Election 2015: All outcomes considered - BBC News

BBC's Christian Fraser & Akash Paun (The Institute for Government) consider all possible outcomes in the upcoming general election.
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[@Monroe-is1sz]

*cue conservative majority*

[@bobbypaluga4346]

I am not in the UK, but really does UKIP lose half of the two seats they now have (Tory crossovers) and Farage also gets dumped in his personal fight for a seat? I have not heard anyone predict this worst case senecio for the party that seems to be holding a very steady 15-18% and good strength in certain places.

[@TimeBolt759]

Bobby Paluga It's the way the voting systme works in the UK which is incredibly stupid. It's First Past the post which means UKIP could loose out on it's seat. I would like to point out though that in other pools they have predicted that UKIP would get four seats. Truth is no one knows what this hung parliment is going to look like with so many parties fighting for seats the UK is in very grey territory in how the world of politics will look. In some ways I feel we should embrace this multiparty system as it brings great democracy to citizens but I will admit that it has it's flaws if it did

[@oliverkerins5628]

They analysed all results apart from the one which actually happened

[@Larcey]

Excellent analysis.

[@thepepper191]

Looks like this is Gonna be a close one!

[@billsmith5985]

+thepepper191 Yeah, real closed.....36.6% to 30.7%. REAL close.......

[@mush9103]

this aged well

[@militantman]

@@billsmith5985 well he didn't know did he!

[@olivermadden62]

how ironic that in this election we could be looking at a Hung Parliament when no-one has even mentioned, or dare I say prepared, for it.

[@sb9246]

How right you were

[@cowboys360]

The way for Labour to win is to stop putting candidates in liberal marginals.Labour need liberals to do well, they bite into the conservative vote

[@Megacooltommydee]

Weren't they literally in coalition with the Tories at the time?

[@georgeiii2998]

@@Megacooltommydee The original comment doesn't really apply to this general election as the Tories were heavily targeting Liberal seats. So yes, they were, but it doesn't really matter.

[@IvanHardy-Birt]

Why am I recommended this now, I know we're just to have the 2024 election, but why all this from the 2015 and 2017 elections

[@llieu5642]

Lib dem actually only got 8 seats, down 18 from here, Labour actually got 232, down 37 from here. If we add up those seats to conservatives, conservatives would have 338, which is closer to the real result. Overestimated lib dem and labour.

[@lukeallison3713]

Important to remember their was a modest 1% swing from the tories to Labour(lab up 1.5, tories up 0.5%) and a 2.5% to Labour in England (tories up 1.4, lab 3.6). Clearly a lot of right leaning lib dem voters tactically went tory, with the knowledge that the left of the party had deserted them for labour.

[@IvanHardy-Birt]

Why am I being recommended this now, I know there is the 2024 election coming up, but why all this stuff for the 2015 and 2017 elections

[@алексейгринь-з8е]

whetever it will be the result of elections i wish UK stable grouth and progress.

[@iwasborn8470]

This aged really poorly.

[@bobsinhav]

reminds me of indian elections

[@jaxgibbons6198]

Cue Tory Majority lol

[@thomasbryan6622]

Waste of time watching this

[@freebox1248]

It is all down to how many brits have a backbone to back Ukip and make a real change not just the colour of the party.

[@TheYopogo]

Free Box I have the backbone, but hate UKIP.

[@freebox1248]

Then u dont read lol If you can read then you would vote ukip because it just makes more sense than voting for nothing and thats what the others are giving you nothing.. u will c lol. Ps you will need your backbone to work harder for this old lot because in 2020 we will have 2 million more new comers looking for jobs and sitting in our doctors while having tesco's drop the shopping off to the new home they just took. :) Oh but dont blame it on numbers call it racism

[@theenigmaencoder92]

Free Box Ukip has lost, Mr Farage has resigned. Your working for the conservatives now.

[@freebox1248]

No we are all working for the fat cats, blue / red / yellow forget yellow but u get it , they r the same . He would have been in the face of all Westminster :) it would have been useful and funny but at the same time we all needed a voice . Now we will all see y he hid his plan because it will cut everything but what is really needed. Oh well its 28 outside so down to the beach again as u get what u voted for lol.

[@jacksugden8190]

Was Christian missing his pale Katy from Beyond 100 Days?.

[@robkidd6960]

Vote UKIP and you'll get Cameron

[@fruitloop5942]

***** and I got what I voted for. :)

[@coldyer7795]

FruitLoop5 Then you will get what you deserve. Pity you'll drag the vulnerable and poor down with you.

[@MrPhllo]

RIGGED

[@sangetube]

Most predictions I've seen put ukip on at 6 seats comfortably, with a low of 3 seats and an outside chance of double figures. Where is the BBC pulling 1 seat from from?

[@kingston.m9341]

sangetube obviously the sources were credible because that particular aspect of the prediction was accurate! (hindsight is perfect lol)

[@ef888]

Well whatever their polling data were, it worked quite well :) Hindsight is 20/20

[@atommachine]

Dave get the Ejector seat see ya.

[@atommachine]

Yerr :) well done to him and well done to the SNP. Feel for nick though looks like he took alot of the hit. I forgot some ejector seats have para shoots for a safe return.

[@outsidelight1]

Or maybe not. What a great day!

[@viewersme796]

outsidelight1 Dave promises fails

[@tonyhancock3284]

outsidelight1 If you have millions yes, if not no.

[@militantman]

@@atommachine haha, we need more people like you, people who can take jokes!

[@chonnerone2964]

What a load of old tripe

[@Jamal-Ahmed786]

I really wanna see a labour gov even if it means a deal with snp

[@prideoftheblackcountry1576]

Y to go back into shit

[@TheYopogo]

Pride of the Black country You make no sense

[@ToonandBBfan]

***** Are you on drugs?

[@coldyer7795]

ToonandBBfan Have you had a lobotomy? SNP/Labour would be a brilliant combo

[@jasminebutt405]

Col Dyer it really wouldnt it just mean more debt for us. Everytime Labour has been in government it has left a staggering dept from trying to keep their outragous promises. We have only just cleared up the mess from last time. Do we really want THAT again?

[@johnwarner6345]

BBC The Biased Broadcasting Company, how we have fallen.........

[@tonyhancock3284]

Only the only good tory is a lavatory.

[@JK_2998]

Lavatories are useful, id rather have them running the country :D

[@henrybrennan772]

@@JK_2998 Still feel that way mate?

[@Anti_Immigration]

In UKIP we trust. Please vote for them!

[@derismith765]

Anti_Immigration no

[@joshuabell7761]

No

[@StrongandStable17]

UKIP is dead. And good riddance.

[@thatweatherman4411]

No thanks.