Housing Crisis - China's Reckoning (Part 2)

  Рет қаралды 1,729,602

PolyMatter

PolyMatter

3 жыл бұрын

Get a free audiobook of your choice at: audible.com/polymatter or by texting "polymatter" to 500-500.
Watch this video ad-free on Nebula: nebula.tv/videos/polymatter-c...
Sources: pastebin.com/S8wdqrpw
Twitter: / polymatters
Patreon: / polymatter
Pins & T-Shirts: standard.tv/collections/polym...
Reddit: / polymatter
Music by Graham Haerther (www.Haerther.net)
Audio editing by Eric Schneider
Motion graphics by Vincent de Langen
Everything else by Evan
Thanks to Ma Con for the Vietnamese subtitle translation.
This includes a paid sponsorship which had no part in the writing, editing, or production of the rest of the video.
Music by Epidemic Sound: epidemicsound.com
Video supplied by Getty Images

Пікірлер: 5 900
@PolyMatter
@PolyMatter 3 жыл бұрын
After finishing this video, here's the next part: kzbin.info/www/bejne/pIO4lGedibRghqc
@lm-ml
@lm-ml 3 жыл бұрын
Ah, houses. Very nice.
@GA-720
@GA-720 3 жыл бұрын
Ok China daddy
@just_a_turtle_chad
@just_a_turtle_chad 3 жыл бұрын
This comment has been certified with a Turtle Badge Of Approval ✨🍉
@AgentSix
@AgentSix 3 жыл бұрын
Watched part 1 already, thanks though!
@AgentSix
@AgentSix 3 жыл бұрын
I also very much like your videos and have no doubt I will like this one.
@rufuspipemos
@rufuspipemos Жыл бұрын
This video nailed the current situation 18 months before it began.
@Ndizzyinthehizzy
@Ndizzyinthehizzy Жыл бұрын
That's why I came back to it. Now I'm binge watching the other ones to see what's next.
@ferrariguy8278
@ferrariguy8278 Жыл бұрын
You'll like Peter Zeihan too because he's been saying much of this 4 part series for quite a while now (just with a more snarky, chirpy, GenX geopolitical spin). PolyMatter avoids the sarcasm.
@behl557
@behl557 Жыл бұрын
now government is putting planned economy like policies in real estate, huge restrictions on property sellers reducing prices
@johnsmith-mv8hq
@johnsmith-mv8hq 2 жыл бұрын
The potential collapse of Evergrande, one of China's largest property developers, is happening. What happens to this complex network of economic and social webs then?
@davecorrea1061
@davecorrea1061 2 жыл бұрын
man this is funny
@Swenthorian
@Swenthorian 2 жыл бұрын
Cameo at 21:00, lol.
@igria
@igria 2 жыл бұрын
Everything about China is merely a cardboard facade, it's never surprise for us Asian about China, and that's the reason whenever they're capable of they'll flock out of the country.
@jaychung1380
@jaychung1380 2 жыл бұрын
Couldn’t happen to a nicer group of people .
@JRAS_
@JRAS_ 2 жыл бұрын
This video is sizing up to be a crystal ball of the future by the rate its going
@user-ll9ch6ng3y
@user-ll9ch6ng3y 3 жыл бұрын
hell,as a Chinese citizen, i have to say this is the first foreign video i saw that mentioned the role that local governments played in this mad real estate market, how they sell public land and all those empty companies. you really know about China.
@rickv9180
@rickv9180 2 жыл бұрын
Anyways, I'm curious; how much does is the average rent there though?
@NightcorEDM
@NightcorEDM 2 жыл бұрын
You're not Chinese and all your upvotes are from Indians/ whites lmao
@user-ll9ch6ng3y
@user-ll9ch6ng3y 2 жыл бұрын
@@NightcorEDM No joking bro, grew up in Sichuan Mianyang, attended the college in Wuhan, never being abroad for once, 100% native Chinese.
@user-ll9ch6ng3y
@user-ll9ch6ng3y 2 жыл бұрын
@@NightcorEDM 兄弟如果你是国人的话,我确实不了解其他地方的情况,但我老家(四川的)县城县政府卖地情况确实严重,连几个卫生院的地都全部卖了,确实让人担心以后我们这儿地方财政怎么还,还是希望中央能管管地方这些行为,还是希望纪委能来带走几个当官的
@user-ll9ch6ng3y
@user-ll9ch6ng3y 2 жыл бұрын
@@rickv9180 It depends, in big cities like Shanghai and Shenzhen, rent can be incredibly high, like 4000 yuan(about 650 dollars) for 50 square-meters, But it is much lower in small cities.
@hanxiaozhang82
@hanxiaozhang82 2 жыл бұрын
As a Chinese, I have to say the "China's Reckoning" series are incredible videos, especially Part 1 and Part 2, which are the most critical problems in current China. But it's really hard to solve them in a short time.
@noahjones9833
@noahjones9833 2 жыл бұрын
Hello! its honestly suprising to see someone actually suffering these problems for once. Id really like to hear more about what you think about these problens and these videos.
@roberttorres8477
@roberttorres8477 2 жыл бұрын
I hate the CCP but got love for the Chinese people
@zenpai5998
@zenpai5998 2 жыл бұрын
@@roberttorres8477 same
@stevenfallinge7149
@stevenfallinge7149 2 жыл бұрын
The particular issue is not China specific but the magnitude and associated problems related to government are, and clearly an issue with government. Perhaps we are beginning to see the limits of authoritarian command, which works to catch up to the world economic leaders, but not to become an economic leader. The same thing was the case with the Soviet Union.
@lontongtepungroti2777
@lontongtepungroti2777 2 жыл бұрын
you watch youtube ? -1000 social credit score
@sylvanfranklin6904
@sylvanfranklin6904 3 жыл бұрын
Alternative title: Why China is actually a real estate company, and what that means for investors. Next video on Wendover: The insane engineering of a china shaped airplane Next video on Half as interesting: the logistics of starting your own China
@no-np8dw
@no-np8dw 3 жыл бұрын
@Spatza are you replying to someone who's now gone or did you just say this for no reason
@kairon156
@kairon156 3 жыл бұрын
@@no-np8dw I first noticed that sort of opening comment on Reddit when the app came out.
@sirBrouwer
@sirBrouwer 3 жыл бұрын
no Sam from Wendover would just try to create a aircraft out of China in it's total. mean while Sam from HAI will try to bring bricks in to the mix.
@kairon156
@kairon156 3 жыл бұрын
@@sirBrouwer China and it's dependence on bricks?
@sirBrouwer
@sirBrouwer 3 жыл бұрын
@@kairon156 sounds like a HAI topic yes. the real question is how is the CIA involved in it?
@hermesrodrigues5980
@hermesrodrigues5980 3 жыл бұрын
This is happening, to a lesser degree, all around the world. I live in São Paulo, Brazil, and and many appartments here, especially in the historic center are unnocupied, because people buy them only as a investment for especulation, and don't actually move. On the last election, one of our candidates for mayor was really concerned by that, he even stated that São Paulo "Has more peopleless homes than homeless people", which is quite brutal if you think about it.
@zerrinak317
@zerrinak317 3 жыл бұрын
It seem property tax and insurance must be low.
@zhouwu
@zhouwu 3 жыл бұрын
People-less homes sound so much sader than homeless people. Homeless people still have a purpose: beg enough to survive another day. People-less homes? They are just waiting to crumple. Poor people-less homes. 😥😥😥
@fr-mk7gh
@fr-mk7gh 3 жыл бұрын
That is because the money supply is too high, now more than ever with the covid but it began in 2008 (central banks call it quantitative easing). That means interest rates are very low and investors are looking for safer and low-risk investments than they used too because the reward are not worth it anymore for "normal" investments (like companies). What is the safest market to see your assets grow steadily over a decade or so nowadays ? Housing is the answer. Appart from the big investors normal people just trust more the housing market than the stock market and you can't blame them for that. Since urbanization is growing and the countryside is dying (at least in the west) housing prices would have rose prices in cities automatically. I am no expert on the subjet and I probably made a few mistakes but that is what I understand from it. The financial system is fucked (and China is not an exception here) and both people and big investors need to look for safe investments that will grow no matter the economic downturns.
@zhouwu
@zhouwu 3 жыл бұрын
@@fr-mk7gh You might not be an expert, but you speak a lot more common sense than most experts I've listened to. I'm a nutter. I invest in the Bible. My reasoning being that since Jesus told me to store up my Treasures in the Heavens, and not down here on the earth, because moth and rust consume the treasures on the earth, and thieves dig through and steal, and apparently, Malachi 3:10 says the interest rates are amazing in that if I just hand over the tithes I'm supposed to pay in full, God will open up some windows in heaven so that so many blessings will Flood into my stores so that there is no longer room to hold it, it kinda made sense to me (I'm no expert either. I'm sure my dad knows more than me.) So I just kinda went with it. It's kinda working out for me so far. Not saying I've got a house or anything. But so far, even though in theory, I should have starved or died or something, I'm still very much alive. And well. And somehow happier than the people with 5 properties. They keep talking and complaining about the repairs and finding suitable tenants and the maintenance and the mortgage rates and stuff I don't understand too much, because I've never done that stuff. But yeah, I've got a nutty fiscal policy. But I guess, if it works, it works, right? It feels like one of those crazy situations where I'm only flying because I'm aiming to hit the ground and missing. But there you go. Have a good day, sir!
@a.a.5386
@a.a.5386 3 жыл бұрын
CN housing crisis is absurd tho .. the housing bubble has become one of the biggest economies in CN if I'm not mistaken
@atari460
@atari460 3 жыл бұрын
As a foreigner married to a Chinese woman and living in China for years, I can confirm the obsession with housing. Literally 99% of women and their families will not have a marriage until the have their own house. It's madness but it has its reasons. I see lots of foreigners get into serious relationships with girls and then when this comes up during marriage conversations, everything falls apart because they can't buy a house. Luckily for me it worked because my wife's family bought a second house for when she would get married. Basically, the obsession comes from the fact that landlords constantly push out their renters with little to no notice in order to sell their property. Like you can be living in your apartment under a year lease and suddenly the landlord tells you that you have 10 days to leave and the ONLY way out of this is to actual own the place you live in. So Chinese families look for a stable place to live.
@stevenglowacki8576
@stevenglowacki8576 2 жыл бұрын
Sounds like the strict pro-tenant laws of the more liberal areas in the US are actually useful in some regard. China has such a huge love of home-ownership that they basically provide no protection for renters. It's absolutely impossible most everywhere around here to kick someone out of their home in less than a month, even if they're not paying rent, simply because the government has recognized how difficult it can be to move on short notice. China's government seems less concerned with the citizens' welfare, what a shock.
@holyender515
@holyender515 2 жыл бұрын
@@stevenglowacki8576 pro tenant laws are terrible in the us. all these people taking advantage of it.
@careswho5466
@careswho5466 2 жыл бұрын
@@stevenglowacki8576 China Government won't let 0.3% of its people die from a controllable disease.
@notstarboard
@notstarboard 2 жыл бұрын
@@holyender515 It goes both ways; some tenants do abuse these laws, but these laws also prevent abuse by landlords. When neither option is perfect, I don't see a problem with erring on the side of helping the people with less power.
@keithadams812
@keithadams812 2 жыл бұрын
That's not true anymore some say the opposite is true... Today there are more stories of potential Chinese wives not marrying somebody because they own one of these empty apartment building that's losing money...
@looppp
@looppp 3 жыл бұрын
As a Chinese person -- yup. My family and all the families I know are obsessed with owning real estate.
@rsjmail
@rsjmail 3 жыл бұрын
But what is the end goal? If the investment property is empty, how do you get your money out? What happens when a huge chunk of the population goes into retirement and there’s nobody to rent these houses? Doesn’t it end up as a black hole for Chinese personal savings?
@matty6848
@matty6848 3 жыл бұрын
@@rsjmail exactly Richard. It’s ends up being a false economy.
@Kuryux
@Kuryux 3 жыл бұрын
@@rsjmail Didn't u watch the video? Its not about getting the money back, its about reputation
@saketpatil1306
@saketpatil1306 3 жыл бұрын
@@rsjmail it's about reputation, I'm indian and it's same here.
@kaiyote3357
@kaiyote3357 3 жыл бұрын
@@matty6848 I think 2000-2008 America knows something about that sort of economy 🤔
@presidenttogekiss635
@presidenttogekiss635 3 жыл бұрын
You know what. As someone who likes Gengis Khan Mausoleons, and doesn´t particularly like people, I´d like to spend some time in that city.
@zinedinezethro9157
@zinedinezethro9157 3 жыл бұрын
China ironically made the best city for us introverts. Idc if it lacks a lot of things, no people, i take.
@sirsurnamethefirstofhisnam7986
@sirsurnamethefirstofhisnam7986 3 жыл бұрын
I like genghis Khan because he was good at getting rid of people
@profilepicture828
@profilepicture828 3 жыл бұрын
@@sirsurnamethefirstofhisnam7986 but tbf the mongols also made a lot of people
@GL-iv4rw
@GL-iv4rw 3 жыл бұрын
YES!!! CHyna is finally going to collapse THIS TIME FOR REAL and I'm so f*ckn excited!! Abd you heard it first here from the one and only Polymatter this channel is historic HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
@ozzitor8
@ozzitor8 3 жыл бұрын
@@GL-iv4rw I don’t understand why the failure of a country it’s exciting to you. That’s psychopathic behavior.
@yasinmahmudchowdhury1412
@yasinmahmudchowdhury1412 3 жыл бұрын
The one child policy has become the slowest and the most painful time bomb for China.
@user-gc1hg9sp9k
@user-gc1hg9sp9k 3 жыл бұрын
they can defuse it by fully automated it's factory or just hire a migrant worker in south east asia
@GL-iv4rw
@GL-iv4rw 3 жыл бұрын
YES!!! CHyna is finally going to collapse THIS TIME FOR REAL and I'm so f*ckn excited!! Abd you heard it first here from the one and only Polymatter this channel is historic HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
@sword7872
@sword7872 3 жыл бұрын
The current birth rate still gives it 15 million newborns per year. At least China should not have the unemployment problems that India has which is a far more serious problem.
@JOMFSE
@JOMFSE 3 жыл бұрын
@@GL-iv4rw yeah bro can’t wait its gonna be so dope
@d0fabur5st82
@d0fabur5st82 3 жыл бұрын
yeah good for them. Lowering their population to improve quality of life
@tonyz3015
@tonyz3015 2 жыл бұрын
There's nothing wrong in China. Everything is fine. The economy is perfect and everyone is happy. This according to the CCP and not to be questioned.
@sirsurnamethefirstofhisnam7986
@sirsurnamethefirstofhisnam7986 2 жыл бұрын
+100 social credit
@nomadvehr827
@nomadvehr827 2 жыл бұрын
Someone got their social credit bumped up.
@quyenluu7883
@quyenluu7883 2 жыл бұрын
Everything is awesome!!
@scottgartshore6992
@scottgartshore6992 2 жыл бұрын
There is no war in ba sing se
@patrickklocek3332
@patrickklocek3332 2 жыл бұрын
Please report the names of anyone showing negativity toward or disbelief in China. Community social workers would like to help them become better informed.
@dannyl3212
@dannyl3212 2 жыл бұрын
Watching Evergrande implode, I thought I'd revisit this video
@109reaper
@109reaper 2 жыл бұрын
They're selling 1.5 billion of stake in Shengjing bank to a state firm
@subhamsubian6677
@subhamsubian6677 2 жыл бұрын
@@109reaper probably indirect bailout
@bm6632a
@bm6632a 2 жыл бұрын
haha yea watching this video for the first time and it seems almost prophetic
@youwouldntclickalinkonyout6236
@youwouldntclickalinkonyout6236 2 жыл бұрын
I was thinking the exact same thing funny how he says we're wrong to think of china as a cardboard box. It is. It's called Tofu Buildings. It literally is made out of Cardboard quality materials.
@yaz0333
@yaz0333 3 жыл бұрын
"The best birth control is the housing price." - Chinese Internauts
@baosha6275
@baosha6275 3 жыл бұрын
a better answer would be the 'living expenditure'. In China, not only the housing price but also some costs like medicare, education costs together with relatively lower wages. China became rich, but the people are not.
@alisonlaw8768
@alisonlaw8768 3 жыл бұрын
And long working hours.
@jacobbai9619
@jacobbai9619 3 жыл бұрын
@@baosha6275 excuse me, I am chinese, and I became rich tho, real rich, and my parents were poor famers xd
@yaz0333
@yaz0333 3 жыл бұрын
@@alisonlaw8768 *UNPAID* overtimes
@user-yc1kg8pq4h
@user-yc1kg8pq4h 3 жыл бұрын
@@jacobbai9619 what can one individual example represent? If there’s a killer in China means all Chinese are killer?
@Monkeyboy707
@Monkeyboy707 3 жыл бұрын
Anyone else already HYPED for the next video
@simulify8726
@simulify8726 3 жыл бұрын
@Spatza what is this?
@hisownfool1
@hisownfool1 3 жыл бұрын
Absolutely! I was stoked when I saw that part 2 was up.
@guacre2675
@guacre2675 3 жыл бұрын
@@simulify8726 it's a bot
@appa609
@appa609 3 жыл бұрын
water wars
@GL-iv4rw
@GL-iv4rw 3 жыл бұрын
YES!!! CHyna is finally going to collapse THIS TIME FOR REAL and I'm so f*ckn excited!! Abd you heard it first here from the one and only Polymatter this channel is historic HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
@Anonymous-vh9tc
@Anonymous-vh9tc 2 жыл бұрын
As someone who grew up in china, I’m extreme impressed by the level of details and accuracy of the information you presented. It in fact helped me put the puzzle together to have a better understanding of china. Mad respect.
@martthesling
@martthesling 2 жыл бұрын
South Park is banned in China...🍯🐻🧸
@cashmininger2503
@cashmininger2503 3 жыл бұрын
My wifes family (Chinese) just bought their 3rd house… just because. My mother in law wanted me to pay too, told her im not paying because im not gonna live there. Needless to say she isnt so happy with me right now 😂. Im happy with my own house
@andrewhdz
@andrewhdz 3 жыл бұрын
It happens in China? Or another country?
@gamingcreatesworlddd2425
@gamingcreatesworlddd2425 2 жыл бұрын
@@cheesemccheese5780 almost everyone in chyna know about vpn and most uses vpn their govt don't care about ban or not
@Rosicrisp
@Rosicrisp 2 жыл бұрын
Sorry bro but I call bull ..does your wife know your username lol are you even married 😂
@shawnli9284
@shawnli9284 2 жыл бұрын
My parents just bought the 8th apartment just China
@jacobdiller8140
@jacobdiller8140 2 жыл бұрын
Your parents just bought me my 69th condo in China
@lynx2
@lynx2 3 жыл бұрын
"China's vacancy rates are through the roof" 9:30 Spain: "Watch and learn 😎"
@boterham7144
@boterham7144 3 жыл бұрын
Your country has made it too good for other Europeans to buy a second home there or go into hiding at the Costa del Sol haha
@boterham7144
@boterham7144 3 жыл бұрын
@Sc0ut Op sorry i am not gonna explain an inside joke :)
@alejandroalvarezvaldivia2964
@alejandroalvarezvaldivia2964 3 жыл бұрын
Classic socilismt polítics.
@lynx2
@lynx2 3 жыл бұрын
@@alejandroalvarezvaldivia2964 I assume you are talking about the socialist party, which ironically hasn't been socialist since a century ago
@Ninjaeule97
@Ninjaeule97 3 жыл бұрын
To be fair a lot of these homes are vacation homes. I would like know how high that number is once you substrate home that are vacant most of the year but not all the time.
@ShusenWang
@ShusenWang 3 жыл бұрын
Housing price in Beijing is higher than SF bay area. But the average monthly income in Beijing is less than $2000. Even if you earn $30000 monthly, you cannot afford a condo in Beijing. It's absurd.
@davidford3115
@davidford3115 3 жыл бұрын
Kind of Sounds like Japan in the 80s before their lost decade. At one time, the land on which the Imperial Palace was on was worth more than the property value of the entire state of California.
@leezhieng
@leezhieng 3 жыл бұрын
You mean inner circle of Beijing? Outer circle isn't that expensive to be honest.
@ShusenWang
@ShusenWang 3 жыл бұрын
@@leezhieng Condos in inner circle of Beijing is $2000 per square foot. Condos in outer are mostly over $1000 per square foot. Single-family houses are insanely expensive.
@billytheweasel
@billytheweasel 3 жыл бұрын
@@ShusenWang square FOOT, not sq meter?
@ShusenWang
@ShusenWang 3 жыл бұрын
@@billytheweasel price per sq meter is $10K ~ $20K
@malvoliosf
@malvoliosf Жыл бұрын
March 2021 (14:42): “A sudden and rapid fall in prices is the worst-case scenario. More than a few experts argue this is far from inevitable, and there are credible reasons to think China is not about to experience another 2008.” August 2022: “Oh, crap.”
@PeterMuskrat6968
@PeterMuskrat6968 Жыл бұрын
Tens of Millions of Chinese are just saying “Fuck yo bullshit ass banks I ain’t paying my mortgage!” The cascade effect has already started hitting the banks and it’s expected to be a 600 Billion USD affair. Oof.
@mylesgray3470
@mylesgray3470 Жыл бұрын
You know, the inventory has been building there for the past decade and it started to seem like it would go on forever, somehow. People would buy unlivable apartments and flip the for massive profits year after year. The party is finally over.
@romanpolanski4928
@romanpolanski4928 Жыл бұрын
This video hasn't aged well, alas. Evergrande is bankrupt and house prices are now declining.
@sulkel
@sulkel 10 ай бұрын
what's the situation like now? Seems to have stabilized
@Wallacenawa
@Wallacenawa 2 жыл бұрын
Watching this again in September as the 'bubble' is bursting..... You do great work PolyMatter, keep it up
@hamslicemcdooogle8080
@hamslicemcdooogle8080 3 жыл бұрын
Demographic collapse was the kidneys, housing crisis is the liver. Part 3 is the heart, which means juicier than part 1 and 2! Also, part 3 yay!
@everythingisfine9988
@everythingisfine9988 3 жыл бұрын
The demographic organ alone is a death blow. Wonder what heart is?
@prasoongupta12
@prasoongupta12 3 жыл бұрын
@@everythingisfine9988 water?
@simulify8726
@simulify8726 3 жыл бұрын
@@everythingisfine9988 Developed countries like Korea, Singapore and Japan now face this demographic crisis
@nicolaijohnsrudbjrnsen5191
@nicolaijohnsrudbjrnsen5191 3 жыл бұрын
@@prasoongupta12 id say a combination of lack of all resources, water and soon maybe even food and production materials if Chinas imports cant keep up after possible political isolation. But thats a guess
@user-gc1hg9sp9k
@user-gc1hg9sp9k 3 жыл бұрын
well demographic collapse can be solve by robot and automation
@olivius8891
@olivius8891 3 жыл бұрын
And on today's episode of "I cannot beleive I am watching this for free". EDIT: I understand I am paying with my personal information and ads.
@theramendutchman
@theramendutchman 3 жыл бұрын
He IS on Nebula, also 😉 But yeah, he pushes out excellent content, it's crazy!
@lumptydumpty6992
@lumptydumpty6992 3 жыл бұрын
KZbin is a fantastic place when the censors aren’t around
@ahsonyousef4636
@ahsonyousef4636 3 жыл бұрын
Everything's free when you're a pirate...
@olivius8891
@olivius8891 3 жыл бұрын
@@ahsonyousef4636 Do what you want because a pirate is free!
@ZetaMoolah
@ZetaMoolah 3 жыл бұрын
When it’s free, *you* are the product.
@sargepent9815
@sargepent9815 2 жыл бұрын
I watched this 6 months ago, and now Chinese developer Evergrand is less than 2 weeks from insolvency. The bubble is about to pop over there in a way that makes the US housing crisis of 2008 look like nothing. Property values will crash and with some people "owning" 2-4 homes the supply of property will far outpace demand.
@mystomachhurt9312
@mystomachhurt9312 2 жыл бұрын
1,5 million people risked losing all of their deposit, jesus christ.
@shinqqing5161
@shinqqing5161 2 жыл бұрын
@@mystomachhurt9312 Deserved. They bought presale homes and doing housing speculations, which is no different than investing in a stock market. They took the risk then they should bear the consequences.
@taoliu3949
@taoliu3949 2 жыл бұрын
@@shinqqing5161 Uh, not all are trying to speculate. Many are purchasing their first homes. And this is NOT like the stock market. People gave their money to Evergrande so evergrande could build them a house. In other words they paid for a service that they are not going to get.
@terracecar1
@terracecar1 2 жыл бұрын
the housing prices are still stable now.😂😭
@denniswatson6622
@denniswatson6622 Жыл бұрын
@@terracecar1 it’s a slow moving car crash. It’s not getting better.
@sourishsaha8067
@sourishsaha8067 3 жыл бұрын
Tesla: Bubble Bitcoin: Bubble pro Us debt: Bubble pro Max China: father of all bubbles
@MrAsianman987
@MrAsianman987 3 жыл бұрын
Lol
@cheesemccheese5780
@cheesemccheese5780 3 жыл бұрын
In the short term Tesla is 100% a bubble but over the long term it isn't.
@sourishsaha8067
@sourishsaha8067 3 жыл бұрын
@@cheesemccheese5780 I agree. but you buy a dozen egg for 2.5$ which is today's price not 10$ which maybe 2030's price of eggs
@nishantaadi
@nishantaadi 3 жыл бұрын
I always say the same
@a0flj0
@a0flj0 3 жыл бұрын
@@cheesemccheese5780 Might very well be, as other manufacturers catch up. Tesla knows about electric cars, but it doesn't have the knowledge and experience about support systems, driving experience, and long time support that established car makers have. Whether Tesla will crumble as electric cars become mainstream depends on how well which manufacturer will be able to leverage its assets. Time will tell.
@petergillett5765
@petergillett5765 3 жыл бұрын
You just can't beat the quality of Polymatter's video on KZbin. I love this channel.
@DyslexicMitochondria
@DyslexicMitochondria 3 жыл бұрын
i know right?
@meneither3834
@meneither3834 3 жыл бұрын
Facts in motion or Kurzgesagt have comparable if not higher level of quality.
@notsoma
@notsoma 3 жыл бұрын
@@meneither3834 Polymater is almost a 1 man show while kurzgesagt is an entire team. Pretty remarkable if you ask me.
@AG-ux9mn
@AG-ux9mn 3 жыл бұрын
@@meneither3834 Their videos are not as interesting anymore.
@meneither3834
@meneither3834 3 жыл бұрын
@@notsoma which leaves facts in motion.
@mustafasahidmahamoud4942
@mustafasahidmahamoud4942 3 жыл бұрын
Wendover Productions: Airplanes Real Life Lore: Toyota Corolla PolyMatter: China
@menassies3224
@menassies3224 3 жыл бұрын
@RoastWorthy I thought that dude was into Norway
@Stxrmbreaker626
@Stxrmbreaker626 3 жыл бұрын
HAI: Bricks
@harunsuaidi7349
@harunsuaidi7349 3 жыл бұрын
Infographic Show: serial killers Kurzgesagt: explosions
@TheKeeperofChaos
@TheKeeperofChaos 3 жыл бұрын
JYNA
@nameirakpambidyananda465
@nameirakpambidyananda465 3 жыл бұрын
Kalashnikov : ak rifles
@theholymagikarp2982
@theholymagikarp2982 Жыл бұрын
Well this aged like wine
@Stephen-gi1rx
@Stephen-gi1rx 2 жыл бұрын
"...one of its develiopers had increased its sales target by 23%." That developer was the Evergrande corporation, which now looks to be on the verge of financial collapse.
@tarunsingh5961
@tarunsingh5961 3 жыл бұрын
Wow now even polymatter starts to give us homework
@MarcinMoka1
@MarcinMoka1 3 жыл бұрын
And yet I like it....
@animewatch4213
@animewatch4213 3 жыл бұрын
Telling you to buy his book.
@franciscoflamenco
@franciscoflamenco 3 жыл бұрын
@@animewatch4213 it's not his.
@ethansmedley3386
@ethansmedley3386 3 жыл бұрын
Homework for hope is a fair trade
@franciscoflamenco
@franciscoflamenco 3 жыл бұрын
@HARRY POTTER AND CURSED CHILD Pretty much all KZbinrs have affiliate links and paid promotions, I don't understand your complaint.
@appa609
@appa609 3 жыл бұрын
a less extreme version of this affects almost every major city in the world. Toronto and Vancouver are full of newly built empty condos owned by foreign investors
@MinecraftMasterNo1
@MinecraftMasterNo1 3 жыл бұрын
Chinese investors* No need to beat around the bush
@mikehawk2610
@mikehawk2610 3 жыл бұрын
Justin Trudeau is completely in bed with Chinese company's and investors, you shouldn't expect any less from him. welcome the new chinadia.
@owenbunny4023
@owenbunny4023 3 жыл бұрын
Really make you think if free market has gone too free
@JonMartinYXD
@JonMartinYXD 3 жыл бұрын
Except the stats don't back that up. Something like 97%+ of Vancouver home sales are to Canadians.
@Slenderman63323
@Slenderman63323 3 жыл бұрын
@@JonMartinYXD "Canadians", AKA chinese who bought their PR, or chinese with Canadian relatives
@LuisRomeroLopez
@LuisRomeroLopez 2 жыл бұрын
September 2021... Amazing how well this video has aged.
@niharoad4483
@niharoad4483 3 жыл бұрын
Same practises are happening in India, where people invest in more than one properties where they don't even live at for a potential higher return for the same house - only if it's sold, otherwise it's money lost!!
@prathamyadav2508
@prathamyadav2508 3 жыл бұрын
But I don't think India suffers the same problem as China. Even though many people buy more than one property, there are no peopleless homes here. People migrate to the urban areas and rent these homes. At least, this is as per my knowledge. I don't know much, please correct me if I'm wrong
@the_fabulous_p14
@the_fabulous_p14 3 жыл бұрын
That percentage in very very small in India. And most people buy only 1 extra flat. Only the ultra rich buy more than 1 extra home
@nikhilkay1
@nikhilkay1 2 жыл бұрын
@@prathamyadav2508 obsession with owning more than one house and earning rent is age old phenomena in south asian house holds where that money could have gone to starting new business and creating employment. This is pretty common in Nepal, I am not sure in India.
@msdos32
@msdos32 3 жыл бұрын
This is like when a Minecraft server of 8 people makes a massive, cool city but it’s empty because there’s nobody occupying anything
@littledovecitydust
@littledovecitydust 3 жыл бұрын
This type of western propaganda has been going on for decades. It's easily debunked by a reality check on the ground. The most frequently used example is the ghost city of Xinzheng. It's now a vibrant city of 6 million residents. There're fundamental differences between how China and the rest of the world works.
@jojispoon3921
@jojispoon3921 3 жыл бұрын
@@littledovecitydust china's just built different
@eurasiaacaci.-110
@eurasiaacaci.-110 3 жыл бұрын
@@littledovecitydust but the source came from the Chinese
@Admiral_Jezza
@Admiral_Jezza 3 жыл бұрын
@@littledovecitydust "western propaganda" *Proceeds to believe Chinese propaganda*
@ArawnOfAnnwn
@ArawnOfAnnwn 3 жыл бұрын
@@Admiral_Jezza "Proceeds to believe Chinese propaganda" - #citationneeded. Source? Or did you just magically read his mind?
@Ikbeneengeit
@Ikbeneengeit 3 жыл бұрын
12:43 anyone else impressed by the old Chinese men casually doing chin-ups and flips?
@Kryojenix
@Kryojenix 3 жыл бұрын
Yes - I bet Xi Jinping can't do that!
@peterbeyer5755
@peterbeyer5755 3 жыл бұрын
They are actually Chinese Olympic gymnasts pretending to be old men, nothing in China is what it seems....
@Kryojenix
@Kryojenix 3 жыл бұрын
@@peterbeyer5755 Chinese Olympic gymnasts are usually 6-8 years old though ...
@evelynfarfellwooosh1219
@evelynfarfellwooosh1219 3 жыл бұрын
@@peterbeyer5755 The hell you talking about? They’re clearly old yet active, are you saying that any old looking people that are doing exercise are gymnast pretending to be old?
@yade5979
@yade5979 3 жыл бұрын
@@evelynfarfellwooosh1219 You clearly didnt get the joke.
@JankieHands
@JankieHands 2 жыл бұрын
as a sino-spaniard, seeing the vacancy rate of spain at almost 30% made me grin. we beraly can afford rent and we cant afford a house with 30% empty houses. 2008 hit us like a truck with coicidentally the house market crash of usa and spain at the same time. leaving me paying my parentss house that we bought pre 2008. i can beraly pay it and will leave me without house for me. Im always surprised seeing chinese family buying homes after 2008, most of my family members knows about the 2008 bubble crash but they keep investing in them. anyway, be ready for the next market crash, it will affect it globally
@tijldeclerck7772
@tijldeclerck7772 2 жыл бұрын
Is this vacancy rate because of foreigners using it as a summer house?
@justforrow
@justforrow 10 ай бұрын
It's never gonna happen, China will live on no matter what
@crazydragy4233
@crazydragy4233 8 ай бұрын
​@@tijldeclerck7772 Probably like most places it also struggles with developers buying up places to perpetually rent them and jacking up prices even if nobody buys in to maintain perceived value. That and turning stuff into hotels n shit
@Marcus.Halberstram
@Marcus.Halberstram 2 жыл бұрын
Came to discuss evergrande, blown away by those old men on the bars at 12:44. I really have to start working out.
@ItsJoKeZ
@ItsJoKeZ 3 жыл бұрын
I've sat for hours unable to do a project I'm getting paid for but clicked this video faster than my mind was capable of recognizing
@alexfraser88
@alexfraser88 3 жыл бұрын
Very natural
@user-my6yf1st8z
@user-my6yf1st8z 3 жыл бұрын
The world is deterministic. Your whole life led you to that moment.
@Squang.
@Squang. 3 жыл бұрын
For real. Please tell me to get my work done!
@marcusp9288
@marcusp9288 3 жыл бұрын
@@Squang. get you work done quang do you want to wash dishes forever
@Squang.
@Squang. 3 жыл бұрын
@@marcusp9288 mariners? Seattle gang!
@herman3725
@herman3725 3 жыл бұрын
I went too Ordos at the end of 2019. Really cool experience. Weird being in a huge mall filled with nothing but sleeping employees
@billytheweasel
@billytheweasel 3 жыл бұрын
They were prepping for covid....
@dantearaujo9703
@dantearaujo9703 2 жыл бұрын
6 months later, here we are seeing all this Evergrande problem... Wow.
@isheekashadiza9111
@isheekashadiza9111 2 жыл бұрын
Wow, saw this earlier. Now watching again after Evergrande meltdown
@edricklawrenceong7776
@edricklawrenceong7776 3 жыл бұрын
Can Confirm. My grandparents live in China, and they rent a 150 sq.m (1600 sq. ft) 3bd. 2ba. apartment in a small town of a few hundred thousand people in Fujian. If they were to have bought the apartment outright, it would've cost the equivalent of about USD180,000; meanwhile, their monthly rent is only $250. That's a Price to Rent Ratio of 60, and prices are still skyrocketing while rents have barely moved; for context, a Price to Rent of 21 and above means that it's cheaper to rent than to own, under 15 means it's cheaper to own than to rent, and 15-20 means it's about the same. From a financial perspective, it makes no sense to buy a home in China.
@patrickblanchette4337
@patrickblanchette4337 3 жыл бұрын
It really puts things in perspective when you realize a city with hundreds of thousands of people is considered just a small town in China (Meanwhile I live in Lake City, the biggest settlement in Columbia County, FL, and we only have 12,000🤣!).
@Idontwantahandle6669
@Idontwantahandle6669 3 жыл бұрын
$180,000 isn't bad. You should how much apartments cost in Canada. $400,000 for a unit the same size as your parents.
@edricklawrenceong7776
@edricklawrenceong7776 3 жыл бұрын
@@Idontwantahandle6669 I should put into context though that this $180k for a 150 sq. m. 3bd. 2ba. is in Anhai Township in Fujian Province, a small, relatively rural town in a not too wealthy province. It's the equivalent of some rural town of 5-10 thousand people in Manitoba. An apartment similar to theirs in a city like Beijing or Shanghai will easily cost over a million USD, $750,000 for a 90 sq. m. apartment in Shanghai is not uncommon. I do agree though that the Canadian governments need to do something about their housing crisis in their cities or else they'll end up in a similar situation as China is in.
@aaronsuitor768
@aaronsuitor768 3 жыл бұрын
@@Idontwantahandle6669 Those are rookie numbers in these parts. Gotta get those numbers up
@feelingveryattackedrn5750
@feelingveryattackedrn5750 3 жыл бұрын
So would it be right to say that initiatives like these (which allow for extremely low rent costs but extremely high purchase costs) alleviate homelessness but reinforce class divides? Im trying to get a good sense on why the CCP isnt immediately concerned with the ability for people to purchase homes outright. If its the case that china has virtually eliminated homelessness and thus homes are viewed as strictly a luxury good then that would help explain it. Also can you tell me more about what it means to own a home in china? I know that the government is fairly involved in stuff like that so is owning a home similar to how it is in the US/west or does it look different? Lastly can you tell me how much of their income each month is used for rent relative to food and relative to other expenses/saving? Sorry to ask so much of you in a youtube comment section lmao.
@therealchristian1
@therealchristian1 3 жыл бұрын
As for the extreme lengths people are going to to buy property, in some cities there’s a limit on how much property a couple can own, so some people get legally divorced so that they can buy more property together
@fakecubed
@fakecubed 3 жыл бұрын
Corruption and disregard for the law among the general populace are also big indicators of a collapse coming.
@therealchristian1
@therealchristian1 3 жыл бұрын
@@fakecubed actually that’s a bit of a complicated subject. China has always operated in a legal gray area. There is a law against pretty much anything but they very rarely enforce it unless it benefits them. It also lets them essentially clamp down on anything at any time. So that means that if you were to follow every single one, really do anything, so people generally ignore a law unless it is being clamped down on at that certain point in time.
@m2heavyindustries378
@m2heavyindustries378 3 жыл бұрын
@@fakecubed Tell that to the americans lol
@michaelhilliard2370
@michaelhilliard2370 3 жыл бұрын
Some areas have started clamping down on the practice: www.sixthtone.com/news/1006909/china-finds-a-culprit-for-runaway-house-prices-divorcing-couples
@cosmosben6726
@cosmosben6726 3 жыл бұрын
@@therealchristian1 Can't agree more, Are you chinese? Your comments are very insightful.
@BBDoesTheThing
@BBDoesTheThing 3 жыл бұрын
Can you do a reckoning video on each country?
@cakeisyummy5755
@cakeisyummy5755 3 жыл бұрын
Spain's reckoning/Greece's Reckoning/Italy's Reckoning would Be like...... 10 Hours long.
@guacre2675
@guacre2675 3 жыл бұрын
Why? 1) Nobody is suffering this like China is and 2) this is the China Channel
@BBDoesTheThing
@BBDoesTheThing 3 жыл бұрын
@@guacre2675 you are being silly or butt hurt over something. Of course they can create a new channel on this idea and of course other countries problems can be just as enlightening when broken down. I'm going to need you to get way off my back...
@SuperBlackHurricane
@SuperBlackHurricane 2 жыл бұрын
this aged like a fine wine!
@moosegoose1282
@moosegoose1282 3 жыл бұрын
“Appear weak when you’re strong, and strong when you’re weak.
@randomlygeneratedname7171
@randomlygeneratedname7171 3 жыл бұрын
Why appear weak when strong, is it asking for war?
@moosegoose1282
@moosegoose1282 3 жыл бұрын
@@randomlygeneratedname7171 your opponent under estimate you
@MrArthoz
@MrArthoz 3 жыл бұрын
Just don't take it too far that one would even fool themselves instead of their opponents like the fall of the Soviet Union.
@cryptobuzz1680
@cryptobuzz1680 3 жыл бұрын
Sun tzu
@dorottagati6883
@dorottagati6883 3 жыл бұрын
Very strange statement if you take a look to china's story ahahah
@sushi294
@sushi294 3 жыл бұрын
Incredibly accurate video. I tried so hard to convince my parents to not buy their THIRD home in china especially since we all live overseas and hardly go back, but it’s so embedded in their heads that they sold one of their retail stores to pay the down payment for the apartment... This was late 2019, the apartment already lost 10% of it’s value coz of covid, meanwhile I invested in Sasol last match and got 500% returns...
@MinecraftMasterNo1
@MinecraftMasterNo1 3 жыл бұрын
Idk man, yeah the real estate was bad but holding onto retail isn't exactly smart either. The world's already hooked on e-commerce. No need to be stuck in the past.
@jonathandewberry289
@jonathandewberry289 3 жыл бұрын
This is a real issue - the utterly entrenched need, desire, belief, that unbreakable feeling they need to buy as many houses as possible. They cannot stop themselves. I see this with nearly every Mainland Chinese who is around 40+ years old to around 65 years and its just an unbreakable addiction-like thinking no matter what. On the bright side, I have noticed more younger people like yourself are far more skeptical, open-minded, are not intensely ram-rod minded about this idea.
@GL-iv4rw
@GL-iv4rw 3 жыл бұрын
YES!!! CHyna is finally going to collapse THIS TIME FOR REAL and I'm so f*ckn excited!! Abd you heard it first here from the one and only Polymatter this channel is historic HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
@Harry_S._
@Harry_S._ 3 жыл бұрын
This is so stupid, what do they hope to achieve? Do they even rent the second house? I mean... wtf
@kenh758
@kenh758 3 жыл бұрын
Your parents should heed your western guardian’s advice and pool their retirement monies into crypto.
@miragelee9754
@miragelee9754 Жыл бұрын
Erm Poly, you might wanna cover the latest Chinese Crisis, which is about this, the Mortgage Crisis.
@ryanthompson2893
@ryanthompson2893 2 жыл бұрын
So, let me get this straight, if prices go up, they’re screwed, and if they go down, they’re screwed. So in other words they’re damned if they do, damned if they don’t? Am I missing something here or not?
@bobs_toys
@bobs_toys 2 жыл бұрын
No, that's pretty much it. It's incredibly overvalued and has received insanely heavy investment because people think it's (government) guaranteed to rise more. If it goes up, you get more problems (affordability and even more overvalued) When it goes down, you'll get a combination of panic spurring more sales and people who might have purchased holding off until they get a better deal. Which in turn means that masses of people are left with something that took their life savings that's not worth what they paid for it, and a huge portion of the economy suddenly gone to nothing because why would you build more houses when prices are crashing? All of which impacts the rest of the economy. Like with the one child policy, this is a problem they've allowed to get so massive the only real solution involves time travel.
@nzho013
@nzho013 3 жыл бұрын
Agree with the video mostly. but I find it strange that you leave out one of the most crucial factor why house price is so high. IT COST NOTHING to maintain the house. China has no property tax. Means there is literally no cost to maintain such large amount of properties. The government once they levy tax on property especially on the non-first property. I suspect the price will drop drastically, due to then it will cost significant amount of money to maintain these extra properties. But since the population has grown accustomed to no property tax. It might have huge backlash. But it is something the Government will HAVE to do if they want to contain this and have sustainable tax income. The fact is the average joes of China pays almost no tax and that creates a problem for the country in the long run.
@Acid31337
@Acid31337 3 жыл бұрын
Also there is nothing about rent. What does chinesse do with all these bought 0-tax property? Is there some forces to keep property empty instead of lending, returning it to supply side? If these additinal bought properties are really empty, property tax or other wise policies will increase supply in market by literally many dozens times. All these additional properties is just deffered supply time bomb.
@stevenglowacki8576
@stevenglowacki8576 2 жыл бұрын
Land in China is technically leased from the government for a very long term, with the "rent" paid up front - that's what the land sales basically are. At the end of the lease term you theoretically would have to renew the lease from the government, and they can probably ask quite a lot based on value, but the question is whether anyone will actually be able to pay the price that's required to maintain the solvency of the local governments. Having people pay the taxes/rent from the government every year makes a whole lot more sense in financial planning for civic expenditures. And of course, the leases have to time out, which might take a while...
@nzho013
@nzho013 2 жыл бұрын
@@stevenglowacki8576 Do you know renew lease almost cost nothing for residential area? Government has specifically said private non commercial will just be rolled over with minor fees paid kind of like license fee renewal
@stevenglowacki8576
@stevenglowacki8576 2 жыл бұрын
@@nzho013 Thank you for that information. I was only familiar with the general system, having researched it for a school project several years ago (which was actually on a totally different topic, but understanding China's land policy was integral to one of my major points).
@azmodanpc
@azmodanpc 2 жыл бұрын
Some forms of property taxes are being discussed. And with the catastrophic collapse of Evergrande, maybe they'll be needed, since provinces won't have the chance to raise money from "leasing" land.
@InspectHistory
@InspectHistory 3 жыл бұрын
I wonder what if Polymatter talk about China Military
@Tom531Cat
@Tom531Cat 3 жыл бұрын
I’m curious how Polymatter would get info on China’s military. I’ve watched a couple foreign creators on China and I have some suspicious of their capabilities.
@ianlopez5108
@ianlopez5108 3 жыл бұрын
@Spatza what does that have to do with anything
@magnusunderwood4050
@magnusunderwood4050 3 жыл бұрын
[Redacted]
@conmara6492
@conmara6492 3 жыл бұрын
@@ianlopez5108 they're baiting
@Tom531Cat
@Tom531Cat 3 жыл бұрын
@@JohnKuang-rf6fb I hope they are as unbiased as they can be... I’ll add this link here separately to you. Edit: KZbin tends to eat certain links but I’m just looking at this scam. I’m sure China has upgraded their military but I’m also wondering if they didn’t plan for sustainable of their military. The semiconductor scam is why I’m wondering it more.
@manojanton-rajkumar6923
@manojanton-rajkumar6923 Жыл бұрын
Well, this aged well
@HectaSpyrit
@HectaSpyrit 2 жыл бұрын
I just want to mention how incredibly effective and compelling the introduction is at painting this unsettling and eerie picure of a city where the only thing that seems to be missing are the people it was built for. It exposes the disturbing dissonance quite well in my opinion, and almost sounds like the beginning of a chilling mystery novel.
@codyfan7161
@codyfan7161 3 жыл бұрын
This is true. I have relatives in China, and real estate is def a thing. It is scary how much about China Polymatter gets correct.
@GL-iv4rw
@GL-iv4rw 3 жыл бұрын
YES!!! CHyna is finally going to collapse THIS TIME FOR REAL and I'm so f*ckn excited!! Abd you heard it first here from the one and only Polymatter this channel is historic HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
@iankellymorris
@iankellymorris 3 жыл бұрын
@@GL-iv4rw Well that's pretty fucking crass.
@Slenderman63323
@Slenderman63323 3 жыл бұрын
@@GL-iv4rw Why would you want a country as big as China to collapse, you know that's gonna have destabilizing effects for the whole world right?
@codyfan7161
@codyfan7161 3 жыл бұрын
@@GL-iv4rw not sure if China is going to collapse. I also do not think that it would be good for the world if China collapses.
@codyfan7161
@codyfan7161 3 жыл бұрын
@@SnowyButterfly1 I agree. This is one of the reasons why I will never move back to China, but I am willing to visit relatives there. I am an ardent opponent of censorship.
@LoudRevised
@LoudRevised 3 жыл бұрын
When people buy houses that they’ll never live in so housing prices are higher than they should be, causing financial problems for poorer families looking to buy.
@robertjonker8131
@robertjonker8131 3 жыл бұрын
I dont know how chinese houses are financed but wont that eventually lead to massive depreciating of housing prices which would cause morgages to go underwater? Kinda like 2008 crisis?
@LoudRevised
@LoudRevised 3 жыл бұрын
Yeah but unlike what happened in America, I don’t think their getting loans which they can’t afford from the bank.
@891delta
@891delta 3 жыл бұрын
Their loans are much more secured than those leading up to the 2008 mortgage crisis
@DavidGravesExists
@DavidGravesExists 3 жыл бұрын
@@robertjonker8131 It's already starting to happen. A friend of mine there is panic-selling two of their houses in their hometown and trying to buy a house in Canada, instead.
@KRYMauL
@KRYMauL 3 жыл бұрын
Guys these houses are built to gather wealth for the family, so there is no poor people. I think the state lease model of Japan works quite well for Asian countries because if you let them Asian families will buy a bunch of houses and just live off the passive income.
@pancakesbf2704
@pancakesbf2704 2 жыл бұрын
I respect that you make the sponsorship short. Gets you the money but still engages the audience
@PeterMuskrat6968
@PeterMuskrat6968 Жыл бұрын
So… it’s been a year. Tens of millions of Chinese citizens are refusing to pay their mortgages and the number is rising every week. The expected fallout is 600 billion USD. Oof.
@BeeepBo0op
@BeeepBo0op 3 жыл бұрын
I would just like to thank you for being one of the only channels on KZbin to give China the coverage it deserves. I find the country deeply fascinating, and the influence of China is undeniable given its population and economy, but it is strangely difficult to find coverage of it that delves into the complexities of the country; that's why I love that whenever I come to your channel I know I'm about to learn about something truly interesting in a way that tries to unpack the nuance and complexities that shape China and its role in the world. Keep up the good work, both when it comes to China coverage, and all the other things you bring up!
@MinecraftMasterNo1
@MinecraftMasterNo1 3 жыл бұрын
A little hard to cover something when the authoritarian regime running it keeps a tight lid on everything, no?
@GL-iv4rw
@GL-iv4rw 3 жыл бұрын
YES!!! CHyna is finally going to collapse THIS TIME FOR REAL and I'm so f*ckn excited!! Abd you heard it first here from the one and only Polymatter this channel is historic HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
@nmslesecnmbese917
@nmslesecnmbese917 3 жыл бұрын
@@GL-iv4rw yes and taiwan will be forcibly reunited today...again😂
@c.santibanezsoto
@c.santibanezsoto 3 жыл бұрын
@@nmslesecnmbese917 I have a better one: Taiwan will declare its independence from China LOL
@freeman10000
@freeman10000 3 жыл бұрын
@@c.santibanezsoto Taiwan is already independent from China.
@pasaniucdaniel4112
@pasaniucdaniel4112 3 жыл бұрын
I could imagine China imposing a "you can have as many children as you have homes"
@tranxe
@tranxe 3 жыл бұрын
It should be the other way - you can have as many homes as you have children. haha
@ken23800
@ken23800 2 жыл бұрын
This aged well
@salvadorhenriquez4091
@salvadorhenriquez4091 2 жыл бұрын
@@ken23800 yeah, but, unfortunately it won't work
@yuluoxianjun
@yuluoxianjun 2 жыл бұрын
wow,i have no home,so i may have no child,lol,i have no girlfriend ,either
@Gogeta-by6lu
@Gogeta-by6lu 2 жыл бұрын
@@yuluoxianjun You have no problems lol
@Miooni
@Miooni Жыл бұрын
Coming back to watch this video and see how accurate this video is, is just astonishing
@MegaBlueShit
@MegaBlueShit 2 жыл бұрын
There is no way this housing bubble won't burst eventually. Supply far outweighs demand, and it will only get worse. 30-40 years of income for housing lol... And then one hasn't even taken into account the general shitty quality of these buildings.
@obsessedbrian
@obsessedbrian 2 жыл бұрын
Not all bubbles need to pop violently. It could also just be a slow drag on the economy for decades, depending on how the government handles deleveraging.
@taoliu3949
@taoliu3949 2 жыл бұрын
@@obsessedbrian That's true, but the bigger the bubble the more difficult it is to handle. China's housing bubble is the worst of all housing bubbles seen in the modern world. The PRC has been trying to cool the bubble for at least a decade and has largely failed.
@kgw72
@kgw72 3 жыл бұрын
"An ageing population and housing problem" Spain: *sweats profusely*
@aaroncabatingan5238
@aaroncabatingan5238 2 жыл бұрын
Spain doesn't contain a massive amount of the world's factories and trying to expand their military. Plus, they're also a part of the EU.
@lzh4950
@lzh4950 2 жыл бұрын
Heard quite a number of Chinese investors have bought Spanish property too after its market collapse
@dariomladenovski6481
@dariomladenovski6481 2 жыл бұрын
@@aaroncabatingan5238 Spain also doesn't have 1.4 billion people
@janplays4019
@janplays4019 3 жыл бұрын
if homeownership in America meant marriage, half the country be single
@KRYMauL
@KRYMauL 3 жыл бұрын
Do you want to go back to 1950s US?
@bobfty2680
@bobfty2680 3 жыл бұрын
@Satsang Patel Isnt it already? I seen so many single guys compete for girls.
@collingillan9411
@collingillan9411 3 жыл бұрын
And the other half would be Mormon lol
@davidford3115
@davidford3115 3 жыл бұрын
@@bobfty2680 The irony is that many American men are seeking foreign women. And that is being driven by cultural aspects that have been incubating since the 1980s.
@fakecubed
@fakecubed 3 жыл бұрын
@@KRYMauL Unironically yes.
@professorhanzo668
@professorhanzo668 2 жыл бұрын
Welp, you somehow predicted the Evergrande collapse.
@honchohuze169
@honchohuze169 3 жыл бұрын
Evan, I just found your channel and I really appreciate your perspectives on these world issues. Thank you for taking the time to put these videos together. Keep up the awesome work man!
@johannzimerle2746
@johannzimerle2746 3 жыл бұрын
What about house? You've already had it. We've had one, yes. But what about second house?
@minisaiju7699
@minisaiju7699 3 жыл бұрын
HAI: Bad jokes Wendover: Airplanes Polymatter: China
@florian9540
@florian9540 3 жыл бұрын
All the same man kappa
@Pyth110
@Pyth110 3 жыл бұрын
This comment is on every video made by all 3 channels. Try something new.
@alejandro6070
@alejandro6070 3 жыл бұрын
I need one for trains :(
@shrin210
@shrin210 3 жыл бұрын
What is HAI
@believe88
@believe88 3 жыл бұрын
unsub from wendover, too boring
@gfscfury21
@gfscfury21 2 жыл бұрын
You make awesome content. I only recently came across this channel but, none-the-less, appreciate every single upload. Keep making great videos!
@RitchyWolf
@RitchyWolf 2 жыл бұрын
Is no one going to mention how dope it is that this old man is attempting and gymnastics muscle up? 12:45
@Sundara229
@Sundara229 2 жыл бұрын
I was looking for this comment. Yeah, the dude is quite inspiring.
@zeanamush
@zeanamush 3 жыл бұрын
Bubbles really only pop when the first person goes to sell and can't. Housing is viewed as safe and stable. So why would the Pandemic take it down? The problem will only come when someone who needs cash in order to retire tries to sell a property and suddenly can't find a buyer.
@fromfareast3070
@fromfareast3070 3 жыл бұрын
@Tmb1112 soon? how soon is soon? like 20 years?
@lsd310
@lsd310 3 жыл бұрын
@Tmb1112 not really though, Taiwan,south korea is having a population decline and yet it's real estate price just keeps going up.
@zandaroos553
@zandaroos553 3 жыл бұрын
@@lsd310 Idk about Taiwan but I know SK’s growth has mostly been driven by foreign buyers and declining interest rates adjusting the lease conversion rate
@sierrrrrrrra
@sierrrrrrrra 3 жыл бұрын
12:45 HOLD UP, this dude is like 40 years older than I am and I definitely cannot do whatever he just did
@meneither3834
@meneither3834 3 жыл бұрын
Well it looks like it's time for you to go to the gym then.
@sierrrrrrrra
@sierrrrrrrra 3 жыл бұрын
@@meneither3834 LOL I am extremely overdue for a visit to the gym
@JoaoBarbosa1996
@JoaoBarbosa1996 3 жыл бұрын
Polymater: "china is growing old and dying" that dude: "who the fuck are you calling old?"
@qibinchen621
@qibinchen621 3 жыл бұрын
Watch carefully what the guy on the left did after seeing that
@Wheezr
@Wheezr 3 жыл бұрын
Chris Heria possesses old man in China
@blankblank1949
@blankblank1949 2 жыл бұрын
Their housing bubble will make US or Japan housing bubble looks small in comparison
@carl___________
@carl___________ 3 жыл бұрын
Woah, what a video! The quality, information, presentation! Absolutely spectacular!
@MrDeaz
@MrDeaz 3 жыл бұрын
"Income tax can be as high as 40%" So.. Just like in the west?
@dumbr457
@dumbr457 3 жыл бұрын
But unlike the west, you don't truly own this property. You only lease it from the CCP for 70 years with an option to renew.
@vlad981
@vlad981 3 жыл бұрын
@Pui Yue 90%?) What is this country?
@vlad981
@vlad981 3 жыл бұрын
@Pui Yue The fact this is not true. There is no country in Europe with 90% income tax.
@sumonechan8514
@sumonechan8514 3 жыл бұрын
@@vlad981 United State...but in 1951 haha
@vlad981
@vlad981 3 жыл бұрын
​@Pui Yue It doesn't matter. You still didn't name the country with 90% income tax rate. Taxing rates are not some secret info - it's official policy than you can find on government site. If you believe in some bullshit info from "cool youtubers" - it's your problem, not mine) I don't need to go to a lawyer to know such type of data.
@theyetiofchillmountain
@theyetiofchillmountain 3 жыл бұрын
16:02 "an illness need not be fatal to cause significant harm" is something some people need to realize about the current pandemic.
@Orlunu
@Orlunu 3 жыл бұрын
This one does very significant harm without even being caught )))
@DigSamurai
@DigSamurai 3 жыл бұрын
well-researched as always, I love your analytical mind and your interesting, if quirky, narrative cadence.
@DeanReading
@DeanReading 2 жыл бұрын
This video has aged well
@rutoramanwu1351
@rutoramanwu1351 3 жыл бұрын
U do understand china economy, well better than many investment bank analysts. Well done
@therlegacy
@therlegacy 2 жыл бұрын
Agreed, but then IB analysts doesn't care about economics
@Serpolinidate
@Serpolinidate 3 жыл бұрын
I'm a long-time follower and, in my modest opinion, you've grown to become the best quality content producer. Apart from the interesting topics and your strong analytical spirit (whatever the final result maybe), your infographics also are extremely well thought!
@EduardQualls
@EduardQualls Жыл бұрын
@14:55 "there are credible reasons to expect that China [sic] is not about to experience another 2008" *2022, zero-tolerance and the bank runs: **_"Hold my beer!"_*
@jzhou2106
@jzhou2106 2 жыл бұрын
As an Ivy-league doctoral graduate, associate director at a global company, in my 30s, I am moving permanently to another country sadly because I cannot afford a condo in Shanghai, where I work. Not that I need a home to get married, renting alone is suffering. Your kids cannot go to public schools in most cases if you are not a local home owner, which is another reason that the people are forced to buy high-priced homes.
@staminadaddy
@staminadaddy 2 жыл бұрын
Go to Singapore, or the West
@kirawr8064
@kirawr8064 3 жыл бұрын
i was looking forward to this
@ayaanshsolanki3578
@ayaanshsolanki3578 3 жыл бұрын
Why
@ProtiumPower
@ProtiumPower 3 жыл бұрын
Me too after first part.
@ProtiumPower
@ProtiumPower 3 жыл бұрын
@@ayaanshsolanki3578 See first part
@sierrrrrrrra
@sierrrrrrrra 3 жыл бұрын
Me too!!!! :)
@Walt2323
@Walt2323 3 жыл бұрын
@Spatza dad didn’t love you or something?
@andrewmendoza116
@andrewmendoza116 3 жыл бұрын
12:52 them seniors can do more than me 😭
@mal3xia
@mal3xia 3 жыл бұрын
I had to rewatch that segment. Thats really impressive.
@andrewmendoza116
@andrewmendoza116 3 жыл бұрын
@@mal3xia literally same i was like no way thats real 😂
@leonardo03231315
@leonardo03231315 3 жыл бұрын
Amazing content , can’t believe this is the first video I am seeing if yours
@swndrummer
@swndrummer 3 жыл бұрын
watched the full ads :) Thanks for the great content!
@funny-video-YouTube-channel
@funny-video-YouTube-channel 3 жыл бұрын
China home ownership is mostly 99 year LEASES. Government keeps the property after the 99 years.
@LeonXLIU
@LeonXLIU 3 жыл бұрын
That’s not true. The real fact is government owns the land where your apartments sit on. And the lease of the land is 99 years. In practice, this means if your apartments have not been damaged, you can pay a fee to extend the lease of the lands, or move your apartments somewhere else, or government buys your apartment so you can buy a new one at other place where new land lease is available. In any case, government does not own the apartments, only the land.
@sumonechan8514
@sumonechan8514 3 жыл бұрын
That's not true at all. After 70 years the occupiers pay rental fee every year to the government to extend the lease.
@johnames6430
@johnames6430 3 жыл бұрын
@@sumonechan8514 in the USA we have high property taxes, so you don't really own anything the USA either, it's a joke.
@billytheweasel
@billytheweasel 3 жыл бұрын
@@sumonechan8514 The rent amount is deiced by the government, or contract??? Who would enforce and judge the contract? Who guarantees the right to rent it... the Chinese government? Do you trust the Chinese government?
@sumonechan8514
@sumonechan8514 3 жыл бұрын
​@@billytheweasel You are just making a straw man's argument at this point. If the Chinese government can do whatever they want without facing any consequences like you hinted, then they DON'T have to wait for 70 years. They can just take over all the houses right now and no one will be buying or own another any property because these will be worthless. Did any of these happen in reality? Heck, the OPPOSITE is happening in reality. It's apparent that people don't think it's that much of a concern.
@manuelcunharocha8889
@manuelcunharocha8889 3 жыл бұрын
"Anyone who's taken macroeconomics 101..." Hearing this right after a macro exam😖
@arvinmathew6684
@arvinmathew6684 3 жыл бұрын
Jesus Christ is returning soon. Repent (turn around from your ungodly ways) and believe the Gospel. For God so loved the world that he gave his one and only Son, that whoever believes in him shall not perish but have eternal life. John 3:16
@aspirin1284
@aspirin1284 3 жыл бұрын
@Make America Great Again why do you put Chinese flag pattern in American in map?
@potatofuryy
@potatofuryy 3 жыл бұрын
@Make America Great Again I would recommend a social democracy over communist dictatorship but ok.
@rafimuhammadzakaria482
@rafimuhammadzakaria482 3 жыл бұрын
@Make America Great Again CCP Shill
@cakeisyummy5755
@cakeisyummy5755 3 жыл бұрын
@Make America Great Again So you're not Ethnically Chinese?
@niclash
@niclash 3 жыл бұрын
"Who lives in them?" --> When I was looking for somewhere to rent in Shanghai, a very large percentage of the landlords that I met, were rather poor. They couldn't afford to live in the properties that they owned. So, I think the "larger" answer to the question is not "they are empty" (in Shanghai that is not that common), but one of "turtles all the way down", meaning many owns a property and rent it out and also rent (cheaper) from someone else. I also came across families where parents own a unit for rent, and the adult son/daughter owned another unit, yet all 3 living in a smaller place together, and variations on that. Out of the 50-60 units I visited (at 3 different years), only a very small number (~5-8) were rented out by people who were not poor. My first rental was from a wealthy guy and a great landlord as my rent didn't define his wealth. The second one, was from a woman with a good job who just got married and both she and her husband owned a unit before they met.
@taoliu3949
@taoliu3949 3 жыл бұрын
Purchasing houses and living in a smaller worse house isn't an issue. The issue is if the unit goes unoccupied or gets rented for less than what is necessary to cover its costs, because then you're looking at possible speculation and a bubble that may burst.
@niclash
@niclash 3 жыл бұрын
@@taoliu3949 That is correct for the overall market, but in Shanghai 2010-2017 that wasn't the case. I was only commenting on "how can a vast majority of people buy property, yet exist a rental market for a second (third) purchase?"
@ericmanget4280
@ericmanget4280 3 жыл бұрын
@@niclash Shanghai is a terrible example though, it's literally China's biggest city.
@lamentate07
@lamentate07 Жыл бұрын
It's true. Rentals in China are quite low, and home ownership is so high that there is currently no need for most to rent. In cities like Shanghai, many properties are owned by the older generations who are often asset rich and cash poor.
@DeputyCartman100
@DeputyCartman100 3 жыл бұрын
3:25 "The vast majority of which have no intention of ever moving in." Oh hey, just like here in Manhattan!
@WanneSomeSoup
@WanneSomeSoup 3 жыл бұрын
As Chinese myself, I would say this is the most accurate and unbiased (like all your videos) diagnosis of the problem on KZbin. The "two sessions" national meetings just ended last week and had two major topics. One is renewable energy, the other one is to deleverage the economy and control the housing problem. Let's hope their plan works.
@ddjohnson9717
@ddjohnson9717 3 жыл бұрын
yeah. fresh to see a video taht at least did dome research instead of saying "china bad" like china uncensored. Bunch of c**ts they are.
@aaroncampf
@aaroncampf 3 жыл бұрын
But KZbin in banned in China?!
@ddjohnson9717
@ddjohnson9717 3 жыл бұрын
@@aaroncampf bruh its 2021. keep up with the time
@yusenye3075
@yusenye3075 3 жыл бұрын
I agree, many exciting reforms are coming, and I am also interested to see how the huge post COVID stimulus package in the next 5 years will change these problems.
@timfirst3536
@timfirst3536 3 жыл бұрын
I appreciate you sharing your genuine thoughts as a Chinese citizen. You are a fellow human being and I wish you the very best.
@quasarsavage
@quasarsavage 3 жыл бұрын
20 yr old westerner: stonks 20 yr old Chinese: monopoly another house lol
@infintecatvids8860
@infintecatvids8860 3 жыл бұрын
GAMESTONKS
@UnipornFrumm
@UnipornFrumm 3 жыл бұрын
yolo lets buy all the houses
@leezhieng
@leezhieng 3 жыл бұрын
30 year old westerner cant even save any money meanwhile 30 year old chinese myself making $8000 per month from my other houses
@danshakuimo
@danshakuimo 3 жыл бұрын
As a Chinese American, even Chinese here (and ones not from the Mainland) people still love their real estate. It's like stocks but less likely to crash than stocks.
@futavadumnezo
@futavadumnezo 3 жыл бұрын
@@danshakuimo "less likely" lol the 2008 crash wants a word with you.
@lucasrodriguezschwarzenber3127
@lucasrodriguezschwarzenber3127 Жыл бұрын
Watching this more than a year later. The "growth" data about Evergrande was an unexpected, but really funny punchline 🤣
@BharadwajGiridhar
@BharadwajGiridhar 2 жыл бұрын
he Evergrande Group, China's second largest property developer, informed the country's ministry of housing that it would not be able to issue payments on its loan interest by a September 20 deadline, Bloomberg reported, drawing greater concern over the company's cash problems.
@_spartan11796
@_spartan11796 3 жыл бұрын
I was looking forward to this.
@Listenimtooshyalright
@Listenimtooshyalright 3 жыл бұрын
me tooo
@kawosdhdos
@kawosdhdos 3 жыл бұрын
The comment below u said the exact same thing
@101penguinss101
@101penguinss101 3 жыл бұрын
Do some LSD or witchcraft then you will realize your way wrong. It's okay tho.
@LucidFL
@LucidFL 3 жыл бұрын
@@101penguinss101 you need help
@101penguinss101
@101penguinss101 3 жыл бұрын
@@LucidFL yes. Only God can help me and all.
@321blastoff6
@321blastoff6 3 жыл бұрын
“Not all buckets are created equal.” -Polymatter, 2021
@sourishsaha8067
@sourishsaha8067 3 жыл бұрын
Just when I read this the scene came. Dejavu
@sxli3340
@sxli3340 3 жыл бұрын
s
@MarkAlcarezBoston
@MarkAlcarezBoston 3 жыл бұрын
Sam hogan game prof pic
@321blastoff6
@321blastoff6 3 жыл бұрын
@@MarkAlcarezBoston Very good...
@BringTheRains
@BringTheRains 2 жыл бұрын
This video has aged very well. It was like he was seeing into the end of the year.
@Li_Qifei
@Li_Qifei 3 жыл бұрын
Well done! Waiting for the last part!
@Tetracarbon
@Tetracarbon 3 жыл бұрын
Your editing is simply magnificent! Fantastic work.
@kavaianimu4631
@kavaianimu4631 3 жыл бұрын
Damn if all seniors are as fit as these 12:45 than the new generations dont stand a chance.
@Toliman.
@Toliman. 3 жыл бұрын
They kind of don’t. Mao kind of screwed them by offering utopian ideas without also reframing the social class structure to value the weakest in the collective when there wasn’t an attrition of war or plague to reduce the population, or provide a motive to protect against corruption and exploitation. The projection of strength also means the projection of weakness and the chaos of destructive power in forcing people to carry the burdens of others so others and leaders can be stronger. To live well and fear people with all the answers. There will be a swathe of unemployed or loosely employed by a government / military force (to hide the unemployment numbers) who have nothing to offer for millions, except for lottery or hope draws to keep the 500:1 men to women from leaving. There are likely urban areas and towns with no single women below 50 years of age, no newborn girls, and dying farm / primary production of livestock. It would not surprise me if war and plague comes back with a strangely expensive, more lethal mutation and curative that requires middle class resources and select cities to distribute around January next year. Or worst case, the three rivers dam bursts or is sabotaged, affecting hundreds of millions of people, and the worlds economy soon afterwards.
@antonfeng1434
@antonfeng1434 3 жыл бұрын
@@Toliman. Where did you get all those info? China needs people like you to think this way.
@daxtynminn3415
@daxtynminn3415 3 жыл бұрын
@@antonfeng1434 No his information is just your uncomfortable reality check.
@antonfeng1434
@antonfeng1434 3 жыл бұрын
@@daxtynminn3415 I mean it, China's doomsday prediction has been around for more than 30 years yet China is becoming increasingly prosperous and powerful. We need doomsday advocators to remind us of our problems and camouflage our rise in power, so that hostile powers do not pose serious troubles when we are dealing with internal structural problems. That is definitely a favourable thing for China!
@daxtynminn3415
@daxtynminn3415 3 жыл бұрын
@@antonfeng1434 Dude, I want you to take a look at China’s demographic pyramid they are about to be a retirement home buddy. While your at it look at a chart of favorability around the world for China 10 years ago and now. Chinas economic bubble is just getting bigger and bigger which means when it finally hits it will hit much harder. China’s collapse is not if it’s when and for how long.
@pablogarcia304
@pablogarcia304 2 жыл бұрын
This video aged really well.
Water Crisis - China's Reckoning (Part 3)
21:32
PolyMatter
Рет қаралды 1,5 МЛН
Demographic Collapse - China's Reckoning (Part 1)
21:08
PolyMatter
Рет қаралды 2,9 МЛН
Sprinting with More and More Money
00:29
MrBeast
Рет қаралды 27 МЛН
Indian sharing by Secret Vlog #shorts
00:13
Secret Vlog
Рет қаралды 52 МЛН
Follow @karina-kola please 🙏🥺
00:21
Andrey Grechka
Рет қаралды 26 МЛН
The Canadian Housing Crisis Explained
22:32
The Plain Bagel
Рет қаралды 1,4 МЛН
Why China's Economy is Finally Slowing Down
20:18
Wendover Productions
Рет қаралды 1,5 МЛН
Why There are Now So Many Shortages (It's Not COVID)
19:47
Wendover Productions
Рет қаралды 8 МЛН
Why China Sucks at Soft Power - China's Reckoning (Part 4)
18:53
PolyMatter
Рет қаралды 1,2 МЛН
How China's property bubble burst
8:46
CNBC International
Рет қаралды 558 М.
China’s Rebel City: The Hong Kong Protests
1:07:30
South China Morning Post
Рет қаралды 3 МЛН
Why Corruption is China's Secret Weapon
14:46
PolyMatter
Рет қаралды 1 МЛН
Is China's economy in serious trouble? | Counting the Cost
25:26
Al Jazeera English
Рет қаралды 190 М.
China's War on Pollution
10:13
PolyMatter
Рет қаралды 1,8 МЛН
Sprinting with More and More Money
00:29
MrBeast
Рет қаралды 27 МЛН