On the Tom Cruise question, he’s bigger than the Oscar’s. Love him or hate him, this ceremony isn’t important to him. He’ll keep jumping out of planes, and it’ll be up to the academy if they ever want to award that sort of thing a prize. But he doesn’t need the recognition.
@thedude8948 Жыл бұрын
The "narrative" aspect was really strong this year. You can make the case that all four acting wins were narrative-driven
@glenn8861 Жыл бұрын
The changing lights in the seats were incredible and made the wide, bird's-eye shots incredible to look at.
@charliemartial4897 Жыл бұрын
So can we finally put to rest the Older Voters trope that was consistently being used when describing why EEAAO was not going to win?
@Bryan4Hillary Жыл бұрын
As a huge Oscar nerd, I find you guys incredibly entertaining. I will sit and listen to you and not look at the time once, even though I will look at the time many times during some films of comparable length 😂 thank you for these!
@LukgadePayakorn Жыл бұрын
Oscar is about momentum, not narrative nor performances. If it goes for "narrative" then Glen Close should have won. If it goes for "performances" then Cate/Austin/Kerry should have won. Oscar also didn't care about the age as it goes to Rami Malex and Eddie Redmayne who were still not old at the time they got it. Oscar voters are lazy to think, they just copy whatever award show that comes right before the voting opens!!!
@jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719 Жыл бұрын
This year's Oscar proves that narrative matters a lot. That a strange wacky movie with heart and originality can win big. That the Academy has no problem leaving half of its Best Picture nominees empty-handed. That the BAFTA love for All Quiet on the Western Front was not a BAFTA thing; heck it won 4 Oscars! Can't wait for the next season!!
@candle1606 Жыл бұрын
It seems it is safe to say predictions has to be based on the best narrative not best acting. When I saw who was winning throughout the night I knew Austin will not win It was all about age, comebacks and narratives. Academy’s rating will be even lower next year
@eileengriffin6476 Жыл бұрын
Many movie critics said The Acadamy doesn't like giving the Oscars to people who are under thirty Isn't that age discrimination?
@candle1606 Жыл бұрын
@@eileengriffin6476 you know that is an excellent point
@DavidN369 Жыл бұрын
Been waiting for this all morning. So agree on all your analyses, and certainly The Kimmel.. One thing that struck me was that many spontaneous and/or eloquent and/or witty acceptances repeatedly came from the non-actors -- good night for speeches. As usual, "In Memoriam" had some shocking omissions. What was with the Warner Bros centenary section including MGM films? I know they own the library, but WB didn't MAKE "Singin' in the Rain." Very odd. At least we got an appearance from one of MY favorite performers of 2022: Jenny is undoubtedly fielding agent offers even as this is being typed. As ever, it's our mantra: Youse twose are the berries. More, please, thank you.
@chrisjrosen Жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching and engaging all season!
@allabouteve2390 Жыл бұрын
Blanchett did set several records this awards season; she became the first actor to win 2 trifectas, the actor with the most awards ever and in achieving the latter she became the first actor to pass the 200 awards mark. . Its been a rewarding year, not only for Blanchett but also for others. One of the biggest winners, not in awards but in terms of her career, is Nina Hoss. Finally Hollywood's eyes have been open to her potential, she has a US agent and several new projects in the pipeline. I also love Field's comment about how Blanchett always knows what's going on with everyone on set and would tell him if someone was feeling a little down and needed a break. It's a testament to how seriously she takes the responsibility of being the lead actor. Also a sign she cares for fellow workers of any film spectrum She's often spoke about how the lead role isn't about having the biggest part and the most lines but about setting the tone and setting an example. And her being a true movie lover is her choice to praise fellow women and rivals, having the obvious risk to splitt her votes. Final great thing is this actress who is involved in refugee solidarity movement convinced many to wore the blue ribbon. All in all they took the risk and created a movie for the ages and its been a great, and rewarding, ride for the rare genre of Art House Cinema, so needed especially this era. Thank You Team TAR and sincere congratulations to all winners and nominnees!
@manningbartlett522 Жыл бұрын
49:22 Nothing weird about the JLC/Cate Blanchett link - they were in Borderlands together and CB refers to JLC as "the best human on the planet" in her Variety Actors on Actors piece with Michelle Yeoh.
@rhythmoriented Жыл бұрын
As a musician, I’m having a difficult time reconciling Justin Hurwitz’ loss for the brilliant Babylon score that essentially acted as a narrator. AQOWF was a very good film technically, but this outcome will be remembered for a long time - especially given the cult following that Babylon is accumulating.
@timgriffin3368 Жыл бұрын
TheFilmDrunk would agree
@cherswigmaker Жыл бұрын
That score was pretty derivative of La La Land’s. I was fine with the nom but I’m glad it didn’t win
@queenofwater8783 Жыл бұрын
I felt that All’s Quiet…deserved to be Best Picture period, but I knew it wouldn’t. I was so disappointed that Austin Butler didn’t win, but he seemed to take it well. He will have another chance, perhaps. I look forward to seeing what he does next.
@eileengriffin6476 Жыл бұрын
That's because he is a humble stand-up guy. He was one of the first who stood up & gave Brendan a standing ovation
@sae5053 Жыл бұрын
i think if austin had won at sag awards that day, that would have helped it gain other awards at oscars later but he didn't so even in costume and makeup, elvis slipped and other movies took over
@drewwilliams3079 Жыл бұрын
You guys are awesome. I had three for four in acting. Had Austin winning but as soon as Make up and hair was announced I pretty much knew Brendan was taking home an Oscar.
@Juliagoolia81 Жыл бұрын
Discovered you while deep diving Matthew Goode’s amazing performance in the Offer. What a great interview that was! He’s delightful. Anyway, I’ve really enjoyed your insights since. I ended up getting 16/23 correct, falling short with 4 Elvis picks and nods for Banshees for supporting actress and original screenplay. As much as I loved EEAAO, I wanted Banshees to take something! ANYWAY - I’m still thoroughly perplexed by All Quiet’s overall popularity, especially its production design win. It came in fourth for PD in a few other polls as well. Do you have any additional insight as to what may have happened there? What did you two appreciate about the film? Thanks so much!
@chrisjrosen Жыл бұрын
Thanks, Julia! Just speaking for me here: All Quiet was obviously incredibly popular at BAFTA and war movies do tend to do very well with that group and with the academy in general. It is also the closest thing in this year's race to a craft achievement along the lines of Dune or Mad Max: Fury Road -- especially with Top Gun and Wakanda Forever missing some key nominations that felt pretty locked. So in production design, it seems like with Babylon as a soft frontrunner, Avatar as a sequel the academy liked but didn't love, and Elvis flailing, they went with the movie they loved the most in the category.
@Juliagoolia81 Жыл бұрын
Thanks! That helps a lot. All Quiet certainly was a technical achievement, but with so much originality in the field this year, I found it harder to get excited about another war (or “anti-war”) film. But have I made a war film? No. 😂
@Bryan4Hillary Жыл бұрын
I’m a total EEAAO stan. It moves me deeply and I will rewatch countless times. But I agree, other than a single fav, this wasn’t a super strong year
@Nobody-nv6ds Жыл бұрын
Already can't wait for next year's predictions :)
@DavidN369 Жыл бұрын
Ditto.
@SoulKnightKing Жыл бұрын
Elvis, Triangle of Sadness, Banshees, Fabelmans, TAR 5 of the strongest Best Picthre nominees. 33 nominations. ZERO WINS EEAAO did not deserve every single major award. Oscars said this is the best film of all year. That's disgusting. I love EEAAO but it didn't deserve 3 acting, editing, screenplay, direction, and producing. There were excellent films made in 2022 but the kscars focused more on pandering than awarding the best. HOW DID BLANCHETT LOSE
@indiefilmmillennial8338 Жыл бұрын
I would have liked to see some other films get recognition, but I loved EEAO. And the only win of theirs that gave me pause was for JLC, and even with that, I would have given the prize to Stephanie.
@t-pnaminami3808 Жыл бұрын
EEAAO was the most awarded movie ever even before the Oscars, as calculated by IGN. Oscars was simply a continuation of an epic winning streak. Considering the previous most awarded movie (Return Of The King) got more Oscars, the amount that EEAAO got was on the low side in comparison.
@darylchin53 Жыл бұрын
Why do people forget that A STREETCAR NAMED DESIRE won three Acting Oscars: Vivien Leigh (Best Actress), Karl Malden (Best Supporting Actor) and Kim Stanley (Best Supporting Actress)? The only one who didn't win from A STREETCAR NAMED DESIRE was Marlon Brando (the Best Actor went to Humphrey Bogart for THE AFRICAN QUEEN); it was Brando's first nomination (at age 26), after his debut the year before in THE MEN.
@darrensmith4932 Жыл бұрын
And he made up for it with two best actor wins later on
@gule55 Жыл бұрын
I think is because that was a long time ago
@allabouteve2390 Жыл бұрын
because voters and fans need to have film history lessons before having the ligitimacy to vote or to comment
@Bryan4Hillary Жыл бұрын
I never forget that it won 3, but I always forget (honestly) that Brando didn’t win for it.
@darylchin53 Жыл бұрын
@@Bryan4Hillary In the history of the Oscar, no actor has won Best Actor before the age of 30! There are three: Brando, Richard Dreyfuss, and Adrien Brody. All were 29 when they were nominated, and before the Oscar ceremony, all turned 30. This year, Paul Mescal was the youngest nominee in the category: he turned 27 in February. But you can see how p.r. works: there were lots of comments on how Austin Butler was 31 (borderline in terms of how young he was) but no one mentioning how young Paul Mescal was. Brando's getting four nominations before the age of 30 is an Academy record.
@johndeignan2668 Жыл бұрын
How was The Whale a flop? It made 36 million at the box office against 3 million dollar budget…..
@lauramyers2276 Жыл бұрын
Brendan tipped the scale because of narrative. Everything I’m hearing is voters loved Austin and think he’s so extremely talented that he will be back so that also tipped it to Brendan.
@putinscat1208 Жыл бұрын
The thing is, I've seen Elvis in movies from the 1960s. Why do I have to watch someone pretending. And Elvis is a character that has appeared in other movies, usually by impersonators. I would never give the movie much weight, just like when they do movies about the Beatles or any musician.
@lauramyers2276 Жыл бұрын
@@putinscat1208 This was a story to put his life in context within the times of when he lived and how influential he was and the social and cultural dynamics of that time in the United States. I was actually skeptical when I heard Austin was cast. I thought no way. Then I saw the movie I was blown away. Then I learned how much work he put in (including switching between decades on a daily basis during filming as they don’t shoot in chronological order) and actually sang which no one else has done. Rami Malek as Freddie Mercury did not sing, neither did Rene Zellweger as Judy Garland (a performance that was actually cringe and I still saw Rene not Judy) Austin was fantastic. I wish him a happy wonderful long life and career.
@putinscat1208 Жыл бұрын
@@lauramyers2276 Malek is overrated. You got a popular icon vs a 600 lb dying man. So the makeup argument isn't gonna hold up. I haven't seen either movie. But I would lean towards The Whale just based on content. I would lean towards Whale based on clips, a dying overweight guy, and Austin gyrating on stage.
@lauramyers2276 Жыл бұрын
@@putinscat1208 I have seen them both. And even at my age I enjoy the eye candy that is Austin’s portrayal. As well as poignant and thoughtful. Gyrating not withstanding. 😂 He’s a beautiful young man as was Elvis.
@patcurrie9888 Жыл бұрын
Narrative for Brendan, okay.. Did you see the movie? Everything Everywhere was a narrative too, beating out the narrative for Angela. It had a good message, almost lost with everything going on. I know a few people that turned it off. There was several movies more deserving.
@slc2466 Жыл бұрын
The "Elvis" shutout kept me from winning the main contest I entered (so no thank you very much for that, Academy), but due to hitting all the top eight categories right I still came close and ended up second; listening to Joy and Christopher over the last few months didn't hurt in guiding me on the right path in these categories. So happy to see all the "Everywhere" wins, and for Brendan.
@paigebjerke5635 Жыл бұрын
Kendall said "tightrope walk on a straight razor" in the trailer lol 1:08:16
@GABentCon Жыл бұрын
I never understood why people thought Austin's performance and ''Elvis' in general were "Oscar-worthy."
@Bryan4Hillary Жыл бұрын
On your what if questions… I do think that Michelle still would’ve lost to Jamie Lee in supporting. Spielberg winning director fell to EEAAO, I think Michelle would’ve been similar.
@chrisjrosen Жыл бұрын
I think this is right!
@don5anjos Жыл бұрын
Remembering that back there you didn't even mention EEAAO as a possible candidate, much less an Oscar winner
@adrianhaynes5315 Жыл бұрын
You guys got 60%?, I feel a lot better about my 70% now. I did get all 3 of the shorts correct ✅
@Mntguy-nr9vl Жыл бұрын
Jamie Lee Curtis one because she has a ton of friends in Hollywood and because of her SAG speech which was 3 days before Oscar voting started. I believe Cate Blanchett loss because of her crass cavalier attitude about award shows being trash to paraphrase. She acted too cool for school and then you had that whole business of her getting her friend nominated which was a little dodgy. The only race I wasn't sure of was actor but again Brandon has been around for 30 years and this is his restitution for more or less being blackballed having his marriage fall apart and going into a depression which probably gave him the emotion to have this role so everything happened the way it should!
@donp6441 Жыл бұрын
I don't think Cate was trying to br crass. And she didn't get her friend nominated. She actually doesn't personally know Andrea Riseborough. And Riseborough deserved to be nominated. It was Michelle Williams, who changed to campaigning for Best Actress from a supporting role that took a slot from someone else, and in a not very good movie. Jamie Lee Curtis and Michelle Yeoh eon on narratives and rode the wave of Everything Everywhere All At Onxe.
@candle1606 Жыл бұрын
I am still puzzled how they shut out Elvis all the way , Even if they wanted to give the best actor award to the come back guy the hair and make up should have gone to Elvis because as Tom Hanks said months ago he and Butler both had to go to make up chair for many hours everyday. By the way what hair in whale are we talking about ? How many people in whale were transformed and how many in Elvis?🤔
@maatspear Жыл бұрын
I felt so bad for Angela Bassett. She was so devastated.
@jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719 Жыл бұрын
😬 she was
@matilda0410 Жыл бұрын
Fantastic Oscars telecast. I'm so proud to have been on the EEAAO train all this time and never having wavered. This film and everything it represents is so important. After this and Coda last year, it's about time to see the Academy come into this century. BAFTAS have been so over hyped. Glad I never rode the rollercoaster. This was such an amasing moment in time, and they truly deserve it.
@josephdigristina2808 Жыл бұрын
I don't get Fraser's so called " narrative." I just reviewed his filmography, and with the exception of 1 or 2 films. it's not exactly an impressive resume of quality films. As a matter of fact, most of his films have been pretty darn terrible.
@maplenerd22 Жыл бұрын
The narrative is his comeback story, not his filmography. At one point he wasn't acting or getting roles for a variety of reasons.
@MrROKinROK Жыл бұрын
I agree with the general takes people have re: the factors that contributed to Jamie Lee Curtis's "upset" win (e.g., it was a career award, she had momentum, the movie was popular, she campaigned masterfully, etc.) But there's another factor that I haven't heard mentioned that I think helped nudge her over the finish line. I think some of the voters rewarded her for being "bold." Much like Lady Gaga was lauded for stripping off her makeup and ball gown for her performance, I think some voters gave JLC "extra credit"for going frumpy. And during the course of her Oscar campaign, she made a point of mentioning that she didn't use prosthetics to enhance her midsection. She let it all hang out for the sake of the craft. I think this helped earn her some points in the estimation of some of the voters. And when juxtaposed against someone else who got to be a glammed up bad ass (in a Marvel movie, *ahem*), I think that was helpful to JLC's cause.
@ssshar2176 Жыл бұрын
Great season you two!!!! I can’t wait for Emmy Season!!!
@tylerrigby6060 Жыл бұрын
I'm just happy I got the same percentage score as Joyce! Gutted for Banshees, best film of the year completely shut out.
@elleryprescott Жыл бұрын
Joyce, are you on Letterboxd? 🥺
@frankchan5547 Жыл бұрын
Great comments, chemistry and humour from these two. Love your work
@quirkyjoeAnimated Жыл бұрын
I am ready for PAST LIVES supremacy at Oscars 2024!!! Maybe.
@RichardHannay Жыл бұрын
It’s Parasite and 1917 with the Oscars and BAFTAs all over again
@chocolateindie6 Жыл бұрын
The only reason Elvis win none because SAG is right before the voting for Oscar. If they changed the order SAG then BAFTA then Oscar then Austin/Cate would win.
@terrancemoore496 Жыл бұрын
You actually don't need to watch the whole Oscar show to know the winners and looser. That's why there are highlights and the internet.
@SamBryans128 Жыл бұрын
I was all in on Elvis as well. I had it winning 5. I got all 7 EEAAO though. I counted out All Quiet on the Western Front too easily; I only had it for international feature. I ended up with 16 of 23 correct. I loved the show. After skipping the crafts categories last year, they went HARD on introducing the crafts this year and I loved all the intros set designs, particularly costume and editing. Can't wait for the ridiculously early Oscar predictions! Don't forget Legally Blonde 3 is coming out this year, there's a chance for Jennifer Coolidge to get best supporting actress.
@oldschoolabrahamhicks2742 Жыл бұрын
Such fun! Love this duo, what an amazing season! What to live for now?! Lol
@oldschoolabrahamhicks2742 Жыл бұрын
I thought this season of films was amazing- defo the most interesting bunch in a while for me. Icing being EEAAO
@Mntguy-nr9vl Жыл бұрын
I'm baffled why so many people put weight on the Baftas? It's a completely different voting body than the Sags which is the same voting body only the actors. The Sags are a better indicator of what will happen and it was a 100% precursor. Sometimes there are snafuis like when Sandra Bullock won for the Blind side and Meryl Streep won the sag for Doubt just to give an example.
@moviemarvel7450 Жыл бұрын
Fun Fact: Daisy Edgar Jones would have featured in Naatu Naatu song. Yes, she had signed the film in 2018 but she dropped out of RRR.
@emillion4470 Жыл бұрын
It's disappointing to hear your lackadaisical and dismissive assessment of the most enjoyable and perhaps consequential Oscar season in recent memory. Topped by a surprisingly watchable and heartfelt show on awards night, the Oscars left the audience feeling engaged, entertained and optimistic - for a change. Is it fatigue? A creeping cynicism on both your parts? As much as I've enjoyed your deep statistical knowledge and insider industry insight it's probably a good thing that awards season is now over and we can all push the reset button.
@eileengriffin6476 Жыл бұрын
Austin should have won. He put 3 years of his life & soul into that performance , whereas Brendan only put 3 months into his film. This is BS.. The award shouldn't be about a comeback actor. It should be about the best performance & merit.
@vincelamb4063 Жыл бұрын
Not only did "Elvis" not win a single Oscar, Tom Hanks won two Razzies for Worst Actor and Worst Screen Couple (with his makeup and accent). "Blonde" also won two Razzies for Worst Picture and Worst Screenplay. Cate Blanchett couldn't even earn a nomination at the Saturn Awards for her performance in "Thor: Ragnarok." Tessa Thompson got their nomination for "Thor: Ragnarok" instead. Their other MCU actresses nominated that year were from "Black Panther," Lupita Nyong'o and Danai Gurira, who won Best Supporting Actress at the 2018 ceremony.
@kc8x Жыл бұрын
My predictions were on point this year better than most critics. Happy Babylon went home empty handed bc it was a desaster. I like the Whale Esp the performances.
@blaz5210 Жыл бұрын
Once Make up went to Whale... I said "ok so that means Brandon is winning"... Wow, that movie, while good but not awardsworthy, has won two Oscars. Incomprehensible, since more superior films went home with zero (Tar, Banshees, Elvis, Fabelmans)
@Jorbo23 Жыл бұрын
With the BAFTAs moving before the SAG Awards this season, I think SAG became the better predictor leading into Oscar voting
@dreamliving9669 Жыл бұрын
I agree! If BAFTAs were after the SAG as it was in previous years I think we might have seen a few different acting winners. The SAG momentum right before Oscar voting opened played a factor. But in my view BAFTA was more spot on as the Oscars this year was more about the narratives just like SAG.
@niccage6375 Жыл бұрын
I love EEAO and I love JLC. She's great in that movie, glad she has an oscar, but Angela Bassett should've won instead
@Kevin-rg3yc Жыл бұрын
Damn I also think Angela screen time in wakanda forever messed her up in the long run as well bc (SPOILER ALERT) she’s barely in the film she was a big highlight especially her “have I not given everything” monologue but she was killed off literally in the middle of the second act in fact her being killed off and not giving her more screen time was one of the reasons why many people didn’t like wakanda forever as much as the first black panther film, whereas Jamie was in EEAAO from beginning to end and was given more screen time to showcase her range, from comedic timing to initially looking like a villain before the surprise came to Stephanie hsu to playing different personas/characters
@Mntguy-nr9vl Жыл бұрын
I think it was one of the most exciting Oscars in years. Three of the categories I wasn't sure who was going to win. Sometimes it's a lock and you know months in advance
@branagain Жыл бұрын
Best Oscar Joke: adding Robert Blake to the In Memoriam. Worst Oscar Joke: anything related to the Cocaine Bear.
@sunnnysingh3498 Жыл бұрын
Cannot still believe tar won zero Oscar. What the heck?
@RVandergeld2 ай бұрын
Its a bad movie. Simple as that!
@southpakrules Жыл бұрын
Mirror mirror on the wall, which is the wokest movie of them all? A safe bet to predict the oscars.
@da96103 Жыл бұрын
For those wondering about the ratings: From Deadline: The 95th annual ceremony brought in 18.7 million viewers, a 12% increase from last year when the telecast captured 16.6M viewers. The telecast also was up to a 4.0 demo rating, compared with last year’s 3.8.
@lauramyers2276 Жыл бұрын
That will go back down next year unless Austin Butler gets nominated again. 😂☺️
@whatsup4825 Жыл бұрын
Please force Hugh Grant to host the next Oscars. His scrotum joke got the biggest laugh of the night. 😂😂😂
@richardbegg1186 Жыл бұрын
Joyce's predictions last year for best picture nominations were pretty good actually. With the exception of Everything Everywhere, but she did consider it. kzbin.info/www/bejne/gYrHqoyPobaXjJI