Have I Finally Found a Betting Strategy That Makes Money?

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Kie Millett

Kie Millett

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 361
@BitcoinandGold
@BitcoinandGold Жыл бұрын
Kie... This was great. I have wondered 1.01 that for years. Thank you for your time on this
@deadcheddar3491
@deadcheddar3491 9 ай бұрын
Very interesting video. Thank you. Wouldn’t it increase your chance of a match if you laid either Over 3.5 or Over 4.5 goals at 1.01? I too use Bet Angel and it’s automation facility is brilliant but I’m wondering if the choice of market might need tweaking?
@antskilu1354
@antskilu1354 Жыл бұрын
when odds are 1.02 u can back and then lay at 1.01 ,difference is 100 points
@sportspriceanalysis416
@sportspriceanalysis416 2 жыл бұрын
Ive got horse racing data going back to 2014 and a quick check from 773,174 races produces 85,166 races where the minimum in play price was 1.01 for a given horse and from this 1,060 horses then lost. So using £100 and 2% commission you would have staked £85,166 and won £103,880 so a net profit of £18,714. As others have said though there is laying at 1.01 and getting *matched* at 1.01.
@TheMaggsy1
@TheMaggsy1 7 ай бұрын
What software are you using to get that data
@sportspriceanalysis416
@sportspriceanalysis416 7 ай бұрын
@@TheMaggsy1 My own, I download betfair historic data and then use Python to put it into a Mysql database I can easily interrogate.
@bf6848
@bf6848 12 күн бұрын
is that £18,000 profit since 2014? and as you say thats IF you can matched in every single race.
@sportspriceanalysis416
@sportspriceanalysis416 12 күн бұрын
@@bf6848 yep since 2014, so say 10 years, £1800 a year and work out how much time you spend on it...probably less than minimum wage.
@jannatitova9182
@jannatitova9182 Жыл бұрын
I was a newbie in trading, but I found your channel and improve my knowledge with you! thx for it
@g.y.o5419
@g.y.o5419 Жыл бұрын
I'd love to see an update video to this if you ever get chance.
@waynecosgrove4785
@waynecosgrove4785 Ай бұрын
what is your sports trading software you using
@stuartwallace7841
@stuartwallace7841 2 жыл бұрын
Another fascinating vid Kie, been paid today, so will be patreoning later. 1) i also was confused as to why there was all this money at 1.01. -Now i know. 2) I have been looking at how i can get Automation going, so will be very interested in viewing your vid. 3) You might want to mention that some of the tools you use on BetAngel (such as Soccer Mystic) are only available on BA Pro, and are not on BA Trader which most people (i believe) use (like me !). 1 situation that happened this week was Empoli v Napoli where Napoli were 2 up with 8 mins left, and Empoli ended up winning 3-2 - i wonder what the odds were then? I wonder what the stats are for 1.02,1.03 etc?
@kennethmungai06
@kennethmungai06 2 жыл бұрын
I haven't understood the video bro
@Juanferchoes
@Juanferchoes 10 ай бұрын
Hello, did this strategy work for you over the years? or it was not profitable, I just watched the video, how was the conclusion of this strategy, Regards
@Ncis-bk7wi
@Ncis-bk7wi 2 жыл бұрын
If u do a 1/1 odds and some football bets that are low odds 1/2-1/3 max u can make a lot more but only bet on matches where it’s a good team vs a terrible team and the good teams at home
@giaccomobokacho
@giaccomobokacho 2 жыл бұрын
or put 1 euro on 100 odd ticket. U have 99 chances to be in profit (99 tickets). Stuff like “smart betting” and going hard on sigles and doubles can often go in minus.
@giaccomobokacho
@giaccomobokacho 2 жыл бұрын
ironically i made more profit from those crazy odds tickets than on betting with lot of money on single with odds for example 1.30
@l70x54
@l70x54 Жыл бұрын
​@@giaccomobokachobruh both of u d9nt know nothing about betting... its like investment, if the odd have value bet lol around 1.70 its perfect... why doing payraly when u cant even get 1 right
@porfiriato17
@porfiriato17 7 ай бұрын
​ I totally agree with you. I tested with 100 bets and I got more money from those crazy bets than those so called "secure bets"
@alanhaynes9672
@alanhaynes9672 2 жыл бұрын
Really good video. Live testing something like this is really helpful, thank you for putting the work (and risk) in.
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
Thank you Alan, it was enjoyable to make
@muirurinewton4179
@muirurinewton4179 2 жыл бұрын
@@KieMillett great content, what are your socials please
@edog4011
@edog4011 Жыл бұрын
🏳Buy USA companies crypto THETA Labs. and XRP Ripple 🏳
@astfantasy
@astfantasy Жыл бұрын
Hi mate, quick question. Does a lay bet run even if it doesn't get matched before the game. And if it doesn't get matched during the game do you get your money back?
@davidnuttall4796
@davidnuttall4796 Жыл бұрын
PS. Your lay bet will run if you select "keep" when going in play
@astfantasy
@astfantasy Жыл бұрын
@@davidnuttall4796 and then once the game finishes if it doesn't get matched, I get the money back?
@killbill95100
@killbill95100 11 ай бұрын
Yes@@astfantasy
@vladimirvladimir4670
@vladimirvladimir4670 Жыл бұрын
Hey i have a question: I have a bank of 150 EUR, I bet on Lay all (The Draw) with q=3.1 liability=105 EUR If I lose, the bank is 45 EUR (150-105=45 EUR). If I win, what goes to the bank: 155 EUR or 50 EUR?
@neakalikratia
@neakalikratia Жыл бұрын
Was Bruder
@valeriovernacotola8863
@valeriovernacotola8863 Жыл бұрын
Hi Lai, your method is fantastic. Cam i try this with home score? What do you Think?
@JamesWhaley13
@JamesWhaley13 Жыл бұрын
Hi Kie, great video! How has this strategy gone since?
@BVking509
@BVking509 11 ай бұрын
That Bruno Guimaraes goal was special, last second diving header, the crowd went wild
@davidnuttall4796
@davidnuttall4796 Жыл бұрын
Update on my progress after 10000 matched bets for what it's worth including a dreadful 613 losing streak. I did try to scale up my bets starting with £10 and rising to £20 bets. The 613 bad run unfortunately occurred whilst I was using £17 stakes which made the deficit so much worse. I have now settled on £13.49 stakes for 13p liability for a usual return of £13.22 (after BF 2% commission). I'll keep going until my BA subscription runs out. Matched Bets 10023 Wins 106 Average win/bet £0.003 Average games per hit 96.34 TOTAL PROFIT £29.88 Is it worth doing? Probably not but it does make me smile when one goes in
@astfantasy
@astfantasy Жыл бұрын
Hi mate, quick question. Does a lay bet run even if it doesn't get matched before the game. And if it doesn't get matched during the game do you get your money back?
@davidnuttall4796
@davidnuttall4796 Жыл бұрын
@astfantasy if the bet isn't matched you get your money back. Good luck to you ad I hope you fair better than me. I've stopped now as my losses exc. Bet Angel fees were £99
@edog4011
@edog4011 Жыл бұрын
🏳Buy USA companies crypto THETA Labs. and XRP Ripple 🏳
@cerimorganphotography
@cerimorganphotography 2 жыл бұрын
What software did you use for the u2.5 at 1.01? Completely new to this
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
Bet Angel is the one I use.
@emaillist-y4v
@emaillist-y4v Жыл бұрын
do you have a video on how this works cheers
@elastronaute1198
@elastronaute1198 2 жыл бұрын
The data is accurate but the problem is queue position. A lot of those horses that did get matched at 1.01 and went onto lose, never got all the money at 1.01 taken, so some got taken (probably over £100 for it to be verified as being matched at 1.01) but then got beat and so drifted. So even though all those horses got MATCHED at 1.01 it doesn't mean YOU would be matched. Obviously every horse that wins you would be matched because the 1.01 ends up on the lay (offer) side so any money waiting got matched, but in the case of the ones losing, for some proportion of those the money didn't all get taken on the back-side which means some was left on the table so if you didn't get near enough the front of the 'queue' you'd not have been matched. That is the problem with this strategy. Also you need a lot of money because you have to be putting the order on every horse in every race. And then be prepared for variance. You'd have to try tens of thousands of races before you'd know what sort of percentage profit one might expect.
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
I broadly agree with what you are saying here. This is why getting to the front of the queue is the most important thing. I have only tried this on football markets so far, but I have been placing the bets at 1.01 up to 2 weeks before the game is played to be as close to the front of the queue as possible. I am currently doing it on thousands of football markets to see how well the strategy does (so far its still profitable), but like with any strategy, I am still using small stakes before I am confident to stake up.
@elastronaute1198
@elastronaute1198 2 жыл бұрын
@@KieMillett I do take back that it takes a lot of money to do this though because you can do it on every horse in a horse race and it only takes from your balance the amount you would lose if any ONE horse wins so it doesn't take the amount for each horse because there can only be one outcome so that is something I didn't understand when I wrote the comment.
@mrgirthy2111
@mrgirthy2111 2 жыл бұрын
Theres guys out there who are sat waiting for markets to be put up so that they can get their money in first.
@davidnuttall4796
@davidnuttall4796 Жыл бұрын
Another dreadful month has seen me dip into the red (aghh) so here I am at nearly 12000 matched bets - Matched Bets 11970 Wins 119 Average win/bet -£0.004 Average games per hit 101.17 Total P/L -£51.60 Clearly "Average games per hit" has to improve so I'll keep going until 12 months is up. Is anyone else doing this??
@spicydelights1237
@spicydelights1237 6 ай бұрын
Thanks for the update. I was hoping to use this strategy seriously
@DusanOravectravelandearn
@DusanOravectravelandearn Жыл бұрын
hi, what about lay under 3.5 goals with odd 1.01 if one goal scored?
@namejeff5534
@namejeff5534 Жыл бұрын
what if 2 goals are scored?
@superbrans8329
@superbrans8329 Жыл бұрын
@@namejeff5534 under 3.5 goals means any amount of goal under 3.5 goals 0 goal, 1 goal, 2 goals ,3 goals Over 3.5 means 4 goals,5 goals and any amount over 3.5 goals
@dezyd4671
@dezyd4671 2 жыл бұрын
Hi Kie, loved watching your content, it's great quality and all the best with this strategy. I look forward to the update. Also do you need Bet Angel professional or can this be done with BA Trader as well?
@CrazyLarry23
@CrazyLarry23 2 жыл бұрын
Do you still do the strategy? If not, how did it go? Thank you very much for making the video btw.
@temp911Luke
@temp911Luke 2 жыл бұрын
Wondering that as well.
@lassefrederiksen6011
@lassefrederiksen6011 2 жыл бұрын
@KieMillett which sportstrading bot software are you using? BF Bot?
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
I am using Bet Angel in this video.
@adrianadios5041
@adrianadios5041 Жыл бұрын
Draw + 0-0 or 1-1 is my favourite betting strategy by far.
@Yugeshmgr
@Yugeshmgr Жыл бұрын
how u do that?
@adrianadios5041
@adrianadios5041 Жыл бұрын
@@Yugeshmgr look at south American leagues ;) some teams have this score every other game...
@l70x54
@l70x54 Жыл бұрын
That strategy doest work in long term forget it lmao
@adrianadios5041
@adrianadios5041 Жыл бұрын
@@l70x54 Depends on your picks. This month I had a small loss. But over the year its profits. Most important is not to do stupid bets after losing.
@JezRourkePilott
@JezRourkePilott 2 жыл бұрын
When you show the end profit it has cricket and golf and from football it was actually a loss ?
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
Because I had lost on cricket and golf, however these losses are far smaller than the profit made from football.
@creightonjason
@creightonjason Жыл бұрын
Theres someone on the horse racing markets that lays £5000 at 1.06, that every race.... thats £300 in losses every race. So they have to win at least on one occasion per day
@Blightyboys
@Blightyboys 2 жыл бұрын
Wow! A man who tests a strategy with 2000 bets not 20 to prove it’s viable, then STILL says that’s not enough to prove anything! 👏 Usually 3 6/4 winners in a row is enough for most tipsters/betting youtubers 😂 A gambling creator who actually understands probability, you’re a diamond in the rough my friend.
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
Thank you!
@omoniyiolorunfemi5789
@omoniyiolorunfemi5789 10 күн бұрын
I am still waiting for trade signals that will work with tips from your training
@camilo-chu9840
@camilo-chu9840 9 ай бұрын
No you haven't
@keiromatina3503
@keiromatina3503 2 жыл бұрын
Germany v England Tue 7 Jun 21:45 Over/Under 0.5 Goals 2selections Back Under 0.5 Goals 50$ 13.5 after 20 min lay 50$ at odd 5.0 giving a free bet of 300.00$ what will be the cash out profit ????
@No-ProJoe
@No-ProJoe Жыл бұрын
1 year later, how's it going?
@360funnyviral3
@360funnyviral3 2 жыл бұрын
For being a patreon, will this inclusive of the botting system?
@pulancheck
@pulancheck 2 жыл бұрын
What software are you using to automate bets? Does it work only with bet365? Is there a cost for each bet operation (ex: to cancel it)? I'm super new to this..
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
You can't automate using Bet365 as far as I'm aware. I'm using Bet Angel which works through Betfair exchange. There's no cost for operation in each bet, except your stake of course.
@robertneesam4822
@robertneesam4822 2 жыл бұрын
Morning Kie, is the automated software similar to each way sniper? Also is there a cost to that. Can I contact you directly anywhere else? cheers
@IanHancey
@IanHancey Жыл бұрын
Great video, did it work out long term? Its now a year later.
@HonorWillow
@HonorWillow 2 жыл бұрын
If the matches remain unmatched and you don't cancel, do they just lose or do you get money back?
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
Hi Honor, in this instance the bets get voided and the money is returned to your account.
@rotierender_lurch
@rotierender_lurch 2 жыл бұрын
Why would they lose?
@HonorWillow
@HonorWillow 2 жыл бұрын
@@rotierender_lurch I don't know. That's why I asked... it's not bad to ask a question to clarify something jeez...
@tgdooode9991
@tgdooode9991 Жыл бұрын
What does 1.01 mean? I thought that was the odds from the bookmaker
@jackelsegood5572
@jackelsegood5572 Ай бұрын
You are thebookmaker in this strategy
@thanhconghoi7120
@thanhconghoi7120 Жыл бұрын
Can i investment with small amount ?!
@coulsdonplasterer4380
@coulsdonplasterer4380 2 жыл бұрын
Very interesting video. Where would I find the Automation software you use to set up bets? Thanks in advance
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
I use software called Bet Angel Professional, details of which can be found on their website. I'm not affiliated with any software, so I'd recommend researching about sports trading software to see which is the best for you in terms of features and price
@niallg3551
@niallg3551 2 жыл бұрын
@@KieMillett great informative video, I have subscribed.
@runhorse
@runhorse 2 жыл бұрын
I would lay any horse at those odds. I think that you might be able to increase your profit just betting jump races. More chances for a faller, something going amiss.
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
I've yet to use this strategy on horse racing markets yet. Sounds like you have a good idea to try!
@handeyecoordinationskills
@handeyecoordinationskills 2 жыл бұрын
How much do u bet on each under 2.5 goals bet ?
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
£10 lay bet at odds of 1.01, therefore its a 10p total stake per bet
@handeyecoordinationskills
@handeyecoordinationskills 2 жыл бұрын
@@KieMillett thanx , what does a lay bet mean ?
@serbanaurelian4151
@serbanaurelian4151 2 жыл бұрын
@@handeyecoordinationskills Why do u even watch?🤦‍♂️🤦‍♂️
@handeyecoordinationskills
@handeyecoordinationskills 2 жыл бұрын
@@serbanaurelian4151 don't know what u mean , sorry
@pope1089
@pope1089 2 жыл бұрын
1st 4 races in the vaal and greywille are always madane races. Outsiders always come in big return on small bets. That's how u gamble
@FunnyClips_HQ
@FunnyClips_HQ 2 жыл бұрын
How do we set up the bot and stuff im interested good video bro!
@vpower432
@vpower432 2 жыл бұрын
How many team do you bet
@nickob55
@nickob55 2 жыл бұрын
Like your approach, I noticed recently doing the 3.5 market its not uncommon to get 2 goals after 90 mins,so maybe complete capitulation or a gift consolation could be worth looking at as well a the 2.5 market
@utubecomment21
@utubecomment21 2 жыл бұрын
And how many millions have you made so far?
@owolabisaheed6606
@owolabisaheed6606 2 жыл бұрын
Pls sir if I deposit on bet365 with my Nigeria naira ATM card are they going to convert it for me in dollar and then wen I withdraw with dollar will dey convert it to naira
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
Not sure about this one unfortunately mate
@Secret19977
@Secret19977 2 жыл бұрын
A Low risk betting strategy is to bet in a game where the favourite are losing or drawing like with city v Villa when Villa were winning 2-0 was still obvious city were going to win so at odds of 11.00 I bet on city to win at £5 won £70
@masticloxpoker1006
@masticloxpoker1006 2 жыл бұрын
that is an extremely bad generalization, there is no real blue print to follow here, same way you can say ok then just always play the favourite beforhand for the same reason, there is no thing as pretty obvious also.
@elastronaute1198
@elastronaute1198 2 жыл бұрын
What do you mean 'obvious', if it was obvious city would win, they wouldn't be 11.00. It's as simple as that, this is just your opinion coupled with what is called confirmation bias.
@Secret19977
@Secret19977 2 жыл бұрын
@@elastronaute1198 I’m not a city fan but you can tell when something is going to happen, it was way too predictable hence why I took the risk
@mandytowers
@mandytowers 2 жыл бұрын
Yes but you can't replicate it or you would be rich even if you were right 10% of the time we have all had thoughts bet and won its about a big sample size or atleast a big bet if you was sure you would bet more than 5 for less than half a days work reward
@gareth7552
@gareth7552 2 жыл бұрын
Great video Kie. As you mentioned in your video about the amount of money that’s just sitting at 1.01 . Was Just wondering because unless your lay is in a good position there’s gonna be times where you’d be at the back of the queue? how many times your 1.01 lay won’t get matched in a market that late goals are scored that would have been a profitable trade? Missing out on these will greatly reduce the profit Because there aren’t too many winning trades compared to the loosing ones? Just wondering what your thoughts on these points? Thanks
@mohanraj4364
@mohanraj4364 2 жыл бұрын
Can I get ur mobile no and email address i want Betfair account sir
@deziderziga1484
@deziderziga1484 2 жыл бұрын
Why would you put it on you tube though
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
Because I like making KZbin videos
@hokageenergy9599
@hokageenergy9599 2 жыл бұрын
Continuation video?
@christiangarau7647
@christiangarau7647 Жыл бұрын
I believe that in Gambling and Trading and any Investment there must be a percentage of risk, which is the main line when you get introduced to Economy. However I have my strategy and I have my statistics, in life I've won good money rom Gambling when I needed and many other times I've lost. I wouldn't lie saying that it's very achievable to get every week day an average odd of 1.05 on investment and close to 1.15 over the weekend. Most of games don't finish 0-0
@philshilton3202
@philshilton3202 2 жыл бұрын
Hi just to clarify ? you are NOT using Bet Angel Guardian for this ?? , I have Bet Angel still all new to me) wanted to try automation of this small change) Thanks Phil
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
Hi Phil, I am using Bet Angel guardian to do this automation. To be honest I don’t know any other way of performing the automation without using guardian
@philshilton3202
@philshilton3202 2 жыл бұрын
@@KieMillett Thanks that points me right direction , I emailed Bet Angel asked em how to go about this no direct answer just a bunch of links to trawl through- I know from Guardian Horse racing stuff its pretty finicky- I fear without directly being shown the boxes to tick etc too much to sit and fathom out sadly.
@philshilton3202
@philshilton3202 2 жыл бұрын
One I always wanted to try ? Both teams same score lay the draw about 88 minutes has anyone tried it ??
@Kempi1
@Kempi1 2 жыл бұрын
@@KieMillett FairBot is perfect for this 3 clicks to set up a whole day of doing this on horses and on football. I think they do a 2 week trial for free too, so you could make the money to pay for the software. I have around 20 Automated profiles now for certain sports. Also you can have it in simulation mode meaning you can test out stratergies before actually backing / laying anything.
@godali4405
@godali4405 2 жыл бұрын
How can I cancel the match I bet?thank
@neilratcliffe6814
@neilratcliffe6814 2 жыл бұрын
Great video Kie. keep up the good work look forward to an update on this trial.
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Neil!
@Bensway7
@Bensway7 Жыл бұрын
@@KieMillett i am something of expert myself and this is first time i saw someone made stategy that looks like a strategy
@pryncv
@pryncv 8 ай бұрын
Ciao amici inglesi, qualcuno che ha provato questa strategia, sa dirmi mediamente a che minuto si viene abbinati a 1.01? Ho un database con circa 8.500 partite sarebbe interessantissimo sapere il minuto medio di abbinamento
@ABHIYADAV-dg1ru
@ABHIYADAV-dg1ru 2 жыл бұрын
What is that process name??
@g.y.o5419
@g.y.o5419 2 жыл бұрын
I watched your video yesterday, and thought I would give it a go just to see. I layed every horse at every meeting yesterday in the UK at 1.01 for £1/£0.01 10/06/22. I had a winner. Imperial Joe - 19.26@Newton Abbot. I think there were approx 45 meetings yesterday, I cant recall. I have done the same for today, layed every horse at every meeting 1.01. 63 meetings today in the UK. I hope to continue my luck. It's hardly life changing winning £1, but I love that I have managed to get a winner 😁
@all4walk257
@all4walk257 2 жыл бұрын
any winners today mate?
@g.y.o5419
@g.y.o5419 2 жыл бұрын
@@all4walk257 Sadly, no winners today. But I will try again tomorrow :) . My only very short priced winner today was trialling some first half football. Shonan v C-Osaka : First Half Goals 2.5 Layed @1.02 £1/£0.02 Goal scored in the dying seconds of the first half. I did quite a few more of these, but no other winners. Tomorrow is another day :)
@all4walk257
@all4walk257 2 жыл бұрын
@@g.y.o5419 ive been trying at under 1.5 goals 15 mins before then end with the score at 0-0 or 0.1 or 1.0 looks promising keep it up mate there is value out there 👍
@g.y.o5419
@g.y.o5419 2 жыл бұрын
@@all4walk257 Thanks for the reply. I will post some updates. How has that been going for you, in profit?
@g.y.o5419
@g.y.o5419 2 жыл бұрын
No winners yesterday in the UK Racing. I did try doing it at 1.01 and 1.05. I got 1 winner layed at 1.05. I had a bit more luck on the American racing. Layed 63 races @1.1 for £1/£0.10. 7 winners, £1.15 profit. American Admiral 1.02 1.00 Lay 12-Jun-22 18:54 -0.02 Holden The Lute 1.02 1.00 Lay 12-Jun-22 18:54 1.00 *Average odds: On Off Back subtotal: 0.00 Lay subtotal: 0.98 Market subtotal: 0.98 Commission @ 2.04%: 0.02 Net Market Total: 0.96 ------------------------------------------------------ Selection Odds Stake (£) Bid type Placed Profit/Loss (£) The Minkster 1.10 1.00 Lay 12-Jun-22 18:47 -0.10 Rondure 1.10 1.00 Lay 12-Jun-22 18:47 1.00 *Average odds: On Off Back subtotal: 0.00 Lay subtotal: 0.90 Market subtotal: 0.90 Commission @ 2.22%: 0.02 Net Market Total: 0.88 ---------------------------------------------------- Blue Silver 1.10 1.00 Lay 12-Jun-22 18:58 1.00 Tiz A Thrill 1.10 1.00 Lay 12-Jun-22 18:58 -0.10 *Average odds: On Off Back subtotal: 0.00 Lay subtotal: 0.90 Market subtotal: 0.90 Commission @ 2.22%: 0.02 Net Market Total: 0.88 -------------------------------------------------------- Day Tripper 1.10 1.00 Lay 12-Jun-22 18:46 1.00 Men On The Hill 1.10 1.00 Lay 12-Jun-22 18:46 -0.10 *Average odds: On Off Back subtotal: 0.00 Lay subtotal: 0.90 Market subtotal: 0.90 Commission @ 2.22%: 0.02 Net Market Total: 0.88 -------------------------------------------------------- Gopher Gold 1.10 1.00 Lay 12-Jun-22 18:51 1.00 Sonnyisnotsofunny 1.10 1.00 Lay 12-Jun-22 18:51 -0.10 *Average odds: On Off Back subtotal: 0.00 Lay subtotal: 0.90 Market subtotal: 0.90 Commission @ 2.22%: 0.02 Net Market Total: 0.88 ---------------------------------------------------------- Hollywood Walk 1.10 1.00 Lay 12-Jun-22 18:56 1.00 *Average odds: On Off Back subtotal: 0.00 Lay subtotal: 1.00 Market subtotal: 1.00 Commission @ 2%: 0.02 Net Market Total: 0.98 ------------------------------------------------------------ Leather And Lace 1.10 1.00 Lay 12-Jun-22 18:51 1.00 According To Aspen 1.10 1.00 Lay 12-Jun-22 18:51 -0.10 *Average odds: On Off Back subtotal: 0.00 Lay subtotal: 0.90 Market subtotal: 0.90 Commission @ 2.22%: 0.02 Net Market Total: 0.88 ----------------------------------------------------------------
@Kiranoli2050
@Kiranoli2050 2 жыл бұрын
Do you have a paid telegram channel for games sir
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
I do not, there is a Discord available for Patreon supporters to discuss games if they wish.
@Persis10tUser
@Persis10tUser 2 жыл бұрын
Hello Mate, can you please give me the betangel instructions what you used? How can you ignore a market if the 1st goal goes in? thanks
@Garycarlyle
@Garycarlyle Жыл бұрын
Peter Web that owns Betangel is saying 1.01 is a bit broken (I think). It's happening too much. IE, the 'true odds' are probably more like 1.001 sometimes but it doesn't go that low. So the value is probably somewhere between those two odds. IE, good video.
@astfantasy
@astfantasy Жыл бұрын
Hi mate, quick question. Does a lay bet run even if it doesn't get matched before the game. And if it doesn't get matched during the game do you get your money back?
@Garycarlyle
@Garycarlyle Жыл бұрын
@@astfantasy Same as a back bet. Depends if you have keep or not enabled. If its not matched at all then it is returned but it can take time for them to settle the event/market.
@astfantasy
@astfantasy Жыл бұрын
@@Garycarlyle Thanks very much mate so if I place a lay bet for say 1.50 instead of the 1.94 its asking, if the game got to the stage where I got my 1.50 bet matched then it would pay out but if it didn't get to that stage I would just get the money back I placed. Correct??
@Garycarlyle
@Garycarlyle Жыл бұрын
@@astfantasy Yes. People do that. Just got to try to only do it if you think they are going to take it when its value for you rather than only value for them. Unless its just a hedge of course. Keep in mind too that it could be skipped as sometimes it jumps. Especially in play.
@astfantasy
@astfantasy Жыл бұрын
Thanks mate, apprecieatie the help. another quick oneSay I lay the over 2.5 markets, that means I want the game to end less than 2.5 goals. In live time if the game is 0-0 will the lay odds go up or down??@@Garycarlyle
@MultiKinster
@MultiKinster Жыл бұрын
Is it possible to do a tennis laying 1.01 video? I think you will not simply because I noticed you don't bet on tennis.
@dustinscharf5051
@dustinscharf5051 2 жыл бұрын
Im Not Sure if i understood correctly, maybe because im Not a foreign english speaker, so you placed at one Day like 500 bets 10pound each meaning you had at Times thousand pound in play because some games are simultaniously? Or you placed one bet each then wait for it to run out an place another?
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
I placed the bets all at the same time, however a £10 lay bet equals a 10p stake, therefore 500 of these bets equals a total stake of 500. In addition to that a majority of these bets never get matched. Hope this clears a few things up for you!
@AleksVendetta
@AleksVendetta 2 жыл бұрын
Greetings friends!I have been making money on betting for more than 20 years. Now I have realized my mission, it is to help everyone not to depend on money, but to treat a large amount of it as due.Please your loved ones and be happy. I wish you all the best and joy!
@daveg3766
@daveg3766 2 жыл бұрын
Does the automation software cost anything or is it free with the Patreon? Great video BTW
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
The software does have costs and isn't included with Patreon. I am not affiliated with any software, details regarding costs can be found on any individual softwares website
@baravaniboyomar4006
@baravaniboyomar4006 Жыл бұрын
I need code of the match
@mrblue1976
@mrblue1976 2 жыл бұрын
Can you do a video when football teams go 1.01 in Match Odds to see if that's profitable?
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
Something I may look at in the future!
@voltaireperiampillai4259
@voltaireperiampillai4259 2 жыл бұрын
@@KieMillett amazing thanks 👊🏽
@JustbeLieve1
@JustbeLieve1 2 жыл бұрын
It's surprising to see that so many of these trades laid at 1.01, prove profitable 😀
@JustbeLieve1
@JustbeLieve1 2 жыл бұрын
That being said, I layed a few 1.03's, 4's and 5's today, with much success.
@astfantasy
@astfantasy Жыл бұрын
Hi mate, quick question. Does a lay bet run even if it doesn't get matched before the game. And if it doesn't get matched during the game do you get your money back?
@csb7376
@csb7376 2 жыл бұрын
What I would say is that a lot of 1.01 losers are only matched to very small amounts. That means that working out profits based on the percentage of 1.01's that lose is irrelevant. You need to look at 1.01's that are matched to big money,
@masticloxpoker1006
@masticloxpoker1006 2 жыл бұрын
that does not matter, percentage is percentage.
@elastronaute1198
@elastronaute1198 2 жыл бұрын
@@masticloxpoker1006 It does matter because you would not get matched on a lot of the ones that go onto lose after being matched at 1.01, yet all the ones that went on to win you would get matched on. Meaning even if it's profitable on paper unless you get high enough in the queue it might not be profitable in practice.
@masticloxpoker1006
@masticloxpoker1006 2 жыл бұрын
@@elastronaute1198 yeah that is a different thing and definetely correct, what i dont know about exchange becuse i have no access to them from Greece, so i only play on some normal Greek sports betting with 5% rake, and Poker, so at the exchange when he does the thing he did, at 1.01. It is in the choise of someone else to buy it at this price, for example can theoretically someone buy Under 2.5 goals at 1.01 even if the game is 1-1 at the first 5 minutes? or is there a specific time that the odds go to 1.01 and only then they can match it.
@elastronaute1198
@elastronaute1198 2 жыл бұрын
@@masticloxpoker1006 the odds will only go that low if the outcome is 99% certain to occur. So no it wouldn't occur if the game was 1-1 only 5 minutes in.
@tomleach1428
@tomleach1428 2 жыл бұрын
I think a good sport for this would be NFL and NCAA college football as there is alot of games won or lost in the last minute of the games
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
It's surprising how many football (soccer) games have late goals too.
@alanhaynes9672
@alanhaynes9672 2 жыл бұрын
Any update on this Kie?
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
It's still profitable for me after 16500 markets.
@alanhaynes9672
@alanhaynes9672 2 жыл бұрын
@@KieMillett wow, really?? Please please do an update vid if u can
@user-yg1dg6xm2g
@user-yg1dg6xm2g Жыл бұрын
I really hate that Betfair isn't available in Canada.
@KieMillett
@KieMillett Жыл бұрын
Hopefully one day🤞🏻
@deividasnesvarbu7325
@deividasnesvarbu7325 Жыл бұрын
can i ask you
@blkoutTwo
@blkoutTwo 2 жыл бұрын
It's funny that i can clearly tell that you're on uni and probably doing your dissertation based on how you describe the data as old and from an unreliable source. Good video. You got a new patron.
@tn9974
@tn9974 2 жыл бұрын
Hello human, i'm your fellow human friend among the world of bots in comment section. i love such mathematical and statistics video related to betting. hence, i'm subscribing, looking forward for more such content related to multiple betting styles. any further updates regarding this strategy? it's been one and half month, so i think the data would be pretty accurate if you've continued this.
@garyhaigh3774
@garyhaigh3774 2 жыл бұрын
Great work matey,i often wondered myself what that money was @1.01.LOL
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
It has certainly had me thinking for a long time now!
@brokkrdwarf
@brokkrdwarf 2 жыл бұрын
Wouldn't you get banned incredibly quickly with this strategy though?
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
Betfair's exchange don't ban you, so no.
@brokkrdwarf
@brokkrdwarf 2 жыл бұрын
@@KieMillett they banned me within a month of trying another strategy though
@usmannazir-fb1vy
@usmannazir-fb1vy Жыл бұрын
@@brokkrdwarf can you share?
@viralmaher
@viralmaher 2 жыл бұрын
what is the maximum withdraw limits ?
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
As far as I know, I don't think there are maximum withdraw limits.
@tony3444
@tony3444 2 жыл бұрын
I trade cricket and in the ipl and t20 matches u got a few 1.01 lays wat win
@robcord5982
@robcord5982 2 жыл бұрын
Do any exchanges have active cricket markets? Betfair is really poor for cricket. You can never get odds on most of the markets
@alyssagarza7489
@alyssagarza7489 2 жыл бұрын
Hi love your videos have been watching all night to try and understand. Any way you can give a quick example for MLB? Would you just use the ML odds for both teams? Would love some tips, thank you!
@winnersanni5071
@winnersanni5071 Жыл бұрын
Hello I have MLB odds that win. Are you interested?
@jaebae558
@jaebae558 2 жыл бұрын
I guess this strategy isnt going well. After he stopped making vid for more than a month
@danthescrapper815
@danthescrapper815 2 жыл бұрын
Interesting video, iv tried the soccer betting in the past with very mixed results tho fair to say more losses than wins, these days i just prefer to bet on the sport i know best and thats the AFL ( Australian Football League ) and i just bet on the disposals markets coz for me personally i find it easy to win but thanks for sharing.
@giggitygoo21
@giggitygoo21 2 жыл бұрын
thats an awesome little niche market. AFL disposals LOL
@danthescrapper815
@danthescrapper815 2 жыл бұрын
@@giggitygoo21 I love it, soccer sux.
@giggitygoo21
@giggitygoo21 2 жыл бұрын
@@danthescrapper815 i grew up in Melbourne. I love the Demons. I always get wrecked when i try to bet on it though because i am a giant AFL noob.
@JamesofQPR
@JamesofQPR 8 ай бұрын
Good stuff..cheers
@TheBIGoneeditz
@TheBIGoneeditz 2 жыл бұрын
He made all that money 😂, now he feeling like a big man 😂, Big Ups 💯
@ProgressisEverything
@ProgressisEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Be good to understand how you set up the automation
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
I have a video on my patreon breaking it down step by step.
@adriandib
@adriandib Жыл бұрын
So are you still using this strategy 9 months later?
@KieMillett
@KieMillett Жыл бұрын
I am indeed!
@adriandib
@adriandib Жыл бұрын
@@KieMillett so you have a course in how to do this in your patron? would it work for Aussies?
@Cowelly84
@Cowelly84 2 жыл бұрын
Great video, really interesting to see the longer term results 👍
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
Me too!
@kollyborda.
@kollyborda. 2 жыл бұрын
Amazing video, great research & insight.
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
Glad you enjoyed it!
@saedasda1232
@saedasda1232 2 жыл бұрын
Do you have any tutorial to set up and coding bet guardian
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
I have a full tutorial available on my patreon
@kryme60
@kryme60 2 жыл бұрын
what software did you link to you betting account and how can I get one please?
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
I use Bet Angel, available through their website
@chunkymonkey55555
@chunkymonkey55555 2 жыл бұрын
Interesting. One thing I might say is, if a race is a close finish with a few horse, your chances of making a 1.01 lay win would likely be higher than if its a race where a horse pulls away towards the line. (this would assume u get a swing matched and taking advantage of decent value). Maybe shorter distance races might be a an interesting idea? Of course with software like Bet angel, you could make a bot, to place under certain circumstance. But then, you look lie you are smart enough to know what you are investigating !
@chunkymonkey55555
@chunkymonkey55555 2 жыл бұрын
Yeh I should watch a video all the way through before commenting, lol
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
😂😂
@board.games8
@board.games8 2 жыл бұрын
Can you put an order in instead of botting
@stupot1952
@stupot1952 2 жыл бұрын
So you lay all horses at 1.01? £1 is 5/6/7 furlongs better race's
@ronwhitehouse23
@ronwhitehouse23 2 жыл бұрын
Great video, well done.
@dtay345
@dtay345 2 жыл бұрын
Great video. Informative and very well produced. Look forward to more. Just subscribed 👍
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks David, appreciate the kind feedback!
@nigelrichardsdrivingschool3888
@nigelrichardsdrivingschool3888 2 жыл бұрын
Just joined your Patreon at the full price but cant join the Discord. Can you help?
@andytyrrell5153
@andytyrrell5153 2 жыл бұрын
How soon though before your bets get restricted in value or account pulled because you continually win.
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
Never! That's because I use a betting exchange. They make money because every time I win I pay commission, so they won't ban you because there are no bad incentives
@TheLucidscreamz
@TheLucidscreamz 2 жыл бұрын
also 28000 bets is mindblowing amount of laying
@mariuszsuchecki5767
@mariuszsuchecki5767 2 жыл бұрын
And?
@TheLucidscreamz
@TheLucidscreamz 2 жыл бұрын
@@mariuszsuchecki5767 hours in a day
@productsandreviews115
@productsandreviews115 2 жыл бұрын
amazing live testing tutorial of betting strategy
@bitcoinmania4763
@bitcoinmania4763 2 жыл бұрын
Brother u should learn trading crypto. There is always 50% chance to hit a trade. Price will go up or down. And you can make profit in both sides when you are trading.
@KieMillett
@KieMillett 2 жыл бұрын
With sports trading, crypto or trading the stock market there is always risk. I prefer sports trading because its what I'm most interested and informed in.
@bitcoinmania4763
@bitcoinmania4763 2 жыл бұрын
Sure but in crypto u have always 50% chance to win trade. When you manage your risk - reward and stuff. You should try trust me
@reids100
@reids100 2 жыл бұрын
@@bitcoinmania4763 Surely that would be the same for sports trading or stock trading as well then? Price can go up or down lol.
@giuseppedebenedictis368
@giuseppedebenedictis368 2 жыл бұрын
great video, how can you have the strategy?
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