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Hidden Truths Behind Lululemon's Share Value

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Rational Investing with Cameron Stewart, CFA

Rational Investing with Cameron Stewart, CFA

Күн бұрын

Dive into the world of high-performance activewear with our latest video, "The Ultimate Lululemon Guide: What's Worth Your Money?" 🏃‍♂️💸 In this comprehensive review, we explore Lululemon's most popular items, from their unbeatable leggings to their innovative workout gear, and give you the lowdown on what's truly worth adding to your fitness wardrobe. Whether you're a seasoned athlete or just starting your fitness journey, this video is packed with insights to help you make the best choices for your active lifestyle. Don't forget to hit the subscribe button and join our community for more honest reviews and fitness tips. Let's elevate our workouts together! 🌟👟 #LululemonReview #FitnessGear #WorkoutEssentials
"Long ago, Ben Graham taught me that 'Price is what you pay; value is what you get.' Whether we're talking about socks or stocks, I like buying quality merchandise when it is marked down." - Warren Buffett
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All opinions expressed by Cameron Stewart at Rational Investing with Cameron Stewart, CFA or on Cashflowinvestingpro.com are solely Mr. Stewart’s opinions. You should not treat any opinion expressed by Mr. Stewart as a specific inducement to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy, but only as an expression of his opinion. Mr. Stewart’s statements and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Mr. Stewart does not guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment discussed on this show. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investors may get back less than invested. Investments or strategies mentioned on this show may not be suitable for you. This material does not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs and is not intended as recommendations appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies mentioned on this show. Before acting on information on this show, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser.
#stockmarket #stockanalysis #stockmarket2023 #stockmarketcrash #rationalivesting #investingforbeginners #recession2023 #stockmarketforbeginners #stocks #dividendstocks

Пікірлер: 119
@singhka88
@singhka88 12 күн бұрын
seeing this stock at $235 today is blowing my mind. it makes me want to buy as much shares as i can!
@Yunggrippacuz
@Yunggrippacuz 4 ай бұрын
timely and awesome. Appreciate your insight 🙌
@CheesumX
@CheesumX 4 ай бұрын
Great analysis and commentary. Thanks for your work. The explanations are nice reminders or learning bits for your viewers, too. I'm sure it's repetitive for you to dish them out almost every video but it's appreciated as it helps hammer in principles and attach them to a concrete example.
@CstewartCFA
@CstewartCFA 4 ай бұрын
Glad you like them!
@richardbaranyi6384
@richardbaranyi6384 4 ай бұрын
Missed these vids, Cameron!
@Antares-rt5ub
@Antares-rt5ub 4 ай бұрын
Great video as always. It would be cool to see you do Nike so we can compare them and see which company is better.
@CstewartCFA
@CstewartCFA 4 ай бұрын
I posted Nike in the cash flow club.
@Bhongkc
@Bhongkc 4 ай бұрын
2% fcf yield seems a bit aggressive no ? Given the maturity of the business by then with probably mid single digit growth
@harjotbrar1984
@harjotbrar1984 4 ай бұрын
I was thinking the same thing. Cannot call 2% conservative. But great video though 😊
@asrfarinha
@asrfarinha 4 ай бұрын
That's what I thought too. Sure 2% is in line with the last 10 years, but the growth was much higher than what's expected going forward. If one forecasts declining growth then the FCF yield should be adjusted accordingly.
@maximepoirier3589
@maximepoirier3589 4 ай бұрын
Reducing the yield would increase the 10 year stock price, which is less conservative than the 2% yield. The stock price is derived from the 10 year FCF of 17$ divided by the yield.
@asrfarinha
@asrfarinha 4 ай бұрын
@@maximepoirier3589 No one said anything about reducing the yield
@k13team55
@k13team55 4 ай бұрын
@@harjotbrar1984good to see punjabi here😅.khich ke
@anders_mark
@anders_mark 4 ай бұрын
Appreciate your content ❤ especially like you shorts about stock picks. Have a great day
@CstewartCFA
@CstewartCFA 4 ай бұрын
Thanks for saying that
@jeffpesos8404
@jeffpesos8404 4 ай бұрын
What do you think of their total addressable market? Is it really that big?
@deadmanwalking213
@deadmanwalking213 4 ай бұрын
Amazing work as always. Thanks for the Education 🏆
@HumblePeon2
@HumblePeon2 4 ай бұрын
I just found your channel yesterday after searching for Lockheed Martin analysis. Your analysis is incredible, thanks for posting these videos for us.
@CstewartCFA
@CstewartCFA 4 ай бұрын
Welcome aboard!
@nonexistent5030
@nonexistent5030 4 ай бұрын
Either it's an LVMH or its a VFC. Fashion is fleeting and unpredictable. But it is compelling.
@wademartin8822
@wademartin8822 4 күн бұрын
awesome video
@amc7615
@amc7615 4 ай бұрын
Thanks sir for the very detailed break down.
@207j
@207j Ай бұрын
Thank you! I've bought shares at 307, definitely going to get more.. Could you do an analysis of LNTH? It has an amazing growth in the past few years, it has an estimated growth of over 30% annually for the next 5 years, and it's undervalued - PE of 12 and PEG of 0.6
@ramza675
@ramza675 2 ай бұрын
appreciate the analysis and explanation good stuff
@Winston0Boogie
@Winston0Boogie 4 ай бұрын
Great video,man. Thanks! I bought your educational videos. I use it when i buy stocks.
@CstewartCFA
@CstewartCFA 4 ай бұрын
Glad to hear it!
@srgriffiths
@srgriffiths 4 ай бұрын
Thanks for such an educational and clear description of your analysis. Subscribed.
@CstewartCFA
@CstewartCFA 4 ай бұрын
Welcome aboard!
@Chrishousden24
@Chrishousden24 4 ай бұрын
You have earned a subscription. Great content!!
@locdoctorfell
@locdoctorfell 4 ай бұрын
Ok dude! I’ve always liked your skew on things, and not I dig it even more! Thank you for the history lesson🙌
@Ammar23217
@Ammar23217 4 ай бұрын
thank you for being teacher and explaining things.
@MrYas18
@MrYas18 4 ай бұрын
Current $366 now, would that take it to 13/14% IRR
@MrFrescocotone
@MrFrescocotone 4 ай бұрын
Amazing analysis. Still over-priced stock though
@ichoudhury007
@ichoudhury007 4 ай бұрын
This caught my eyes as I couldn’t make sense why it went down when their ER wasn’t bad and guidance wasn’t horrible. So why Wall Street hating it? Did JK praised it😅😂 Your videos is timely; thank you!
@RodSerling-y6p
@RodSerling-y6p 13 күн бұрын
Whether you bought it at 300, or 247 today, or maybe 220 tomorrow, it's going over 300 and more later. Be careful if you're trying to 'time the market' low. You may miss out on the uptrend.
@clarkroberts5603
@clarkroberts5603 4 ай бұрын
As a value investor id like it better if it was trading for $50, good businesses and i understand paying a premium for growth but they are a retailer.
@clarkroberts5603
@clarkroberts5603 4 ай бұрын
I do like the aggressive stock repurchase program though.
@Pizza-gb1ch
@Pizza-gb1ch Ай бұрын
@27:03 Not very conservative to average $7, $2 & $12 when $12 and $7 appear to be outliers. At the very least U should skip $12 (I'd remive $7 too).
@hawtwax
@hawtwax 2 ай бұрын
I’m trying to understand the consumer strength and preferences. To me it seems consumer weakness is a risk to consider. Whereas preferences, it’s seems very strong with women, Nike is the comparably strong brand for men. Any thoughts?
@FKAS8410
@FKAS8410 4 ай бұрын
I agree about the bit concerning analysts estimates. Around 2021 40 analysts had an average price target of $350 on Carvana when it was clear to anybody with two brain halves that it was a dumpster fire. They just follow price trends.
@Just-In-Credible
@Just-In-Credible 4 ай бұрын
Liked, I'm shocked you are not talking about Nike and UPS
@CstewartCFA
@CstewartCFA 4 ай бұрын
Nike still looks over priced to me.
@jamesoconnor802
@jamesoconnor802 4 ай бұрын
Hi Cameron - what investing books could you recommend?
@FilmsOfGreatness23
@FilmsOfGreatness23 4 ай бұрын
Excellent work Cam. Just picked up some shares today. Of course I made my own decision.
@CstewartCFA
@CstewartCFA 4 ай бұрын
Fantastic!
@leswhynin913
@leswhynin913 4 ай бұрын
It's a compounder. It has higher risk than stocks youve examined recently (Cisco and ADP), and i dont like recent stock repurchases at high prices, but it has upside potential associated with growth in asia pacific
@Theamanhanda
@Theamanhanda 4 ай бұрын
Can you pls make a video on khc
@jackbrown5184
@jackbrown5184 4 ай бұрын
What do you think about BLK stock? I believe they meet the 5 criteria. Or at least 60 percent of them. Always appreciate the videos!
@frossato
@frossato 4 ай бұрын
Great company, but keep it to the future. It is reaching its 200SMA on the weekly chart. It bounced 7 time in the last three years
@timclark2925
@timclark2925 21 күн бұрын
so I'm guessing you really love it today at $252/shr? thinking about buying here
@CstewartCFA
@CstewartCFA 21 күн бұрын
price is what you pay, value is what you get
@Dan-wg5gq
@Dan-wg5gq 4 ай бұрын
Very good. Thank you!
@CstewartCFA
@CstewartCFA 4 ай бұрын
Thank you too!
@JWSpaceX
@JWSpaceX 4 ай бұрын
can you make a video about FIGS? heavy cash on hand, lululemon of healthcare segment
@No-lack098
@No-lack098 4 ай бұрын
Figs needs better management end of discussion.
@InvestingEasy_
@InvestingEasy_ 4 ай бұрын
i love that shirt
@NOXkaz
@NOXkaz 4 ай бұрын
Love the company personally, but this falls into the category of stocks that I’d never pay more than 15 times earnings for like Ben Graham says.
@akis285
@akis285 4 ай бұрын
If you say that a valid use of free cashflow is acquisitions then how should we value businesses that only grow through acquisitions?
@adc6577
@adc6577 4 ай бұрын
It can be a great business. Many businesses have done this incredibly successfully. The execution becomes a much bigger risk, though. Management would need to continue to do it properly which is harder than organic growth
@chunwong7205
@chunwong7205 Ай бұрын
295.87 on 7/8/2024
@benheynderickx1729
@benheynderickx1729 4 ай бұрын
deeply appreciate this thesis and analysis , "no nonce and to the point" , thanks and I'm not going to panic on my investment on LULU
@InVirginia
@InVirginia 2 ай бұрын
LULU seems to be experiencing a lack of confidence as the talking heads worry about the strength of the consumer as the kids call them not politically correct. So how long can mood overwhelm fundamentals?
@ramesha6627
@ramesha6627 4 ай бұрын
They mentioned growth will slow down in recent quarter results.
@natekennedy1668
@natekennedy1668 4 ай бұрын
"For all of you fellow degenerate gamblers out there kudos to you" LOL
@davidlemmon4603
@davidlemmon4603 4 ай бұрын
The ladies love lululemons, it’s like a status symbol… they keep buying them non stop.
@Pizza-gb1ch
@Pizza-gb1ch Ай бұрын
How are they going to afford them now they must repay their student loans?
@cristianvenegas9267
@cristianvenegas9267 4 ай бұрын
Bought some shares today, lets hope for the best!
@CstewartCFA
@CstewartCFA 4 ай бұрын
Fingers crossed!
@RodSerling-y6p
@RodSerling-y6p 13 күн бұрын
Hang in there. This is a solid company. If you are down today, remember to avoid the pitfall of being short sighted on financially strong growth companies like $LULU. Patience my friend. I legged in to a bunch of $LULU also.
@randysaur
@randysaur 3 ай бұрын
the deal just got sweeter. 348$ per share now.
@brunoradovanovic2408
@brunoradovanovic2408 12 күн бұрын
-100$ today
@toddmullis8051
@toddmullis8051 4 ай бұрын
Love your analysis
@a.ringson
@a.ringson 4 ай бұрын
I still don't get why we treat all FCF as it'd be dividends. Imagine a company that is growing 5%, does not pay dividends, uses all FCF for acquisitions to support that 5% growth. Going forward we assume that 5% growth will be there due to acquisitions and we count FCF as dividends, but it will be spent for acquisitions. Sounds like it's counted twice which boots the IRR artificially.
@mohmamedahmed5018
@mohmamedahmed5018 4 ай бұрын
is it possible to review RACE "Ferrari" would it bear lululemon or lemon remains better
@alwarithalkhusaibi7902
@alwarithalkhusaibi7902 Ай бұрын
Now it's about $300
@RafitoMembroza
@RafitoMembroza 4 ай бұрын
I agree with other people that your cashflow yield assumptions are too aggressive. I would have said 4-5%. Plus, forward earnings is not 17x, but 27x, at least according to Yahoo Finance for end 2024.
@RayRay79
@RayRay79 3 ай бұрын
I like LULU!
@martinithechobit
@martinithechobit 2 ай бұрын
Time to buy now?.hahah.
@iakobkv271
@iakobkv271 13 күн бұрын
1k$ for LULU dawg? :D
@Jan-rk8gs
@Jan-rk8gs 4 ай бұрын
Opportunity
@somchai9033
@somchai9033 4 ай бұрын
Like it at $400, you’ll love it at $357
@ttsvlog3191
@ttsvlog3191 4 ай бұрын
Like it at $357, you’ll love it at $335
@Dr.Dumpnpump
@Dr.Dumpnpump 3 ай бұрын
Wait until it hits 250, like it, live it, love it.
@theresamorgavi9196
@theresamorgavi9196 2 ай бұрын
312 now going under 300 soon CPO leaving… will buy lulu soon
@Dr.Dumpnpump
@Dr.Dumpnpump 2 ай бұрын
@@theresamorgavi9196 I’d consider it at $250.
@sloppyjoehillups
@sloppyjoehillups 2 ай бұрын
How about 299?
@lumpenstumper6151
@lumpenstumper6151 2 ай бұрын
Yum 299$ 🔥
@23pinkpear
@23pinkpear 4 ай бұрын
at my daughters school alo yoga is in lululemon is out
@niklas5771
@niklas5771 4 ай бұрын
alo yoga seems to have worse quality than lululemon
@ttoo6463
@ttoo6463 4 ай бұрын
The Numbers say different
@Pizza-gb1ch
@Pizza-gb1ch Ай бұрын
Elementary school? 💁 It woyld be more helpful if u provided details.
@ai7783
@ai7783 4 ай бұрын
Can you do allbirds $BIRD
@seonggkim
@seonggkim 4 ай бұрын
Seems like a too good to be true company. Wow…
@georgesamaras2922
@georgesamaras2922 Ай бұрын
ULTA vs LULU
@CBLE
@CBLE 4 ай бұрын
All my homies hate the mouse.
@CstewartCFA
@CstewartCFA 4 ай бұрын
Hahahahahahah yess
@jeremyreinhold3620
@jeremyreinhold3620 2 күн бұрын
Buy costco. Theyre gonna eat lulus lunch
@dr.ptrkjc
@dr.ptrkjc 4 ай бұрын
I hope it's not just a fad and will laat long like Nike
@InvestingCatalysts
@InvestingCatalysts 4 ай бұрын
building brick and mortar stores is bad. It was for amazon, tesla and other new companies whose customers all came from the web. Why waste margin on real estate and retail employees, and make it easy for customers to do returns. When, they can just stay on the web. Bad move
@leegengxiang2173
@leegengxiang2173 4 ай бұрын
Apparel business can hardly avoid brick and mortar. Sizing and how it looks will never be completely online. To a certain extent, even cars like Tesla can avoid the showroom but I don;t think clothing, footwear and apparel will ever reach that state completely.
@samyueldanyo8679
@samyueldanyo8679 4 ай бұрын
The above comment is correct but also look it from the Apple prism. They are trying to emulate a premium brand with a community.
@InvestingCatalysts
@InvestingCatalysts 4 ай бұрын
@@leegengxiang2173 Bezos famously said internally, "we do want our customers who need handholding to go to our competitors, it reduces our costs and increases theirs at the same time". every professional I know under the age of 30 hasn't been in a clothing store since precovid. they are brand loyal and know the fit of the brands they are loyal to. Brands like Columbia, Levis, Lulu and Zenni have proven that detailed consistent sizing and fitment lets them grow on platforms like Amazon without brick and mortar. Lulu would be better off expanding into more international markets by mail. Places like Brazil, Southern Europe. There is low hanging fruit and management is building expensive stores. Bad move. That is why its on sale. The story has run to its conclusion. Until management comes with a new geography, or new products (make up or jewelry or shoes or . . . ); its gonna be a value trap.
@Paul-ul7tv
@Paul-ul7tv 3 күн бұрын
Debt is zero😂? I saw balance sheet. lululemon has the liabilities.😅 What's level of liabilities can be judged to zero debt?
@TheKolopololo
@TheKolopololo 3 күн бұрын
Jesus, debt and liabilities are definitely not the same thing. I suggest educating yourself on the matter.
@Paul-ul7tv
@Paul-ul7tv 3 күн бұрын
@@TheKolopololo Okey, I know where I am wrong. Here is cash flow. I am sorry bro.
@resipsaloquitur1775
@resipsaloquitur1775 7 күн бұрын
What about the fickleness of the typical consumer...? Do you really think that Lululemon will be a popular brand 10 years from now? I doubt it. Look at every other "brand retailer" over the last 20 years... Eddie Bauer, American Eagle, Aeropostale, GAP, etc. etc. they don't hold out over time.
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