David Dilley: “Global warming will be dead by 2030” | Tom Nelson Pod

Professor David Dilley is a Meteorologist-Climatologist-Paleoclimatologist and a former NOAA National Weather Service Meteorologist. Professor Dilley is the founder and CEO of Global Weather Oscillations (GWO), a company heavily involved in research and development of technology for prediction of natural climate and weather cycles.
Professor Dilley has 54 years of experience ranging from the Air Force to NOAA National Weather Service and GWO. As the senior research scientist and forecaster for GWO, Mr. Dilley developed ClimatePulse Technology based on Geomagnetic Cycles of the earth-moon-and sun, and how these cycles align with historical, present day and future cycles of climate and weather.
00:00 Introduction and Credentials of David Dilley
00:44 Exploring Climate Pulse Technology and Predictions
01:58 Debunking Myths: The Reality of Global Warming and Cooling Cycles
03:12 Deep Dive into Climate Change Cycles and Earth's History
16:17 Understanding Ocean Temperatures and Their Impact on Climate
21:09 The Future of Global Warming: Predictions and Evidence
24:56 Decoding Solar Cycles and Global Warming Trends
26:03 High Arctic Temperature Anomalies Explained
28:12 Arctic Ice Extent: Reality vs. Predictions
29:23 Antarctic Ice Mysteries Unveiled
31:09 Unraveling the Electromagnetic Gravitational Cycle
34:04 Atmospheric Gases: The Misunderstood Components
37:05 Historical Climate Cycles and Future Predictions
41:11 Addressing Climate Data Manipulation Concerns
43:51 The Impact of Solar Storms and Earth's Magnetic Field
45:27 Concluding Thoughts on Climate History and Future Trends
This is David Dilley’s fourth podcast on this channel: He was previously on #173, #97, and #64.
www.globalweathercycles.com/
www.globalweatheroscillations....
/ weathercycles
/ @dilleyglobalweathercy...
=========
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About Tom Nelson:
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[@nobody7158]

But will the carbon tax will go away? I doubt it.

[@mattiaskallin]

I will not. Taxes simply don't go away. They can change (that is: increase) but they never go away.

[@channel1_channel]

National debt obligations skyrocketed during the covid shenanigans and outright lies to stoke heightened fear. Higher taxes are going to be required to service these national debts. Inflation now rides higher. What a mess.

[@fatarsemonkey]

But if we pay enough tax we can control the universe.

[@nigelliam153]

Has any tax been revoked

[@nikkola46]

​@@markschuette3770Really? Their pishing it why do you think car ins is going up and pushing they want elec cars to they can control what and where u go.

[@Whistlewalk]

Thank you! I am SO tired of "The sky is falling!! The sky is falling!!!" hysteria cycle. One of the things that I find interesting regarding instinctive human behaviour is the huge number of young women, and men, who are enthusiastically learning how to knit really warm sweaters and are insisting in knitting those sweaters from REAL animal wool. We instinctively know that the cold is coming even if we don't talk about that.

[@quercus5398]

It’s been cold where I’m at.

[@clearskiesthailand]

If we were a more advanced civilisation we would be studying this closely and planning accordingly

[@sheridangatley8648]

It's such a shame they fund BS climate modelling- which is nowhere near to actual measurements for temp ( ref John Christtie - over past 30 years carrying out CC modelling)

[@glenndavis4452]

A more advanced civilization would know that 95% of atmospheric heat is not radiating. Oxygen and nitrogen do not radiate IR. They would also know that the atmosphere loses roughly 4-10C per km of altitude. Due to thermal expansion. They would know that thermal radiation at earth temp levels are a pale shadow of the degrees of heat energy the molecules/atoms possess. Definitely NOT, in any way whatsoever, MORE energy than the mass of atmospheric heat. They would know that that’s actually considered impossible by known laws of physics, for molecules to create energy above what they have. Just by existing in a thermal system. Or we could run for our lives from the carbon monsters, like Cub Scouts who just heard a ghost story, and heard “something” outside their tents.

[@jimhughes1070]

Stay in the shade when it's hot... Keep your raincoat handy... Dress appropriately when it's cold... The seasons aren't going to change... Sea level isn't rising... In 2023 wasn't the hottest ever 😭... Thousands of people are studying the climate...but many are paid to skew the data and present a disaster narrative... They've been doing it for decades... At least 32 times in my lifetime 🤣

[@Imbandja]

Brilliant !!! - I was shocked the other day when my grand son told me what they are telling him in grade school about CO2. I wish I could show him this excellent presentation. Is there a translated version of this presentation in German language? - I cannot congratulate you enough, Tom, for your great and important work. Please keep on going.

[@stephencoleman2414]

I’ve forwarded this to my grandsons

[@kated3165]

Your grandson is probably going to remind you that NASA greatly disagrees with this guy... and who the heck is this guy to think he has better scientific expertise??

[@stephencoleman2414]

@@kated3165 nah they have been brought up correctly they don’t believe in the hoax 👍🏼

[@kated3165]

@@stephencoleman2414 What hoax?? You think all the world's top scientists in the top scientific institutions across the globe somehow got together and agreed on creating this coordinated propaganda? It's hard enough to get 2 different countries to agree on some minor policy... but somehow most countries pulled this off and thousands of reputable scientists are in on it??! And WHY?? What would be the incentive on making people believe in climate change if it wasn't real?

[@kated3165]

@@stephencoleman2414 How is it a hoax? That would require all the top scientists from every reputable institutions around the world to all be in on that hoax... how is this more unbelievable than believing that maybe top scientific institutions like NASA actually knows their science??

[@DilleyGlobalWeatherCycles]

This is why I am doing updates on my forecast and looking at what is occurring at the current time. This has greatly made it more accurate with the biggest change being in the oceans during the next five years.

[@rjones6219]

Looking at the slide 24:11 . I was born in the 50s, and recall the winters (more so than the summers). The winter of 63, sticks vividly in my mind, as the UK, experienced a long deep freeze. During the subsequent years, we still had cold winters, where the canal froze over, and the ground was rock hard (I once tried to put a pickaxe in it). At the start of the 70s, we had a cold December and a white Christmas (not many of those nowadays). By the mid 70s, I'd started working in Manchester, driving over the hills, one winter the M62 motorway over the Pennine was closed for a week due to ice. Another hill top road, many a time would be blocked with snow, for a week or two. In 81 my job changed, and I stated going to work (Manchester), by train. It was the winter of 82, as I was sat on the train, I looked down on the canal, and realized, that it never froze over any more, the ground didn't get rock hard, and snow was an occasional thing. And something else, in 86 we had a colder winter, snow stayed around for weeks. Again in 97. Thank you David, for publishing your findings.

[@brynduffy]

The most disturbing truth(Scientifically speaking) about anthropogenic climate Change pushers is that they ignore that in all past cycles of warming atm CO2 rise is a result rather than cause of warming.

[@SKY-vp2pl]

You are exactly correct. Our government and many governments around the world know the Earth is moving into a cooling phase and we are at risk of serious climate chaos. I attended a DOD conference in 2017. The conference was for civilian DOD contractors and active duty. At the conference, a US General (active duty) gave a presentation on DOD's predictive analysis for the 2030s and the future warfighting theatre. The General showed a map of the U.S., and on the map were around 12 red dots, all located in southern States. The General explained that in the 2030s, DOD predicts that there will be mass migration south and this is a phenomenon that will happen worldwide. He said they predict 12 mega cities forming in southern states all below the 40th parallel north. He said these mega cities will most likely comprise around 10 million people. He also pointed out that there are NO red dots in northern States above the 40th parallel north. He explained the reason for this is because the DOD predicts the populations will be so low in these States that it merits no consideration in terms of national security. I was actually sitting near NATO officers in uniform. You could hear the audible gasps of shock from the audience. The presentation implies 2 things: 1) global events will drastically affect regions above the 40th parallel north, and 2) population reduction. In 2022, DARPA (which presented the technology at the conference I referenced above) issued an RFP to collaborate with industry to develop technologies to protect Warfighters from extreme and prolonged cold temperatures. This also includes technology to help animals and plants adapt to extreme cold temperatures. AND, House and Senate put forward Bills in 2022 see "HR 8574 Global Catastrophic Risk Management of 2022" that discusses events that could "set back or harm or destroy human civilization on a global scale" and the "existential risk of human extinction." After viewing this shocking presentation, I started researching what could be the cause for the DOD predictions. Sure enough, I came across loads of scientific data pointing to a significant global cooling in the 2030s and beyond, as well as troubling events that could accompany a "mini ice age" such as the Earth's EM poles weakening/reversing and the potential for catastrophic CMEs wiping out our technology due to weakened EM fields. This may explain why Governments in Europe and the US are encouraging illegal immigration from countries in the south near latitudes that will be warming and have more consistent growing seasons in the coming decades. This also explains the entire WEF 2030 agenda. The elites are terrified of the social chaos that can come from these events. No surprise the elites bug out locations are all in southern states or nations in southern latitudes.

[@baneverything5580]

Here in Louisiana I can grow food all year. In my area in the central part of the state the hurricanes can still be bad and we have very hot, humid weather and growing food can be challenging but you can always grow something. I`ve noticed winter freezes are becoming more common...the kinds that kill fig trees and common winter greens...and last year spring was unusually cold which suddenly switched to severe drought and extreme heat. It was bad for all crops. I planted 12 more fruit trees this year and four of them are cold/heat tolerant, and four more are more cold hardy figs, and started strawberries, garlic, chives, leeks, ground cherries, asparagus, purslane and more. I planted the old standbys...southern field peas, okra, greens, cucumbers, tomatoes, potatoes (from the store to get seed potatoes), carrots, melons, squash, herbs, peppers and several experiments. It`s just me and I have some disabilities and no car and there are no stores or transportation. If I want fresh foods I have to grow them and that has been my main focus (a food forest) since moving to this rural lot in 2022. I grow some indoors too in case another 2023 happens. I order basic supplies/staples and sardines and tuna for protein and store a lot of pasta, grits, rice, beans, flour etc. Fishing is great here but I have no way to go. I have ways to harvest small game if I have to but it would be difficult. I have limited emergency solar as a much-needed luxury to be able to cook, have some heat, cool air and hot water, nice shortwave radio receivers, and various prepping tools. I have a bad feeling. Volcanoes. The ones nobody talks about. People don`t realize how dangerous they are to crops and temperature.

[@xtremelemon8612]

yeah, they are pushing now like crazy the absurd carbon policies because in the next few years Earth will cool and it will be too late by then, people will see they have been fooled and wont accept them.

[@effexon]

what did you mean illegals encouraged? due to population decline and need farm workers in those southern locations? also 40th parallel is brutal south considering lot of oil,fossil energy resources are very north (Siberia, canada for instance)... so gonna be very cold working there in 2030s.

[@jovialmonk2168]

Arctic air can easily escape the Arctic circle due to AGW and Arctic acceleration of it-a bow forms over North America directing airflow out the Arctic down the North American continent. Can cause snow and cold etc as far south as Texas.

[@Jayjayjoe]

One of the best explainations I have seen for the climate changes! Give this guy the Nobel price!

[@WxCat1962]

Very informative. I first learned some of this when I found Valentina Zharkova about 5 years ago. A lot of people don’t understand the cycles of Earth. Professor Dilley’s presentation has taught me a lot more and I hope will teach others. Thank you Professor Dilley.

[@pauls3075]

A lot of people dont understand how to tie a pair of shoelaces. Half of the world 4 billion people are below average intelligence. Most of them are currently running around screaming 'The sky is falling the sky is falling'. Ignore them.

[@justinwilliams4217]

Absolutely beilliant content, thank you Professor Dilley and thank you Tom Nelson

[@phonic1451]

Keep up this amazing podcast!

[@emk-69]

...and much of the population at this rate too!!! 💉 🤦🏻‍♀️

[@barenekid9695]

NONSENSE.. Global warming is a Natural cycle. You aware that during the Roman Empire... era.. planetary temps were HIGHER than what the the doomsday cultists try to frighten us with,

[@duncanlawson4002]

Tom , you need to interview more people who cover space weather and interaction with earth climate. The magnetic poles are seriously on the move and accelerating, this reduces the electro magnetic protection the earth has allowing massively more energy to enter the planet in the north and south . Huge implications to climate and much more and if poles continue on current pathway . Currently small solar flares/ejections have massively more impact on earth due to our electro magnetic protection getting close to 20% down.

[@glenndavis4452]

There’s a fact based theory that the earths magnetic field makes our core something like an induction furnace. They work, and melt metals using a electromagnetic field. Less magnetic field, cooler earth ? Enough to offset solar increase ? Very complicated earth is.

[@allannicolson2607]

​@@glenndavis4452Very knowledgeable and wise you are. 😊

[@jovialmonk2168]

Our magnetic field has declined 9% in 200 years. If it had radically shrunk we would not have had the massive auroras we enjoyed because solar particles + earths magnetic field = aurora

[@chrisprince2018]

Great work. Just spent the coldest May in memory here on Vancouver Island.

[@woodchipgardens9084]

Canadian Forest Fires will continue untill the Taxing fixes the problem. Insert Monte Python.

[@jupeterczech1340]

Thank you, Prof Dilley! Spot-on the geological button. 👍😬🇬🇧

[@dougsherman1562]

Thank you David, excellent presentation! Easy to digest graphics and simple language makes this content easy to understand. I've been saying for years that the grant seeking alarmists need to first explain the mechanism for earth's natural ice ages before they receive a dime of taxpayer funds. If they would give this presentation first, then I could perhaps listen to their plea for funding. Best of luck in getting your message out David, I'm forwarding to my family and friends.

[@davidhilderman]

An incredibly important presentation. Thank you David and Tom

[@renderdogstudios]

Great! Thank you. Refreshing to hear honest and sincere science.

[@JamesCovington-WX5JJC]

I'm a Meteorologist with 28 years experience, myself. Been studying these cycles for more than 20 years. He does an adequate job of identifying the cycles, but makes no mention of what drives most of them. He also largely skips over the millennial warm period cycle, only briefly mentioning it once. As far as Milankovitch Cycle Theory goes, we're already well into a decline, which will continue. Now as the shorter cycles he mentioned also line up in decline, temperatures will fall more sharply. I personally predict we'll see the coldest temperatures in some 8,000 years by the middle of this century. The wild card, is the idiotic idea of spraying reflective aerosols into the Tropopause, as some like Bill Gates propose.... if they do that, and they may already be doing it, the decline will happen faster. Once that stuff is up there, there is no undo button. There's no way to filter it back out. They could very well throw Earth into the next glacial period prematurely.

[@DilleyGlobalWeatherCycles]

I agree with you about spraying in the atmosphere. I will be a keynote speaker at a convention that would be held to fight this. Wish me well and the convention well.

[@jimr7987]

Dilly has other videos with a lot more detail about cycles. This video greatly simplified for the general public

[@Zman26448]

@@DilleyGlobalWeatherCyclesanymore interviews in the feature? Also what’s your opinion on how extreme weather will be impacted by global cooling? Will we expect more tornadoes, rain, hail, heat waves, blizzards, etc as global cooling intensifies?

[@matsfreedom]

They are spraying heavily right now. Watch the documentary called 'The dimming'. Everyone on the planet needs to know what's going on in our skies. Prepare to be outraged, and then share what you've learned with every meteorologist you can.

[@avimo2565]

@@DilleyGlobalWeatherCycles wish you well

[@charlesrobitaille9360]

a friend of mine just got back from Baffine Island up in the artic in Canada ,he works in an open pit iron orr mine he showed me picture of record snow and cold that they haven't scene in years !

[@DilleyGlobalWeatherCycles]

Global warming alarmists keep moving their time for Arctic free ice - was supposed to be in2016 during the summer and all ice gone by 2023. But what has happened? It now has the greatest ice extent in at least 12 years

[@stirfrybry1]

Adjustments to the GHCN (final minus raw) actually forms the climate trend By golly, it IS manmade after all!

[@jovialmonk2168]

And what is the VOLUME of Arctic ice? Thin ice spreads out further that is all that is happening. Would a meteorologist not know this?

[@jovialmonk2168]

Global warming alarmists: is that scientific term?

[@antonellobacchetti2429]

Amazing work in this 4th presentation video podcast! Dilley actually has 55 years of experience this year! The cooling is at the mere beginning, step by step we'll get there, in the meantime lots of rain and snow precipitations increase this year, everything is coinciding, multiple cycles coming together, solar decline starts in 2025, in fact as I expected Dilley says this solar cycle is peaking this year, oceans cooling is starting, but the masses? Will they be aware? I think by summer 2026 50-60% of the people will understand the lies about the climate, by 2030 almost everyone will have understood the truth of the real state of things, interesting to notice how most scientists who tell the truth indicate the year 2030 as the year which will mark the time when global warming is going definitively bye bye, also other scientists say that. This should be watched by at least 100 million people, the problem is that most people around the world still rely on the mainstream media, so they're gonna realize the truth in the hard way! And many of them will be unprepared! Thank you Tom and Dilley for the amazing work!

[@timcartwright4679]

Interesting correlation between the GW political crowd and Dilly.... 2030. So in essence the politicians know this as well and have to get their policies in effect before the downward cycle.

[@MattyP62618]

Or just say "oh look guess our policies worked!" Then never mention it again

[@jovialmonk2168]

Governments don’t run on fantasy. (Hmmm, or do they? :) )

[@sidensvans67]

The great Carbon Climate Con trick .. Greetings from Norway . ❄

[@zstopperuno]

This isn't the first time we've had predictions about the end of global warming. Back in 2013,2014 there was a lot of messaging about how global cooling was about to commence. I guess that didn't happen.

[@stephencoleman2414]

But we are told we’ve got till 2030 to save the world we need all your money to save you???

[@user-lo9yc7oz6e]

They've been saying this for years. "Ten years to save the world", " the planet will be gone by 2020", we'll die from starvation by the end of the 1970s, "10 more years to save the planet"... it's a load of cobblers. The warnings and predictions never come true. On the other hand, they love conning us out of our money. 😂 It's so blatant.

[@richard1342]

Interestingly, I have detected the latest statements from the alarmists have changed (again) and now they talk about the temperature in south Asia and the equator being exceptionally high. They think up an answer for whenever things don't match the narrative

[@jovialmonk2168]

50°C in North India today.

[@darylfoster6133]

I think that's called moving the goalposts.

[@jovialmonk2168]

@@darylfoster6133 I think that is called the pointy end of AGW.

[@DilleyGlobalWeatherCycles]

The broken records mean that we are at the height of the pinnacle and all is expected to be warm at that point - the only way from here is down and cold

[@lapsypal]

I first got interested in climate back in 2006 following Al Gore's out pouring.. What he told us sounded feasible but for one thing, it was Al Gore saying it a man you would not buy a used car from. That got me researching and learning about GSM's and Malankovich cycles etc. The cycles are facts. I also study the E.V.. and am sold on the electric universe. Common Sense. Great work.

[@matsfreedom]

The universe may be electric, but our grids are powered by fossil fuels. Until that changes (unlikely), we need oil and gas like never before. The TINY amount of man-made CO2 has zero effect on the atmosphere, and a little more just might do wonders for the green things on the planet. Having said that, our greatest fear should be the WEF and their partners in crime, such as Blackrock and Vanguard. They are in the middle of a plan to take everything we own and then place us in 15-minute cities, living off of rationed foods and mandatory "healthcare." BTW, climate change is the WEF's main reason for their sadistic plans. By 2030, the world may be a living nightmare.

[@markrowley8177]

Al Gore was pushing Global Warming as a way to put in place a GLOBAL CURRENCY- Co2!! So his rich mates have a convenient way to move money around the World. It has since morphed into GLOBAL CHANGE as a way to COLLAPSE all modern western economies under the weight of expensive so called RENEWABLES! To put in place, a GLOBAL CENTRAL DIGITAL CURRENCY!!!! All about the rich getting richer, by controlling what you buy.

[@davecody5997]

This is the reality there is just climate !!!!!

[@chonpincher]

“Solar insolation” - how can insolation be anything other than solar?

[@tjsas2]

Very good work. But the best is the final idea: "let's forget the past, and we will forecast your future, trust us"

[@orsoncart802]

8:50 - I was surprised at the mentioned difference in strengths of the gravitational forces at the Moon’s perigee and apogee. But contrary to my expectations it is indeed large! Quick check. The Moon’s orbital eccentricity e is on average about 0.055 (per wiki). Which means the ratio of its semi-major to semi-minor axes is about 1.0015 = 1/√(1-e²), i.e. the orbit is extremely close to circular. BUT! The foci of the orbit are at ±ae, where a is the semi-major axis (= 239,000 miles). The ratio of apogee to perigee is therefore (1+e)/(1-e) = 1.116. Since the gravitational force varies as the inverse square, the ratio of the forces at perigee and apogee is therefore 1.116² = 1.25. Oh! Surprise surprise! 😁

[@nitrostudy9049]

Your comment interested me and got me to look further. For interest, here is a closely related comment by Paul Grimshaw on Quora ... "At apogee the Moon is at a centre to centre distance from Earth of around 406,700 km compared with 356,500 km at perigee. Gravitational acceleration is proportional to this distance squared which means that at perigee this acceleration (for Earth or Moon with respect to each other) is: 406700(^2)/356500(^2)≈1.30 times that at apogee, or in other words a 30% increase. However for an object on Earth there is no net acceleration due to this gravity at either extent because the Earth is in free fall towards and therefore in orbit relative to the Moon. The Earth and the Moon both elliptically orbit a common centre of mass between them, although this centre of mass is always beneath Earth’s surface as Earth is around 81 times more massive than the Moon. As a result of this Earth, the centrifugal acceleration experienced by an object on Earth cancels out the gravitational acceleration. Well almost. This cancellation only happens precisely for an object at the same distance from the Moon as Earth’s centre. However an object on Earth’s surface closer to the Moon experiences a net gravitational effect, whereas an object on the surface furthest from the Moon experiences a net centrifugal affect. This is called the tidal acceleration due to the Moon. When you calculate the size of the tidal acceleration on Earth due to the Moon you find that its proportional to the object’s offset to/from the Moon relative to Earth’s centre and inversely proportional to the cube of the distance of the Earth from the Moon. As a consequence the tidal acceleration when the Moon is at perigee is: 406700(^3)/356500(^3)≈1.48 times that at apogee, a 48% increase. This is one of the reasons that the ocean tidal extent in any location varies so much, the other major reason being the combined impact of the tidal effect due to the Sun on the tides."

[@MrSmithwayne]

I am also noticing our days are actually cooler this spring and the northern hemisphere is starting to cool quite a bit from this time last year.

[@gabrielback5615]

Damn, I was enjoying the warming of our weather here in western Canada, not looking forward to going back to the cold of the 70s, or worse.

[@jovialmonk2168]

You won’t be. Eventually you will have very long very hot days. Lower latitude and higher altitude is the way to go to escape hellaceous heat.

[@FrankId]

​@@jovialmonk2168climate cult repetitive rubbish trolled continously

[@jovialmonk2168]

@@FrankId High latitude areas lijem northern US and Canada have long summer days. These days are going to get very hot for hours and hours every summer day. When I moved I moved a few degrees latitude south but also over 200 metres up. I suggest anyone thinking of moving don’t look to high latitudes for cooler climate but instead move to higher areas, 600' or more above sea level.

[@antonellobacchetti2429]

Amazing work in this 4th presentation video podcast! David actually has 55 years of experience this year! The cold is at the mere beginning, step by step we'll get there, in the meantime lots of rain and snow precipitations increase this year, everything is coinciding, multiple cycles coming together, solar decline starts in 2025, in fact as I expected David says this solar cycle is peaking this year, oceans are getting colder, but the masses? Will they be aware? I think by summer 2026 50-60% of the people will understand the lies about the climate, by 2030 almost everyone will have understood the truth of the real state of things, interesting to notice how most scientists who tell the truth indicate the year 2030 as the year which will mark the time when the warming is going definitively bye bye, also other scientists say that. This should be watched by at least 100 million people, the problem is that most people around the world still rely on the mainstream media, so they're gonna realize the truth in the hard way! And many of them will be unprepared! Thank you Tom and David for the amazing work!

[@TheJeffcurran]

Excellent work.

[@AndyJarman]

Well fossil fuels do create a lot of global conflict. Finding a reliable indefinite source of energy seems like something we'd be better off with. Living in Australia I'm very keen on hydrogen internal combustion engines. We have that much sun, wind and rain, over such huge seemingly vacant areas - granted the rain is frustratingly seasonal but it's not impossible to store or desalinate given the political will.

[@DAVID-io9nj]

I remember the climate scare of the 70's was the depletion of fossil fuel! We were assured that oil would be all used up in the imminent future 50 plus years later, the oil stock seems to be as high as ever. Meanwhile all the alternate "green" energy sources remain impractical, mostly on the basis of true cost of production.

[@AndyJarman]

@@DAVID-io9nj but if you noticed when Trump started mining oil shale and the US became independent of Saudi and gulf oil there was a remarkable reconciliation between Israel and the Gulf states. When they have the rug pulled from under them and have to think twice about who's interested in defending them, they seem to be able to bury the hatchet.

[@Bemvers1]

I too am fed up with the Henny Pennies!

[@ricoman7981]

The Pacific warming cycles shows approx 1 degree of warming at the peaks and the Atlantic shows warm peaks about 0.2 of 1 degree. Just curious what causes the difference, proximate land mass, deep ocean cold water current exchanges, Pacific active under water volcanic eruptions and tectonic activity, areas with continuous underwater natural methane venting, some other reason?

[@michaelwebber4033]

I just watched a guy names Myles Allen talking on a Gresham college lecture. You should go watch it and possibly talk to him. He seems to think global warming is real. It would be fascinating to watch you debate him

[@kated3165]

NASA also thinks global warming is real... I'd love to see THAT debate!

[@mikeholling8830]

Did you watch and listen to this podcast? Dilley didn’t say there’s no warming he explained how it comes and goes in cycles. I guess history and facts don’t matter if you’ve drunk enough of the koolade.😂

[@kated3165]

@@mikeholling8830 What Kool aid? The great global conspiracy theory that somehow every top scientist from top institutions around the world got in on? You understand how insane it would be to pull off something like this??! Not every country controls their scientists the way China can... Plus you'd need all the governments agreeing on the same thing and coordinating things in a similar way which... well it's hard enough to get TWO countries to do that, let alone all of them!! Why is this so much more believable than the fact that many of the wealthiest companies are making all of their money in fossil fuels and are willing to do anything to convince people not to divest? Which starts with convincing people to not believe in Climate Change?

[@edru8567]

Record high temperatures around the world right now and increasing, you are lying to yourself big time.

[@FrankId]

​@@edru8567if you take lidar readings over the total atmosphere and not just highly corrupted surface readings the results are very different and the sky is not falling as the climate cult lemmings howl

[@Dkrpan59]

It’s been getting colder since the Minoan and Roman warm period

[@tony3785]

Wish you guys would show calculations ie: radiative forcing. Due to CO2 R=5.35 ln C/C0 And show how little the CO2 concentrations contribute to temp change The max is 3 watts/sq meter which when put into the earth energy balance equation is about 0.68 degrees k. I wish you’d show how the increase in CO2 causes the temperature to become assymtotic as CO2 increase and the limit temp can increase Also .. when will someone show that CO2 has an emissivity of less than 1. Which by Kirchhoff law says that absorbtivity also = emissivity ! We must start showing calculations using Mann, Hansen, Manabe equations to show how little CO2 affects temperature! We gotta stop bringing a knife to a gunfight ! Manabe does not mention CO 2 when he wrote about GREENHOUSE GASes.. I’m fed up with the whole AWG shit! O3 depletion,as explained by Dr Quin bin Liu Waterloo University and Dr Peter Langford Ward Really explain why the planet heats up! O3 depletion means more high energy UVB RADIATION heats the planet not CO2 by absorbing and emitting IR .

[@dbiedler]

Thank you.

[@lmj5994]

Great discussion thank you for this presentation.

[@Henrikbuitenhuis]

Thanks so much for the video and info

[@baneverything5580]

Thanks David. I subbed.

[@gwaeronwindstrom6303]

Это правда. В России с 23 на 24 годы зимой снега было просто немерено. Это самая снежная зима на моей памяти. Несколько дней морозы по -25-30 градусов по Цельсию и потом несколько дней мощнейших снегопадов и так всю зиму. По полметра (1,5 фута) снега в сутки выпадало, и это в центральной России а не на севере, мы замучились откапывать автомобили.

[@jacksek12]

And we will all die and the earth cam purge itself of us

[@gossedejong9248]

Absolutely brilliant!!!!!!! Thank you..

[@michaelcoghlan9124]

Brilliant video an shown/explained so well, thank you very much for this work. ❤ God Bless to you both..M

[@klaushoegerl1187]

40:32 where does this time series come from? Koelle did not publish it. BTW, the scientific literature about tree rings / ice core data I found is not consistent with the curve. Koelle was one of the guys who postulated a 100year decrease of the the global temperature from 2010 on. Current annual temperature is 0.5 °C higher than 2010.

[@DilleyGlobalWeatherCycles]

Other graphics of temperature during past 5 thousand years or so show the same type cycles. We just do not see it so far cut it down to about 1200 year period and expand it and you will see the cycles. Remember it was much warmer in Greenland 1000-1200 years ago than today and this was with out burning of fossil fuel The global warming alarm is do not want people to know about cycles prior to 1850 and that is because they want people to only know about the current global warming cycle - this is brainwashing and very poor science

[@michaels4255]

Single years can be up or down, like your scale if you are on a weight loss diet which will go higher some days even if you are in a calorie deficit. That is why you should be comparing multi-year moving averages of temperature, not one year versus another year.

[@nigelliam153]

Climate is 30 years average

[@baxrok2.]

Thanks!

[@shongololo9778]

How long will it take CO2 levels to drop when the cooling starts? The CO2 levels seem to be the main yardstick used by the press to try and frighten us

[@Bebopin-69]

Hundreads of years. So for the most later part of todays youngsters life, the climate will likely cool(that s an average over long term) while co2 going up. Gotta wonder how the narrative will go about that.

[@jovialmonk2168]

Ummm if it is cooling (be nice if it was!) would not more carbon be burned for people to stay warm?

[@jovialmonk2168]

@@Bebopin-69No chance of cooling. We likely will need to see the 60cm of SLR as the Thwaites “Doomsday Glacier” slides into the sea. Start will be this decade.

[@tconbo4514]

​@@jovialmonk2168yer man just stated categorically and with strong evidence that the poles are already colder and that warming in certain parts of Antarctica is down to volcanic activity but the continent as a whole is colder.

[@jovialmonk2168]

@@tconbo4514 Not what real scientists say. The Southern Ocean is the fastest warning ocean basin and AGW definitely seems to be accelerating.

[@lookeast3047]

Excellent! Common sense.

[@davidwynne2005]

But but but..... this doesn't look like a.hocley stick ?

[@stopthatluca]

Do the climate models not use these cycles in their predictions?

[@baneverything5580]

Their "predictions" are political mumbo jumbo based upon altered, manipulated & ignored data.

[@DilleyGlobalWeatherCycles]

They do not use it - they prefer political science and/or follow the political grant money

[@ricoman7981]

Climate science + political science = science fiction QED

[@donaldclifford5763]

@@DilleyGlobalWeatherCycles The models assume the conclusion and work the numbers to appear to support it.

[@jovialmonk2168]

@@donaldclifford5763 No, scientists formulate and test hypothesis against actual empirical observations, not the fairy floss that is this KZbin.

[@sheridangatley8648]

Tom and David - I might possibly say this is probably one of the best of your podcast vids - really amazing. I found this to be a larger piece of the jigsaw puzzle on maybe understanding in a bit more detail the very complex science of Global Cimate Change. The cycles relating to the Earth made sense to me and might explain what has happened in the past especially beyond the last 170 years since the industrial revolution and the allegedly massive effects of CO2 - which has been blown apart on many aspects. THANKS AGAIN FOR YOUR EFFORTS ON THIS TOM AND DAVID 😊😊

[@rogerdale5451]

...Good speaker.

[@plebtron]

This video certainly helps make sense of the urgency of the changes being forced on populations. It isn't climate hysteria at all it's more of a conspiracy .

[@thomaspaaruppedersen6781]

To be fair, isn't the 12 year statement about how much longer we have to seriously curb our emissions and then continue to do so? I am sure someone will have said 'We're going to die in 12 years' but there are also crack pots on 'our side' who say things like 'there is no such thing as a greenhouse gas'. I had a long and unfruitful discussion with one of those in the comments 3-4 weeks ago.

[@Rid3thetig3r]

Depends on the emissions, I suppose. Carbon dioxide isn't a problem. Actual pollution, heavy metals in our water supply, unwanted plastic in places it shouldn't be, absolutely get rid of it all. But as India and China outstrip the rest of the world's emissions combined, having the people of Europe and North America sit shivering in the dark, eating bugs, isn't going to change anything. We could literally stop everything we're doing and not make a blip on the graph of increasing emissions. I'll say it again: carbon dioxide isn't, can't be, and never has been a problem, only if it gets too low, which is the end of all life on Earth (except for a few microbes).

[@andyman8630]

@@Rid3thetig3r humanity produces 29 gigatons annualy, nature prooduces 750 gigatons annually - we're not even a drop in the ocean

[@matsfreedom]

Our biggest threat today is the WEF and their partners in crime, such as Blackrock and Vanguard. Agenda 2030 is their plan to remake the West to their liking. Kooks, all of them. CO2 may be a greenhouse gas, but it's statistically at zero % in our atmosphere. If we somehow could double this amount (not likely), atmospheric CO2 would still be near zero. Water vapor is the Earth's main greenhouse gas. Let's see then disparage that!

[@jovialmonk2168]

@@Rid3thetig3r CO2 is the main greenhouse gas.

[@FrankId]

​@@jovialmonk2168which results in accelerated vegetation growth, food production etc. No agreement on correct level of co2 presently. Big cry wolf propaganda by the climate grifters.

[@glenndavis4452]

It’s definitely the interaction between the earth and sun that leads to climate differences. The slight changes in axis are the difference between a hot summer and a freezing winter, for example. There’s also a window for geothermal input (El Niño, etc) as the tectonic plates push around the thinner crust areas. Definitely not the fairy tale physics of trace ppm heating the giant planet.

[@baneverything5580]

Don`t forget volcanoes and space impacts. These have repeatedly altered history even in the past few thousand years. They don`t want this known for some reason.

[@glenndavis4452]

@@baneverything5580 I think the estimate of “snowball earth” timeline matches the last Yellowstone eruption. Within margin of error.

[@jovialmonk2168]

@@glenndavis4452 The sun has brightened 6.5% since the Cambrian Period. There won’t be a snowball earth.

[@glenndavis4452]

@@jovialmonk2168 The point of the Yellowstone volcano theory is that sunlight will not reach earth surface for long enough to have significant ice coverage. Which reflects sunlight after that. It is a geological belief (?) that ice covered most of the earth 700,000 years ago. You can look it up.

[@jovialmonk2168]

@@glenndavis4452 The two snowball earths were much farther back in the geological record.

[@Nuts-Bolts]

With the Earth’s magnetic field weakening rapidly, more cosmic rays will get through the magnetosphere and create more clouds which will accelerate cooling. Also, the Earth’s climate is bistable. The change when the climate flip happens is very fast. Noticeable changes within a human life span. So by the end of 2040’s we could be back in the full on Ice Age. Goes without saying, that by then the magnetic polar excursions may have happened if the magnetic field weakens at it present rate of acceleration. This, going by fossil records, is a very major extinction event.

[@michaels4255]

Yes, but we have tracked the Eemian very closely for millennia, and still are tracking it. Based on that, we have a few thousand more years before sea level starts falling aggressively, and several thousand more years after that before we get the big drop off into full glacial conditions (and even then the vegetation in southern Europe did not change until an additional 5000 years after northern and central Europe's vegetation changed). Still, the warm and stable phase of the interglacial is ending during the next 500 years, and the climate will be much less stable (based on what happened at the analogous phase of the Eemian which we are tracking very closely) than it was during the part of our interglacial that is now almost behind us.

[@jovialmonk2168]

@@michaels4255 Ummm, next glaciation is like 50Kyears away-just project the Milankovitch Cycle forward. With CO2 > 300ppm no major ice age will happen.

[@jovialmonk2168]

The earth’s magnetic field is not weakening rapidly, 9% in 200 years-NASA figures.

[@dks13827]

not so fast..........we went to public schools.

[@sirjohng1]

Alternatively, Al Gore says we should ALL be dead by every ten years since the sixties😢

[@climatebell]

David exudes experience and gives a presentation I very much appreciate to tie together much of the historical record.

[@donaldclifford5763]

And very understandable. Thank you.

[@TheAndybow1964]

Thank you for saying these facts. Whenever I've mentioned any of these facts I'm told they are evil and mustn't be said.

[@jamesnasmith984]

Does that mean nobody will be alive to witness it?

[@HiwasseeRiver]

There seems to be an connection between solar cycles and the orbit of the Sun and Jupiter around the barycenter - does that cycle impact the climate pulses?

[@dks13827]

Maybe... but a lot of cash is there for the taking.

[@jackdeniston6150]

So, what will the grifters move on to? Feminism is dying, racisim is dying....Maybe we can preempt

[@benchapple1583]

That is the 6 million dollar question and one that I have wondered about.

[@jackdeniston6150]

@@benchapple1583 yeah, Billions

[@baneverything5580]

Racism is at record levels among democrats.

[@chapter4travels]

There will always be something to be aggrieved about but nothing as lucrative as the climate scam.

[@chrislewis9014]

Perhaps that living outside a ‘megacity’ is irresponsible and harms the planet. Of course they must track everyone’s behaviour to keep us and the planet safe. 😀

[@Patricio-nw7rs]

Nice job looking at actual climate science. Thanks Professor Dilley.

[@stevet8121]

The problem is there won't be much left to save in 6 years.

[@roginutah]

What will happen when the temps go back down? They will scream "Success!" and keep on pushing. They had this info decades ago. They already have the 'answers' to tell you.

[@goldcountryruss7035]

33 Minutes in and no mention of CO2. Finally, a little CO2 at 34 minutes, and I really mean little bit of CO2. I like it!

[@user-ir1jz8vf6g]

Very interesting. Although in France in teh medias such explanation is totallly forbidden! Thank you for thiese clarifications!

[@nooa69]

So basically we should more concerned about cooling than warming. Can't grow food in winter.

[@woodchipgardens9084]

Wild Fires raging in Canada.

[@nancybaumgartner6774]

They are being intentionally set

[@FernandoWINSANTO]

Canadian forest fires are lit by lightnings.

[@klaushoegerl1187]

@@nancybaumgartner6774 80% of burned area in Canada is caused by natural ignition

[@davzer3773]

Then Canada needs to make it illegal to light a campfire in the forests.

[@woodchipgardens9084]

@@davzer3773 pine needles and grass seed is the problem.

[@avatarcowboy2435]

What if warming "advocates" really do understand that it is cycles and are using the warming phase to implement political and economic changes, and then use the cooling phase as proof that their changes were needed?

[@anthonymorris5084]

You definitely got the first part right. The warming "advocates" have one goal - undermine capitalism and destroy the Western world which they openly despise. The climate "movement" is the domain of the Left. It is activists driven. It's the same people advocating for open borders, soft on crime polices, defunding the police, defending homeless camps, and on and on. They want chaos. They want to deprive the Western world of inexpensive reliable energy, the life blood of industrialization and Western power and prosperity. Half the things they are advocating aren't even environmentally friendly and don't work. Wind and solar come to mind. They know these things won't work. That's the plan.

[@donaldclifford5763]

Well people are starting to figure this out. Like people here viewing this YT vid.

[@jovialmonk2168]

The warming now is not cyclical but is due to atmospheric CO2, CH4, O3 etc.

[@avatarcowboy2435]

@@jovialmonk2168 Even if you are right, which you are not, the positives of global warming outweigh the negatives. Why do global warming advocates research possible negatives but ignore positives? Also, please provide verifiable, objective evidence of positive feedback loops with greenhouse gases, especially CO2, Waiting.

[@jovialmonk2168]

@@avatarcowboy2435 AGW has been slight and even benign-see our Canadian friend up above?-but it is getting to the brutal stage. Heard of like the last 9 months that have all been the hottest month in the 178 year temperature record and in paleoclimate reconstructions going back further? People dying of heat in Mexico and northern India (50°C temperature reached, imagine that!) 2016 Adelaide got to 46°C, Pt Augusta to the north of Adelaide got to 49.5°C. Better lay in massive stocks of sunscreen. I moved from Adelaide (heat capital of Australia) to a more comfortable and higher above sea level spot in Tasmania-expect to see melting and fracturing of the eastern part of the ice shelf of the Thwaites Glacier this decade, 60cm/2' of sea level rise will follow with potential for 5m/16' later. Read about the Thwaites Glacier and the West Antarctic Ice Sheet. Read about the Eemian period ≅ 125K years ago, about temperatures and sea levels then. These sort of videos, they used to be about “the” Grand Solar Minimum, anything so people felt that *something* would take care of AGW. “The” GSM did not come so now we have “cycles.” Cycles without mechanisms to drive them are fantasy.

[@kubhlaikhan2015]

This is one of the best overviews of the real science I've seen. You omit only one (but a VERY important) factor - atmospheric particulates. The current warming trend is almost certainly related to the reduction in sulphur and carbon (not carbon dioxide) emissions due to the end of coal-fueled heating, clean air legislation, catalytic converters, deindustrialisation and, most recently, the two years of COVID lockdown. I'm not saying air pollution is a good thing, but it entirely changes climate change predictions.

[@goansunborn]

Very nice podcast. I enjoyed the analogy to the cyclical life of humans and the need to have phases of rest. Expansion and contraction. My feeling is that humans haven't really evolved that much in terms of spiritual growth and the fear of death and the incessant need for control. People have been predicting the end of the world for thousands of years and carry out various rituals and practices to feel that in some way they have control. This in my eyes is at it's peak in civilisation now which is being played out with net zero and measuring every statistic imaginable to feel that 'we are doing something about it.' Rather than surrendering to the natural comings and goings of all things.

[@rvdb8876]

SEARCH FOR: "Semantic Scholar Glacier and lake-level variations in west-central Europe over the last 3500 years". During Roman times there were virtually no glaciers in the Alps, while in 1859/60 they reached their maximum size of the past 3500 years thanks to the Little Ice Age.

[@portuline]

I hope this is correct. I am fed up with all climate alarmism. Nonetheless I support most environmental and pollution policies, namely concerning plastics and recycling. Protecting nature and biodiversity should be a concern.

[@robcometa]

King Charles has already extended it until 2050. Thanks King Charles for saving us all! :-D

[@birtybonkers8918]

Thanks for the detailed look at climate cycles. There’s no question in my mind that modern warming may have CO2 effects but undoubtedly has natural cycle effects and a cooling phase should not be a surprise. However, the problem with a surface cooling scenario is that the heat has to go somewhere. Insolation changes do not account for this fully, I think, so we need to propose either that the surface heat gets taken to deep ocean, that there is an increase in radiative cooling of the atmosphere or that an albedo increase reduces heat retained. No model is complete without dealing with not just temperature, but also the heat. Thoughts?

[@michaels4255]

The heat escapes into space. Without replacement heat coming in from the sun, we would all freeze to death. With just a little less incoming heat, we get a little cooler.

[@birtybonkers8918]

@@michaels4255 yes, that’s the radiative cooling of the atmosphere I referred to. In order to get global cooling by that process the rate of radiative cooling has to increase. I am interested in how, in detail, this might happen.

[@jovialmonk2168]

@@birtybonkers8918 Remove most of the CO2 from the troposphere.

[@FrankId]

​@@jovialmonk2168do that and vegetation is reduced or eliminated along with the human race. Bravo, great suggestion.

[@lowhat]

How come they don’t about this on the news?

[@jovialmonk2168]

It is fantasy, first promoted 14 years ago, found to be wrong so is polished up and represented. This is “science” apparently.

[@davidperry3096]

Some common sense at last

[@pammatiti]

@22:03 you state 2022 and 2023 spring summer were the coolest on record in the Arctic but don't give a source, according to the NOAA site report card 2023 was warmest summer and says nothing about 2022 or the spring time- Please cite where you re getting your info from, thanks (edited again) I watched your video a 3rd time and found the refs. later on in the video-thks again

[@MultiMig123]

Excellent podcast!

[@ingridschmall3289]

8:53 Erde und Mond sind doch ein Doppelplanetensystem, das um einen in der Erde liegenden Punkt rotiert.

[@Richard482]

Did Algore actually say the Arctic sea ice would be gone by 2016?

[@DilleyGlobalWeatherCycles]

Summer ice

[@Richard482]

@@DilleyGlobalWeatherCycles Well that's one correction,. Also he didn't predict anything. In an Inconvenient Truth for instance, he said that one study suggests no summer arctic ice by 2013.

[@mhondoro1]

Thank you, good information. How does all of the geoengineering and weather control effect the earth? Do we even have any 'natural weather' cycles left? I have always wondered if all of the chemical clouds hold in more heat? It sure seems like it. TY

[@DilleyGlobalWeatherCycles]

I will be a keynote speaker in June at a organization meeting. That is trying to stop geoengineering

[@dks13827]

I don't think so. plus, what will this God forsaken place look like ?

[@klnine]

The AGW scam is bigger than the Aploow scam

[@antonellobacchetti2429]

Amazing work in this 4th presentation video podcast! Dilley actually has 55 years of experience this year! The cooling is at the mere beginning, step by step we'll get there, in the meantime lots of rain and snow precipitations increase this year, everything is coinciding, multiple cycles coming together, Zharkova says solar decline starting in 2025, in fact as I expected also Dilley says this solar cycle is peaking this year, oceans cooling is starting, but the masses? Will they be aware? I think by summer 2026 50-60% of the people will understand the lies about the climate, by 2030 almost everyone will have understood the truth of the real state of things, interesting to notice how most scientists who tell the truth indicate the year 2030 as the year which will mark the time when global warming is going definitively bye bye, like Andrey Fedotov from the Russian Academy of Sciences says. This should be watched by at least 100 million people, the problem is that most people around the world still rely on the mainstream media, so they're gonna realize the truth in the hard way! And many of them will be unprepared! Thank you Tom and Dilley for the amazing work!

[@DilleyGlobalWeatherCycles]

It is all proven science and farmers and people have known this through the ages. It is just been covered up by the political science, literature, errors, ice, core review journals, milankovitch cycles are also science. Cycles of a moon and cycles of climate are also proven science journal papers. The cycles of the oceans are also in view journals and I just put everything together so everyone can see how it all falls together. This instead of tunnel vision just one scientific journal

[@jeffa6836]

The data makes a lot more sense if you look at the raw measured or locally averaged data. It looks very sinusoidal. If you understand what happens when you average multiple sine waves with different amplitudes, phases, and periods then the shape of the global average curve makes sense. Except that contrary to what we are told, this suggests that the global average temp will begin going down in the future just like the local data is doing in many places. The state i live in has been going down in average temp for around a decade but the climate report only mentions the warming relative to 1895....it's scientifically dishonest.

[@Hickalum]

Listen to the BBC Today is the hottest day in NW England since 30 milliseconds after the Big Bang.

[@williamtyndale1402]

The Australian Bureau of Meteorology is revising DOWN previous high temperatures to ensure upcoming warm temperatures are record breaking and unprecidented

[@jovialmonk2168]

Bullshit!