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Drones have been a major feature of the fighting in Ukraine since well before the 2022 invasion - but they have been set apart from other major systems by just how quickly the technology and tactics behind them have evolved.
In this episode, I look at why drones in Ukraine are becoming more dangerous, at the same time as they are becoming much, much more common.
Patreon:
/ perunau
Caveats, Comments and Corrections:
All normal caveats and disclaimers apply
In particular - I would like to note as always that this material has been created for entertainment purposes and is not intended to be a complete or comprehensive examination of the topic in question and should not be relied upon to inform financial or other similar decisions, judgements or evaluations.
I also note that while I describe 10km as a long range for an FPV strike - this is from the point of view of the war as a whole. And FPV strikes significantly beyond the 10km mark have been reported and claimed.
Readings and Sources (temporarily shortened list as I am in transit):
Institute for Science and International Security report on Lancet-3
isis-online.org/isis-reports/...
Lushenko, Paul (LTC, PhD) - The Cult of the Drone: At the two-year mark, UAVs have changed the face of war in Ukraine - but not outcomes
theconversation.com/cult-of-t...
Illustrative report on COTS sourcing of thermal drones
mil.in.ua/en/news/ukrainian-m...
Reporting on Russian use of Repeater drones
mil.in.ua/en/news/russians-in...
Reporting on Ukraine producing flight controllers
www.forbes.com/sites/davidham...
S J Freedberg Jr - The Revolution That Wasn't: how AI drones have fizzled in Ukraine (so far)
breakingdefense.com/2024/02/t...
Reporting on Lancet and its autonomy:
www.forbes.com/sites/davidham...
www.forbes.com/sites/davidham...
Reporting on FPV production:
mil.in.ua/en/news/diy-drones-...
www.bbc.com/news/technology-6...
mil.in.ua/en/news/since-the-b...
kyivindependent.com/fedorov-u...
Featured image of Lancet attack on UA MiG-29
www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe...
Image source for UA troops setting up antenna
www.theguardian.com/artanddes...
Featured article on refinery strikes
www.reuters.com/business/ener...
And the improvised aircraft drone strike
www.twz.com/news-features/rus...
That NZ supermarket meal planning AI I mentioned:
www.theguardian.com/world/202...
Timestamps:
00:00:00 - Opening Words
00:00:40 - What Am I Talking About?
00:01:11 - Caveats And Content
00:01:55 - The New Drone Ecosystem
00:05:00 - The Drones Get Better
00:06:26 - Sensors And Night Ops
00:10:43 - Range And The Value Of Reach
00:19:20 - Targeting & AI
00:27:38 - Lethality
00:39:44 - Countermeasures
00:48:43 - Production
00:57:47 - Implications And Projections
01:10:58 - Channel Update