How to Tell When You're Being Bluffed in Poker | 200NL Play and Explain

[@rawirineptune5586]

Best poker channel on KZbin

[@CarrotCornerPoker]

Thanks for the kind words - this means a lot.

[@jarirepo1172]

Yes, all the concepts are broken down to easy digestible format. While GTO has it's place, reality is where we need to operate for maximum results.

[@Pudgins]

And it’s not even close!

[@quantum_photonpiano3579]

I’ve been watching your channel since Losing to Cruising, by far the best online coaching I’ve experienced. My winrate has jumped more than 7bb/100, thank you so much for the wonderful content!

[@darren4635]

Oh really? I want to see his Hendon Mob profile. His name is Peter Clarke and there's no Peter Clarke with any significant hendon mob profiles. My winnings are more than double all Peter Clarkes combined.

[@jeffshackleford3152]

​@@darren4635does Hendon mob track online 6 max cash games?

[@SandSeven]

This channel has contributed the most towards my improvement out of the numerous poker strategy channels I've found. I used to avoid playing against the small fields full of regs during non-peak hours, but now, that has become my favorite time to play. I'm eager to learn more, so keep the quality content rolling. The strategies and tips are much appreciated good sir!

[@jeffshackleford3152]

I agree. After seeing this channel, and doing the run it once course by him, it has improved my play massively. I am not saying I was the greatest player ever, I was at best a shitreg or competent fish before, but now I am starting to see improvements as I work on my game.

[@crabluva]

I think it's very relevant whether the IP player three-barrels or two barrels on the K66r board. Lots of recreationals, even if they are very spewey and loose, still won't have three barrels as bluffs and just give up all their air on the river and do things like check back some clear value bets. 3:47

[@_MMWWMM_]

Sharp thought process and well explained, seems like playing 2 tables you can really focus. Wouldn't know lol

[@ScottHedley]

19:20 You brought this up with Mellissa on this week's pod where if you're strong/nutted it's imperative you jam river even if it's an enormous overbet when that snap-calling rec is in this tilt-calling orge mode

[@stu_ungargarments1812]

You asked us to look it up in the solver and let you know. You played the QQ hand in the SB in the 3b pot perfectly. God-Like really.

[@CarrotCornerPoker]

Was a pretty easy one to be fair!

[@Van_Behlen]

Great Video Pete. The fact that you were considering folding that 77 when both flush draws missed shows me I have a ways to go. I woulda snapped it off and shrugged if he had KT. Keep it up!

[@CarrotCornerPoker]

After thinking about it more I think I would have called river even without the timing. It has nothing to do with draws missing though. I think the reason I'd call anyway is that KT is just too likely to raise turn vs my sizing if it doesn't bet flop in the first place.

[@ScottHedley]

@@CarrotCornerPoker Very good point about IP raising turned straights at high frequency. Most will bet KT OTF at high frequency too, as part of a more polar betting strat on Q97tt.

[@hymnofashes]

Shortly after watching this, I flatted a UTG open from a 9 VPIP nit on the button with 9c9h. Flop is K47 with two diamonds. Based on the fact that my opponent is a nit, I reason that he will never barrel the turn with worse than a king. He half-pots, I call; turn is Kc, putting up a second flush draw. He checks, I b35, reasoning he will never bluff-raise me because he is a nit; he will fold all unpaired hands that are not flush draws, and call with all flush draws and unimproved pocket pairs, which is most of his range now. I chose this sizing because I expect he might fold such hands out of position on a paired board if I go larger and I do not want that. He calls. River is the 9s so I boat up. He instantly checks. At this point, normally I would have b75, targeting something like 88 (gotta rep that I'm protecting my hand because they never fold) but this time because of your teachings I went into my time bank and overbet 1.5x pot, 300 milliseconds before timing out. He snaps with JJ in disgust. This was so dirty I had to take a shower afterwards. Truly you are among the greatest Scottish poker educators right along with Charlie Carrel, Ginge Poker, and Edward the Longshanks.

[@ScottHedley]

madman for timing down that close to 0!

[@daviddivad777]

random comment to support the channel

[@Luuugssssss]

I feel like you could have came up with something haha

[@CarrotCornerPoker]

@@Luuugssssss Yeah this is pathetic, right?

[@jacob9744]

just want to say nice video, the last hand timing tell does not happen too often, but I dont think the tell is a slam dunk reliable one. I am guilty of sometimes waiting till the last second to jam my value hand just to throw my opponent off. More often than not I do get a call

[@CarrotCornerPoker]

Thanks Jacob. I agree where people time down to 3 seconds or 2; but to time all the way to absolute zero? I don't buy this is a value bet in many cases at all.

[@bslay4r]

There is a guy on yt who "specializes" in red line winnings (high stakes player and based on his graphs and play&explain videos he is really crushing) and in his mind snapcalls by villain (mostly fishes) are weak and a "green light" so to speak to bluff vs villain. :D And it works in his videos. So it seems we can't generalize based on just timing tells. Btw he would play the QQ on AJ3 3bet pot oop differently at 8:29. He would say I don't want to bet QQ on this flop because if I bet and villain calls I can't bluffcatch later because I block bluffs so I let villain to bluff with his unfiltered range (56s, 22, KT, etc) and decide later but the end result would be probably the same.

[@CarrotCornerPoker]

I think snap calls really depend on the spot. I was thinking about a low SPR situation where a fish has say 50bb and snaps a turn c-bet. I think these are dreadful spots to bluff river. A fish snapping a small c-bet on the other hand is not the same thing at all.

[@bslay4r]

​@@CarrotCornerPoker True! :) So it seems we can't generalize based on just timing tells.

[@infosrelevantes7146]

Who is the guy?

[@Riverkingdan]

@@infosrelevantes7146 probably saulo costa

[@brenneisenchevy981]

hey pete at 3:44 in the TT hand i would disaggre with your take on calling down. for sure hes probably way to loose wich shifts his range to be more bluffheavy but stabbing into 2 people on the flop and barreling trough is in my opinion so heavy underbluffed espacially since there are no natural draws on the flop i feel like hes giving river up a lot and valuebetting there 90%+

[@CarrotCornerPoker]

I think you're underestimating the effect of arriving on the river with loads of hands you shouldn't have. Even if there is a significant give up frequency, if the value range is quite combinatrocially small, then it is quite easy to bluff more than 25% of the time if Villain makes another half pot bet.

[@pavelivanov78]

Perfect read, thank you!

[@cryptofool7247]

What an amazing "ah ha!" moment to have picking off that timing tell. There's no way he had the nuts there. Classic.

[@CarrotCornerPoker]

Yeah I really think this tell is 95% reliable.

[@ScottHedley]

In your hand where Joe bluffed ThTs, I found myself immediately mistakenly saying he had the wrong suits... I know you and Melissa talked about this thought process error in a previous pod: You as BB are shutting down with missed Tx FDs which means your overbet bluffs will contain more Tc/ Td combos which means IP will have more river fold equity when they 2Bet allin ThTs (*when they time their bet appropriately lol). ^I'm mostly writing this for me so I stop making my initial thought process error. Thank you Pete for all the work you do! I just finished Lecture 7 of CPS Grade 1 and am really loving the format with the homework assignments at the end of each lecture to get me to immediately apply the learned concepts. Cheers!

[@Mauricio-kf8qx]

Carrot, before I see what opponent I’ve been using the time bank run out for a long time as a reverse tell. Tank till the last second and then all in. My Against thinking players they usually think that you wouldn’t risk having a nutted hand being folded by letting the time bank run out, then they tend to call down a lot wider. I usually only do this once in a while against a player who I have no history with, as I’m usually gonna show up with the goods when I do this, I might do it as a bluff only if I have ran this line on a certain opponent and they saw that it was a false tell.

[@ScottHedley]

you're a madman

[@ScottHedley]

I hope you're not just on wifi!

[@Mauricio-kf8qx]

@@ScottHedley I am but also have data back up if wifi goes out

[@teabojj]

Yay! New content!

[@richardanderson3476]

right before the reveal of villains hand, in my head i thought “he probably has TT” and then it was TT, not going to lie i was pretty chuffed with myself hahaha.

[@CarrotCornerPoker]

Sick read 🙂

[@okaythankyoubyeee2501]

18:36 Don't call me Shirley

[@CarrotCornerPoker]

That's highly offensive. I can't help my Scottishness.

[@Alex_Hart]

I play on Bodog and when time bank + regular time is used its about 1 minute... Every time someone does that to me its the absolute nuts

[@_MMWWMM_]

5:10 I would add that even regs up to 100nl have leaks Vs recs

[@CarrotCornerPoker]

I think regs have leaks vs recs at all stakes 🙂

[@BenjaminRaven]

great, everyone gunna be full tank shoving the nuts now, cheers pete 🤣

[@CarrotCornerPoker]

Just make sure you don't have Sky Broadband first.

[@amidamaru2534]

would be so nice if Joe was just mass multi tabling and turned over T8 :DD nh though

[@GTOfishh]

I think timing tells are so individual and dependent on so many factors that you cant really make pop reads.

[@CarrotCornerPoker]

In general this is true, but I think there are some exceptions.

[@jbpokerwar8962]

Lets do some content on MTTS. I play on ACR, Sharkscope rating is 75 so good but not great but still a winning player. Can you turn me into a MTT beast. Come on, Lets do it

[@CarrotCornerPoker]

MTTs you say? 11 hour grinds you say? Jamming pre all the time and flipping you say? ICM you say? Defending 83s in the BB you say? Think I'll pass.

[@ScottHedley]

@@CarrotCornerPoker Pete he plays on ACR. There it takes 11hrs just to finish the late registration period.

[@viertelbeherrscher]

I am not saying it's likely but it also could be he had to do smth else, for example open the door or smth. Still humans in every day life don't forget :)

[@mcpartridgeboy]

He could be multi tabling.

[@CarrotCornerPoker]

I think most people who are multi-tabling (which is almost every reg btw) are able to allocate their time and focus to a spot where they have the nuts on the river facing an overbet.

[@darren4635]

This guy's name is Peter Clarke isn't it? Where's his Hendon Mob profile?

[@ScottHedley]

Yeah Pete where are your tournament wins to validate you as a poker authority?

[@dennisje2925]

That extreme waiting must be a bluff with some sort of show down value. With the nuts you want to put your money in faster Just in case internet breaks down

[@CarrotCornerPoker]

Yeah I honestly think the fear of brokwn internet is a huge thing here. Imagine waiting to one second and then timing out accidentally. This is enough to discourage most players from doing this with the nuts.

[@_MMWWMM_]

3:39 sure you're not falling into the gto cave here? Would think triple X down range is too weak to call enough on the river , would bluff 6 hi pure here

[@CarrotCornerPoker]

Nah this is an underfolded spot vs regs. It's also incredibly easy to overbluff and most competent players know that.