for the question!

[@ZeefZeefZeef]

@@TheWeatherFarm thank you for the explanations and the intuitive imagery illustrating the growing error.

[@gsxer13]

Nothing for Ohio again.

[@TheWeatherFarm]

Yeah we had just a couple of tenths here in central Indiana. Now it is back to warmth for the end of the year!