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How reliable is China's economic data? | DW Business

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DW News

DW News

Күн бұрын

China's National Bureau of Statistics has vowed to punish officials for falsifying economic data - warning that anyone caught fudging the numbers would be "found, investigated and dealt with." The warning comes amid mounting skepticism about the veracity of China's official data.
The video features analysis from Derek Scissors, Senior Fellow at the American Enterprise Institute.
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#China #economy #statistics

Пікірлер: 1 500
@chenyenchengful
@chenyenchengful 6 ай бұрын
“We know that they are lying, they know that they are lying, they even know that we know they are lying, we also know that they know we know they are lying too, they of course know that we certainly know they know we know they are lying too as well, but they are still lying. In our country, the lie has become not just moral category, but the pillar industry of this country.” ..... Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn
@gamingweasel4633
@gamingweasel4633 6 ай бұрын
Good quote! China is definitely lying, but not nearly as much as Russia....which lies about pretty much everything.
@ChristoffelTensors
@ChristoffelTensors 6 ай бұрын
Guy who got cancer treatment in prison under the USSR btw
@terry1708
@terry1708 6 ай бұрын
Please compare the US, China and Germany in GDP, import, export, industry production, electric consumption data.
@cloudwithwind574
@cloudwithwind574 6 ай бұрын
The most intuitive thing to consider is electricity consumption and taxes! China's electricity consumption and taxation have both increased!
@hoppes979
@hoppes979 6 ай бұрын
This year's foot in mouth award goes to.....
@JMKeynes8491
@JMKeynes8491 22 күн бұрын
I was in China for about a month in May and the place is literally bursting with prosperity. The buildings in the cities are new and sparkling, the road network is modern and well constructed and there is 45,000 km of bullet train track...more than the rest of the world combined. Western countries seem caught in the last century by comparison.
@farhorizons3901
@farhorizons3901 6 ай бұрын
6:39 "Xi does not want a thriving private sector" - first time I've heard a commentator say that. Explains Xi's crackdown on multiple industries, but does he realistically think that the state can provide the growth for the economy?
@kamsunleong6648
@kamsunleong6648 6 ай бұрын
He doesnt know what he's talking. Like most China experts, they are a dime a dozen. Despite trade tensions US businesses sent the strongest ever delegation late last year to Shanghai for the China International Trade Expo. While 500 European firms took part. VW recently invested more than a billion dollars and shifted their ev production from Germany to Hefei China. They know that's where the action and future of ev are. Risk staying at home and die a slow death. No leader in his right mind will leave the entire economy to be run by the state.
@zacksmith5963
@zacksmith5963 6 ай бұрын
And u have proof otherwise
@raoulhery
@raoulhery 6 ай бұрын
just like in the west, the fight against "COVID" was worse than the disease itself !!!
@timkey_4542
@timkey_4542 6 ай бұрын
I think Xi isn't afraid of a thriving private sector. He's afraid of a thriving private sector outside of party control
@michaelrenper796
@michaelrenper796 6 ай бұрын
XI jinping anti private sector policies have been a topic amongst China analysts for 2-3 years now. We have no idea what he truly thinks, which is a huge problem from multiple angles. All we can tell from afar is that he believes in. "Stability". People who knew him before he became unapproachable say he is traumatized by the cultural revolution and obsessed with avoiding any semblance of unpredictability.
@jasonjean2901
@jasonjean2901 4 ай бұрын
The U.S. is literally adding roughly $2 Trillion in new debt every year right now, just to hold off economic recession...but China is somehow doing worse.
@hoanglannguyen5871
@hoanglannguyen5871 6 ай бұрын
It means the internal fiddling of the statistics is to such an extent that they are not meaningful or believable by even domestic organisations
@ChristoffelTensors
@ChristoffelTensors 6 ай бұрын
Same goes with the US
@developerAKX
@developerAKX 6 ай бұрын
​@@ChristoffelTensors their growth rate is already very slow currently
@fanimaxyt
@fanimaxyt 6 ай бұрын
Ok wumao ​@@ChristoffelTensors
@hiruzenmonofuke7344
@hiruzenmonofuke7344 6 ай бұрын
​@@ChristoffelTensors the us does not falsify economic growth data. It can't really do that, there are checks and balances put in place, to make sure it doesn't.
@ChristoffelTensors
@ChristoffelTensors 6 ай бұрын
@@hiruzenmonofuke7344 Bruh 15% of the gdp calculations are called “imputations” please be serious.
@088691
@088691 6 ай бұрын
This commentator apparently knows his stuff
@JCSY1
@JCSY1 6 ай бұрын
Know how to speak is not necessarily knowing nor telling the whole real truth. That has always been the US and western skills in twisting and turning true facts to suit their agenda and own benefits. That's how they maintain their hegemony and the world already knows about all these tricks .
@Zei33
@Zei33 6 ай бұрын
‘Apparently’ is the right word.
@swingingdaniel
@swingingdaniel 6 ай бұрын
EXACTLY! We all should get used to the nasty word recession concerning China's economy.@@Zei33
@sownyp9980
@sownyp9980 6 ай бұрын
@@Zei33 here, take ur 50 cents.
@socialistdemocrat7207
@socialistdemocrat7207 6 ай бұрын
Yeah, he knows a lot, and if you keep in mind he that he is speaking from an American perspective with all its associated ideology behind it, it is indeed a very interesting interview.
@raymonddon8875
@raymonddon8875 6 ай бұрын
China... # 1 in EV cars, head of BRICS, biggest project on the planet (belt & road), only nation with world class space station, manufacturing capital of the world, major infrastructure projects world wide, 5000 years of recorded history, # 1 in A.I., biotech, science, math, computer, etc. longest uninterrupted history, oldest surviving civilization & richest nation 1500 years ago, as well as the richest nation on the planet today. no other nation can even come close. what china did this last 50 years was ground braking, albeit this next 50 years will be even more astonishing. this next generation is western educated, world traveled & they think outside the box. brave new world indeed...
@rosemarryme7420
@rosemarryme7420 6 ай бұрын
Literally DW's 9 out of 10 videos are about china , russia and India biggest propoganda channel I've ever seen 😂😂
@buravan1512
@buravan1512 6 ай бұрын
search for NATO Press... you'll know more, NATO is no longer just a Military alliance, there's NATO in Education, Trade, Politics, Media... the goal is to undermining a new surging World. there are some MEDIA outlets like BELLINGCAT, MEDUSA, etc... that have been established just for this task.
@DBGE001
@DBGE001 6 ай бұрын
Indeed, it's really sad to see the decline of a news channel that should be unbiased and provide correct info.
@buravan1512
@buravan1512 6 ай бұрын
@@DBGE001 everything is politicized these days. Earth, water, trees, air, mountains, music, films, Cars, energy, ordinary people suffer the most.
@MusehanaH
@MusehanaH 6 ай бұрын
...because Scholz need to justify to the German public that Germany's deindustrialization is not because Germany is voluntarily decoupling from both China and Russia.
@icu17siberia
@icu17siberia 6 ай бұрын
they keep drawing people though
@bmmilind4333
@bmmilind4333 6 ай бұрын
Actually chinese economy may be inflated by about 40% -50% real chinese economy could be 12-13 Trillion $ and Indian economy is understated by 40-50% , real Indian economy could be well over 6 Trillion $ , so its a crazy world we live in 😅
@iamsheep
@iamsheep 6 ай бұрын
dream on
@esashaik1372
@esashaik1372 6 ай бұрын
India has the biggest economy in the world.India is 100 years ahead of the world.India even has more toilets than the rest of the world thanks to Modi.
@chunhinlam
@chunhinlam 6 ай бұрын
yea yea India make everything by mouth, China make things by hand 😌😌😌
@chutenderchodi7369
@chutenderchodi7369 6 ай бұрын
Chinese economy reflects itself the moment you enter china. Can't be said for India 😂😂
@desmasic
@desmasic 6 ай бұрын
By hand and in sewer oil, all Tofu Dreg projects. Amiright 50 cent army? @@chunhinlam
@davidmarchand384
@davidmarchand384 6 ай бұрын
👍🏻 The official 🇨🇳 data are completely crooked since a long time for one single reason: real estate. Very simple when you finish building new homes/apartments you declare the value per sqm that you want and multiply by the nb of sqm even though none of these apartment has been sold !!! And they have been advertising apartments at 1000-2000 USD/sqm in remote regions when these apartments have technically no value. In my view not more than 100-200 USD/sqm. So 10x more than real value… so if you multiply by 100.000s of apartments built then you understand. Some more they have been literally forcing people to relocate in these apartments by cutting down on their access to school for their kids, medical coverage and so on… people got into heavy debt that they will never be able to pay back ! Another 5 years and disaster will strike anyway.
@kamsunleong6648
@kamsunleong6648 6 ай бұрын
Another 5 years? China experts have been predicting their demise since their nineties. One expert wrote a best sellers book and put a definitive date of 2001 as the year of collapse. More 2 decades have since passed. This expert is still highly regarded and sort after for the next definitive date.
@Ves189
@Ves189 6 ай бұрын
Really good and informative interview. Keep it up!
@itsnight772
@itsnight772 6 ай бұрын
China loves hiding
@BigFaceOfTheKnownUniverse
@BigFaceOfTheKnownUniverse 6 ай бұрын
​@@cinpeace353better than ccp's😂
@cinpeace353
@cinpeace353 6 ай бұрын
@@BigFaceOfTheKnownUniverse Depends on whether you want hear what you want hear or you want to understand the real world. It is just like news about Ukraine is winning in recent years. It makes you happy with what you want to hear.
@Djamonja
@Djamonja 6 ай бұрын
@@cinpeace353 Nah, it's based on actual evidence, but nice try.
@zacksmith5963
@zacksmith5963 6 ай бұрын
​@@Djamonjawhy don't u prove it . Waiting
@pervertt
@pervertt 6 ай бұрын
“There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and Chinese government statistics.”
@MusehanaH
@MusehanaH 6 ай бұрын
On a scale of 1 to 1, one being the most likely and 1 being the least likely, how likely yould you say the US changed the way they calculate inflation in order to hide that they are already in recession?
@peacelover2008
@peacelover2008 6 ай бұрын
yes,all the Chinese infrastructure are fade, all amde by paper, including houses,HSR, all goods exported to your country, mare than half of the commercial ships are made by China including the owners all over the world, they required China to make paper ship so China can cook their GDP numbers, how smart you are, Chinese felt so happy that thier rivals has people like you.
@qingzhou9983
@qingzhou9983 6 ай бұрын
Hope you will be able to convince the US about this. Then you will really contribute to the World Peace.
@YourHineyness
@YourHineyness 6 ай бұрын
Mark Twain approves this message.
@Bk6346
@Bk6346 6 ай бұрын
Where are all these new roads, bridges, hydroelectric dams, airports, coal plants, subways and high speed rail the Chinese built coming from?
@axis_8
@axis_8 6 ай бұрын
Very enlightening! Great anchor and commentator.
@Glorious_Kim_Jong_Un
@Glorious_Kim_Jong_Un 6 ай бұрын
Anchor is the impressive one here with all of the info
@donyakusa9187
@donyakusa9187 6 ай бұрын
😂…that’s hilarious. China has been doing this since they entered the WTO.
@zacksmith5963
@zacksmith5963 6 ай бұрын
And u have proof of that
@donyakusa9187
@donyakusa9187 6 ай бұрын
@@zacksmith5963 - The land of cutting corners and make believe! This is China’s motto.
@zacksmith5963
@zacksmith5963 6 ай бұрын
@@donyakusa9187 and u have proof of that ?
@peacelover2008
@peacelover2008 6 ай бұрын
yes,all the Chinese infrastructure are fade, all amde by paper, including houses,HSR, all goods exported to your country, mare than half of the commercial ships are made by China including the owners all over the world, they required China to make paper ship so China can cook their GDP numbers, how smart you are, Chinese felt so happy that thier rivals has people like you.
@user-di7ql6hx3z
@user-di7ql6hx3z 6 ай бұрын
你真的很傲慢,你祖上是贵族吗?
@lagoonlane
@lagoonlane 6 ай бұрын
Very interesting dude. Would love to see more of him.
@patrickgammeltoft2018
@patrickgammeltoft2018 6 ай бұрын
awesome commentator, actually some clear toughts!
@MeganoOdles
@MeganoOdles 5 ай бұрын
Falsifying data? How reliable is Germany's Covid data? or VW's emission data?
@zz3410
@zz3410 6 ай бұрын
Even Li Keqiang, the econ head, said it's for guidance and that the figures are unreliable...so more of a target to reach, at all costs, if officials want to keep their posts. He looks at electricity consumption, rail cargo and bank lending instead. M2 money supply is probably better than lending data. Post covid, better to look at retail sales, air travel and the property market.
@zacksmith5963
@zacksmith5963 6 ай бұрын
And u have proof of that ? He never said that
@cjh903
@cjh903 6 ай бұрын
If you look at electricity consumption, an interesting fact is, in the past 20 years, China's electricity consumption has increased four times, while the United States has almost zero growth.
@zz3410
@zz3410 6 ай бұрын
@@cjh903 14 billion tons of CO2 vs. 6 billion for the U.S. Be proud! China numba one!
@zz3410
@zz3410 6 ай бұрын
@@zacksmith5963 He told an ambassador before Li became VP.
@xuanxuan8255
@xuanxuan8255 2 ай бұрын
@@zz3410 The per capita electricity consumption in the United States is much higher than that in China, robots
@zapfanzapfan
@zapfanzapfan 6 ай бұрын
Drop in imports, drop in exports, but growth in GDP... suuure....
@DBGE001
@DBGE001 6 ай бұрын
China economy was doing well during Covid due to the huge demand of electronics and medical goods in the world. You might recall the crazy shipping cost at that time. The Chinese export was 2500bn USD in 2019 and increased to 3316bn in 2021 and 3380bn USD in 2023. Post covid and after Ukraine war, China never has the sky-high inflation in other countries thanks to its own vast manufacturing base and cheap energy imports from Russia, and this is why China GDP is growing in its own currency with close to zero inflation. The Chinese GDP is doing relatively poor in USD has more to do with Forex as the US government has to raise interest rate to fight inflation. People just can't understand the basics of economy.
@cinpeace353
@cinpeace353 6 ай бұрын
The growth was drop because of it. There are no contradiction. 😅
@j03forfun
@j03forfun 6 ай бұрын
South Korea: exports -7, imports -12, GDP growth +1.4 It seems that South Korea’s data is not reliable as well😂
@jianyang6281
@jianyang6281 6 ай бұрын
it is not all about import/export. Government monetary policy wins all.
@xavergraupe602
@xavergraupe602 6 ай бұрын
China boost its GDP by building internal infrastructure like bridge, high speed train links to reach their "target" which they fix at the beginning of the year, which is very different how rest of the world does. Many of those infrastructure are not profitable and it is kind of a lost investment.
@bfrandsen1
@bfrandsen1 6 ай бұрын
I'm hopeful for India but his opinion on the increased interest into investing into India is correct. Great guest.
@zacksmith5644
@zacksmith5644 6 ай бұрын
😂😂😂😂 good joke
@desmasic
@desmasic 6 ай бұрын
It makes sense to invest in India over China. China is a communist hole that hates democracies and only country the size of China capable of handling China is going to be India. So either the money west has been pouring in goes into India, or the world ignores India and India sides with China and Russia in the future, which is bad for the west anyway. This is why India is now the new China, and unlike China, a functioning democracy which doesn't hate the world.
@fabiss23
@fabiss23 6 ай бұрын
CCP bots, ACTIVATE!
@yifuhood
@yifuhood 6 ай бұрын
Western Fascism ACTIVATE.
@fabiss23
@fabiss23 6 ай бұрын
@@yifuhood salty? hehahaha
@zacksmith5963
@zacksmith5963 6 ай бұрын
Cia bot spotted😂😂😂
@Arniux17
@Arniux17 6 ай бұрын
​@@zacksmith5963wumao spotted 😂
@yestomor7673
@yestomor7673 6 ай бұрын
the europeppa is mad🌚🌚
@spicysealion-et8kf
@spicysealion-et8kf 6 ай бұрын
I remember there was talk of China outsourcing intensive labor to other countries and transitioning into a consumer/service market or something like that. Maybe if China didn't behave so aggressively over the last 10 years and instead truly built the B&R into a major labor supply from surrounding countries, it would be a different position than now.
@tdawg5742
@tdawg5742 6 ай бұрын
China will never be a lead consumer/service market because they lack the credibility and accountability to go with it. The reason the West is so good at services is because everything is transparent and the data is easily accessible. Then there is a ton of 3rd party agencies like SEC, FDA, CDC, NIH, OSHA, FSIC that are in charge of overlooking everything in between from operations to safety to finances. Services and Consumers markets requires A LOT of trust for it to work efficiently. Consumer and Services doesn't work when corruption is rampant and everyone is trying to cheat and steal from each other. China shot itself in the foot when they decided that lying and cheating results would yield endgame gains and I personally don't think it will ever shake that reputation.
@tdawg5742
@tdawg5742 6 ай бұрын
@@zacksmith5963 yet, thousands of Chinese are fleeing China and the Chinese consist of the third largest illegal immigrants coming into USA. For a country that lost, seems like everyone is trying to come to the USA. Wumao, go collect your 50 cent before the funds dry up.
@SelfProclaimedEmperor
@SelfProclaimedEmperor 6 ай бұрын
​@@zacksmith5963purchasing power parity is a number provided only by china's government and no one else can see the real data. It's made up..nominal gdp is measured by international organizations. Nominal gdp is more accurate and it says the US economy is nearly 10 trillion dollars larger than china's.
@clancywiggam
@clancywiggam 6 ай бұрын
@@zacksmith5963 Sure, USA lost. Come and see me in 10 years, China!
@Mariobrownio1989
@Mariobrownio1989 6 ай бұрын
Trade wars? Also America does not allow china to purchase any tech companies overseas
@bananabear009
@bananabear009 6 ай бұрын
Just had a trip to France. Chinese tourists have practically disappeared compared to 6 years ago when I last went there. It tells a lot about the Chinese economy. I remember when I was a young man travelling to Europe 30 years ago, people would say hello to any Asian face in Japanese. China is going down the same path, if not worse.
@sibaraku2023
@sibaraku2023 6 ай бұрын
how is the economy in Europe?
@user-cn6zr4mh4h
@user-cn6zr4mh4h 6 ай бұрын
You saw less Chinese tourists in France, because they now feel foreign countries are not more developed than China.
@allensadicario5196
@allensadicario5196 6 ай бұрын
No loss
@cinpeace353
@cinpeace353 6 ай бұрын
It is close to Chinese New Year. Most of them are visiting their hometown. Not a good indicator at this couple months.
@linyishuai
@linyishuai 6 ай бұрын
even worse
@lhommeaudacieux
@lhommeaudacieux 6 ай бұрын
Any provincial bureaucrat who has been sending misleading data would instantly make himself suspicious if he suddenly changed it now.
@kylesmith8128
@kylesmith8128 6 ай бұрын
He could blame it one someone else. Easy.
@Fiona20238
@Fiona20238 6 ай бұрын
what they did is to adjust the previous figures down so it boosts this year numbers then they do it again the next year. They think no one is going to look back to last year numbers but in there are people who noticed what they have been doing for monthly, quarterly and yearly reports.
@lwwells
@lwwells 6 ай бұрын
It doesn’t matter. The old rule was “give me positive data”. The new rule is “give me positive data AND don’t lie”. Anybody that isn’t pro-authoritarian will see the issues with that.
@alanbudde8560
@alanbudde8560 5 ай бұрын
Even worse, their predecessors sent in bad information. Now its a game of musical chairs to see who gets caught, but they have no choice since bad results will be harshly punished
@deebil8099
@deebil8099 3 ай бұрын
They are all corrupt. They also just run up the debt of the provinces to hit their GDP numbers because then they will get promoted and then the debt will become someone else's problem. That's why there is so much useless infrastructure projects. China builds ghost cities and bridges to nowhere using debt because it's an easy way to increase their GDP numbers. You can increase your GDP by building a bridge, knocking it down, building it up again and again. This will obviously cause you problems down the road....
@adammarshall6257
@adammarshall6257 6 ай бұрын
USA doesn't need to raise retirement age, they just need to close the tax loopholes.
@jongrho602
@jongrho602 6 ай бұрын
That will never happen. The Left have been promising to "Soak the Rich" for generations and yet the gap between the poor and rich has been growing, and its actually been growing faster under Democrat Presidents (Clinton and Obama) than Republican Presidents. Back in the 90's my boss asked me to do a study on what the percentage of Federal Income comes from Income Tax and it was remarkably consistent (within a few percentage points) no matter what the top tax rate was. So yes, the tax loopholes you mention. Basically what types of income are not taxable. The very wealthy make sure that their income is the non-taxable kind.
@adammarshall6257
@adammarshall6257 6 ай бұрын
​@@jongrho602 If Americans didn't keep voting for Republicans, Biden has said he wants to put a minimum tax on billionaires WEALTH and make the ultra rich pay their fair share. The only problem is people are so brainwashed by the past they can't see that he actually wants to change things. And before you say that's a lie, he's already passed bills bringing manufacturing and production back to the USA, and actually led the country to a decent recovery from the pandemic. You guys should really be in recession right now because of what Trump did.
@andrekoniger3020
@andrekoniger3020 6 ай бұрын
Not gonna happen
@user-bb4in5ez9e
@user-bb4in5ez9e 6 ай бұрын
It is impossible for any country with this size of economy to grow faster each year. So the question is how fast the increase rate drop and where it stabilizes.
@icu17siberia
@icu17siberia 6 ай бұрын
true. its the law of large numbers. we should see if this is a trend over a period of years, or not
@moonbalancedd
@moonbalancedd 2 ай бұрын
you're missing the point. the figure itself is faked, the economy is now believed to be 60% smaller.
@gregoryvangaya8971
@gregoryvangaya8971 6 ай бұрын
Incredibly good, insightful interview, great questions and just an on-it analyst
@user-li2my9dp4j
@user-li2my9dp4j 6 ай бұрын
🇺🇲💊💊🇪🇺😁✌️
@anthonyferris8912
@anthonyferris8912 6 ай бұрын
Central authorities need accurate data if they are massage it. You can't cook the books if you're working with cooked data.
@ryanreedgibson
@ryanreedgibson 6 ай бұрын
They use accurate data but don't report accurate data.
@anthonyferris8912
@anthonyferris8912 6 ай бұрын
No they dont. The regional authorities are every bit as corrupt as the central.
@fba90130
@fba90130 6 ай бұрын
Like all crooks they have 2 sets of books.
@awdrifter3394
@awdrifter3394 6 ай бұрын
It's microwave reheated data.
@NickSteffen
@NickSteffen 6 ай бұрын
@@fba90130 Sounds like they have 3-4 sets of books and are trying to get down to two 😅
@russli-lv2yc
@russli-lv2yc 6 ай бұрын
Much more reliable than the USA's. Sales data of companies, sales of service sectors, electricity usage, all in line with growth in gdp numbers. Meanwhile, USA publishes GDP number that takes the current quarter and assumes the same growth for the next 3 quarter and calculate the growth in one year in the future, and it doesn't take consideration of inflation. Thats where your Q4 rate of 3.3% and Q3 rate of 5% comes from. And guess what, Q4 YOY inflation is 3%! So it means zero actual GDP growth. Yet, western media like DW just take it, plaster it on the headline, no question asked, no controversy. And for 2023, USA's tax collection is down, export down, manufacturing PMI has been in contraction for much of the year, electricity usage is down. You tell me there is 5% GDP growth with 5% inflation? All I can say it magic fair dust numbers. And the stock market doesn't indicate real economic performance when the valuation of the entire stock market is all up.
@hfmkkskpo4127
@hfmkkskpo4127 6 ай бұрын
I am with you for US data but don't see you against the question to the China economic data. So you agree they are not reliable, right?
@DBGE001
@DBGE001 6 ай бұрын
I fully agree, the narrative of the DW video's on China is so blatant skewed and selective. It stimulates your critical thinking when dissecting the video's, argument against , and provide corrections.
@icu17siberia
@icu17siberia 6 ай бұрын
Wrong or not, Chinese investors have enough confidence to pour money into the US. Perhaps they know something the rest of us don't
@DBGE001
@DBGE001 6 ай бұрын
Indeed, but it is significantly less (minus 35%) than 4 years ago. @@icu17siberia
@abcdedfg8340
@abcdedfg8340 6 ай бұрын
The us statistics bureau actually reports recessions. Isnt that crazy.
@vlrdmtr
@vlrdmtr 6 ай бұрын
The question is how reliable is EU and US economic data ???
@brunoheggli2888
@brunoheggli2888 6 ай бұрын
Very
@vlrdmtr
@vlrdmtr 6 ай бұрын
Ha ha … very funny?!
@merzto
@merzto 6 ай бұрын
Look it up. It's not some secret like in China.
@vlrdmtr
@vlrdmtr 6 ай бұрын
I know it’s not like China ( although I really don’t) but I guess you are 16 years old and still believe that Santa exists
@abcdedfg8340
@abcdedfg8340 6 ай бұрын
Very funny. Crazy how they report recessions. Why would they be able to do that.
@dadadadadada1828
@dadadadadada1828 6 ай бұрын
why do you care about the accuracy of China data?
@lwwells
@lwwells 6 ай бұрын
People generally like to call out liars so that others know whom to trust.
@happymelon7129
@happymelon7129 6 ай бұрын
1990. The Economist. China's economy has come to a halt. 1996. The Economist. China's economy will face a hard landing 1998. The Economist: China's economy entering a dangerous period of sluggish growth. 1999. Bank of Canada: Likelihood of a hard landing for the Chinese economy. 2000. Chicago Tribune: China currency move nails hard landing risk coffin. 2001. Wilbanks, Smith & Thomas: A hard landing in China. 2002. Westchester University: China Anxiously Seeks a Soft Economic Landing 2003. KWR International: How to find a soft landing if China.. 2004. The Economist: The great fall of China? 2005. Nouriel Roubini: The Risk of a Hard Landing in China 2006. International Economy: Can China Achieve a Soft Landing? 2007. TIME: Is China's Economy Overheating? Can China avoid a hard landing? 2008. Forbes: Hard Landing In China? 2009. Fortune: China's hard landing. China must find a way to recover. 2010. Nouriel Roubini: Hard landing coming in China. 2011. Business Insider: A Chinese 2012. American Interest: Dismal Economic News from China: A Hard Landing 2013. Zero Hedge: A Hard Landing In China 2014. CNBC: A hard landing in China. 2015. Forbes: Congratulations, You Got Yourself A Chinese Hard Landing.. 2016. The Economist: Hard landing looms for China 2017. National Interest: Is China's Economy Going To Crash? 2018. CNN: Forget the trade war, China's economy has other big problems 2020. Economics Explained: The Scary Solution to the Chinese Debt Crisis 2021. Global Economics: Has China's Downfall Started? 2022. Cathie Wood: China's COLLAPSE Is FAR Worse Than You Think 2022. Business Basics: China's Economic Crisis, GDP is Crashing, Protests Everywhere. China's financial crisis is Here.
@jianlili1981
@jianlili1981 6 ай бұрын
@@lwwells so who should be trusted? US ? DW?
@lwwells
@lwwells 6 ай бұрын
@@jianlili1981 I’d say none of the above.
@icu17siberia
@icu17siberia 6 ай бұрын
because China is asking for investments and partners
@MeganoOdles
@MeganoOdles 5 ай бұрын
Falsifying data? How relaible is Germany's pandemic figures, or VW emission figures?
@vikashchandra9917
@vikashchandra9917 3 ай бұрын
Classic whataboutism. The VW emissions and German pandemic are not under the lens in this video. Stop deflecting.
@user-xp7nk9dw8d
@user-xp7nk9dw8d 3 ай бұрын
​@@vikashchandra9917classic pajeed nonsense Pajeed talk like this India best achievements so far India's Hunger index 2013: 63rd rank 2022: 107th rank India's Happiness index. 2013: 111th rank 2022: 136th rank India's press freedom rank 2013:79th 2022: 150the the fourth pillar of worlds largest democracy is no more India's unemployment rate 2013:4.9% 2023:7.5% Unemployment rate never increase in growing economy.. india is growing only on paper and by loan India's Debt before 2014: ₹55 lakh crore 2023: ₹155 lakh crore India's GDP from 2004 to 2014: $709 billion to 2.04 trilion (almost triple) India's GDP from 2014to 2024: $2.04 trillion to 3.6 trilion (expected)...not even double
@jackreacher8858
@jackreacher8858 3 ай бұрын
YOU GOT THAT RIGHT !
@waqarhaq7537
@waqarhaq7537 6 ай бұрын
Nevermind how reliable china economy is just worry about your own economy
@Monkehrawrrr
@Monkehrawrrr 6 ай бұрын
Yes this.
@Alex-fm5ke
@Alex-fm5ke 6 ай бұрын
They’re the second largest economy in the world, the largest exporter, second largest importer. They’re a very important player in the global economy so analysis on it is important
@brunoheggli2888
@brunoheggli2888 6 ай бұрын
Chinas economy is so big that its infuences the whole world!
@kth6736
@kth6736 6 ай бұрын
The ccp about to assign this video's comments section to a bot farm in 3... 2... 1...
@netterdrachen1687
@netterdrachen1687 6 ай бұрын
But you are the only clown here. 😂
@moniranik5674
@moniranik5674 6 ай бұрын
The Western world always tends to underestimate Other world powers. Their superiority complex will destroy them. EU and the USA tried to destroy the Russian economy. Now see who's economy is doing better.
@guydreamr
@guydreamr 6 ай бұрын
@@netterdrachen1687 But you are OP's prophecy come true. 🤣🤣
@designengrwafu5310
@designengrwafu5310 6 ай бұрын
​@@netterdrachen1687a wumao caught 😂😂
@Cris88G
@Cris88G 6 ай бұрын
A fine bait indeed. 😂
@paulinelambert7780
@paulinelambert7780 6 ай бұрын
"found, investigated and dealt with" - really scary stuff
@MrChenjinyuan
@MrChenjinyuan 6 ай бұрын
Ll conjecture of biased Western press. USA economy is booming and unemployment is only 4% yet just about every second announcement is about a top US company laying off 20 000 workers at a time. And if the top economy in the world is booming how come they can only mange 2.5% annualized growth. So who is fooling who here. Also China does not have 34 trillion debt
@harrysmith8515
@harrysmith8515 6 ай бұрын
Europe shall not discriminate China because China choose one party system instead of using two party system. One party system let China develop much faster. Nowadays China is much more developed than India, Brazil , Indonesia or other developing countries. Its streets are also cleaner and safer than most developed countries. Its life expectancy is already 2 years longer than US life expectancy and 9 years longer than India life expectancy . Expressway length in China reach 177,000 kms vs US 76,000 kms and India 4,900 kms. High speed railway length in China reach 42,000 kms vs both 0 kms in US and India. On top of that, China is also number 1 in many fields such as electricity generation, motor vehicle production (30 million per year), steel and cement production, ship building capacity( China ship building capacity is 232 times greater than US ) while it is nowhere 50 or 70 years ago. Take life expectancy of both China and US as example. In 1950 China life expectancy is about 38 vs US 68. After 71 years, in 2021 China life expectancy is 78.2 vs US 76.1( latest figure by CDC , US life expectancy dropped by 3 in 2020-2021 period from 79.1 originally). China expectancy increase by 40 years while US increase by 8 years only. China life expectancy increase 5 time faster than US. Also Look at health care by comparing MMA rate( maternal mortality rate): in 1950 China maternal mortality is 1500 women death per 100,000 birth vs US 100 women death per 100,000 births. In 2021, China MMA is 16.1 vs US 23.8 per 100,000 (the lower the number , the better health care service level) . Infant mortality rate: in 1950 China infant mortality is 195 death per 1000 birth vs US 26.8 death per 1000 births. In 2021, China infant mortality rate drop to 5 per 1000 vs US 5.4 per 1000 birth. And people in China retire at 55 years old on average to access pension. About 12 years earlier than US's 67 years requirement while some countries may not have pension at all. It means an American need work extra 40*52*12=25,000 hrs in his life than an average person in China. It also means an American only has 9 years to enjoy retirement while an average person in China has 23 years to enjoy retirement. And it is not means or asset tested when access pension in China. It means you get your pension monthly even you stay overseas, are a multi-millionaire or have another job after retirement. Singapore is another example of one party system. Its gdp is highest among Asia.
@user-sm9jy2jm1i
@user-sm9jy2jm1i 6 ай бұрын
An unemployed person in Ireland receives from the government just 2,000 euro less than the average wage in China. That's cash in hand payment. Factor in all other unemployment benefits and an unemployed person in Ireland gets more per year than the average fully employed Chinese citizens.
@TaiwanNationStatusQuo
@TaiwanNationStatusQuo 6 ай бұрын
No surprise. The world pour billions into China to rebuild it. Good for the Chinese that they have enjoyed a golden age. But tides come and go. China is so huge that when it starts to move it's hard to stop it. It's moving into the wrong direction now. Steer clear.
@harrysmith8515
@harrysmith8515 6 ай бұрын
@@user-sm9jy2jm1i cost of living is important also. In China, electricity per kWh is about 7 cents Euro for peak hour and 4 cents Euro for off peak hour. That is the money customer need pay. There is no additional charge such as gst, service fee, electricity network charge. How much euro per kWh in Ireland? How many kWh electricity 2000 Euro can buy?
@user-sm9jy2jm1i
@user-sm9jy2jm1i 6 ай бұрын
@harrysmith8515 Well, myself personally , my rooftop is covered in solar panels, generating 60% of my energy needs. My geothermal heat pump gives me heating and hot water all year round. I've worked hard for my living. It annoys me somewhat to see people who do nothing get so much. I guess that's democracy for you. I guess that's Christianity for you. A country shall be defined by how well it takes care of the least fortunate members of society. For a country is just a piece of land without its people. A tiny % hold the wealth in China. The average Chinese is dirt poor in comparison to westerns.
@happymelon7129
@happymelon7129 6 ай бұрын
Chinese tourists have practically disappeared because they need to de-risk from U$A EU UK. On the evening of January 23, a Chinese citizen was splashed with chemical liquid on a street in Honolulu, Hawaii. She was seriously injured, in coma and hospitalized for treatment. 23-1-2024 A South Korea man traveling in Italy was mistaken as a Chinese. He was provoked by monkey calls and shouting discriminatory words. He was also robbed of his valuables and sprayed with pepper spray.
@naakatube
@naakatube 6 ай бұрын
6.3 trillions dollars lost since 2021 😮😮😮
@DBGE001
@DBGE001 6 ай бұрын
China economy was doing well during Covid due to the huge demand of electronics and medical goods in the world. You might recall the crazy shipping cost at that time. The Chinese export was 2500bn USD in 2019 and increased to 3316bn in 2021 and 3380bn USD in 2023. Post covid and after Ukraine war, China never has the sky-high inflation in other countries thanks to its own vast manufacturing base and cheap energy imports from Russia, and this is why China GDP is growing in its own currency with close to zero inflation. The Chinese GDP is doing relatively poor in USD has more to do with Forex as the US government has to raise interest rate to fight inflation. People just can't understand the basics of economy.
@marvinericdelosreyes
@marvinericdelosreyes 6 ай бұрын
And yet Chinese banks are defaulting. Economy doesn't just boom because they earn much, you also need to factor the people ij the economy. They are a communist nation with the largest population in the world and focusing on military investment rather than economic stimulation (they even targetted chinese business giants like Jack Ma which is a bad idea). Lesser businesses, means lesser work means lesser people who can pay mortgages means banks defaulting means money depreciating due to credits lost indefinitely. ​@@DBGE001
@zenden9
@zenden9 6 ай бұрын
@@DBGE001 Troll and bot dont understand your explanation. All they want just to smear China.
@CatManOfTaste
@CatManOfTaste 6 ай бұрын
@@DBGE001counter point “account made 1 month ago”
@gsomethingsomething2658
@gsomethingsomething2658 6 ай бұрын
Free Brendan Kavanagh!
@fongponto
@fongponto 6 ай бұрын
Don't touch the piano!!!
@kamsunleong6648
@kamsunleong6648 6 ай бұрын
Tell him to get a regular job. Instead of leeching off the Chinese tourists.
@tobiwan001
@tobiwan001 6 ай бұрын
Deflation, rising unemployment, high debt and an real estate crisis but still 5% GDP growth. I really doubt it.
@cloudwithwind574
@cloudwithwind574 6 ай бұрын
The most intuitive thing to consider is electricity consumption and taxes! China's electricity consumption and taxation have both increased!
@Jry088
@Jry088 6 ай бұрын
And the struggle of the stock market
@jackreacher8858
@jackreacher8858 3 ай бұрын
Obviously Mr. Scissors is not going to hug pandas
@esashaik1372
@esashaik1372 6 ай бұрын
Fun fact:China economy is bigger than 4 Germanies 😅
@gruffelo6945
@gruffelo6945 6 ай бұрын
fun fact: Chinas population is (officially) 18 times bigger than Germanies.
@zacksmith5644
@zacksmith5644 6 ай бұрын
And not in recession unlike Germany
@andrekoniger3020
@andrekoniger3020 6 ай бұрын
But it's population is almost 14 times that of germany as well
@andrewk.1310
@andrewk.1310 6 ай бұрын
Peter Zeihan has been nailing this point over thepasr few years. Bring him on too.
@mat3714
@mat3714 6 ай бұрын
Peter is a doomsayer. He correctly identifies issues ( like many others have ) but then proceed to overblow their consequences and the ability of protagonists to adapt.
@zacksmith5644
@zacksmith5644 6 ай бұрын
Peter zeihan ramblings😂😂😂😂
@andoyskies9855
@andoyskies9855 6 ай бұрын
999999% 😂😅 full of 🗿
@leqiaop1840
@leqiaop1840 4 ай бұрын
would it be too late to discuss "reliable" of China economic data or since when did DW or CNN or BBC believe the numbers falsified ?
@atanacioluna292
@atanacioluna292 6 ай бұрын
DW, you are always so clear and complete. Thanks for being a reliable searchlight.
@davidtydeman1434
@davidtydeman1434 6 ай бұрын
Australia is a tiny economy compared to China. It takes the Australian Bureau of Statistics over 60 days to complete and publish quarterly GDP data. How a country as large and complex as China can publish data in such a short period of time is mind boggling
@philipjh6789
@philipjh6789 6 ай бұрын
The Chinese are much more efficient than Australians.
@kamsunleong6648
@kamsunleong6648 6 ай бұрын
They have 5 G, quantum computers, super computers, that are among the fastest in the world. Don't compare a lightweight that still does not have stable internet beyond your cities, with a superpower.
@taorente7438
@taorente7438 6 ай бұрын
Xi Jinping: Do you want China’s economic growth rate? Come on, I'll find someone to draw it and send it to you!
@mikslids7083
@mikslids7083 6 ай бұрын
The Ministry of Public Security of China issued an important reminder: If you are out of town recently, please don’t argue with others. If the other person is... a stock investor, no one can help you!
@zacksmith5644
@zacksmith5644 6 ай бұрын
1990. The Economist. China's economy has come to a halt. 1996. The Economist. China's economy will face a hard landing 1998. The Economist: China's economy entering a dangerous period of sluggish growth. 1999. Bank of Canada: Likelihood ofahard landing for the Chinese economy. 2000. Chicago Tribune: China currency move nails hard landing risk coffin. 2001. Wilbanks, Smith & Thomas: A hard landingin China. 2002. Westchester University: China Anxiously Seeks a Soft Economic Landing 2003. KWR International: How to find a soft landing in China. 2004. The Economist: The great fall of China? 2005. Nouriel Roubini: The Risk of a Hard Landingin China 2006. International Economy: Can China Achieve a Soft Landing? 2007.TIME:Is China's Economy Overheating? Can China avoid ahard landing? 2008. Forbes: Hard Landing In China? 2009 Fortune: China's hard landing China must find a way to recover. 2010. Nouriel Roubini: Hard landing coming in China. 2011. Business Insider: A Chinese 2012. American Interest: Dismal Economic News from China: A Hard Landing 2013 Zero Hedge: A Hard Landing In China 2014. CNBC: A hard landing in China. 201 5 Forbes: Congratulations, J You Got Yourself A Chinese Hard Landing 2016. The Economist: Hard landing looms for China 2017. National Interest: Is China's Economy Going To Crash? 2020. Economics Explained: The Scary Solution to the Chinese Debt Crisis 2021. Global Economics: Has China's Downfall Started? 2022. Cathie Wood: China's COLLAPSE Is FAR Worse Than Vou Think
@chengwei8813
@chengwei8813 6 ай бұрын
lying or not lying, not important, important is to go China with your eye to see what big change China have made in this 40 years
@marcuslim5060
@marcuslim5060 6 ай бұрын
I almost laughing falling out of chair. EURO Zone ,German barely struggle to reach GDP 0-1%, but busy body and nosy to pointing at the country with GDP above 5%. 🤣
@marcuslim5060
@marcuslim5060 6 ай бұрын
Sorry guys, I made a mistake. I am a bit optimistic about euro zone GDP..It is not 0-1%, it is -ve, recession to 1%... keep up the good work European!
@abcdedfg8340
@abcdedfg8340 6 ай бұрын
Because recessions are not allowed to exist by the bureau of statistics lol?
@sleepymeow7156
@sleepymeow7156 6 ай бұрын
While the German economy is declining, why don't we discuss whether China shows real economic growth data... probably nothing...🤷🏻‍♂
@lwwells
@lwwells 6 ай бұрын
Bingo
@3dfxvoodoocards6
@3dfxvoodoocards6 6 ай бұрын
But how reliable is the US economic data ?
@DBGE001
@DBGE001 6 ай бұрын
The USA's data is far less reliable. The USA publishes GDP number that takes the current quarter and assumes the same growth for the next 3 quarter and calculate the growth in one year in the future, and it doesn't take consideration of inflation. That's where your Q4 rate of 3.3% and Q3 rate of 5% comes from. And guess what, Q4 YOY inflation is 3%! So it means zero actual GDP growth. Yet, western media like DW just take it, plaster it on the headline, no question asked, no controversy. And for 2023, USA's tax collection is down, export down, manufacturing PMI has been in contraction for much of the year, electricity usage is down. You tell me there is 5% GDP growth with 5% inflation? All I can say it magic fair dust numbers. And the stock market doesn't indicate real economic performance when the valuation of the entire stock market is all up.
@lwwells
@lwwells 6 ай бұрын
Three point seven
@jianlili1981
@jianlili1981 6 ай бұрын
how dare you doubt US data?
@icu17siberia
@icu17siberia 6 ай бұрын
comparison with the US shows a feeling of inferiority
@abcdedfg8340
@abcdedfg8340 6 ай бұрын
It reports recessions and its not controlled by any one political party. So figure it out.
@user-uo8ck5pz6d
@user-uo8ck5pz6d 6 ай бұрын
At least China is still a productive country. Not like others in Europe. If you visit China, you can see people are much more energetic than most of other countries. Chinese people don't waste their time on KZbin :)
@Craigsinglee
@Craigsinglee 6 ай бұрын
😂 thats the most hilarious thing ive heard this year so far, you know they cant use youtube without paid VPN right??????? you know what is baidu and weibo?????
@jianyongmao4270
@jianyongmao4270 Ай бұрын
Made me embarrass, I'm on KZbin now...And many are on Chinese video platform... we're also human not superman.
@DeepRed1949
@DeepRed1949 6 ай бұрын
How reliable is German's economic data? 🤣
@user-uo8ck5pz6d
@user-uo8ck5pz6d 6 ай бұрын
It's a joke.
@user-xj3zs8mo1p
@user-xj3zs8mo1p 6 ай бұрын
“Communist China”, “ Reliable”, “Data”- what a contradiction
@sps6
@sps6 6 ай бұрын
DW just got up...😂...all these years DW was peddling china data
@Leshic2
@Leshic2 6 ай бұрын
Funny, isn't it? Why are they talking about this now? It's been going on for years.
@tkmmkt6569
@tkmmkt6569 6 ай бұрын
The answer is about as reliable as everything else they claim.
@mastertrend4685
@mastertrend4685 6 ай бұрын
But Volkswagen sold 3m autos, Mercedes sold 0.8m autos, BMW sold 0.8m autos in China
@jkselama4698
@jkselama4698 6 ай бұрын
Probably it is just as reliable as your honesty.
@brickz3539
@brickz3539 6 ай бұрын
byd sales 3m autos in 2023 idk where do you get that statistic @@mastertrend4685
@xiaohuijin4952
@xiaohuijin4952 6 ай бұрын
The lady was so disappointed that she did get what she expected to hear.
@krantimanraghunayak4147
@krantimanraghunayak4147 6 ай бұрын
Lmao they always bring in experts who dance around the topic, never say what everyone knows. apparently no one told them about how derek scissors presents XD He is straightforward to a fault.
@sarcasmo57
@sarcasmo57 6 ай бұрын
First person I've heard say that China is in economic decline after the short term.
@chanahyingchan5070
@chanahyingchan5070 Ай бұрын
China's GDP for the pass couple of years was below 3.5% but then the current population are very happy and the food and accommodations are still affordable even for a worker earning RMB$ 15,000/month. Perhaps DW personnel should go visit China to verify the truth.
@jianyongmao4270
@jianyongmao4270 Ай бұрын
In fact, a monthly salary of 15000 RMB is an unattainable goal for ordinary blue-collar workers. As an ordinary Chinese, my own understanding is that the monthly income of most ordinary workers is between 3000 and 10000. This income can still enjoy a relatively comfortable life, and children's education, medical care, and other expenses can generally be affordable, but the prerequisite is not to consider buying a house. There for, I personally don't feel positive for real estate market, in recent several years.
@lvjinbin28
@lvjinbin28 6 ай бұрын
why don't you invite Gordon Chang?
@d58l68
@d58l68 6 ай бұрын
how reliable is DW's interview
@frankkobold
@frankkobold 6 ай бұрын
Compared to what baseline? FT? Since that's kinda the gold standard, I would say less. Compared to -pick a random Chinese outlet? Pretty much the gold standard itself.
@weisong4402
@weisong4402 6 ай бұрын
@MikeJones50911 Deutsche Welle is very credible. They once said that Putin will fail, Russia has no artillery shells, and sanctions will have a devastating blow to the Russian economy.
@yestomor7673
@yestomor7673 6 ай бұрын
DW, like every other NATO media, is never reliable when it comes to political things.
@leqiaop1840
@leqiaop1840 4 ай бұрын
@MikeJones50911 DW News is consistently reliable and credible for what ? For own political interesse, yes. For others, like war report or economic data from other nations, absolutely wrong.
@jameswalker7899
@jameswalker7899 6 ай бұрын
Interesting. A good, well-focused interviewer, with a knowledgeable, succinct interviewee. Warmest compliments. Thank you. :)
@jarheadcharlie2315
@jarheadcharlie2315 6 ай бұрын
Kind of hard for GDP to be positive when the largest sector of your economy has been in freefall.
@mikejohn2999
@mikejohn2999 6 ай бұрын
Yoo your country is sinking, check your house first before saying anything about the home of another person
@lwwells
@lwwells 6 ай бұрын
It is important to analyze the finances of potential business partners.
@kingk5013
@kingk5013 6 ай бұрын
Everything made in china and you telling me they are doing badd
@JCSY1
@JCSY1 6 ай бұрын
That is what they want the world to believe in. China's economy is not as good as before Covid 19 and has some issues that are being addressed by China currently but it is no where as bad as what the US and the west are trying to spread. Still, currently, China's economy is still one of the best if not the best.
@brunoheggli2888
@brunoheggli2888 6 ай бұрын
Not at all!And germans critisize themself a lot!Germans dont like to beat around the bush!
@yudogcome5901
@yudogcome5901 6 ай бұрын
Germany's own GDP growth is significantly negative, so I hope others will do the same, so it doesn't look so embarrassing.
@thrissurdiary9583
@thrissurdiary9583 6 ай бұрын
Reporter got the grin of a jackal while asking about GDP fall of China.....😂😂
@harvardjohnson5741
@harvardjohnson5741 6 ай бұрын
Who knows? The only thing you know for sure is that their numbers are forever to serve political purposes and needs at the time.
@walhdamaskus2408
@walhdamaskus2408 6 ай бұрын
Seeing is beleaving. What i see now in germany is from one crisis to another crisis. Maybe this DW bias news can make some germen feel a litrle bit better until tomorrow's electric bill come to knock the door. 😂😂😂
@nottooherbal
@nottooherbal 6 ай бұрын
Interesting interview.
@DBGE001
@DBGE001 6 ай бұрын
not realy
@Laggie74
@Laggie74 6 ай бұрын
That's why we teach our kids not to lie. The truth will always win.
@cinpeace353
@cinpeace353 6 ай бұрын
Well, the over 30 years of China economy is bad narratives is still have audience. They are not giving up even the truth wins. 🤣🤣
@cloudpoint0
@cloudpoint0 6 ай бұрын
Honesty is always the best policy until something better comes along.
@jianyang6281
@jianyang6281 6 ай бұрын
so, China lies for over 30 years? or you are telling your kids false info?
@Laggie74
@Laggie74 6 ай бұрын
@@cinpeace353 yeah, just look at their stock market... and booming real estate. Everyone is a millionaire by doing food delivery and picking trash. I wish I was born there. It's like heaven. 😆
@cinpeace353
@cinpeace353 6 ай бұрын
@@Laggie74 You sound like not knowing there are boom and bust in markets and delivery people in other parts of the world. Try look around the real world. 🤣🤣
@marczapatos2229
@marczapatos2229 6 ай бұрын
Countries should ask china how to doctor economic data.
@Monkehrawrrr
@Monkehrawrrr 6 ай бұрын
No way US doctors its economic data hahahhahahahhaa
@TheKingpool7
@TheKingpool7 6 ай бұрын
Yes, this is so interesting that all the analysts avoid it. Corruption combined with face saving culture has caused situation where even Xi doesnt know how big the GDP is or if it grew or shrined. It literally has no correlation with real life. In west correlation is easily observable.
@cinpeace353
@cinpeace353 6 ай бұрын
Yes, always through actions not talks. China is really practical.
@timmy-wj2hc
@timmy-wj2hc 6 ай бұрын
Becuase the masters of doctoring economic data at the US can't hide the truth anymore with their 34 Trillion in debt and this time China will not bailed the US again like the Chinese did in 2008.😂😂😂😂
@marczapatos2229
@marczapatos2229 6 ай бұрын
@@cinpeace353 falsifying data is a national pasttime in china. It may be practical but it doesnt always work.
@CJ-vc1sh
@CJ-vc1sh 6 ай бұрын
If it was so bad, why would you worry about it?
@andreww4898
@andreww4898 6 ай бұрын
They are best human😂
@dchauto156
@dchauto156 6 ай бұрын
How reliable american data
@andrewbecker1013
@andrewbecker1013 6 ай бұрын
Found the Chinese bot
@alanssshh
@alanssshh 6 ай бұрын
the fact: American electricity consumption is down and China up. it tells everything
@olderchin1558
@olderchin1558 6 ай бұрын
This guy is more of an actor than an analyst. He is reinforcing some DW narrative than analysing. The contradictions and lack of context is glaring.
@Djamonja
@Djamonja 6 ай бұрын
He's spot on actually, sorry you don't like hearing it.
@olderchin1558
@olderchin1558 6 ай бұрын
@@Djamonja I actually agree with him about the Chinese economy slowing down. Unfortunately this is in a context of a global economic slow down with the worse collapse happening in the west. I even agree that Chinese GDP numbers are made up but GDP numbers for all countries are made up the same way. If you had some economics background, you would understand and I could explain it to you or you might have noticed the contradictions yourself. Hey, believe what you want. Or go read up on the fundamentals of economics and the concept and history of money and the USD. And when you have a masters degree on it, we can have an intelligent discussion. And you can see through these half truths and BS.
@abcdedfg8340
@abcdedfg8340 6 ай бұрын
​​@@olderchin1558Sorry but stop using whataboutism here. The us statistics agency as an example is not controlled by any one political party. Thats why it reports recessions. Crazy isnt it.
@seimassmirda
@seimassmirda 6 ай бұрын
@@olderchin1558 whats collapse in the "WEST"? Please provide your insight.
@olderchin1558
@olderchin1558 6 ай бұрын
@@seimassmirda Which country would you like to discuss or you are familiar with ?
@xavariusquest4603
@xavariusquest4603 6 ай бұрын
Simple...its not reliable at all.
@letsRegulateSociopaths
@letsRegulateSociopaths 6 ай бұрын
They say that NOW after it's been 30 years of making up Numbers, from population to GDP...
@zacksmith5963
@zacksmith5963 6 ай бұрын
Source ? Proof ??
@sammuell3100
@sammuell3100 6 ай бұрын
China has world largest seaport, airport 40,000km of most advance high speed rail, more than half of the world"s 5G stations, the only nation has a complete industrial product categories and other world class achievements. By comparing China's infrastructural and industrial outputs with other nations everyone can see China's grow rate was real and China achived them all in just four decades from virtually a bankrupt nation four decades ago.
@andrekoniger3020
@andrekoniger3020 6 ай бұрын
Yes but you can't grow in such a way indefinitely, no one questions that China has made incredible progress in the past. They also will continue to grow but Not at the same rate we've seen before
@kennethauyeung9505
@kennethauyeung9505 6 ай бұрын
Why don't you ask who reliable about the figures from USA?
@ModerateObserver
@ModerateObserver 5 ай бұрын
‘Derek Scissors’ - Bob Mortimer would be proud of coming up with that name 😂
@mikslids7083
@mikslids7083 6 ай бұрын
The Ministry of Public Security of China issued an important reminder: If you are out of town recently, please don’t argue with others. If the other person is... a stock investor, no one can help you!
@jianyongmao4270
@jianyongmao4270 Ай бұрын
I'm not stock investor, I won't eat you. On the contrary, foreigner is always protected very well and more safer than native in China.
@user-ok6re8gv1q
@user-ok6re8gv1q 6 ай бұрын
USA and EU investors have not lost confident in HK/China. The insituitions are being legally forced not to invest in China. For business investors, plenty of small and medium sized businesses are getting in to these places to invest and grow.
@xiangbowu8815
@xiangbowu8815 5 ай бұрын
People in HK/China have already lost confidence upon economy...e.g. HK people are exchange all their savings into USD!
@yomajo
@yomajo 6 ай бұрын
Amazing guest, thank you DW and Derek.
@LivingWithGout
@LivingWithGout 6 ай бұрын
How can you be in a deflation period and have a 5.2 percent growth in 2023? How?
@icu17siberia
@icu17siberia 6 ай бұрын
economic forecasting is about trends, and the trend doesn't look good for China exports. Hard to know about internal consumption, but with the size of their internal market, I wonder why they even care about exports.
@leezhieng
@leezhieng 6 ай бұрын
Deflation make things cheaper and consumers will be buying more, and hence growth.
@gruffelo6945
@gruffelo6945 6 ай бұрын
@@leezhieng that is not how it works usually
@louistan7560
@louistan7560 2 ай бұрын
Ask the same question to Yellen and Powell.
@robhappe906
@robhappe906 6 ай бұрын
No growth only lies
@zacksmith5644
@zacksmith5644 6 ай бұрын
Source ??? Proof ???
@sdaiwepm
@sdaiwepm 6 ай бұрын
5:55 "Peking"! That threw me off for a second.
@leezhieng
@leezhieng 6 ай бұрын
Her mentality is still stuck in 1800s.
@yestomor7673
@yestomor7673 6 ай бұрын
What's peking? Pigeon?
@gliu1431
@gliu1431 6 ай бұрын
If you don’t believe China GDP data or whatever data, don’t smear China. If you have evidence, feel free to share and China will put in efforts to improve.
@MattsFikezolo-lo7wq
@MattsFikezolo-lo7wq 6 ай бұрын
The real GDP is 0.1%
@nagasako7
@nagasako7 6 ай бұрын
Hedge funds use satellites to track Chinese power plant output. But issue is Xi sometimes has power plants operate even if no electrical demand.
@zargorn
@zargorn 6 ай бұрын
There are also some interesting estimates based on light output seen from space.
@zacksmith5963
@zacksmith5963 6 ай бұрын
​@@zargornsource ???
@sps6
@sps6 6 ай бұрын
And xi has switched on the lights even in the day..😂
@zacksmith5963
@zacksmith5963 6 ай бұрын
@@sps6 source ???
@sps6
@sps6 6 ай бұрын
@@zacksmith5963 what your source Chinese communist party? 😀
@Leshic2
@Leshic2 6 ай бұрын
6:08 was a fantastic description of the Chinese stock market.
@geofflepper3207
@geofflepper3207 6 ай бұрын
When I was in New Brunswick I heard a story about billionaire K.C. Irving (one of the richest men in Canada if not in the world at one time). Someone said that Irving would go through wastebaskets after office hours in the businesses he owned looking for documents that would indicate what was really going on in those businesses as opposed to what he was being told by his managers. He owned so many businesses that he couldn't possibly run them all himself but he didn't trust his managers to necessarily be telling the full truth when he asked them how the businesses were doing. I guess too many times his managers would just say, "Oh, don't worry boss. Everything is going great. No problems at all". Any time there is a hierarchy in business or in government there is a chance that those lower in the hierarchy will try to cover up problems and give a rose coloured view of how things are going in the region or department they control. What manager or politician or official wants to tell their boss that things are going badly?
@joaodecarvalho7012
@joaodecarvalho7012 6 ай бұрын
The anchor seems really interested.
@xgguo3531
@xgguo3531 6 ай бұрын
Few experts did predict China's growth in past 10 years correctly. Wish some of them can do better for next 5-10 years about China. If we look back at China economy , almost every year China experienced certian problems. But China has been growing to the GDP #2 country in the world, instead of collapsed. Today, China contributed around 30% of global growth. If China economy does go wrong, it is not a good news for the world.
@kaho6891-
@kaho6891- 6 ай бұрын
That's why West is trying to decoupling from the virus spreader
@icu17siberia
@icu17siberia 6 ай бұрын
someone else will pick up that output....thats been done many times and thats what fueled Chinas growth BTW
@joelo2959
@joelo2959 6 ай бұрын
Yes, it is not a good news for the global economy.
@zacksmith5963
@zacksmith5963 6 ай бұрын
​@@kaho6891-no country named west
@JCSY1
@JCSY1 6 ай бұрын
@@icu17siberia Are you joking or totally ignorant ? Who can replace China ? the US, EU, Japan ? Not even close. Who wants to buy US, EU or even Japanese goods that is way overpriced and extremely expensive. Look at the insanely high living costs in those countries. Nobody wants to pay more and get much less.
@hoanglannguyen5871
@hoanglannguyen5871 6 ай бұрын
So gdp is actually lower in 2023 at 2.4% instead of going higher. That would be closer to reality given the downturn of foreign invetment and divestment in China by global companies while other countries increase production to take up China's slack
@marcolam1167
@marcolam1167 6 ай бұрын
总结:中国经济即将崩溃。听了三十年了。China’s economy is collapsing,it has been collapsing for 30 years. Could you tell something new?
@fankefang
@fankefang 6 ай бұрын
I just saw some two foxes telling other foxes that the grapes are sour, since none of them can get a taste of the grapes.
@stevenhuang8786
@stevenhuang8786 6 ай бұрын
haha, i like your humor!
@TheSteinbitt
@TheSteinbitt 6 ай бұрын
Taste which grapes? Chinese? All we have are Chinese grapes, and they’re good!
@kevw4473
@kevw4473 6 ай бұрын
This commentator has so clear and unbiased prospectives
@lwwells
@lwwells 6 ай бұрын
I keep waiting for him to tell me about this “Heisenberg” guy and blue meth.
@buildmotosykletist1987
@buildmotosykletist1987 6 ай бұрын
The PRC is totally reliant on the American economy.
@nmew6926
@nmew6926 6 ай бұрын
It's reciprocal
@buildmotosykletist1987
@buildmotosykletist1987 6 ай бұрын
@@nmew6926 : Nope.
@zacksmith5644
@zacksmith5644 6 ай бұрын
@@buildmotosykletist1987 is other way around. China is owed reparations Usa is under chinese loans
@buildmotosykletist1987
@buildmotosykletist1987 6 ай бұрын
@@zacksmith5644 : Search: "Why China Has a Giant Pile of Debt"
@leezhieng
@leezhieng 6 ай бұрын
Exports to US is only around 13%
@MK-gn1nz
@MK-gn1nz 6 ай бұрын
CCP: " de-falsifying economic data is a crime" 😅😅
@user-zz8lb6bd7p
@user-zz8lb6bd7p 6 ай бұрын
21 years in China, one promise, no one grew the last 4 years, all business is down a minimum 50% since 2019, everyone
@DBGE001
@DBGE001 6 ай бұрын
CIA bot?
@user-zz8lb6bd7p
@user-zz8lb6bd7p 6 ай бұрын
@@DBGE001 no, having seen constant bankruptcies of suppliers, the empty unfinished shells of semi-finished apartments and the extreme level of unemployment is easy to understand. No one I know is better of now than 2019 and no one has seen growth
@user-zz8lb6bd7p
@user-zz8lb6bd7p 6 ай бұрын
@@peterseth3296 semiconductors and DJI is a tiny fraction of China export dependent economy. Millions are being laid off for a reason and that is no growth or losses, not exactly what happens in an economy growing 5%. Look no further than steel production to see the real numbers, always a good barometer on economic activity
@cinpeace353
@cinpeace353 6 ай бұрын
Lol, your ignorance or lie is so obvious. There are no need to spread bad narratives and try to contain China if that's the case. We all know renewable and EV are growing for sure. 😅
@lwwells
@lwwells 6 ай бұрын
@@peterseth3296semiconductor increased because it had to. China was cutoff from the “good stuff” for misuse.
@abdelkaioumbouaicha
@abdelkaioumbouaicha 6 ай бұрын
📝 Summary of Key Points: 📌 China's National Bureau of Statistics warns that officials who falsify economic data will be punished, as skepticism about the accuracy of China's official data grows. 🧐 There are doubts about the accuracy of China's GDP figures, with suggestions that the data may be smoothed out to avoid portraying instability. 🚀 China's economy faces challenges such as a declining population, significant debt, and losses in the stock market. 🚀 Global investors are showing more interest in India's economy, attributed to reduced popularity in China rather than significant advances in India. 🚀 China's youth unemployment is a significant problem, with changes in calculating the rate raising concerns about manipulation. 🚀 China's retirement age is lower than in many other countries, and reform is challenging due to operational and social concerns. 🚀 China's future growth is predicted to decline due to debt and demographic problems. 💡 Additional Insights and Observations: 💬 "China's true GDP rate for 2023 could be as low as 2.4%." - Analysts suggest that China's official GDP figures may not accurately reflect the country's economic situation. 📊 $6.3 trillion has been wiped off the Chinese and Hong Kong exchanges, indicating losses in the stock market. 🌐 The accuracy of China's economic data is being questioned, raising concerns about the country's credibility and decision-making. 🌐 The decline in China's growth has psychological implications for the US, as China's position as the world's largest economy matters more to the US than China itself. 📣 Concluding Remarks: China's economic data accuracy is under scrutiny, with concerns about the credibility of official figures. The country faces various challenges, including debt, declining population, and youth unemployment. While short-term improvements may occur, the long-term outlook suggests slower growth due to underlying issues. The psychological implications of China's position as the world's largest economy matter more to the US than to China itself. Generated using TalkBud
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