Experts slugfest: 2023 SAG Awards recap -- what does 'EEAAO's' historic sweep mean for the Oscars?

[@DavidBhoy1967]

Jamie Lee Curtis winning makes supporting actress pretty interesting. It’s very rare to have a genuine 3 horse race in an acting category.

[@glenn8861]

If they can give it to Laura Dern for that nothing performance, they can certainly give it to JLC.

[@chillguy102]

Laura was great

[@whatsup4825]

This is the kind of Joyce and Christopher chaos I love to watch on a Monday morning - with a coffee and a croissant in hand!

[@melisagalvalizi6982]

these pundits are so idiotic, like talking about races and speeches, my god!!!! brendan is too good for this horse shit

[@vincentawbrey8800]

Congrats to the SAG Award Producers. They were able to do what ABC had never done. They made a fun award show that ended at a good time.

[@LukgadePayakorn]

My picks at the Oscar: Austin Butler, Michelle Yeoh, Ke Huy Quan and Kerry Condon

[@da96103]

I think Michelle can go on to win the Oscar. I feel like there are a lot of fence sitters that are just waiting for the 'permission' to vote for Michelle and the SAG has just given that permission.

[@Andrej577]

I think Austin will take the Oscar. He still has a chance, just as strong as Brendans. The Academy does tend to favor Actors that go under the most transformations, and Austin had so much more to do in his role.

[@yk1997-o8q]

eeaao won the dga and pga prior to sag. with the sag sweep, it shows how much love they have from the major guild members who are also the majority of voting bloc for the oscar. i still think cate has an slight edge over michelle for the oscar but it is clear eeaao will dominate the major categories for the oscar

[@dougdeveloper8850]

What I've noticed also is that all four acting winners are universally beloved by the industry AND the public. Not that Blanchett isn't beloved but Yeoh has a fanbase going back decades. Who doesn't love Short Round of course? Brendan Fraser is supposedly one of the nicest guys in Hollywood. And Jamie Lee Curtis (shocked she won) is just so damn cool and also a veteran in the industry.

[@ianrobinson4200]

EEAAO might be such a slam dunk that Yeoh ends up winning the Oscar over Blanchett after it seemed like it was locked up, will be interesting.

[@rachelwolfe7370]

I am enjoying the chaos. I like that a lot of different actors /actresses have taken home hardware this awards season. I hate when it's only one person from each acting category winning everything. I absolutely loved Austin's performance in Elvis. Brendan was excellent too. I love them both winning awards. The same with Cate and Michelle. Best Supporting Actress category is total chaos and I am here for it. It will be fun being surprised on Oscar night. Although it's not really surprise that is a 2-3 person race. So any of them are deserving. Let the fun begin!

[@donp6441]

I agree, the only thing is, if a performer is really outstanding - as Cate Blanchett is - they should win rhe Oscar! Even if they win everything prior to it. They shouldn't be denied the biggest prize of all at the end of the season just because people are "bored" with them winning. That's why Crash won Best Picture years ago instead of the much better film, Brokeback Mountain. I think this speaks to there are just too many precursor awards now. Seems like every entity has to validate themselves and their worth by giving out awards. It delutes the whole process.

[@donnakomarc6677]

Thanks for sticking w Austin ! He worked so long for his brilliant performance - the film for Elvis & Lisa ❤

[@Andrej577]

Austin was incredible. Reminded me of the great performance that Jamie Foxx pulled off in Ray. I believe Austin will still take Oscar. Its a toss up now for sure between him and Brendan, but Butler will take it, i believe

[@gericaccavale9637]

Austin SHOULD WIN OSCAR!! ,Awesome. Talented!

[@matilda0410]

I'm not at all surprised by these wins. I am surprised by the reactions from some. Some youtubers, critics and commentators pushed the narrative that Blanchett was sweeping everything after the CCA, and the same with Butler after BAFTA. Chris himself did this. There's factors in every award win and nominations, but the way people ride the wave is wild. No one was heir apparent, and this seems to happen every year for the past couple and still people act shocked when someone doesn't sweep. The Yeoh commentary in particular is very telling, but sadly not surprising at this point. Ke Huy Quan has the best chance still, but I never counted Yeoh out, and I'm proud to say that.

[@LAMusing]

Bravo to the SAG award producers - it was WONDERFUL! Minus the occasional profanity, this is how the Oscars should roll. I had 4 out of 5 (missed Supporting Actress).

[@alpe1987]

Best actor is gonna be so close

[@BISH9484]

Jamie Lee winning gives Kerry Condon a great chance now to win at Oscars.

[@johnking5433]

Can you please explain?

[@BISH9484]

@@johnking5433 Jamie Lee winning is a narrative driven win. If Stephanie had won, then it would probably mean something because I think she's more stronger than the 2. This also proves that Angela isn't really a strong frontrunner, if she even was at all? And I keep saying that Oscar voters don't really go for Marvel roles. Besides she's the first ever Marvel role to be nominated, I seriously don't think that they'll also let her be the first to win as well. But after all this, she could still come out winning. As for Condon, BAFTA voters overlaps more with the Oscars than the SAG. Critics Choice don't even come into play. So yeah, with Bassett missing out, I think for me, the frontrunner right now would be Condon.

[@christopherv6415]

So happy to see Joyce's wish coming true. This year's Oscar's just became more competitive than most people expected. It is great to have 3 acting categories that are not locked down and we have a great chance for surprises not just a carbon copy. It has been a good while since we have had a year with this many categories that could go several different ways.

[@DavidN369]

What an entertaining show that was. Sally was beautiful. Especially loved Rooney's reaction to Mark Wahlberg calling the film "Women Are Talking." And my old friend Tim Bagley getting a shout out as Jennifer Coolidge's date. It's gonna be a wild ride in March. As ever, youse twose are the berries. More, please, thank you.

[@drewwilliams3079]

Love watching you two discuss awards I am still in the Butler camp. Yes it could go either way. I’ll probably switch to Branden if The Whale gets make up and hair Oscar night

[@oenrob98000]

Everyone loves to predict who gets what, but let's just accept it for what it is. It's show business...you win some, you lose some 💖

[@minavamp2811]

the good thing about this year oscars is that the final votings for oscars does not begin until 4 days from now on march 2nd, and therefore sag winner result, will influent oscar voters.

[@supermodel2]

My picks for Oscar are now Brendan, Cate, Ke Huy and Kerry Condon

[@esoteric76]

Did my eyes deceive me or did they show a clip of Sally Field in Not Without My Daughter? Loved it! You two are amazing! Keep up the fantastic analysis!

[@oldschoolabrahamhicks2742]

OMG I had to rewatch the end LOL- Women keep talkin, Women who are talking! LOL- he seem shocked to have to say the name lol Love this awards show dissection

[@essey.]

Love you two. Your dynamic is hilarious

[@jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719]

Like Mariah Carey would say: "It's a Wrap" 🎶

[@AvonShavon]

I just don't see any world in which Brendan Fraser doesn't win the Best Actor Oscar. I still believe his performance was the weakest between "the top three" (Fraser, Butler, Farrell), but his narrative is too strong. Critics and fellow actors have been applauding his "comeback" since The Whale came out. Why take his story this far and give him the SAG just to give the Oscar to someone else? I suppose it's good drama to say "anyone can win" but if you have an operating brain and see the pattern and the narrative and the goodwill radiating for Fraser out of every corner of Hollywood, I don't see how you could bet on anyone else. The lack of a BP nom means nothing here.

[@whatsup4825]

I think Jamie Lee Curtis has the Oscar in the bag. It’s the true definition of a delicate supporting performance and she totally understood the assignment of the film. I love Angela Bassett and she needs an Oscar, but I don’t think it will be for Black Panther: Wakanda Forever.

[@bill000]

Michelle Yeoh - Best Actress of 2022

[@MrAGr]

It's not happening dear

[@nic..1]

@@MrAGr Let hope be

[@tongly4425]

Yessss she’s still in the game

[@kc8x]

Michelle Y, Brendan, Ke, and Angela.

[@taylorg2765]

Sally field as Abby's mom in ER will always be iconic

[@Mauricio21ish]

I hope EEOA sweeps acting categories at the oscars

[@chillguy102]

He’s really just loves Kerry condon and it’s actually a very stacked category of awesome performances

[@hwmarron3917]

The lack of respect Bob Odenkirk gets at these awards shows is maddening

[@slc2466]

Think Fraser is in front for Best Actor at the Oscars now with the SAG win, and Jamie Lee's moved up as the EEAAO Supporting Actress frontrunner, which should help her not split as many votes now.

[@elenastone1471]

Sean Penn like Fraser had CC + Sag before he take an Oscar. But Penn had 8 Oscar nomination + Lock - win in "Best Original Screenplay". Fraser didn't won "Makeup&Hair" in Critic's Choice, Bafta and AACTA, they all go to "Elvis". And even Jeff Bridges had absolutely lock in "Best original song". Here i see a problem cause I can't immagine that "Elvis" go home empty handed, if Academy gave it to Fraser.

[@melisagalvalizi6982]

what's up with everyone loving elvis and austin????? stop rewarding biopics!!!!!

[@dreamliving9669]

​@melisagalvalizi6982 We love Austin and Elvis because Austin BECAME Elvis! No one ever played Elvis this way and even the Presley family praising him. He gave an extraordinary performance! He won Golden Globe and BAFTA! Very hard to play the King of Rock n' Roll. Voice, stutter, moves, singing, and the work he put in for 3 years! He deserves the awards! Biopics are hard to do cause they are based on real people! Austin NAILED it!

[@macm2007]

@@melisagalvalizi6982 Haters are gonna hate!!

[@macm2007]

@@dreamliving9669 Totally agree!! He was simply brilliant!!!

[@bluebaggers1]

As someone with Chinese heritage and grew up in the 90s watching Michelle Yeoh HK films, I went to see EEAAO at the cinemas last May to support the Asian cast, particularly Michelle. I walked out of it thinking WTF did I just watch (not in a good way)? Yeah, seems like I was one of the few who didn't like it. The hot dog fingers and butt plug/dildo fight scene were more suited to films like Bad Santa or Jackass, so it felt out of place and the writers tried too hard. Cate Blanchett had an objectively superior performance in TAR (TAR was not my cup of tea either) and she is most deserving of the Best Actress accolades. I only wish awards were based on best performance rather than best narrative. Michelle's was good, even very good, but Cate's was heads and shoulders above. The many subtle nuances in the character of Lydia Tar required acting skills of the highest calibre. Michelle's role substantially deviated from her usual fare but her character/performance lacked any subtlety. Perhaps that was the nature of the film - loud and in your face. Not really Oscar-worthy in my book, not that my opinion counts for anything...

[@nirachien2274]

I agree with you. I think it works against Cate that she already has 2 Oscars, and perhaps her peers are not ready to award her a 3rd. I wonder how many of these actors are jealous of certain stars and don’t want to see them win. There were a lot of populist winners tonight. I think a lot of them were rewarded for “paying their dues”. I don’t know how much this will spread to the Oscars, but I think BAFTA was rewarding more based on performance, rather than a positive narrative.

[@rics1883]

@@nirachien2274 How unfortunate, merit of performance should have precedence over so called narratives. Hope Oscars will do the right thing

[@eileengriffin6476]

Brandon worked on his film for 3 months Austin worked on his film for 3 years. It's shameful, Austin didn't get it.

[@rodbacote8607]

Don't forget the Regina King did not get a SAG nomination and non- Oscar nominee Emily Blunt won, so Oscar is always on it's on path. I still think that Angela has a shot, but I wouldn't be surprised if Kerry is this year's Mark Rylance (who didn't win the SAG either). But I'm glad no one is completely sweeping this year and that other awards are recognizing all the other work. I love that this year that there more unpredicatable categories.

[@kelleycarr9065]

I. Loved. This. Asian love. Jamie Leigh love. Brenden love. Ke Huy Quan love.

[@drewroddy]

i can see EEAAO winning up to 8 oscars: picture, director, actress, supporting actor, supporting actress, original screenplay, editing, and either costumes or score (but not both). i know sweeps don't happen anymore, but sag has also never awarded a film four awards, let alone a film that's also sweeping every other guild. this feels like a rarity in the making.

[@traydevon]

Does she think she is supposed to be the only one talking?

[@davewattana2840]

SAGs was trying to show their love and support for the film they loved and do the big push going to Oscars final night. Michelle is the center of the beloved film, with those narratives and all, it's the most cheerful win of the night. But I still predict Cate will have the 3rd win, her performance is so monumental and arguably her best to date. TAR is like Banshee, the film is well loved, that's the reason behind the 2 tech noms, it has to get something and I think this is it. IMO, JLC will win supporting actress.

[@nirachien2274]

Joyce clearly knows what she is talking about. Christopher has no idea.

[@chrisjrosen]

We got the same predictions score once again but yes go off.

[@samtan4729]

Mark Wahlberg presenting best ensemble to Everything Everywhere was a bit of a shock, given his racist past.

[@samtan4729]

@Derek Dirk (#FirstLady) Since when did remembering the past became 'cancel culture'?

[@samtan4729]

@Derek Dirk (#FirstLady) Never said that. He should be able to interact whoever he chooses. I just expressed my personal reaction.

[@rics1883]

It'd be real shame if Cate Blanchett loses over lack of narrative when it's unanimous that she gave tour de force in TAR.

[@yaeguuji1829]

MICHELLE YEOH

[@maryrahimi1762]

my opinion is same as Joyce.

[@trao1938]

When you can only predict one winner out of 4, you're not experts.

[@trao1938]

@Derek Dirk (#FirstLady) Know who else aren't psychics? Experts.

[@trao1938]

@Derek Dirk (#FirstLady) You don't need to be psychic to be an expert. But you should be able to give us more than "Best Actor is a 3 way race." Gee, no kidding.. I predicted THREE of the 4 main acting categories last night. Guess I'm an expert, too. Guess anyone with an opinion about the Oscars is an expert.

[@trao1938]

@Derek Dirk (#FirstLady) Their job is to get people to click, like, and subscribe, same as everyone else on social media. But they don't have any more information than the rest of us. We can all prognosticate endlessly. But the truth is that academy voters don't put nearly this much thought or energy into their individual choices. No matter how much we want to believe they do. Most years it's dreadfully obvious who's going to win on Oscar night, because it's usually the same winners that swept all the precursor awards. But this year it's more divisive and competitive, and so it's time to separate the experts from the enthusiasts. I'm sure they're up for the challenge, and I'll certainly be tuning in to their final predictions vlog. Hoping it provides more enlightened predictions than Ke Huy Quan's, though.

[@go-outonalim]

Frankly if you call yourself a real actor , you will instantly recognize what Blanchett did in TAR is rarely seen in the last decade from any actor or actress. But of course these “actors” all vote with their heart and figure they want to reward racial based narrative rather than performance because they are mostly struggling actors 😅

[@rics1883]

lol yeah man. Performance wise Blanchett was at another level. Its sad really narratives are winning over merit.

[@mrjinkorea]

It's not about race. It's about sentiment. Yeoh is well-respected and well-liked actress in Hollywood for a successful long career and they wanna reward her for it. There have been many many instances over the years when the best most memorable performance didn't win the Oscar, but the Academy instead awarded it to the sentimental favorite ala Paul Newman, The Color of Money or Jessica Tandy, Driving Miss Daisy.

[@ethanmyfaye7356]

@@mrjinkorea It really annoys me when you have a performance like Blanchett that is truly transformational , next level, DDD from There Will be Blood- esque and they talk about rewarding someone who has barely made a dent in Hollywood. I mean Yeoh was acting in Asia for 3 decades plus and even back in Asia she had barely picked up any prestigious acting awards. Her acting skills are just not that great. So to pass up someone whose acting is to be discussed in acting schools for years to come for a sentimental crowd favorite starring in a geek hyped sci fi genre that frankly as an Asian I don't get is definitely vexing to me.

[@don5anjos]

Meses atrás, esses dois nem citavam EEAAO como se quer indicado quanto mais a favorito a vencer o Oscar, como falamos no Brasil, o mundo não gira, capota.😂

[@elleryprescott]

Andrea Riseborough for Best Actress!! 🏆 🎉❤

[@jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719]

😮

[@ethankoo7108]

Who got drunk and ask Mark Walhberg to present Movie Ensamble? He is a terrible actor and is not at the level to present this big award. Also does no one remember the hate crime? 👎👎

[@don5anjos]

16:13 EEAAO é o Parasite desse ano, c'mon!

[@mikekelly4702]

Are you experts 😂

[@allabouteve2390]

Oscars will become a joke, once again, in Europe if TAR does not win BP

[@amexred]

Very happy Yeoh captured this . She needed this for me to have a belief she can beat Blanchett . I can’t even believe the roles are a contest but whatever . I think a BP BD and SA win will propel Yeoh to a win . If you are filling out a ballot and putting those other people 1st and you are gonna put Yeoh 2nd . I just don’t believe that .

[@lifeissweet9826]

I think everything is maybe the worst film I have ever seen.

[@Liv-hx9xx]

I think I have to agree… I need several major upsets this year🥲

[@freesimorgh]

As long as Cate Blanchett doesn't win, I'm happy. Tar is so anti-woman and I am so disappointed and ashamed of her for not only staring in this movie but also defending it!

[@nirachien2274]

You're truly an idiot!

[@bluebaggers1]

One of the most ridiculous comments I've seen. Anti-woman?? Well, going by your argument, one might say EEAAO promotes animal cruelty. See how ridiculous that sounds? Stop the feeble grasping at straws to try and justify your Cate Blanchett hate.

[@pelen23]

@@bluebaggers1 well said

[@freesimorgh]

@@bluebaggers1 I like her a lot. But you gotta admit Tar is just the rankings of a middle aged white man who can’t understand men will always abuse power more than women Cate shouldn’t have stared in this movie.

[@kokopellicrazy]

I feel like Todd Field wanted to a make a diatribe against cancel culture but made it star a woman to make it more palatable for audienes.