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Election polling is tricky. While pollsters' successes can fill headlines, if they get it wrong, their failures do too. Is there a better way to predict elections?
00:00 - What’s the best way to predict elections?
00:48 - How were elections predicted in the past?
02:36 - How do modern day polls work?
04:32 - Why polls miss the mark
07:14 - How does statistical modelling work?
08:30 - Our French election model
See the data behind The Economist's French election model: github.com/TheEconomist/2022-...
Find out french election coverage here: econ.st/3D70EDW
Will Emmanuel Macron win a second term? econ.st/36M2DBK
“Covid, heating bills, crime-that’s what people will be voting on”-our French-election series begins. Listen here: econ.st/36Jzozx
How we forecast the French election: econ.st/356SLSq
The Economist’s election modelling should cheer Emmanuel Macron: econ.st/3iwgeQ7
America’s battle over election laws: econ.st/3JIi4JG
In France’s election young people are all over the map: econ.st/3IG9euy