Poker Strategy: How to Calculate Your Equity vs a Range in Your Head

[@rickcafe5959]

Bart: It would be a great help if you put the math up along with the action. There is a spot on the right hand side. This way we could follow along with action and understand the math behind the calls/folds in these videos.

[@edwardgunn8250]

Been watching alot of the You tubers and go through different times where I like one over the other but I gotta say Bart is probably the most grounded and gives nice balance of education and hand review and keeps it interesting. Keep up the good work.

[@DannyLangstondrums]

I’m reading poker maths right now, so finally I followed along fully here and it felt great! Haha thank you for doing this step by step not to fast, I normally understand it all just have to pause to catch up a bit. Loved this one!

[@DavidSmith-lj1yz]

Late to the party but this video is a great reminder that not everyone is playing the same level. I'm a micro fish online and a small stakes semi reg?? live. I seem to at least double my poker knowledge about every 3 months and I have a long way to go but....I would guess at least 75% of online and 50% of live players not only don't know what equity is but many don't even count outs and have any idea about pot odds etc....this is truly maddening online but God bless those folks! For me the key is discerning between the guys whose brain displays pio (Bart) and the guy playing 10 6 off because it's his lucky hand...anyway thanks for the lesson!

[@TheBrotherShadowDoorman]

really enjoyed the math in this video. I learned a lot..would be awesome to see more examples of this. thanks!

[@sambeesley4377]

I like the breakdown here to the point where he uses the analogy of 10 times having a 6 and 10 times having a flush draw. There is no way villain has a 6 half the time compared to flush draws. We could make a more accurate assessment of villains range and combinations of 6x by knowing their VPiP. Lets assume that because this is a cash game and villain calls a raise from UTG+2 that their range is at least slightly capped to include less combinations of 6x and more flush draws. To call a raise from UTG+2 there really shouldn't be any combinations of 6s in villains range, except a loose call with 1 combo of 66 or 4 combos of suited 67. There is a chance villain also comes along with 4 combinations of A6 suited and K6 suited, however this would be a terrible call against the perceived range of the SB after raising pre-flop because villain is so often dominated. Because there are many more combinations of flush draws in this scenario (and ones that do not include overcards) this would sway the equity more into heros favor. A very obvious call. I like heros weak donk bet on the flop. It gets value on villain's 77-99 and induces a check raise with flush draws to get fold equity.

[@qwertz12345654321]

Good points, but Bart never said that he thinks its 1:1 flush draws and sixes. It's basically a "worst case" scenarios and it's still a call. So it is a snap call in reality. That's what Bart says later too

[@dgkula]

Any other good videos to recommend with this type of port odds to equity “in your head” calculation? This is possibly the most instructive video I have ever seen on this topic and I would like to see more examples please!

[@88mphDrBrown]

It's not "port" odds, it's "starboard" odds when you have the *right* equity.

[@jonduberman2573]

@@88mphDrBrown Only in the Navy

[@buggaboo2707]

This is one of the most important hand reviews.... this equity estimation is great

[@marioharris5944]

THIS I can definitely get behind. Rook here and this kinda breakdown definitely helps me understand. Definitely helps being good at basic math too! Gonna watch some more vids and decide if I should sub...

[@depressedessendonfan5702]

100 percent EXACTLY what I was looking for as a video. Fuck equilab I want to be able to live monitor my opponents equity on the range I place.

[@EricSmyth2Christ]

Only been doing this for a couple years, but yes, it's mandatory know-how maths for higher stakes imo

[@0ptimal]

Excellentski. Learned a lotski

[@michaelforrester2658]

This channel is really great, thanks Bart.

[@CrushlivePoker]

Thanks for the warm words Michael... Bart

[@casi5290]

Against nut flush draw equity i think i did understood, he has 9h + 3Aces, so 12 outs/from about 30 cards remaining, so 40%.with no nut flush he has just 9/30 = 30%. Is this rigth? What i do not understood, why around 10% vs. a 6. Why did Bard make 2 times 4=8, so almost 10%. For what is the 2(probably Q) and the 4?

[@alexgoron4099]

found this very instructive. ty Bart

[@adamrichard6724]

Very good. Thanks for sharing and breaking your process and thoughts down slowly

[@EM-qr4kz]

realy love your lessons. they are priceless. Although i have a serious question on calculating the odds. Where to calculate them??? Lets say i have a good hand...and when opponent bets i can see i have more hands in his range of hands he plays,where i win. Lets say 60% of the hands he could play,i wins vs 40% where i lose. should i apply odds with this information??? Or If we assume he has a better hand i can calculate the propabillities for me in order i have the better hand the next round (turn or river) and lets say my hand get better with 20% propabillity. I cant understand where should i pay attention in order to have +EV on my bet. In the hand i have now or in the hand i will have on turn or river?

[@bslay4r]

Well, it's not impossible for a weaker player to play trips like this but it's much more likely he/she will minraise you rather than go allin. By going allin he wants folds hoping you missed the flop. So I think this was an easy call.

[@TheTheagent07]

great example

[@BAlvn-yr6ej]

Great job, Bart. Thanks for your hard work.

[@AliKhan-ft1uu]

Great analysis

[@mdougf]

Wow, so cool. Thanks!

[@nunchucksupland]

Very helpful

[@Orekid1]

The straddle skipping the blinds is the only way to play!

[@pedroperalta6736]

What’s best software to replay hands that I played on my home game I have them recorded on paper but want to put on a real poker table … I’m a visual person .. thanks again !!!

[@pedroperalta6736]

Anyone that could answer would be awesome thanks again

[@Gos1234567]

This is why when you hit a set on a wet flop to shove all in,everyone will think you’re trying to steal with a flush draw.

[@justrelax4084]

i understood perfectly but how to do when he have for example more bluff combos than value here is 10 combos against ten but what if it was 20 combos against 10 with the same equity for example 20 bluffs combos where i have 40% and 10 where i have 10% i guess the equity is no more the average of the two so how to do

[@dhruvgupta498]

That EV calculation at the end was a bit hard to follow. Essentially $125 or so into $235 or so was a slam dunk call you said- can you explain why?

[@joythug37]

How come no showdown when players are all in on the flop ?

[@anthonylivingston7990]

different casinos have different rules

[@peznino1]

Not sure how you get to saying it's 50/50 he's a 6 or a FD in this spot but would like to know. I get all the other reasoning but this is a really important part of the puzzle.

[@pitiwoo]

not sure, but if he considers that even in the worst case scenario, it's a call, then it's always a call. But if we're talking why he estimates it's 50/50, first it's a rough estimation, and i think it's once again a matter of worst case scenario. if you have a set of 6 here, you will sometimes just call and expect a second barrel ro raise allin, depending on the profile. on this flop, raising allin with a set will make a lot of hands fold, which we don't really want, so we wont do it sometime. Meaning that on some occasions, sometimes 2 out of 3 times (66%) , sometimes 1 out of 2 times (50%), sometimes 1 out of 3 times (33%), you'll actually face a 6. And an average of those percentages makes it ROUGHLY 50%.

[@lfong9369]

+crushlivepoker what if the it was K9 and the board ran out 966? What if villain limp calls a over pair/flush draw/and possible a A6ss??

[@raghavgupta1211]

Hey Bart! I recently got a college project to analyse three famous hands (Tsang v Koon, Koon v Kalas, Ivey v Dwan straight v straight). I have to use holdem manager 2 and explore ranges and expected value but I really don't know the software and how to approach the project. I know this is not the kind of thing you would usually do but if you could take ten minutes to help a fella out with how to analyse the hand and help him get grades you'd be helping out way more than you realize. Hope to hear from you. Thank you! Keep crushing.

[@alleniverson9265]

Hi. Can you please explain for me, on that example, how to make decision: 5-10 live game. Bu raise 30$, hero call sb 22, bb raise 80$, bu call, hero call. Flop: 2jt. Ch, bet 80, bu call, hero call. Turn: 7s. Ch, ch, bu bet 120, hero raise 500$, bb all in 500$, bu raise all in 1700$. Now I have to add 1200$. In pot: 500$ size pot on turn + 500$ bb all in + 500$ my bet + 1700$ all in from bu = 3200$. So what is my pot odds here? Total pot if I call will be 4400$. My pot odds 4400/1200? 3.66 to 1? Or 3200/1200? 2.66 to 1? If my pot odds 3.66 to 1, then how much equity I have to have vs range? 1/3.66? 27%? If my pot odds 2.66 to 1, then how much equity I have to have vs range? 1/2.66? 38%? Thank you.

[@TheIronyoshi]

is there a difference between equilab and poker stove?

[@pacoescobar7123]

no (meaning the differences are so minor that it doesn't matter much). People use "stove" as a verb, but you can use either program.

[@AcrylicGoblin]

Top pair good kicker with a tiny spr... what more do you want?

[@callumw5]

Wouldn't you take into account a few bluffs for the villain? And if you do , the call is even easier

[@tavishmcdonell6615]

Callum Wilson ? The flush draws are bluffs.

[@qwertz12345654321]

Maybe he is saying that only bluffing with flush draws would be underbluffing so there are some 0 equity bluffs in a balanced range? Not sure though

[@switch2crypto]

Please Explain Why You Would Have More Equity Vs His Low Flush Draws Compared To His Nut Flush Draws If He Hits The Draw You Are As Good As Dead Regardless Of What Combination Of Hearts He Has Or Is It To Do With The Fact He Can Still Hit Top Pair Without Hitting The Flush?

[@Maddie-qu2sq]

You answered ur own question bud

[@ShamonnnYouKnowIt]

Yes lol

[@jamesshaw9649]

Sounds like Justin Schwartz

[@downtown9508]

I know the rule of 2 and 4, but how was he able to figure out his equity vs the flush draw? Is this just a case where he counted his own equity and then counted the equity of the flush draw his opponent could have?

[@CrushlivePoker]

Yes.. If you want to do it an easy way flush draw is 9 outs x 4 (to see two cards to the river) or 36%. SO hero is 64% to win vs a flush draw. If guy has a 6 Hero has about 10% equity. So if the opponent had equal amounts of flush draws to 6s, the math would be ( 64+10) / 2 = equity in the hand or in this case 37%. --Bart

[@downtown9508]

CrushlivePoker oooohhhh..... I never thought of equity as a zero sum game!!!! Sounds stupid now that I realize that. Thanks

[@DavidSmith-lj1yz]

@@CrushlivePoker 12 outs w nut flush draw as ace wrecks us too right?

[@pot_kivach160]

@Manuel Serrano nah! Thats too much to calculate. Put an A aside!

[@bkb04g]

Instinctively I thought to it’s an easy call...a (relatively small stack size) can make this a fold....

[@pitiwoo]

doesnt a small stack size have even better odds to call?

[@Rihard11]

Love it...

[@ghoul_a33]

I think the villian put hero on a flush draw.

[@Kevin_Roche]

How? He 3-bet pre-flop and continuation bet. Not to mention the villain had the A-high flush draw himself.

[@jerryjohnson6127]

Wjere is this game at? Button straddle with strange order?!

[@CrushlivePoker]

Lots of games in LA allow for these types of straddles. Bart

[@tomcolocci]

Why can you rule out 76s here? If it's a limp pot, isn't that something people can go in with?

[@JaeJonson]

Nobody ruled it out?

[@pokerdegen1186]

Buzzard it doesn’t start with the small

[@VanThanhLe]

I think he had either 76 spade or A,10, J of heart. If he call the raise with Q6 offsuit his a lucky donk

[@johnbatchler8551]

Ur in my ball park game

[@milaninter6254]

WHO is having tripple 6 on this flop he would never raise some1 all in who has giving a weak bet. So it has to be any queen or flush draw.

[@tjreidpoker]

Trip sixes could definitely play it this way, like Bart said, he either has a flush draw or a 6. And he's obviously getting called by strong queens and flush draws.

[@80teg]

So you think there's very little chance the raiser on a 3 player flop of Qh6h6d could be holding a 6 in his hand? Thanks.

[@geoffbeyer1873]

Juanda had trips though.

[@Gos1234567]

Milan Inter so you always just call your sets/trips on flush flops ??? 😂

[@АлексейЕринский]

Я Придумал Биос

[@Unam469]

You’re suppose to make these calculations real time? Shiiiittt

[@lukemarcantel1569]

Wayyyyy too small of a raise preflop

[@FastdounutTV]

Do people really do all this in their head live?

[@kronosclashon2876]

its just really basic math you learn in elementary school. everyone can do it

[@FastdounutTV]

@@kronosclashon2876 ah gotcha. Do you crush your stakes with the math?

[@kronosclashon2876]

@@FastdounutTV i memorize the basic pot odds. like half pot, pot, 2/3 pot. If its some other betting size i try to crunch the numbers, but mostly by approximation

[@phillipholmes5206]

Its a fold in my opinion. You made a mistake by raising so small. With so little invested why call and compound your errors?

[@DubiousYuTuber]

opinions go out the door when math comes into play lol. hes making a +EV call given his hand and the opponents range in this hand.

[@PMC35-s3f]

and I lose Par of kings all par I lose

[@yoyo-uw5hq]

Youngster

[@willba]

Why is 35% equity = 2:1 pot odds? Isn't the guest correct with 3:1?

[@Hijodeganas1]

You win two times, lose one time: 2 to 1.

[@wildcarder]

Hijodeganas1 you lose 2 and you win 1

[@Hijodeganas1]

Doh. Thanks.

[@mukutin]

Chance of winning when u have 2:1 is 1/3 =33%, in 3:1 it’s 1/4=25%.. hence you have here 2:1

[@junito1008]

The caller is a Fish !! How He puts his opponent on Quad 6 !? 🤦🏻‍♂️😂

[@80teg]

He was talking about the possible range of hands that may call $18 pre-flop; he dismissed it along with the AQ almost immediately.

[@castlehill6717]

He didn’t inherently put him on quad sixes, he just said he would be crushed if he did with a chuckle. Obviously no one with a brain would put him on quads, what an insane line that would be.

[@PMC35-s3f]

i think same time the casino is cheating 4 me i get good card but the ther player have better are they have nothing so they folded lol

[@roycooke2264]

If he has a flush draw a six or a queen fills the KQs... It's NOT 40%...

[@Gos1234567]

Idiot

[@campione8campione818]

9 minutes speaking for nothing

[@campione8campione818]

You speak a lot

[@23drumfreak]

So beta

[@garygwin1741]

How about putting your opponent on a specific hand, and playing against that exact hand. Channel your inner Daniel Negreanu. Your New-Fangled Suedo-Science, is WeakSauce

[@roro-fx6oy]

Learned nothing zero explanation >_

[@switters8679]

You foolish troll