Five Events That Will Change America By 2050

[@BoycottNCSoft]

Trees aren't just carbon capture, they're flood protection and temperature remediation (shade) as well. They're a resource we need.

[@sirrathersplendid4825]

Agreed. Trees also grow faster and taller in higher CO2, without the need to plant new ones. The effects are already showing in the African Sahel.

[@jamesjellis]

I know it's not much on it's own but my family buys a live tree for Christmas uses it for 2 years then plants it in early spring after its second use. Repeat. More families should consider this approach. It also costs basically the same or even less per year as opposed to buying recently cut "live" trees.

[@draneym2003]

But aren't trees woke? I assume they are these days. Everything else is.

[@veramae4098]

Mature trees reduce auto accidents and crime. No one's sure why, but the stats hold up.

[@CreeperMan959]

@@draneym2003What?

[@mellissadalby1402]

Trees not only help to sequester CO2, but they also help to moderate temperatures by evaporation. As the trees perform photosynthesis, they respirate and output water vapor, which is also a way they they moderate their own temperature. This water vapor in the air helps to moderate temperatures and ward off soil desiccation. Don't get me started on the value of trees. They are more valuable than they appear to be, especially as forests become mature with all associated undergrowth and plant material reclamation.

[@travis7211]

Tell that to my neighbor who would rather chop down any limb over his fence to keep leaves out of his pool

[@watwudscoobydoo1770]

Tell that to every city Californian that sneers at there fellow citizens every fire season and concludes they brought it on themselves.

[@reserva120]

That’s not really true .. do your research correctly.

[@robertdouglas8895]

We need MORE CO2 to enhance plant growth. Increased warming on the earth because of the sun causes more CO2, not the other way around.

[@I_Have_The_Most_Japanese_Music]

Are you a tree?

[@empresssk]

As someone who wrote a 20 page paper researching high speed rail development, we absolutely will not have a national rail speed network by then. States suck at high speed rail planning and the federal agencies have shown little to no interest in nationalizing our transit system like they did the highway.

[@AFellowCyberman]

We'll likely be in civil war long before a national high speed railway is built.

[@phil20_20]

I still like Ike!

[@Coloradoball_gooberia]

Yeah I imagine a full us network won't be done till 2100 or so

[@SJ-xg1uf]

@@phil20_20 I agree. Sadly, we need somebody like Eisenhower, who everybody can look up to, before we see nationwide HSR.

[@GenericUsername1388]

Fun fact: We're closer to 2050 than 1996 *Edit on 1 January 2024: Now we're closer to 2050 than 1997*

[@ssg9offical]

That’s terrifying considering what’s going on in this country at this very moment.

[@GenericUsername1388]

@@ssg9offical yeah. I'm not American but I really hope you guys can sort out your issues soon

[@ssg9offical]

@@GenericUsername1388 really hope so the gun probably is extremely outta control.

[@Lerxstification]

@@ssg9offical What's going on thats so scary, other than Leftists' agendas?

[@sumredpillgaysian2090]

27 years from now.

[@ilanlattke6092]

I don't think that the US tree population is shrinking because of urbanization, but rather because of suburbanization. We take up so much space with our low-density suburbs that we build outward, and may have to resort going through forests.

[@timnewman1172]

Over-expansion of agriculture on land not as suitible for intensive crop production was a huge contributor in the last part of the 20th century... re-forestation of these lands in the midwest and plains could be a huge help to capture carbon in North America.

[@petergriffin3714]

classical world order schemes @sambankman-Zelensky

[@williamkeltner5119]

How many suburbs could fit between Kansas City and Denver? 🤔 🤪

[@ivancalderon852]

I think that most people who live in big cities love to complain about how much space we take up . Forest are shrinking due to wildfires because you city people want the funding from wild fire prevention to spend on other pet projects. I guess since trees can't vote you all don't care to ensure we properly fund prevention efforts.

[@Thomas-sc2pf]

Both, urbanization AND suburbanization, affect the tree population. As cities are rapidly densifying their urban core and replacing the single family homes with large multi-family developments, each lot that once had 3-4 trees on them are being removed to use the entire parcel footprint. Oftentimes these are very mature trees with a large tree canopy. Unfortunately, the replacement trees are relegated to small right of way strips and are generally smaller, ornamental-like trees.

[@lucianoboccedi]

It is what it is! During this austere times, protecting one's capital is much more important than making money. Basically because if one loses one's capital, making money is much harder. ''Missing the train'' vs. ''losing your money''. There are a lot of trains, but if your money is gone, it's over.

[@adenmall7596]

You need to invest in order to protect your hard-earned funds from inflation. You need to invest now because your money is more valuable today than it will be in a year, Bottom-line is that inflation is actually above 10% whilst interest rates is sub 2%. Cash is still trash.

[@africanboi4542]

$10,000 is worth more than it will be in the future. Investing in the stock market is the surest way of protecting your money from inflation and the best way to build wealth. The U.S stock market is the world's biggest wealth creator which always outperforms most economic realities in the long term.

[@africanboi4542]

@@kaylawood9053 You can't really know the full risk rate except you are a Pro. Reason I settled for advisory and guide from a stocks guru, “ELEANOR ANNETTE ECKHAUS”. Never been the same again with my holdings

[@evitasmith6218]

The crazy part is that advisors are probably outperforming the market and raising good returns. I will give this a look up, lucky i stumbled on this thread..

[@poboyfloyd]

schmucks

[@TheMatthewDMerrill]

As a Texan born and raised, I will be moving to West Pennsylvania next year. The heat has really gotten to me and I'm sure it will only get worse as a year's progress. I just want to be able to enjoy a lot of time outside without sweating so much or me and at the rest of dehydration. Edit: finally moved to PA

[@AJR99]

This is my exact scenario. I'm a native Texan in my mid 40s and just bought my first home in Wisconsin because I reached a point where the increasingly brutal summers were just too oppressive. I'll learn to drive in snow, lol!!

[@alexandersummerville5003]

Well I'm a conservative from California that just moved to Waco Txs, wish me luck ✌

[@clarkm.1274]

bad move as the winters are going to get worse each year from now on, more snow, summers where the snow never melts. A glacier in Chicago by 2032 great lakes frozen over all winter by 2030 snow and cold will make living impossible up northern US. I'm moving to Panama. It's going to be down right cold in Brownsville TX winters within a few years...lol

[@rustyshackleford6637]

I like western PA, I got familiar with it during my trucking years but I originally was from Texas too

[@1978dkelly]

@liversuccess1420 I definitely think people make too much of climate change. We do have A/C nowadays. We'll simply adapt to the higher heat (if it actually happens).

[@mohsinjaved1358]

Thank you for showing your views on future trends.Appreciate it. Personally, I am bit wary of putting faith in policy initiative like high speed rail and treeplanting panning out. This requires active citizen pressure and commitment from officials over a long period of time.

[@bullfrog5037]

High speed rail is a fantasy of the Left. The USA may as well throw its money down the proverbial rat hole than spend it on creating massive boondoggles that will bankrupt us all.

[@I_Have_The_Most_Japanese_Music]

If low speed commuter trains aren't economic I don't see how something like a high speed LA to SF express is going to be financially sustainable.

[@charlesjames1442]

We have “high speed rail”. The current locomotives and rail cars are capable of 100mph cruise. What we need is railbeds, routes and schedules that let us take advantage of that and keep the average speed over the route in the 60-70 mph range - and stay on schedule. Being consistently late is a huge problem for Amtrak and limits it’s ability to attract riders that need to be somewhere on time - which is most people.

[@americandirt7834]

You are correct. But the owner of this channel is an ideologue who thinks the world moves in a clear linear pattern toward progress, and that he and his fellow hivemind are the gatekeepers for it. The will for high speed rail has to exist among the people or it cannot happen. There is no evidence that such will exists outside of a few already highly urbanized places. Besides, do the high-speed rail advocates realize we're a single terrorist attack away from snuffing out what little demand there already is for rail travel?

[@letham1520]

@@I_Have_The_Most_Japanese_Music except it is economic when done right, Americans just don’t build enough transit oriented development

[@alexsteven.m6414]

At this moment, it is crucial for individuals to prioritize investing in alternative streams of income that are not reliant on the government, particularly with the existing worldwide economic crisis. Investing in stocks, gold, silver, and digital currencies can still be profitable during this period. Therefore, it is advisable to explore these investment options to secure one's financial future.

[@bernisejedeon5888]

you're right! If you are unfamiliar with the market, I recommend seeking advice or assistance from a financial coach. With the help of an investment advisor, I have diversified my $450,000 portfolio across multiple markets, We were able to generate over $1.2 million in net income from seasonally high-dividend stocks, ETFs and bonds. For me, this is the most ideal way to enter the market these days.

[@valeriepierre9778]

I just started a few months back, I'm going for long term, I'm still trying to wrap my head around it, who’s this advisor you work with?

[@bernisejedeon5888]

​@@valeriepierre9778 Do your homework and choose one that has strategies to help your portfolio grow consistently and steadily. ‘’Julia Ann Finnicum” is responsible for the success of my portfolio, and I believe she possesses the qualifications and expertise to meet your goals.

[@JakeKoenig]

Is this your way of pushing crypto?

[@zoro2Real]

rather diversife, do things that make you rich

[@peterschorn1]

Actually, American suburbs were *created* by mass transit. Long before cars were common, let alone affordable, developers would plat out subdivisions where land was cheap, far from city centers. To entice people who worked in those city centers (and thus had money) to move so far out, the developers would build electric trolley lines that ran from their suburbs into the city. But this was a bait-and-switch tactic: it costs far more to run and maintain a rail line than to build it, and eventually the private companies who operated these lines would go bankrupt. To keep workers from being cut off from their jobs, the cities would have to take over these lines and run them as public utilities, using a combination of higher taxes, higher fares and reduced service. As you might imagine, this pleased no one except the developers, who got away with it. If you wonder why America is so "car-centric," that's one reason. And we haven't even gotten to Jay Gould and the Rail Barons and the Pullman Strike and a whole folk-song album's worth of exploitation, violence and corporate welfare.

[@christianeaster2776]

Yes, totally agree. The main reason railroads got built across the continent was the government gave huge swaths of land on either side of the right of way and paid them for every mile of track built. The rail companies made most of their money selling the land to settlers. When the money from the land ran out and highways were built for private cars, the passenger service was no longer profitable and the government created Amtrak.

[@DanielsMTB]

Were trolley lines not profitable or was it because the car industry bought and then ripped out the competition? I think it was that GM wanted to push more product and removed mass transit options from our cities, but it's only part of the story. The other part is that car congestion started happening and made it impossible to keep on schedule. Mandatory 5 cent fares didn't keep up with inflation and the trolley companies were contractually obligated to maintain roads for (the competition) cars to drive on. Issues from 100 years ago are still causing us problems today with our traffic congestion and lack of mass transit options.

[@peterschorn1]

@@DanielsMTB The things I described were going on in the 1890s and 1910s. So automobiles were not a big factor yet.

[@trevorn9381]

@@DanielsMTB White America largely abandoned mass transit after Rosa Parks. When the Feds told them they had to sit next to blacks on the bus they stopped riding the bus. The racists who stopped riding the bus are gone for the most part but their kids never used mass transit, nor have their grandkids. Once people have had the freedom of owning and driving their own vehicle they are very unlikely to willingly give that up and go back to using mass transit unless they move to a large city where a car is more of a liability than an asset.

[@Gyfrctgtdbhf]

“Whole folk-song album’s worth of exploitation” I’m using that.

[@kriscampbell2327]

Up until 6 months ago I thought by 2050 people would flock to Minnesota. But I don't think that today. I've lived in Minnesota my whole life. 72 winters. This past 6 months was ridiculously snowy and cold. Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar April. Cold. As long as that continues I doubt the masses will move to Minnesota. Brrr. Finally this week we have 7 days in a row of 70 plus degree temps. One commentator said people will move to mid tier states. Missouri Arkansas Kentucky etc. Seems liked a good plan to me. Stay away from Minnesota and let us die hard fools wallow in our cold misery for 6 months.

[@jackfishcampbell6745]

Those are Red states , I've been to all three , but as a liberal there's no way . Where I live it's cold but I'm staying put .

[@stepheng3667]

As a Canadian I agree with your post.

[@jackfishcampbell6745]

@@stepheng3667 We don't want them anyway . Being serious though I believe that there is going to be huge movements of people trying to find more temperate areas .

[@Winspur1982]

Ilhan Omar and her family moved to Minnesota, knowing full well (I think) how long the cold lasts there, because she did not want to spend the rest of her life in Somalia and quite possibly die of hunger there. She's been a great Congresswoman and I hope your state gets more immigrants like her. But you're right that people who just want to be warm and "comfortable" all the time would be much better off buying a house next to Sarah Huckabee Sanders.

[@Micg51]

This winter was exceptionally long and snowy. Kinda made me regret not having a snowblower

[@rebuild4992]

I remember one of my college professors back around 1990 predict that in 20 years we would all be a night-shift society because of the ozone hole. Well, 2010 came and went and we're still not a night-shift society. I just hope he lived to see the folly of that prediction.

[@rasoirwolf]

Not only that, there are reports that the Ozone Hole is healing faster than expected, so he was double-wrong. (Some GOOD news for a change, IKR?)

[@richardnish6469]

The population bomb in 1970 predicted catastrophie by 1990.

[@StevenHughes-hr5hp]

Why did he see that as a negative? I have always tried to get on either the second or the third shift.

[@alexleanh]

Many scientists had similar predictions then... and it did not happen plainly just because: WE (scientists, governments, and leaders around the world) took action to remedy the situation then with "The Montreal Protocol" to protect the Earth’s ozone layer. Look it up. It's the most successful worldwide treaty (signed by every country in the world) that enabled the healing of the ozone layer by phased out 98 per cent of their ozone-depleting substances (e.g. the coolant CFC-11 we used in all of our automobiles, home air conditioning, etc).

[@alexleanh]

@@richardnish6469 The Chinese, the Japanese, even the Americans, and many other governments around the world took action with their population control. The Chinese alone with their one-child policy had effectively reduced the Chinese population tremendously that they're now changing to a two-child (or even more) policy. The Japanese are now with an aging population that they have to immigrate the Filipinos into their country to take care of their elderly. Americans are now with less than 1.38 child per couple and with condoms, birth control pills, pregnancy prevention measures, abortions... even wars... have kept the population in check and under "the population bomb" catastrophe.

[@Madmun357]

I live in El Paso, TX. I really wouldn't be surprised if in 30 years the population of this city is forced to shrink to half its current size. There just isn't enough water to sustain continued growth.

[@randyjones3050]

The more I study trends analysis and predictions, the more difficult the task of predicting the future seems to be. There are just too many moving parts and unknowns for us to make any accurate predictions about much of anything. Changes in laws, public policy, technology, and cultural preferences can all have a dramatic effect in ways we cannot predict. Just as an example, up until 2020 very few people thought that remote work would really be a major factor in the job market, but now it is a major consideration just a short 3 years later. That is a combination of technological innovation and a shift in cultural values among workers. Big tech employers like Elon Musk can lament the change in worker preferences all they want, but if the best workers demand remote work, employers will have to bend the knee to what the employment market will allow. These kinds of changes in employment have the potential to significantly reshape human living patterns and city development plans in the future. The commercial real estate market in the USA looks like it may be about to implode over the next several years as a result of these changing employment patterns by workers and businesses. The dense commercial districts once epitomized by places like New York City may become a thing of the past. (That's why I'm not bullish on NYC over the long term.) These kinds of changes along with the rise of new technologies related to AI and robotics will have a dramatic effect on the ways cities are designed in the future. There is just no way for us to predict how all of this is going to play out over the next several decades.

[@UptownSigma]

Agreed I was just researching the Great Lakes area due to the info I’m seeing on probable rising sea levels and heat in the South. So much info, no clear way to truly predict anything.

[@almostthere100]

"Big tech employers like Elon Musk can lament the change in worker preferences all they want, but if the best workers demand remote work, employers will have to bend the knee to what the employment market will allow." Perhaps you have this backward. The number 1 and 2 most desirable tech companies for engineers are (interchangeably) SpaceX and Tesla. Guess who demands workers to physically come "to work" (at least predominately)?

[@videogalwatch]

Agreed. The biggest changes will be much faster. Remote work, electric vehicles, artificial intelligence, telehealth, aging demographics are here NOW. Many costs of goods & services will plummet. Huge swap of human labor for automation. Values of land, property, real estate upheaval as citizens demand & civic government become "smart."Academia & Judiciary by A.I. Today will be " The Dumb Old Days."

[@HamsterPower26]

Top ten things occurring by 2050: (1) White people become an absolute minority in their own country (2) Mexicans become the dominant majority race in the country (3) > 30% of the US population will identify as homosexual, bisexual, transgender, pedophile, or non-binary (4) > 90% of marriages will end in divorce (5) > 90% of children are born out of wedlock and in single parenthood units (6) America becomes a one-party state (controlled by Democrats) (7) Speech is monitored daily and controlled (8) 50% of the country live below poverty level due to inflation, unemployment, poor economy, and massive crime (9) America ranks #200 in terms of literacy rate and education level (10) The United States is replaced by China as the dominant country in the world

[@WhenDevilsDuel]

Assume you're in the medium. Assume you're not privileged enough to witness the beginning or the end, use that as a model to predict. It's an old methodology that might surprise you with how effective it is.

[@Johnbaker-pt8rn]

These blistering hot summers are going to have a lot of influence as to where one lives. I left Texas and moved to Delaware 5 years ago because of taxes and insurance costs, with insurance being the biggest factor. When I left, I was paying $6000+ for flood, Windstorm, Homeowners, and excess liability insurance.

[@brianna_lynch]

Hopefully there will be more public transit! I hate driving.

[@danrhone9756]

Me too but I live far out in the country but I have no choice but to drive

[@huebeyduebey3493]

I love driving lol if I have to choose between a 12 hour drive and a 2 hour flight I’ll take the drive. I like seeing the scenery and having the option to stop and explore any area I find interesting. Being forced to travel with dozens to hundreds of strangers is awful lol but I realize I’m an outlier.

[@jbradhicks]

Public transit gets a LOT easier with smaller lot sizes and more quadplexes, because it means both shorter routes and more passengers (and trips) per mile.

[@TomHoffman-uw7pf]

@@huebeyduebey3493 The only way I'll ever get on a plane again is if it's going to Europe. Otherwise, I'll drive at my normal pace of 300 miles a day, avoiding interstates and places with a lot of traffic.

[@evanoc]

@@huebeyduebey3493 driving in a rural area is fun, but driving to work in traffic on the highway sucks a ton. Public transit is way better for cities

[@Nedlius]

man that bit about the trains was hella depressing. you're telling me that by 2050 all of the high-speed rail is mainly just gonna be 2 big cities in big name states being connected? we have 27 years until 2050. look at what China accomplished in less than half that time. the US is so disappointing.

[@normanclatcher]

Chinese High-Speed Rail will be falling apart by then. What they built was financially unsound and unsustainable.

[@benchlaylaurent6518]

@Norman Clαtcher oh man u must be drinking kool aid, if there's one thing we can give the chinese credit for is that their HSR network is probably one of if not the best in the world and tbh the US should look at china as an example to expand its own HSR

[@danielcarroll3358]

@@benchlaylaurent6518 I have seen people criticize Chinese HSR saying that they subsidized it 900 Billion! We did the same thing. We call it the Interstate Highway System.

[@ifkensen_3304]

@@normanclatcher How much did the fossil fuel industry pay you to say that?

[@JayMcKinsey]

Automated EVs already do really well on the freeway. That will limit the interest in high speed rail.

[@ericpierce3660]

Really enjoy your videos! You clearly put a lot of time and effort into them and they're always interesting. A small bit of constructive criticism: when you speak, unless you're posing a question, don't use High-rising Terminal (when a person's voice goes up at the end of every statement). That always makes people sound tentative and uncertain and they are taken less seriously. The stereotypical effect is Valley Girl Speak. You don't want to sound like that. When you make declarative statements, end your sentences with a downward inflection instead. That makes it more powerful and indicates you are confident in your message.

[@rstem9255]

Illinois is suppose to grow and shrink in population ? Impressive

[@jdredwine7224]

Also by 2050 the American Serengeti will finally open in Montana returning native Bison, Elk, Grizzlies, and other Animals to land they once roamed, as well as an effort to revitalize the important grasslands on the great plains! Forest farming will also be more frequent moving away from our current big agriculture industrial farming.

[@alexstokowsky6360]

Introduction of dangerous animals will conflict with people being able to enjoy serene time in the wilderness without packing heat.

[@tornadokegan]

Have you considered looking at hydroponics as a future alternative to agricultural farming

[@Beyonder8335]

As a farmer myself I don’t really see forest farming really going anywhere tbh. The main issue with it is that it lacks scalability and uses a lot more manual labor to manage than traditional fields and such. Given that a lot of farms are already short on labor, increasing the reliance on it is not really the best idea

[@BigJFindAWay]

Please God this should happen but I also think wild mustangs should be kept as part of the ecosystem. They don’t really do much damage and can be taken by wolves, grizzly bears and the young by mountain lions and wolverines.

[@BigJFindAWay]

Then they should be in parks not the wilderness.

[@elizabethpeterson1644]

I’m so happy to lived in northeastern Wisconsin on the thumb part of the state. There is a little bit of a climate change over the years. I remembered during the 90’s the water was very low for a long time. It went up in early 2010’s. Some winters get a little bit of snow and some winters a lot of snow. Past 2 or 3 winters had been pretty mild. In 2019 got a foot of heavy snow and did gradually melted during the month. In 2020 only 2 to 3 inches the rest of the winter. I hope this winter is mild again.

[@kenholst3541]

I love Door county

[@marcrugani326]

As a born and raised Buffalonian, I cannot recommend the region enough! Thanks for the shout out Geoff!

[@jimclarence5441]

I live southern Ontario. Visit Buffalo often, it's a fine place ...Residents seem to want to make it work. The Finger Lakes Region is a real gem,

[@stephenharper6638]

I'm from Chautauqua County and considering moving back. I miss the woods.

[@Frida3728]

Monoculture tree planting seems to be the plan currently. Mostly, evergreen trees that will likely be harvested when mature. I have heard nothing of planting for a multi-species forest, deciduous and evergreens.

[@drjonritz]

Good to hear the focus on planting trees to help the climate. Easily the best solution.

[@xasia_]

Considering many are likely to burn from temperature rise and that it takes years for them to grow large enough to make a noticeable difference we still need to largely focus on other areas as well. Trees arent going to solve the climate crisis, but yes they will help. Food is a big issue, plant based diets are not only statistically healthier but they reduce our carbon footprint between 50 - 70%. We use a ridiculous amount of our farmable land for cattle feed alone

[@firewizzard86]

​@@xasia_have you not got a brain to think for yourself?

[@dmarsh611]

Need more trees for sure. Tackles many issues, but big concern is wildlife, especially with all the new building of houses, etc

[@xtinafusco]

My spouse and I actually talked about moving to Buffalo one day - we liked it was by a large water source, has public transit, and close to Canada if we ever needed to flee lol. Then that crazy snowstorm happened this past Dec/Jan. Scared us off lol.

[@jokath64]

As a lifelong Buffalonian, that storm was historic, it hasn’t been that bad since 1977 when we had a massive blizzard. Buffalo is a great place to live with warm and sunny summers and all four seasons to experience. Having Canada 20 mins away is a bonus, being just an hour and a half away from Toronto! Cost of living is cheap, and there’s so much water! Not to mention some of the best food in a city you could have!

[@Kopat527]

they are gonna expand the metro rail here.

[@thewolfdoctor761]

Yeah that snowstorm was horrific. But being from Western New York you learn to stay inside until it stops snowing then dig out. No big deal. Just plan not to drive during the storm. BTW, summer in Buffalo is near perfection.

[@MineshBaxiYT]

you don't have to leave home for 6 months😅

[@Sl1pstreams]

If there is ever a need to flee the USA, Canada won’t be a sanctuary for long, unfortunately.

[@guntherdawg9824]

I didn't have an interest in geography. Not because I didn't like it. I just never thought about how fascinating it is when I stumbled on to your channel. Your content and presentation are great. Time to binge watch.

[@parispc]

Trees also help to keep temps down. They provide shade to city streets and sidewalks.

[@bruhman5716]

And absorb co2

[@bicknell67]

I love how positive your video was especially since most videos talking about the future are just doom and gloom.

[@MakeSomeNoisePlaylists]

actually it will be much worse !

[@bicknell67]

@@MakeSomeNoisePlaylists Possibly but there are positve aspects of the future.

[@donkeyearrs]

Good luck youngsters. I'm glad to see that you are optimistic.

[@datastorm75]

I love these kinds of predictions. They are almost always off the mark, frequently by a massive amount.

[@HamsterPower26]

Top ten things occurring by 2050: (1) White people become an absolute minority in their own country (2) Mexicans become the dominant majority race in the country (3) > 30% of the US population will identify as homosexual, bisexual, transgender, pedophile, or non-binary (4) > 90% of marriages will end in divorce (5) > 90% of children are born out of wedlock and in single parenthood units (6) America becomes a one-party state (controlled by Democrats) (7) Speech is monitored daily and controlled (8) 50% of the country live below poverty level due to inflation, unemployment, poor economy, and massive crime (9) America ranks #200 in terms of literacy rate and education level (10) The United States is replaced by China as the dominant country in the world

[@josepha.r5839]

I agree. I remember in the late 50s/60s on tv 'predictions' of the US at the turn of the 21st century. Boy, were they off.

[@myautobiography9711]

I feel like there will be another change in how the cities will look like. In the internet age and WFH becoming ever commonly practiced, the need to live in urban areas will decrease as days go by. Sure people will still want to live near everything for a little longer but with this continuing trend(high cost of living and such) I think many regional cities will develop instead of mega-metro areas with more than a million. My personal experience of growing up in smaller cities was great. Although I think one town I grew up in with just 20,000 is too small for the majority of modern people, the other city I grew up in with about 500,000 was good enough and many will prefer this kind of city in the upcoming decades.

[@redwoodpartisan2433]

You know you bring up a good point. I thought to myself before: if we went from a very rural species to now a very urban one, what’s to say we won’t end up in a new balance between the two extremes?

[@bgiv2010]

Agreed that regional cities may/should grow but not necessarily metropolises. You still need to be close to services: hospitals, fire fighters, mail delivery, garbage collection. There are still reasons for density beyond socializing, work, and school. Heck, there are other reasons to travel beyond those.

[@nixcails]

But then a counter argument to that is what has happened in parts of Europe where Work from Home has caught on and people have chosen to ditch owning one or more cars in favour of living in or nearer city/ town centres and using the extra time and money saved from not commuting to spend in the local economy. It also stops that 'Cabin fever' of being stuck at home. Smaller and heritage cities within travel time of larger metropolitan areas have thrived greatly from this.

[@stardaggerrihannsu2363]

There won't be "jobs", everyone will be on UBI, and do what they want. Some of that will "make money", some of it won't. AI will be doing >>ALL

[@WackJack187]

@@redwoodpartisan2433 I've been thinking this too. We've been going overboard on urbanization, Its becoming difficult to tilt the ship any other way. I think we're losing touch of things and not even realizing it

[@jamesbynum3123]

Plymouth Rock has been above water since 1619 but you think sea levels are going to rise noticeably and to detrimental effect by 2050?

[@KevinB-pd3me]

Funny how few people actually go to the coasts to check their "rising sea levels" predictions.😅

[@Our__Earth]

As a geographer I appreciate you promoting our disciplines and perspectives.

[@docjanos]

same here! (PhD, U of Wash)

[@mattl165]

Geoff, I’m a fan of the channel and podcast. I just listened to your episode about wind energy. I’m a wind turbine technician and have worked in Iowa, Minnesota and I’m now working offshore in the UK. I’d love to connect and share some information about wind turbines and wind energy.

[@frankdayton731]

"Many of these newer Americans will be far more diverse than the current population". When ideology prevents you from speaking English correctly. It's not possible for a single individual to be "diverse", only a group can be diverse. So the population as a whole will be more ethnically diverse, not the individual immigrants themselves. A person's family background can be racially heterogeneous, but once again that doesn't make *them* diverse, only their ancestors collectively.

[@calidawg510]

Plus most immigrants will continue to be Latinos lol not really a huge difference

[@gringoviejo8023]

One large issue facing the world are urban heat sinks. The reduction in snow cover is going to accelerate temperature rise - which will then cause a further reduction in snow cover. We need to find a viable method to "lighten" the color of our cities and highways.

[@KevinB-pd3me]

They're starting in Phoenix to switch to light colored asphalt. I expect if it works well, other sunbelt cities will follow their example.

[@haweater1555]

If you see how winter storms fly off of Lake Erie, youll see why Buffalo is never really safe.

[@I_Have_The_Most_Japanese_Music]

Buffalo won't really change, but it already sucks.

[@thewolfdoctor761]

For a day or two.

[@FerrariTeddy]

lol Fr buffalo seems to get snow like the UP of Michigan, which is a LOT

[@WispFigment]

I seriously don't know if any population projection have been correct over a 20-year period. We just had to update the Africa population max population projection, it was thought to be somewhere in the 2080s-2090s and now it's thought to be in the 2060s

[@kevinwhorton3448]

yes, but to what degree? Africa is in a much greater state of flux since there has been so much agrarian to urban movement and the corresponding impact on desired family size is hard to predict by country, tribe, etc.

[@WispFigment]

@Kevin Whorton more areas are affected by this than others. A lot has to do with the cost of families, you either have 10 kids and be generally poor or you have one or two child pour all your assets into your child,, have them become a doctor in which case they are pulled into the top 1% of the nation. But as a whole in the last 7 years there has been dramatic drop off in some cases falling to a loss of 1.0 children in fertility rates

[@ztonyz3192]

High speed rail by 2050?! Yeahhhhhh not when it takes a construction crew 10 years to fix a section of highway

[@robertjohnson4246]

I remember someone in the 1980s predicted that in the 2020s, the Great Lake states would see an influx of people because of the water supply.

[@toddgaak422]

Pretty much all of those doomsday climate predictions have been proven wrong. See Paul Erlich, Al Gore, et al.

[@awkwardsanchez6231]

It’s slowly happening

[@UserName-ts3sp]

i don’t think it’ll happen in the 2020s… at some point probably but not until the 2100s or so

[@papaicebreakerii8180]

The rust belt j gotta their economies on track. Most rust belt cities Alr have a stigma around them but w the right politicians their could be some real change.(PS this ain’t a party thing. It’s j that some politicians do their jobs better than others)

[@dforrest4503]

I think the estimated population of 400-450 million is way over what it will be based on trends I’ve seen. What data did you use to extrapolate for your prediction?

[@maxpowr90]

Especially as the Boomer generation dies off. I'd be shocked if we even hit 375m by 2050.

[@brandonn.1275]

It's not unlikely for the US population to rise to 400 - 450 million by 2050. Continued immigration will likely ensure that the population of the US will continue to increase at a steady pace, when accounting for the number of people being displaced by climate change.

[@erichamilton3373]

@@brandonn.1275 The sources of immigration are also seeing population growth flatten or drop. I also think it is very unlikely. They had to scale back 2020 and 2030 predictions.

[@brandonn.1275]

@@erichamilton3373 perhaps not unlikely, according to recent projections of people being displaced by climate change, the number of people displaced will reach 1.2 billion by 2050.

[@durkabomb7220]

This. He states these quantified notions with zero plausibility.

[@Anon21486]

I know this video is over a year old but it is worth mentioning that there is a High Speed Rail that is being discussed in the New England Region. The High Speed Rail will be between Boston and NYC and bypass the slowest section of the Amtrak/Acela Line in Connecticut by going through Springfield, MA. Estimated travel time would be roughly 90 minutes between the two cities, which is a huge improvement from the current 4 hour commute on both Amtrak and Acela.

[@PhilAndersonOutside]

As a student of futureism and trends (John Naisbitt, David Houle) I enjoyed this very much, and agree with you. Two thoughts: In most US National Forests, and many state forests, that are logged for timber (salvation or not) the law requires the area logged or disrupted be planted with seedlings already. This large number ebbs and flows and could get all over the place in the future as we determine how to log for both prevention, and salvation, as the planet heats up. I have lived in several states, both coasts. In the last 15 years alone the weather in New England is now more like Maryland was 20 years ago. I've also visited the south and lived in Arizona, and both areas are also warmer than 20 years ago. As such, the deep south and SW by 2050 may be so oppressivly hot for half the year it could border on being unlivable.

[@livejoyfully6426]

Thanks for outting this together. 2 things I question: 1) deurbanization vs urbanization: with the rise of virtual office workers working from home (covid era showed that it is possible and economical), there may be a trend of moving further from cities where cost of living is lower. 2) high speed rail may never catch on. California's high speed rail has been a complete debacle, which may deter future projects.

[@indy_go_blue6048]

Rural living (small towns, small farms, rural housing not developments or suburbs) is a lot more expensive, and when these "bedroom communities" (old school term?) develop, they become as expensive as regular suburbs. Sadly they usually tend to bring their big city problems with them as well.

[@ElJefe3126]

1. I'm skeptical about the effects of zoning. I live in Houston, which has NO zoning, NO restrictions on residences, NO restrictions on commercial development. You can literally have a high-rise condo next to a sprawling mansion next to a neighborhood restaurant next to a duplex next to an office building, and parts of the city are already like that now. Houston has one of the lowest population densities next to Atlanta. It has about as many people as Chicago in an area nearly as large as all of Los Angeles. So, I'm not sure that just allowing people to build multifamily homes in more locations will accomplish that much. 2. Trees...I grew up in Ohio. Already, there are many, many more trees there than when I was a child, mostly because agriculture is moving away, and every vacant lot is sprouting trees as people realize that nothing new needs to be built there (population growth is stagnant). I expect this trend to occur organically in much of the eastern US.

[@DADRB0B55]

Yep all these modern is clowns who are mostly white guys have never actually struggled financially a day in their lives talk about this affordable housing and shit like that but it’s not even being built is dogshit luxury apartments, I swear most of these channels are so out of touch with reality it’s embarrassing.

[@KevinB-pd3me]

You raise some interesting points.

[@johnd4348]

I see more Bad things happening than Good. We will be poorer, less educated and more separated and divided. Thats the trend I have seen in the last 50 years. Dont see it reversing.

[@brianmorgan5880]

👍

[@benmcreynolds8581]

America needs: "The better off low income living people are doing; The better off the entire economy will be doing." Type mentality -Think of it like a ecosystem in nature. The little things might seem meaningless and insignificant yet, if they crumbled away, the entire ecosystem would crumble. The last things remaining would be the top predators that eat everything else.. until they eat each other.. leaving just a few top sharks in the ecosystem.. the whales would all be gone once the plankton crumble away, the sharks would eat the whales. Then once all that's left is sharks, the sharks would eat the sharks. *(Think of this but as a analogy for our economy and our modern day society..) If we instead decided to support the lowest people in the ecosystem, there would be a beneficial systematic dispersion towards other aspects of society benefiting. All because the lowest people would be flourishing. I say flourish but I really just mean, able to obtain the most basic essential living standards... Yet even that would Vastly improve our current state of our economy & society *Also imagine this analogy in our economy. The more help we invest in the lowest level people, the more it would trickle into every facet of our economy. If poor people can pay their rent & not go homeless: landlords would get $, businesses would get $, banks would get $, local small shops would get $, mortgages & bills could be paid, insurance companies would get $, Taxes would get $, So essentially that $ would go out & filter right back in to improve our Country while simultaneously improving our quality of Life. Every bit of the economy would somehow find a way to benefit off of this situation... I don't get why we haven't even Given it a chance?? If it doesn't help? Then by all means stop it and figure out what problems we could be facing might be one's that run way deeper than expected and that would take drastic changes to improve that situation... (I hope we TRY something soon, before things get any more unstable. The worst thing we could do is continue on doing exactly what we are currently doing. It might get to a point where overcoming our struggles could simply become a pipedream. I don't want it to get to that)

[@JohnTaylor-fh4et]

Because it's not enough to just have it all, they need us groveling at their feet in despair. We've got some sick individuals in the upper class and in positions of power.

[@JohnTaylor-fh4et]

@@a.wadderphiltyr1559 that's not what I'm saying or doing or feeling.

[@quincybirwood2629]

You are a truly great researcher and presenter. Your videos are the miniskirt of geographical and demographic information: short enough to keep it interesting and long enough to cover the subject. Thanks for putting so much effort in to these videos. Keep the information coming.

[@Legendary-zh9hd]

not really google his 4 "ideas" and u find the answers all he did was create the questions which he probably saw elsewhere.

[@pif4347]

We definite need more high-speed passenger rail, and commercial rail. I look forward to it. We should be sharing the same space as the highway network and investing the same amount of money. The more trucks we can take off the roads the longer they will last. We need local rail networks as well connecting to industrial parks, downtowns, airports, and seaports.

[@katydid2877]

Whose houses are you tearing down to do that?

[@karinwetzel1773]

The rails to trails can go back to rails. And the OP indicated that rail can share the roads, such as was done first few decades of the 20th century.

[@nickj583]

If we take seattle for example, and this is not out of the norm, it costs 511 million per mile for their light rail system where as the average freeway costs 10 million per mile

[@StillPlaysWithModelTrains1956]

We once had an extensive high speed-electric Interurban/Trolley system across the entire country. That was until GM, Ford, Chevrolet, Greyhound and Continental Trailways conspired after WWII to purchase, then run into the ground all in the name of Eisenhower's Interstate Highway System. Now we have Caltran and Amtrak.

[@bigverybadtom]

@@StillPlaysWithModelTrains1956 You don't need conspiracies. Automobiles are cheaper, more reliable, easier to reroute. Alsonote that there are fewer rail lines as time goes on, not more.

[@AlexHop1]

The prediction of 1 billion more trees in the U.S. by 2030 is exciting! Trees are so important for carbon capture, wildlife, and cleaning the air.

[@richardchang7304]

I live in Texas now. I am natively from Seoul, South Korea. Most of my life, I have lived in the New England states such as Massachusetts and Connecticut. I am planning on relocating to northern Virginia.

[@richardchang7304]

Oh Yeah, one more thing about Texas. It is way too damn HOT here in the Central Texas region. I miss the snow, ice, winters, and skiing and other winter sports. I can't take the damn heat every single day for the past 5½ years. But, I do have an awesome job with Most Righteous benefits as a government employ for State of Texas. Did I mention that it is too damn HOT here in Texas.

[@zekeonstormpeak4186]

I would be 90 in 2050, I really doubt I’ll make that far. But if I do, will like to see it.

[@aquariumfish-i4h]

I’ll be 37 in 2050, I know I’ll make it that far. Can’t wait till the weird part of Michigan detaches and turns into Superior. I’d like to see that.

[@theofficialcybermonkeys1271]

@@aquariumfish-i4h you’re 10 years old 😆??? No way.

[@aquariumfish-i4h]

@@theofficialcybermonkeys1271 If you’re making fun of me leave me alone

[@pgrut8880]

I will be 83 in 2050. Thats if the world doesnt come to an end by then.

[@shootermcgavin4999]

Nobody is going to want to live in these large cities if they don't get the crime, homeless, drugs, and mental illness under control. The DAs need to prosecute. If they cleaned up the streets and I felt safe I would consider moving downtown.

[@steeldriver1776]

Yep. LA, Chicago, Detroit and NY all have sections no longer livable and/or abandoned. This video I believe is 100% wrong. We face a massive population collapse.

[@Larry660]

Fiedler's Forecasting Rules 1. It is very difficult to forecast, especially about the future. 2. He who lives by the crystal ball soon learns to eat ground glass. 3. The moment you forecast, you know you're going to be wrong--you just don't know when and in which direction. 4. If you're ever right, never let them forget it. - Edgar R. Fiedler

[@antonleimbach648]

Instead of adding trees which usually has no diversity of species we should just let trees grow naturally on uncultivated land. That way wildlife habitat is also expanded. Just planting millions of pine trees does nothing for the other plants and animals that are endangered. Just let Mother Nature take over land that’s not being used.

[@jeremyjackson8196]

I love the contradictory science predictions. This is fun!

[@iaincaillte3356]

Several observations: 1) Increasing housing density also requires increasing and improving infrastructure. As I see it so far, the impetus for that is lacking. Politicians seem to think that once they change zoning regulations, their job is done. 2) Increased population density provides a fertile field for increased crime. We are already seeing that trend with the increase in violent crime in cities, especially gun-related violence. If a more diverse population in which the various group members are suspicious of one another emerges, this will compound the problem. Diversity without mutual understanding, respect and tolerance will likely produce addition unrest. It may even require the government to employ more restrictive meaures to maintain order. 3) With the aging of the population, retirement as we conceive it now will disappear. People will stay in the workforce longer and the job environment will change to accomodate older and disabled workers. Agism as a current (unacknowledged) hiring policy will need to dissipate. 4) Cities will become greener out of necessity, plantings even becoming an architectual consideration. Trees and other plants moderate the weather, especially the heat of summer. The grid will not accomodate the added power required to combat oppressively hotter temperatures, especially if the number of EV actually materialize.

[@BiNumLi]

In Canada there are fewer safe choices. Too many forests and population living on waterfronts. I live in a small rural town in the mountains that has a river running by. No hurricanes make it this far. The river provides a natural break against forest fire encroachment. There are numerous towns and cities I lived in at one time in my life that have been flooded out, burned up, or struck by hurricanes / tornados. It is shocking to watch. But glad I made the move to a more climate protected area. Oh yes, Canada gets heat waves too. But not as hot as southern US. We saw dozens of seniors die in Vancouver in a heat wave. Few people have AC in Vancouver.

[@JasonTaylor-po5xc]

I'm not certain we will have denser cities unless by an authoritarian government mandate. One thing we learned during COVID is that many jobs can be done remotely (not in an office), so I actually seeing that becoming more common place as office jobs are seeing as a legacy model. I agree with the lower birthrate in America, but the immigration process is really broken so I don't see that many folks getting here by legal means. My friend is on a 75-year waiting list - I'm not sure how that is even possible. Sea levels will rise for sure but not that fast. The more likely scenario is that storms and king tides will push more water further inland, but that is temporary flooding. In 20-30 years, insurance companies will simply stop insuring properties on barrier islands or in the Keys - leading to only the uber-wealthy having access to them since only they can afford to "self insure." However, it will be hundreds of years before those islands are gone completely. Water issues in the Southwest could be solved with expensive, but possible desalination technology and lots of pipes. This is already used in the richer countries of the Middle East. Texas is less of an issue because they have a massive limestone protected aquafer. However, the high plains might run dry (Kansas-Nebraska-Dakotas) if they aren't too careful.

[@Winspur1982]

Yes. People who fantasize about America's "dynamism" but refuse to lift a finger to make immigration easier (everyone on CNBC) are fatuous hypocrites. Many Latin American migrants are choosing to stay in Mexico now: they've decided it's not worth putting up with the hate here, and they can find work there. I also think many of the now-empty office spaces should and will be converted to urban and suburban indoor farms. People need affordable food and we can't always rely on long-distance trucking from rural farms.

[@redwoodpartisan2433]

I think we could see a growing density of suburbs and towns, and the rezoning of certain city areas, but yeah no, work from home means we could see more little towns increase in size As for climate change induced sea level rises, yeah I don’t doubt they’ll happen, they just won’t be instant at all as you said. Desalinization is a good idea that’ll likely take off by popular demand

[@Greenacres1958]

I believe that’s true. For every person coming in illegally push a person farther away from entrance to our country. We need to tend illegal immigration now! It’s probably to late but we need to send them back until they do it right!

[@JasonTaylor-po5xc]

@@Greenacres1958 Sure, but we need to fix _legal_ immigration at the same time otherwise, illegal immigration will continue - at least as long as the US is seen as a more desirable location. Building a wall won't solve it since half of illegal immigrants are simply overstayed visa holders.

[@TheCinder24]

As a person who lives in the Great Lakes Region, we are not going to be piping our water out to help other states. They need to be figuring out their situation and taking climate change seriously. Some states make zero sense to move to. They are not sustainable in the long term.

[@JTSunriseMusic]

The US will likely reach the predictions for over population and new infrastructure but will likely fail to anything to combat climate change and deforestation

[@erichamilton3373]

I actually like most of the predictions: city design and transit possibilities. However, I just don't see it really happening. I think these predictions are generally polyannaish. They've been talking about better public transit and downtown or more dense housing options for over 40 years now--as per my memory, and very little of it has happened. Overall, the US is pretty innert, and people are really really resistant to paradigm changes, such as what cities should basically look like. It's too bad, but it pretty much won't happen.

[@remannhall9457]

It will start to happen…and then the project will be abandoned. We just can’t develop fast and efficient enough. Cost overruns, budgets, political changes, cultural changes. I just don’t see it getting done.

[@f.michaelbremer-cruz2708]

That was quite interesting, thanks for sharing this. As the past quarter century illustrates quite well, a lot can and will change in just 25 year's time. It will be fascinating to watch that transformation play out daily and to see what comes next.

[@andymurphy8403]

I’m not holding my breath on the high speed rail predictions here.

[@alexiere]

Thank you for this. I was feeling down and needed a good laugh. ❤

[@susansaoirse2797]

I love your optimism. 😊

[@carminefragione4710]

The Jetsons were to arrive by the 1970s, predictions are still flying high.

[@Urbanhandyman]

I wish you were correct about California High Speed Rail (5:11) between San Francisco and Los Angeles commencing full service by 2033. Unfortunately only a third of the line, within the California Central Valley, will be completed by then. It will link two rural towns to each other. 2050 is looking to be the actual date of high-speed rail service between San Francisco and Los Angeles. A very sad chapter in American infrastructure improvements. Thanks for the video; a lot of food for thought.

[@JayMcKinsey]

Actually it will connect SF to Bakersfield by 2033.

[@CJbrinkman602]

I'd say a more realistic goal would be 2035-2040 with current construction pace. It will be awhile but the huge benefit I will provide will be worth it. Japan's HSR system saw delays and cost overruns when it was built, but no one ever thinks about that.

[@Urbanhandyman]

@@JayMcKinsey Unfortunately the northern leg, Merced to San Jose, is only in the planning stages currently. They're still seeking funding. All of the current emphasis is having the central portion up and running by 2030 but they've given themselves a three-year "fudge" timeline. That's 2033. I'm not optimistic.

[@NickCombs]

The Brightline to Vegas might be done by then though. They've figured out how to get quicker results.

[@doujinflip]

@@NickCombs Having the fraction of private property disputes to pay off helps a lot.

[@magellanicspaceclouds]

I'd love to see a nation-wide network of high speed rail with a connection to Anchorage through Canada. Hawaii would be more difficult. 😅

[@kingofprussia17]

Yes, let's have another Amtrak, that worked wonderfully and everyone takes the train. >.>

[@magellanicspaceclouds]

@@kingofprussia17 Amtrak is too slow.

[@stephenharper6638]

Holding my breath for Hawaii!!!:)

[@Lerxstification]

That’s a total possibility as long as you don’t mind paying 90% income tax rate

[@tornadokegan]

@@Nacalina007 I agree with this one cities will be so big in 2050 everything you possibly need would be in within the metro area at that pointThe only reason you’ve been traveling out side your match would be for visiting family evacuations moving out or vacations work wouldn’t really be a valid reason anymore unless you’re doing it from home then maybe

[@JasperOFlanigan-jz6jt]

I loved Tampa but you couldn’t even enjoy the outside for 6 months out of the year. It was miserably hot. Even in the “winter” it would top 80 degrees, with humidity, on Christmas. You spend so much of your life hiding from the Sun.

[@susanjane4784]

Enjoyed! Housing and high speed are logical but not going to be easy. Even small sections of tolly lines cause huge political, cultural, and logistical nightmares. Needing high speed is not the same as it actually happening. Housing has more push behind it, but I've been thinking about blight and infrastructure lately. The great lakes region has serious problems that won't be solved with a bulldozer and wishful thinking. I'm in my 60s so I won't live to see all of this happen but I've followed future projections since the 70s when everyone started taking the idea more seriously. History is learning from the past. The future is applying the past toward something (hopefully) better.

[@andreworam2844]

Rail is super expensive everywhere in the world and not worth the price. Autonomous vehicles are where it’s at.

[@__nm10]

@@andreworam2844thats… literally not true? autonomous vehicles are way more expensive than rail and will continue to be.

[@andreworam2844]

@@__nm10 They are now, but like most technology they will quickly come down in price once they are mainstream.

[@brandonalfaro42]

@@andreworam2844 I’d have to disagree. ANYWHERE in Europe, there will be planty of rail lines for trains and subways that are very efficient and sustainable. And I MUCH prefer it over all the car and it’s car traffic over in any big city in the US

[@michelangelobuonarroti4958]

@Andrew Oram I'm sorry to say but no, the US is pretty unique with how bad it is at building railways. Being so car dependent is the main reason that the US has triple the carbon footprint of the EU per person and cheap rail would allieviate many such problems. Also, isn't car infastructure REALLY expensive? Like, A LOT. If you don't ask questions about new highways that realistically speaking noone really needs (cough cough North Carolina) then by god you shouldn't ask questions about a piece of infrastructure that gives you more choice and alleviates traffic congestion all at relatively low cost. Take CAHSR for example. Fundamentally important project, but espensive. Do you know why? Because 1. The funding isn't there, which means that they're forced to work stop and go and can't scale up which drags everything out and making projects take longer is the best way to make them more expensive. 2. The small scale of the California High Speed Rail Authority. They're only able to employ 2000 people permanently right now, compare that to large infrastructure managers of European Railways. Obviously progress is slow if you have so few people. Also not having the necessary staff forces outsorcing which means more cost because of an endless amount of middlemen. 3. Endless lawsuits and nimbys which drain reasources and slow progress unnecessarily. Because in all honesty the majority of cases faced so far were not people expelled from their homes, not even close. If you want to fix that problem you divert 35 billion from the defense budget, as that was increased massively without rhyme or reason and give it to the Rail Authority. With that kind of financial stability they can plan ahead and complete Bakersfield - San Francisco in 15 years or so, everything else remains to be seen.

[@ianmcleod48]

I love thinking about big ideas like this, excellent video! Believe it or not, that Las Vegas-LA high speed rail line looks pretty likely to begin construction by the end of the year/early next year, and the hope is to have it operating before the 2028 Olympics. I wouldn’t be shocked if we see the Brightline extension to Tampa by then as well + major progress on Amtrak’s Connects US map, and I think CAHSR will actually be further along then most people would think by 2028 as well. I think we will see a lot more 110-125 mph intercity passenger rail corridors on top of the HSR routes you mentioned, along with much more local/regional transit, including in cities that wouldn’t seem likely to have it by today’s standards such as Colorado Springs, Boise, Omaha, and Las Vegas. I think North America as a whole will largely become the tech/industrial hub of the future, and the entire continent will become dependent on immigration by necessity to help run that economy of the future. Hopefully we plant as many trees as possible, and make major progress on protecting/rehabilitating the oceans as well. There’s also really no telling how long people might be living by 2050 thanks to advances in medical science, so there could be even more people than we currently estimate, by definition, it’s hard to account for Black Swan events like that. It’s exciting to think about!

[@andreworam2844]

Brightline in Florida will be bailed out/bankrupt in 10-20 years.

[@Winspur1982]

Medical science isn't the only thing that determines how long people live. There is also: having adequate food, clean water, a community that cares about you, being able to go to a hospital when you need it and not being forced to give birth when it will kill you; also, being able to go outside without dying from the weather, or getting shot by someone who hates you because of Nazi ideology (the list goes on but I hope I gave you an idea)

[@I_Have_The_Most_Japanese_Music]

I think your thoughts on rail are a pipe dream but I agree with the rest.

[@kennixox262]

You are right and if it happens, driving on I-15 between Las Vegas and the LA basin will be awful with construction in the median during that period.

[@supergameplayer8617]

When the California and Cascadia high speed rail projects are complete, there should be a Jefferson high speed rail project to bring the two together.

[@timothykeith1367]

I doubt there will be widespread highsoeed rail - unless the setvice is profitable. With gowing givernment debt, public projects will face heavy funding scrutiny . If the U.S. Dollar loses its status as the global reserve currency. all bets are off on the long term of many givernment programs. Large citues could become hell holes of crime. Cities like Portland are losing retail because of crime and disresoect for private property. If the era of cheap debt is over., cities face growing violence.

[@tranya327]

Geoff - I enjoy your content, and the visual production style you put into these videos! That said, there is another factor that relates to cities, that you don’t discuss here, and which is relevant: The combo of crime, and of U.S. cities being perceived as increasingly unattractive and dangerous places - partly due to crime, but even more due to the Leftist philosophy associated with Urbanism: funneling ever more power, knowledge and decisions to Big (city and state) Governments, and big organizations - inefficient at best, but also likely corrupt, shifting basics away from individuals and city residents, in favor of this or that special interest. Rather than existing U.S. cities becoming more dense, we may be more likely to see a different pattern: -Existing U.S. cities continuing their descent into hellscapes, with all but the very poor fleeing as far away as they can; -New ‘smart cities’ being built from scratch, with 21st Century sensibilities in mind: (work-from-home, pedestrian friendly, with some legal way of refusing admittance to street addicts, and also legal means to expel people who become addicts from within city limits - cities reimagined as super-large gated communities); - Shifting of people to rural areas, small towns, and/or red states generally - places that are perceived as less corrupt and less dominated by big organizations, likely to decide things for their benefit at your expense.

[@5928N]

Leaving aside the fact that there is corruption, crime, and deep poverty in rural areas and small towns as well, people have been predicting the end of urban areas in the US for a very long time. Not only has that not happened, but many cities have gained population in recent years. It will be interesting to see what the effect of increased teleworking pans out but many have actually seen an improvement in the quality of life even if your favorite news sources don't mention that.

[@5928N]

To be clear, there is nothing wrong with preferring a more rural lifestyle and many people clearly do. The part that is wrong is the description of urban areas becoming "hell holes".

[@kenkur27]

​@@5928NVery true of my city, Toronto ON. Population increasing big time, largely due to immigration. But affordable housing is a big issue, so some people leaving as well

[@bans5]

Something that wasn't listed but I do think will be changing by 2050 is the agriculture. With the rise in temperatures its getting harder to grow crops and shortage in water will accelerate this. I do think indoor controlled farms that utilize going up and down will explode in popularity. It uses less water, less pesticides, can grow way more in a much more confined space, overall a better method. Truly do think it will be the way of the future in farming.

[@rogerdysert5344]

I'm still waiting for the next ice age that was promised when I was growing up.

[@rebeccalindley153]

I'm still waiting for one of Al Gore's predictions regarding climate change to happen.

[@rogerdysert5344]

@@rebeccalindley153 I remember him saying that anyone born after the year 2000 would never see snow.

[@robertmeadowfield4346]

Wow, geography is really a great subject. Thank you Geoff

[@jimdandy6452]

I thoroughly enjoyed your presentation and I'm hopeful that those positive aspects come to fruition. I look forward to seeing more (just subscribed)

[@thehospitalguy1657]

In 2050 I will probably still working, because I love what I do and also it is my belief that those that worker longer also live longer. Several studies have shown this to be the case. So for me, I will be in my 80's and working.

[@brianmorgan5880]

I think it depends on the nature of your work but in my case working later in life is a net positive. I'm 66 and loving it. I tried retirement for a couple years. I'm happier working.

[@teklife]

i saw a video not too long ago which made the case that grasslands are much better than forests/tree cover for diversity and carbon capture. it was a video related to bringing back the woolly mammoth, and the environmental benefits which it would bring.

[@dledge2689]

wherever trees are planted, they should be native to the region or it could backfire in 2075 and beyond. Planting lots of new trees in grasslands and prairie regions is probably a bad idea

[@RedEyeC]

Incorrect about the average age increasing - it is actually now decreasing mainly because of extreme obesity, poor diet, and a surge in diabetes and other health-related diseases. More population / expanse issues are the more recent dystopian problems in large cities - greatly affecting their local economies. States like California - if continuing their present course - could significantly shrink in population.

[@kingofthegod8983]

I hardly doubt any of this will happen considering of whats happening in our current country in the US, but I guess only time will tell

[@MojaveMenace76]

I’m all for planting more trees. More greenery, fresh air, and combating climate change.

[@Lawdog652]

Great virtue signaling. Say have you ever planted a tree?

[@MojaveMenace76]

@@Lawdog652 Ty. Yes. I’ve planted… about 10 trees.

[@SallySallySallySally]

"By 2050?" I wish I had your optimism. The climate-driven catastrophes will have overcome our ability to mitigate them long before then. The various tipping points once predicted to be reached "by the end of the century," then later revised to "2050" are now being predicted to be reached "in the next three to four years."

[@gannon3816]

What about losing its position as the global superpower?

[@hankhillsnrrwurethra]

To whom? Russia? China? Argentina? Sorry friend

[@gannon3816]

@@hankhillsnrrwurethra To the rest of the world. The US will no loner be able to force it's will onto the world since there is a growing counter-balance as seen during the days of the Cold War, except America is on the decline this time.

[@hankhillsnrrwurethra]

@@gannon3816 Did you see what the US did when Iran attacked Aramco, or when they grabbed that tanker three weeks ago? Nothing. You are on your own, and you'll be wishing Uncle Sam was still putting the fear into the mullahs and bone sawyers soon enough.

[@gannon3816]

@@hankhillsnrrwurethra Empires don't fall overnight. It will be a long process over the course of a few decades or maybe a century. Either way, when the FIAT currency system implodes, that will spell doom for US unipolar hegemony.

[@CzechNickOut]

Great content and finally a more positive outlook. Btw love the shirt! Na zdraví! 🇨🇿

[@toniderdon]

You are super optimistic for the US, I really hope you are right

[@jtjr26]

I am sure some of the good things will indeed happen. By the same token, some of the bad things will happen as well. Also, there will likely be several unanticipated events as well.

[@carlomalabanan]

By 2050 we expand our US territories to Moon and Mars.

[@tuckerchisholm1005]

Hell yea

[@normanclatcher]

Space Force base on Mars. Can't wait.

[@chosen7127]

Oh U.S. already pay their debt?

[@corruptedpoison1]

@@chosen7127 The debt will just default and nothing will happen but fuck over my generation.

[@jamesstephen5694]

Hey Geoff, I live in Florida near the center of the State where the Fastest Retirement Community is. look up The Villages in Wildwood Florida, - Wildwood-The Villages - known for its large retirement community - whose population rose nearly 5% to 151,565, making it the nation’s fastest-growing metro area.2022-2023. Do a video on this.

[@JayMcKinsey]

Remote work is taking people out of cities and into the subs and small towns. Overlooking that is a major flaw in your analysis.

[@CJbrinkman602]

Home ownership costs are the primary factor driving people back into the cities, most of Gen-Z cannot afford a house due to rising interest rates and the costs of land going up.

[@travis7211]

Remote work isn't going to last long term. Hybrid will. Why pay someone in the US to do a job when someone overseas can do it for a fraction of the cost?

[@jouaienttoi]

There is a limit to remote work. Also a lot of people enjoy cities. There is more to do and in many cases you don't have to travel far to do it.

[@doujinflip]

Remote work is horrible on creating durable social connections, and threatens to get you outsourced to much cheaper competition overseas. You're simply more disposable when you're only seen on a screen, and chances are you'll run out of remote-only job offers much sooner than you'd like.

[@JayMcKinsey]

@@doujinflip The days of outsourcing office worker jobs overseas are over. AI will replace a third of knowledge / office worker jobs in five years. Demand for offices downtown is not coming back.

[@vanihansen2136]

I hope AZ starts getting trees. I've lived here my entire life and I absolutely hate the desert. But parents were here .. grew up here and no money to move so I'm stuck. I'm considering moving about an hour away from where I currently am because there are more trees up north but with my house right now I can't and it'll be a couple years before it can happen.. if it ever does.

[@littlerayofsunshine69]

@provobeats8105 I drove through Arizona back in March. I've been there a few times but this was the first time being in the Sonoran desert in spring. It was absolutely gorgeous. Wildflowers carpeted the desert floor. Everything was bright green. Granted, it's a short lived season, but it was awe inspiring nonetheless. Drove from Springerville in the high desert to McNary up in the tree covered mountains where it was still winter at 35⁰F with 2-3 feet of snow on the ground to Phoenix where the desert was in full bloom and nearly 80⁰ that day, all within a few hours drive. You get a chance to visit, spring is the best bet.

[@hansolo3154]

Arizona's climate beyond some parts of its eastern mountains cannot sustain trees. It is far too hot and would be too much water usage

[@vanihansen2136]

@@hansolo3154 Right now yes.. but eventually I believe we will have trees.

[@Lukas_AZ]

AZ resident here. We need to press for water supply from rivers that can provide to us when they flood... Mississippi or the Snake. I know, it'll be expensive. But AZ is is disaster-free state and helps cover the cost of hurricanes & other disasters elsewhere... so throw us a bone and direct some water here! I like the comment from Provobeats8105... those who can afford it will always bounce between the North in summer and AZ in winter :)

[@vanihansen2136]

@@Lukas_AZ lol.. I live in Glendale but go to Payson a lot since my father has a house up there.

[@DanielLoveReel]

A. Florida and Texas aren't going to do well with climate change. They're already having issues with insurance and that's an early indicator. Their denial of climate change effects is only going to hurt them. B. High Speed Rail is wildly overdue. Gas prices or environmentalists will propel the shift away from short-distance flights. C. Denser cities are overdue. Sprawling over everything is just shooting ourselves in the foot. We need nature more than it needs us. D. Trees are good and everyone knows it. The best recipe for livable cities is density + trees.

[@1aikane]

The increase in population will cause major issues. Clogged transportation systems, more competition for jobs, education, housing, and access to medical care. Also fresh water supplies will be stressed. All sounds pretty abysmal

[@nafnaf0]

A decrease in population is even worse though

[@1aikane]

@nafnaf0 in 1950 America had 50% less people than now. The standard of living was remarkably high for most Americans then

[@zadkielabdullaah552]

@@1aikane *most being those within or deemed ok by the racial majority. Excluding that it ignores that the biggest factor towards that was that the US had just exited WW2 arguably in the best position with 2/3 of the world blown to hell. Yeah things were “good” but it can also be said that the facets and pleasantries we associate with Americana were easier to access which can be an indicator of success but it doesn’t tell the full story.

[@1aikane]

@Zadkiel Abdul'laah I can't tell the full story in these little text boxes. A house costs 1x an American's annual income then. A car cost s .02% of their annual income, college was around $500.00/year

[@zadkielabdullaah552]

@@1aikane I’m not arguing that, what I’m saying is look at the larger world trend during that decade that provided that. Again it 5-10yrs after WW2 during the war and after a lot of the worlds production and finances were being handled by us the U.S. I’m not arguing the results, the point still stands though those conditions experienced in the 50s are in part due to that. It’s not a complete correlation however I hope you can see my point. The conditions in the 50s are as close to being a once in a lifetime opportunity as can be. The world wasn’t globalized then, there weren’t many manufacturing centers outside the US at least that hadn’t been bombed or burned, and lastly were smack dab inbetween the Pacific and Atlantic, our industry was simply not affected by the war. All that is to say during that brief period virtually everything that could go well for our economy did. Times have changed and will continue to.

[@SenorJuan2023]

"This carbon isn't going to suck itself."

[@bruno5336]

That's what she said

[@Raptoria7]

Would have been nice to hear mention of the impending food shortage due to the population explosion by 2050!

[@FarmingWithYahweh]

1. Hyper inflation 2. Rampant crime in the cities 3. Dissolution of the American Government to an AI run by the WEF.

[@williamcahill2462]

I've wondered for years now how wise these present day moves to FL and TX are? It seems their property is going to be worth a lot less as these climate issues get worse.

[@Crusader1984]

Don’t listen to these climate predictions. No one knows what it’s going to be in the future. They have been wrong a lot

[@shawnallenlott]

If climate issues do indeed get worse people might go elsewhere, but until then Texas is the best state and Florida is second best

[@williamcahill2462]

@@shawnallenlott if you Google, "best states to live 2023", you'll find Texas 6th and Florida 15th. The fact you think they are 1 and 2 tells me you have traveled very few places.

[@williamcahill2462]

@@shawnallenlott and btw, many areas of coastal Florida are flooding daily at high tide. The governor is too busy pucking fights with Trans, gay kids and Disney to do anything about it, so it's just going to get worse rapidly there. Do you remember the after effects of Harvey? That scene will repeat frequently going forward and once entrenched, property values will plummet. It's an El Nino year which means more rain for the south, let's examine how much rain at end of summer to see how things changed from last El Nino year.

[@RevenantShark]

Single family homes are inefficient. Hope we implement a major change for denser housing in cities.

[@bets8863]

Yes, I'm sure they use less water and energy than single family homes. People I know with HOA's with the water paid for collectively are the biggest water hogs I've ever met! They act like it's free!

[@aspen1606]

2:07 current immigration and fertility rates disprove this. Not even latin america or asia have the rates, let alone enough for surplus population. Going off genetics the US is still overwealmingly western european, that won't shift. Besides that you're correct.