Fallout 76 How To Get All Rare Masks // The Science Behind Loot Drops

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Gamer Aviator

Күн бұрын

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@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
Get special perks as a channel MEMBER: kzbin.info/door/dASLtoFu2Y2ed-lD1LA7JQjoin
@PiLotTRr
@PiLotTRr 7 ай бұрын
A fun story. The drop rates in 2019 were broken. The uncommon and rare masks both had a 1% drop rate. So when they brought the event back in 2020 they adjusted the drop rates so people would have a better chance to get the uncommon masks they desperately wanted. So they made the uncommon rate higher than the common. And Bethesda being Bethesda, they never bothered to change it again.
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
That's funny.
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
no way! that's crazy. it explains why the drop rate is skewed. i love how everyone just expects bethesda to screw everything up. -oskapt
@funrun07haan50
@funrun07haan50 7 ай бұрын
U gotta love bethesda for their trolling😂😂
@gametime2473
@gametime2473 7 ай бұрын
This is the first Fasnacht I have gotten anything decent.
@madcheeseburger3783
@madcheeseburger3783 7 ай бұрын
Bethesda even said it was the intentional drop rates to
@eingames9931
@eingames9931 7 ай бұрын
The common masks are tied to how many bots survive. Players are so good at getting the bots to live that most times the odds are in favor of getting the uncommon ones. If some die then it becomes in favor of the common masks.
@darthsilversith667
@darthsilversith667 7 ай бұрын
If 1 bot dies, you lose all chances at getting a rare
@Buderbukz
@Buderbukz 7 ай бұрын
As darthsilversith667 as said. It's true. If even one bot dies, everyone is automatically disqualified from getting a rare. If that happens, quickly jump to another server and try and join another event that has 5 alive bots before it ends.
@fnusecurity5112
@fnusecurity5112 7 ай бұрын
@@Buderbukz Been trying to jump in between events to do it twice in a hour. Your timing has to be perfect. Every time I tried, the Event already been done for and everyone gone. Do you have to wait for the awards to show up before you jump or the completion notice?
@Buderbukz
@Buderbukz 7 ай бұрын
@@fnusecurity5112 In the scenario I stated, if any bot dies, immediately jump, do not wait for rewards. Leave the server and join another asap. If you are just trying to jump servers to get in more events, "no bots died", then yes wait for rewards before jumping. It isn't easy to find an event that hasn't finished on another server, but it can be done.
@Buderbukz
@Buderbukz 7 ай бұрын
Say for example the super mutant stage a bot dies, leave right away and try a new server. There is absolutely no point staying on the server with dead bots as you will not even be in the running for a rare.
@jeffbarnesyout
@jeffbarnesyout 7 ай бұрын
Actually you could argue that AFKers aren't interacting much with the area (no weapons fired, etc.), so they probably have less impact on the speed of the server than ones who are actually playing. Yes, the growing mask pool has been making getting any particular mask that much harder. I think Bethesda should have rethought the drop rate before doing this. Thanks for the video.
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
Yeah, good point!
@malotonga4957
@malotonga4957 7 ай бұрын
Also if adding more masks instead of 1 a hour they should do twice an hour or stating time instead of 7mins to talk to mc make it 10 mins so we can do double dips easier
@htmn4712
@htmn4712 7 ай бұрын
@@malotonga4957god no, please don’t make us do fasnacht twice every hour
@thistle76
@thistle76 7 ай бұрын
I have played and afk 120 times and only got 1 glowing... they are right about as the pool grows the chances of getting the rares go way down...they should of demoted the older rare masks to uncommon the old uncommon to common... then you will have a better chance of actually getting the new rares!
@thistle76
@thistle76 7 ай бұрын
​@@malotonga4957not so easy to double bip unless you have friends on other servers slowing it down...if you rush to get to another server why wouldn't they?
@Sandyman406
@Sandyman406 7 ай бұрын
Got my first glowing mask today after 59 attempts…
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
Rock on. This math hurts, doesn't? :D
@jimmyx2834
@jimmyx2834 7 ай бұрын
Yup. Haven't gotten one yet and I've done at least 30...finally got the raven which is the only one I have seen duplicated yet got me. Hopefully glowing blue devil fingers crossed
@llkjjjss
@llkjjjss 3 ай бұрын
Got my first on my forth attempt.
@Lameloserlmao
@Lameloserlmao 3 ай бұрын
Got mine after 80 or so. But now I have 3.
@seanpelletier
@seanpelletier 2 ай бұрын
I'm over 200 attempts in and didn't get anything, had to trade a buddy my 2 shot fatman and show him how to increase the damage to 2600×2 for him to trade me one, he get 3 glowing unicorns in a row yesterday. He's blessed by RNGesus
@StudioCreations
@StudioCreations 7 ай бұрын
I have marched in 30+ Fasnacht Events so far this year and not one Rare Mask has dropped for me yet. The odds have not been in my favor. I will say, one of those events failed because no one had a God-Weapon in the 4-man group that actually walked in the parade (11 AFKers in the area though) and 3 Robots died at the very end (glowing wolves tore them to pieces) . AFKers need to participate in the event for the event to be successful, or no one will ever get rare masks. Ultimately this years Fasnacht has been very frustrating for me. :)
@datboi1971
@datboi1971 7 ай бұрын
Thank you for capturing footage of me and my friends! Fasnacht is fun and frustrating at the same time lol
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
:) yay! Indeed. Well said - fun and frustrating. -NP
@havokstrife7094
@havokstrife7094 7 ай бұрын
I have fully participated in over 40 events and nada, so now I do actually afk it,why bust my ass for nothing.
@cgimichaelmyers2806
@cgimichaelmyers2806 7 ай бұрын
Plus when you try to do the event people kill everything in less than a second so it's just better not to take part in the event.
@seanowens3153
@seanowens3153 4 ай бұрын
Bright light explosions blind my eyes and afk I go.
@lushdog4538
@lushdog4538 3 ай бұрын
Also the less controls I push the more stable my connection and less crashes.
@sammert7021
@sammert7021 7 ай бұрын
Great video, I finally got a rare mask today, a death claw one. Was AFK for 99% as had to make food but helped end the sloth and wolves. Might try that again!
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
Thanks! Niiiice. Congrats on the Deathclaw. That's a really cool one.
@seccosec
@seccosec 7 ай бұрын
“Helped with the sloth”… I rarely have time to land a hit on it before it gets annihilated by half a dozen of mid-lvl and their uninspired railway op builds…
@sammert7021
@sammert7021 7 ай бұрын
@@seccosec yeah I've played a couple of the events and not hit anything as some had one tap guns. Annoying but what's worse is when people spam the fat man and you cant see anything. At least you still get something from the sloth even if did not hit him.
@ImperialMunki
@ImperialMunki 7 ай бұрын
Y'all get mad if we don't participate then get mad if we do 😂😂 ​@@seccosec
@twothreeactual9254
@twothreeactual9254 7 ай бұрын
Really enjoyed the breakdown. This event is always interesting lol. Toxicity is always up the roof the first week. After it kinda dies down. At least what ive always noticed. Anyway been very lucky this year… and all my rares attained via: AFK!! However when you afk, I got you with my quad rail explosive, nothing gets passed me. And of course a fire healing weapon.
@KentuckyRanger
@KentuckyRanger 7 ай бұрын
Naturally, Reddit is going insane, with people thinking their new shiny glowing masks, should demand insane trades. I guess I'll just wait a while, after the event, for the dust to settle, and try to trade some of my rare non glowing masks, when peoples inflated egos come back down to Earth, LOL!
@chris5942
@chris5942 7 ай бұрын
AFKers did statistically increase the number of bunched panties on any given server.
@gutzboy1
@gutzboy1 7 ай бұрын
I call BS because I never saw any dropped panties at Fasnacht!
@clymdodds1020
@clymdodds1020 7 ай бұрын
You’re a Slacker, Mcfly….
@chris5942
@chris5942 7 ай бұрын
@@clymdodds1020 I play my share for the next shift AFKers. I have yet to see not enough players to win.
@clymdodds1020
@clymdodds1020 7 ай бұрын
@942 It would take a little organisation. But as myth busters say"Failure is always an option" I would add apathy can kill anything and never underestimate human spite when it comes to getting nothing so that You get nothing too.... Anyway Fk the masks the smart money's farming infinite squirrel..... AFKers just drank the cool aid.
@seanowens3153
@seanowens3153 4 ай бұрын
​@@chris5942it's a back to the future reference brotha, no one cares if you afk
@TheOriginalADGuy
@TheOriginalADGuy 7 ай бұрын
I could care less if people are AFK. I dont get why people let themselves be salty about it. It literally does not affect you at all
@Sean-MacGuire
@Sean-MacGuire 7 ай бұрын
I don't really care but I do go out of my way to push them out of the event with a chainsaw or just by moving them when there running around a circle just by standing in there way to move them out of the event lmao
@scottkendrix6231
@scottkendrix6231 7 ай бұрын
​@@Sean-MacGuireIn other words, you do care that people afk the event.
@Sean-MacGuire
@Sean-MacGuire 7 ай бұрын
@@scottkendrix6231 nope I like to troll people it's funny
@qhynie
@qhynie 7 ай бұрын
Fasnacht needs a purveyor like murmph. Trade in crap masks for a random rare mask or event completion tickets sorta like overseer tickets to prevent hoarding and keep people playing. Just based on the size of loot pools, complete like ten events > trade in those tickets for a random rare mask > still a low chances of being exactly what you want but you're getting something for your effort; this current system is garbage. Imma probably walk away from this years without a rare mask, with almost 35 events/HOURS under my belt so far (sorry Bethesda I work and dont wanna burn up my xbox). Considering how so called community driven/celebrated fasnacht is, people end these weeks feeling burned out and left out. I've literally only had regular sbq and regular honey bee masks drop from new stuff. I had to buy reg blue devil, reg scorchbeast and 2 of the new plans from player vendors. All I want from fasnacht is a glowing sbq and glowing honey bee dammit. Also why wouldn't wastelanders check out this crazy robot parade, at least settlers and maybe raiders. How about revamping the actual event thats not been touched since it launched 5 YEARS ago. I like Helvetia all peaceful without the scorched, maybe add npc's to talk to even if its just easy rudimentary quests/dialogue and limited to just Fasnachts weeks.
@faze_blaze7151
@faze_blaze7151 3 ай бұрын
@@qhynie I completely agree because if your unluck for say (me) I feel as if players who are doing the work and running the event are getting trash while I see people plastering all over fb are like wow got so many glowing while just afking.Which is werid saying I feel as if doing something in the event should impact your loot but at this point im just rambling lol.I feel as if though if they did trade like trade an amount of the normal version of the mask to get the glowing variation would be cool or just straight up as you said trade a certain amount of common or uncommon mask to get a rare mask!
@scubasteve3032
@scubasteve3032 7 ай бұрын
Hey, great video! Very well put together! I finally after playing hours on end, I got the exact mask I wanted, the Glowing Blue Devil Mask!
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
Niiice! And thanks!
@barbadosslim5099
@barbadosslim5099 7 ай бұрын
This is the first time I watch a video in which science is actually it. Very, very nice indeed. Left my like and also subscribed. Very good job, gals 🤝🏻
@johnw8578
@johnw8578 7 ай бұрын
I heard from my cousin's girlfriend's mother's ex-neighbor's son's former-best-friend's uncle that if you eat a Fasnacht donut just before the effigy is burnt, you get a better chance at the rare masks.
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
hahahahahahah nice one.
@matzewrath
@matzewrath 3 ай бұрын
Well done breakdown of the fastnacht odds! I acutally got the glowing scorchbeast queen mask you mentioned. Damn, I guess I drained all my luck for an good while with that drop ^^'
@JustAPinkLugia
@JustAPinkLugia 7 ай бұрын
For Fo76 servers running slow due to AFKers there’s also people who join the game when the game starts. It’s insane how bad loading times become
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
watch the video, dude. ;) -NP
@JustAPinkLugia
@JustAPinkLugia 7 ай бұрын
@@Gamer_Aviator I uhhh.. I did. I don’t remember you mentioning everyone logging on at the same time. Just a lot of players being in 1 location. With each player having to load, render, and have sound to effects, explosions, and other players
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
i agree with you that the additional load of people spawning into the server at event time can cause problems. i've noticed the last few times that i was nuked out or the game crashed, and i tried to rejoin a server within the first 10 minutes of the event starting, that i get put onto a new, empty server where the event never started. i don't know if that's a new development or if i'm just unlucky at trying to get into a server and hit the end of the event. - oskapt
@brandonfleming8910
@brandonfleming8910 7 ай бұрын
This is my first time participating in the event, missed out the other year and it sucks trying to get the old rare mask. I end up dropping all the common and uncommon ones cause i dont need a shit load of them😂
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
Yeah, you know we wish that they would put the old masks up in the Atomic Shop and offer only new ones during the event. That would make A LOT more sense.
@timostrom426
@timostrom426 7 ай бұрын
i run 2 ps4s, 2 accounts. i run the event with one while the other plays tuba. sometimes they both play tubas, on dufferent servers. afk etiquette: play musical instrument or hide really good and don't wear a rare mask. people can push you out of the event, or lure enemies in to kill you, or nuke it. seeing a bunch of dorks spinning with your precious masks on bumms people out and makes them want to mess with you.
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
true
@rachetgear
@rachetgear 2 ай бұрын
In 1963, Albert Bandura conducted a famous study known as the Bobo Doll Study 💣
@mamayl8592
@mamayl8592 7 ай бұрын
Just got my first glowing mask ( non-queen scorchbeast ). Have run the event probably 20-30 times. Just happy I got the first one under my belt, now everything else is gravy IMHO. Also got a father winter helmet.
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
That helmet is rare. Hold on to it. -NP
@LyricBossYT
@LyricBossYT 7 ай бұрын
you’re pretty good with numbers I need you when I do my taxes 😂
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
😆
@ImChurro
@ImChurro 7 ай бұрын
The odds might be low but the odds are 0 if you don't participate so AFK away I say
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
YES!
@bellaing6963
@bellaing6963 7 ай бұрын
This was a good video. Well done & Informative. Ty guys 👍
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
Thanks! 👍 -NP
@perceivedvelocity9914
@perceivedvelocity9914 7 ай бұрын
It feels like a lot more people are going AFK this year.
@chris5942
@chris5942 7 ай бұрын
I think they are trying to side husstle the rare masks for $ outside of the game. Cant blame them. Its rough out here.
@brianrmc1963
@brianrmc1963 7 ай бұрын
I love this. Still waiting for a glowing one.
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
Best of luck. Keep at it.
@liamjoe3690
@liamjoe3690 7 ай бұрын
I’ve run this event over 142 times so far. I keep the masks until Fasnacht is over and run a tally. So far I have over 8 rare drops and no duplicates this year. Run this video again afterwards and I will update my tally.
@kevinmckenna7261
@kevinmckenna7261 7 ай бұрын
Got one glowing mask at a nuked event and nothing since, jesters toothies etc. Not bothering now just ignoring the event and all those wasted nukes. Couple of days to go. Happy Fastnacht
@reddvery
@reddvery 7 ай бұрын
Got 1 glowing atm, But, got god roll fixer from rewards xD I think my rng luck has been drained with that
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
:)
@HaydenMarkle-xc3fp
@HaydenMarkle-xc3fp 7 ай бұрын
I ran the event 83 times and only got the winter man mask but I’m not complaining
@Exolt-
@Exolt- 7 ай бұрын
I know it’s anecdotal but I swear 70% of the players who I see have glowing masks are under level 50. There has to be a correlation with your level and the drop rate. Almost feels as if Bethesda gives newer players a better drop rate.
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
hahaha that's funny
@Tyejohnston
@Tyejohnston 3 ай бұрын
@@Exolt- probably trying to get lower players to keep playing the game.
@poptarget
@poptarget 7 ай бұрын
I think they should move some of the old rare masks from the rare pool to the uncommon pool when they introduce new ones. Based on popularity, move say the Raven, Winter Man, etc. out of the rare pool. I'm not convinced that there isn't a sub-category in the rare pool. This is my first Fasnacht and I've gotten the Raven, Brahmin, Winter Man and Hag from the rare category. No glowing or loon (the ones everyone wants)
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
yes. definitely. the ever-growing pool is making new rare masks nearly-unattainable. -NP
@hardcorehypocrite1498
@hardcorehypocrite1498 7 ай бұрын
All the old school players hate this event it's slow and boring and takes too long. With the horrible drop rate more and more people are going to go afk. I've been playing since beta and this is the first year I've gone afk. I've done the event around 200 times this season and only got 1 rare mask and the new plans I've probably gotten about 10.
@dragonmac1234
@dragonmac1234 7 ай бұрын
I usually play the game three or four hours a day and I think I've received more berets than anything else. Owl, Jester, Skull and (in the last couple of days) Scorchbeast masks have been dropping for me. I've also made a few caps selling radtoad and wolf meat to the vendors
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
Oh yes, same here. The radtoad omelettes are the new gulper slurries. :P I also just sell all my legendary weapons right away, since I'm pretty much married to my Holy Fire flamer. -NP
@dragonmac1234
@dragonmac1234 7 ай бұрын
@@Gamer_Aviator Same here I have three Holy Fire's, one to burn everything to a crisp and another two for that OTT vibe 🔥😄
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
@@dragonmac1234 I wish I had different pint for it though. Mine's just regular looking.
@AnimeShinigami13
@AnimeShinigami13 7 ай бұрын
Something bizzare happened to me odds wise at Fasnacht yesterday afternoon. I've been running a camp shop more or less since Fasnacht began south of town by the road. Grahm, the super mutant vendor came walking through my camp and through the intersection where the toads spawn during Fasnacht FOUR TIMES in an afternoon. I'm really curious what the odds of that are because yesterday the RNG really seemed to like him. Made me wonder if it glitched out or something or if I really was that lucky. Each time he was headed towards town I ran ahead, plugged in my headphones and called out "Grahm's coming guys!!! intersection with the toads! he's coming if you need to sell something!!!!"
@johnw8578
@johnw8578 7 ай бұрын
I have had bad luck for masks at every Fasnacht season...BUT, I have gotten some of my best legendary weapons from the event.
@systemerroar9465
@systemerroar9465 7 ай бұрын
Yea seems they didnt bother to nerf legendaries rewards. Guess they thought to give somethin ppl in return cause geting rare mask is wild goose chace for now...
@pr0f3ta_yt
@pr0f3ta_yt 7 ай бұрын
I afk the WHOLE event. Using a old PS4 and a fan for cooling. I took off the plastic body of the ps4. In the whole week and a half of the event I have gotten. 2 Glowing Blue Devil. 1 Loon. 1 Brahim. 2 crazy guys….
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
cool
@nigelwiffen6743
@nigelwiffen6743 7 ай бұрын
a great video ,thank you loved it.
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
Thanks!
@ZuulGatekeeper
@ZuulGatekeeper 7 ай бұрын
Very happy, it was a long grind must have done over 180 events the last two weeks. My rare haul from 2024's masks 1x glow scortchqueen, 1X glow scorch beast, 1 x glow Bee & from 2019's masks 1x Loon, 2 x Raven, 2 x Hag, 2x father winter & 2 x Buffoon.
@Lameloserlmao
@Lameloserlmao 3 ай бұрын
I have 3, i got 2 at 7am, and 1 at 7pm. I think you have a higher chance at getting it, but only if you've been in the same server for a few hours. At least that's how I've done it. That or Bethesda raised the odds.
@takewhataway
@takewhataway 7 ай бұрын
Thank you for doing this "research". Anyone with basic statistic knowledge wouldve known already about the chances and how the game works, but you're helping more people understand (and it's not gonna do much if you're AFK-ing). It also makes me feel better for not wanting to do AFK while working or sleeping lol goes both ways. All of the tinfoil theories are wrong of course, but the issue that never being mentioned when we focus on AFK is when only a handful of active players are around vs LOTS of AFK, and then the enemy spawn increased, and there's a chance one robot will die, hence ruining the statistic of getting the rare mask. Ive been in that situation and if I didnt have friendly fire, I know for sure at least one robot would die.
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
Yes, indeed. When it comes to AFKers outnumbering the players, simply bounce to a different server untill you get a better one. The one only with AFKers will fail and they'll move too. -NP
@takewhataway
@takewhataway 7 ай бұрын
Easy to say. But by the time I found out Im failing the fasnacht I'm in, that's one chance ruined because of the AFKers. Ofc its easy to say "I'm gonna sit here, you go and find a different server" ☺lovely. But anyway. it is what it is. @@Gamer_Aviator
@DumaVadamee109
@DumaVadamee109 7 ай бұрын
To add onto this video, people should be looking at this events loot drop chance like a gacha game or like destiny/borderlands. The reason these drop chanced don't change from anything you do is because the drop chance is tied to a systum randomizer. Gacha games a very similar because they host these shop sellers usually called banners that sell a particular character or weapon a a fixed, randomized percentage rate (and by law they have to publish those ratee to players). Many people have tried many methods to increase the drop rates, and swear up and down that their "rituals" do work, but in reality unless the game company changes the randomizer's code it won't change for anyone. Same thing for borderlands or destiny, you can spend months doing raids or bosses but because of their games randomizer code, they might never get the right weapon or roll of a weapon. The who reason they do this is to keep people playing their game. If a gamess too easy or loots too easy to get or can be duped, no one's going to be playing it after a year. If the games too harsh on difficulty or rewards people will strait up quit and never play it again. A randomizer is both a equalizer of luck and a unconscious stop sign to keep players from ruining the game themselves. So long as players have something to Chase, without feeling their being cheated, they are less likely to get upset about results and less likely to try to cheat th systum.
@RuinsOfMetal
@RuinsOfMetal 2 ай бұрын
If you are running the event along people in your friends list friends (not in your group) you share the same percentage of getting the same thing. If they get a rare mask you get the same one.
@Steve-go6oq
@Steve-go6oq 7 ай бұрын
My son and i have played when we can. Between us we've gotten : Winter Man, Winterman Helmet, Loon, Deathclaw and glowing Blue Devil. Can't complain.
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
Nice haul! -oskapt
@spongbob18
@spongbob18 7 ай бұрын
ive done 100 ish with 2 characters 1 Afk so 50ish runs and only got 1 glowing its brutal thats on xbox
@restlessGuy69
@restlessGuy69 7 ай бұрын
Did 90+ runs on my main account and got absolutely no rare masks 😭but the moment I decided to make an alt account to AFK for the last week of fasnacht i got 3 in the span of 40ish runs……im absolutely floored at this
@chuckcookus
@chuckcookus 7 ай бұрын
I sold my deathclaw and winterman masks for $18K each and bought two mutation serum recipes so they're good for something.
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
Good deal!
@franciscoluna2126
@franciscoluna2126 7 ай бұрын
Bro I got my father winter pa helmet while afk and scrapped it without looking twice thesame day. Huge face palm moment but the hunt continues.😂
@rylanvaudry8016
@rylanvaudry8016 7 ай бұрын
I got the glow queen my second time!
@outlander1321
@outlander1321 7 ай бұрын
10:41 The vault tec lie makes you feel good if you think your getting uncommon
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
maybe. Some people speculate that Bethesda simply messed it up, but maybe it's intentional.
@3meralddoughnut
@3meralddoughnut 7 ай бұрын
I'm still waiting for a single rare one.
@darkstar6923
@darkstar6923 7 ай бұрын
The odds sound right. I have mostly received more uncommon masks than anything else.
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
cool
@dookone7279
@dookone7279 7 ай бұрын
Love the stats. I’m gonna stop trying to play it. Going to spend my time on stamps instead. Thanks for what you do.
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
☺️
@Lordoftheapes79
@Lordoftheapes79 7 ай бұрын
Something you didn't cover is how the percentages shift toward common masks as robots get destroyed. These numbers are based on a perfect completion, tho it's rare to lose robots, it's still a factor.
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
That's a very good point. We just haven't ever experienced robots being lost yet, but you are correct, if any get killed during the march the loot quality drops.
@Lordoftheapes79
@Lordoftheapes79 7 ай бұрын
@@Gamer_Aviator this is why the uncommon pool actually has the biggest number on your equation. I lost 4/5 in one event due to glowing wolves and no one healing. I didn't get a mask from that one, but it looks like plans are still rewarded.
@BraveSirPaul
@BraveSirPaul 7 ай бұрын
133 events run so far this year, and I have only managed to get three rare mask (two from previous years, and one glowing one from this year).... or a rare mask drop rate of 2.26% Fasnacht use to be a fun event that my group use to enjoy and looked forward to. We would plan to be on together and make a day of it in game from around the world - now it is a grind and heartbreak with untradeable plans that we cant share amongst ourselves to help those that missed out, or masks with such a low drop rate in bloated loot pools. At the moment (2023) with the masks we have 5 in the common tier 9 in the uncommon tier 15 in the rare tier Compare this to the original distribution in 2019 5 in the common tier 5 in the uncommon tier 1 in the rare tier So, I think BGS need to rework the event to make it more rewarding and enjoyable - • Revamp the loot pools • Mask pools need to be reworked - the common tier should be say twice the size of the uncommon tier, and the uncommon tier twice (or larger) than the rare tier • Ongoing - move all (or some) rare masks from the previous year into the uncommon tier, and move all (or some) uncommom masks in the common tier to maintain the ratio between the tiers • Correct the tier drop rate, so to the 2019 rates, so that common dropped more frequently than uncommon, which was more common than rare. • Place a "lock out" on rewards to prevent duplication (especially the masks) until all rewards from each tier of rewards are obtained • Remove the "untradeable" flag from plans
@RandomBattlePresents...
@RandomBattlePresents... 7 ай бұрын
It is quite refreshing to see that someone is able to take an almost six year game that everyone and their momma has done videos on, and offer something new to watch. This is the challenge that I have with my own content. Hats off to you for your presentation and effort, my friends.
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
Thanks!
@Regu1arGuy
@Regu1arGuy 7 ай бұрын
I ran Fas 105 times and received 3 rares total luckily one being a glowing. I got Buffon, Demon, Glowing Scorchbeast in that order. So in theory I should’ve received 2 more masks, however after speaking with several others that have done 100 plus I’ve found similar results. It could just be a dozen people with highly unlucky rng, couple that with the 0.33% chance to hit the rare you want and that’s a rough two weeks. Realistically the best thing to do is afk as much as possible just to try and put more numbers in the pool. I will say though all 3 rares I did receive was when I was actively playing and not AFK. Most likely another statistical anomaly.
@thecoffemug6574
@thecoffemug6574 7 ай бұрын
Great vid!
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
Thanks!
@griffengranados619
@griffengranados619 7 ай бұрын
RedRaider170 here and I must say this years fasnacht been fun 🤩 got 2 demons and 2 old man winters even got a TE15critcharge handmade ❤
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
Yay!
@EZEfallout
@EZEfallout 7 ай бұрын
Never tell me the odds! Good luck everyone!
@Arnold.Ziffel
@Arnold.Ziffel 2 ай бұрын
On day 2 I got back to back glowing masks (unicorn, pig) then nothing of note for 6 days. Yesterday I got back to back motorized butter churns. Then the lat 4 runs I got nothing of note again. I have been keeping all the dropped items and plan to calculate the drops of the items I got. Then I will be selling really dirt cheap or giving them away after the event.
@systemerroar9465
@systemerroar9465 7 ай бұрын
So, basically, Bethesda did their math, and they wanted players to be more present on the servers (even with bad performance as a result) and they still succeeded and didn't care for anything else. In my case, i did like 100 or so fas events and 10% of those were strict afk ones, and i only got Bafoon mask from second event from start, nothing rare since..
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
Yeah... if they wanted more players on servers, I would think they would also offer better server support. The servers can barely handle 24 people playing... -NP
@obidasauceman6140
@obidasauceman6140 7 ай бұрын
It took me EXACTLY 72 hours to get one glowing mask
@obidasauceman6140
@obidasauceman6140 7 ай бұрын
Ik this because I counted the masks, each mask is one event and in total that's amount of masks I have obtained
@obidasauceman6140
@obidasauceman6140 7 ай бұрын
I was also afk for all of the events besides 5 when the event first launched
@obidasauceman6140
@obidasauceman6140 7 ай бұрын
I just realized the new glowing masks are in the same category of rare masks so in that case I have a total of 4 rare masks only one of them were glowing
@LiberalsAreAllLosers-hp5wj
@LiberalsAreAllLosers-hp5wj 7 ай бұрын
Had 4 of us running the event for 8 straight hours yesterday and 4 others on another server AFKing....0 glowing mask..
@deestonebreaker
@deestonebreaker 7 ай бұрын
yup our own testing has shown that glowing mask has about a 0.5% chance. truly we have 1 out of over 240 events
@CeruleanTalon1
@CeruleanTalon1 7 ай бұрын
I've run it 84 times (no AFK) and still no rare masks. LOL A friend has run it 1/2 that many times and has 2 of them. Doesn't matter, I'm just enjoying the challenge of the potential.
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
yeah. Same here. :) -NP
@Hopalongtom
@Hopalongtom 7 ай бұрын
I've gone though their customer support team about the slowdown and crashing, they insist it is your own personal fault, and it can be fixed by rebuilding my PS5 database in safe mode and fully reinstalling the game. The support staff is delusional!
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
Hahaha. We've had some .... "interesting" interactions with them, including one when they scolded us like children before issuing a refund for something. :D
@nogardmarith
@nogardmarith 3 ай бұрын
I so got the glowing scorch beast mask which I'm happy about. I've played the games pretty much from the beginning of the game and first 2 years running it never got a rare mask not until last year did I get all the Common masks.
@TrapzSpinz
@TrapzSpinz 7 ай бұрын
My girlfriend and I played at least 40 events and she’s gotten 4 rare masks with me getting 0. I think it’s just based on luck sadly. You have that 5% chance every game so if I play 20 games the odds of me getting a rare would still be 5% every game.
@ruthven78
@ruthven78 7 ай бұрын
I spent 90 hours in the last two weeks. I got 4 rare masks, one was a duplicate (brahma) and found two players selling 1 rare each. Ive been hitting every camp I could between events trying to find players selling masks I didnt have. those were the only two. I proposed that Bethesda retire the very most common masks, and either have those for sale by an NPC vendor, or plans for crafting the masks, and then lower the drop rate of some of the other masks to help keep player interest in the game going. Not by a huge amount but just so that the event will feel fresh next year. Someone else proposed a token system where you get so many tokens for just completing the even and then a lil extra for being an active participant
@benanantavara4272
@benanantavara4272 7 ай бұрын
Why is it so hard for people to understand the word "rare" ? Furthermore, if these were easy to get, nobody would want them.
@Tinblitz
@Tinblitz 2 ай бұрын
I'll still take AFK'ers over the people who wear chameleon effect armour, crouch down behind the donation box and use a program to mash the "Take All" button for hours on end.
@ashleyreynolds8443
@ashleyreynolds8443 3 ай бұрын
I've done the event about 30 times now. Haven't got a single rare mask. Got so many uncommon ones I've been dropping them for the guys I play with. Still haven't seen that butter churn either
@KetoFitChef
@KetoFitChef 7 ай бұрын
I’ve ran this event 400-500 times since it first came out, only AFK’ing around a dozen times and I have a grand total of TWO Rare Masks that I got last year. I should have 20-25+ Masks at this point!
@KetoFitChef
@KetoFitChef 7 ай бұрын
@@Gamer_Aviator and I’ve been participating in it since 2019, so I’m not sure where you were going with that. However, I did just recheck my math and it’s more like 300 times. Fasnacht has run 5+ times since 2019. I run it at around 50-60 times every time we have it. So even with a LOW estimate, that’s still closer to 15 Rare Masks that should have dropped.
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
Yeah. I agree. They should have. -NP
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
@tChef yeah that's some bad luck. i got almost every rare mask last year and some dupes, like the deathclaw mask i sold. this year i got the rest of the rares i didn't get last year, but i'm missing two of the new rares still. hopefully i get them before the event ends. - oskapt
@KetoFitChef
@KetoFitChef 7 ай бұрын
@@Gamer_Aviator I’m not sure if this helps, but I’m starting to think that something having to do with a particular character, whether it’s build, Luck or a Characters ID. I have two characters that are over level 900 that I used since the beginning of Fasnacht and have gotten ZERO Rare masks on those characters to this day. Last year I started a new character that is now level 450. And last year, my first event with that one, I earned TWO Rare Masks. And this morning with that same character, I got the Glowing Scorchbeast Mask. So I’ve gotten ZERO on the 2 characters I’ve ran the even for 5 years and I’ve gotten THREE on the 1 character that I’ve only used the last 2 years. That seems very odd to me.
@pipelinecowboy
@pipelinecowboy 7 ай бұрын
I'd rather take my chances playing the Powerball then play another one of these events ! It's insanity!
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
hahahaha it IS a bit crazy
@temporary2834
@temporary2834 7 ай бұрын
This made me feel a bit lucky cause I've gotten the raven mask and the glowing SBQ mask so far, but I really want the old man winter PA helmet
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
Nice!
@DavidHornyak-w6x
@DavidHornyak-w6x 7 ай бұрын
Finally got the helmet put it on my union armor and lost the set bonus. In the stash box it went
@kevinle1841
@kevinle1841 3 ай бұрын
That opening scene was nuts
@markspencer4246
@markspencer4246 7 ай бұрын
I ran the event with 17 people 12 were afk Dropped a beret. Afk'd it, got a beret. Ran it with like 9 people all grinding. Got a beret. same server 3 events in a row
@MrLogan124
@MrLogan124 2 ай бұрын
After 60 or so attempts I got 2 glowing masks. The robot one that I was after and the alien mask. 😮
@christopherzertuche1904
@christopherzertuche1904 7 ай бұрын
The only rare mask I’ve been able to snag so far is the Glowing Blue Devil mask
@therealslimdavee5966
@therealslimdavee5966 7 ай бұрын
I got three glowing the firts three days. Since then I've had a Brahmin and thats it.
@bigbow62
@bigbow62 7 ай бұрын
Great video guys.... After 25+ events... Glowing Honey Bee Baffooon Crazy Man 3 Honey Bee 2 Blue Devil 3 S.B Queen 1 S.B 13+ common Wanna trade: I'm on XBox X and I have extra... Raven P.A Old Man Winter helment S.B Queen masks Honey Bee masks Blue Devil masks Extra plans: S.B Queen Stein Old Man Winter Effigy Heardsman Bell Rack & Bell * I have run this event every year.... many times 😉
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
Thanks!
@kevinmckenna7261
@kevinmckenna7261 7 ай бұрын
Chucked it after 2 days. Great fun if you don't take it too seriously.
@doomkitty8120
@doomkitty8120 7 ай бұрын
Started playing just a few weeks ago, Honestly would pay in any ingame items or even real money to get a Deathclaw mask, this RNG trash is just not worth it, knowing that odds of getting the only mask I want is 0.33% is depressing...
@bandardantoly
@bandardantoly 2 ай бұрын
I don't even care about the glowing masks, I just want a Buffoon.
@TemporalsonToys
@TemporalsonToys 7 ай бұрын
See they should make the older masks the rarer ones and the new ones more common.
@Powerlesscheese
@Powerlesscheese 7 ай бұрын
at this point ill just buy the glowing scorchbeast and honey bee masks from the first person that sells them to me
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
hahaha. Well, there's "rare" and there's "barely attainable." Bethesda made these rare masks nearly impossible to get.
@RRRobertLazer
@RRRobertLazer 7 ай бұрын
Wow i fucking love what youve done here
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
Thank you!
@krazykaz8316
@krazykaz8316 7 ай бұрын
I still have yet to get a Glowing Mask
@ordinaryfox4408
@ordinaryfox4408 7 ай бұрын
Also add the fact that trading sucks in this game so trying to just trade for 1 is shady. Seems the only guaranteed method is to buy it with real cash....
@robertalexander4310
@robertalexander4310 7 ай бұрын
I am at over 100 and no rares
@MichaelsExplorations
@MichaelsExplorations 7 ай бұрын
I was doing AFK and got The glowing scorthbeast queen 👑😂I also got a Loone mask
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
Dope
@nathanmurray5860
@nathanmurray5860 7 ай бұрын
The fasnacht event makes the servers run slower.
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
yes it does, especially when the servers are full. - NP
@Quottidomin13
@Quottidomin13 7 ай бұрын
I got 3 so far, sold one away cheap to whoever went to my vendor, i sold it for 76 caps🤣 kind if don't care for the masks but they are nice to display
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
true, but two of them don't display :( Th SB and the SBQ don't render on wall or in glass displays. Hoping they will fix that. -NP
@Quottidomin13
@Quottidomin13 7 ай бұрын
@@Gamer_Aviator I haven't tried, i just stash them away but hopefully they fix it
@wintersteale
@wintersteale 7 ай бұрын
It's NOT a straight up 5% to get a rare. The uncommon drop more due to Bugthesda changing the loot pool a couple years ago. You don't get a rare every 20 or so runs. If it was straight 5% you would have close to 20 rare. The chances of the other masks override the rare most times. Then out of those you have different odds of the different masks in that particular pool. The chances for a rare to drop are actually 0.03whatever %. I don't remember the exact number. They have added too many masks to the loot pool and never changed the odds for a rare so the odds keeps getting much smaller each year. I've been playing for a few years and the only masks I have is 1 loon and 1 glowing blue devil.
@DadGamerLife
@DadGamerLife 3 ай бұрын
I have been afk'i g as much as I can and I only got 4 rare masks but all on Friday and 2 were glows that were back to back. Outside of Friday all my other masks have been common and uncommon. The RNG in this game is just a pain in B-hole
@Goose_Hole_Jabberwocky
@Goose_Hole_Jabberwocky 3 ай бұрын
We got all the mask in the new one and all of the rates to include the glowing except for the glowing unicorn. Wife has also right beside me.
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 3 ай бұрын
What great luck!
@Slabbedask
@Slabbedask 7 ай бұрын
I have so many masks i have no more space on the wall in my room where i display my rare items. The two last fasnachts have been crazy.
@nukacolanut6095
@nukacolanut6095 7 ай бұрын
Why not during Faschnat, have random ghouls or scorched around the wasteland wearing masks? More time playing...more exploring. Also, I've noticed that when Graham shows up during Faschnat, it causes the event to not start.
@Gamer_Aviator
@Gamer_Aviator 7 ай бұрын
Yes! We saw him too. What's up with that?
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