The Big Short Is Happening Again

In the middle of 2021, Michael Burry made a bet that the US bond market would go down, and over the following year it fell over 30%.
At the time, this trade didn’t really get much media attention because ultimately we don’t actually know how much money he made on it, if anything at all.
But the details don’t really matter, because he was right, the bond market did fall… alot
So it caught my attention when I saw this morning that Burry had made a bet against the US Stock Market
What confused me is that no one reporting on it seems to actually understand why he made this bet
When in fact it’s actually kind of obvious if you know which place to look.
So let me paint a picture of how the man famous for predicting the housing collapse, is now betting on the collapse of the entire stock market
And the May 18th report by S&P Global which shows us why he might be right.
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TIMESTAMPS
INTRO 0:00
THE BIG SHORT 1:06
HIS FAVOURITE SIDE BET 2:27
BETTING AGAINST THE MARKET 5:28
HOW DO WE KNOW? 8:28
WHY THE MARKET MIGHT CRASH 10:03
LIMITATIONS 14:18
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Disclaimer:
The information in this video is general information only and should not be taken as constituting professional advice from Hamish Hodder.
Hamish Hodder is not a financial adviser. You should consider seeking independent legal, financial, taxation or other advice to check how the information relates to your unique circumstances.
Hamish Hodder is not liable for any loss caused, whether due to negligence or otherwise arising from the use of, or reliance on, the information provided directly or indirectly, by use of this video.
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[@HamishHodder]

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[@bsgross606]

Worth noting QQQ is -5.98% last 30 days, SPY is -3.36%

[@sugarbear103]

@@bsgross606😢 1:19 1:19 1:19

[@Kproductions2012]

could you do an update on asos?

[@jisskk28]

No he doesn't, he predicted it earlier this year. 🤪

[@Nitroat-xo4tj]

DO SOMETHING AGAINST YOUR SCAMBOT PROBLEM IN THE COMMENT SECTION!

[@auralxtc]

Michel Burry has predicted 11 of the past 2 crashes.

[@avarmauk]

😂😂😂

[@who2u333]

And this one too apparently.

[@zachariahmccoy]

Lol he is wrong a lot , though a broken clock is right twice a day

[@theycallmealex454]

Are all these predictions by him actual bets or just some of them?

[@davfree9732]

@@theycallmealex454 Aye. He Burry can predict all he wants... The real question is... Which predictions did he stake money on? Find the answer to that and you have the answer to how confident Burry is in his predictions

[@Emmahernandez.]

I've just completed the sale of a property located in Portland and I'm considering reallocating the resulting funds into the stock market. Despite prevailing sentiments regarding its readiness, I'm unsure about the timing of stock purchases. How long until we witness a full market recovery? Furthermore, I'm puzzled by the methods allowing others in the same market to achieve gains surpassing $200k within months.

[@JenniferDavis7630]

Explore the opportunity to engage financial advisors, estate planners, or tax consultants. Leveraging their specialized skills can support you in making informed financial decisions.

[@danieltaylor--65]

Undeniably factual. Despite my absence of prior investing acumen, I ventured into investments pre-pandemic and managed to amass a profit of about $450k within that year. Essentially, I solely relied on professional counsel.

[@CarterHall-re5fu]

Lately, I've been researching advisors, but the market updates I've encountered haven't been very positive. Who's your guide?

[@danieltaylor--65]

Actually its a Lady. Yes my go to person is a ‘LAURELYN GROSS POHLMEIER '. So easy and compassionate Lady. You should take a look at her work.

[@Jamesrogues60]

I searched for her complete name on the internet and located her page. I then sent an email and scheduled a meeting to converse with her; now, I'm awaiting her response.

[@benixmaximus]

Burry predicts the market will crash every year

[@mrtony1985]

He gives reasons for it but hasn't put his money on it until now.

[@chrisja1998]

@@mrtony1985He made a Bet in January 2023 and later tweeted “I was wrong” so yeah he also gets it wrong.

[@matthewbyrns-sp8lb]

​@@freddiebob7092You said it, ha!

[@creaturekid5]

I guarantee his lifetime returns are massively better than yours

[@matthewbrian6191]

He does seem to be a permabear

[@tonysilke]

Every crash/collapse/inflation/recession provides an equal market opportunity if you are properly prepared and knowledgeable. I've seen people amass up to $800,000 during crises and even with ease in a bad economy. Someone has undoubtedly become extremely wealthy as a result of the crash.

[@Dannyholt33]

I agree that there are strategies that could be put in place for solid gains regardless of economy or market condition, but such executions are usually carried out by investment experts or advisors with experience

[@Nernst96]

Could you kindly leave your investment advisor's contact information here? I absolutely must have one.

[@Nernst96]

Thanks for this. I curiously searched for her full name and her website came first. I looked through her credentials and did my due diligence before contacting her. Once again many thanks

[@OBrienHayden-gu9qb]

In the middle of 2024, I think we'll start to see more market diversification. I'm hoping to invest about $300,000 from a recent home sale into the financial markets, but I'm still not sure how rates will effect the market just yet, which worries me a lot. Like how long will the bull rally last before the reset?.

[@MilesGardner-ex8ym]

You see in the stock market, bigger risk begets bigger results that can work in the bulls' favor. I think investors who are wary of the changing market trends should seek out bear/bull mrkt directions from certified strategists.

[@AkilahSanaa]

You're right mate! I’ve been using a fin-market expert for two years now and I own a 7figure diversified portfolio from investing in stocks. Currently, my portfolio is worth over $1m.

[@Stella-qn5jz]

thats really massive!How can I participate in this? I sincerely aspire to establish a secure financial future and am eager to participate. Who is the driving force behind your success?

[@AkilahSanaa]

Viviana Marisa Coelho’’ is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.

[@OBrienHayden-gu9qb]

Thank you for this amazing tip. I just looked the name up, wrote her explaining my financial market goals and scheduled a call.

[@DJ-bo4pz]

I am a techie, and I have tried to understand put and call options before, but you did the best job of explaining it. It was such a simple and effective explanation. Also, media didn't report the other side of the Burry coin, he is an asset manager and he specializes in risk reduction while maximizing profit, contrary to the public opinion that he only works to maximize profits. I am 100% sure that in case if his bet was to go south, the other part of his portfolio would have a high probablity of going up and hence offsetting his losses from this bet.

[@BaileyMxX]

Which is exactly what he's done, his largest holding Experian is travel related, something we don't really want to/aren't able to do when our jobs are at risk and the economy is in the toilet. When you dive deeper like you've stated just appears to be a well thought out hedge which isn't exactly leveraging anywhere near the exposure of 1.6BN like many uniformed on options seem to think is the case. Been blown out of proportion by the media as usual

[@-Nick-T]

paper options builders and paper trace can be a great tool for learning how to build a goal oriented option

[@ArantyrDarkhand]

Invest its not that hard just believe your eyes. Does those companys really create anything of value that will usefull in a bad economy? the awnser ITS NO. Ive agood ammount of money to invest in US market(im leaving my country market). I think the next election will be a crazy time to make money, if you know how speculation works.

[@sharkansas_]

Is explanation was actually incredibly misleading. Please don’t go into calls and puts if you think this is the way they work

[@chrisg6091]

Misleading how?

[@JamesScott433]

After a massive rally in stocks came and yields collapsed, bond yields and the major averages are higher on Wednesday. How do we deal with such market conditions? Typically my $2m worth of holdings go up 8% then lose 20% right after and the cycle continues.

[@lucaswilliams9992]

Investors embracing the idea that abruptly cooling inflation will put interest rate hikes on ice. During recessions your dividend gains or income reduces. Speaking to a certified market strategist can help with navigating this downturn.

[@Jadechurch-ql3do]

I agree, I've been in constant touch with a Financial Analyst for approximately 8 months. You know, these days it's really easy to buy into trending stocks, but the task is determining when to sell or keep. That's where my manager comes in, to help me with entry and exit points in the industries I'm engaged in. Can’t say I regret it, I’m 40% up in profits just in 5months with my initial capital of $160k

[@codeblue11]

​@Jadechurch-ql3do that's impressive!, I could really use the expertise of this advisors , my portfolio has been down bad....who’s the person guiding you.

[@Jadechurch-ql3do]

credits to LEILA SIMOES PINTO, one of the best portfolio manager;s out there. she;s well known, you should look her up

[@brianwhitehawker1756]

Thank you for this Pointer. It was easy to find your handler, She seems very proficient and flexible. I booked a call session with her.

[@BenTodd-fl8nv]

Every breakdown or collapse carries an equal market chance. I've seen people accumulate up to $2 million during crises, and even pull it off easily in a good economy, if they are well-prepared and aware in advance. Without a doubt, the bubble/collapse is making someone very wealthy.

[@Theresaa12]

I do not disagree, there are strategies that could be put in place for solid gains regardless of economy or markt condition, but such execution are usuallv carried out by investment experts or advisors with experience since the 08' crash

[@gregorywhem]

The issue is most people have the "I want to do it myself mentality" but not equipped enough for a crash, hence get burnt, no offense. In general, invt-advisors are ideal reps for investing jobs, and at firsthand encounter, since Jan.2020, my portfolio has yielded nearly 300%, summing up to 7-figure as of today.

[@judynewsom1902]

Could you kindly leave your investment advisor's contact information here? I absolutely must have one.

[@gregorywhem]

Credits to *Alicia Estela Cabouli* one of the best portfolio manager;s out there. she;s well known, you should look her up

[@RickWatson-xu6gw]

Thank you for this. I just sent her an email now, and I really hope she gets back to me soon.

[@ynwa9621]

You’ve done videos of Berry predicting the market crash every 3 months for the last 5 years 😂

[@Vgallo]

Everyone has, burry also predicted hyper inflation - which hasn’t happened.

[@PoeLemic]

@@Vgallo You don't think that Hyper Inflation hasn't happened?!?!? Then, you sure don't shop for groceries, have utilities, buy any consumer good, etc. Seriously, HI is already here.

[@nillchen]

and he was wrong this time, too.

[@jd8184]

@@PoeLemic I don't think anyone considers 9% which is the highest rate of inflation the US saw as hyperinflation. I could be wrong on that

[@aarondaniels5525]

I am new to the stock market. Every stock that I bought so far, I was out of luck because I bought them when they were expensive. I feel I missed out on all the stock opportunities so far for the tech stocks.I believe having 285K yearly income would be a good investment so I want to plug all my savings into the stock market. I know this sounds a bit dull but I would like to know if I should learn investing or let somebody else (more capable like a FA) do it for me? Please share your thoughts. I am kind of tired of searching for a good stock to buy and losing all the good opportunities

[@cooperhayes7055]

Even with the correct technique and assets some investors would still make more than others, as an investor, you should've known that by now, nothing beats experience and that's final, personally I had to reach out to a stock expert for guidance which is how I was able to grow my account close to a million, withdraw my profit right before the correction and now l'm buying again

[@charliehunnam5187]

Hi, please who is the expert guiding you and how do I reach out to them?

[@cooperhayes7055]

The broker I'm in touch with is Olivia Maria Lucas. I came across her in a Bloomberg interview and got in touch with her, you will find her deets on the internet

[@donalddavis4387]

Thanks for sharing, I just looked her up online and I would say she truly does have an impressive background on investing

[@YTDataAnalyst]

Another great content. You and Gary Joe Wilde are highly recommendable investing pros every investor who wants to get rich investing must know or work with Unfortunately, don't know why Gary deleted his video channels. He is very advanced and experienced in the field.

[@polinaivanova6610]

I prefer Gary's method exactly what i wanted

[@Thompson7888]

@polinaivanova Same here... In all honesty I wish I knew about him earlier than I did.

[@piewert787]

Scammer

[@alicegomez7232]

Although the companies in my portfolio are solid, this year was a loss. I experienced a 65% decline in overall $360k portfolio at the height. I earn my money via hard work, thus investing makes me anxious and depressed. I'm uncertain if I should sell everything and wait.

[@Emily-le2op]

Sell not, I say. Avoid attempting to time the bottom by selling merely for the sake of selling. That is gambling with taxes added on top of it to slap you in the face. Keep it real and keep thinking long term

[@ConradGosling]

this is definitely considerable! think you could suggest any professional/advisors i can get on the phone with? i'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation amidst this recent market rally

[@ConradGosling]

Thank you for sharing, I must say, Natalie appears to be quite knowledgeable. After coming across her web page, I went through her resume and it was quite impressive. I reached out and scheduled a call

[@MaskedOG]

If they are solid then they will recover.

[@davidpalmo6050]

Never sell. unless you invested in shitty companies. Which i hope you didnt

[@mecbonk]

I always get "god...I need the market to crash right now" energy from Micheal Everytime he starts tweeting.

[@FarizCircleXVIP]

hope u get the energy 100+700 millions dollars from Michael too instant retired bro

[@paulmcloughlin8463]

@@FarizCircleXVIP He predicted the last crash and created a short position that never existed before because people thought it was impossible. So unless he does something similar he will do what he keeps doing since and just say I was wrong over and over when the next crash does not happen, he is trying to create panic conditions like so many others out there and when he is wrong he will back out of the trade.

[@ricardodelacrvz1400]

hes always saying hes crashing, from what they said today in cnbc his portfolio slumped to a 1% return. lool. you can only break the code one time, even if theres a crash something like we witnessed in 2008 would be in my humble opinion impossible because of internet. we didnt have trading plataforms an information flowing like what we have today. financially illiteracy is still high and volatility will be high but dollar cost averaging will give you massive returns in this stupid trading times. everybody thinks its warren buffet nowadays but in 20 years dollar cost averaging will make much higher returns than any twitter reading trader lol

[@warriormanmaxx8991]

@martincordell8806 - had NO IDEA ... God was into Wall Street ... able to crash the Market, or plug Wall Street !!

[@AlanMitchellAustralia]

You gotta give it to him though. Michael Burry has correctly predicted 20 out of the last 3 recessions

[@mrtony1985]

Never seen anyone explain options as well as you did this video. Well done!

[@harryvanderveen773]

agree

[@MooseMeus]

you wont ever understand options until you start trading them.

[@mbg9650]

Partial explanation, he missed to mention IV & IVR.

[@markhirstwood4190]

It was good... if I'd been looking for a video telling me what call and put options are, which I wasn't. Maybe make a separate video for just that.

[@gauravthadanii]

agreed

[@hankmarks69]

Stock futures erased some earlier gains Thursday, after the consumer-price index showed that headline inflation remained firm, while core numbers decelerated from August. I’m thinking of investing $400k into my stock portfolio but unsure about it

[@jessy830]

Predicting short-term market movements is extremely difficult in reality. It also essentially requires the investor to be right twice: they must perfectly time both their entrance to and exit from the market.

[@PhilipDunk]

Quite true! You don't necessarily need to be a flawless investor; all you need to do is seek advice from an expert. I began investing in 2016 and pulled a profit of roughly $370k the following year despite having no prior investment knowledge.

[@mcintyre1]

Please pardon me, who guides you on the process of it all?

[@PhilipDunk]

credits to Colleen Rose Mccaffery, one of the best portfolio manager;s out there. she;s well known, you should look her up.

[@mcintyre1]

thanks for sharing this, I googled the lady you mentioned and after going through her resume, I can tell she's a pro. I wrote her and I'm waiting on her reply

[@geraldt331]

I was advised to diversify my portfolio among several assets such as stocks and bonds since this can protect my portfolio for retirement. I'm seeking to invest $200K across markets but don't know where to start.

[@Tonyham198]

The professionals presently control the market since they not only have the essential business strategy but also have access to inside information that the general public is not aware of.

[@yeslahykcim]

You have a very valid point, I started investing on my own and for a long time, the market was really ripping me off. I decided to hire a CFA, even though I was skeptical at first, and I beat the market by more than 9%. I thought it was a fluke until it happened two years in a row, and so I’ve been sticking to investing via an analyst.

[@Jadechurch-ql3do]

Please can you leave the info of your lnvestment advsor here? I’m in dire need for one

[@yeslahykcim]

“Leila Simoes Pinto’’ You can easily look her up, she has years of financiaI market experience.

[@brianwhitehawker1756]

I just googled her and I'm really impressed with her credentials; I reached out to her since I need all the assistance I can get. I just scheduled a caII.

[@Barbara0015]

The way I see this recession most likely has an external cause. The United States is losing influence as a federal currency for the first time in decades. They don’t have any economies to utilize or control their inflation, and less money is being spent on stock and oil trading than previously. They all lend credence to the hypothesis that a new multilateral world order may be in the works.

[@williamsdavis.]

Exactly why i enjoy market decisions being guided by a professional, seeing that their entire skillset is built around going long and short at the same time both employing risk management and market experience, been using the expertise and guidance of John Desmond Heppolette, for over 5years+ and I've netted over $3million in that time frame..

[@andymarion]

John Desmond Heppolette, really seem to know this stuff. I found his web-page when I made a google search of his full names, read through his resume, educational background, qualifications and it was really impressive. I left him a note and booked a call session with him..

[@Hoffmanluiz.]

To succeed the financial market, you must review and put into consideration the dynamics of your trading assets prior investing. Analysis based on research is vital which is why I recommend investing with a professional if you don’t know the basics.

[@tipptop9]

John Desmond Hepolette sucks balls

[@ElvisRandomVideos]

Okay, options are usually used as hedges. That he purchased a put contract doesn’t mean that he’s betting the market will go down, he can also be hedging his bullish position on the market in case it does go down. If he’s sure the market will go down, he will short SPY, and QQQ just like he did on the housing market. That he bought an option says he’s not sure and is only protecting his assets in case the market does go down.

[@jc7887]

underrated comment.

[@Aryankingz]

where is the receipt for this bullish position? Surely if there is a receipt for the options contract, there is one for the bullish position...

[@Feuerbasis]

A hedge worth 1.6 billion? He surely paid a good chunk of change for this one. Naked short on the Nasdaq / SP500 is not even possible. Be it as it may - we had the third and last big leg up in the markets. I think his timing is right this time.

[@ElvisRandomVideos]

@@Feuerbasis his fund holds more than 1.6 billion? Last I checked it was 111M AUM… sounds like you’re pulling that number out of your rear. You couldn’t short the housing market in 2006 and he figured out a way of doing it didn’t he.. SPY/QQQ are not indexes they are ETF’s that can be shorted, kind of says a lot if you don’t understand that.

[@ElvisRandomVideos]

@@Aryankingz I’m going to let you figure that one out on your own champ! But just to give you some perspective you should stay away from the market if you don’t understand what those positions are.

[@lisahuff7779]

This is the problem, the stock market has turned into a gambling mess instead of good productive companys with responsible stewardship. So many people are in stocks through employment and pensions (seems like all the puts and shorts, buy backs and all other manipulations do nothing good for a stable economy )

[@bukovinian]

Yeah, unlike stock market 100 years ago?

[@reallyshel]

Yeah they are all financial instruments based on borrowing and leverage. It's not sustainable.

[@surface_glow2520]

If people are hard up for money they will take more risks in the market for a big return. Not everyone can buy Apple and wait 10 years to get a 40% return.

[@joshbreaksk8IN]

@@surface_glow2520 your statement just makes the case for his comment, thats an unstable way of keeping something running. if wall street was everyday people and not traders backed by index funds worth millions these risk would tank the market within a year. instead a big company loses a couple million and it just negatively affects everyday peoples 401k's until they make another crazy bet and make money on it. it's an insane way of doing business.

[@vladx3539]

it’s always been this way

[@WhatIfTheories]

Thanks for taking the time to explain the put options too. Been trying to read up on them since Bury announced this and most information is confusing at best. You explained everything clearly and the situation with Bury which everyone else seems to leave out. Also didn't realize how much 7 stocks were carrying the S&P. Great video!

[@mattdogsss]

If I were you I would look into futures instead of options . Futures is infinitely better than options

[@Ring0--]

Dangerous territory. Especially RIGHT Now!

[@rookie_]

Recommend Guy Cohen books. The main thing to consider is it's a lot more complex than it appears with the folks on the other side of the trades being from hedge funds or investment banks who have deep knowledge and a lot of information.

[@svenoliver6040]

This beyond amazing. Whoever’s reading this hope you find success.

[@svenoliver6040]

Building wealth involves developing good habits like regularly putting money away in intervals for solid investments. Financial management is a crucial topic that most tend to shy away from, and ends up haunting them in the near future.

[@yung1448]

You're really doing well for yourself, I'm forty five and my financiaI life is in a mess. Any tips would really go a long way in shaping my life.

[@svenoliver6040]

To possibIy grow, a mentor is needful to make it a reality. I engage in aIot with the ldeas of my mentor and so far have achieved so much already.

[@svenoliver6040]

sear ch her full name below, if you care

[@svenoliver6040]

•IsabeIIe ChIoe Scott•

[@JustAnotherPersonHere]

What a fantastic explanation!! Thank you so much for creating this video!

[@johnmitropoulos8479]

Been following you for years and this is your best video to date. Very well explained.

[@nathanhinze2495]

Thank you for explaining it so thoroughly and clearly. Amazing video.

[@rlhunter6200]

I spent the past few years waiting for a fall that never came. But preparing for it was a win. Credit is better than ever, savings is bigger than ever. I’m gonna survive at least a little while.

[@darkhorseeuc]

Thanks for explaining Call and Put options so well!

[@lethal2453]

Wow, a 16 minute Video on what actually didn't happen. He opened a Calendar Spread, he also sold covered QQQ Calls. He insured his multi billion dollar position with the PUT, and received multiple million dollar credit for selling the shorter term OTM calls to pay for the insurance. It's insurance, because the PUT increases in value, when the share price falls, the Calls make a cashflow when the share tumbles or stays flat,and locks in profits if the Call is assigned.

[@OurNewestMember]

Short call, long put --> collar

[@leonardgriffiths4131]

Great content once again Hamish. Thanks!

[@davidlevinson2460]

Thanks for that video. You're the first person who explained options so that I truly understand them.

[@emilystandley115]

Excellent explanation, perfectly said! Thank you!

[@CompoundingEverything]

This is by far the most practical way I've seen calls and puts explained on KZbin, kudos!

[@almo2001]

Yes, I recommend people this video for that part even if they don't care about the Burry part. :D

[@jpsmith9452]

Thank you for explaining calls and puts in layman’s terms.

[@giuseppeo77]

Great entertaining and educational video Hamish! 👍

[@chercheursdor]

Finally I understand call and put options! Thank you Hamish! Well explained!

[@matthewmolloy5090]

I really enjoyed this one! The editing and music is on point. Great storytelling and also educational. Nice work man.

[@charlottewalker5811]

Successful people don't become that way overnight. What most people see as wealth is the result of hard work, knowledge and action.

[@charlottewalker5811]

I am fortunate I made productive decisions that changed my life forever through my finance mentor. I'm a single parent living in Bn Italy, bought my second house in April and hoping to retire at 40 by next year.

[@yung1448]

You're really doing well for yourself, I'm forty five and my financiaI life is in a mess. Any tips would really go a long way in shaping my life.

[@charlottewalker5811]

To possibIy grow your finance, a mentor is needful to make it a reality. I engage in varieties of lnvestments with the ldeas of my mentor and so far have achieved so much already.

[@charlottewalker5811]

sear ch her full name below, if you care

[@charlottewalker5811]

•IsabeIIe ChIoe Scott•

[@GigaMarou]

thanks for explaining!

[@fraser87uk]

Even a broken clock is right twice a day.

[@nickstyman2692]

One of the best explanations of options I've heard.

[@matheuscampos8097]

Finally The big short part II will happen, such a great movie, couldn't wait for part II

[@cmy542]

Awesome and informative!

[@deanreeve5257]

Fantastic and simple explanation of options. Subscribed.

[@christopherramsey7027]

Remember that Burry bought an *options* contract, he didn't actually buy (or short) any stocks. He doesn't necessarily think the market will definitely fall; he just thinks there's a chance that it could. Now, he has the option to profit if the market did fall.

[@getinthespace7715]

He's been right on the past couple years. He realized the market delusion and fed stimulus was going to push prices up after they hit a low this year and said BUY. The market has hit new highs now the house of cards is about to collapse. He's telling everyone it's sell time.

[@appalachiabrauchfrau]

those are common sense predictions, anyone could see them. Infusing MORE funny money into a near zero rate economy would shoot into inflation? Genius!

[@DoggoWillink]

The market hasn’t hit a new high.

[@abhinavchoudhry920]

@@DoggoWillink It hit a new high in 2022 and it also rebounded 20% to near the highs after falling to 3700 on the S&P

[@massageandunwind8787]

Thank you for the content

[@emanuelegobbato6473]

Man, great video really well put and explained in a simple way. Nice work.

[@juanbaez4582]

Correction : The first to predict the crash of the real estate market was Peter schiff .

[@hankhillsnrrwurethra]

"The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent." - WSB, I think

[@LalaPala-ml2or]

No, it was Keynes

[@OurNewestMember]

The market can stay solvent longer than you can stay irrational Wait, what?

[@shars.555]

This was GREAT information. Thank you!

[@ResilientFighter]

Very nicely done!

[@Keitho1967]

One of the best overviews of Bury and the market I’ve watched in years. Thank you

[@Lokiesp14]

Imagine if berkshire sells all their Apple stock. That would start a chain reaction that would probably see a 20-30% drop in the s&p 500. I would also say that it would be a good and very profitable exit for Berkshire

[@stefanoelias4414]

I dream about buying Apple at a discount. Please let in drop 30%!

[@uoiuo]

I don't think they can just legally unload all the shares , they will take some profits and sell it over a year/years period.

[@ace5655]

​@@stefanoelias4414who's talking about a discount....Apple is overvalued ....

[@mikatu]

Do you mean Apple Hathaway selling their Apple stock?

[@Lokiesp14]

@@mikatu 😂 that was a good one. But on a serious note. I remember when they started buying at 750Billion. By the time the news was out it was already at around 850. I was thinking oh I would like to own apple stock but I felt it was not the right price (i am a value investor). And then you know what happened!

[@Michele_Ana]

Best explanation of options I’ve heard btw!

[@aaronmroczkowski3343]

Fantastic content. 🙌

[@aakashr4974]

Even a broken clock is right twice a day 😂

[@armstrong2450]

well said

[@LL-wc4wn]

Hammish can you just turn down background music a smidge more in your vids thanks

[@HamishHodder]

thanks for the feedback!

[@doctor_ohad]

+1 for this comment :)

[@youwebz]

That’s what you take away from all this brilliant free content? FMD

[@andreasbrandstetter9272]

If you have bad hearing, this can make the speech difficult to understand. So yes, it is worth mentioning.

[@petemiller519]

​@@andreasbrandstetter9272 Totally agree, I am deaf on one ear, and trying to listen to content with background music is a real pain. If I want to listen to music I will spin up some classic vinyl. Cheers.

[@animateddepression]

Great analysis!

[@Philadelphia19147]

You make really good videos

[@foonatic1]

It is extremely slimy of you to use that fake tweet as your thumbnail.

[@unknowndevice5011]

I love Big Short movie, but Burry made plenty of predictions which never came true. Following his Twitter for some time already

[@saucyrossy3698]

Yeah and he made a lot that did come true. Its a lot more than the big short. Its trendy to be blindly contrarian about him without actually know anything about his calls.

[@mikatu]

It doesn't matter how many times you were wrong, as long as you are right most of the time!

[@unknowndevice5011]

​@@saucyrossy3698 Who told I don't know anything about his calls? Here you go: Predicted market crash in 2015 - market actually gained 11% next year Global financial meltdown prediction in 2017 - S&P rallied 19% Burry warns of stock market crash in 2019 - Once again, the market had a different plan, recording a 15% gain over the following year. March 2020 marked a revelation of a massive bearish bet by Burry. However, the SPX soared by an astonishing 72% in the subsequent 12 months Moving to September 2022, Burry predicted lingering failures in the stock market, suggesting that the bottom had not yet been reached. Again, the market responded differently, witnessing a 21% upswing over the next 11 months. Earlier this year, in January, the ‘Big Short’ urged investors to ‘sell,’ citing his prediction of a recession and new inflation round. However, the SPX remained resilient, recording a 17% increase year-to-date Summarizing, Burry had more misses than hits.

[@RN-uo2vo]

Terrific video and beautiful explanations.

[@leohernandez9518]

Great content thanks

[@clarencehoover6748]

Those on the other side of Burry’s bet may lack the ability to make good on the contract and hence default. Just as insurance companies make good on their contracts, up to their claims paying capabilities. Force majeure on the COMEX or other platform may even trigger an avalanche of defaults and inabilities to satisfy contractual obligations.

[@OurNewestMember]

I think 13-F would have securities, so the options should be cleared by the OCC? But yeah, contagion still seems plausible (eg, if OCC can't recover net equity from brokers) I don't think force majeure even came into play during 2020, though (but there could always be some bigger or different event)

[@Tobi1_Kenobi]

Burry's position for these put options is only like 5% of the total value of the investment firm. The reason the numbers published for this trade were so high is because it looked at the value of the stocks in the bet based on their total value at sale, i.e. the $100 sale price, not the $5 he paid for the option

[@kawaiimdsweey9348]

Very informative.

[@donatehilltop]

I needed this

[@Deadbeatbeats]

The fact that such a small fraction of the entire portfolio made such a difference tells you just how volatile the market is.

[@NikitasSerafetindis]

He's successfully predicted 10 of the last 2 ressecessions/crashes.

[@MaiPham-gk3rb]

Amazing video!!!

[@kobemaui9983]

Very well put together 👍

[@OurNewestMember]

Good call out

[@dotpenji]

It's essential to recognize the limitations of available information and to approach speculative bets with caution, as market dynamics can be influenced by various factors. Love how you explain the concept of options contracts, both call and put options - allow investors to profit from price movements without necessarily owning the underlying stocks.

[@monalizapantoja8490]

It's clear that you've taken the time to thoroughly research and explain the situation, making it much easier for others to understand the context and implications of this trade.

[@kristineambas]

Agree! I enjoyed watching, it so refreshing ^_^

[@lusyow0517]

I really enjoy watching this content!

[@ryanvalenzuela551]

Indeed, Great Content

[@tatagata6268]

Everybody and his grandmother has a video of this short, nobody gives a number of the amount of money that is or was at risk.

[@toscatoot]

Great video mate! Interesting hearing your thoughts on this one!

[@zippyjer]

Great explanation 👍🏼

[@imdoc7872]

I will crack up if the market just bounces back 😂😂😂

[@slowride9994]

Great presentation. Finally got it with call and put options, and I see the case with Burry's bet against the 6 big stocks holding everything up. The other factor in that equation is the rising dollar. Last time the dollar got this higher earlier in the year banks started breaking. Fed patched them up quickly without too much ado. We'll see what happens this time, if anything, but certainly things don't feel too stable.

[@marlainacerdas2569]

Best explanation ever!!

[@AlfonsoDiSaliz]

Thanks for the explanation of the contract, i didnt understand until now ✅

[@LofgrenMark]

please tell us how to use this period to make gains! grew my reserve of $110k to over half-a-million dollars between Dec. 2007 and Aug.2008, but the market is different now.

[@romiverajr]

It all comes down to spotting the ideal opportunity to seize and make a massive profit, which is why you need to do your homework and choose a professional.

[@laszlolee]

i agree , I thought I was doing alright profit wise, until I needed assistance with diversification, I reached out to a professional and in less than a year I was just $51,000 shy away from $850,000 which is like 7x more than I make on my own

[@Serranogarcia97345]

@@laszlolee ​ I’ve been down a ton, I’m only holding on so I can recoup, I really need help, who is it that guides you?

[@laszlolee]

@Serranogarcia97345 I'm been guided by "Susan Bauer Normansell," who is widely recognized for her competence and expertise in the financial market. She has a thorough understanding of portfolio diversification and is regarded as an authority in this field.

[@ragabkamel_]

Fascinating observations! Prominent figures in the financial field have been sharing their perspectives on the gravity of the looming economic decline and the potential depth of equity declines. This arises from the economy's trajectory toward a recession and the consistent inflation surpassing the Federal Reserve's 2% goal.Given my aspiration to amass a portfolio exceeding $850,000 by the time I reach 60, I would greatly welcome any insights regarding potential investment opportunities.

[@thewilliams-]

Numerous captivating stocks span various industries, presenting a range of options worth considering. It's not imperative to act upon every prediction. My recommendation is to collaborate with a financial consultant who can guide you in pinpointing optimal moments for acquiring and divesting shares or ETFs of interest.

[@ragabkamel_]

@CHOIWOOK-bb4hk Who is this consultant? I'm really in need of one...

[@thewilliams-]

@@ragabkamel_ My consultant isMr. Eric T Witt. He has since provide entry and exit points on the securities I focus on. You can look him up on if you care for supervision.

[@srikrishnaprabhu4887]

Hi Hamish ... Do we know the expiry date of that 1.6 B short ?

[@anurodhjoshi9445]

Great video!!!

[@user-ic1rz9vd9s]

To be honest I rarely take the time to comment on videos or other comments for that matter. However, credit due where it is due….. probably one of the simplest , purest explanations possible in my opinion. Nailed it 👌🏻

[@richmargin6082]

The bet was placed earlier this year. The market has already dropped significantly since he made the bet. He could be out of that by now. We won’t know until the next filing for the funds he manages.

[@markiobook8639]

great expose

[@xtcfreaxx]

What if by knowing his bet would be public he was hoping everyone would start liquidating their stocks and crashing the market actually bringing his "prediction" to fruition. I mean that's essentially how a lot of these well known investors make so much money right? Sure they needed to do it authentically in the beginning but once they have enough recognition their investment records and "advice" manipulate the market to their favor

[@SophiaBint-wj8wn]

I began investing at the age of 33, primarily utilizing my hard work and dedication. Now at the age of 38, I am delighted to share that my passive income exceeded $100k for the first time in a single month. This advice is truly valuable, so don't hesitate to take action. Remember, it's not about achieving wealth quickly, but rather about building wealth consistently and persistently.

[@philipcollen482]

This is superb! information, as a noob it gets quite difficult to handle all of this and staying informed is a major cause, how do you go about this are you a pro investor ?

[@Jessicatorres_768]

I understand the uncertainty of tomorrow, and I agree that starting to invest today can be challenging, especially without a clear understanding of where and how to invest. Since I've personally tried navigated the path to passive income, I'd be delighted if you can offer me some guidance based on your experiences that help you embarking on your own journey towards financial security.

[@KatherineAnderson-lm8bw]

I never expected it, but after closely monitoring my portfolio's performance, I was astounded to see it generate a staggering $473k in just the past two quarters. This eye-opening experience has given me insight into why experienced traders can achieve remarkable returns even in lesser-known markets. Taking this leap was undoubtedly the boldest decision I have made recently.

[@blessingpaul5484]

Oh that will be so nice, Please do you mind referring me to your financial analyst?

[@KatherineAnderson-lm8bw]

I'm working with a consultant named *'Nolan Velden Brent,'* whom I discovered through a CNBC interview where he was featured. After reaching out to him, he has been providing valuable entry and exit points for the securities I focus on. If you're interested in his supervision and expertise, you can look him up online using his name. Following his trade pattern has been a rewarding experience, and I have no regrets about doing so.

[@sutats]

Let's not hold our breath this year.

Very good explanation . Thanks.

[@adenmall7596]

Putting well-earned money into the stock market can be over emphasized for first-time investors, unlike a bank where interest is sure thing! Well, basically times are uncertain, the market is out of control, and banks are gradually failing. I am working on a ballpark estimate of $5M for retirement, and I have a good 6-figure loaded up for this, could there be any opportunity for a boomer like me? I'm nearly 60

[@kelvinlee1572]

Aden, It's a good idea to seek advice at the moment, unless you're an expert yourself. As someone who runs a service business and sells products on eBay, I can tell you that the economy is struggling and many people are struggling financially.

[@frapelloso]

Even a broken clock tells you the right time twice a day. Sooner or later he’ll be right if he keeps calling for a crash

[@EmyN]

Brilliant video mate! Subscribed

[@MC-kn6jl]

Great vid !

[@joannabusinessaccount7293]

He was right once. That was luck. Now he says the market is going to fall, all the time. First of all, his reporting requirement was in the past. For all we know, he could have bought back all the stock and changed his course. By the way, he buys puts, betting the market would crash. Now, if everyone goes out to sell their stocks, Michael Burry actually makes money. So it’s to his benefits that everyone panics and everyone sells. No wonder, he says: The Market Is Going to Crash.

[@whizkoochristian5580]

LMAO, tell me you cant do fundamental analysis even less understand it, without saying it. LUCK? Do you think you can manage MULTIMILLION possibly billion dollar funds by LUCK? Or you think RETAIL can CRASH a market by panic selling? My God, you either don't hold stocks and talk all this shit behind a damn screen. And on a serious note, DELUSIONAL people like you who end up losing massive amounts of money are the first to BLAME the government and rush to commit suicide because you couldn't handle the TRUTH, you've been ignoring all this time. If you actually hold stocks, GOOOOOOOOOD LUCK!!!!

[@FrankMichael-kq3gu]

This is amazing 😊 Thank you for making this awesome video. even in the recent dip, I still manage to make $35,000 profit every 12 days from my investment of $3,500. God bless expert. Michael Allen

[@GeorgeAlves-xe6uq]

😢HOW! I would really appreciate if you show me how to go about it. Please can you list the platforms?

[@PaulRotter-xn3yy]

Same here, I started with $3,000 now earning $28,000 bi-weekly profits with his trading program

[@Frootyloops629]

Did this man just tell us Options are less risky than anything else really 😂😂😂😂

[@oimeoimedmoi2310]

Super well made video dude

[@dialogsemiconductor2039]

Hamish, you fell for the reporting. The positions are much lower. Only the underlying asset's value is being reported, not the value of the option. So, these could be just very minor hedges. Nothing special.

[@zm5668]

Exactly

[@jpsblueberryshorts2944]

94 percent of his portfolio is a minor hedge?

[@dialogsemiconductor2039]

@@jpsblueberryshorts2944 As i said. It is not 96%. The actual value is something around 2% maybe. You can buy a option for 0,01 $ which has asset value behind of 1000000 $. It depends on the option

[@mikatu]

LOL you missed the whole point!

[@kitnoCC]

Production quality is through the roof! GJ