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@triplemania55507 жыл бұрын
If the conversion from risk/reward ratio to percentages is confusing to you, you can skip it. I've never used the ratio and always go right to the percentages by using the "rule of 2 and 4". The rule of 2 and 4 as I use it: CALL ALL-IN ON THE FLOP: multiply the number of outs by 4 and add 1. CALL ALL-IN ON THE TURN: multiply the number of outs by 2 and add 1. So you add the call to the pot and calculate/guesstimate the percentage of that call. Then calculate card %% by using the rule of 2/4 and compare the two. So the example pot odds from the video, My call would be: 24. Current pot: 65.50. Total would be: +- 90. (No need to be exact) 24 out of 90 is slightly more than 25%. (since 25 out of 100 would be exactly 25%. Guesstimating will work fine) Open ender, all-in on turn: rule of 2/4 with 8 outs on the turn: 8*2 +1 = 17% That's clearly less than our "slightly more than 25%". So it's a clear fold. Same call/pot situation with a flush draw on the turn? rule of 2/4 with 9 outs on the turn: 9*2 +1 = 19%. Still fold. Gutshot + flush combo on the turn? 9 + 4 - 1 = 12 outs (one of the gutshot outs is also a flush out, we don't want to count that card twice) 12*2 +1 = 25% Still fold. Open ended + flush combo on the turn? 9 + 8 - 2 = 15 outs (two of the straight outs are also flush outs) 15*2 +1 = 31% Call. It's +EV. But don't be surprised when you lose. Open ended, all-in on the flop? 8*4 +1 = 33% Call. It's +EV. But don't be surprised when you lose. Open ended + flush combo, all-in on the flop? 15*4 +1 = 61% Call. It's +EV. You even have a good chance of winning the pot ;p As you can see, it'll hardly ever come down to the exact number like 26.8%. Doing a rough guesstimate like this will work fine in the vast majority of cases. Btw James, I mean to give an alternative to people who have a hard time converting ratio to percentage, not to criticize your video. I love your videos, they're great!
@johnkennethdavid51586 жыл бұрын
You Sir, take my like
@sobriquet50165 жыл бұрын
this is an excellent comment
@nthsum55095 жыл бұрын
I like this, but I've always used the opposite. Since the pot odds is a ratio, make your outs calculation a ratio. Since you have 47 unknown cards post flop, divide your outs into 47, then 46 post turn. If you've got 15 outs, ~1/3 of the remaining cards are an out. With two draws at those outs. So, 3/1 pot odds with ~1/3 of the deck being an out.....you should strongly consider calling....
@nicosej85 жыл бұрын
Amazing! Thank you so much sir!
@DoleBOY225 жыл бұрын
@@nthsum5509 if there are 9 players at the table, 7 of which fold, would you then subtract their hole cards from 47 on the flop so its actually 33 unknown cards because you obviously cant hit those exact outs they may hold?
@canadiankid424 жыл бұрын
This topic really brings out your enthusiasm
@rodrigodeabreusoares56673 жыл бұрын
I disagree
@justmagicmostly Жыл бұрын
Comment of the century right here 🔥
@slobodanreka10884 жыл бұрын
PokerStars: "I have KK, villain has J2. My odds -- minus 3,000 per cent."
@lightonstillwaters67894 жыл бұрын
🤔😁😂
@ClickUp3 жыл бұрын
True
@sebastianrose77547 жыл бұрын
Love the video and I learned some new.But to calculate the pot odds much simpler, I simply divide the whole reward with the risk. If the full pot is 1500 and you are asked to call 500 it's simply 1500/500 = 3Which gives you the pot odds of 3:1 A quick way of understanding the ratio is simply by switching the two numbers around, so that the "1" is always to the left and keeps unchanged and you just add 1 to the right side.3:1 = 1/4 = 25%2:1 = 1/3 = 33%1:1 = 1/2 = 50%
@Iwannabaja Жыл бұрын
So when your calculating your pot odds post flop if you are calling on someone who raised you , you dont consider the money you put in the pot right before his raise nor the money you put in the pot preflop as part of your invested odd? That prior money you put in only counts as part of the winnings part of your odd ratio?
@akashrathi90504 жыл бұрын
Amazing, playing poker since so many years and now I know pot odds
@notanonymous39763 жыл бұрын
i just started playing last year and this stuff is mind blowing
@toddzickel25485 жыл бұрын
You make it confusing!!! At 2:10, you show $33/($33+53.5) or $33/$86.5 and show 1.6:1. Confusing!!! It's $33 call in a $53.5 pot or $53.5/$33 is 1.6:1. Why teach newbies incorrect and simple algebra?
@stephenwishburne10342 жыл бұрын
I was wondering this too, he could’ve clarified this better. The 1.6:1 is showing the ratio but when he showed 33/(33+53.5) was to get that percentage of 38%. He shouldn’t have put that formula above the 1.6:1. Because to get the 1.6:1 is 53.5/33. To get the percentage, you add in what your call would also be to the total. A good question is why is the small blind 0.50 cents and not $5. Hope this helps. Took me a little while to figure it out.
@Slashoom8 жыл бұрын
Just want to say that I just got back from vegas and was up $500 and placed third in a tourney after re-watching some of these videos as a refresher course. Thanks again.
@splitsuit8 жыл бұрын
+Slashoom congrats on the results!
@tinashematambanadzo83116 жыл бұрын
Thank you! Didn't understand a single thing but I'll keep watching more and I'll understand better. So thank you for your channel
@lSomeRandomGuyl5 жыл бұрын
lol
@mannion76463 жыл бұрын
Glad I'm not the only one haha
@pokerbrandon11 ай бұрын
The odds you calculated aren’t accurate though. You’re counting the amount of money, you, put into the pot as an amount of reward won, if you win the pot. This is wrong. You need to calculate the pot odds as, the amount of money you need to put into the pot, versus the amount of PROFIT you win from the pot. Basically, just disregard the amount of money you have already invested into the pot if not count that as money added to the amount you need to put into the pot. Because, you say the amount of money in the pot is your reward, you are basically justifying if you put in $1,000 in the pot pre-flop, and you flop a flush draw, & your opponent goes all in for $400 more, you should ALWAYS call, because you’re risking $400 for $1,400 which is 28% equity-profit vs your 30% equity-draw. But this is incorrect, because in reality you’re risking $1,400 to win $1,400, on 28% equity. That’s actually a -EV strat. In reality, you need to be winning around $5,650 pot to justify putting in $1,400. Tell me I’m wrong. You can’t.
@stuzaza6 жыл бұрын
Love your work mate, great presentation and very valuable insights. I would like to play you heads up one day
@ademiranda26 жыл бұрын
My head hurts!
@ThePokerBank10 жыл бұрын
@momo Pot odds do help you decide if a call is going to be good (profitable in the longrun) or bad (losing in the longrun). You simply compare the pot odds you are getting to your % (or percentage of winning the hand) to see if a call would be good or bad. This is particularly useful when drawing and calling preflop all-ins...but it applies a ton of the time
@fsfernandesge10 жыл бұрын
where do we get the pot odds?
@ThePokerBank10 жыл бұрын
You get them by comparing bet sizes and the size of the pot. The video does a good job of explaining the basics.
@noxluxdax9 жыл бұрын
francisco fernandes opponent raise + pot / your call amount
@lightonstillwaters67894 жыл бұрын
@Grant Newton if I have to call 10 to win 30, then the pot will be 40, so your pot odds are 40 to 10 or 4:1, so if you win 1 out 5 (=4+1) times, you are breaking even (0 EV). So if you win more than 1 time out of 5 calls (i.e., 20 %) you are positive EV, which you base on your hand's equity on floor or turn.
@stecks41494 жыл бұрын
@@lightonstillwaters6789 this is actually a very good and well explained comment
@osidarap85613 жыл бұрын
He failed to include his own call into the total pot. It should be 4:1. He shows the correct formula in layman's terms "risk/(risk + reward)" but fails to calculate correctly. Other than that, getting people familiar with the concept of pot odds is important!
@warrenviegas56068 жыл бұрын
Although it's not needed I think a video dealing with odds could be helpful as most people are more used to percentages. After practicing this concept recently,I see why most people use odds as it's easier to calculate in real time. The math is much easier when you deal with one form of numbers, The challenges is that it's easier to calculate pot odds in terms of Odds, but it's easier to calculate card equity in terms of percentage, based on the four two rule.
@ThePokerBank8 жыл бұрын
+Warren Viegas The 4/2 rule is great...but it's really only useful when you think you are behind and drawing to the best hand. In the real-world things aren't usually that simple.
@karrde6666666 жыл бұрын
the 98s hand if using EV and his range includes small pairs,aces suited, broadway cards, on the button bringing the equity to 24% that would mean the call is correct?
@knsin06 жыл бұрын
Too fast! Much better at 0.75, thanks anyway!
@StrongwillGameTheory7 жыл бұрын
How do you factor the rake? can you do a video on pot odds involving rake?
@EricSmyth4Christ2 жыл бұрын
Lol
@saintpeterson52757 жыл бұрын
I don't want you to be my math teacher.
@momofantistic139610 жыл бұрын
im a bit confused I understand the math and all I just don't see how this helps you decidec to make a play or not ? is pot odds a way to decide if its a smart choice to call that what I understand it to be if so why do percentages matter ex. if the pot is 175 and the guy calls 200 and you really don't have good cards ur gonna fold so when would you use pot odds ? thank you
@FantasticDimensions4 жыл бұрын
I like it, but now I gotta find put how to calculate equity!
@kieumiphan53577 жыл бұрын
2p06 so complex, call 33$ for 86$ total, need 33/86 equity ~ 38%
@iagoxavier81534 жыл бұрын
This is a solid, well produced video, but buddy ... it was a little too fast.
@ryancritchlow15666 жыл бұрын
If another player knows you're using pot odds, couldn't they just bluff and raise a large amount, knowing you'll fold?
@martinsbullitis57836 жыл бұрын
That`s why you narrow down your opponents hands. For example if you are on turn and have a pair of aces and you narrowed down that your opponent has only pockets that means you have equity of about 96% and no matter how big the bet is the theory says you have to call. But if you know that another player is using pot odds, you can value bet a hand were he is sure you are in front.
@stecks41494 жыл бұрын
@@martinsbullitis5783 i'm 2 years too late but this is an incredible useful comment
@Hexspa6 жыл бұрын
Also keep in mind negative implied odds wherein you might have TPTK but no flush draws. You can bet but you're more likely to lose by the river and more likely to get called by someone chasing the draw, so less fold equity.
@NickBrown792 жыл бұрын
Good explanation - only critique - don't use terms you haven't introduced or are "jargon/lingo" only a poker player would understand. (WTF is EV? What's a wider shove?... I've still got half the vid so I'm sure there'll be more...) these only make it less clear exactly what you're saying. And you glossed over the math part and didn't explain the 3:1 ratio very clear. I had to surmise it means he puts in 3, I put in 1 - for a total of 4 parts. My 1 part divided by 4 total parts is the 25%... Initially everyone will be like "oh! 3:1 - that's easy! 33%!"
@catchdafever3 жыл бұрын
Well, im bit confused. You said your odd are 3:1 and it gives you 25 % but when i calculated what is the % of your investment it come to this: 40$ out of 120$ is 1:3 or 3:1 whatever you put first. So, for me 1/3 of 120$ is 33.3333333333% so tell me, how could it be possible for you to come with a 33%. Im trying every possible math combinaison exept your 1/(3+1)=25% dose not represent 40$ out of 120$...
@philip64193 жыл бұрын
Seriously? This explanation sucks in more than one way. Bets of $13.. risk of $33.. then throw in 1/2.6=38% with no explanation for the viewer. You couldn't come up with amounts easily divisible? Yes.. but evidently you want to make it seem complex to sell your book.
@NickBrown792 жыл бұрын
Wow... I hit play again at the half way point... then the dude just SCREAMS thru the math without clarifying... JEzzuz... putting up some software with a number on it that makes no sense... Ugh... bro.
@LilMOMMAson5 жыл бұрын
in your AK example that starts @1:31, please explain how the fuck you arrive at an answer of 1.6:1! Maybe I'm the only one, but when I calculate 33/[33+53.5] my answer is .3815028902.
@ExpresShans2 жыл бұрын
Thanks. Not everyone Is a “he” though.
@jimadams8182 Жыл бұрын
Everyone with a penis is. Simple.
@xAirsoft7teenXx8 жыл бұрын
I understand everything you're talking about but when you say 2.7:1 turns into %27 equity, how did you get that number?
@cathattan8 жыл бұрын
1/(2.7+1)=1/3.7=0,27 0.27=27%
@dragonblood127 жыл бұрын
1/4 = 0.25 - 25% not 20%
@quirinkaletka13537 жыл бұрын
1/4 = 1/4+1 = 1/5 = 20%
@michaelbauers88007 жыл бұрын
Odds are confusing. Converting to percentages seems simpler. If I have to pay $25 to win $75, that's equivalent to a break even percentage of 25%, meaning I need to win 25% of the time. If I lose three times, I am out 75, and when I win the 4th time, I am dead even. I can see then to compute break even percentage, it's call / ( call + pot.) In his example, I have to call 24 to win 65.50. Math is 24 / ( 24 + 65.50) = .27. So break even percentage is 27%. I can call if the chances of hitting my outs is 27%. I think poker people use odds though, in standard charts of outs. So maybe they have to mess around with odds, but I prefer percentages whenever possible. The rule of 2s and 4s is percent based though. That is, if you need 9 outs on the river, that's about an 18% chance of getting them. If you can get them on the turn or river, that's 36% chance of getting them. So I would think knowing call / (call + pot) is handy, but maybe it's simpler to compute it as ratio?
@michaelbauers88007 жыл бұрын
If you wonder why I don't like odds and ratios, there's two reasons. One reason is that odds and ratios consist of two numbers, like 3 : 1. The other the habit of talking about odds for and odds against. Simpler to just talk about chance of something happening as percentage ( one number only.)
@chimalu4 жыл бұрын
All the US poker sites barely have any players anymore. Blackchip and Ignition at least have enough to get a game going. I recommend going to @t for new players bonus and rake back deals.
@YaoHongKok5 жыл бұрын
If you are lazy to calculate pot odds and EVs, you can use this simple-to-use app to analyze your Texas Hold'Em game: edge.poker/
@zekebanister8654 жыл бұрын
Nice job of whispering through the video...
@Hexspa6 жыл бұрын
In that second hand, you might have less equity than 16% if he's got a flush draw. Then you'd have 12%. Either way, drawing against small stacks is dumb.
@BFanAaron3Jin4 ай бұрын
oh basically you compare the percentage that you will win the pot against how much your risking for the reward. if how much your risking to gain is higher than your percentage of winning the pot is too great, then it is not a EV+ call
@zain64515 жыл бұрын
Terrible explanation! Just reading off a script with no regard to the listening and registering capability of the viewers.
@moneydont26214 жыл бұрын
How to play Omaha by using pot odds
7 жыл бұрын
SLOWERRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR
@PressureCooker6923 сағат бұрын
keep grinding out that rent money, boys. it's noble work you're doing
@repacharge431 Жыл бұрын
Oh my god bitcoin was advertised here. Imagine if you bought in at the time this was uploaded
@bigfatcody9 ай бұрын
3:18 shouldn’t that be 3.7:1 or am I doing the math wrong? Someone help me I’m high.
@DJcyberslash2 жыл бұрын
Where does the 2.6 come from at 2:13 ??
@heltah.smeltya3538 Жыл бұрын
If everyone played like this , everyone would always fold to a pot sized bet
@liyexiang6664 жыл бұрын
A interesting idea i recently heard from my friend about poker math: he told me no matter what u win rate or odds u getting when u bet or call pre-river is irrelevant, IT ONLY MATTERS whether the river is mathematically +ev or not, if u have a +ev on river, the whole hand is +ev. Is that ture???? it does not seem to me reasonable that i got 23 air and call flop 10 dollar, turn call 20, river pot is 60 and i pot river getting 50% fold say, will break even, i spend 90 dollar on this, and if i win, he only put in 30.... THAT SAID, if u think about, like u got 40% equity pre- and getting 4-1 and u called. only one thing will happen after the preflop calling which is having a flop where the risk or reward did not materialized yet, and when u made decisions on flop, the risk reward change from 4-1, so how does that multiway work?
@Stewwwwww7 жыл бұрын
Help me someone. The first example is 1.6:1 pot odds. I get that.....but then u convert that to 1:2.6 which is 38% I get that as well. But y in the second example 2.7:1 not 1:3.7 like the first example which would mean 38% equity not 27%?
@dunner0795 жыл бұрын
I really had no idea about how he got a percentage or a ration out of that. I used the calculator and did 33/33 +53.50 and got back 54.5 percent? I give up I've been doing it for two days, I'll stick to theory, but I'm more confused now with that 1.6 to 1 haha. Thanks for the videos though their pretty good. Anybody know any other videos where they explain how to get their equity like 1.6.1? Google isn't doing a good job?
@mattg79775 ай бұрын
I'm pretty new to this so please don't be too harsh in my if this is a dumb question...but do you ever include overs as "possible outs"? For example - if I have KQ and the flop comes J 10 2 - is there ever an opponents range where I'd include my KQ as 6 more outs in addition to the open ended 8 outs? Thanks for any advice!
@ThePokerBank5 ай бұрын
Not a dumb question at all Matt. Yes, you can include overs as possible outs when eyeballing things. In your KQ example, your K and Q are live outs if your opponent has AJ. You typically don't take them as full outs (since villain could reasonably have hands like KJ as well), but partial outs for back of the napkin math is fine imo.
@dunner0795 жыл бұрын
I got it! Just take do the formula ......add risk + reward first....then divide that by risk....as follows.....add 33 + 53.50 = 86.50....then divide it by 33....that equals 38% pot odds
@norbertbuza13644 жыл бұрын
1:3 pot odds is 33%.. break even is the similar formula... I don't understand the 25% breakeven.
@kameroncarr34374 жыл бұрын
It’s risk divided by risk plus reward. 1/(1+3) = 1/4, 25%
@norbertbuza13644 жыл бұрын
@@kameroncarr3437 For example If the pot odds 1:6 then the breakeven odds 1/1+6?
@lightonstillwaters67894 жыл бұрын
Yes. You lose $1 6 times = $6 loss. You win $6 one time= $6 win, on average over many hands (long run), if pot odds are 6 to 1, meaning you risk $1 to win $6. So if your equity is greater than 1/7 or 14.3%, you are plus EV (positive Expected Value), and should call on flop. (Lots of simplifications, but an ok starting point to use as an example.) Just google questions and lots of math will show up.
@XxGamersUnitedxX10 жыл бұрын
He said to memorize some of the common ones, like 2:1 needs 33+% equity. Where can I find a chart of the basic ones? All I can find are charts of pot odds, but nothing about equity.
@ThePokerBank10 жыл бұрын
Here is a simple chart to use: www.thepokerbank.com/tools/odds-charts/percentage/ You then compare your equity to the pot odds. If equity > pot odds, then you at least call. If equity < pot odds, then you usually fold (barring things like implied odds, future plans, etc.)
@NowFuture9 жыл бұрын
Can you calculate the percent of the pot odds without actually finding out the ratio? And then see if its < or > the equity. I assume that would require less math am I wrong?
@ThePokerBank9 жыл бұрын
You could, sure. Would likely take some memorization, but nothing that couldn't be done
@namesashhousewares83377 жыл бұрын
sorry, but that's much much much too fast. i needed like 3 other videos to understand what was going on here. it's a nicely made video but certainly not a good one for learning about pot odds and equity. and learning about this stuff was the goal here i assume
@Tygelin865 жыл бұрын
I don't fully understand this concept because intuitively it seems that i risk more then the amount i need to call because im already invested in the pot. Some percentage of the pot is my money so the reward is smaller then the pot + current bet. So the reward should be smaller in the equation but i don't know im confused because in this case i'm not risking the money already invested in the pot when calling but im going to lose my money already invested in he pot if i'm not calling or reraising.
@motivationDrivess10 күн бұрын
best video for pot odds yet. simple and easy to understand
@giorgigiorgitko2483 жыл бұрын
Guys,is it a" must to know" thing?I'm dumb in math
@religionisinsanity10 жыл бұрын
Uhm that hand if you're holding 89 suited and the board is Q673 with 3 of your suit. Your win % is 32. Not 16%. That using a hand calculator and not counting outs (which I have no idea why people use that). But you actually should call that. It's a good video. But the whole counting outs idea is very limited and faulty. There is no guarantee that a straight will win. You could hit trips just not very likely. There are many other ways you can win/lose that hand that makes it 32% heads up.
@ThePokerBank10 жыл бұрын
You have 32% equity if you are against a totally random range, sure. But no villain shows up with 100% of hands on that turn, so realistically you are reduced to your outs, and thus have closer to 16% equity. (I'm also not sure why you are mentioning trips in the 98 hand when we don't even have a pair by the turn?)
@delilh3254 жыл бұрын
Thanks, it took me a while to find an understandable and clear video with this information, you even said stuff I didn't know I need to learn. Thanks
@MishMash959 жыл бұрын
The one thing that doesn't make sense to me is the concept that, if the current pot is $40, and we have to call another $20, I know in terms of poker, the money in the pot is no longer ours, however in terms of profitability, we are already down $20 so far in this hand, therefore, even if we call another $20, technically we are only going to win half of that pot i.e $30. (assuming heads up, i.e what you put into the pot isn't profit) So looking at raw win-rate, we are betting $20 with a 40% chance of winning $30 (net), which is not mathematically worth it. The only reason I mention this is because the way everyone seems to teach pot odds doesn't really consider the loss, just the win, which makes me believe that you would need 2x the actual reward as stated to make the call worth it? Or does this system generally just ignore the money you have already put in, as you have technically already lost that?
@ThePokerBank9 жыл бұрын
MishMash you would only consider what you put into the pot as yours if you were analyzing the entire play from a super zoomed-out view point. So when analyzing the validity of an ENTIRE line, rather than the validity of a single call (if that makes sense)
@DjAdam165 жыл бұрын
you're too quick. sorry... not good.
@fndTenorio9 жыл бұрын
@MrStevie57 The probability of a flush draw hits flush in the turn card is 9/45 = 20%, so the odds of NOT doing a flush are 80/20 or 4:1. So for 100 flush draws expect to hit 20 on the turn.
@darrinhedges37675 жыл бұрын
Fernando Mir shouldn’t it be 9/47?
@georgemcdonnell62365 жыл бұрын
@@darrinhedges3767 no because there 52 cards - the 4 cards that give u the draw =48- the other card on the flop= 47- the burn card for the flop and turn =45. Hope that helps :)
@darrinhedges37675 жыл бұрын
George McDonnell yea but the burn cards are Unseen cards, there are 47 unknown cards, it’s 9/47
@darrinhedges37675 жыл бұрын
George McDonnell & if you go by the 2 & 4 rule you have 9 outs times 2 so it’s more like 18% to hit the flush, not 20%. With two cards to come it’s 9 times 4 or 36% to hit the flush Hope that helps :)
@georgemcdonnell62365 жыл бұрын
@@darrinhedges3767 yh i guess ur right. But somehow u cant be right because there is a youtube vid by a pro saying it 20 percent and so do alot of vids iv watched. So are we the right ones?
@AdventPoker Жыл бұрын
Why is it 8 outs *2 if there is only one card left
@damianzeate9773 жыл бұрын
i love poker but im so shit at maths. FUCK
@templedad10 жыл бұрын
James...You do a great job with these videos. Easy to understand and very helpful. Thanks for posting them.
@splitsuit10 жыл бұрын
Thank you for the compliment and you are more than welcome =)
@rupeshbasvat4572 жыл бұрын
Thank you So much for your free advise to all poker player its means a lot Thank Thank You so much ❤️ Much Love from India.
@dajerseyrat9 жыл бұрын
On the first equation how did you arrive at 1.6 to 1? When I do the math of the $33/ [ $33+53.50] I arrive at 2.6 to 1 only if I directly divide $53 by $33 do I arrive at 1.6...Can you clear up the process in how you are doing the math equation, that is my biggest problem cause at the table I would look at the $33 call on an $86.50 pot as a little over 2 to 1 odds..not 1.6 to one..Then when you go to figure the % you go with 2.6 to 1, where did you get that from?
@ThePokerBank9 жыл бұрын
To figure out the ratio you do reward:risk (or 53.5:33 which gives you 1.6:1). To find the BREAKEVEN % from that ratio you do the 33/(33+53.5) calculation. Does that help?
@dajerseyrat9 жыл бұрын
The Poker Bank Not really...LOL..Is there a simple way to do the math easier at the table? finding the % is where I get stuck..I should have paid attention in school..lol. (so risk and reward) 33=53.50= 86.50 now divide that by the 33 (risk) so I can round up 86.50 to 90 and round 33 down to 30 and come up with 1/3rd or 33.3% as a quick computation at the table?
@ThePokerBank9 жыл бұрын
That's pretty aggressive rounding...but it's better than nothing :) Just work through a few hands and get used to calculating the pot odds. With practice, you'll be able to do figure it out off the top of your head. It just takes time and practice.
@dajerseyrat9 жыл бұрын
Thanks, I sent you an Email the other day in regards to a specific hand I played, probably poorly.
@kibspoker Жыл бұрын
Thanks a lot. Learned so much - You are Heaven sent
@bungerbrad9 жыл бұрын
Hi James. I'm pretty sure this is correct. But instead of calculating the ratio followed by the percentage, I can calculate percentage directly by dividing the amount to call by the total going into the pot including my call, e.g 40/160 (80+40+40) = 25%. Simples ?
@ThePokerBank9 жыл бұрын
For sure. Nothing wrong with skipping the ratio element if your brain doesn't require that step.
@Dreamagain117 жыл бұрын
This is a stupid question I'm sure but why isn't your call calculated in to pot odds. If the pot is $80 and someone bets $20 the pot is now $100 but if you call you get your money back so aren't you risking $20 to effectively win $120?
@ThePokerBank7 жыл бұрын
It's not a stupid question at all! But our call should not be factored into the $W because getting our money back is not profit. Profit comes from winning our opponent's bets and/or the pot.
@trollsymctroll53615 жыл бұрын
Do players ever consider their previous failed attempts/plays when factoring a decision. There are probabilities during play but if you haven't hit a 25% call in say 6 of 10 current attempts? Or if your pocket pairs have hit trips 3 consecutive times you're bound to go on a not hitting skid? Just curious.
@radirad22182 жыл бұрын
That’s a common misconception. That’s not how percentages work. Your next move will still have the SAME odds as each one individually before that. What you’re doing is retroactively applying individual odds to a group, which you cannot mathematically do. The 25% call will ALWAYS have the same odds for the next option to do so, the previous attempts do not factor at all.
@SILA1989gg4 жыл бұрын
What is the correct rule some sites say 4 and 2 the others say 2 and 4 i am comfuse
@lightonstillwaters67894 жыл бұрын
Your flop outs times 4% on flop for your equity to river. Outs times 2% for equity on next street (card to come).
@Rokii12436 жыл бұрын
Great video! But isn't this math just assuming that there's no chance of eliciting further bets on the river? If we make our straight (using say a 10 of hearts so there's no flush possible for our opponent), we can likely get some more money into the pot. So shouldn't consider calling the turn even with slightly negative EV? (In this example it's a clear fold even still, but you get my point)
@splitsuit6 жыл бұрын
What you are describing is 'implied odds', and yes, it's very heavily tied in with this concept. If you have incorrect pot odds to make a call, the next thing you turn to would be implied odds =) For more on this (along with other poker math concepts), I might suggest starting up CORE and we'll guide you through this stuff: redchippoker.com/launch-core
@jarrettdittmer93672 жыл бұрын
Kind of a dumb question, how do you calculate how much % your hand has. Is that just something you memorize with counting outs or?
@ThePokerBank2 жыл бұрын
Not a dumb question at all. You get a feel for your equity by playing with tools like Equilab during study sessions. Do 20 minutes a day for a week and you'll develop a better feel for many common spots
@jarrettdittmer93672 жыл бұрын
@@ThePokerBank Thank you kindly! I always wondered what programs people used
@danielmoctezuma37995 жыл бұрын
I have a question. Say you have 15 outs. A flush draw and two overcards. When I insert this in a calculator, it gives me a 50 % equity in an equity calculator. but it gives me 30 percent equity once I miss hitting my card on the turn. How is this possible?
@lightonstillwaters67894 жыл бұрын
Your 9 flush outs + 6 overcard outs equal 15 outs on flop, if the overs are live (clean), assuming opponents don't have 2 pair, sets or high over pair. If you miss on turn, and all 15 outs are still live, then there are 46 unknown cards for the river. 15/46 is about 30 percent. Or Using Rule of 4&2, you have 1 river card to come on turn, so: 15 outs x 2% = 30% * 2% is approximation of 1/46 ** Exact Equity is 15/46 for your draw, with 15 outs on turn for the river card.
@MrZola12348 жыл бұрын
@ The Poker Bank, In the second example, don't we need to estimate how often we will get paid when we hit our hand on the river, and how much you can get paid to determine your true equity? Maybe this was intended to be just a basic intro to the topic, which is good, your videos are great.
@ThePokerBank8 жыл бұрын
+MrZola1234 Yes, we also need to consider implied odds - this was just a basic primer and we didn't want to throw IO into the mix and make things confusing for newer players. And thanks for the compliment!
@czinck63979 жыл бұрын
Do people really divide 53.5 by 33 in their heads and do all of these calculations in the 30 seconds between making decisions? I'm an Engineer and that's ludicrous to think that the average poker pro does this..
@ThePokerBank9 жыл бұрын
Craig Zinck they round and get close. 2:1 on 33 would be 66, and 53.5 isn't quite that...so the number is around 1.5:1...
@rooomyyyyy4 жыл бұрын
Man I don’t know what to say, I have been following this rule and play online low stakes , people just call any hand and that too all in , I wen all in with KK against JT guess who won JT QQ against AT and I lost I mean where’s the math helping it’s pure luck from what I’m getting
@aceofspades40924 жыл бұрын
Watch his vid on EV
@MiniMiii3 жыл бұрын
so ... I do risk/(risk + reward) and take that ratio and do it again?
@rfb21049 жыл бұрын
I wish you didn't use so much fucking jargon.
@ThePokerBank9 жыл бұрын
If you have questions on any of the terms in the video, feel free to ask them.
@warrenviegas56068 жыл бұрын
One last thing, maybe I'm making things too complicated, but there must be a way to link the concept of pot odds,what do you think you're opponent has, and bet sizing. Or are you just better off guesstimating
@ThePokerBank8 жыл бұрын
+Warren Viegas that sounds like more of a hand reading skillset than a pot odds thing :)
@brianjames88678 жыл бұрын
On the turn your supposed to multiply by 4.
@ThePokerBank8 жыл бұрын
You multiply your outs by 4 on the flop. On the turn you multiply by 2.
@cata9223 Жыл бұрын
Crazy confusing way of explaining this btw.
@ThePokerBank Жыл бұрын
Do you have any suggestions for making it less confusing?
@TheBassOnly7 жыл бұрын
Why, when calculating outs, is no allowance ever made for the likelihood of some outs already being in other players hands? Since in a full-ring game nearly half the deck is already 'out' it must be a reasonable assumption that on average almost half of all your outs will be also?
@michaelbauers88007 жыл бұрын
I think this is a good question. And I will try to answer it, even though it's old. Take a deck of cards. Throw 51 of them on the ground. What are the odds the last card is an Ace of Spades? 1/52. Pick them back up, shuffle them, and draw the first card. What is the chance it's an Ace of Spades. Also 1/52. As nothing is known about cards thrown on the ground, they don't effect your calculations of odds. The cards in player's hands are no different than the unknown cards in the deck. As another person put it, you could simply assume the player's hands are at the bottom of the deck, because there's no difference between them being dealt and them being at the bottom of the deck as long as you don't run out of cards when drawing.
@ruiarruda780710 жыл бұрын
I think the concept of odds is typically American. In Brazil we learn probability with percentages only. My reasoning goes straight to percentages and doesn't have to go through converting pot odds.
@ThePokerBank10 жыл бұрын
So long as we both get the same percentage, that's all that matters!
@tjenarezuup10 жыл бұрын
Hi The Poker Bank . I don't understand how to calculate from a 3:1 on the flop to win, to my % ratio to win. Could you explain how i do that kind of calculate, thanks!
@ThePokerBank10 жыл бұрын
The pot odds tell you how much equity you need in order to continue profitably. And you can estimate your actual equity (your hand versus your opponent's range) using a program like Equilab. We even made a video showing you how to use it here: kzbin.info/www/bejne/bZnceZt5brR6pqM
@Sifer699 жыл бұрын
Hi. Nice video. Tx. Now, minute 1:57 that example it's -ev. If we put the oponent range on TT+, AKs, AKo do you have a 31 % equity not 43%
@ThePokerBank9 жыл бұрын
+Ariel “sifer69” Da Costa Dutra thanks Ariel! If you are using Equilab you may notice that we have a 31% win% vs TT+/AK...but we actually use our equity vs the range as a whole (since villain will have AK sometimes and we'll chop the pot...which results in us losing almost nothing vs losing/winning everything). So you use the raw equity number which is 43%
@wansoolee17465 жыл бұрын
Ok but how do u know your equity? U dont even know what hand your opponent is playing though so do u just "assume" your opponent's range and get approximate equity?
@tiagogoncalves76525 жыл бұрын
Search for the "4 2 rule" Hope it helps
@markus45956 жыл бұрын
I'm confused. Why do some people say "always call when pot odds are higher than your chance of winning" and some say you should only call when your chance of winning is higher than the pot odds?
@vinhhuynguyen15276 жыл бұрын
this!, someone break it down
@wansoolee17465 жыл бұрын
Ok but how do u know your equity? U dont even know what hand your opponent is playing though so do u just "assume" your opponent's range and get approximate equity?
@lightonstillwaters67894 жыл бұрын
Yes, you assume V has a pair, which is your best case scenario. V could have 2pr or set or an overpair, so unless you draw to a flush or straight, you are not always live for your overcards to flop outs.
@mattholmquist8289 жыл бұрын
for the example with AK pre flow how did you decide to do1/2.6 to get the equity %
@ThePokerBank9 жыл бұрын
Matt Holmquist based upon the pot odds :)
@MageAtYou7 жыл бұрын
but how? Which numbers got you the 2.6?
@TWIxrIDER907 жыл бұрын
53,5 / 33 is 2.6 he just break it down so you have a x:1 in this case 1.6:1 which is 38% (1 / 1 + 1.6)
@garretthilliard46 жыл бұрын
When you are calculating odds preflop and your up against one person in this hand. But there is 6 people seated at the table do you go by the 6 player equity or the 2 player equity for that hand?
@splitsuit6 жыл бұрын
Honestly, I don't do much equity calculating preflop unless a.) we're committing stacks preflop or b.) stacks are shallow and the preflop decision is bending toward commitment. Preflop I'm more focused on playability, edges, SPR, if this pot rates to go HU vs. MW, etc.
@CapeFearRiverLife10 ай бұрын
So now that we've discussed the odds, what about the evens?
@ThePokerBank10 ай бұрын
buh dum, cha
@liyexiang6665 жыл бұрын
Hi, like this vdeo, and got another more confusing math question: how did you calculate odds 4 the next street usually? like, u getting enough odds to call on the turn, but u feel you going to pay them off their value bets, and at the same time call all their bluff, and if some flush or streat card fall, u decide to fold. How to calculate whether I should call to see the river or not on turn 4 such situation? i ask this cuz sometimes i call the turn pretty easy consider the math, and all of a sudden, villain bet big the river and the river odds become unfavor so i fold which made my turn call -ev, even though it is +ev at that time on the turn, but i know u cannot have ev when u call turn and fold river always. I believe most low stake player have experienced similar situation before, hope u could make a video about such situation
@GS-fb2xq8 жыл бұрын
if i have flush draw on the flop. the pot is 600$ and the bet is 300$ so i have to call 300$ to win 900$. so the pot odd is 3:1. i have 9 outs. in this case 9*2 = 18% ==> 4.5:1 so i should fold my hand cz odds>pot odds. if its all in on the flop it will be like this 9*4 = 36% ==> 1.8:1 so i should call cz here the odds
@ThePokerBank8 жыл бұрын
+sako sako Right. It depends on how many cards you're going to be able to see when using the 4/2 rule.
@GS-fb2xq8 жыл бұрын
+The Poker Bank thank you !!
@arjunchintaram8 жыл бұрын
+sako sako not to forget I implied odds
@GS-fb2xq8 жыл бұрын
+Arjun Chintaram yes of course thankk u !!
@sellimm.28026 жыл бұрын
How did you come from 1,6:1 to 1/2.6 =38%...(2:13) Can SOMEBODY explain that.
@splitsuit6 жыл бұрын
Rewind back to 2:00 and watch from there. There is some simplifying going on, but the math checks out =)
@NoStringsAttached887 жыл бұрын
I get most of this but I'm confused on where you got the 2.6 from ?? Can you help with that part ?? Just not sure why that specific number?
@michaelbauers88007 жыл бұрын
I can try. I will say though, if you just learn formula call / ( pot + call), and apply it to his 33 call and 53.50 pot, you will get .38 or 38 percent immediately without all that ratio stuff. But I can do it his way. First he divides 53.50 by 33 to get the ratio 1.6 to 1. Then he applies the formula for turning odds into a percentage. If the odds are x to y, then the percentage is x / (x + y). So you might think, ok, the math should be 1.6 / ( 1 + 1.6). However, and he glosses over this step, the pot to call ratio is such that a high pot to call ratio means you can call with a low odds hand. For example, say pot to call ratio was 10 to 1. This means your break even odds for making your hand can be 1 to 10. The inverse. So he first converts 1.6 to 1 to 1 to 1.6 without really explaining that. Then applies the x / (x + y) odds to percent formula. 1 / ( 1.6 + 1) = 1 / ( 2.6) = .38. Or 38%
@coolbeans43994 жыл бұрын
Michael Bauers the ratio stuff definitely confuses things it’s literally just the pot add your call then divide by the call y do people make things so confusing
@Jwalk2urheart9 жыл бұрын
how does one calculate their hand strength preflop? like your Ace King without a calculator at a live table?
@ThePokerBank9 жыл бұрын
Jwalk2urheart through tons of reps using tools like Equilab and practice hand reading.
@mikenewman64708 жыл бұрын
how do you get an estimated equity? is it always your outs x2
@splitsuit8 жыл бұрын
+Mike Newman if you're drawing, you can use the 4/2 rule. For more info on that, check out this article: www.thepokerbank.com/strategy/mathematics/pot-odds/4-2/ If you want precise equity, use Equilab: www.splitsuit.com/stop-using-pokerstove-start-using-equilab