Fisher Investments' Founder Provides His Market Outlook for the Remainder of 2022

Fisher Investments’ founder, Executive Chairman and Co-Chief Investment Officer Ken Fisher offers his stock market outlook for the remainder of 2022. While it’s been an ugly year for stock and bond prices so far, Ken says investors should take heart in overlooked positives.
Ken mentions the second half of midterm election years-specifically Q4-have historically been positive for markets. He believes the likelihood of increased political gridlock, recovering supply chains and easing inflation could mean a better end for markets in 2022 than many think.
Markets faced myriad headwinds this year-inflation, recession fears, Fed rate-hike fears, US midterm election hyperbole, continued supply chain struggles, war in Ukraine and continued China COVID lockdowns. Ken says these factors depressed investor sentiment, but many underappreciated economic signs point to a likely market rebound ahead.
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Investing in securities involves a risk of loss. Past performance is never a guarantee of future returns. Investing in foreign stock markets involves additional risks, such as the risk of currency fluctuations. The foregoing constitutes the general views of Fisher Investments and should not be regarded as personalized investment advice. Nothing herein is intended to be a recommendation. The opinions expressed are subject to change without notice.

[@andre-l3j]

Ken, thank you for your sensible breakdown of the first half of the year, complete with your admissions (where necessary) of 'mea culpa'. Truth be told, it doesn't seen that you were that off the mark-you predicted significant ugly volatility and scary patches in the first half of the year. Perhaps you understated the severity of the downturn, but 'two outta three ain't bad'. Not wanting to feed into the 'pessimism of disbelief' of the Great Humiliator, I am curious if you think a speedier QT will cause disruptions to the bond market in the back half of the year and into 2023. Again, thank you very much for your guidance in these volatile times.

[@10BD_DGPB]

Thanks for your video.

[@sebholding]

Everybody can be wrong about the markets (and nobody saw the war coming anyway), few will be honest enough to recognize it when they are.

[@edgarzatikyan2922]

This was a month ago. On OCT 7 (yesterday) we saw 52 weeks lows and some stocks even hit all time lows. So, have we hit the bottom? Are we close?

[@scottgordon4145]

One of the few GREAT minds on market analysis, always tells his true and honest veteran opinion.

[@LP-ow3kd]

A calm, reasonable breath of fresh air. Thank you Sir.

[@billclarke3773]

I am Ken's number one fan - this is excellent. The long bond 3% yield says a great deal. People are buying at a 3% yield so they think inflation is a short-term phenomenon, yet the media is utterly hysterical.

[@tomc3130]

Thank you sir, but would be appreciated more if the videos are posted as when they were recorded, rather than posted 1 month later. A lot has changed already.

[@daveostrowski2319]

I always love Kens perspective on what's going on

[@thaddeus46]

Demographics going forward in the USA bode well for the market. Millennials are moving into their most productive wealth generating years while retiring Boomers, in the early years of retirement, are itching to spend. (Millenials appear to love stock investing while Boomers have come to see it as necessary to preserve their long term finances.) Peace.

[@gmo709]

The "yeahhh, but" zone. I will continue investing and continue to cut my costs or optimize my spends as well as up my value at work. Feeling better ab the future. We must weather the storm. Life is full of them. Lots of storms and then the sun shines again. Cant all be bad news all the dmn time. Anyway, great info as usual and thanks again.

[@waterreviews1535]

@andre ziegler - I agree, Ken suggested it was unlikely to be a bear market. May be it technically was, but only just. Things have since rebounded nicely.

[@long9748]

As always, you perspective is very thoughtful and factual based. Thank you for sharing your knowledge.

[@TV-sr6ut]

You are the real guru in chaos.

[@jswealth]

Thanks Ken, loved listening to your thoughts, as usual. Take care.

[@ClassicalFanNL]

Usually, September and October tend to be the weakest months, especially in the last 2 years. Agree that we could see another bottom in these 2 months.

[@selma5885]

Dalio, Druckenmiller, Grantham etc all in the bear camp.

[@TheNewYorker360]

At around 10:10 you say, "So I think the last half of the year will be pleasant. I think we'll see a bottom before then,. Exactly when, I don't know. But if you want to...." see a major downturn sustaining, which more and more people believe will happen, you'd be wrong on that. You then say: "I think we'll find the bottom soon...." and that the time between a 20 percent drop in the major indexes and THEN hitting an absolute market low occurs 1 to 2.5 months after that 20 percent drop, and that will all be in Q3 of this year. You recorded this video on JULY 14. The 20 percent drop from the highs in January 2022 occurred on June 14 (or so),. The markets have gone up since then. In mid-August 2022, it's 2 months since the lows in mid-June, from which the market went straight up. Are you saying there'll be a drop within 2 weeks from then --- a market bottom ---- after which the markets will go up through the fall, per your analysis? Say, around....Friday, August 26 ?

[@bobbyjoe1111]

shush

[@jimmeyer9648]

Thank you Mr. Fisher-- we enjoy your videos. Always full of useful knowledge.

[@missouri6014]

Thank you very well thought out and very well presented I appreciate it

[@Bugsy-ep5dr]

Thanks always top videos from you

[@protoplast.youtube]

thanxx from Switzerland 🇨🇭

[@favgramp]

Thank you sir, much appreciated.

[@idaliavelez1321]

Thank you so much for your Time and guidance.

[@markchoate4580]

Just excellent. Thank you, Ken.

[@wonbinkweon]

High quality video!

[@BR-joking]

Fantastic, thanks Ken

[@FRANKWHITE1996]

Thank you

[@스끼다시인생]

thanks good contents

[@YourDadsBoyfriend]

Will tank short after elections

[@majn7241]

*A+* Regards -

[@river7283]

Thank you.

[@chewie1355]

Thank You

[@darrenhere5856]

Fireplace in middle of summer ?? Why Ken why ???

[@TheNewYorker360]

It's August. Nothing to say, except: Pass the marshmallows, and the loooong sticks.

[@eric714]

A/C is too high, obviously.

[@jimdemerath1032]

👌

[@rustler160]

The present doesn't have to be exactly like the past if one believes in free will

[@yakopro49]

Makes sense.