Deep Dive 06/06/2023 - Humidity rises, what happens next? - Met Office weekly weather forecast UK

This is an in-depth Met Office UK Weather forecast for the next week and beyond.
Following more than three weeks of static weather patterns, subtle changes to wind direction will result in big changes to the UK’s weather. Bringing you this deep dive is Met Office meteorologist Aidan McGivern.
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We are the Met Office, the UK’s national weather service, and every day of the week we bring you a morning weather forecast and an afternoon weather forecast so that wherever you are in the UK we have you covered.
Forecast and any weather warnings are accurate at time of recording. To ensure you have the most up to date weather information, check the hourly forecast and live warnings on the Met Office website or app.

[@polfs]

I bloody love watching these, i really do enjoy the longer informal format of them. also, Aidan has a fantastic ability that makes me personally feel like he's just talking directly to me. Please keep making these. :)

[@radders261]

Best explaination of a skew-t I have ever seen! Bravo👏

[@petermurphy3008]

Particularly enjoyed your description of tephigrams; perhaps if there is a week when the weather isn't as interesting you could give a more general discussion of humidity and dew point in relation to weather.

[@lancem8713]

Great to see skew-Ts being discussed in a deep dive! This IOW storm chaser is cautiously excited about our first plume event of the year...

[@radders261]

Indeed. I struggled at first but if I had have seen this years ago, it would have been much easier. These charts look so much more complicated than they are. Hats off to the meto and aiden 👏

[@MichaelFalveyTywardreath]

I'm a retired sea Captain, 30+ years crossing our oceans under sail, where understanding the weather is critically important. In days gone by before the satellite and the weatherfax we watched the barograph like hawks, the wet finger and Buy Ballots law was all we had. The most fascinating thing about observing the weather is that there's always more to learn, every day the weather is unique. Thank you for your diligent work preparing these lectures and your boundless enthusiasm and for sharing your proffesional knowledge of all thats happened to our understanding of the weather since those inscrutable times. Fantastic and thank you.

[@duncanfollis6098]

Absolutely fascinating. Thank you Aidan . My wife and I watch these together, totally absorbing. Please continue doing these.

[@matthaxx7137]

Outstanding! The best deep dive yet IMHO. The computer model(s) are incredible, the graphical interface is astounding, the human interpretation brings it all together (odd, how with all this computing power we still need a weatherman to tell us if its going to rain..) As an ex-display systems engineer and current trainee pilot I learned more in the last 20 minutes than any previous hours or days I can remember. Thanks.

[@GregLloyd76]

Nice explantion of Skew-T / Tephigrams Aiden! Tricky charts to explain!

[@pauldavidson2443]

A demonstration of passion for one's topic is infectious viewing!

[@outspokenprojects]

Fab update as usual. I love learning more about the weather and as a novice paraglider - find these deep dives really helpful. Cheers

[@jimrobin]

You'd make a wonderful university lecturer! Great broadcast and well done! 👍

[@mollypenwhistle7918]

Brilliant Aiden, please can we have more little lectures, makes it even more interesting, love these “deep dives” 😀

[@zoeschofield]

Loved the Skew T charts and your explanation! Fingers crossed for some interesting weather over the weekend!

[@Minniemoo2025]

Love these deep dives. I’m an airline pilot and weather junkie and your weather reporting really helps me see the “big picture” for my work week. Keep up the good work 👍

[@robertp1987]

Honestly learning about meteorology from the met office is brilliant! Thank you for this 😊

[@DrJoDuthie]

“When the weather becomes less interesting”!? Can’t imagine the day! Really enjoyed learning about tephigrams. As a bit of a self proclaimed weather geek I was delighted as I’ve never heard of them before. Is climate change making forecasting more difficult?

[@mickeyfilmer5551]

Another very interesting presentation, Just amazing how complex a subject weather forecasting really is. I would have loved to have had a carreer in it, but it was not a subject that was available to us out in the sticks back in the 1970's.

[@marymcandrew7667]

I loved the magic pen, I wanted you to drag it over where we live! Haha. Great explanations, we did a little rain dance as a joke and think that's why the rain is finally coming! Our ground is bone dry in the Scottish Borders.

[@christye4246]

Educated, informed and entertained. Outstanding weather forecast

[@Michael-B26]

I get the feeling Aidan was very happy to be able to talk about a change, finally! His (and Alex's) explanations are superb as ever, even if he's humble enough to say his last explanation wasn't good (when it was actually great) Something I'd love one of you to cover if there is a chance: with all these weeks of north sea cloud and the talk of it "burning back" towards the coast, I'd love to know more about how you forecast the rate it will burn back and what the variables are that influence that.

[@darraghgregory1269]

I'm in Ireland 🇮🇪 and it's been low 20s the past ohh 10 days it's been brilliant but need rain at this stage

[@harrym5415]

Great show. I love the interpretations of skew-t diagrams. More please!

[@peterf9456]

Always very informative and i realize just how unpredictable the weather can be, but i understand details that you talk about with a clearer understanding . Thank you all at the Met Office for your expertise in bringing this Deep Dive session... PeterF

[@stevejosmith]

Darn it, this is just the best! Outstanding forecasts and explanations: keep them coming.

[@ianredsell7976]

This is the best explanation I have seen in my years of learning and teaching weather to hobby sailors as part of their navigation courses. Particularly useful as I am about to eat my own dinner and travel the Atlantic under sail next week. Please keep up this formidable quality. It is outstanding for both content and delivery

[@stevec00ps]

Only just discovered your KZbin channel! I love these deep dives into the forecast and will for sure be back!

[@brickhead48]

This is easily the best explanation of Skew-T i've ever seen, great video!

[@davidkeenan3961]

Hi, i am in Ireland and love watching all your videos. Brilliant job and very well explained.

[@dampchimp]

Great service, learning so much. Please include more comment on wind speed, interesting for those sports that depend on it or need to avoid it. Thanks!

[@wheels5894]

Could you have the sound at a slightly higher level and enable subtitles. Thanks

[@rachelberry1570]

Really enjoy these Deep Dives. I have always been interested in meteorology ever since we did a bit for A level geography back in the 70's. I wish we could have had this sort of explanation back then! Please keep making them.

[@Xbeanie17X]

Absolutely love these deep dives please keep them coming! Thank you once again

[@edwardhart5466]

Brilliant forecast Aidan ,Gold Standard ,,Thank you

[@petertattum2338]

Thank you for another splendid presentation. But where has the volume gone? 😁

[@francesca1963cd]

Is there anything straight forward about out weather?!!!Really enjoy these Deep Dives.Seriously though I learn something new every time.Thank you they are very much appreciated.

[@christinepease890]

thank you, Aidan

[@MCP53]

Great presentation! I do love to here the why, not just the what. I learned a lot. Thanks!

[@martinfriend6464]

With a glass of wine in hand I did have to concentrate hard to keep up although I'm glad there wasn't a test for us afterwards ! Excellent stuff Aiden !

[@grahamrussell3297]

Always had interest in weather never fully understood tephigrams until now. Thanks for your informative description made it much clearer. Best long term forecast always look forward to watching them.

[@kennethphillips963]

Very nice presentation once more which I appreciated. Just a suggestion - maybe keep to metric units for heights. Thanks.

[@wessexguy1]

again great to watch just love the met office

[@jonshearing889]

I so hope you're right Aidan, the temperatures have been shockingly dismal here in Felixstowe for practically the whole year so far.

[@kylepittendreigh8401]

Thanks aiden and met office

[@silentrabbit247]

Great in depth presentation Aidan. Please keep them coming, learning lots of new things about weather. As an outdoors person, I've always been interested in the weather. Meteorologist, such an interesting job, plus you can get things wrong and no one will blame you - ( even become famous like Michael Fish ! ) Just wondering if the 4 computer models are ever combined into a sort of "Master" model ? All the best to the MET Office Team, from the cooler NE Scotland.

[@ssjd396]

These are brilliant 👏

[@steveflitton8903]

I've been watching the weather since I was a child (I'm now into my late 60's) and have kept records from when I was 14. Always been fascinated by thunderstorms. Don't seem to get the big one's imported from France so much nowadays and definitely a decline here in Herts since the 1960's. These so called high level thunderstorms from unstable altocumulus seem to be more common. More in the way of lightning but not much rain.

[@briangibson6527]

We are between Eastbourne and Hastings,Windy all the time🥶🥶🥶

[@jasonsjourneys8321]

Absolutely loved this!! Thank you !

[@kiddcapri1711]

Thx Aiden, love the deep dives. You have a way of explaining things that I can grasp, no offense to the other from the met office. With a bit of luck the met office will quash the other yew toobers who pull data from websites, waffle on and see what they want to see. Side note: love a good thunderstorm, which is second to snow.

[@jrevillug]

Do enjoy these, great to see some of the science behind forecasting. Fascinating stuff.

[@tonycurrie5009]

Loved it. Best weather report I've seen. ❤️🤝

[@ahdam68]

Really enjoying these deep dives and explanations. A suggestion: other deep dives on weather phenomena in the world, for example the Catatumbo lightning storms.

[@martinlewis4797]

Love your graphics and a very informative program. Keep up with the good work

[@theordinaryathlete]

Hope it gets a little but tasty on Sat. Excellent video.

[@suewright1299]

Wow what a fantastic Deep Dive Aidan! I thoroughly enjoyed it, so very interesting and informative. I really enjoyed learning all about the Tephigrams, totally fascinating!! 😮I can’t wait for next week’s! Very many grateful thanks indeed Aidan. BTW is it possible to see the weather balloons and how large are they? Yes I would most certainly like more DDs 😊

[@marknichols554]

Great deep dive! Very informative, interesting and presented perfectly.

[@royhornyak8596]

Great show, but with a dog that is terrified of thunder, and living in Bournemouth it could be a rough weekend. Many thanks for the heads up.

[@martinoban]

It's been glorious here in Oban ! Year's since we've had to water the plants

[@legendelliot94]

Learnt a lot watching this that I never knew. Thanks.

[@dlm5536]

Thank you for this , very interesting and thank you for your detailed explanation.

[@michaelstreeter3125]

Aiden, I really appreciate what you're saying about Tephigrams at 14:00 - I've _just_ signed up with a gliding club and had never heard of them! Now I'm off to do some research! Can I get daily Tephigrams for Dunstable? I'm going to Google it later! Thanks again!

[@roseogrady8785]

Thank You.

[@edwardmacrury5376]

Thanks Aiden, wow tephigrams, who knew. Keep up the good work

[@typez4155]

I love these please keep making them

[@darrenmcgown1939]

Humidity rises, barometer's getting low, according to all sources, the streets the place to go....... oh wait, wrong video.

[@basingstoke63]

Most interesting , Thankyou .

[@johnadams6771]

Thanks Aiden for that lovely explanation of the tephigram and working out cloud base and height. Takes me back to my college days. Would love to have more about the interaction of the atmosphere at different levels.

[@johnadams6771]

Just thinking it would be lovely if we could have the radiosonde data from around the country available in real time, perhaps as another layer in the WOW website, for those of us with a special interest, even if only available after logging in.

[@garrywalton]

Brilliant as always... you might need to explain the tefigrams again.... and again!!

[@spiciestcargo]

Great videos very educational could you cover windsheer, cape and lifted index at some point

[@annemariewhittington2719]

Absolutely true " a wet and windy month of May fills the barn with hay" .. We in West of Ireland have had 23° every day and definitely the barns are filling up!

[@Simon-qn5wm]

It's going to take a dramatic & consistent change to recover this summer.

[@robperry6401]

Fantastic video again!

[@AFlyingGlenn]

Fantastic info for those of us aviation inclined people ;)

[@garryleeks4848]

About time chilly in Essex

[@ruthohare9840]

Yay!! Rain for the SW 🥰

[@philipmurphy2]

Great Deep Dive, Very in depth.

[@onemananddog]

This great. Love the detail

[@jilldickson4352]

Bedfordshire is freezing too with a horrendous cold wind. And no sun. 😢

[@user-ee7tv9zt4i]

One good thing you could add is the CAPE level for times when storms are forcast

[@viviennehamilton4127]

I don’t know why I watch these it only depresses me - but I can’t stop 😂😂😂

[@benjaminstubbs-mindsetcoac5871]

You know some people get crushes on rock stars watching them strut their stuff on stage...well I get the same feeling watching Aiden geek out on the weather. 🥰😅 P.s Great explanation of skew-t graphs. To be fair to Aiden I got it from his last video just fine.

[@Joseph-zc8so]

Really interesting for those who want the extra detail

[@colpatterson]

Brilliant as usual

[@jimparlett4099]

Thank goodness we're getting some rain, just wish it was going to be more persistant and widespread. The soil in Wiltshire is dry - it's gone from around 40% Volumetric Water Content on 10th May to around 20% now, not too far off the level we reached in the driest months of 2022. We need healthy crops and good crop yields to keep down food costs, and the crops need rain to grow well, so lets hope that we get some gentle presistent rain over the next few weeks.

[@user-cu9xr8rn4l]

Awesome! Entropy gets a mention today (love it). So if atmospheric entropy is low, Free Energy must be high - does that mean more chance of energy dissipation and lively thunder storms?

[@skydog230]

So enjoyed today's deep dive, especially the deeper look at tephigrams. As a paraglider pilot I lok at these regularly and thsi has gelped my basic level of understanding move up a gew notches. Over the last week I have noticed that the general met office forecast of surface wind speeds in NW England has been in single figure mph, which is normally OK for launching a paraglider; however the actual winds have been much stronger than this, to dangerous levels, catching some people out. Can you explain why these easterly winds (between the surface and only a few hundred feet up) have been so much stronger than the forecasts? Just to hlep us make mre sense of the general forecast wind strengths. Thanks

[@basingstoke63]

Think I will open a weather shop ; Opening offer ; Buy two thunder storms , get a free bag of Fog . lol

[@irenepaulton3392]

Uh oh, who messed with the sound levels knob? It's been lovely and clear for about 3 weeks but we are back to square one and it sounding quiet. If you are going to be quiet, then please allow subtitles to be used.

[@briangibson6527]

Why dont you ever say about Eastbourne and Bexhill?? Bexhill-on-sea is always cold and windy,Will we see a change??. Great videos though,and thank you.

[@466047]

Very much appreciate the deep dive videos. Am retired airline captain and have always been interested of course in the weather. Used to draw Tephigrams during our ground school training. Please though only refer to heights in feet, please please 🙂

[@vicarious7858]

Love these vids but please up the gain or place the lav mic higher up. It sounds on my end like you have a good few db to play with.

[@davidrichard2761]

A very interesting video, very informative. I’m always interested in why medium sided columnar clouds have a distinct flat base. I know it’s because the air changes at a certain height but I might have expected a more irregular base. I once saw the most amazing circular, stacked lenticular cloud lit up from below by the evening sun over The A1 in Yorkshire. It remained stable for at least an hour. When does the atmosphere become stratified like that?

[@MissFreyja]

Hi Met friends, no content notes but I am going to point out I had to turn the sound right up because it's just a bit too quite, could the computer team have a wee look at that please.

[@Nos_Astra]

High is causing droughts. And two new storms appeared : named two and three

[@PDScally]

Can you include sea temperatures

[@dooley5977]

The weather is never less interesting :D

[@miamiglia]

Hopefully some thunderstorms 👍

[@simonescaglia]

Are you serious 😮

[@simonescaglia]

How can you enjoy with rain!

[@simonescaglia]

Sunny every day!!!

[@anthonypope8429]

what about the north west is it going to warm up or just be cool and rain alot

[@YellowvzzGaming]

YESSS I’m so excited to watch this. I hope it stays warm. I love temperatures around 28 degrees. It’s nice and warm but not extreme. I hope it stays hot pleaseee

[@IsaacKing2006]

Hot weather is awful, do you not remember 40 celsius last year?

[@markhodgkinson8431]

No to higher humidity last year it was like living in a rainforest some days

[@kylepittendreigh8401]

It looks like the thunderstorms are mostly in west